
Surf Forecasts:
Right Point (Cat Bay) surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 1,528 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Right Point (Cat Bay) this week:
The surf forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Right Point (Cat Bay) in the next 16 days are 2.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 10s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here.
Right now, the surf outlook for Right Point (Cat Bay) is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a solid window of decent swell rolling in, but the wind and conditions are going to play a major role in whether it’s actually worth paddling out. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The best bet in the whole 16-day window is going to be Thursday morning, 16 July. Swell is a clean 6 ft from the SW, and with a 15-second period, that’s proper groundswell. The energy is pumping at 1460 (moderate-strong), and the wind is a light cross-off breeze, so the face should be clean and lined up. This is a point break, so that long period will wrap in nicely – it’s not going to close out like a beachie. It’s an intermediate-level wave, and it’s worth noting that it’s inconsistent, so you might wait a bit for the sets, but when they come, they’ll be worth it. Crowds are possible here. This is the standout.
Thursday afternoon, 16 July is still fun with the same 6 ft SW swell, but the wind swings cross, and the rating drops a touch. Still a good option if you miss the morning.
Friday morning, 17 July sees the swell drop to 5 ft, still a solid 16-second period, but the wind is cross-on from the NNW, making it a bit choppy. Not worth the drive unless you’re desperate.
Saturday afternoon, 18 July is a glassy session with 4 ft SW swell – the combined energy is 586 (moderate). It’s small, but glassy conditions mean you could get some fun ones. Not a standout, but a nice little session.
Now, after that, there’s a long gap. From Sunday, 19 July through to Wednesday, 22 July, the swell drops to under 3 ft and the wind is onshore or cross-on from the NNW, making it mostly poor. Don’t bother.
Then we get a pulse of bigger swell around Thursday, 23 July – 5 ft in the morning, building to 8 ft in the afternoon from the WSW, with a 15-second period. The energy jumps to 5477 in the afternoon (strong), but the wind is a fresh cross-shore, making it lumpy. This is big, and at 8 ft, it’s only for experienced surfers. The quality is marginal due to the chop.
Friday morning, 24 July is a better bet for the big stuff – 7 ft SW swell, 15-second period, and a gentle cross-shore breeze. The energy is 1772 (moderate-strong). The waves will have some shape, but the wind is slightly cross, so it’s not perfect. Still, for the experienced crew, this is a solid session.
After that, the swell drops off again, and the wind stays messy. Tuesday morning, 28 July has a small, clean option with 4 ft SW swell and light cross-off winds – the energy is 339 (weak). It’s clean, but tiny. Not a standout.
So, to sum it up: Thursday morning, 16 July is the one to circle. After that, Friday morning, 24 July is the next best for the bigger, more powerful swell, but it’s for the experienced paddlers. The rest of the window is mostly a write-off, with a few small, clean windows that are only worth a look if you’re local and bored.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1594 | 1528 | 1363 | 1460 | 1480 | 1138 | 1281 | 1314 | 1053 | 791 | 586 | 374 | 228 | 172 | 112 | 361 | 145 | 268 | 212 | 253 | 335 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:10PM2.35m | 11:40PM2.14m | 1:06PM2.42m | 00:49AM2.19m | 1:57PM2.48m | 1:54AM2.24m | 2:43PM2.51m | 2:53AM2.27m | 3:26PM2.51m | 3:48AM2.27m | 4:06PM2.48m | 4:39AM2.24m | 4:44PM2.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:05PM0.94m | 6:18AM0.05m | 7:07PM0.79m | 7:18AM0.08m | 8:04PM0.62m | 8:13AM0.14m | 8:55PM0.46m | 9:04AM0.25m | 9:43PM0.34m | 9:51AM0.38m | 10:28PM0.27m | 10:36AM0.53m | 11:11PM0.26m | ||||||||
7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | |
— | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
1594 | 1528 | 1363 | 1460 | 1480 | 1138 | 1281 | 1314 | 1053 | 791 | 586 | 374 | 228 | 172 | 112 | 361 | 145 | 251 | 212 | 253 | 335 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | WSW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 14 | SW 18 | SE 10 | SE 10 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | 60 | 111 | 135 | 60 | 268 | 13 | 4 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SW 10 | SW 18 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | 37 | 22 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 12 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | — | NW 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | — | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 2 | 12 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Right Point (Cat Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Right Point (Cat Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Right Point (Cat Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Right Point (Cat Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










