Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Right, so the outlook for the next couple of weeks is a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s one window that’s got my attention. We’re looking at a solid groundswell rolling in, but the wind is gonna be your biggest enemy for most of the run. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The week starts off with some serious juice, but it’s not friendly. Tuesday morning the 14th is a non-starter. We’ve got a solid 10ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, packing a massive amount of energy (4084), but the wind is howling from the W at 25 mph, and it’s cross-onshore. That’s a recipe for absolute mess. It’s the same story Tuesday afternoon, with even stronger WSW wind at 31 mph. This is expert-only territory if you’re even thinking about it, and honestly, you’d be better off on a kite than a paddle board right now.

Wednesday the 15th, the swell drops a touch to 7ft from the SW, period still a long 14 seconds. The morning has a NW wind blowing offshore, but the data says the surf quality is still poor. The afternoon turns cross-onshore again. Not the day.

Thursday the 16th is where the window starts to crack open. The swell is 6ft to 6ft, still a solid SW groundswell (15-second period), but the wind drops right off in the afternoon to a glassy 3 mph from the SW – that’s a cross-shore, but so light it’s practically glass. The energy is still high (1229-1308). This is a genuine chance for some clean, lined-up waves at Right Point (Cat Bay), but it’s a point break, so that long period will keep the sets mellow and the paddling manageable. It’s still marginal, but it’s the best offer so far.

Friday the 17th builds on that. The afternoon looks the better bet with a WNW wind at 6 mph blowing offshore, and the swell is a nice 6ft from the SW with a 17-second period – that’s proper groundswell. The energy is cooking at 1944. This is a standout for the forecast period. The waves will have real power and shape, and with clean offshore wind, Right Point will be turning on. Just be aware, this spot is inconsistent, so don’t expect a conveyor belt, but when it fires, it’ll be worth the wait.

Saturday the 18th, the swell is dropping to 4ft to 5ft, but the afternoon is a gem. We get glassy conditions with a 3 mph E wind, and the swell direction is still W. The energy is lower (549-813), but for a clean, smaller wave, this is your beginner-friendly session. It’s the best quality day for the average surfer.

From Sunday the 19th onwards, it’s a long, slow fade. The swell drops below 3ft through the middle of the week and the wind turns ugly again, mostly cross-onshore and choppy. There’s a brief moment on Wednesday the 22nd afternoon with glassy conditions, but the swell is tiny at 3ft. The energy is pretty weak (181). That’s not really enough to get excited about.

The last week of the outlook is a real write-off. Strong, messy winds and small, weak swell. Even the 24th and 25th of July, which see a slight bump in size, are blown out by strong winds. It’s a blank run for the final stretch.

So, to sum it up: your best bet is the window from Friday the 17th of July afternoon through to Saturday the 18th of July afternoon. Friday afternoon is the standout for the bigger, more powerful, offshore-condition waves at Right Point. Saturday afternoon is the one for the glassy, smaller, clean fun. Don’t get your hopes up for anything in the second week.

Rusty.

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