Dumps Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the Dumps over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but once the swell kicks in, it’s going to get proper hefty. The water is sitting at 56°, which is a good 4° colder than what we’d normally expect for this time of year. That’s a notable chill, so you’ll want a good steamer.

The real action kicks off on Tuesday, the 1st of September. The morning sees a solid 10ft SW groundswell rolling in with a period of 13 seconds, packing some serious energy (2639). The wind is light cross from the SW, so it’ll be a bit lumpy, but that’s a lot of water moving. By Wednesday morning, the 2nd of September, things clean up nicely. The same 10ft SW swell is still pumping (3169 combined energy), and with a light S cross-offshore breeze, it’s going to be clean. The period is still 13 seconds, so you’ll get those long, waiting sets – makes paddling out easier between them. This is definitely the standout of the first week. Keep in mind, 10ft is getting big, so this one is for the experienced crew only.

Thursday the 3rd is a write-off. The swell jumps to 16ft from the SSW with a short 10-second period, but the wind is howling from the SSE at 28 mph. That’s just a messy, dangerous ocean. The energy reading is off the charts (6056), but it’s not for surfing. More of a kite-surfing show if anything.

We drop right off after that. The 4th and 5th of September are tiny, with a 3ft WSW swell on Friday and just 1.0ft on Saturday. The energy is weak (99-176). The wind is offshore, but there’s just nothing to ride. A gap of a few days with no real surf.

Things perk up the following week. Sunday the 6th of September has a nice 5ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period, which is a very long period. The energy is decent (975) and the wind is moderate offshore from the SE. That long period means the waves will have some real shape and punch, but at a sandbar like Dumps, it might break a little too straight. Still, clean and solid.

The next real highlight is a bit further out. Saturday the 12th of September. The swell is back up to 6ft to 7ft from the WSW, with a solid 13-second period. The energy is strong (1317-1643). The mornings look cleanest with a light S cross-off breeze. It’s a promising swell, but being that far out (nearly two weeks), the timing is less certain. Sunday the 13th stays similar, around 7ft, but the wind gets a bit stronger.

The last few days of the outlook get messy again. The 14th and 15th see the swell dropping and the wind turning onshore from the north, turning the place into a chop-fest. Not worth the paddle.

So, the real standout for the Dumps is the Wednesday morning, 2nd of September. 10ft SW, clean, powerful. For the second week, keep an eye on the 12th of September – that 6ft WSW swell with clean wind looks like the best bet if the forecast holds.

Rusty, signing off.

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