
Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 6,847 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Bird Rock. This is a solid reef setup that loves a good SW groundswell, and boy, we’ve got some proper energy on the way. The water’s sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real action kicks off on Tuesday afternoon, July 28th. It’s not the most exciting start, with a 5ft SW swell rolling in at a long 15 seconds. The wind is a fresh offshore from the NW, keeping things clean, but the combined energy is moderate at 837 and the conditions are a bit marginal. It’s surfable, but not a standout.
Then we get to Wednesday, July 29th, and this is where the fire lights up. The morning sees a building 10ft SW swell with a 16-second period. The combined energy jumps to a strong 4888, and with a cross-offshore wind, it’s clean. By the afternoon, it’s even bigger – 12ft from the SW, 15-second period, and a massive combined energy of 9489. That’s some serious power. The wind is a moderate cross-offshore, keeping the face clean. This is the big one. This is expert-level territory; over 8ft, this is not for the faint of heart. This is the standout window for the whole outlook.
Thursday, July 30th, drops back a notch. Morning sees a 5ft SSW swell, dropping to 8ft SW in the afternoon. Both are clean with cross-offshore winds, but the energy is a more moderate 837 and 2337. It’s good, but a comedown from the day before.
Friday, July 31st, is a fade. The morning has a 4ft SW swell with a light cross-off wind, but it’s small. The afternoon goes glassy, with a 3ft SSW swell and an easterly breeze at just 3 mph. It’s clean and pretty, but small.
Saturday, August 1st, has a bit of a pulse. The morning is small at 2ft, but the afternoon sees a 5ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period and a gentle offshore wind. The combined energy is 2029, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. That long period means the sets will be well-spaced and powerful, breaking nicely on this reef.
Sunday, August 2nd, holds similar energy. A 5ft SW swell in the morning with a moderate offshore, and a 4ft SW swell in the afternoon with a gentle offshore. Both are clean and pleasant.
From Monday, August 3rd, through Wednesday, August 5th, the surf turns to junk. The wind swings onshore or cross-onshore, and the conditions are poor. Don’t bother.
Thursday, August 6th, sees a small reprieve. A 3ft SW swell with a very light offshore wind in the morning, but it’s tiny. The afternoon goes onshore again.
Friday, August 7th, is another small, clean window. A 4ft SW swell with a cross-offshore breeze in the morning. It’s a small day.
The weekend of August 8th and 9th is small and mostly blown out by a fresh breeze, with wave heights dropping to 2ft and 2ft. Not worth a paddle.
Now, looking further out, Monday, August 10th, brings a late pulse. A 6ft SW swell with a very long 21-second period hits the morning, and a 7ft SW swell with a 19-second period in the afternoon. The combined energy is over 3000, showing strong wave energy. The wind is a strong cross-offshore, so it’s clean. This is a promising one, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on it. The long period makes it a proper groundswell, perfect for the reef.
Tuesday, August 11th, holds some of that energy with a 5ft SW swell and a 5ft SW swell, both clean. From Wednesday, August 12th, it goes flat and poor again.
To sum it up: the absolute standout is Wednesday, July 29th, with that massive 12ft SW swell and clean conditions. It’s a big, powerful groundswell that will have the reef pumping. Get on it if you’ve got the skills. The second-best window is the afternoon of Saturday, August 1st, with that 5ft, 17-second groundswell and offshore winds – a much more manageable size but still excellent quality. The long-range pulse on August 10th is the one to watch if you’re patient.
Stay safe out there, and don’t be a kook.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Tue afternoon, calm by Fri morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Sun night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
795 | 1289 | 4888 | 6161 | 4668 | 837 | 1697 | 473 | 341 | 294 | 260 | 305 | 1207 | 1489 | 1084 | 748 | 558 | 736 | 471 | 2313 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 9:38PM1.32m | 12:07PM1.63m | 11:00PM1.33m | 12:51PM1.71m | 00:08AM1.38m | 1:28PM1.78m | 1:02AM1.46m | 2:00PM1.83m | 1:49AM1.54m | 2:29PM1.87m | 2:31AM1.62m | 2:56PM1.88m | 3:11AM1.69m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:06PM1.10m | 4:41AM0.50m | 6:14PM1.02m | 5:41AM0.46m | 7:02PM0.92m | 6:32AM0.42m | 7:40PM0.80m | 7:16AM0.40m | 8:13PM0.68m | 7:56AM0.39m | 8:43PM0.56m | 8:34AM0.41m | 9:12PM0.45m | |||||||
— | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | |
5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | |
mm | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 5 |
Temp °C | 13 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
795 | 1289 | — | 3328 | 1823 | 837 | 640 | 473 | 341 | 294 | 260 | 202 | 1207 | 1489 | 1084 | 748 | 558 | 736 | 471 | 543 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 23 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 17 | S 17 | S 17 | S 16 | NE 5 | — | — | SW 18 |
42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 18 | 98 | 91 | 305 | 822 | 52 | 50 | 48 | 1 | — | — | 79 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | S 13 | S 12 | S 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 3 | 12 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | WNW 4 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | SW 7 | SW 13 |
25 | 21 | 4888 | 6161 | 4668 | — | 1697 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 167 | 2313 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 553 | 553 | 536 | 232 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 199 | 373 | 288 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










