Surf Forecasts:
Right Point (Cat Bay) surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 5,475 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Right Point (Cat Bay) this week:
The surf forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Right Point (Cat Bay) in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, it’s a tough run for Right Point at Cat Bay. The first week and a half is mostly blown out or just plain ugly – the wind’s been on the wrong side and the swell’s messy. You’re going to be waiting a long time for anything decent.
Thursday the 23rd through the middle of the next week: forget it. Cross-onshore winds at 25–28 mph, lumpy sea state, and swell that’s either too big or poorly shaped. Energy numbers are strong (up to 7264) but it’s all junk. Friday the 24th has a 10-foot SW groundswell with a 15-second period – a proper long-period groundswell, but the cross-onshore wind kills it. Even Saturday the 25th morning drops to 10 feet, still cross-onshore, still messy. Over 8 feet is expert territory anyway, and with the wind it’s not fun.
Wednesday the 29th morning: here’s a flash of promise. A 12-foot SW groundswell at 14 seconds, wind out of the south – cross-offshore and clean. The energy is 4626 – proper power. But the break is predicted to be too big. Right Point (Cat Bay) is a point, and a long-period SW swell this size can get heavy – it might close out or be too dangerous. The morning is scored 11 out of 10, but that’s a warning for the brave, not a recommendation. Afternoon drops to 10 feet, still cross-offshore, but only marginal conditions.
Thursday the 30th is the one to circle. Morning: a clean 6-foot SW groundswell at 13 seconds, with an east wind cross-offshore at 3 mph – near glassy. Energy is 1011, moderate but quality. Afternoon: 5-foot SW, still clean with a south cross-offshore at 6 mph. This is your window – clean, manageable, and a classic point break setup on a long-period groundswell. Crowds can happen here sometimes, so expect others in the water. Water temp is about average for this time of year.
After that, it fades. Friday the 31st through early August: small, weak swell (3–5 feet), mostly cross-on or onshore winds, and poor conditions. Energy drops into the hundreds (201–1302). Sunday August 2nd afternoon has a 5-foot SW groundswell with a light cross-shore – possible, but not a sure thing. Mostly, you’re waiting again.
In short: the first ten days are rough. Wednesday the 29th morning is expert-only, but Thursday the 30th is your best bet – clean, 4–5 feet and glassy. Get in then.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri night, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the WSW on Wed night, strong winds from the WSW by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 640 | 2350 | 2643 | 4834 | 3981 | 4631 | 2125 | 2770 | 1154 | 748 | 445 | 384 | 357 | 293 | 422 | 623 | 473 | 1194 | 2396 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 6:15AM2.11m | 5:57PM2.20m | 7:02AM2.04m | 6:33PM2.09m | 7:51AM1.98m | 7:12PM1.98m | 8:46AM1.93m | 7:57PM1.89m | 9:46AM1.91m | 8:51PM1.82m | 10:50AM1.93m | 9:54PM1.78m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:52PM0.29m | 12:01PM0.83m | 00:32AM0.34m | 12:44PM0.96m | 1:13AM0.41m | 1:30PM1.07m | 1:58AM0.47m | 2:23PM1.16m | 2:49AM0.52m | 3:25PM1.22m | 3:45AM0.55m | 4:35PM1.22m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — |
mm | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | — | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | — |
| kJ | 77 | — | 32 | 149 | — | 2633 | 2125 | 1724 | — | 748 | 445 | 384 | 357 | 293 | 422 | 623 | 473 | 1194 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 15 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 10 | 12 | 75 | — | — | 239 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WNW 4 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | — | NW 4 | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | W 4 | SW 10 |
| kJ | 640 | 2350 | 2643 | 4834 | 3981 | 4631 | 21 | 2770 | 1154 | — | 9 | — | — | 7 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 38 | 2396 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 73 | 73 | 73 | 73 | 70 | 100 | 100 | 70 | 69 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 471 | 10 | 2 | 70 | 73 | 660 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Phillip Island | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Right Point (Cat Bay) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Right Point (Cat Bay) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Right Point (Cat Bay) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Right Point (Cat Bay)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Right Point (Cat Bay) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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