The Point (Elands Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We've got a single, solid option on the table for the next couple of weeks: The Point at Elands Bay. It's a reef, point, and rivermouth setup, so it handles swell well, but with a very long period forecast, this spot's character will be key – it likely won't be a straight closeout.

The water is currently a frigid 54°, which is a whopping 5° colder than average. You're going to need a thick steamer and booties. This is very unusual for this time of year.

The real standout kicks off on Wednesday the 2nd. Morning sees a clean 7ft WSW groundswell with a 14-second period and a cross-off wind. The combined energy is a serious 1560 (moderate to strong), so this is expert territory. A 7ft swell with that period and clean wind makes for excellent, powerful lines. The afternoon holds a similar 7ft swell but with a stronger cross-off, making it a bit more marginal on the tide. Thursday morning is a write-off with rain and onshore wind, but Thursday afternoon cleans up nicely with a 6ft swell and cross-off wind. That's the best window for the intermediate crew.

Friday the 4th drops off fast. A small 2ft to 3ft swell with strong offshore winds late is clean but tiny. The energy drops to 203 (weak). The weekend is flat, with glassy conditions on Saturday morning but only 2ft. That’s a nothing burger.

Next week starts slow. Monday through Wednesday, it's a mix of onshore and cross-off winds on small, weak swell. The water remains cold. The best of a poor week is Tuesday the 8th morning with a clean 3ft and 6ft day on the 9th, but it's intermittent.

Then we get a pulse towards the end. Saturday the 12th afternoon sees a 8ft SW swell jump up, but with onshore winds, so it's messy. Sunday the 13th is the biggest of the run: 8ft to 8ft SW groundswell with a 12-second period and cross-off wind in the afternoon. The combined energy hits a massive 2506 (very strong). This is a serious, expert-only swell. It's a full two weeks out, so it's a long-range promise, but if it lines up, it'll be pumping. It's too big and heavy for most. The Monday the 14th morning is the best for strong intermediates: a drop to 5ft SW swell, clean, with good energy at 666 (moderate).

After that, it fades again. The 16th brings a long-period, 6ft WSW swell, but with onshore winds. There’s a brief, small glassy window on the 15th afternoon, but it's only 2ft. A final messy 6ft on the 17th afternoon has a huge 2305 energy reading but is cross-shore and choppy. For a spot like this, there are waves on offer, but the real quality windows are short and for the experienced.

Rusty.

Read more