The Point (Elands Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the waves on the cards for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but the back half of this period is where the real action is. The Point (Elands Bay) is our main focus, and it’s looking like a classic stretch that’s going to come alive.

First up, we’re looking at the water temps at the Point. It’s sitting at 56°F with an anomaly of -3°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. So, make sure you’ve got the thick rubber.

The first few days are pretty quiet. We’ve got small, clean surf on Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd, with waves around 3ft to 4ft from the WSW. The wind is light or glassy, so it’ll be pretty, but energy is weak to moderate. The combined energy is around 233 to 421, so nothing to get too excited about. It’s more of a longboard or funboard kinda vibe. That carries into Tuesday the 4th, still small and clean, but the swell is a bit inconsistent.

Then Wednesday the 5th gets messy. The wind swings around to a cross-onshore and the swell jumps, but the quality is poor. It looks like things are just getting stirred up before a proper pulse arrives. Thursday the 6th sees a bigger swell push in, with wave heights around 7ft to 7ft and energy jumping to 1693. The morning looks marginal with a cross-onshore breeze, but the afternoon cleans up with a cross-offshore wind and the waves start to show some teeth. The Point is a reef, point and rivermouth setup, so this is where it starts to get interesting.

Now, here’s where we get a couple of standout windows. Friday morning the 7th looks magic. Glassy conditions, with a solid 7ft of WSW swell and a 14-second period. The energy is strong at 1601, and it’s just going to be clean, lined-up surf for the experienced crew. That’s a serious highlight.

Saturday the 8th is where things get big and tricky. The swell is pumping, with the afternoon seeing a massive 13ft of WSW swell and an energy of 7260. That’s strong, very strong stuff. But it’s too big for this break, so unless you’re a real expert looking for a paddle-out, it’s just going to be a washing machine. The morning is big too at 8ft, but the wind is cross-offshore, so it’s cleaned up. Still, that size is for specialists only.

Sunday the 9th is still huge in the morning with 10ft and glassy conditions, but again, it’s over the top for most of us. The afternoon drops to 8ft with a cross-offshore breeze, which brings it back into the realm of the “excellent for experienced surfers” category. The energy is still strong, around 1720.

After that, the swell backs right down. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are small and unimpressive, with waves dropping to under 4ft and the energy fading. It’s a bit of a lull, with only ordinary conditions on offer.

But then, we’ve got another interesting one. Thursday the 13th shows a pulse of long-period swell. The wave height is small, only 3ft to 3ft, but the period is a very long 18 seconds. That’s pure groundswell. The energy is moderate at 732 to 904, but with that period, the Point could be surprisingly fun. The morning looks clean with a gentle breeze. Long period at a point break like this is usually a good thing.

Friday the 14th looks great. Swell builds to 5ft to 5ft from the WSW with that same solid period. The morning is clean, and the afternoon is offshore. This is another real standout window, with moderate energy around 886 to 968. That’s a day to be stoked about.

The weekend brings a mix. Saturday the 15th is blown out in the morning with a strong onshore wind, but the afternoon turns glassy again with the swell holding at 5ft. That afternoon session will be worth it. Then Sunday the 16th looks like the pick of the bunch. The morning has 7ft of WSW swell with a 15-second period, clean and glassy, and energy at 1993. Experienced surfers are going to have a field day. The afternoon is still good at 6ft and clean.

Monday the 17th winds down a bit but still has some fun options, with a glassy morning and a clean afternoon at around 6ft to 7ft.

So, the overall picture is this: get through the first few days of small stuff, be ready for the big, unruly pulse around the 8th and 9th – that’s expert-only territory – then enjoy the clean, powerful swells that come through on the 14th and especially the 16th. The long-period energy and offshore winds are going to make it special.

There are a few quiet gaps in there, but the back half of the window is definitely the one to focus on.

Alright, stay safe out there.

Rusty.

Read more