Bird Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks here look like a wild ride – there’s some proper size on the way, but you’ll have to be patient and pick your moments. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

Monday the 13th kicks things off, but honestly, it’s a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a solid 8ft SW groundswell, period a long 16 seconds, and a massive 2481 combined energy, but a fresh 22 mph offshore wind is making it messy. The call is marginal at best. Stick to the couch.

Tuesday the 14th is where it gets interesting. The swell holds around 8ft from the SW in the morning, still with that long 16-second period and energy at 2545. Winds mellow out a touch. But it’s the afternoon that’s the standout. The swell jumps to a serious 13ft from the SW, period 15 seconds, and the combined energy rockets to 10298. That’s a lot of power. This is big, expert-only territory. Bird Rock (Tahiti) is a reef, and with a long-period SW groundswell like that, it’s going to be a proper heavy, thick wave. Winds are a moderate cross-off, keeping it reasonably clean for the crew who can handle it.

Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th drop back down to a much more manageable 5ft to 6ft from the SW, period still a nice 14-15 seconds. Energy is around 1100-1200. Winds are light to gentle, so conditions will be clean. This is the window for most competent surfers. Not a life-changing size, but good, fun waves.

Friday the 17th is the hidden gem. The swell drops a little more to 5ft, but the period is back to a punchy 16 seconds. The morning has a light N wind, cross-off, and clean. But the afternoon is the real treat – the wind goes glassy, 3 mph from the NNE. Combined energy is 976. That’s about as good as it gets for clean, smooth conditions. This is a top pick.

From Saturday the 18th through to Thursday the 23rd, it goes very small. Swell drops to 2ft to 3ft. A couple of glassy moments on the 18th and 21st afternoons, but the energy is weak, under 300. Not worth paddling out for.

Then there’s a promising pulse late in the forecast. On Friday the 24th of July, the swell builds again to 3ft in the morning, then 5ft in the afternoon, with a very long 18-19 second period from the SW. Combined energy hits 1483. Winds are a moderate offshore from the NW. This is another excellent window, especially for the afternoon session. That long period will produce some beautiful lines at this reef.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th see the swell drop back to 4-5ft, but the winds get strong and bumpy again, less ideal.

The best of the best? Tuesday afternoon, July the 14th, for the absolute size and power if you’re an expert. For the everyday surfer looking for the cleanest, most enjoyable conditions, Friday afternoon, July the 17th with that glassy wind and solid groundswell is the one to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

Read more