Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 16s period, SW swell with 1,829 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 19 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 1.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what Bird Rock has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. This is a bit of a slow burn, with most of the real action packed into the end of the third week and beyond.
The first few days are a write-off. From Monday the 17th through to Thursday the 20th, the swell is tiny—between 1ft and 4ft—and the energy is weak (around 85 to 674). The wind is mostly cross-shore or cross-off, but it’s just not doing anything for us. We’re basically staring at a flat spell for the first half of the week.
Things finally start to twitch on Friday the 21st. The swell picks up to about 3ft from the SW with a lovely 14-15 second period, and the combined energy jumps up to 910 – that’s moderate energy, but solid enough. The wind goes gentle cross-off from the W, so it’s clean. By Saturday the 22nd, it’s building more, hitting 5ft in the morning from the SW. The energy’s climbing too (1081), but the wind swings onshore and gets a bit messy in the afternoon. Still, for a late-season wave, it’s decent.
Now, Sunday the 23rd is the standout for this whole outlook. This is the one you circle on the calendar. We’ve got a solid 6ft SW swell rolling in with a 15-16 second period. The energy is cranked up – we're talking 1675 to 1730 – strong wave energy for the reef. The wind is offshore from the WNW in the morning, then moderate offshore from the NW in the afternoon. That means clean, glassy conditions at Bird Rock. With the swell coming straight out of the SW and this being a fairly exposed reef spot, it’s going to be powerful and lined up. Be warned though, this is over 5ft, so it’s no beginner wave, and with it being a reef break, don’t expect a soft landing. Expect a decent crew out there – it’s a "sometimes" crowd, so it’ll be worth paddling wide.
Monday the 24th stays good, with 5ft to 6ft SSW swell and gentle offshore wind in the morning. The energy is down a notch (around 942 to 1159), but it’s still clean and very surfable. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no nasty surprises there.
After that, the week goes a bit sideways. From Tuesday the 25th through Thursday the 27th, we get a mix of lumpy cross-onshore wind and weaker swells. The energy drops to around 200-400, and the wind is fresh from the SSW. Not worth the paddle. There’s a gap of a few days with nothing recommended.
We get a little flicker on Friday the 28th with some 2ft-2ft waves and gentle offshore wind, but it’s small. Then, look ahead to Saturday the 29th of August – that’s our second real highlight. We get a clean 4ft to 4ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period. The energy is back up to 731 to 864. The wind is gentle cross-off from the NNE, so it’ll be clean and lined up. The long period will make it pitchy and sucky on the reef – better for the experienced crew.
And finally, keep an eye on Monday the 31st of August. We’ve got a solid 6ft SW swell with a moderate offshore wind from the WNW and strong energy (1262). That’s another expert-level day if the long-range forecast holds up. It’s a bit out there, so don't bet the house on it, but it looks promising.
So, to sum it up: Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd for the win this week. Next weekend, Saturday the 29th is your second best bet.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the NNE by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
384 | 508 | 661 | 485 | 238 | 310 | 196 | 107 | 85 | 54 | 77 | 163 | 161 | 218 | 393 | 651 | 1041 | 799 | 1685 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 2:32AM1.88m | 2:45PM1.97m | 3:19AM1.91m | 3:19PM1.94m | 4:01AM1.89m | 3:51PM1.88m | 4:41AM1.83m | 4:21PM1.80m | 5:20AM1.75m | 4:50PM1.71m | 6:00AM1.66m | 5:19PM1.62m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:36AM0.34m | 9:03PM0.19m | 9:18AM0.42m | 9:40PM0.15m | 9:56AM0.52m | 10:16PM0.17m | 10:31AM0.63m | 10:50PM0.22m | 11:06AM0.74m | 11:24PM0.30m | 11:40AM0.86m | 00:01AM0.39m | |||||||
— | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
384 | 508 | 661 | 485 | 238 | 310 | 196 | 107 | 85 | 54 | 77 | 163 | 161 | 197 | 393 | 651 | 1041 | 799 | 1685 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SE 5 | S 17 | SE 6 | SW 14 | ESE 5 | SE 4 | ESE 7 | E 7 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 6 | SW 7 | SW 15 | SW 18 | — | SSW 20 | SW 18 | — |
5 | 11 | 5 | 44 | 149 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 49 | 13 | 18 | 218 | 194 | — | 40 | 781 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ESE 5 | SE 5 | S 16 | — | — | ENE 4 | WSW 8 | E 8 | E 7 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | S 16 | — |
— | — | — | — | 19 | 7 | 5 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 133 | 323 | — | — | 45 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 4 | E 5 | ESE 5 | — | NE 3 | NE 3 | NE 3 | NE 4 | NNE 5 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | 23 | 8 | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 59 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 12 | 31 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











