Dumps Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, g'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks. We've got a bit of a slow start, but there's a proper run of solid swell building in, with a few standout days for the experienced crew.

We kick off on Monday 3 August with clean, glassy conditions at Dumps. The water is a cool 56° and that's 4° colder than usual for this time of year, so it's a fair bit chillier than you'd expect. The swell is a nice 5 ft from the SW, a solid 13-second period, and the combined energy is moderate (865). The wind is a light, glassy 3 mph from the ENE, so it'll be as rippled as a mirror. This is a good, clean start to the week—a solid option for intermediates.

Tuesday 4 August keeps that clean vibe going. Morning glass again with 4 ft SW swell, and the period is still a decent 11 seconds. The combined energy is a bit lighter (458), but with offshore winds, it'll be a fun session. The afternoon is also glassy with 4 ft SW swell. Good stuff.

Now, Wednesday 5 August and Thursday 6 August take a sharp turn. The wind picks up strong from the NNW on Wednesday, blowing 12 mph cross-on, and the swell jumps to 7 ft, then 8 ft in the afternoon. That's a lot of energy (2224 and 2535), but the cross-onshore chop will ruin it. Then Thursday 6 August, the swell hits 10 ft with a strong 13-second period from the WSW, and the combined energy is very strong (3447). The wind is offshore from the SE, only 6 mph, so conditions will be clean. This is big, powerful surf—experts only. Friday 7 August keeps the size: 10 ft in the morning, 12 ft in the afternoon from the SW, with a 14-second period. The wind is light cross-off in the morning, then cross-shore in the afternoon. The afternoon swell is predicted to be too big for this break, so stick to the morning if you're an expert.

After that, we get a bit of a lull. Saturday 8 August is still big (8 ft) but with a cross-onshore wind, so it's marginal. Sunday 9 August has strong winds (25 mph!) from the SSE, which will be off-shore but the raw power of 10 ft swell will be a handful. The wind will be cleaning it up, but it's a wild day.

Things settle down from Monday 10 August. The swell drops to 5 ft, and the wind is a gentle 9 mph from the SE, keeping it clean. Tuesday 11 August is a hidden gem: a glassy morning with 5 ft S swell (12 seconds) and low energy (758). It'll be clean and fun. Wednesday 12 August has a very interesting swell: a 5 ft WSW swell with an incredibly long 21-second period from the WSW, and the combined energy is strong (1268). The afternoon is flat calm (0 mph wind) and glassy, with 5 ft of that long-period groundswell. That's a special session for the experienced, and it'll be breaking nicely at sandbars.

Now, the real standout for the fortnight is the period from Thursday 13 August to Saturday 15 August. This is a prolonged run of big, powerful, clean swell. Thursday 13 August has 12 ft at 16 seconds from the WSW, with a massive combined energy of 5728. The wind is a light 6 mph from the SSE, keeping it clean. The forecast says this swell is too big for the break, so it's for experts only. Friday 14 August has 10 ft with a 14-second period, still clean. Saturday 15 August pushes back to 12 ft with a 14-second period (4477 energy), but the wind picks up to 12 mph, still cross-off, so it's a wild day.

After that, Sunday 16 August through Monday 17 August sees the swell drop back to 5 ft-7 ft but with strong winds (16-22 mph), so it's messy and marginal. Then Tuesday 18 August brings a last hurrah: 8 ft from the WSW with a 12-second period, light offshore wind from the ESE at 6 mph, and clean conditions. That's a solid finisher.

Overall, the best day on offer is Wednesday 12 August for the rare, long-period groundswell and glassy conditions. The second standout is Thursday 6 August for the first big, clean, offshore swell. Both are expert-level.

Rusty.

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