Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right Point (Cat Bay). Let’s be real with each other – this stretch of coast is looking pretty grim for surfing over the next 16 days. The pattern is messy, the wind is your enemy most of the time, and even when there’s swell size, the quality is just not there. We’re talking a long, dry spell with no real standouts.

Starting off on Friday, 10 July, we’ve got a long-period SW groundswell at 15 seconds, showing moderate energy (724). The swell is around 4 ft, but the wind is a cross-onshore from the north at 9 mph, making it choppy. The water temp feels about average for the time of year, but the surf is marginal at best – a score that doesn’t inspire confidence.

Saturday, 11 July, the wind cranks up to 25-28 mph from the north, and the swell drops to 3 ft. It’s a mess. Sunday, 12 July, gets bigger – a SW swell of 8 ft to 10 ft, with very strong combined energy (2260-2822). That sounds exciting until you see the near-gale-force onshore and cross-onshore winds. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s going to be blown out and dangerous. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The whole first week is plagued by strong winds – Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday all have onshore winds over 22 mph with big, unruly swell (7 ft to 10 ft). The energy readings are huge (1505-4385), but the wave comment says “poor surf conditions” every single time. On Thursday, 16 July, it drops to 4 ft, but the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore. There’s a gap of several days here with no recommendations – just one marginal session after another.

Friday, 17 July, brings a 5 ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, and the energy is moderate (1165). The wind is still a light cross-onshore, so it’s only a marginal call. The long period means the waves will have good shape but long lulls between sets, and at a point break like Right Point, it might actually line up alright if the wind ever got offshore – but it doesn’t.

Saturday 18 July through to Wednesday 22 July is a washout. Winds are strong onshore, swells shrink to 2-5 ft, and the energy drops into the weak to moderate range (191-678). The conditions are messy, choppy, or just plain poor.

Then, on Thursday, 23 July, we get a flicker of hope. The afternoon shows a 7 ft SW swell with a 16-second period and strong energy (3234), and the wind swings light offshore from the NW at 6 mph. That’s a huge caveat – it’s a week and a half away, and long-range forecasts are promising but less certain. If it holds, this would be the one true standout in this whole outlook: clean, groundswell energy at a point break. The waves will be big and powerful, so only serious intermediates and experts should even consider it.

Friday, 24 July, the wind goes bad again – strong onshore blows it out with 8 ft of messy swell and massive energy (4510). And by Saturday, 25 July, it’s back to small, lumpy junk.

Bottom line: one potential gem on 23 July afternoon, but the rest is a write-off. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on that Thursday – but honestly, this is a tough run.

Rusty

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