Surf Forecasts:
Right Point (Cat Bay) surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 9,125 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Right Point (Cat Bay) this week:
The surf forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Right Point (Cat Bay) in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here, switching to feet and Fahrenheit.
Let’s be real – this 16-day stretch for Right Point (Cat Bay) is mostly a bust. We’ve got close to two weeks of nasty onshore winds and big, messy swell before anything clean shows up. The first real surf doesn’t pop until Thursday the 16th, and even that’s sketchy until the afternoon.
The water’s sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing strange.
The best window is Thursday afternoon, July 16th. We’re looking at a 5ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and the wind goes glassy – dead calm. That’s a dream scenario for a point break. The combined energy is moderate at 1043, so there’s enough juice to make it fun. This is the standout.
Friday July 17th is also strong. Friday morning brings a 6ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period, though a light cross-onshore breeze keeps it from being flawless. But Friday afternoon? Glassy again, 5ft, 16 seconds – that’s some serious groundswell. That long period gives the waves real shape and power, and at a point, it’ll reel off beautifully. The sets might be a little spaced out, but that just means you’ve got time to get back out.
After Friday, it’s all downhill. From Saturday the 18th, the wind turns back onshore, the swell drops under 4ft, and the energy fades to weak levels. The last week of July is a total loss – strong to near-gale winds, messy seas, nothing worth paddling for. There’s a spike in size on July 25th (6ft, 17-second period, energy of 2518), but with a strong breeze straight onshore, it’s blown to bits. That’s kite-surfing weather, not surfing.
So, if you want a wave, you’ve got two windows: Thursday afternoon and Friday afternoon, July 16th and 17th. After that, it’s a long wait.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NW on Sun morning, moderate winds from the W by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 10°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1547 | 2403 | 2390 | 3493 | 4013 | 9125 | 6440 | 3013 | 2229 | 1505 | 1203 | 862 | 899 | 1006 | 1384 | 1532 | 1248 | 813 | 549 | 386 | 282 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:11PM2.13m | 9:59AM2.23m | 9:16PM2.10m | 11:07AM2.28m | 10:27PM2.11m | 12:10PM2.35m | 11:40PM2.14m | 1:06PM2.42m | 00:49AM2.19m | 1:57PM2.48m | 1:54AM2.24m | 2:43PM2.51m | 2:53AM2.27m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:34PM1.04m | 3:02AM0.11m | 3:44PM1.08m | 4:07AM0.08m | 4:56PM1.04m | 5:14AM0.06m | 6:05PM0.94m | 6:18AM0.05m | 7:07PM0.79m | 7:18AM0.08m | 8:04PM0.62m | 8:13AM0.14m | 8:55PM0.46m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — |
mm | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | — | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 1547 | — | 2390 | 3493 | 4013 | 4993 | 3817 | — | 2229 | 1505 | 1203 | 862 | 899 | 1006 | 1384 | 1532 | 1248 | 813 | 549 | 386 | 282 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 23 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 23 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | WSW 13 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 47 | 2403 | 44 | 64 | 45 | 9125 | 6440 | 3013 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 458 | 666 | 100 | 259 | 530 | 69 | 73 | 73 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Right Point (Cat Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Right Point (Cat Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Right Point (Cat Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Right Point (Cat Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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