Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

The overall pattern is a bit of a mixed bag. We've got some serious swell energy rolling in, but the wind is going to be the main character for most of the run, and it's not always a friendly one. The first real chance to get wet doesn't look great, and there are long stretches where it's just a write-off as the wind howls. We're looking at a spot that's inconsistent, so you have to be patient.

The first day with any surf on the cards is the 31st of July, Friday afternoon. Right Point (Cat Bay) has a 4 ft SW swell, but it's coming in with a cross-on wind from the west at only 3 mph. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about average for the time of year. The energy is moderate (384), but the wave comment says it's marginal with questionable tide conditions. It's a possible, but don't get your hopes up.

Then the wind picks up. From Saturday, the 1st of August, right through to the morning of the 6th, it's a pretty grim run. The wind is mostly cross-on and fresh, with a couple of days of rain. Swell hangs around, getting up to 7 ft on the 4th, but it's all blown out and lumpy. The energy gets strong (over 1000 at times), but the conditions are poor. You wouldn't want to be out there.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on the afternoon of Thursday, the 6th of August. The wind swings to a light SSW cross-off breeze at 3 mph, and we get some clean conditions. The swell is tiny at 2 ft from the SW, but it's a long period 16-second groundswell. The energy is weak (243), and it's just surfable but very ordinary. Still, at least it's clean.

Friday the 7th of August afternoon offers a similar story with a 3 ft SW swell and a light north wind, giving us small, clean lines. It's marginal, but it's the best we've seen in a while.

Then we hit another rough patch. From the 8th of August to the morning of the 15th, the wind is back on it, blowing strong from the north or northwest. The swell is pumping, hitting 8 ft on the 11th of August with a massive energy reading of 3745, but it's all onshore, messy, and blown out. This is kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing. The size alone (over 8 ft) means it's for experts only, and even then, the wind is a nightmare.

Now, for the standout. The one to circle on your calendar is the afternoon of Saturday, the 15th of August. The wind drops to a light southerly, going glassy. The swell is a solid 7 ft from the SW, with a 16-second period. The energy is very strong (2099). The report says it's "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." This is the one. A long period groundswell like this will be best at a point break like Right Point (Cat Bay), holding that energy. It's the only time in the entire 16-day window where everything aligns for a proper session. But remember, it's an inconsistent spot, so when it breaks, you need to be on it. Crowds are sometimes around, so expect some company.

So, to sum it up: a lot of wind and frustration, but one absolute cracker on the 15th of August afternoon. That's the one to chase.

Rusty

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