Stent Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

The long-range picture is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a solid run of swell coming, but the wind is going to be the main character for most of it. There are a few windows where it all comes together, but you’ll have to pick your moments.

We’re starting things off at Stent Road (reef and point). The water is sitting at 57.6°F, which is right about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. Tuesday morning is our first real look, with a clean 3.6ft of WSW groundswell at 13 seconds. The southerly cross-offshore wind is a beaut, keeping things glassy. The energy is moderate (963), but it’s clean and should be a fun one.

The rest of Tuesday and Wednesday gets a bit messy. The swell backs off to around 3.3ft, and while Wednesday morning is clean with 3.3ft, the wind swings around and the tide looks questionable. Not much to get excited about.

Thursday is a write-off. The wind goes strong and onshore from the northwest, making it choppy. The swell builds to 6.2ft, but it’s all over the place with a weak period. Even though the energy kicks up to 1378, it’s not going to be any fun.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. Friday morning is the standout for this period. We’ve got a proper pulse of energy hitting – 11.5ft of WSW swell with a long 19-second period. That’s a serious groundswell, with raw energy hitting 8782. The wind is a light southerly cross, so it won't be perfect, but it should be big and powerful. This is advanced territory for sure; if you’re not confident, sit this one out.

But Friday afternoon the wind swings hard onshore from the west and it gets blown out. The surf stays big but it’s messy. The whole weekend is a right-off to be honest. Friday afternoon, Saturday, and Sunday all have strong cross-onshore winds with 11.5ft to 16.4ft of swell, and the energy readings are huge (9233, 5416, 5742, 6845). It’s going to be a washing machine out there. Too big and too blown out for anything but a spectator sport.

Monday through Wednesday of the following week are still poor. The swell drops a bit to 6.6-9.8ft, but the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore. There’s plenty of energy, but the quality just isn’t there.

Then we get another glimmer. Thursday, the 17th of September, afternoon looks promising. The swell is big, 14.8ft, with a 13-second period, and the wind goes cross-offshore from the SSE. It’ll still be huge and the energy is massive (7980). This is a big-wave day for experts only, but it could be epic. The 18th looks like another blowout, so that Thursday afternoon is the second and final real highlight.

The final few days see the swell ease off. The 22nd and the 23rd have some cleaner conditions with 7.5ft to 9.8ft of swell. The morning of the 22nd with a SE cross-off wind might be worth a paddle if you’re keen, and the 23rd morning has almost no wind, but the swell direction is a bit cross. Still, nothing will touch that Friday morning.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday morning is your clean, fun-sized precursor. Friday morning, September 11th, is the one to circle – big, powerful, and with just enough cross-off wind to hold it together. The following Thursday afternoon is the other shot, but that’s for the brave only. Between those, expect a lot of blown-out, large swell. Stay sharp.

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