
Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 12,221 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 3.0m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 5.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at this Bird Rock stretch. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up, but it’s not all for the faint of heart.
The overall pattern shows a strong pulse of big, long-period SW groundswell building through the middle of next week, before it tapers back. The real standout is going to be Tuesday, July 14th, with some serious size and energy. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing weird there.
The surf starts off a bit average this Sunday, July 12th. You’re looking at a 4ft SW swell with a 12-second period, but the wind is howling out of the WNW at 22 mph, making it a fresh offshore but still a bit messy. It’s a marginal call, with combined energy around 528. Monday, July 13th, the swell bumps up to 8ft, and the period stretches to 16 seconds. The wind is still a fresh offshore, so it’s clean, but the energy is climbing into the strong range (2513). This is where it gets serious for advanced surfers.
Now, Tuesday, July 14th is the big day. We’ve got a 15ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 11546. That’s very strong, powerful ocean. The wind is a gentle cross-off from the W at 9 mph, keeping it relatively clean. This is expert-only territory. Over 8ft, it’s too big for beginners. This long-period groundswell will be breaking heavy and straight on a reef, so it’s a real challenge. Wednesday, July 15th, drops back to a more manageable 6ft, with a gentle offshore wind from the WNW at 9 mph. The period is still a solid 14 seconds, so the waves will have shape. Thursday, July 16th, has a 4ft SSW swell with glassy conditions in the afternoon – that’s a beautiful window for a clean, mellow session.
The second week starts to fade. Friday, July 17th, is another good morning with a 5ft SW swell and a 16-second period, with a slight offshore wind. It’s clean, but the energy is dropping. The weekend of July 18th and 19th is small, with 3ft to 2ft swells and strong cross-off winds. The surf is ordinary. We get a little bump on Monday, July 20th, with a 3ft SW swell and a moderate offshore wind, but it’s not a standout. The run from July 21st to 23rd is a bit of a lull, with small, weak swells and poor conditions. Then, Thursday, July 23rd, we get a surprise: a glassy morning with a 4ft SW swell and a 15-second period. The energy is moderate (818), and it’s glassy. That’s a nice little pop. Friday, July 24th, has a 5ft SW swell and a clean cross-off wind in the morning, with a 17-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell, so it’s worth a look for the reefs. The final weekend (July 25th-27th) is messy with strong cross-off winds and inconsistent, small surf.
So, the pick of the week is definitely Tuesday, July 14th for the experts. If you want something more relaxed, the glassy morning of Thursday, July 16th, or the clean Friday morning of July 24th are your best bets. Keep in mind, Bird Rock (Big Island) can get crowded sometimes, so go early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sat night, light winds from the W by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Sat 18 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
190 | 528 | 812 | 1403 | 2513 | 2832 | 12221 | 8702 | 6851 | 1641 | 1220 | 975 | 672 | 682 | 691 | 1607 | 1284 | 891 | 459 | 265 | 212 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | off | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:40AM1.74m | 7:35PM1.61m | 9:55AM1.78m | 8:45PM1.58m | 11:07AM1.84m | 10:05PM1.58m | 12:09PM1.92m | 11:25PM1.62m | 1:04PM1.99m | 00:38AM1.70m | 1:51PM2.03m | 1:42AM1.76m | 2:34PM2.05m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:34AM0.17m | 2:18PM1.01m | 2:38AM0.14m | 3:38PM1.04m | 3:48AM0.11m | 4:58PM0.99m | 4:59AM0.08m | 6:08PM0.88m | 6:06AM0.06m | 7:07PM0.73m | 7:06AM0.08m | 7:59PM0.56m | 8:01AM0.13m | ||||||||
— | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | |
— | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | |
mm | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 |
Feels °C | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
190 | 528 | 812 | 1403 | 2513 | 2832 | 3548 | 2844 | 2322 | 1641 | 1220 | 975 | 672 | 682 | 691 | 1607 | 1284 | 891 | 459 | 265 | 212 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | — | SW 22 | — | — | S 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SSW 20 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | — |
1 | — | 19 | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 38 | 951 | 82 | 45 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NW 4 | W 4 | WNW 3 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 12221 | 8702 | 6851 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 234 | 521 | 718 | 35 | 327 | 948 | 570 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











