Bird Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and let’s look at the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a mixed bag, with a serious pulse of energy on the horizon, but plenty of flat spells and tricky winds to navigate before we get there.

Right now, the ocean’s pretty quiet. We’ve got a small, weak SSW swell pushing through, only around 4ft on Sunday morning. The wind's light, but it’s coming from the ESE, which puts a bit of chop on the surface at Bird Rock. Honestly, not worth paddling out for. The water temp is 56°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Monday and Tuesday stay small and unremarkable, with the swell dropping off. Tuesday sees a bit of a crossover wind, but the waves are just too weak to get excited about. You’re looking at ankle-biters with no push. This is a good time to check your gear or wax up, because it’s going to be slow.

We start to see a little more hope towards the end of the week. Thursday the 20th, the wind swings around to the northwest, going offshore. It’s still small, around 2ft, but it’s clean. Friday the 21st looks better. The same NW wind holds, and the swell picks up slightly with a longer period. It’s still not big, but it’ll have a bit more shape.

Then things get interesting. Saturday the 22nd, a big pulse of SW groundswell arrives. We’re talking a serious jump to 12ft. The energy reading is massive, 7455. The wind is cross-off (WSW), which keeps the face clean for the most part. This is a powerful, maxed-out swell. At 12ft, this is definitely expert territory. Bird Rock (Tasmania) can handle size, but this is not for the faint of heart. It’s a standout, but you need to know what you’re doing.

Sunday the 23rd backs off slightly to a still-chunky 5ft, with a solid NW offshore wind. This is looking like a really good day. The waves will have some punch, and the offshore wind will have the faces clean and lined up. This is probably the pick of the week for anyone with a bit of experience.

Monday the 24th, the ocean goes off again. Another huge pulse of SW swell, around 13ft, with very high energy values. However, the wind is now more west-southwest and cross-off, and there’s rain in the afternoon. It’s big, mean and messy. This is heavy, expert-only surf, and even then, the conditions are tricky. After two massive days, we’ve got a couple of days of poor, choppy south winds on the 25th. The swell drops to around 7ft, but the onshore wind will kill it.

The last few days of the window are more promising. Wednesday the 26th is still a bit small and cross-shore, a chance to rest. But Thursday the 27th looks excellent. A new SW groundswell (5ft) with a long, 18-second period combines with light NNE cross-off winds. The energy is strong, the conditions are clean. This is another standout. The long period does mean it might like a point or reef more than a straight beach break, but Bird Rock should handle it nicely.

Friday and Saturday the 28th and 29th see the swell ease off, but winds remain favorable. Then we close out the window on Sunday the 30th. The swell is a friendly 4ft with a nice 16-17 second period, and we have a light NNW wind that turns offshore in the afternoon. It’s a clean, fun day to finish on.

So, the big calls are Saturday the 22nd (but it’s huge and for experts) and Sunday the 23rd. And then Thursday the 27th also looks fantastic. The long-range stuff is promising, but the forecast can shift. For now, I’d be circling Sunday the 23rd and Thursday the 27th on the calendar.

Alright, I’ll catch you in the water.

Rusty

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