Surf Forecasts:
Right Point (Cat Bay) surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 8,588 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Right Point (Cat Bay) this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Right Point (Cat Bay) in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 12s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) over the next 16 days.
Alright, let’s break it down. This is gonna be a tough stretch more often than not. Right now there’s not much to get excited about and a whole lot that’s just blown to pieces or flat-out messy.
First up, we’re lookin' at a real rough scene for the first several days. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th see a building swell, but it’s accompanied by a nasty onshore flow that just tears these waves apart – really poor conditions here early on. By Monday the 13th and into Tuesday the 14th, the swell size jumps up over 10 ft, but unfortunately it’s comin’ from the SW with a solid 15-16 second period, which usually means more lined up waves, but the wind is whipping from the NW or WSW at gale to near-gale strength, so all that energy is just trashed and there’s combined energy in the thousands – but just a total no-go with that strong cross-onshore mess.
There is one small bright spot later on for Right Point (Cat Bay) despite the overall inconsistency. Lookin’ at Friday morning the 24th and into Saturday the 25th, the forecast actually cleans up a bit, with the winds going cross-offshore from the SSW and a 7-7 ft SW swell. Now, this is a point break, it’s fairly exposed to the SW swell, which matches nicely with the optimum direction, and with 14-15 seconds period, those waves will have some good power and lines. That is the window I’d pencil in if you want the best chance, but that’s over two weeks out, so treat that one as a ‘watch this space’ situation. It’s not perfect, but it could be the only rideable option in this whole run.
After Saturday the 25th, the conditions look like they might turn back into a messy cross-shore chop. There is a really long, quiet stretch between decent surf – that dry spell goes from the 11th all the way to about the 24th, so that’s a solid two weeks of junk. For consistent breaks, this area is always a bit fickle; blank runs like this are just part of the story here. The water temp is about average for the time of year.
So, yeah, for the most part I’m telling you to leave the board in the car, but the end of the 24th and start of the 25th might just be the one exception if the forecast holds. Until then, Rusty’s callin’ it quiet.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the N on Fri night, near gales from the NW by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue morning, light winds from the NW by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Fri 17 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 472 | 350 | 245 | 342 | 1717 | 2604 | 2682 | 3466 | 3631 | 8588 | 4414 | 3911 | 4089 | 1616 | 1255 | 984 | 802 | 802 | 706 | 1438 | 1513 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 7:46AM2.16m | 7:15PM2.16m | 8:51AM2.19m | 8:11PM2.13m | 9:59AM2.23m | 9:16PM2.10m | 11:07AM2.28m | 10:27PM2.11m | 12:10PM2.35m | 11:40PM2.14m | 1:06PM2.42m | 00:49AM2.19m | 1:57PM2.48m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:07AM0.22m | 1:31PM0.96m | 2:01AM0.16m | 2:34PM1.04m | 3:02AM0.11m | 3:44PM1.08m | 4:07AM0.08m | 4:56PM1.04m | 5:14AM0.06m | 6:05PM0.94m | 6:18AM0.05m | 7:07PM0.79m | 7:18AM0.08m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  | | | |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — |
 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 |
mm | — | — | — | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | — | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 472 | 350 | 245 | 342 | — | — | — | 3466 | 3631 | 4853 | — | — | 2633 | 1616 | 1255 | 984 | 802 | 802 | 706 | 1438 | 1513 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 304 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 62 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | NW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | — | — | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 1717 | 2604 | 2682 | 42 | 53 | 8588 | 4414 | 3911 | 4089 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 27 | 160 | 160 | 458 | 696 | 100 | 259 | 666 | 73 | 73 | 73 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Right Point (Cat Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Right Point (Cat Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Right Point (Cat Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Right Point (Cat Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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