Stent Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your rubber, let's have a look at what's coming down the line here. This is a bit of a tough stretch if you're after clean perfection, but there are some moments that'll get the heart pumping if you're willing to work for it.

First up, the big story: Stent Road. This is a serious reef and point setup, only for those who know what they’re doing—advanced crew only. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is about 1° warmer than usual for this time of year. Nothing crazy, just a touch of extra comfort for this neck of the woods.

Right out of the gate on Friday, September 11th, there’s a massive pulse of energy. We’re talking a solid 12 to 13 ft swell hammering in from the WSW. The combined energy is ridiculous—pushing 8769 on Friday morning. This is serious groundswell with a period of 18 to 19 seconds, which is very long. At a spot like Stent Road, a reef and point, that long period will translate into some incredible, deep-water lines. The morning is looking okay with a cross-shore, but it’s not clean perfection. By the afternoon, a strong onshore wind kicks up and just annihilates the surface. It’s big and powerful, but it’s going to be a battle against the wind.

Over the weekend, Saturday and Sunday the 12th and 13th, the swell peaks even higher. We're looking at 15 to 16 ft waves. The energy numbers are astronomical—13,680 on Saturday afternoon alone. But the wind is a problem. It’s a strong cross-onshore all weekend, making conditions sloppy, lumpy, and messy. This is big-wave territory and with that wind on it, it’s more of a survival mission than a fun session. For most, it’s a no-go unless you’re a tow-in crew with a death wish.

Monday the 14th eases off slightly to a still hefty 8 to 10 ft, but it’s still choppy and cross-onshore. There’s a slim window of hope on Tuesday morning, September 15th, with the swell dropping to 6 ft and a gentle cross-onshore. It’s still fairly choppy though, and only a 1 or 2 out of 10 chance of it being good.

The middle of the week goes flat and ugly. Wednesday, September 16th sees the swell bottom out to 3 ft or less. The energy drops into the low hundreds. Not much to get excited about there.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. On Monday, September 21st, there’s a real standout. The swell is back to a solid 10 ft from the WSW, with a good 14-second period (moderate-to-long groundswell). The combined energy is back up at 3915, a moderate to strong pulse. And the wind? For the first time in this forecast, we’ve got a light, clean cross-offshore breeze. This is the one to circle on the calendar. For advanced surfers, Monday morning is the best window of the whole 16-day run. The waves will have size and power, but that offshore wind will keep the face tidy. It won’t be perfect all day, but that morning is the best on offer.

After that, we slide into a more manageable, but still bumpy, pattern. From Tuesday the 22nd through to Thursday the 24th, you’re looking at 7 to 8 ft with onshore or cross-on winds. Not clean, just workable for the die-hards. A break on Thursday afternoon, September 24th offers another clean window with a gentle cross-offshore breeze and an 8 ft swell, but it’s not as big or exciting as the 21st.

The very last days, September 25th and 26th, are a write-off. The swell drops and wind howls, turning it into a wet, messy, blown-out scene. The swell direction is WSW throughout, which is the optimum for Stent Road, so at least it’s coming from the right angle.

If you’re an advanced surfer chasing power, you live for Monday the 21st. The rest of the run is either too big and windy, or too small and bumpy. That one morning is the gold nugget.

Rusty.

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