Dumps Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about this stretch ahead. The first real surf shows up on Tuesday the 11th, and we’re looking at a solid run of waves, but there’s a bit of a lull to end the first week.

The main event is Dumps (sandbar). It’s an inconsistent spot, so when it lines up, you want to be on it. The water is a nippy 56°F, which is a good 4°F colder than usual for this time of year – that’s a notable chill, so bring a thicker suit.

We kick off Tuesday morning, the 11th, with a clean 7ft swell from the south, with a period of 12 seconds. The wind is light and offshore from the ESE at 6 mph, making for some nice, clean lines. The combined energy is pumping at 1359. This is excellent for experienced surfers, as it’s over 5ft. The afternoon drops to 4ft from the SSW, still clean and very good.

Wednesday the 12th is a standout. You’ve got a 6ft SW groundswell, with a long period of 18 seconds. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the east at 6 mph. The energy is massive at 2329. This is where the long period really shines – those waves will have proper shape and power, though at a beach/sandbar setup like this, that long period can make them a bit straight. Still, for the experienced crew, this is the pick of the first week.

Thursday the 13th gets a bit trickier. The swell builds to 8ft from the SW (17 second period), and the energy is huge at 3307. But the wind goes cross-shore from the NNE, making it a bit lumpy. This is getting into expert-only territory with the size. Friday is a write-off with onshore and cross-on winds, so we’ll skip that.

Then Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th see a reprieve. The swell drops to a more manageable 6–6ft from the WSW, with a 14-second period. Saturday morning is glassy, with a slight air from the SE. Sunday morning is also glassy. The energy is moderate, around 1182 to 1138. These are the best windows for a wider range of surfers, as the conditions are clean and the size is fun.

After that, Monday the 17th gets a bit messy with cross-on winds, and Tuesday the 18th sees a big bump to 10ft, but with onshore and cross-on winds, making it a choppy mess. That’s more for the kite crew than paddlers.

There’s a dry spell from the 21st, with poor conditions and onshore winds. The 22nd and 23rd look promising again, with a clean 8–8ft SW swell on the 22nd, and a glassy 7ft on the 23rd. The energy jumps back up to 5057 on the 22nd afternoon – that’s strong. The last week of the month sees a mix of clean, smaller swells (4ft to 6ft) with light cross-offshore winds, offering consistent, clean waves for the daily surfer.

So for the best of the run: hit Wednesday the 12th for power and size, or Saturday morning the 15th for clean, glassy fun. The long-range stuff on the 22nd and 23rd is promising but less certain.

Rusty.

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