Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

Right now, for the next week or so, it’s a bit of a rough patch. The surf is big, but the wind is just wrecking it. We’ve got a solid 3.0m SW groundswell with a long 15 to 16 second period on Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th, but the wind is howling from the NW at 45 km/h on Monday, and still a fresh 35 km/h on Tuesday. That onshore and cross-onshore wind is making a mess of things at Right Point (Cat Bay), so honestly, it’s unsurfable right now. The combined wave energy is through the roof – 3514 on Monday morning, 4104 Monday arvo – but with that wind, forget it.

That swell eases a bit by Wednesday the 15th, down to 2.0m, but we’re still looking at a moderate onshore breeze and poor conditions. Thursday the 16th is a bit nicer – the swell drops to 1.7m, still a long 15-second period from the SW, and the wind backs off to a light breeze. It’s still marginal, but you can see the light at the end of the tunnel. Thursday afternoon we get a light cross-shore wind, and the energy is still moderate at 1262.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday the 17th afternoon is the first real standout. The swell holds at a clean 1.6m from the SW, still a very long 16-second period, and the wind goes completely glassy with a slight air from the SE. That’s gold. The wave energy is moderate at 1297, and we’ve got “expect very good surf conditions” in the notes. This is a point break, so that long-period groundswell will wrap in beautifully, offering long, clean lines. It’s inconsistent though, so you might have to wait for the sets, but it’ll be worth it. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there – just typical winter conditions.

After that, the swell drops right off. Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th are small – down to 0.7m to 0.8m – and the wind turns onshore again, so it’s back to poor conditions. There’s a real lull here for a few days, with no real quality until the following week.

We do get a little bump on Tuesday the 21st. The swell picks up to 1.5m from the SW, 14-second period, and a light onshore wind in the morning, but the afternoon looks alright – a light SSE cross-off wind, clean conditions, and a moderate energy reading of 628. It’s not huge, but it’s rideable.

Then we’ve got another dry spell until Monday the 27th. This one looks promising, but it’s a long way out, so take it with a grain of salt. The forecast shows a 2.1m WSW swell, 10-second period, with a gentle offshore wind from the ESE in the morning. That’s a decent combo – clean, offshore lines, moderate energy at 867, and the notes say “expect very good surf conditions.” The afternoon gets a bit gusty with a fresh cross-off wind, but the morning window could be the pick of the second week.

So, overall, the best bet is Friday the 17th afternoon for clean, glassy conditions on a solid SW groundswell. The Monday the 27th morning is worth keeping an eye on too, but it’s less certain this far out. For the rest, it’s mostly a waiting game with a lot of onshore wind and small surf in between.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on that Friday session.
– Rusty

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