The Point (Elands Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for The Point at Elands Bay over the next couple of weeks.

It’s a bit of a slow starter, but once the wind gets out of the way, this place has some serious potential. The Point is a reef, point and rivermouth setup, and it’s exposed to the swell, so when the conditions line up, it can really fire. Right now the water is sitting at 56°F, which is a good 4°F colder than normal for this time of year – so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.

The first couple of days are a write-off. Wednesday afternoon has a weak 3ft swell with a cross-shore wind and messy conditions, combined energy is only 204 – just not worth paddling out. Thursday stays on the marginal side, with a bit more size around 4ft in the morning, but that wind is up to 35 km/h in the afternoon and it’s just not clean enough.

Friday morning on the 11th is where it starts to look interesting. We’ve got 5ft of swell from the WSW, period at 12 seconds, light cross-off breeze, and combined energy of 759. The surf should be clean and have some proper shape – this is a decent window for an intermediate surfer.

Saturday the 12th is the standout of the whole run. Saturday morning is clean with 3ft swell and light cross-off wind, but it’s Saturday afternoon that gets me excited: 5ft of WSW groundswell, period pushing 15 seconds, and glassy conditions with a 5 km/h southerly breeze. Combined energy is1121 – that’s a solid pulse of energy, and with glassy conditions, The Point will be firing. This is the one to aim for.

Sunday the13th goes downhill fast with onshore wind and poor surf, and then we hit a real rough patch. Monday the14th through to Tuesday the15th is a mess – strong onshore winds, lumpy conditions, and even a 10ft short-period windswell on Monday afternoon with only8 seconds between waves. That’s not surfable in a meaningful way.

By Wednesday the16th, things start cleaning up again. Wednesday morning shows 5ft from the WSW, period14 seconds, cross-off breeze, and combined energy at 1750 – that’s a lot of power. The wind picks up in the afternoon but it’s still cross-off.

Thursday the17th morning is another gem: 5ft, 12-second period, glassy conditions with a 5 km/h SSE breeze. Combined energy589, and the surf should be clean and well-shaped. Friday the18th morning repeats the glassy conditions with 5ft swell and 14-second period – another beautiful morning for it.

After that, the second week gets a bit more mixed. Saturday the19th morning holds 5ft with a 15-second period and clean conditions, but the afternoon gets chopped up by a strong cross-shore. Sunday the20th and Monday the21st are mostly marginal with onshore or cross-shore winds and smaller swell.

By Tuesday the22nd, the swell drops right off – only 2ft in the morning and combined energy down to 101. Not much to get excited about. Wednesday the23rd morning has a tiny 2ft swell but with a clean offshore wind from the SE, period14 seconds, and combined energy273 – you might get a fun little wave if you’re keen and the tide is right.

The real standout is Saturday afternoon, September12th. That’s the session you want to be on: 5ft of WSW groundswell at15 seconds, glassy, clean, and a good pulse of energy. For intermediates, that’s as good as it gets in this window.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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