
Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 18s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 6,990 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty checking in with a look at what’s coming our way for the next couple of weeks. We’ve only got one spot on the cards, and that’s Bird Rock (Tahiti). It’s a reef setup, and it’s not for the faint-hearted. The water’s sitting at 57° right now, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so nothing to worry about on that front.
The pattern ahead is a bit of a mixed bag. We start straight away with a proper thump of swell – we’re talking a solid 15ft from the southwest, with a very long period of 14 seconds. The energy reading is absolutely massive at 8520, so this is a serious ocean. The catch is the wind: it’s a stiff 16 mph cross-offshore on Thursday morning. It’s clean, but that’s a lot of power for a reef break. Still, for the experienced crew, Thursday morning is the obvious standout. The swell direction lines up perfectly with what Bird Rock likes.
Friday the 4th sees the swell drop a bit to 8ft, but the wind swings northwest and goes offshore at 9 mph. The energy’s still strong at 2526. This is where the quality really shines – it’s clean, lined up, and a lot more manageable than Thursday. The wave comment even calls it excellent for experienced surfers. Friday morning is definitely the highlight of this whole run. The period is 16 seconds, so expect those long, waiting sets with plenty of push, but on a reef like this, that’s a beautiful thing.
After that, Saturday the 5th gets blown out by a strong 25 mph offshore wind. It’s clean but you’ll be paddling for your life. The energy is still moderate at 1133, but honestly, it’s more of a kiting day than a surfing one.
There’s a bit of a lull from Sunday the 6th through to Monday the 7th, with smaller 4-5ft swell and weaker energy (down to 469). The wind is messy, and by Monday afternoon it’s a cross-onshore chop. Not worth getting wet for.
Now, here’s the next proper window: Tuesday the 8th. The swell bumps back up to 5ft, but the period jumps to a very long 18 seconds. The energy is 2269, so there’s plenty of grunt. With light westerly winds, it’s clean and glassy in the morning. This is another top pick – not as big as the start, but the quality will be there for the guys who know the reef.
Wednesday the 9th is a write-off with onshore wind and choppy conditions, but then Thursday the 10th offers up a real gem. We’ve got 8ft of southwest groundswell with an 18-second period, and the wind is dead calm – glassy conditions. The energy is 3973, so it’s a serious amount of water moving. This is expert territory for sure, but if you can handle it, that morning will be something special.
The rest of that week and into the second week (11th to 15th) is smaller, hanging around 3 to 6ft, with clean but not epic conditions. The energy drops back to the 900-2500 range. Nothing wrong with it, but nothing that’ll blow your mind either. Tuesday the 15th has a nice 5ft swell with an 18-second period and very light wind, so it’s clean again, but it’s not a standout compared to the earlier days.
The final few days from the 16th onwards look poor. The swell tries to build again on the 17th to 10ft, but the wind is onshore and strong, making it a total mess. The 18th is even worse.
So, to wrap it up: the two absolute standouts are Thursday morning, September 3rd for the sheer size and power (15ft SW, 14 second period), and Friday morning, September 4th for the perfect 8ft SW swell with offshore wind and excellent quality. If you’re picking one, Friday the 4th is the sweet spot – still big, but clean and surfable. Thursday the 10th is also a serious call for the glassy, long-period groundswell, but that’s one for the experts only.
Crowds at Bird Rock can be a thing, so get there early.
That’s it from me. Stay safe out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Thu night, strong winds from the WNW by Sat morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SSW 8 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
6808 | 6990 | 3017 | 2481 | 2328 | 1806 | 1133 | 1520 | 3975 | 834 | 595 | 341 | 451 | 488 | 324 | 1278 | 1305 | 1101 | 1588 | 2049 | 4177 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 3:17PM1.85m | 4:11AM1.96m | 3:49PM1.84m | 4:54AM1.92m | 4:24PM1.81m | 5:42AM1.84m | 5:04PM1.75m | 6:38AM1.73m | 5:53PM1.66m | 7:47AM1.64m | 6:58PM1.56m | 9:09AM1.59m | 8:32PM1.49m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:40PM0.08m | 10:05AM0.60m | 10:18PM0.05m | 10:44AM0.69m | 11:00PM0.07m | 11:26AM0.80m | 11:48PM0.15m | 12:18PM0.90m | 00:47AM0.26m | 1:27PM0.98m | 2:00AM0.37m | 3:00PM0.97m | 3:26AM0.45m | ||||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | 11 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 |
1712 | 2114 | 3017 | 2481 | 2328 | 1806 | 1133 | 1520 | 1289 | 834 | 595 | 341 | 18 | 68 | 324 | 1278 | 1305 | 1101 | 1588 | 2049 | 4177 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 16 | S 16 | S 16 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | WSW 18 | S 14 | — | — | S 6 | SW 18 | — | S 28 | SW 24 | SSW 20 | S 18 |
— | 43 | 76 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 31 | 4 | — | — | 80 | 786 | — | 15 | 273 | 1360 | 157 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | W 24 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 13 | — | — | S 16 | S 17 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 11 | — | — | 306 | 205 | — | — | 127 | 147 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | — | NNE 4 | NW 4 | W 4 | SW 13 | — | — | WNW 2 | SW 13 | SSW 8 | — | — | SW 12 | — | — | — | — |
6808 | 6990 | — | — | — | 11 | 12 | 41 | 3975 | — | — | 1 | 451 | 488 | — | — | 656 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 392 | 536 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 199 | 3 | 0 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 71 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










