
Surf Forecasts:
Waimarama surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 19s period, S swell with 2,582 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Waimarama this week:
The surf forecast for Waimarama over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Waimarama in the next 16 days are 1.9m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Waimarama over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve had a good look at what’s on the cards for us. Let’s get stuck into it.
So, we’re looking at Waimarama for the rest of July. The water’s a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 55°. That anomaly of about a degree and a half below average is notable, so you’ll want a good steamer if you’re heading out.
There’s a bit of a slow start. Thursday afternoon has some clean little 3-foot waves from the ESE, but the combined energy is weak (402), and it’s a bit marginal. Honestly, the real kick-off is Friday morning, the 17th. That’s where it starts to get interesting.
Friday morning is the early standout. We’re looking at a solid 5-foot groundswell from the ESE with a very long period of 16 seconds, so there’s heaps of energy behind it (1419 moderate energy). The wind is glassy – dead calm. This is going to be perfect, clean, lined-up surf for experienced surfers. That long period will make for some beautiful, powerful walls, especially on the reef sections, though the sets will be a bit wider apart. It’s going to be special.
The next solid window builds through the week. Saturday morning holds clean 5-foot waves off a WNW cross-off, and it looks good. Sunday morning is another cracker: 4-foot swell from the S with offshore WSW wind at 3 mph. Combined energy is strong at 1770. That’s proper clean, powerful surf for the experienced crew.
Monday (20th) keeps the quality going with 4-foot clean waves both morning and afternoon, all day cross-off or offshore wind. Tuesday morning the 21st pushes back up to nearly 5-foot from the S with a 16-second period and clean conditions – that’s another excellent session for those who know what they’re doing.
After that first week, there’s a proper lull. From Wednesday the 22nd into the end of July, the size drops and the wind turns onshore or cross-shore. It gets messy and weak. Thursday the 23rd has a glassy morning but only 3-foot, and by the afternoon it’s onshore and poor. Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th are write-offs – tiny, poor, or lumpy. Sunday the 26th is the big wildcard for long-range. Look out for the 26th of July: a solid 10-foot SSW groundswell hits with an 11-second period and combined energy of 2818. That is strong, powerful swell. Morning has a nice cross-off wind, so it’s clean, but at 10-foot this is strictly for experts only. The afternoon gets a bit cross-shore and messy. That’s a big, heavy day.
Monday the 27th still has a good 7- to 8-foot from the S and clean conditions in the morning, then goes glassy in the afternoon. That’s another big day for the experienced surfer. After that, the month tails off into smaller, less consistent, and often onshore conditions. A few days in early August might be worth a look, but you’d want to keep an eye on the forecasts, as it’s a long way out.
Overall, the best on offer is Friday the 17th morning for that perfect, glassy 5-foot groundswell. Sunday the 26th morning is the other standout, but only if you’re a seasoned pro. Crowds at Waimarama can be an issue, so get in early for those peak sessions.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | S 23 | S 20 | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | S 19 | S 19 | S 16 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
926 | 1289 | 1209 | 1102 | 934 | 1310 | 2060 | 1271 | 897 | 801 | 823 | 592 | 2456 | 1631 | 1179 | 577 | 347 | 143 | 106 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off |
High Tide | 7:26AM1.56m | 7:55PM1.70m | 8:23AM1.54m | 8:50PM1.66m | 9:18AM1.51m | 9:43PM1.59m | 10:12AM1.47m | 10:35PM1.52m | 11:05AM1.44m | 11:27PM1.45m | 11:57AM1.40m | 00:17AM1.38m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:23AM-0.00m | 1:40PM-0.02m | 2:20AM-0.00m | 2:36PM0.01m | 3:14AM0.02m | 3:31PM0.05m | 4:06AM0.05m | 4:25PM0.11m | 4:57AM0.10m | 5:18PM0.17m | 5:46AM0.16m | 6:09PM0.23m | |||||||
— | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | S 20 | S 18 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 19 | S 16 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 |
926 | 1289 | 1209 | 1102 | 934 | 721 | 2060 | 1271 | 897 | 801 | 823 | 526 | 2456 | 1631 | 1179 | 577 | 347 | 143 | 106 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 4 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 23 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | S 19 | ESE 5 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | S 12 | S 5 |
6 | 115 | 271 | 137 | 196 | 1310 | 590 | 458 | 341 | 255 | 180 | 592 | 25 | 81 | 82 | 47 | 29 | 72 | 16 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 18 | S 14 | S 19 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | — | — | ENE 4 | NE 4 | ESE 10 | SSW 12 |
5 | 18 | 103 | 103 | 29 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | 177 | 115 | — | — | 5 | 3 | 22 | 46 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — | ESE 5 | E 4 | E 4 | NE 4 | — | WSW 3 | S 5 |
16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | 37 | 9 | 9 | 12 | — | 1 | 28 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Waimarama Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Waimarama provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Waimarama can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Waimarama surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Waimarama) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Waimarama may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Waimarama is 25 km (16 miles) from the city of Hastings. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hastings. Hastings has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










