Dumps Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what’s coming down the line for our stretch of coast.

Right now, we’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands. The first proper call isn’t until Wednesday morning, September 2nd. Before that, it’s all flat or too messy to bother with. So, mark your calendar for Wednesday.

Wednesday the 2nd is where it starts, and it starts with a bang at Dumps. The swell is a solid 10 ft from the southwest, with a long 13-second period pushing a lot of energy through (3169). The water is sitting at 56°F, which is a whopping 5°F colder than normal for this time of year—that’s seriously chilly, so you’ll want the thickest rubber you’ve got. The wind is a light southerly, blowing cross-offshore. It’s clean, powerful, and firing. But listen, 10 ft is strictly for the experienced crew. This isn’t a beginner’s or even an intermediate’s wave. The afternoon sees some cross-shore wind and drops to 8 ft—still a lot of water moving, but the conditions get a bit more average. This first day is the standout for the whole outlook.

Thursday the 3rd is a step down in size. Morning surf is 6 ft from the WSW, still clean with light cross-off winds. Then the afternoon gets blown out hard by a 28 mph southeasterly. That’s no good for surfing, but if you’re into kites, that beach setup is going to be cooking.

Friday the 4th through to Tuesday the 8th is a pretty lean stretch. The swell drops off to under 3 ft and is mostly walled off by strong to moderate winds. Friday and Saturday have offshore winds, but the swell is so small and weak it’s barely worth paddling out for. The energy readings are in the double digits to low hundreds—just not enough grunt.

Sunday the 6th is a weird one. Morning looks incredible on paper—7 ft from the SW, a massive 18-second period groundswell, and dead calm winds. That energy is huge (2393). But here’s the rub: that long period makes it tricky for Dumps, which is an inconsistent sandbar. It might be too straight and walled up. The afternoon turns onshore and messy anyway. So, it’s a tease.

We slide through a few more quiet days until Thursday the 10th. Thursday morning is a real gem: 5 ft from the WSW, glassy conditions, with that light air. It’s clean, it’s fun, and the energy is moderate (608). That would be a great morning session for a solid intermediate.

Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th are washouts with fresh southeasterlies, even if the swell is manageable. The energy is weak to moderate at best.

Now, hold on to your leash, because things get very interesting mid-month. Tuesday, September 15th shows a nice clean pulse in the afternoon: 5 ft from the southwest, 11-second period, light winds. The energy is ramping up (702). That’s a very good session on offer.

But the real monster, and the most promising but least certain call, lands on Wednesday, September 16th. The morning is glassy, with 5 ft of 17-second SW groundswell—that’s an absolute beast of a period, pushing massive energy (2174). It’s excellent and clean for experienced surfers. However, the afternoon forecast shows a jump to 15 ft. That is way too big for this break, even if the wind is good. The same goes for Thursday the 17th, with 12 ft and strong cross-off winds. That is expert-only territory and honestly, probably too wild for most.

So, to keep it simple: your absolute best windows are Wednesday morning, September 2nd for the big, cold, clean swell, and Thursday morning, September 10th for the glassy, fun-size waves. The long-range standouts on the 15th and 16th are promising, but we’ll need to see how they track. Don’t sleep on the 10th though—that’s a beauty.

Stay warm, stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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