Waimarama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listeners, Rusty here with a look at what’s shaping up for our next few weeks. We’ve only got one spot on the radar, Waimarama, and it’s a consistent beach and reef setup that’s fairly exposed to the swell. It’s normally a beginner-friendly wave, but we’ve got a real mix coming.

Alright, let’s get into it. The water is sitting at 56°, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year – no real surprises there.

We’re kicking things off this Monday morning, the 6th of July. It’s looking pretty clean with a light 3 mph breeze from the northeast, making it glassy. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the east-northeast with a 9-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 610, so it’s not huge but there’s enough there to get out for a session. The morning is your window, though – the afternoon drops off with a cross-on wind and marginal conditions.

The real story starts this Tuesday, the 7th. Tuesday morning sees a 7ft groundswell from the east, period hanging at 10 seconds. The wind goes cross-off from the west-southwest, and by the afternoon it goes glassy again. This is clean, fun surf with good energy (776 and 936). Wednesday, the 8th, keeps that goodness going with a 7ft easterly swell and clean conditions all day. The combined energy jumps to 1121, so the wave energy is building nicely.

Thursday, the 9th, is the start of the standout run. We’ve got a 6ft southerly swell with an offshore breeze from the southwest at 9 mph. The energy is strong at 1171. This is prime, clean, and groomed. But the absolute pick of the first week has to be Saturday morning, the 11th of July. The swell is a solid 10ft from the south-southeast (period 10s), with a proper offshore wind from the south-southwest at 16 mph. The combined energy is pumping at 3314. This is excellent surf, but that 10ft stuff is only for the experienced crew. The break is usually consistent, so you’ll get plenty of waves, but expect a few more bodies out there on this one – crowds are possible.

After that, the swell drops back a bit through Sunday and Monday, the 13th, before we hit a real lull. From Monday afternoon through to Thursday morning, the 16th, it’s pretty flat and messy with onshore winds. The forecasts are poor, and there’s a real gap in quality surf for a few days.

Now, we get a little glimmer Thursday afternoon, the 16th – a glassy session with a 5ft windswell from the northeast, but it’s short period (7s), so not the best shape. Friday the 17th picks up again with a tidy 7ft south-southwest swell and offshore breeze in the afternoon.

Then we’ve got the big one on the horizon. Saturday the 18th of July morning is looking excellent for experienced surfers again – a 10ft southerly swell with clean conditions and a light offshore. The energy is strong at 1887.

But hold onto your board for Sunday the 19th. The forecast shows a massive 25ft southerly swell with a very long 14-second period rolling in. The combined energy is a staggering 40067. This is huge. It’s too big for this break, full stop. That kind of long-period groundswell will just close out the beach and reef – it’s an absolute monster. The wind might be light, but the size is beyond dangerous. Monday the 20th is still oversized at 13ft, then we’re back to poor, onshore conditions for the rest of the run.

So, if you’ve got the skills, the real standouts are Saturday the 11th and Saturday the 18th. The 11th has that perfect offshore wind with a solid 10ft swell. The 18th is a little more raw with a 10ft southerly, but the conditions are clean. That Sunday the 19th is insane, but it’s not for surfing – it’s for watching from the cliff.

Rusty out.

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