Stent Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, looking at our only option for the next couple of weeks – Stent Road. This one’s a reef and point set-up that usually needs a solid SW groundswell and some clean winds to really fire. Water temp is sitting at about 57°, which is pretty average for the time of year, so nothing weird going on there.

First bit of surf is a distant memory from way back at the start, but there’s nothing worth paddling out for on Tuesday (1st) – the wind is howling from the SW around 25 mph, cross-on and messy, with a big 16 ft swell but total chop. Wednesday (2nd) isn’t much better; we get a cleaner offshore wind, but the 7 ft swell comes with marginal conditions. Thursday and Friday (3rd & 4th) are still cross-on and lumpy, with the swell hovering around 7 ft to 8 ft – not worth your time.

Now, Saturday (5th) and Sunday (6th) start to show a little promise. Saturday has a 12 ft SW groundswell with a long 14-second period, and the wind is offshore from the WSW at 12 mph. The combined energy is strong (5397), but it’s still described as marginal. Sunday morning (6th) is actually clean with a cross-offshore wind from the N at 25 mph, and a solid 10 ft swell with a 16-second period, energy at 4688. That’s a good sign – clean conditions and a long-period groundswell that could offer some nice lines on the point, if the tide plays ball.

But the real standout, and I mean the standout, is Monday (7th). Holy mackerel. The swell jumps to a massive 23 ft from the WSW with a 14-second period, and combined energy is through the roof at 20263. The wind is light cross-off from the SE at only 12 mph, and the report says “wind and tide favorable.” The catch is, that swell is way too big for this break – over 8 ft, so it’s expert-only and even then, likely too much. For the average surfer, this is a no-go, but if you’re a seasoned charger and the tide works, this could be a proper beast. For everyone else, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing due to the size and power.

The next few days drop off. Tuesday and Wednesday (8th & 9th) are back to cross-on or choppy conditions with 5 ft to 10 ft swell – not worth stressing over. Thursday (10th) has a weird 3 ft swell with a 22-second period, which is an incredibly long groundswell but small and weak energy (1339) – might offer a rare, glassy wave on the point if the cross-on wind eases, but it’s marginal.

Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and Monday (11th–14th) bring a mix. Friday (11th) is clean with a cross-off wind from the NNE at 12 mph, and a 8 ft WSW groundswell with a long 18-second period. Energy is strong (4187), and the report calls it marginal but clean – this is a very good window for experienced surfers, as the long-period groundswell will wrap well around the point and produce nice, shaped waves. Saturday (12th) and Sunday (13th) are also clean with 6 ft to 7 ft swell and cross-off winds – solid fun for intermediate to advanced.

Then we hit another lull. Monday (14th) and Tuesday (15th) see the swell bump up to 10 ft to 12 ft, but the wind is cross-on and choppy, and the period drops to 8-9 seconds – short-period, weak energy (1605–2954), and poor surf. Not worth it.

Finally, the last day of the forecast – Wednesday (16th) – is a beauty. A clean, light breeze from the NNE at 6 mph, cross-off, with a 8 ft WSW groundswell and a long 16-second period. Combined energy is strong at 3719, and the report calls it “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is your best bet in the whole run – a classic clean point wave with long-period swell, good shape, and no messy wind. The water might still be cool, but the surf will be worth the hood.

So, to sum it up: if you’re an expert, Monday (7th) is a monster but likely too big. For everyone else, the true standout is Wednesday (16th) – clean, chest-to-head high swell, long period, and light wind. That’s the session to mark on your calendar.

Rusty.

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