Stent Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a wild 16-day stretch on the cards for Stent Road, a heavy reef and point setup that’s strictly for the advanced crew. The overall pattern is one of persistent, powerful SW groundswell, but for most of the first week, the wind is going to be a real bastard, keeping things messy. Don’t get too excited by the big numbers on the charts until the wind plays ball.

Right now, Wednesday morning the 2nd is a write-off. We’re looking at a solid 10.0ft swell from the WSW, but with 25 km/h onshore winds, it’s just a washing machine. The wave energy is strong (3672), but it’s useless. The afternoon drops a little to 6.5ft, but the wind is still onshore and strong. It’s a no-go.

Thursday the 3rd stays frustrating. Wind is cross-onshore both morning and afternoon, with the swell holding around 6.5ft. The surf is choppy and lumpy. Friday the 4th is grim too – that strong NW wind is howling at 35 km/h in the morning, making the 6.5ft swell a total mess. The afternoon tries to get a bit bigger at 8.0ft, but the chop is just as bad.

Saturday the 5th is a tease. The swell is pumping up to 10.0ft in the morning, and the wind is onshore again. The afternoon sees the swell hit 11.5ft with very strong wave energy (5036), but it’s still onshore. The report says “marginal” but with onshore wind and that size, it’s really only for the kamikaze crew.

Now, Sunday the 6th is where things start to get interesting. The wind swings to a cross-offshore from the North, and the morning is looking clean. The swell is a solid 11.5ft with a very long 16-second period from the WSW, and the energy is huge (6101). This is a proper groundswell, and Stent Road being a reef and point, that long period will be a dream. It’s big, over 8.0ft, so it’s expert-only territory, but it’s the first real standout. The afternoon is still big at 10.0ft, but the wind is howling at 40 km/h, which is more like a kite session.

Monday the 7th is a step back. The swell is still 10.0ft, but the wind is back onshore from the West, and there’s a risk of thunderstorms. Not the one.

Tuesday the 8th falls apart. The swell drops a bit, but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy all day. Wednesday the 9th sees a dramatic drop in size, down to 5.5ft, and the wind is cross-offshore from the SE. The surf is clean, but the energy is weak (755). Not much to write home about. Thursday the 10th is even smaller, with onshore wind.

Friday the 11th is the next real standout. The morning is a bit small at 4.5ft, but the wind is cross-offshore and clean. The afternoon, however, is the pick of the week. The swell comes up to 6.0ft from the WSW, with a long 18-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSE. The report says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers,” and the wave energy is solid (2370). This is a window for the better surfers to get some clean, lined-up waves on the point. The swell direction is bang on the optimum SW, so expect beautiful, long walls.

Saturday the 12th continues the good run. The wind stays cross-offshore and light, with the swell holding around 5.0ft. Clean, fun waves, but not as big as the day before.

Now, for the second week, things get a bit more mind-boggling. Sunday the 13th morning is a bonkers one. The wind is dead calm, glassy, and the swell is a punchy 10.0ft, but from the NW. The period is a short 10 seconds, which tends to be a bit dumpy at a reef, but the glassy conditions are a massive positive. The report calls it “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” The afternoon goes a bit limp.

After that, we get a few days of meh, with onshore winds and messy conditions.

Then, hold on to your board. Wednesday the 16th morning is a massive outlier. The swell is forecast to be a colossal 16.5ft from the WSW with a 17-second period, and the wave energy is off the charts at 15592. The wind is cross-shore. The report says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. Stent Road is a heavy spot, and 16.5ft is a survival mission. Even for the experts, this is a maybe-stay-on-the-cliff kind of day. The afternoon is still 16.5ft but with onshore wind, so it’s a no.

Thursday the 17th morning is still massive at 13.0ft, but the wind is cross-shore again. It’s marginal, but at that size, it

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