Right Point (Cat Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right Point (Cat Bay) is your only real option in this whole 16-day stretch, and honestly, it’s a bit of a heartbreaker. Right now, we’re looking at a whole lot of nothing good – the kind of run that makes you want to just stare at the ocean and sigh. The first week is pretty much a write-off. Thursday the 6th is flat and washed out, with that 2ft of weak SW swell and a moderate onshore breeze – the energy’s only at 224, which is next to nothing. Friday the 7th starts to show a little pulse, but it’s still early. The morning’s a bit messy with a cross-on light breeze, but the afternoon is where it gets interesting. The wind drops off to glassy, the swell pushes to 5ft from the SW with a solid 15-second period, and the energy jumps to 1054. That’s a moderate kick, and for a point break like this, it’s going to be clean. That’s your first real standout – Friday afternoon. It’s not huge, but it’s clean, and that’s a rare thing around here right now.

Then the weekend turns to garbage again. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are blown out – fresh to strong cross-onshore winds, lumpy, messy, with the swell dropping back down to 3ft or less. Not worth the paddle. The water temp is 56°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. You just feel the cold when you’re sitting out there waiting for a set that never comes.

Monday the 10th is a tease. The swell jumps up – 13ft in the morning with a big energy spike to 3362, and the afternoon goes even bigger at 10ft but with a 17-second period and energy at a strong 7359. But it’s all for nothing, mate. The wind is onshore and strong, and it’s just a complete mess. This is when the setup looks way more interesting for kite surfers than for anyone holding a paddle. Forget it.

The rest of the first week is more of the same – blown out, strong winds, lumps, and chop. Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th are all poor, with the wind picking up to near gale on Wednesday afternoon, while the swell stays big and angry. Thursday the 13th is even worse – 12ft of swell with fresh cross-onshore winds and energy in the 7000s. It’s just raw power with zero shape.

Moving into the second week, things start to settle down, but it takes a while. Friday the 14th is still poor, Saturday the 15th has a slight improvement to a cross-off breeze in the afternoon, but the swell is still over 7ft and the wind is fresh. It’s marginal at best. Then we finally get a proper window. Sunday the 16th is your second and best standout. The morning has 5ft of SW swell with a beautiful light cross-off wind – clean, glassy conditions, and the energy is moderate at 1096. The afternoon goes even better – the wind turns offshore from the SE, 5ft of clean swell, and energy at 825. For a point break that’s inconsistent, this is a day you wait for. The sets will be a bit more spread out, but when they come through, they’ll have real push from that south-west groundswell.

After that, it’s back to average. Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th are poor again, with cross-onshore winds and weak swell. Wednesday the 19th is more of the same – choppy and messy. Thursday the 20th has a pulse of long-period swell (21 seconds!) but the wind is onshore and it’s all for nothing. The last day, Friday the 21st, is blown out with a near gale from the southwest – just forget it.

So in the end, you get two real windows: Friday the 7th afternoon and Sunday the 16th. Both are clean, point break days with head-high-plus swell – around 5ft to 5ft from the southwest. They’re the ones worth the effort. The rest of the run is either too small, too messy, or too big and blown out. Keep your eye on that Sunday – it’s the one that’ll stick in your memory.

Rusty.

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