The Point (Elands Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into this one. The forecast is a bit of a slow burn, but there are some real gems hiding in the second week if you’ve got the patience. We’re looking at a solid run of groundswell from the WSW, but the wind is going to be the main character for the first chunk of days.

First up, the pick of the bunch for the whole period is Friday morning, the 11th of September at The Point (Elands Bay). We’ve got a solid 6 ft of swell rolling in from the WSW with a period of 13 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, bringing plenty of energy (1014 combined energy). The wind is set to be light offshore from the SSE, which is exactly what you want to make that reef and rivermouth setup turn on. Conditions are looking excellent for experienced surfers. The Point handles a longer-period swell like this really well, so expect some long, lined-up waves with clean faces. Just keep in mind the crowds can be around sometimes.

Before that, we’ve got a few days of okay but not amazing surf. Tuesday morning, the 8th of September, is worth a mention. The swell drops to 3 ft, but the wind is dead calm (glassy), which is a major positive. The wave energy is moderate (302 combined), and with a 12-second period from the WSW, it’ll be small but smooth. The Point can be a bit inconsistent, so it might be a morning for the longboard or a fun fish.

The water temperature is sitting at 53°F, which is a whopping 7°F colder than normal for this time of year. That’s *very* unusual, so you’ll want a thick wetsuit, booties, and probably a hood.

Thursday morning, the 10th of September, sees a big jump in energy with a 4 ft swell and a very long 16-second period, giving a combined energy of 1171. The wind is cross-off from the SSW, which is clean but not perfectly offshore. This is a serious groundswell, and while it’s got plenty of push, that long period might make it a bit too straight for the beach break section, but the point and rivermouth should hold it well. It’s a marginal call, but worth a look if you’re keen.

Now, Tuesday the 15th of September brings a big swell – 8 ft from the WSW with a 16-second period, hitting 2731 combined energy. But the wind is howling onshore from the NNW, so it’s going to be a mess. That’s one for the experts only, and honestly, with that wind, it’s more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle session.

The real standout in the second week is Thursday morning, the 17th of September. We’ve got 5 ft of swell from the WSW with a 12-second period and a moderate offshore wind from the SSE. The energy is strong at 896, and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s a long-range promise, so it’s promising but not locked in. The Point should be clean and working well.

We then tail off into the end of the period. Tuesday morning, the 22nd of September, offers a tiny 3 ft of swell but with glassy conditions and calm wind. The energy is weak (193), but if you’re desperate for a surf, it’ll be clean and small.

The gap between the first decent surf and the last big day is just a few days of poor conditions, so don’t write the whole period off. The forecasts can change, and there’s always a chance of a bonus session.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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