Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what’s coming our way for the next couple of weeks. We’ve only got one spot firing on all cylinders here, Right Point (Cat Bay), so that’s where our focus is.

The water is sitting at 57°F right now, which is just a touch warmer than average for this time of year – about 1°F above normal. That’s nothing wild, just a little bonus.

We’ve got a slow start to the period. The first real chance to get wet looks to be Monday afternoon the 6th, with 3ft of SW swell and a solid period of 14 seconds. The combined swell energy is moderate at 409. The issue is, the wind is WSW at 3 mph which is cross, so it’s not going to be pristine. Not a write-off, just a bit of a ripple on the surface.

Tuesday the 7th shapes up a little better. The morning is cross again, but the afternoon shows some hope. The wind swings SE at 6 mph, going offshore. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the SW with a period of 16 seconds, and combined energy jumps to 560. That clean offshore breeze will make it surfable, though the wave comment says ‘good surf conditions’ – it’s still only a small swell.

Now, Wednesday the 8th is where we get a real standout. The afternoon session is the one to circle. We’ve got 5ft of SW groundswell with a very long period of 18 seconds. Combined energy is a solid 1828, so that’s moderate but packing some punch. The wind is SSE at 6 mph and offshore, making for clean lines. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. That long period means the waves will have some serious shape and power, but at a point break like this, it’ll handle it well. The downside is it’s inconsistent, and crowds are possible on a wave like this.

Thursday the 9th offers a bit of a reprieve if you missed Wednesday. The afternoon glass-off is looking tasty: ENE wind at 3 mph, dead glassy, with 4ft of SW swell at 15 seconds. The energy is lower at 472, but that glassy surface will make it feel like butter.

From Friday the 10th onward, we hit a rough patch. The wind picks up and stays messy – cross-onshore and strong, right through the weekend and into the following week. The swell does get bigger, but it’s blown-out and choppy. By Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th, we’re looking at 10ft to 12ft of SW swell, with combined energy over 4900 and 8735 respectively. That’s a lot of power, but the wind is howling at 31 mph or more. This is not for paddle surfing; this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than anything else.

After that windy mess, things calm down a little towards the end of the second week. Thursday the 16th afternoon shows promise again: the wind goes glassy from the SW at 3 mph with 5ft of SW swell. Combined energy is 1100 – moderate, but clean. The wave comment says ‘very good surf conditions’, so that’s a nice window.

The final little glimmer is Tuesday the 21st afternoon. The wind finally goes cross-off from the SSW at 6 mph, with 3ft of SW swell and a 12-second period. The energy is low at 376, but it’s clean.

So, if you’re picking your moments: Wednesday afternoon the 8th is the king of this forecast. The only other true standout is Thursday afternoon the 16th for a glassy, clean session. The rest is either small and cross, or big and blown out. Stay patient.

Rusty.

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