Bird Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Bird Rock over the next couple of weeks. We've got some serious size and power showing up, but it’s not all smooth sailing. Let's break it down.

First off, we’re kicking off Saturday the 11th, but don't get excited. It’s pretty average. A small 2ft south-west swell with a long 15-second period is coming in, but the wind is howling out of the north-east at 15-22 mph, making it a messy cross-off. The combined energy is around 125 to 134, which is weak, and honestly, conditions are poor. Not worth wetting a wetsuit for.

Sunday the 12th sees a bit more life. The swell builds to 4ft in the morning, same SW direction, period dropping to 12 seconds. The wind swings to the west-northwest at 22 mph which turns it offshore. The water is around average for this time of year, no real surprise there. The wave energy jumps to 520 (moderate energy) and the morning session looks clean with that fresh offshore breeze. By the afternoon the swell hits 6ft, but the wind goes cross-off and we get some rain showers. Still, 887 (moderate energy) is on offer.

Monday the 13th is where things start to get interesting. We’ve got a solid 7ft to 8ft south-west groundswell with a very long 16-second period. The wave energy is strong, hitting 2365 to 2577 (strong wave energy). It's a bit much for the average punter – this is expert territory at over 8ft. The wind stays clean offshore all day from the north-west at 18-22 mph, so it’ll look incredible, with big, powerful lines. Bird Rock is a reef break, which is perfect for a long-period swell like this. The caveat is the size - only for the experienced crew.

The standout, without a doubt, is Tuesday the 14th. We're looking at a massive 15ft south-west swell, with a period of 15 seconds. The combined wave energy is absolutely pumping - we're talking 12465 and 10752, which is very strong. This is big, serious, expert-only surf. The wind is a moderate cross-off from the west and west-southwest, which keeps it reasonably clean. It’s going to be a spectacle. If you're not solid at this break, stay on the rocks and watch. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th settle down, thank goodness. The swell drops to a much more manageable 5ft, still from the south-west and with a nice 14-second period. The wind goes light and offshore, particularly on Thursday with the north-west breeze dropping to just 3 mph - glassy conditions. Wave energy is moderate (770 to 1220). Conditions are described as "very good," and Thursday afternoon looks silky smooth. Perfect for a solid session.

Friday the 17th rolls in with another pulse: 5ft, 16-second period, offshore north-west winds, and wave energy around 1145 to 1479. The morning is flagged as excellent for experienced surfers. It's clean, it's powerful, and it's lined up beautifully. Another top day.

Things start to fade from Saturday the 18th. Dropping to 3ft, wind goes light cross-off. It’s clean but small. By Sunday the 19th, the swell is down to 2ft - 2ft, the period is a massive 18-20 seconds, but with strong north winds at 18 mph, it's just messy and poor. Not much to report.

There's a little spike developing around Tuesday the 21st. We see 7ft of south-west swell by the afternoon, with a 13-second period, light cross-off wind, and the wave energy cranked up to 1534 (strong). It’s flagged as excellent for experienced surfers. Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd keep the momentum with 6ft to 8ft south-southwest swell, periods of 12-16 seconds, and clean offshore winds. Again, that Thursday is getting up there in size and will test your skills.

The last few days, from Friday the 24th through Sunday the 26th, the size holds around 5ft to 6ft from the SW, but the wind turns more cross-shore, especially on the 25th and 26th, where it's looking a bit average with some cross-chop. Still surfable, but not the pristine conditions we saw mid-week.

Bottom line: The absolute best bet is Tuesday July 14th for the big swell spectacle, but only for experts. For a more comfortable but still excellent session, target Thursday July 16th and Friday July 17th. Great swell, long period, and glassy or light offshore winds.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty.

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