The Point (Elands Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve been looking over the charts for our little stretch of coast. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way, but it’s not one for the faint-hearted. The water is sitting at a cold 54°, which is a good 5° colder than usual for this time of year. So you’re going to need the thickest wettie you’ve got; it’s properly cold out there.

The main event is The Point (Elands Bay). This place is a reef, point, and rivermouth setup that’s fairly consistent, exposed to the SW swell, and works best when the swell is coming from the southwest. It’s an intermediate spot, but the crowds are sometimes around, so you might not be totally alone out there.

Sunday 16th kicks things off with a solid 6 ft of WSW swell at 14 seconds. That’s a nice, long groundswell period. The wind is a light cross-offshore 6 mph from the SW, so the surface is clean. The energy is very strong (1143), making this proper grunty stuff for experienced surfers only.

Monday 17th morning is the standout window. The swell builds a touch to 8 ft from the WSW, still with a long 13-second period. The wind is again a light 6 mph cross-off from the SSW, keeping things glassy. The energy is huge (1875). This is excellent for those who can handle it, but at 8 ft, it’s getting into the realm where beginners should stay on the beach. The afternoon gets a bit windier and more crossed up, so the morning is the clear winner.

The swell stays in the 5 ft to 6 ft range for most of the week, with decent 12- to 13-second periods. The winds are mostly cross-offshore and clean, keeping the wave faces tidy. There’s a bit of a lull around Friday 21st and Saturday 22nd, where the swell drops off and the wind turns onshore, so it’s a good time to fix the dings or watch the tide.

Then, Sunday 23rd morning gives another big pulse, with 7 ft of SW swell, but it comes with a brisk 12 mph cross-off, making it a bit more challenging. Monday 24th morning is another top pick: 6 ft of SW swell at 14 seconds, light offshore wind, and low crowds—it’s clean and hollow, with very strong energy (1378).

There’s a long gap of a few days with no recommendations after that, with small junky waves and poor winds through the end of the month.

But hold on—Monday 31st is a real sleeper. The morning is forecast to be completely glassy, with a light ESE breeze of just 3 mph. You’ve got a 6 ft WSW groundswell at a long 14 seconds, pumping with strong energy (1378). That’s about as perfect as it gets for The Point. If you can wait it out, that’s the session to circle on the calendar. It’s in the long range, so things might change, but right now it looks like a gem.

In short: Monday 17th morning and Monday 31st morning are the absolute standouts. The rest is consistent but muscular. Don’t forget the extra rubber.

Rusty.

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