
Surf Forecasts:
Right Point (Cat Bay) surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 5,884 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Right Point (Cat Bay) this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Right Point (Cat Bay) in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 10s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve got to be straight with you – this 16-day window for Right Point (Cat Bay) is a tough one to write. We’ve got a whole lot of wind and messy conditions to work through before we see any real reward.
The overall pattern is pretty ordinary for a while. We’ve got a solid amount of swell in the water, especially from around Thursday the 23rd of July through to the end of the month, with combined wave energy readings climbing into the thousands (2278) and even hitting a massive 9295 on Friday the 24th. But here’s the kicker – the wind is all wrong. It’s mostly cross-onshore, blowing 15 to 31 mph, and that’s just going to chop everything up into a mess. For a point break like Right Point, that’s a real shame. The surf conditions are rated poor right through that period, and with a swell up to 12 ft, that’s only for the experts anyway, and even then it’s blown out.
There’s a bit of a gap in the good stuff. From now until the end of July, you’re looking at a solid 10 days of no real recommendations. The winds are just too strong and from the wrong direction. The water temperature is sitting at 57°, which is about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there.
Now, the standout window, and I mean the only one worth getting excited about, is right at the tail end of the forecast. We’re talking about Wednesday the 5th of August. The morning and afternoon both show “expect good surf conditions.” The swell is small, only 2 ft to 2 ft, coming from the SW with a very long period of 20 to 21 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and it’s going to wrap nicely into the point. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the south at 9 mph, which means clean, glassy faces. The combined energy is moderate (488 to 609). For a spot that’s tagged as “inconsistent,” this is a real treat. Just be aware, crowds are possible here, so get in early. The swell direction is a good match for the optimum.
If you’re a kite surfer, the big, windy, messy days from the 23rd to the 25th might look interesting, but for paddle surfing, it’s a no-go.
So, in short: sit tight through the first two weeks. The only real call is Wednesday the 5th of August – small, clean, and perfect for a point break. It’s a long way out, so don’t lock it in, but it’s the only one on the cards.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Tue afternoon, near gales from the WSW by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri night, light winds from the WNW by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
648 | 444 | 260 | 330 | 144 | 770 | 2278 | 2747 | 4190 | 5884 | 2372 | 2498 | 1569 | 1292 | 1440 | 534 | 384 | 224 | 150 | 226 | 537 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:44PM2.40m | 5:28AM2.18m | 5:21PM2.31m | 6:15AM2.11m | 5:57PM2.20m | 7:02AM2.04m | 6:33PM2.09m | 7:51AM1.98m | 7:12PM1.98m | 8:46AM1.93m | 7:57PM1.89m | 9:46AM1.91m | 8:51PM1.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:36AM0.53m | 11:11PM0.26m | 11:19AM0.68m | 11:52PM0.29m | 12:01PM0.83m | 00:32AM0.34m | 12:44PM0.96m | 1:13AM0.41m | 1:30PM1.07m | 1:58AM0.47m | 2:23PM1.16m | 2:49AM0.52m | 3:25PM1.22m | 3:45AM0.55m | |||||||
7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | |
— | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 15 | — | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 12 |
648 | 444 | 260 | 330 | 144 | 33 | — | 32 | 149 | 3411 | 2372 | — | — | — | 946 | 534 | 384 | 224 | 150 | 226 | 537 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 12 | E 10 | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — |
— | — | — | 294 | 2 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 10 | 34 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 4 | WSW 5 | SW 11 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | NW 4 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | — | NW 3 | NNW 2 | NW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 6 |
8 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 770 | 2278 | 2747 | 4190 | 5884 | 6 | 2498 | 1569 | 1292 | 1440 | — | 3 | 1 | 21 | 32 | 86 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 60 | 23 | 73 | 73 | 73 | 493 | 73 | 70 | 452 | 73 | 100 | 84 | 69 | 70 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 27 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Right Point (Cat Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Right Point (Cat Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Right Point (Cat Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Right Point (Cat Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










