Super Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break down what’s coming for the next couple of weeks.

First up, we’ve got a proper run of groundswell heading into Super Tubes. This is a reef and point set-up, so it loves a good SW groundswell, and that’s exactly what’s on the cards. The water temperature is a brutal 58°F right now, which is a whopping 8°F colder than normal for this time of year – that’s a real shock to the system, so get the thickest wetsuit you’ve got.

The early part of the week is a bit of a write-off. Wednesday 26th is a total mess: 10ft of SSW swell but with a strong onshore wind from the east at 35 km/h, and the combined energy is a massive 4653 (moderate to strong) but it’s just blown out. Forget it.

Thursday 27th and Friday 28th are marginal – small, with tricky conditions. The swell drops to 7ft and then 4ft, and while there’s a moment of glassy wind on Friday morning, the scores are just too low to get excited.

Saturday 29th is where it starts to turn. We get a clean 3ft swell from the south in the morning with a light offshore from the WSW at 10 km/h, and the energy is 478 (moderate). By the afternoon, it’s a 3ft SW groundswell with a 13-second period, and a moderate offshore breeze at 20 km/h. The water is still cold, but the conditions are clean. It’s a good little session, but nothing to write home about.

Sunday 30th is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning is messy – 8ft of short-period SW swell with a strong offshore at 40 km/h. That’s a strong offshore and clean, but the period is only 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit of a close-out mess. The afternoon, however, is a solid 7ft from the WSW at 8 seconds, with a moderate offshore and a combined energy of 995 (moderate). It’s clean, but those short-period swells are tricky.

Now, the real standout is Monday 1st September. The morning is glassy, with a 8ft SW groundswell at 11 seconds, and a combined energy of 1567 (strong). This is for experienced surfers only – that’s a big wave. The afternoon is even better: 10ft from the SW at 13 seconds, with a gentle cross-offshore breeze and a combined energy of 3310 (strong). This is top-tier, but you’ll need to be on your game.

Tuesday 2nd September is another big one. The morning brings 12ft of SW groundswell at 13 seconds, with a moderate offshore at 20 km/h, and a combined energy of 3883 (strong to very strong). That’s serious power. The afternoon stays solid at 10ft, but the wind swings a bit cross-off. It’s still clean, but the morning is the pick.

Then it gets wild. Thursday 3rd and Friday 4th September see a massive SSE swell push through. Thursday is a total loss – 23ft of swell with gale-force onshore winds at 65 km/h. That’s a huge, dangerous, blown-out mess. Friday 4th is still absurdly big at 23ft, but the wind is a cross-shore, making it slightly more manageable. The combined energy is 23528 (very strong) – this is not for paddling. This is big-wave, jet-ski territory. It’s also worth noting that with this much swell and strong wind, this break looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Saturday 5th September is still massive at 16ft from the SSE, but the afternoon has a moderate offshore from the SW at 20 km/h, and the combined energy is 9920 (very strong). The conditions are clean, and it’s exceptional for expert surfers. Sunday 6th drops to 8ft from the SE with a cross-offshore, and the energy is 3056 (strong). A solid, clean option for experienced surfers.

After that, the swell fades. Monday 7th September has a 5ft SE swell with a light offshore, and the energy is 1113 (moderate). It’s clean and fun for a paddle. The rest of the week into the 10th is small, with short-period swells and onshore winds. The 9th has a tiny 2ft glassy morning, but it’s very ordinary.

So, the standout is Monday 1st September – that morning glassy 8ft SW groundswell is a proper session for those who can handle it. The back-up is Saturday 5th September afternoon, a massive 16ft clean wave for the experts. The rest is a mix of small, clean, and marginal.

Rusty.

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