
Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,898 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, this is Rusty. Righto, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Bird Rock over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a bit of a bumpy start, but once that first big pulse of swell hits, it’s gonna get real interesting for the crew who know how to handle a serious reef.
So, the first session that’s really worth paddling out for is Saturday the 12th of September. It’s not perfect – there’s some clouds and a cross-off breeze from the north at 6 mph, but that’s actually gonna keep it pretty clean. The swell is a solid 6 ft from the SSW, and it’s got a lovely 15-second period, meaning it’s proper groundswell with heaps of energy. Combined wave energy is strong at 1427, so you’ll feel the push. It’s a touch big for beginners, but for advanced crew on the reef, this is gonna fire. The water temp is about average for this time of year. Sunday the 13th is gonna get windier – north winds at 12 mph – and the swell drops off, so it’s a bit of a write-off. Monday the 14th has a clean window in the morning with an offshore breeze from the NW at 9 mph, but the swell’s only 2 ft, so it’s pretty weak (166 combined energy) – only worth it if you’re desperate.
Then we hit a bit of a messy patch. Tuesday the 15th has a solid 8 ft swell from the SW, but the wind goes howling at 19-22 mph, first cross-off then cross-shore, making it lumpy and ugly. Wednesday the 16th stays big (8 ft) but the wind turns onshore, so it’s choppy rubbish. The combined energy is still huge – over 2500 – but the quality is poor. This stretch is more for the kite crowd than paddle surfers, honestly.
Things settle down a bit Thursday the 17th, with a smaller 5 ft swell and light winds, but it’s still cross-onshore, so only marginal. Friday the 18th is where the vibe starts to turn. We’ve got a moderate offshore breeze from the NW at 12 mph, a 4 ft SW swell with a long 16-second period, and combined energy of 1215. The wind is clean, the waves will be shaping up nicely on the reef – that’s a solid session for intermediate crew. Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th are small and windy again, so another gap in quality.
Now, here’s the standout that you really want to mark on your calendar: Monday the 21st of September. The morning is looking absolutely pumping. It’s clear, nearly glassy with a slight air, just 3 mph from the north, cross-off. The swell is 7 ft from the SSW, with a very long 18-second period. Combined energy is enormous at 4312. That’s a powerful, clean groundswell hitting a fairly exposed reef. This is expert territory – over 8 ft is big, and this is almost there. The waves will be meaty, with long gaps between sets. It’s the best on offer, no question, but you’ll want to be on your game. Crowds are possible here sometimes. Tuesday the 22nd is also excellent, with a 7 ft SW swell and gentle offshore breeze, energy at 2590 – still very clean. After that, the swell drops back into the 4 ft to 6 ft range for the rest of the week, with variable winds, so it’s more average conditions, with the odd clean window on Thursday the 24th afternoon and Friday the 25th morning.
Overall, Bird Rock has a decent run of swell, but the wind is the decider. The first few days are a write-off, but that stretch from the 21st to the 22nd is absolute gold for the experienced crew.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon night, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1953 | 1288 | 955 | 684 | 516 | 471 | 255 | 147 | 109 | 54 | 2035 | 2265 | 2460 | 2361 | 2212 | 1716 | 996 | 662 | 811 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 11:38PM1.64m | 12:19PM1.75m | 00:41AM1.78m | 1:01PM1.80m | 1:32AM1.89m | 1:38PM1.84m | 2:15AM1.97m | 2:13PM1.85m | 2:55AM1.99m | 2:45PM1.84m | 3:31AM1.96m | 3:16PM1.80m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:58AM0.45m | 6:31PM0.49m | 6:52AM0.44m | 7:14PM0.33m | 7:38AM0.43m | 7:53PM0.21m | 8:19AM0.45m | 8:29PM0.14m | 8:56AM0.49m | 9:03PM0.13m | 9:30AM0.55m | 9:37PM0.16m | |||||||
— | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | S 15 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
1953 | 1288 | 955 | 684 | 516 | 471 | 255 | 147 | 109 | 54 | 1380 | 39 | — | 2361 | 2212 | 1716 | 996 | 662 | 811 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 16 | S 17 | — | — | — | S 15 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 7 | — | — | — | S 15 | S 15 | S 15 | — | — | SSW 17 |
90 | 139 | 50 | — | — | — | 4 | 15 | 14 | 7 | — | — | — | 40 | 71 | 40 | — | — | 99 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNE 2 | N 3 | NE 4 | N 3 | SW 4 | W 2 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 2035 | 2265 | 2460 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 553 | 708 | 295 | 422 | 74 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










