Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good hard look at what’s cookin’ for Right Point at Cat Bay. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, but fair warning: it’s gonna be a bit of a battle to find the good stuff.

Overall Pattern

Right out of the gate, we’re in for a rough stretch. Strong, nasty winds and messy conditions are going to dominate the first week and a half. The swell is there, but it’s gonna be blown to bits. We’re looking at a real gap in quality surf from the start of the period all the way through to the end of the first week of August. After that, things start to calm down, and we get a couple of real windows of opportunity, especially around the 5th and 10th of August.

The Long Grind (27th July – 3rd August)

From Monday the 27th of July onward, it’s a write-off. We’ve got cross-on winds from the north gusting up to 31 mph, and the water’s getting churned up. The combined energy is moderate (317) but the quality is poor. On Tuesday the 28th, it gets even worse with a near gale from the NNW at 31 mph, making the water a mess. The swell is 4 ft from the SW, but you won’t want to paddle out. Wednesday the 29th sees a massive spike in energy – we’re talking 12 ft SW swell with a 16-second period, giving a combined energy of 6029! That’s a serious amount of juice, but it’s completely wrecked by a 34 mph cross-shore gale. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s not clean. The wind finally eases a bit by Thursday the 30th, but we’re still looking at cross-onshore winds and choppy, messy conditions. Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st of August are a bit smaller, but still not worth the drive. Things stay pretty grim through Sunday and Monday the 3rd of August, with strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy surf.

The Window Opens (4th – 5th August)

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday the 4th of August is a real surprise. The morning brings glassy conditions with an easterly wind at just 3 mph. The swell is a clean 4 ft from the SW with a 13-second period, and combined energy is 597. This is the kind of day you wait for. The water temperature is 13°, which is about normal for this time of year. The afternoon looks even better, with the same glassy conditions and a touch more energy (757). The forecast says “very good surf conditions” – and I’m feeling it.

Then, Wednesday the 5th of August is the real standout. The morning is a bit choppy, but the afternoon... oh boy. Clean, offshore winds from the SE at 3 mph, with a 5 ft SW swell and a very long 17-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy (1512). This is a point break, so that long period will wrap in beautifully, offering some long, lined-up walls. This is the best session on offer. It’s a bit big for the beginners, but for the intermediates and up, this is the one.

The Letdown and the Late Surge (6th – 11th August)

After that high, we get a bit of a letdown. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th of August are back to poor, onshore, choppy conditions. The swell drops off and the wind picks up from the north again. The weekend of the 8th and 9th is a washout with strong winds and messy surf.

But then, Monday the 10th of August. This is a late-charge standout. The swell is 8 ft to 10 ft from the SW, with a solid 13-14 second period. The combined energy is massive: 2700 to 5354. The wind is a clean, cross-offshore breeze from the south. This is powerful, heavy, and clean. This is for experienced surfers only – over 8 ft is not messing around. The direction shifts slightly to WSW, but the wind is perfect. Tuesday the 11th of August has a cleaner, smaller option with offshore winds, but the real power is the day before.

Crowds & Consistency

Right Point is an inconsistent break, so when it turns on, it can be a bit of a zoo. The crowds are listed as “sometimes” there, but on a quality day like the 5th or the 10th, expect company. The ocean is a fickle beast, and this forecast shows it. We had a long gap of poor surf, but when it's good, it's really good here.

Final Word

For me, the pick of the bunch is the afternoon of Wednesday the 5th of August. Clean, offshore, 5 ft SW groundswell with a long period – it’s going to be a beautiful session. The second standout is the morning of Monday the 10th of August, if you’re an experienced surfer looking for a heavy, powerful, and clean swell. Just be prepared for the size.

Rusty out.

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