The Point (Elands Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what we’ve got on the cards at The Point (Elands Bay). This is a reef, point and rivermouth set-up that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the SW. The water’s sitting at a very unusual 54°, a full 5° colder than normal for this time of year – that’s a serious chill, so don’t skimp on the rubber.

Tuesday morning kicks things off with a clean 3 ft groundswell from the WSW, a period of 12 seconds and glassy conditions. The combined swell energy is moderate at 302. That’s a solid little session right off the bat. The wind is glass, so it’s about as clean as it gets. A standout for sure.

The afternoon turns messy with a 12 mph cross-shore wind, and the swell drops to 3 ft. The rest of Wednesday and Thursday are pretty average, with onshore and cross-shore winds making a mess of things, though Thursday morning does have a 4 ft swell from the WSW at 15 seconds – that’s a long period groundswell with moderate energy (895), but the cross wind spoils it.

Friday morning on the 11th looks very promising. We’ve got a 5 ft WSW groundswell at 12 seconds, combined energy of 715 (moderate), and clean offshore conditions from the south. This will be a quality session. The afternoon goes to wind though, so get it early.

Saturday the 12th sees a 3 ft WSW swell with a 14-second period and offshore wind in the morning, energy at 549 – moderate and clean, very good surf conditions. The afternoon gets cross-shore and bumpy as the swell jumps to 5 ft.

Sunday the 13th is choppy and onshore both sessions, not worth the paddle. Monday the 14th is similar, with moderate cross-shore and cross-onshore winds and dropping swell.

Tuesday the 15th blows up with an onshore 19 mph cross-shore wind and only 2 ft of swell, so forget it. The afternoon sees a big 7 ft WSW groundswell with a very long 23-second period and 4814 combined energy – strong energy – but onshore wind makes it a mess.

Wednesday the 16th pulls in a massive 10 ft WSW groundswell at 17 seconds. The combined energy is a huge 5009. Clean, offshore wind morning and afternoon – but this is too big for The Point at 10 ft. That’s expert territory only, and even then, the break might not handle it well. It’s a pass for most.

Thursday the 17th keeps it big at 10 ft SW, 14 seconds, clean in the morning but windy in the afternoon. Again, too big for all but the brave.

Things settle down from Friday the 18th onwards – small, onshore, and mostly poor. But hold on – from Sunday the 21st through Wednesday the 23rd, we get a run of clean, glassy mornings with 4 ft to 4 ft WSW swells, periods of 11 to 14 seconds, and combined energies in the 400–600 range. The standout here is Monday the 21st morning – 4 ft WSW at 14 seconds, light offshore, very good surf conditions and a light crowd profile (crowds possible). That’s your main event for the second week.

So for the best sessions: grab Tuesday morning the 8th for a glassy start, Friday morning the 11th for clean 5 ft, and if you can wait, Monday morning the 21st is a real gem with clean, long-period WSW groundswell. The big days mid-month are for experts only.

Stay warm. Rusty.

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