
Surf Forecasts:
Bird Rock surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 7,440 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bird Rock this week:
The surf forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bird Rock in the next 16 days are 3.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bird Rock over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next two weeks for Bird Rock—gonna be a wild ride, so strap in.
Big Picture: We start with junk—big, chaotic, cross-onshore swell that’s more of a beating than a blessing. But hang tight, because the second half cleans up proper with a couple of days that’ll have you grinning ear to ear. Water’s sitting at 57°F—about normal for this time of year, no surprises there.
The Rough Patch (Sept 8–10): Tuesday afternoon is marginal—5ft of SW swell, but it’s cross-shore and choppy. Not worth paddling out. Wednesday gets ugly—8ft then 12ft of cross-onshore junk, energy readings 4620 and 12766—that’s strong and messy, only for the adrenaline junkies, and even then, you’ll be fighting the wind more than riding. Thursday morning’s a little cleaner at 8ft but still cross—leave it.
First Clean Waves (Sept 11–13): Friday morning (Sept 11) is the light at the end of the tunnel—glass conditions, 5 km/h breeze, and a clean 5ft from the SSW at 14s. That’s a proper window for Bird Rock (reef break, fairly consistent, best from SW). Crowds sometimes, so you’ll have some company, but the waves are smooth. Saturday morning and afternoon are also solid—cross-offshore and offshore winds (5–10 km/h), 5ft and 5ft from SW, 15s periods. These are your first true standouts—clean, lined-up, not massive but juicy. Sunday drops to 4–3ft, clean but weak—still rideable if you’re itching.
The Dead Zone (Sept 14–15): Monday and Tuesday are mostly flat-out poor—swell drops under 2ft, energy sinks to 159–117. Don’t even bother grabbing the board. Tuesday afternoon picks up to 6ft but with cross-onshore chop—not worth the hassle.
Second Week Fire (Sept 16–19): Wednesday (Sept 16) is glass again—5ft from SW, 16s period, energy 1255. Clean and inviting. Thursday (Sept 17) is a double-header—morning offshore, afternoon glass, both around 5ft from SW. Lovely, low-key waves. But the real deal is Friday (Sept 18) and Saturday (Sept 19). Friday morning brings 7ft from SSW with fresh offshore winds (30 km/h)—punchy and clean, but energy’s only 1832, so it’s not a bomb. Saturday (Sept 19) is your best of the whole run: 8ft in the morning, 7ft in the afternoon, both from SW, clean offshore winds, energy readings 2265 and 1801. This is classic Bird Rock—big-ish, lined up on the reef, proper juice. Only for experienced surfers though—anything over 8ft is expert territory, and 8ft is right at that edge. Crowds likely, but you’ll be too busy grinning.
Fading Tail (Sept 20–23): Sunday (Sept 20) slides back to 4–4ft, clean but weak. Then Monday (Sept 21) spikes hard—7ft to 10ft from SW with a 19s period and massive energy (5703 and 5281). That’s a long-period groundswell—perfect for Bird Rock’s reef, but 10ft is expert-only, and the cross-offshore wind keeps it hollow and heavy. Tuesday (Sept 22) morning is the last true gem—8ft from SW, 18s period, energy 4436, slight offshore breeze—big, clean, powerful. That’s the second standout, but it’s a big-wave day—know your limits. Wednesday (Sept 23) settles to 6–6ft, clean cross-offshores, good energy—a solid finish.
Final Call: Best on offer? Saturday Sept 19 and Tuesday Sept 22—the 19th for that sweet 8ft clean combo, and the 22nd for that long-period groundswell at 8ft if you’re advanced. Beginners—stay away from anything over 5ft, so stick to the 5–5ft glassy days on Sept 16–17.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue night, calm by Fri morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
1073 | 4915 | 2887 | 7440 | 5491 | 3506 | 2583 | 1447 | 1072 | 1608 | 1765 | 1133 | 1006 | 952 | 612 | 435 | 251 | 144 | 84 | 554 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 6:58PM1.56m | 9:09AM1.59m | 8:32PM1.49m | 10:28AM1.62m | 10:16PM1.52m | 11:30AM1.68m | 11:38PM1.64m | 12:19PM1.75m | 00:41AM1.78m | 1:01PM1.80m | 1:32AM1.89m | 1:38PM1.84m | 2:15AM1.97m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:00AM0.37m | 3:00PM0.97m | 3:26AM0.45m | 4:31PM0.86m | 4:50AM0.47m | 5:39PM0.68m | 5:58AM0.45m | 6:31PM0.49m | 6:52AM0.44m | 7:14PM0.33m | 7:38AM0.43m | 7:53PM0.21m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 10 |
1073 | 1449 | 1454 | 4987 | 5491 | 3506 | 2583 | 1447 | 1072 | 1608 | 1765 | 1133 | 1006 | 952 | 612 | 435 | 251 | 144 | 84 | 275 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 20 | S 19 | — | — | S 15 | — | — | — | S 15 | S 17 | — | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | — | NE 4 | SW 19 | SW 18 |
— | — | 279 | 339 | — | — | 109 | — | — | — | 168 | 49 | — | 24 | 5 | 18 | — | 2 | 15 | 49 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | NE 4 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 1 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 4 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NW 3 | N 3 | WNW 3 | SW 6 | SW 10 |
17 | 4915 | 2887 | 7440 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 554 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 3 | 570 | 1543 | 3 | 3 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Torquay | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bird Rock Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bird Rock provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bird Rock can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bird Rock surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bird Rock) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bird Rock may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bird Rock is 23 km (14 miles) from the city of Geelong. If you plan a holiday in Torquay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong. Geelong has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










