J-Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for J-Bay.

We’re kicking off with a solid run of surf. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.

Friday morning, July 3rd, we’ve got a nice 7ft SE swell rolling in with an 11-second period. The wind is a cross-off from the NW, keeping things clean. The combined energy is strong at 2159, so there’s plenty of push. This is excellent for experienced surfers. Friday afternoon turns glassy with a northerly breeze dropping to nothing, and the swell bumps up a touch to 8ft from the SE – a stunning afternoon on the cards.

Saturday the 4th holds that quality. Morning sees a 7ft SE swell with a longer 12-second period, clean under a NW cross-off. Afternoon goes glassy again with an ESE breeze and a slightly smaller 6ft SE swell. This is prime J-Bay.

Sunday the 5th morning still has clean 5ft surf from the SE, but it’s dropping. The afternoon turns cross-on from the south, and the quality dips – it’s getting marginal.

Monday the 6th brings a change. The swell swings to the SW, 7ft with a 12-second period. Morning is glassy with a NNW breeze – that’s your best bet for the day. The afternoon gets an onshore easterly, so morning all the way.

Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th keep the SW swell going, 7ft to 8ft, 12-14 seconds. Winds are cross-off from the WSW, keeping it clean. By Wednesday afternoon, the swell is pushing 10ft and the energy is cranking at 3298 – this is big and powerful, for experienced surfers only now.

Thursday the 9th sees the swell pumping. Morning is 8ft from the SSW, 14 seconds, but the wind goes onshore from the SE, so it’s not clean. Afternoon gets even bigger – 12ft SSW, 15-second period, very long period groundswell, but onshore winds again. This is heavy, messy, and for experts only if they can find a window.

Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th are messy with onshore and cross-on winds from the east, swell still big at 8ft to 10ft from the SSW. Not great for paddle surfing – this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We hit a rough patch from Sunday the 12th through Monday the 13th. Poor surf, onshore winds, rain, and dropping swell. Tuesday the 14th morning offers a small reprieve with a clean 4ft easterly swell under a NW cross-off, but it’s weak.

Now, here’s the standout. The forecast is pointing to something special around the 16th and 17th of July. On Thursday the 16th morning, we’ve got a massive 16ft SW swell with a 12-second period, and the wind is offshore from the west, 15 km/h – gentle offshore and clean. The energy is off the charts at 6973. This is exceptional surf for expert surfers only – it’s huge. Thursday afternoon gets even bigger at 18ft SW, but it goes cross-shore.

Then Friday the 17th morning is glassy, 13ft SW swell – clean and powerful. And Saturday the 18th keeps the run going: 12ft S swell, 12 seconds, with light NNW wind in the morning and glassy conditions in the afternoon.

The absolute standout is Thursday the 16th of July – that 16ft SW swell with clean offshore wind is the one to circle. It’s a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it, but if it holds, that’s a session to remember. For the more moderate crowd, Friday the 17th morning is also a serious contender with glassy 13ft surf.

Rusty.

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