
Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 15s period, SSW swell with 1,571 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 1.9m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, your local surf reporter, and I’ve got the lowdown on Bird Rock for the next couple of weeks.
First off, we’re looking at a solid run of surf coming our way, but it’s not all going to be perfect. The standout session is going to be the morning of Friday, July 17th. That’s when we’ll see a decent 5ft swell from the SW, with a lovely long 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is going to be light offshore from the NNW, which will keep the waves clean and lined up. This is your best call for the whole forecast period, no question. For the advanced crew out there, this is the one to circle. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.
The build-up to that is a bit average. Thursday, July 16th, is messy with a cross-shore breeze and a 6ft swell that’s a bit of a jumble. The energy is there, but the conditions are not. You can probably leave the board in the car.
After the Friday peak, we’ve got a clean Saturday morning on July 18th, with a 3ft SW swell and offshore winds, but it’s a lot smaller. The energy drops right off, so it’s more of a cruiser session. By Sunday and Monday (July 19th & 20th), the swell fades to a dribbly 2ft to 2ft. It’s still clean with offshore winds, but you’ll be scratching for waves. The energy is weak, so it’s a longboard or a paddle.
The surf picks up again around Wednesday, July 23rd, but the wind gets strong. The afternoon of Thursday, July 24th, shows some promise with a 6ft SW swell and a 15-second period, but the wind is a cross-offshore breeze, which will make it bumpy. It’s a maybe, not a guarantee.
Now, we get to the interesting part. The end of the month looks like it could get big. The morning of Wednesday, July 30th, is showing a whopping 12ft SW swell, but the wind is strong cross-offshore. That’s advanced only, and the crowd will be thin because it’s a serious paddle. The energy is enormous. Then, the morning of Thursday, July 31st, is even bigger with a 13ft swell from the SW, but the wind is onshore, making it a choppy, blown-out mess. The energy is extreme, but it’s not going to be a good surf. This is more of a kite-surfing kind of setup than a paddle-surfing day. Bird Rock is a reef, so that big long-period swell will be breaking with a lot of power, but the wind will ruin it. For a solid, clean wave, you’re best off sticking with the 17th of July.
This is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1550 | 1492 | 1059 | 1271 | 1115 | 606 | 382 | 250 | 136 | 82 | 68 | 109 | 161 | 107 | 74 | 95 | 305 | 250 | 148 | 146 | 190 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | glassy | off | glassy | off | off | glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:04PM1.99m | 00:38AM1.70m | 1:51PM2.03m | 1:42AM1.76m | 2:34PM2.05m | 2:41AM1.81m | 3:14PM2.04m | 3:35AM1.82m | 3:51PM1.99m | 4:25AM1.80m | 4:26PM1.92m | 5:13AM1.75m | 4:59PM1.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:07PM0.73m | 7:06AM0.08m | 7:59PM0.56m | 8:01AM0.13m | 8:47PM0.42m | 8:50AM0.22m | 9:31PM0.30m | 9:36AM0.34m | 10:13PM0.24m | 10:20AM0.48m | 10:53PM0.23m | 11:01AM0.63m | 11:32PM0.26m | ||||||||
7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | |
— | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 |
1550 | 1492 | 1059 | 1271 | 1115 | 606 | 382 | 250 | 136 | 71 | 68 | 63 | 161 | 107 | 74 | 95 | 305 | 250 | 148 | 146 | 190 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 15 | — | — | SSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 10 | SW 10 | SSW 10 | WSW 13 | SSW 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
142 | 46 | 17 | 97 | 87 | 4 | — | — | 49 | 82 | 39 | 109 | 38 | 24 | 9 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SW 12 | E 11 | WSW 12 | E 10 | SSW 10 | E 10 | — | S 13 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 37 | 24 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 2 | — | 3 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 2 | — | — | — | NW 3 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










