Bells Beach - Rincon Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.37° S 144.28° E

Issued: 3 pm 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bells Beach - Rincon sea temperature is
14.5° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Bells Beach - Rincon surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bells Beach - Rincon surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 4,290 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bells Beach - Rincon this week:

The surf forecast for Bells Beach - Rincon over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bells Beach - Rincon in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 6th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 15s
Best Surf 7PM (Wed 8th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 17s
Most Powerful10AM (Sun 5th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bells Beach - Rincon over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a yarn about what’s coming down the line for Bells Beach – Rincon. This is a reef and point setup that loves a good SW swell, and it’s an advanced wave, so we’re not messing about with beginners’ stuff here.

Right off the bat, the first few days are a write-off. We’ve got a bit of a dud start. Saturday the 4th and Sunday the 5th are basically unsurfable thanks to strong, rubbish winds and a messy, onshore chop. Don’t even bother looking at it. Things start to settle Monday the 6th. The swell drops right back to a tiny 4ft, but it’s from the SSW with a nice 14-second period, and we get a clean, cross-offshore breeze. The energy is weak (769), but it’s a sign of life. The real turn comes Tuesday morning the 7th. It’s still small at 4ft, but the wind drops to dead glassy, and that 17-second SW groundswell has some real push to it despite the size. That’s a beautiful window for a clean point session if you’re on a log or a fish. The water temp is 58°F, which is pretty average for this time of year, so a good steamer is a must.

Now, the standout. And I mean the absolute stand-out. Look at Friday the 17th. The morning kicks off with a solid 8ft SW swell and a clean offshore wind. That’s good. But the afternoon… wow. We’re looking at a massive 13ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and the offshore wind is cranking at 16 mph. The energy reading is a massive 10540, which is absolutely pumping. This is serious stuff – expert-only territory. The sets will be heavy, long, and the paddling will be a mission, but if you’re a charger, that’s the session to circle on your calendar. It’s a long way out, so don’t lock it in just yet, but all the signs are pointing to something special. The Thursday the 16th before it also has excellent conditions for experienced surfers with a 6ft SSW swell and clean winds, which will be a good warm-up.

The second week has a few ripples, but the energy is low through the middle. The 14th and 15th see some bumpy cross-shore conditions, not worth the drive. That big Friday the 17th peak is the only true gem in the second half.

Signing off,
Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
0
1
3
2
2
3
2
2
3
3
3
2
2
3
3
1
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.4
SW
13
2.5
SSW
16
3
SSW
17
2.3
SSW
16
1.8
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
14
1.1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
1
SW
15
1.2
SW
18
1.5
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
18
1.2
SW
16
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.5
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1972
3024
4290
2784
1527
732
501
282
679
587
465
968
1336
823
465
360
460
701
427
293
91
Wind (km/h)
20
SW
15
S
20
SE
25
ESE
20
ENE
5
N
10
E
5
NW
5
NNE
10
ESE
10
E
10
NE
10
E
10
NNW
10
NW
5
E
5
N
10
NNE
10
ENE
15
NNE
30
NNE
Wind State
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
glassy
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:42AM1.50m
3:25PM1.89m
3:23AM1.53m
3:53PM1.87m
4:04AM1.57m
4:19PM1.83m
4:47AM1.61m
4:47PM1.79m
5:34AM1.65m
5:18PM1.75m
6:28AM1.69m
5:54PM1.70m
7:30AM1.71m
Low Tide
9:12PM0.68m
8:47AM0.39m
9:43PM0.61m
9:23AM0.44m
10:13PM0.54m
9:59AM0.51m
10:43PM0.46m
10:38AM0.59m
11:15PM0.38m
11:21AM0.70m
11:54PM0.30m
12:10PM0.81m
00:39AM0.22m
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
 mm
Temp °C
12
11
11
10
9
12
13
11
11
13
12
10
9
9
10
11
10
11
13
10
12
Feels °C
7
7
6
4
4
10
10
10
9
10
8
8
6
7
8
9
9
8
10
6
6
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
SSW
13
2.5
SSW
16
3
SSW
17
2.3
SSW
16
1.8
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
14
1.1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
1
SW
15
1.2
SW
18
1.5
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
18
1.2
SW
16
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.5
SW
13
Energy kJ
1303
3024
4290
2784
1527
732
501
282
679
587
465
968
1336
823
465
360
460
701
427
293
84
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
S
16
0.9
S
16
0.5
S
16
0.6
S
15
0.8
ESE
6
0.6
ESE
5
0.4
SE
5
0.2
ESE
4
0.2
S
16
0.2
SSW
23
0.8
SW
14
0.3
SSE
18
0.4
SSE
16
0.2
ESE
11
0.1
SE
7
0.6
SW
14
0.2
SSE
16
0.1
SE
15
0.1
E
8
0.5
SW
14
Energy kJ
605
422
125
168
41
19
6
1
21
51
251
60
85
12
2
160
25
8
1
91
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
S
14
0.3
SW
19
0.1
E
8
0.5
S
19
0.2
ESE
11
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
10
0.1
E
11
Energy kJ
37
59
1
175
12
4
4
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.4
SW
13
0.9
SE
4
1.3
ESE
6
0.4
NE
4
Energy kJ
1972
28
108
3
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
1
5
2
4
3
3
2
3
4
2
4
4
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
Distance (km)
6
11
200
76
185
29
0
9
0
0
33
3
19
19
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
3
3
4
3
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
8
5
9
5
4
4
8
7
4
5
7
4
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
5
5
9
7
7
5
8
7
5
6
9
8
9
8
5
5
5
4
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bells Beach - Rincon Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bells Beach - Rincon provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bells Beach - Rincon can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bells Beach - Rincon surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bells Beach - Rincon) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bells Beach - Rincon may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bells Beach - Rincon is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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