Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.

Right then, it’s a pretty grim stretch for us in the immediate future. The surf is there, but it’s being hammered by messy wind and poor conditions. Let’s break it down.

We’re looking at Right Point (Cat Bay). The water is sitting at 56°F which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a write-off. Starting Sunday the 19th, we’ve got a small 3ft swell from the SW, but it’s blown out by a cross-on wind. The energy is weak (285) and the waves are just a choppy mess. Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st don’t improve much – the wind is stronger, the swell picks up a bit, but it’s still lumpy and cross-onshore. The energy climbs to 367 and then 645, but it’s not doing us any favours with the wind.

Wednesday the 22nd sees a 6ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is howling around 18 mph, and the period drops to 9 seconds – that’s short period junk. Blown out. The energy is moderate at 469, but it’s not surfable.

Now, Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th – the swell gets big. We’re talking 8ft to 10ft, strong energy (2671 and 5780), but it’s being annihilated by near gale-force winds. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s not clean. The period is 14-15 seconds, which is a good groundswell, but the wind is absolutely ruining it. For a point break, this is more likely to be a kite-surfing show than a good paddle session.

The weekend of the 26th and 27th sees the swell drop back down to 5ft and then 3ft. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore again, so it’s just poor. The energy is dropping fast (712 down to 187). Not worth paddling out.

We get a bit of a break from the wind on the 30th and 31st of July. The wind swings to a cross-off direction from the SSW, which is clean. The waves are still sizable – 8ft to 6ft – but the period is a shorter 11-12 seconds. The energy is strong (1204 to 1380), but with the wind cleaning it up, it might be the best of a bad bunch. However, it’s still powerful and big, so only for the experienced crew. The forecasts are marginal, so don’t get your hopes up too high.

Then we hit a flat spell. The 1st and 2nd of August are tiny – 3ft down to 1ft, with weak energy (90-98). Dead.

There is a bit of light at the end of the tunnel. On Monday the 3rd of August, we get a promising swell from the WSW with a very long period of 18 seconds. The swell is 4ft, and the wind is clean cross-off from the E. The energy is strong (2397). This is a beautiful, long-period groundswell. But remember, a long period like that can make a beach break close out. At Right Point (Cat Bay), this is a point break, so it should handle it well. This is the standout of the outlook – but it’s a long way out, so treat it as a promising possibility rather than a sure thing.

In short, we’ve got a solid 2-week block of poor to average surf, with the only real window of opportunity being the very end of the forecast. Keep an eye on that Monday the 3rd.

Rusty.

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