
Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 5,889 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 3.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at a solid 16-day window for Bird Rock. It’s a reef setup, takes a south-west swell, and needs the wind to line up. The water’s sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much dead average for the time of year, so nothing weird going on there.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but the first real action kicks off on Tuesday, August 11. Early morning you’re looking at a clean 3ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and a moderate offshore breeze from the NW. The combined energy is sitting at 399 (moderate), and the conditions are described as glassy. It’s small, but it’s tidy. That afternoon the swell bumps up to 4ft, still clean, still offshore, and the energy ticks up to 628. It’s not a standout, but it’s a nice warm-up.
Now, Wednesday, August 12 is where things get interesting. The morning swell jumps to a solid 10ft from the WSW, with a 16-second period and a massive combined energy of 5492 (very strong). That’s a lot of water moving. But the wind is a cross-offshore, and the forecast says it’s marginal. That’s a lot of power for a reef, and 10ft is getting into expert-only territory. The afternoon drops to 6ft, but still a strong 1501 energy. The wind stays cross-off. This is a big swell, but it’s not perfect.
The real standout, the one you’d want to plan for, is Thursday, August 13 through Friday, August 14. Thursday morning is 7ft SW, 16-second period, 2413 energy (strong), with a cross-offshore breeze. The afternoon is 7ft, still 16 seconds, 2176 energy, and the wind is a gentle cross-off. The forecast calls it excellent for experienced surfers. Friday morning is a repeat: 7ft, 16 seconds, 2365 energy, with a gentle cross-off. This is the best window. The swell is big, the period is long, and the wind is clean. For a reef like Bird Rock, that long-period groundswell will shape up beautifully. It’s not for beginners, but if you’ve got the skills, this is it.
Saturday, August 15 drops off a bit. Swell is down to 5ft, period drops to 15 seconds, and the wind turns cross-shore and then onshore, getting choppy. Not the day.
Sunday, August 16 sees a nice little reprieve. The morning is clear, with a glassy 4ft SW swell, 14-second period, and 609 energy (moderate). The wind is a light Easterly, almost glass. That’s a clean, fun size for a lot of people, and the reef will handle that period well. It’s a good morning session.
From Monday, August 17 onward, the swell drops fast. You’re looking at 3ft and smaller, with weak energy (338 down to 132). The wind stays mostly light, sometimes glassy, but the swell is just too small to get excited about. August 21 shows a little flicker of life, with 3ft SW, 16-second period, 371 energy, and clean offshore wind. It’s surfable, but it’s a shadow of the previous week.
The last week is a write-off. Swell is tiny, 1ft to 2ft, and the wind is howling on the 23rd, 24th, and 25th at 15-18 mph from the north. The energy is low. It’s not worth paddling out.
So, the standout is absolutely Thursday, August 13 through Friday, August 14. That’s the big, clean, powerful SW groundswell for experienced surfers. The secondary shout is Sunday, August 16 for a clean, smaller session. The rest is either too big, too small, or too windy.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
355 | 489 | 795 | 4267 | 1456 | 2173 | 2413 | 2093 | 2233 | 2320 | 1799 | 1511 | 1219 | 1133 | 881 | 606 | 529 | 447 | 317 | 416 | 539 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 8:25PM1.55m | 10:50AM1.72m | 9:59PM1.54m | 11:54AM1.79m | 11:28PM1.60m | 12:46PM1.87m | 00:40AM1.71m | 1:30PM1.93m | 1:40AM1.81m | 2:09PM1.97m | 2:32AM1.88m | 2:45PM1.97m | 3:19AM1.91m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:11PM1.05m | 3:33AM0.25m | 4:42PM0.98m | 4:51AM0.25m | 5:55PM0.82m | 6:01AM0.25m | 6:53PM0.63m | 7:00AM0.25m | 7:41PM0.44m | 7:51AM0.28m | 8:24PM0.29m | 8:36AM0.34m | 9:03PM0.19m | ||||||||
7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
— | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
355 | 489 | 795 | 1225 | 1456 | 2173 | 2413 | 2093 | 2233 | 2320 | 1799 | 1511 | 1219 | 1133 | 881 | 606 | 529 | 447 | 317 | 416 | 539 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | SSW 19 | S 17 | — | S 16 | — | — | SSW 16 | — | S 16 | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | SE 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | SE 5 | ESE 5 |
28 | 139 | 51 | — | 45 | — | — | 83 | — | 45 | — | 78 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 47 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | E 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | — |
16 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 3 | — | ESE 5 | E 5 | — | — |
2 | 2 | 6 | 4267 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 29 | 21 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











