Dumps Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break this down for our imperial crew. Only one break in the mix for the next sixteen days: Dumps (sandbar, inconsistent, and intermediate-level). This spot needs the right push to get going, and there are a few moments when it’ll be worth the look.

First real action isn’t until Thursday the 10th of September. Wednesday the 9th is a nothing-show with a weak 3 ft, 13-second WSW swell and a cross-off wind – a tease at best, with water temp at 57°F, a bit colder than normal for this time of year.

Thursday morning the 10th is the standout. Solid 8 ft swell from the SW, 14-second period, and a 15 km/h cross-off wind from the South. That’s clean. The combined wave energy is moderate-to-strong (2457). This is for experienced surfers only – too big for beginners – but if you’re skilled, this is the session. The SW direction lines up perfectly with Dumps. No crowd info given, so you might score some solitude.

Thursday afternoon drops to 7 ft with a 13-second period, still clean, but energy dips. Still a good session if you miss the morning.

Friday the 11th fades fast – 6 ft in the morning, down to 5 ft by afternoon, with cross-off winds. Short period (12 seconds) and weak energy. Not worth the paddle.

Saturday the 12th builds again: 7 ft in the morning, rising to 8 ft by the afternoon with a long 17-second period from the SW. That’s heavy groundswell, and the combined energy is strong (3312). But that super long period can make a sandbar like Dumps close out or run straight, and the cross-off wind from the SE at 25 km/h (16 mph) isn’t ideal for shape. For experts only.

Sunday the 13th backs off to 6 ft with light onshore winds – marginal.

Then we hit a nasty patch from Monday the 14th through Tuesday the 15th. Strong onshore winds (N/NW, 30-35 km/h or 19-22 mph) and lumpy, choppy surf. The swell is messy – from 4 ft to 8 ft – but it’s windswell with periods as low as 7 seconds. Poor surf. With that wind and the beach setup, this is more of a kite session than a paddle session.

Wednesday the 16th brings a big, raw 10 ft swell from the SW/SSW, with periods of 10-13 seconds and strong energy (3379-3971). But the wind is a fresh cross-off from the SSE at 30-35 km/h (19-22 mph). Clean face but massive. Experts only.

Then a nice cool-down: Thursday morning the 17th – 4 ft, SW swell, 12-second period, and offshore wind from the SE at 10 km/h (6 mph). Clean and light. “Expect very good surf conditions” is a solid nod. Good for intermediates.

The second real standout is Friday morning the 18th of September: 8 ft from the SW, 15-second period, cross-off wind from the SSE at just 5 km/h (3 mph) – nearly glassy. Combined energy is strong (2526). Clean, powerful groundswell, well-directed. Over a week out, but one to circle.

Saturday the 19th holds similar size (7-8 ft) with a bit more wind (20 km/h / 12 mph cross-off). Still clean, still good, but not as perfect as Friday.

From Sunday the 20th onward, the swell drops fast. By Monday the 21st we’re at 3 ft, and the rest is small and onshore. Not worth it.

Bottom line: For experienced surfers, Thursday morning the 10th is the gold – big, clean, and on-point. The second-best window is Friday morning the 18th, with clean 8 ft surf and light winds. Everything else is either too small, too blown out, or too inconsistent. Dumps is a fickle spot, so when it lines up, you gotta be there.

Rusty.

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