Stent Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down the same outlook, but in feet and miles per hour.

First up, we’re in for a bit of a rough start. The beginning of the period is a write-off for proper surfing. The first few days deliver some serious size, but the wind is all wrong – cross-on and howling – so the ocean’s a mess. We’re talking 13ft to 12ft of WSW swell, but with a combined energy reading (6109–7524) that tells you there’s plenty of power out there, it’s just not rideable. You’d be mad to paddle out.

Then we get a real tease. On Monday afternoon, the 7th of September, the wind drops to glassy – a total glass-off – and we’ve got a clean 7ft swell from the WSW with a period of 14 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and the energy is still strong (3348). The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is about normal for this time of year. For a reef-and-point break like Stent Road, that long period is going to line up beautifully. This is the standout of the first week. The catch? It’s an advanced wave, and it’s for experienced surfers only. Don’t be a hero if you’re not ready.

Tuesday morning the 8th holds some clean, cross-off wind with a 6ft swell, but the energy drops off (1217) and the window is small. After that, the wind turns against us again. We get a glassy Wednesday morning the 9th with a tiny 3ft swell – too small to get excited about.

Then the real trouble starts. From the 10th through the 14th, we get hammered by big, onshore winds and massive swell. The 11th of September shows a massive 21ft WSW swell with a 19-second period and an absolutely enormous energy reading of 26605 – but it’s accompanied by 25 mph onshore winds. That’s not a surf session; that’s a survival drill. The same goes for the 12th, 13th, and 14th – all huge, all messy, all for experts only, and frankly, not even enjoyable for them.

We get a bit of a breather mid-month, but the conditions are still marginal. The 15th and 16th offer 8ft to 12ft swell, but with cross-on wind and chop, it’s not worth the drive.

Now, for the second week, the real long-range promise. The 18th of September – Friday morning and afternoon – we see a colossal 25ft and 23ft WSW swell, with a 16-second period coming from the south-east with clean, cross-off winds. The energy is staggering (30528 and 25282). But look, that’s just too big for this break. The file says it’s too big, and I’m echoing that. It’s for the absolute elite only, and even then, it’s a question of survival.

However, the 19th of September, Saturday morning, is the real standout of the entire forecast. Glassy wind, 18ft of WSW swell, a 12-second period, and the energy is still massive (8424). The description says "exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers," and I can’t argue with that. This is a true special event at Stent Road. The afternoon gets a little compromised with a light cross-on, but the morning window is your golden ticket. If you’re an expert and you’ve got the skills, this is the one to circle on the calendar. Keep in mind, though, it’s over a week out, so the long-range call is promising but not set in stone.

Unfortunately, the 20th of September looks like it’s back to being too big and messy, with huge power (17905) but cross-on wind.

So, to sum it up: the best on offer is the glassy Monday afternoon the 7th for a solid, clean 7ft wave, and the absolute standout is Saturday morning the 19th for the big, clean, glassy 18ft swell. Everything else is either blown out, too huge, or just not worth it.

Rusty.

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