Dumps Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the Dumps sandbar in the coming weeks.

We’re kicking off Thursday, August 27th, but honestly, it’s a bit of a slow start. The swell is around 4.6 ft from the SSW, but the wind is cross-on from the NW, making for a messy surface. The water temperature is sitting at 57.2°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be reaching for a thicker wetsuit. The combined wave energy is weak to moderate at 759, and the conditions are just marginal. Not worth getting too excited about.

Friday, August 28th, things start to look up. Morning glass-off conditions – wind is dead calm. The swell drops to 2.6 ft, but it’s a long-period groundswell from the WSW at 16 seconds. That’s proper energy rolling in, and the wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” The combined energy is 680. Clean, glassy, and with that long period, the Dumps could offer some nicely shaped waves. Afternoon holds up too, with a light cross-off breeze and a 3.9 ft swell from the same direction. This is a solid window.

Saturday, August 29th, is another good one. Morning brings a 4.9 ft swell from the WSW, with a 14-second period, and clean cross-off winds from the south. The wave energy bumps up to 1018, which is in the moderate range. It’s shaping up to be a fun session. By afternoon, the swell builds to 6.6 ft, but the wind swings to a cross-shore and picks up to 12 mph, with some light rain. The energy jumps to 1636, but the conditions get a bit choppy. The morning is the pick.

Sunday, August 30th, saw a bigger swell rolling in at 7.5 ft from the SW, with a 13-second period. The wind is off-shore from the SSE, so it’s clean. The combined energy is strong at 1703. This is getting into the territory where beginners might find it a bit much, but for intermediates, it’s a good challenge. The afternoon holds similar with a 7.2 ft swell from the WSW.

Monday, August 31st, is a real standout. Morning session is glassy again, with a 6.2 ft swell from the WSW at 11 seconds. The wave energy is 907, and the comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s a clean, user-friendly wave with no wind to mess it up. This is the best on offer in the near term.

Tuesday, September 1st, the swell jumps to 7.9 ft from the SW, but the wind is cross-on, making for a choppy surface. The energy is strong at 1922, but the quality is marginal. Not the best.

Wednesday, September 2nd, and Thursday, September 3rd, the swell size explodes. We’re looking at 13.1 ft swells from the SW on Wednesday, with combined energy at 6596 – that’s very strong. The wave comment says “swell is predicted to be too big for this break.” This is expert-only territory, and even then, the Dumps might be a washing machine. For the average punter, it’s a no-go. The wind is clean on the afternoon, but the size is just too much. This pattern continues through Thursday and Friday, with swells around 11.5 ft.

Friday, September 4th, the afternoon sees the swell drop to 9.8 ft from the south, with a fresh offshore wind from the SE at 19 mph. The energy is still strong at 2177, and the conditions are clean, but it’s still a big wave.

Saturday, September 5th, we finally get a reprieve. The morning brings a 5.9 ft swell from the south, with a light offshore breeze and clean conditions. The energy is 871. This is a solid, manageable day. The afternoon drops to 4.6 ft.

Sunday, September 6th, is another beauty. The morning is glassy with a 3.6 ft swell from the SW, but with a very long period of 15 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell. The energy is 698. The long period will make for some really nice, lined-up waves, especially at a sandbar like the Dumps. The afternoon stays clean with a light breeze. This is a great session for a longboard or a funboard.

After that, the window goes quiet. From Monday, September 7th, through Wednesday, September 9th, the swell drops right off. We’re talking 1.6 ft to 2.6 ft, with poor to marginal conditions. The energy is weak, below 300.

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