The Point (Elands Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surf’s up. Let’s get into it.

The Point (Elands Bay) is where our focus is for this whole outlook. The water’s sitting at 54°F, which is a solid 5°F colder than normal for this time of year, so you’re gonna want the thickest rubber you’ve got. That’s a proper bite in the air.

The next few days are a bit of a slow burn. Friday morning is a write-off, with cross-on wind and lumpy conditions. But Friday afternoon, it cleans right up with the wind going glassy. Swell is a clean 5ft from the WSW with a long 15-second period. The energy is moderate at 903, but that glassy surface will have it looking like a sheet of glass. This is where you want to be.

Saturday morning keeps the clean vibe with a light cross-off wind, 5ft of west swell and a 14-second period. It’s a touch weaker on the energy (905), but still nice and clean. The afternoon stays clean too, but the wind picks up a bit. Still, the Point will be handling it fine.

Sunday morning is a bit of a question mark. The swell bumps up to 5ft but the wind goes straight onshore, so it’s not worth getting too excited about. The afternoon is the one to watch though. The wind swings to a clean cross-off, the swell holds at 5ft with a 14-second period, and the energy jumps up to 1106 (moderate). This is the first proper standout of the run.

Monday is where things get serious. The swell jumps to 8ft on Monday morning, still from the WSW with a 13-second period, and the energy rockets to 1804. That’s strong, powerful surf. The wind is light and cross-off, so it’s going to be a heavy, clean day. This is for experienced surfers only. The afternoon backs off slightly to 7ft but the wind picks up to 12 mph.

Tuesday sees the swell ease back to 6ft with clean morning conditions, but it’s a bit of a letdown after Monday’s power. The energy is 953. The afternoon gets messy with a cross-shore wind.

Wednesday morning is clean again with 5ft of swell, but the afternoon wind gets up and makes things a bit bumpy. Thursday looks like a smaller day, with 4ft of swell, and the energy drops to 386, which is weak. Then Friday, the 21st, is the flattest part of the run, with only 3ft of weak swell. That’s your lowest point.

But hold on, because the 22nd and 23rd are the real standouts of this whole forecast. Saturday the 22nd sees the energy absolutely explode. The morning swell is 7ft with a 14-second period and energy at 2304. The afternoon gets bigger with 8ft and a 16-second period, and energy hitting a huge 3606. That is strong, serious groundswell. Then Sunday the 23rd keeps the same size, 8ft, with a 14-second period and energy at 2518. These days are for experts only. The Point will be handling it, but it’s going to be big and powerful.

After that, the swell backs down again. Monday the 24th is a more manageable 6ft, and the rest of the week rolls through the 5ft to 6ft range. The standout day in this later stretch is Wednesday the 26th morning. The wind drops to dead calm, completely glassy, with 7ft of WSW swell and a 13-second period. The energy is a solid 1370. That will be a magic, clean session for the experienced crew.

The last few days of the run are just average. Thursday the 27th has some onshore wind in the morning, and the weekend looks like it’ll be back in the 5-6ft range with clean mornings but blustery afternoons.

So, the two true standouts are Monday the 17th and Saturday/Sunday the 22nd/23rd. Monday for that first big pulse, and the weekend for the biggest, most powerful swell of the whole stretch. The glassy Wednesday the 26th morning is also a hidden gem for clean conditions.

Keep it on your radar.

Rusty.

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