
Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 15s period, SSW swell with 1,571 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 1.9m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a real solid run of swell coming through, starting off strong and building to a couple of absolute crackers. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about average for the time of year, so no nasty surprises there.
The first standout is shaping up for Thursday afternoon, July 16th, at Bird Rock. It’s a tricky reef set-up, so it’s strictly for the advanced crew. You’re looking at a clean 6 ft swell from the SW with a 15-second period, which is a proper groundswell. The real kicker is the wind: glassy, dead calm. That’s going to make for some absolutely pristine, peeling waves. The combined wave energy is pumping hard at 1518, so there’s plenty of power, but the long period means it’ll have those nice, long lulls between sets, making the paddle out a bit easier. Expect some crowds here, as it can get busy.
We’ll see a slight drop over the weekend, but things get interesting again. The absolute highlight of the whole forecast is Saturday, July 25th. Bird Rock is going to be firing. We’re talking a solid 8 ft to 8 ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, generating massive energy readings of 2986 and 2798. This is serious, expert-only territory. The wind stays clean and cross-off, so the wave faces will be smooth. This is a big, powerful groundswell that will be breaking with real authority on the reef. For the experienced surfer, this is the week’s best window.
Before that, there’s a bump on the Thursday the 23rd that’s worth a mention. The afternoon offers a clean 4 ft from the SW with a 16-second period under offshore winds. It’s not the biggest, but the quality should be there for a fun session.
The very end of the run, around July 28th, gets messy with onshore winds and choppy conditions, so that’s a write-off. The week after that is looking like a much smaller, cleaner period but nothing that will get the heart racing.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1094 | 1254 | 1550 | 1472 | 1059 | 1255 | 1101 | 606 | 387 | 250 | 84 | 97 | 68 | 109 | 161 | 107 | 74 | 88 | 111 | 166 | 146 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | off | glassy | off | off | glassy | off | off | glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 11:25PM1.62m | 1:04PM1.99m | 00:38AM1.70m | 1:51PM2.03m | 1:42AM1.76m | 2:34PM2.05m | 2:41AM1.81m | 3:14PM2.04m | 3:35AM1.82m | 3:51PM1.99m | 4:25AM1.80m | 4:26PM1.92m | 5:13AM1.75m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:08PM0.88m | 6:06AM0.06m | 7:07PM0.73m | 7:06AM0.08m | 7:59PM0.56m | 8:01AM0.13m | 8:47PM0.42m | 8:50AM0.22m | 9:31PM0.30m | 9:36AM0.34m | 10:13PM0.24m | 10:20AM0.48m | 10:53PM0.23m | 11:01AM0.63m | |||||||
— | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | |
5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | 5:24 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
1094 | 1254 | 1550 | 1472 | 1059 | 1255 | 1101 | 606 | 387 | 250 | 84 | 97 | 68 | 64 | 161 | 107 | 74 | 88 | 111 | 166 | 146 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 15 | — | — | SSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | — | — | E 10 | E 10 |
— | — | 142 | 46 | 17 | 93 | 50 | 4 | — | — | 78 | 82 | 39 | 109 | 25 | 19 | 9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SSW 19 | WSW 12 | S 16 | WSW 12 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | E 10 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 37 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 2 | N 3 | NW 2 | WNW 2 | NNW 2 | NNW 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











