Stent Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a solid window of surf coming, but it’s not all clean. The real standout is Thursday morning, the 23rd of July at Stent Road. That’s the session to circle. The swell is a strong 6 ft of WSW groundswell, with a long 13-second period, meaning real energy, real shape. The water is sitting at 58.6°F, which is about normal for this time of year. But the big win is the wind: a light 10 km/h NNE breeze, hitting from the cross-off direction. That’s going to groom the waves clean. The combined energy is powerful, at 1169, but this is a reef and point break, so it handles that long-period groundswell beautifully. This is one for the experienced crew only – that’s serious, hollow wave territory.

Now, after that, it gets a bit messy. Thursday afternoon turns onshore and the quality drops. Friday the 24th is a write-off with strong, lumpy cross-onshore wind. The weekend of the 25th and 26th sees a massive pulse of swell, hitting 18 ft to 21 ft on Saturday, but with a howling 40 km/h cross-onshore, it’s just a mess. Even though the wind backs off a little on Sunday morning, the swell is still a solid 10 ft at 14 seconds. That morning with the ESE cross-off breeze at 15 km/h, it’s clean, but the size is purely for experts. The combined energy is 3731, so it’s a lot of water moving.

There is a gap of poor or marginal conditions from the afternoon of Sunday the 27th through to the afternoon of Tuesday the 29th. The wind keeps swinging onshore, and the swell drops.

Then, we get another chance. Thursday morning, the 30th of July, is too big at 16 ft and blown out. But Friday morning, the 31st of July, is a beauty. The swell is a solid 11.5 ft from the WSW at 14 seconds – again, not for the faint-hearted. The real magic is the light 10 km/h ESE cross-off wind. It’s clean, it’s powerful, and the combined energy is 4488. That’s a big, serious ocean. This is the second big standout; another one for the advanced crew.

The first week of August looks more moderate. Monday morning, the 3rd of August, is a nice, clean session with a light 10 km/h SE cross-off breeze and a 6.2 ft WSW swell. That’s a bit more manageable. The real surprise is Tuesday morning, the 4th of August. The swell jumps back up to 14.8 ft from the WSW with a light 10 km/h ENE cross-off wind. The combined energy is 3247. It’s big, but it’s clean. If you’re experienced, that’s a special morning. After that, the swell backs off, and the wind stays mostly cross-off, giving us clean but smaller waves through to the end of the forecast.

So, to sum it up: if you’re an expert, you’re looking at Thursday morning the 23rd of July and Friday morning the 31st of July as the absolute best on offer. The long-period groundswell is best handled at this reef and point break, so it should be well-shaped. Keep in mind, this spot is consistent and it can get crowded, so be prepared for company on those good days.

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