Stent Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, mate, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Stent Road. This one’s a tricky beast. It’s an advanced reef and point set-up, and it’s consistent, but this forecast is a real mixed bag. The water temp is sitting at 57.6°, which is pretty average for this time of year, so not a shock to the system.

We’ve got a massive gap at the start here, with no surf worth a mention until the end of the first week. The first week is basically a write-off. From Saturday the 12th all the way through to Thursday the 17th, we’re looking at poor to marginal conditions. Massive, raw energy coming in – we’re talking combined swell energy readings of 7336 to 13618 over the first weekend, which is very strong – but it’s all from a SW wind that’s slamming straight across the swell. That creates a lumpy, cross-onshore mess. Even though the swell is a thumping 16.4 ft on Saturday morning, you don’t want it. It’s blown out. For a few days there, the period is over 15 seconds, but that doesn’t matter when the wind is trashing it. There’s a brief moment on Tuesday the 15th afternoon where the wind turns onshore, but it’s still only a marginal 4.9 ft with moderate energy.

Now, the first real glimmer of hope comes on Friday the 18th. And this is where it gets interesting. We get a clean, cross-off shore wind from the SE at just 10 km/h. The swell is a solid 6.9 ft out of the WSW with a long 16-second period. The combined energy is 3060, which is moderate to strong, but it’s the clean conditions that make it. For experienced surfers, this is excellent. It’s not huge, but it’s got shape. That Friday morning window is the first genuine standout. It’s a proper shot.

After that, it gets messy again over the next couple of days with the SW wind returning. But then, from Sunday the 20th right through to the end of the run, the wind pattern flips to a cleaner cross-off from the SSE. That’s our second standout window, and it’s the bigger one. Sunday the 20th morning has a 9.8 ft swell from the WSW, clean conditions, and a massive 6217 energy reading. That’s proper power. It’s an advanced wave at that size, but for the guys who can handle it, it will be epic.

Looking further ahead, Thursday the 24th looks like the pick of the long-range. An 11.5 ft swell from the WSW with a 15-second period, combined energy of 4716, and a light SSE breeze making it clean. Then Friday the 25th morning could be a real sleeper, with a glassy NNW wind and a 6.9 ft swell.

So, the honest call here: the first week is a total dud. But hold tight. Starting Friday the 18th, and especially from Sunday the 20th through the following Thursday the 24th, Stent Road will fire. The Friday morning glass-off is the best on offer, but the Sunday the 20th is the biggest and most powerful of the standouts. It’s going to be a long lull, but it’ll be worth the wait. Watch the crowd factor, too – it says “often” busy, but on a clean, big day at an advanced break, the lineup sorts itself out.

Be patient, and pick your window.

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