Addington (South Beach) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surf fans, it’s Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.

The next week and a half is looking pretty bleak for the South Beach stretch, if I’m being honest. We’ve got a whole lot of small, junky swell and iffy winds that are going to keep things mostly flat and frustrating. The water’s sitting at 71° Fahrenheit, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Don’t get too worked up about the lack of waves right now, though. The longer-range charts are showing a pulse of real energy, but it’s still a ways off, so we’ll just have to be patient.

Wednesday the 5th is a washout. Tiny 3.3ft swell from the ESE with a cross-on breeze in the morning, and then it goes fully onshore by the afternoon. The energy is weak at 213, so it’s basically a lake out there. Nothing to ride.

Thursday the 6th drops even further. The morning is glassy, which is nice, but there’s barely a bump at 2.6ft. It’s surfable, just, but it’s so weak and ordinary that you’d be doing it for the paddle, not the ride. Then the wind howls in from the SSW at 22 mph in the afternoon and chops it all up. Poor conditions, no doubt.

Friday the 7th keeps the tiny theme going. A 1.6ft blast from the SSW in the morning with a 13-second period shows a little groundswell energy, but it’s still under 2ft. The period is long, but there’s just no size to it. Glassy conditions in the morning with a light SSE air will keep it clean, but you’ll be waiting for sets that never come. A score of 1 out of 10 sums it up.

We have a few days of nothing really. Saturday the 8th has a brief bump of long-period SSW energy showing 1.3ft at 16 seconds, but it’s buried under 12-16 mph onshore winds. It’s just messy and weak. Sunday the 9th is a bit better with a 3.6ft swell from the ENE, but the winds are offshore from the S, which is clean, but the energy is still weak at 259. You’ll catch a few crumbly ones, but nothing to write home about.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. We’ve got a big gap of flatness, but the models are hinting at something real arriving on Monday the 10th. A solid 11.5ft S swell is forecast to push in with a strong 2427 energy reading. That’s a serious step up. The morning looks fresh offshore from the SW, which will keep it clean. But this is a big one. At 11.5ft, this is expert territory only. Beginners, stay on the beach. It’s a bit of a raw and powerful one, with light rain in the air, so expect some heaving, challenging conditions. It’s a score of 3 out of 10, mostly because it’s going to be big and raw, and for a sheltered spot like this, it could be closing out.

Tuesday the 11th is still pumping with a similar 11.5ft SSE swell, but the winds stay strong from the SSW, keeping it bumpy and tricky. This is still big and angry, and the energy is at 2104. It’s not going to be a fun paddle, that’s for sure. We’re still well into expert-only territory here.

The standout, though, if it all comes together, is Thursday the 13th. The swell is still a solid 11.5ft from the ESE, but the period jumps to 11 seconds, showing proper groundswell. The morning wind is a moderate offshore from the SSW, which is exactly what we want. The energy reading is a massive 2813, and this is when the break will show its true colors. This is the best on offer, a real taste of power and clean conditions for experienced surfers. It’s still big, so experts only, but this could be the day.

Friday the 14th will still have some size at 8.2ft from the ESE with a 11-second period, and the winds will be light cross-off. This is still heavy, but with less intensity than Wednesday. It’s a good option for the strong swimmers out there, but it’s still not for the faint of heart.

Saturday the 15th is where things start to ease off. The swell drops to 5.6ft, and we get a period of dead calm, glassy conditions in the morning. This is a much more manageable size, and the clean conditions will make it look nice. It’s still not huge, but for a sheltered spot, this could be the pick for the more competent surfer.

After that, it’s a fade-out. The swell trickles down through the 5ft range with onshore winds from the NE from the 16th to the 17th, which will mess things up. By the 18th

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