
Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 10,576 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s break down the next few weeks at Bird Rock. We’ve got a wild ride ahead, with some serious swell windows, but you’ll have to be patient and pick your moments.
The pattern starts off slow and ugly, but then it absolutely fires up for a few days before fading back into a long, quiet spell. The main event is a powerful pulse of south-west groundswell hitting around the 23rd and 24th of July, but the wind is going to be a constant battle. The standout window is actually the following week, around the 28th of July, when the conditions finally align. There’s another big, late-season possibility on the 3rd of August, but that’s a long way off and less certain.
Right now, the water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year.
Wednesday, July 22nd
Forget about it. The swell is a tiny 2 ft from the SW, and the wind is a messy cross-off. The combined energy is a weak 178. Not worth paddling out.
Thursday, July 23rd & Friday, July 24th
Here comes the juice. Thursday morning we see a solid 12 ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and the energy is absolutely pumping at 6135. This is big, powerful stuff. Over 8 ft, so this is strictly for the experts. The wind is a constant cross-off, which is a major bummer – it’s going to be a real battle out there. By Friday, the swell drops to 8 ft from the SSW, still with a long 15-second period, but the wind picks up to 30 km/h (19 mph). This is heavy, unruly, and likely a washing machine. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Saturday, July 25th & Sunday, July 26th
The swell is still solid on Saturday morning at 12 ft from the SW, but the energy is still huge at 4920. Still cross-off winds. It’s messy. By Sunday afternoon, things settle down to 4 ft from the SW with a light 10 km/h (6 mph) breeze. The energy drops to 279. It’s clean, but it’s small. A slow, grovelly session if you’re desperate.
Monday, July 27th
A little more promise. The swell is 4 ft from the SW, but the wind finally swings offshore from the NW. The combined energy is 525. It’s clean, but not big. A decent low-key day.
Best of the Bunch: Tuesday, July 28th
This is the one to circle. The morning window is a beauty. We’ve got a 6 ft SSW swell with a very long 15-second period, and the wind is a light offshore from the NW. The energy is a solid 1363. This is a proper groundswell, and the offshore wind is going to make Bird Rock (Tahiti) glassy and clean. The long period means long, lined-up sets, perfect for this reef setup. It’s a top-tier call for experienced surfers, but be aware that Bird Rock can get crowded. Get on it.
Wednesday, July 29th through Friday, August 1st
The window slams shut. Onshore winds take over, and the swell drops off drastically. The energy fades from 1803 down to 234. It’s a write-off for a solid few days.
Saturday, August 2nd & Sunday, August 3rd
The swell is tiny, around 3 ft to 3 ft from the SW. The wind is mostly cross-off or offshore, but the energy is low. Sunday morning on the 2nd is clean with a light breeze, but it’s only 3 ft.
The Long-Range Look: Monday, August 3rd
A late-season surprise is on the horizon. The afternoon of the 3rd of August shows a 4 ft SW swell with a massive 20-second period, and the wind is offshore from the NW. The energy jumps to 2152. This is an incredibly long period swell, which will be a dream for this reef. It’s a promising, but less certain, call for the distant future. Worth keeping an eye on.
Tuesday, August 4th onward
The swell sticks around at 6 ft, but the wind gets a bit stronger. The 4th looks surfable with offshore winds, but the quality drops. By the 5th, the swell is back up to 10 ft, but with a short, weak period of 9 seconds and strong cross-off winds. It’s a messy, blown-out mess. The last few days of the forecast show a complete drop-off to tiny, weak swells.
So, to sum it up: the 28th of July is your big, clean winner. The 23rd and 24th are for the brave and the expert. Everything else is either a waiting game or a miss.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 7°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
144 | 239 | 2589 | 4912 | 5754 | 10576 | 7556 | 2381 | 1826 | 3344 | 2667 | 636 | 403 | 263 | 248 | 268 | 373 | 722 | 604 | 1567 | 1405 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 4:59PM1.82m | 6:00AM1.69m | 5:30PM1.72m | 6:48AM1.62m | 6:02PM1.61m | 7:41AM1.55m | 6:37PM1.52m | 8:44AM1.51m | 7:19PM1.43m | 9:57AM1.51m | 8:17PM1.36m | 11:09AM1.55m | 9:38PM1.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:01AM0.63m | 11:32PM0.26m | 11:41AM0.76m | 00:10AM0.32m | 12:23PM0.89m | 00:50AM0.38m | 1:11PM1.00m | 1:35AM0.44m | 2:12PM1.09m | 2:29AM0.49m | 3:35PM1.13m | 3:34AM0.51m | 5:06PM1.10m | ||||||||
7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | |
— | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
144 | 239 | 877 | 1533 | 1626 | 3549 | 3464 | 2381 | 1826 | 1341 | 1016 | 636 | 403 | 263 | 248 | 268 | 373 | 722 | 604 | 1567 | 1405 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | E 10 | — | S 14 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | S 14 | SW 15 | S 16 | S 15 |
34 | 2 | — | 37 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | 11 | 24 | 34 | 179 | 34 | 134 | 78 | 74 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | W 3 | WNW 3 | SW 12 | SW 12 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | — | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | — | — | — | — |
3 | 1 | 2589 | 4912 | 5754 | 10576 | 7556 | 5 | 4 | 3344 | 2667 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 35 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 517 | 32 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










