Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, SW swell with 5,544 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 4.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about what’s out there. The real standout is Saturday morning, August 15th, at Bird Rock. This is a reef break, so it knows how to handle that long-period SW groundswell. We’re looking at a solid 6ft of swell from the southwest, with a very long 15-second period. The combined swell energy is pumping at 1512, which is strong. The wind is dead calm, glassy as glass – that’s about as clean as it gets. The water temperature is 56°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. This is a top-tier session for advanced surfers.
Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th drop off a fair bit. The swell backs down to around 3 to 4ft, and the wind goes cross-onshore, messing up the surface. It’s not a total write-off, but it’s not the focus.
Tuesday and Wednesday, the 18th and 19th, are a write-off. Swell drops to 2ft or less, and while the wind is cross-offshore on Wednesday, there’s just no energy (combined energy of 106). Not worth a paddle.
Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st show life returning. Friday morning looks the better of the two: 3ft swell from the SW, 16-second period, and a gentle offshore wind from the NW. The combined energy climbs to 317, and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” It’s clean and fun, but still on the smaller side.
Now, the real highlight of the whole forecast lands on Sunday, August 23rd. Saturday the 22nd is a bit of a mess – 6ft swell but with a moderate cross-shore wind, making it choppy and marginal. But Sunday morning and afternoon are electric. The swell is 7ft to 8ft, solid SW groundswell, period 15 to 17 seconds, and the wind swings offshore from the WNW. The combined energy hits 4617 on the afternoon – that’s very strong. This is big, powerful, and clean. It’s for expert surfers only; the size and the reef setup mean it’s not for the faint-hearted. This is the best on offer in the whole 16-day window.
Monday the 24th is still good, with a 7ft SW swell and offshore winds, but the energy is a bit lower (2473) and the wind shifts cross-offshore. Still a solid session for those who can handle it.
After that, the second week tails off. Tuesday the 25th has some clean waves in the 3ft to 4ft range with offshore winds, but it’s not a standout. Wednesday and Thursday see a lot of cross-onshore wind and chop, with the swell bumping up to 10ft to 15ft on the 27th, but the wind is coming strongly onshore, making it a messy, blown-out mess. That size is only for experts, but the conditions won’t be good.
Friday the 28th has big swell – 10ft to 13ft – but the wind is directly onshore, so it’s going to be a washing machine. Saturday the 29th morning brings a clean-up: 6ft SSW swell with a very long 19-second period, light offshore wind, and the combined energy at 2100. That’s a promising session for experienced surfers, but by then we’re 14 days out, so take that with a grain of salt.
Sunday the 30th rounds it out with a clean 5ft swell and light winds, but it’s not the same power as that 23rd Sunday.
So, if you’re picking your moment, the absolute standout is Sunday, August 23rd, morning and afternoon. That’s the big, clean, powerful groundswell with offshore winds. Saturday the 15th is a close second for the glassy conditions. The rest is either too small, too windy, or too far out to lock in.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Wed morning, light winds from the NW by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1434 | 1238 | 899 | 621 | 597 | 450 | 508 | 661 | 485 | 235 | 310 | 196 | 106 | 85 | 54 | 150 | 163 | 233 | 295 | 350 | 5544 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:30PM1.93m | 1:40AM1.81m | 2:09PM1.97m | 2:32AM1.88m | 2:45PM1.97m | 3:19AM1.91m | 3:19PM1.94m | 4:01AM1.89m | 3:51PM1.88m | 4:41AM1.83m | 4:21PM1.80m | 5:20AM1.75m | 4:50PM1.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:41PM0.44m | 7:51AM0.28m | 8:24PM0.29m | 8:36AM0.34m | 9:03PM0.19m | 9:18AM0.42m | 9:40PM0.15m | 9:56AM0.52m | 10:16PM0.17m | 10:31AM0.63m | 10:50PM0.22m | 11:06AM0.74m | 11:24PM0.30m | ||||||||
7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
— | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
1434 | 1238 | 899 | 621 | 597 | 450 | 508 | 661 | 485 | 235 | 310 | 196 | 106 | 85 | 54 | 150 | 163 | 233 | 295 | 350 | 1387 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 16 | S 13 | S 14 | S 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | S 17 | ESE 6 | SW 14 | ESE 6 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 7 | SSW 19 | E 6 | NE 4 | E 7 | SW 7 | SW 9 | — |
78 | 131 | 56 | 36 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 55 | 149 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 85 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 6 | S 16 | S 16 | ESE 7 | — | SE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | — | SW 19 | SW 18 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 21 | 5 | 4 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 15 | 85 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 3 | — | SE 3 | — | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | — | — | NE 3 | NE 2 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | N 2 | NNE 4 | NW 3 | — | WNW 2 | W 3 | SW 13 |
— | — | 5 | — | 2 | — | 43 | 16 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | 1 | 4 | 5544 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 14 | 74 | 16 | 31 | 0 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 22 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 327 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











