
Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, WSW swell with 3,664 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 4.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 20th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Bird Rock.
The next couple of days are a write-off, honestly. Tuesday and Wednesday are a mess of strong, messy cross-shore and onshore winds, with the swell a lumpy 8ft to 8ft. It’s all chop and no shape—keep the board in the car. We’re looking at a few days of nothing much until things start to turn around later in the week.
Friday the 18th is where it gets interesting. That morning we’ve got a clean 4ft SSW swell with a moderate offshore wind from the NW, and the energy is moderate (1143). The afternoon is the real standout though: a clean 5ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, and the energy is strong (1747). That combo of moderate offshore wind and that long-period SW groundswell is perfect for this reef. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild. This is the pick of the first week—definitely worth a session.
Saturday the 19th stays clean with offshore winds, but the swell drops to a smaller 3ft to 4ft. It’ll be fun on a log or a fish, but it’s not going to fire like Friday. Sunday morning the 20th is tiny and windy, but Sunday afternoon is a weird one: a big 13ft WSW swell rolls in, but it’s a short 12-second period, and the energy is very strong (4450). That much water moving fast over a reef is expert territory only—way too big for anyone but the most seasoned crew.
Looking into the second week, the outlook gets more promising but less certain. Tuesday the 22nd has some marginal but rideable 6ft to 7ft SSW swell, but the winds are light and cross or cross-on, so it’s not clean.
Then we hit a real sweet spot. Friday the 25th afternoon glass off: 5ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period and clean conditions (1503). Saturday the 26th is the absolute standout of the whole 16-day window. Saturday morning sees a clean 6ft SSW swell (2606), and Saturday afternoon brings a solid 7ft SW groundswell with an incredible 19-second period and light offshore wind (3343). That’s big, powerful, long-period swell with offshore winds—prime Bird Rock. It’s only for advanced surfers at that size, but if you can handle it, this is the session to circle on the calendar. Keep in mind though, it’s 11 days out, so the forecast could shift.
After that, conditions go downhill fast. Sunday the 27th is onshore and rainy, and the last few days of September are a write-off with cross-shore winds and no quality.
So to sum it up: Friday the 18th afternoon is your first real highlight, and Saturday the 26th is the potential bomb if the forecast holds. The rest is either too small, too windy, or too messy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon night, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue morning, calm by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Thu night, fresh winds from the NNW by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | WSW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
54 | 2126 | 2233 | 2529 | 2324 | 2355 | 1763 | 1072 | 826 | 1057 | 663 | 1239 | 752 | 458 | 330 | 148 | 176 | 3664 | 614 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:15AM1.97m | 2:13PM1.85m | 2:55AM1.99m | 2:45PM1.84m | 3:31AM1.96m | 3:16PM1.80m | 4:07AM1.90m | 3:46PM1.74m | 4:42AM1.81m | 4:15PM1.67m | 5:18AM1.70m | 4:44PM1.58m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:19AM0.45m | 8:29PM0.14m | 8:56AM0.49m | 9:03PM0.13m | 9:30AM0.55m | 9:37PM0.16m | 10:03AM0.63m | 10:09PM0.23m | 10:34AM0.72m | 10:42PM0.31m | 11:07AM0.82m | 11:17PM0.41m | |||||||
— | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 15 | 22 | 23 | 18 | 24 | 21 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 14 | S 16 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 12 | SSW 14 |
54 | 1330 | 43 | — | 2324 | 2355 | 1763 | 1072 | 826 | 1057 | 663 | 1239 | 752 | 458 | 330 | 148 | 176 | 786 | 138 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | — | — | — | S 15 | S 15 | S 16 | — | — | S 15 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | — | SSW 14 | S 14 | SW 18 | NNE 4 | — | — |
49 | — | — | — | 41 | 67 | 43 | — | — | 38 | 480 | 508 | — | 38 | 16 | 13 | 2 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | S 16 | E 6 | — | — |
6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | — | — | — | — | 15 | 5 | 1 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | N 3 | W 4 | WSW 12 | SW 12 |
11 | 2126 | 2233 | 2529 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 3664 | 614 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 518 | 753 | 295 | 373 | 199 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 575 | 35 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










