Waimarama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into the surf for Waimarama. The water’s sitting at about 56°F, which is a touch cooler than normal for this time of year, nothing major, just a little brisk. The next week or so is a mixed bag, but we’ve got some proper windows coming up.

It starts off average on Saturday, July 4th. There’s a 5-foot easterly swell with a 12-second period, so there’s some decent energy (607), but the wind is messy – cross or cross-on shore all day. It’s going to be choppy and hard to get into a rhythm. Not great.

Sunday the 5th is also a write-off. The swell picks up a touch to 7 feet, but the period drops right off to a short 7 seconds and the wind is still cross-on. It’s just not clean. By Monday the 6th the combined energy jumps into the thousands (1354 then 2059), but it’s still cross-on and the period is short to moderate. The waves will be bumpy and fat; you’ll be fighting the chop.

Then things get good. Tuesday morning, July 7th, is a real standout. The wind swings offshore from the southwest (6 mph) and it’s clean. Swell’s at a solid 7 feet from the east with a 10-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy (848). It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but with 7-foot waves and offshore wind, it’s going to be fun for anyone who knows what they’re doing. Expect clean lines. Crowds are listed as "sometimes," so there might be a few out, but it’ll be worth it.

Wednesday the 8th is the absolute best on offer. Offshore again in the morning (SW 6 mph) and the swell bumps up to 8 feet from the east with an 11-second period. That’s over 1600 of combined energy – strong, powerful, and clean. This is experienced surfer territory for sure; the waves will be sizeable and packing a punch. The afternoon stays clean with a cross-off wind, so it’s a full day of quality. If you’re an advanced surfer, this is your window. For beginners, 8 feet is too big, so sit this one out.

Thursday the 9th holds a clean, smaller 6-foot swell in the morning (1050 energy) with light offshores – still very good, just a step down. The afternoon gets windier.

Friday the 10th sees the swell absolutely juice up to 13 feet from the southeast. The combined energy is massive – 2555 then 3692 – but even with clean winds, this is way too big for Waimarama. This is expert-only territory, and for most of us, it’s a day to watch from the beach. The forecast flags it as too big for the break.

Saturday the 11th stays huge with 13 feet and over 6500 combined energy. Offshore winds in the afternoon, but again, unless you’re charging mutant sets, it’s best left alone.

By Sunday the 12th it drops back to 8 feet but the wind is howling at 19 mph from the south. It’ll be messy and blown out. Struggle city.

There’s a gap after that, but Tuesday morning, July 14th, is one to circle. Glassy conditions – zero wind – and a clean 6-foot swell from the east-southeast with a 10-second period (833 energy). That flat, mirror-like water means perfect conditions. If you can get out that morning, do it. The crowd "sometimes" shows up, but with the glass I’d expect a few others to have the same idea.

The rest of that week (the 15th and 16th) sees the swell shrink back to 3-4 feet with poor to ordinary conditions. Not worth the paddle.

The following weekend, Saturday the 18th, has a late afternoon window that could be a sneaky good one: a 6-foot south-easterly swell (over 1300 energy) with a very long 14-second period, clean and light offshores. With that long period, it’s going to be lined up and powerful for its size, but at a beach/reef setup like Waimarama, the sets will be very far apart. Worth a look if you’re patient.

Sunday the 19th fades out with small, onshore garbage. Not a finisher.

So, to sum it up: the standouts are Tuesday 7th and Wednesday 8th for the best combination of offshore wind, solid easterly swell, and clean conditions. For a quieter, glassy morning, Tuesday 14th is a gem. The rest is a waiting game. Keep an eye on that long-period Saturday 18th afternoon as a possible dark horse.

Rusty.

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