Stent Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window and it’s a tale of two halves. The first few days have some real potential, but then we’re looking at a long, gnarly stretch of weather that’ll test your patience. Hang tight.

Stent Road is the only game in town, and it kicks off on Monday, July 20th. We’ve got a solid 6ft swell rolling in from the WSW, with a nice long 14-second period pushing that energy in. The combined energy is a hefty 1347 (moderate wave energy), and early Monday morning, we’ve got a gentle 15 km/h offshore breeze from the east. This is an advanced reef and point break, so it’s not for the faint of heart, but for those with the skills, the waves will be clean and well-shaped. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Monday afternoon drops a touch to 5ft, but the wind goes light and cross-off, keeping things clean. The standout, though, is Tuesday morning, July 21st. The swell drops to 5ft, but the wind is glassy—dead calm at 5 km/h from the SE. That’s a rare gift. The period is still a meaty 13 seconds, and the wave energy sits at 738. This is the pick of the first week. The point will be lined up and smooth. Crowds are going to be a problem here, though—it’s a spot that’s often packed.

Tuesday afternoon gets a bit sketchy with onshore wind, and by Wednesday, July 22nd, things go south. A freshening 30 km/h SW wind and a short, bumpy 7-second period from the SW ruin the surface. The combined energy drops to 620, and it’s just a mess. This pattern of poor conditions hangs on. Thursday, July 23rd morning gives us a brief reprieve with a 6ft, 13-second swell and a clean NE offshore (1110 energy), but it’s a short window.

Then we hit a wall. From Friday, July 24th all the way through Saturday, August 2nd, the surf is blown out or too stormy. We’re talking strong onshore winds, rain, and even a risk of thunderstorms. The swell gets huge, hitting 16ft to 20ft, but it’s accompanied by gale-force winds. The combined energy spikes into the thousands (8531, 11000, etc.), which tells you the ocean is angry. This is not surfable for a paddle board; it’s kite-surfing territory if anything. Beginners should stay well away, and even experts won’t find a clean face.

After that long, nasty gap, the forecast finally shows some hope. Tuesday, August 4th morning brings a clean, glassy morning with a 8ft swell from the WSW, 12-second period, and a light 5 km/h ESE wind. The combined energy is 1794. The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a long-range standout, so don’t book the trip yet, but it’s a promising light at the end of the tunnel. Keep an eye on this one.

So, to wrap it up: the best windows are the first two mornings (Monday 20th and Tuesday 21st), with the glassy Tuesday morning taking the top spot. Then buckle up for a week and a half of nonsense, but there’s a whisper of a glorious clean-up on August 4th. Stay stoked, and check the forecast again closer to the date.

Rusty.

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