Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about what’s cooking at Right Point (Cat Bay). We’re in for a rough ride for most of this forecast period – a lot of messy, blown-out conditions before a couple of windows of redemption.

Right Point is a point break, and it’s pretty exposed to swell, but the ideal direction is west. We’ve got a solid, long-period groundswell coming from the southwest for the first week and a half. The problem? The wind is cruel. For nearly the entire first week, we’ve got strong cross-onshore and onshore winds, mostly from the northwest and west. That’s going to turn what could be a decent 4ft to 12ft southwest swell into a total mess. The combined swell energy is brutal, hitting up to a heavy reading on the 5th, but the conditions are "poor surf conditions" back-to-back. The period is long – around 14 to 16 seconds – which is great for shape and power, but with that wind, you’re just looking at blown-out lumps. This spot is inconsistent to begin with, so it’s a real shame.

Things get a lifeline on Monday the 7th. The swell drops a bit to 4ft from the southwest, the period is still a meaty 13 seconds, and the wind finally swings to a light south-southwesterly. It’s a cross-offshore breeze, and the report says "clean." The combined energy is down to moderate. That morning is the first real chance for a tidy wave. Still, the crowds will be around "sometimes," so you might have to share. The water temp... let’s just say it’s about average for this time of year.

The next real standout is Thursday the 10th. We’ve got a 8ft southwest swell, period at 15 seconds, and the wind is a light south-southwesterly cross-offshore again. The report says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers" and the combined energy is moderate-strong. That’s the pick of the entire 16 days. For a point break, that long-period swell and clean offshore wind will set up some beautiful, ripable lines. A few days after that, Friday the 11th has a decent 8ft swell with a 17-second period, but the wind is a light north-northwesterly onshore, which will mess up the face a bit. Still, it’s "clean" and might offer a few, but not quite the same quality as the 10th.

Honestly, if you’re surfing here, you’re waiting for the 7th and the 10th. The rest is a lot of wind and chop. For most of the first 10 days, it’s a closed-out circus due to the wind. There’s a brief glimmer on the 13th in the afternoon with a cross-offshore breeze on a 7ft swell, but the period drops to 13 seconds and the wind is a fresh breeze, so it'll still be lumpy.

For the second week, after the 11th, it falls apart again. By the 12th, the winds pick up and the quality tanks. The 15th and 16th are a total write-off with near-gale cross-shore winds. Don’t even look at it.

I’d paddle out Thursday morning, September 10th, for the best of the bunch. It’s not for beginners, though – over 8 feet is expert territory, and that 8ft south-west swell with a 17-second period will be pumping hard. The combination of that big, clean swell with the cross-offshore breeze is a real treat. You’ll get long rides and a lot of power.

Rusty.

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