The Point (Elands Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

The next couple of days are a bit of a write-off—small, messy, or just plain ordinary. But don’t lose hope, because there’s a proper pulse of groundswell heading our way, and a couple of mornings are going to be absolute crackers.

We start with a pretty average run. Friday morning, the 4th, sees a clean 2ft WSW swell but the wind is a stiff 19 mph offshore from the SE. The water is a chilly 53°F, which is a massive 7°F colder than usual for this time of year—so you’ll be needing a thick wetsuit. The combined energy is moderate (201). It’s surfable, but only just. Friday afternoon is a bit better with 3ft from the SW but still just ordinary.

Saturday the 5th is tiny. Swell drops to 1ft both morning and afternoon, with light cross-offshore winds. Clean but poor—not worth paddling out for.

Now, Sunday the 6th is where it gets interesting. The morning brings a glassy 4ft WSW swell with a very long period of 18 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (938). This is a groundswell, and a long-period one at that. For a spot like The Point (Elands Bay), which is a reef, point, and rivermouth setup, this is the kind of swell that will wrap in beautifully and offer some long, lined-up waves. That glassy wind is a major positive—clean face, no bumps. The afternoon holds up at 4ft with a 16-second period, but the wind switches to a moderate 12 mph cross-offshore from the S, so it’ll still be clean but a bit more textured.

Monday the 7th is a mixed bag. The swell stays around 4ft from the WSW with a 14-second period, but the wind is onshore from the NNW in the morning and cross-shore from the SW in the afternoon. Not ideal, but if you’re desperate, there’s some energy (645 and 597).

Tuesday the 8th is a return to form. Morning brings a clean 3ft WSW swell with a 12-second period, light cross-offshore wind, and combined energy of 301. It’s clean, fun, and manageable. The afternoon is similar but a touch smaller at 3ft.

The mid-week days are smaller again. Wednesday the 9th has clean 2ft to 3ft WSW swell, but the wind gets up to 19 mph by afternoon—so not great.

Thursday the 10th sees a jump in size. Morning has 5ft from the WSW with a 14-second period, combined energy of 917, and light cross-shore wind. That’s a solid, clean wave for intermediate surfers. The afternoon gets a bit wind-affected with 22 mph cross-offshore, but the swell is still pumping at 4ft with a 15-second period and very strong energy (1154). It’s looking more interesting for the experienced lot.

Friday the 11th is big. Morning has 7ft from the WSW, 13-second period, and very strong energy (1405). The wind is a moderate 12 mph cross-offshore, so it’s clean but heavy. This is expert-only territory. The afternoon is similar but with a stronger wind, so it’s messy.

Saturday the 12th is the standout of the first week. Morning brings a clean 6ft SW swell, 14-second period, and very strong energy (1459). The wind is light from the SSE, so it’ll be clean and powerful. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon holds at 7ft but with a moderate breeze.

Sunday the 13th sees the swell drop to 4ft from the SW, but it’s still clean with light wind. A good wave for a solid day out.

The following week is a bit of a mixed bag. Monday the 14th is small and messy, and Tuesday the 15th is a no-go with onshore wind and small swell. Wednesday the 16th has some pulse but it’s onshore again.

But look ahead to Friday the 18th. That morning is an absolute beast. Glassy conditions, 8ft from the WSW with a 14-second period, and extremely strong combined energy (2510). This is a massive, clean groundswell—only for experts. The afternoon holds the same size but with a light cross-offshore wind. This is the standout of the whole forecast. If you’re experienced and you’ve got the board for it, that’s the session to aim for.

Saturday the 19th is still good, with a 6ft WSW swell, clean and light wind, but it’s a step down from the day before.

So, overall: The Point is the only game in town, and it delivers with a couple of proper mornings. The best on offer is Sunday the 6th morning for the glassy, long-period groundswell, and then Friday the 18th morning for the big, clean, powerful swell. Crowds are possible here, so get there early.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

Read more