Waimarama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks at Waimarama (beach and reef). It’s a quiet start, with no real surf until Tuesday the 8th, so a few days of flatness to get through. The water’s running a bit colder than usual for this time of year, at 54°F, with a temperature anomaly of 2°F below average, so it feels a touch nippy for the first surf.

We kick off Tuesday morning the 8th with a solid pulse. The swell comes in from the SE at 10ft, period 9 seconds, with strong wave energy (2931). The wind’s blowing offshore from the SSW at 19 mph, so it’s fresh and clean, but this size is already pushing into expert territory – too big for beginners. By Tuesday afternoon the swell drops a touch to 8ft from the SE, still moderate to strong energy (1008), with cross-off wind, so it stays clean but still hefty.

Wednesday the 9th looks magic early. Morning brings 5ft from the SE, period 8 seconds, with glassy conditions – that’s a major positive, the surface will be like a mirror. Moderate wave energy (381). It’s a good all-round size, not too big, not too small. This is the standout of the first week: clean, glassy, and surfable for a range of abilities. The afternoon turns onshore and messy, so get out early.

Thursday the 10th fades hard, with small, weak, choppy surf – not worth paddling out for. Friday the 11th sees a return of size and quality: morning 5ft from the S, short 7-second period, fresh offshore from the SW at 19 mph, clean but short-period chop might make it a bit lumpy. Afternoon is the winner: 6ft from the S, 8 seconds, gentle offshore wind, clean conditions, moderate energy (456). That’s a solid session.

Saturday the 12th morning is clean but a bit weak at 4ft from the S. The afternoon gets wild – 12ft from the SSW, 10 seconds, very strong energy (4163), fresh offshore. It’s too big for most, expert only. Sunday the 13th morning is huge: 13ft from the S, very long 15-second period, massive energy (7220), moderate offshore. That’s a serious groundswell – best suited for the reef here, as it’ll be too straight and walled at the beach. Afternoon drops to 10ft from the S, still solid.

Monday the 14th afternoon is a hidden gem: 6ft from the S, 11-second period, glassy, clean, moderate energy (693). That’s a beautiful window. Tuesday the 15th afternoon brings 7ft from the SSE, very long 14-second period, strong energy (1858), light cross-off wind – excellent for experienced surfers, but the long period means it’ll be better on the reef than the beach.

From Wednesday the 16th onwards, the size drops and winds turn messy. Thursday the 17th is tiny and choppy. Friday the 18th has some small, ordinary waves but nothing to get excited about. Then from Saturday the 19th to the end of the outlook, it gets blown out and oversized again, with a massive 16ft+ swell from the S from the 20th onwards, with near-gale and fresh winds. Those days are for the experts only – think big, dangerous conditions. The combined energy soars into the thousands (6340, 6497, 13348), but the wind and size make it a miss for most.

Best on offer: Wednesday morning the 9th for the glassy, clean 5ft SE swell, and Monday afternoon the 14th for the glassy 6ft S swell. If you’re an experienced surfer, Tuesday afternoon the 15th is a cracker.

Rusty.

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