Addington (South Beach) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's be straight with you—this is a rough stretch for Addington (South Beach). The forecast is a long, flat, and blown-out run with nothing to get excited about for a solid week and a half. The first decent surf isn't even on the radar until the tail end of the 16-day window. The water temp is sitting at 70°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The opening days are a write-off. Tuesday morning, 8 September, kicks off with a meager 3ft south swell, but it's blown to bits by a 19 mph onshore NE wind. That combined energy is weak at 530, and the report says it's poor. The afternoon gets worse—a messy 6ft ENE windswell with a short, gutless 7-second period and a 22 mph onshore wind. The energy climbs to 714, but it's ugly. Wednesday and Thursday are more of the same—onshore NE winds, short-period ENE swell, all poor. Friday, 11 September, offers a small 4ft east swell with a 9-second period, and the wind swings to a cross-off S breeze, but it's still rated as poor surf. The energy is low at 321. Saturday and Sunday look like a complete washout—onshore winds, choppy, poor conditions.

We then hit a long gap. From Saturday, 12 September, right through to Wednesday, 16 September, there's nothing but onshore wind and small, weak swell. The only flicker of hope comes on Wednesday afternoon, 16 September, when the wind drops to a glassy 3 mph from the south and the swell coaxes out to 4ft from the east. The energy is low at 260, and it's described as "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." That's as close to a surf as you'll get, but it's not worth paddling out for.

After that, it's back to poor conditions until we get to the second week. The real interest—and it's a big maybe—is on Saturday, 19 September. A hefty 12ft SSE groundswell rolls in, with a long 12-second period. The combined energy is a massive 3761, so there's plenty of power. The wind is a cross-off 9 mph from the SSW, which should keep things clean. The downside is that this is a sheltered beach break, and a long-period swell like this often breaks too straight, making it tricky. The report says it's marginal, and the size is over 8ft, so this is expert territory only. This is the standout, but it's a long way out and not certain.

Sunday, 20 September, sees a drop in size to 8ft SE swell, but the wind cranks up to 28 mph from the SSW, making it a howling, messy affair. Not worth it. The best bet for the whole window might be Monday, 21 September. The swell drops to 7ft from the SE, but the wind is dead calm—glass off. The period is a very long 13 seconds, and the energy is 1831. The report says "expect very good surf conditions." This is the one to circle on the calendar. A 7ft swell is still big, and with no wind, it'll be clean. But again, it's a week away, and the long period could make it shut down at a beach break. For a sheltered spot like Addington, it might be the best chance for a proper session.

After that, the window closes again. Tuesday and Wednesday, 22 and 23 September, see the swell drop to small, weak junk with onshore winds. Nothing to see.

So, to sum it up: there's a long, dry run of poor surf until the second week. The only true standouts are the Saturday, 19 September, 12ft SSE groundswell with clean cross-off winds, but it's big and expert-only. The very best on offer is Monday, 21 September, with a 7ft SE swell and glassy conditions. That's your best chance. Everything else is a write-off.

Rusty.

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