
Surf Forecasts:
Right Point (Cat Bay) surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 7,391 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Right Point (Cat Bay) this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Right Point (Cat Bay) in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get this out there. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a proper window of clean waves coming up if you’re patient.
Right off the bat, this Saturday and Sunday are looking pretty grim. It’s not just the onshore wind, it’s that the swell is messy and the periods are short. The energy is weak, too, with the combined swell energy sitting around 373 to 816. Honestly, it’s not worth paddling out for the chop you’d be dealing with. The wind’s howling from the NE and N, so the point is going to be a washing machine.
We’ve got a few days of that slop, with the wind swinging around to the NW and the swell starting to build a bit. By Monday the 10th, the swell is pushing 5ft but the wind is still on it, so it’s just a blown-out mess. The energy is building, though, hitting 1862, but it’s not doing us any favors yet.
Then things get real heavy. Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th see the swell climbing, and by Thursday the 13th we’ve got a serious pulse coming in. The combined swell energy is reading a massive 10302, and the swell height is hitting 13ft. That is a lot of water moving. But the wind is just shredding it. It’s straight onshore and blowing near gale force on Wednesday. This is not a time for the average surfer. This is big, raw, and dangerous. Even the more manageable 8ft sets on Thursday morning are going to be a battle with that cross-onshore wind. This is more for the kamikazes or maybe the kite crew, to be honest.
The weekend of the 15th and 16th is where the magic happens. The wind finally drops out and swings offshore. Saturday the 15th is looking like the standout. The swell has backed off to a solid 6ft, still coming from the SW, but now the wind is a light ESE cross-offshore. The energy is still strong at 1654, and the conditions are clean. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s going to be proper, lined-up waves on the point. Sunday the 16th is also good, with a bit less size at 4ft, but still clean, glassy, and rideable.
After that, we’ve got a bit of a mixed run. Monday the 17th has some clean windows, especially in the afternoon when a light S wind kicks in. Tuesday the 18th afternoon looks fun too, with a 4ft SW groundswell at 18 seconds and offshore wind. That’s a nice, long-period swell that will wrap nicely around the point. But the beginning of the following week, the 19th and 20th, the wind gets a bit iffy again, and the swell drops off.
The last few days of the window, from the 21st to the 23rd, are looking poor again. The swell is small and weak, with the energy dipping as low as 129, and the wind is back on it. It fades out pretty flat.
So, the plan is simple: sit tight through this weekend’s junk, be prepared for the big, windy swell mid-week, and then get ready for that clean, offshore window on the 15th and 16th. That’s the best on offer. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so you won’t need anything too thick, but a hood isn’t a bad idea for the early sessions.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Fri night, strong winds from the N by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon night, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Wed afternoon, light winds from the W by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 12 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
453 | 813 | 692 | 598 | 322 | 250 | 480 | 1713 | 1597 | 1654 | 528 | 506 | 655 | 2892 | 2997 | 3476 | 6652 | 3185 | 2457 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 6:26AM2.24m | 6:01PM2.26m | 7:22AM2.21m | 6:49PM2.20m | 8:25AM2.16m | 7:46PM2.14m | 9:34AM2.14m | 8:56PM2.08m | 10:44AM2.16m | 10:15PM2.05m | 11:48AM2.22m | 11:34PM2.09m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:53PM0.14m | 12:12PM0.85m | 00:41AM0.12m | 1:05PM0.96m | 1:36AM0.14m | 2:06PM1.04m | 2:39AM0.18m | 3:18PM1.08m | 3:48AM0.22m | 4:36PM1.02m | 4:59AM0.25m | 5:48PM0.89m | |||||||
— | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SE 10 | WSW 16 | SW 7 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 20 | — | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
453 | 813 | 692 | 598 | 322 | 250 | 480 | 1713 | 24 | 1273 | 149 | 506 | 655 | 834 | 537 | — | 3650 | 3185 | 2457 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | — | SW 14 | WSW 6 | SW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
437 | — | — | — | 51 | 109 | 404 | 142 | 61 | — | 528 | 28 | 350 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | — | — | — | SE 4 | ESE 4 | NNW 4 | SE 9 | — | — | — | SSW 6 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
19 | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 22 | — | — | — | 13 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNE 4 | NE 3 | N 3 | E 3 | NNW 4 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 7 | NW 3 | NW 4 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 12 | WSW 16 | — | — |
— | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 1597 | 1654 | 208 | 12 | 35 | 2892 | 2997 | 3476 | 6652 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 49 | 27 | 60 | 69 | 70 | 12 | 91 | 99 | 100 | 462 | 73 | 70 | 10 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Right Point (Cat Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Right Point (Cat Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Right Point (Cat Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Right Point (Cat Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.











