Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 6,117 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab your board and let’s look at the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a mixed bag, with a serious pulse of energy on the horizon, but plenty of flat spells and tricky winds to navigate before we get there.
Right now, the ocean’s pretty quiet. We’ve got a small, weak SSW swell pushing through, only around 4ft on Sunday morning. The wind's light, but it’s coming from the ESE, which puts a bit of chop on the surface at Bird Rock. Honestly, not worth paddling out for. The water temp is 56°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Monday and Tuesday stay small and unremarkable, with the swell dropping off. Tuesday sees a bit of a crossover wind, but the waves are just too weak to get excited about. You’re looking at ankle-biters with no push. This is a good time to check your gear or wax up, because it’s going to be slow.
We start to see a little more hope towards the end of the week. Thursday the 20th, the wind swings around to the northwest, going offshore. It’s still small, around 2ft, but it’s clean. Friday the 21st looks better. The same NW wind holds, and the swell picks up slightly with a longer period. It’s still not big, but it’ll have a bit more shape.
Then things get interesting. Saturday the 22nd, a big pulse of SW groundswell arrives. We’re talking a serious jump to 12ft. The energy reading is massive, 7455. The wind is cross-off (WSW), which keeps the face clean for the most part. This is a powerful, maxed-out swell. At 12ft, this is definitely expert territory. Bird Rock (Tasmania) can handle size, but this is not for the faint of heart. It’s a standout, but you need to know what you’re doing.
Sunday the 23rd backs off slightly to a still-chunky 5ft, with a solid NW offshore wind. This is looking like a really good day. The waves will have some punch, and the offshore wind will have the faces clean and lined up. This is probably the pick of the week for anyone with a bit of experience.
Monday the 24th, the ocean goes off again. Another huge pulse of SW swell, around 13ft, with very high energy values. However, the wind is now more west-southwest and cross-off, and there’s rain in the afternoon. It’s big, mean and messy. This is heavy, expert-only surf, and even then, the conditions are tricky. After two massive days, we’ve got a couple of days of poor, choppy south winds on the 25th. The swell drops to around 7ft, but the onshore wind will kill it.
The last few days of the window are more promising. Wednesday the 26th is still a bit small and cross-shore, a chance to rest. But Thursday the 27th looks excellent. A new SW groundswell (5ft) with a long, 18-second period combines with light NNE cross-off winds. The energy is strong, the conditions are clean. This is another standout. The long period does mean it might like a point or reef more than a straight beach break, but Bird Rock should handle it nicely.
Friday and Saturday the 28th and 29th see the swell ease off, but winds remain favorable. Then we close out the window on Sunday the 30th. The swell is a friendly 4ft with a nice 16-17 second period, and we have a light NNW wind that turns offshore in the afternoon. It’s a clean, fun day to finish on.
So, the big calls are Saturday the 22nd (but it’s huge and for experts) and Sunday the 23rd. And then Thursday the 27th also looks fantastic. The long-range stuff is promising, but the forecast can shift. For now, I’d be circling Sunday the 23rd and Thursday the 27th on the calendar.
Alright, I’ll catch you in the water.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 7°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
621 | 545 | 384 | 574 | 661 | 485 | 238 | 310 | 196 | 137 | 84 | 54 | 190 | 159 | 160 | 149 | 304 | 4844 | 5805 | 1407 | 1552 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 2:09PM1.97m | 2:32AM1.88m | 2:45PM1.97m | 3:19AM1.91m | 3:19PM1.94m | 4:01AM1.89m | 3:51PM1.88m | 4:41AM1.83m | 4:21PM1.80m | 5:20AM1.75m | 4:50PM1.71m | 6:00AM1.66m | 5:19PM1.62m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:24PM0.29m | 8:36AM0.34m | 9:03PM0.19m | 9:18AM0.42m | 9:40PM0.15m | 9:56AM0.52m | 10:16PM0.17m | 10:31AM0.63m | 10:50PM0.22m | 11:06AM0.74m | 11:24PM0.30m | 11:40AM0.86m | 00:01AM0.39m | ||||||||
7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | |
— | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | NNE 4 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
621 | 545 | 384 | 574 | 661 | 485 | 238 | 310 | 196 | 137 | 84 | 7 | 190 | 159 | 160 | 149 | 304 | 1137 | 1650 | 1407 | 1552 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | — | SE 5 | ESE 4 | S 17 | ESE 6 | SW 14 | ESE 5 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 7 | SW 14 | NE 7 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 16 | — | SW 18 | SSW 15 |
36 | — | 6 | 8 | 5 | 55 | 149 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 54 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 68 | 245 | 834 | — | 260 | 45 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 5 | SE 5 | S 16 | E 7 | — | SW 18 | S 6 | E 8 | SW 22 | SW 19 | SW 11 | — | — | S 15 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 7 | 5 | 1 | — | 54 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 133 | 119 | — | — | 38 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 4 | — | ESE 5 | — | — | NE 3 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | — | — | — | — | WSW 2 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | — | W 3 |
— | — | 15 | — | 9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 19 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4844 | 5805 | — | 5 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 16 | 74 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











