Muizenberg Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

The first week is a bit average, but there’s a real standout right at the end of the second week that’ll get the blood pumping. The water’s sitting at 59°F around Muizenberg, which is about average for this time of year – nothing to write home about.

Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th are pretty flat and weak. Morning light cross-onshore winds and swell around 4ft from the SW are making for a marginal session at best. The combined energy is only 795 (moderate), so don’t get your hopes up.

Friday the 31st stays small, with swell dropping to 3ft from the SW, period around 12 seconds. The energy is down to 373 (weak). It’s a good day to sit on the beach and watch.

Now, Saturday the 1st of August and Sunday the 2nd look a bit more promising. The swell holds steady at 3ft from the SW, but the wind goes glassy, especially on Saturday morning with an ENE breeze. The water will be clean. The combined energy is still low (288 on Saturday morning), but those glassy conditions are a major positive – it’ll be smooth and fun for a longboard or a foamie.

Monday the 3rd of August sees a small bump in swell to 4ft from the SW, with a 12-second period. Morning glassy conditions again (NNW 3 mph) and combined energy hitting 432 (moderate). This is probably the best of the first week – clean, punchy little waves for a beginner-friendly session.

Tuesday the 4th is okay, but nothing special. Swell drops back to 3ft, though the wind goes offshore from the NW at 6 mph in the morning, keeping it clean.

Then we hit the real standout. Wednesday the 5th of August afternoon, the swell jumps to 6ft from the SW with a 14-second period (groundswell), and the wind turns offshore from the NNW at 12 mph. The combined energy is 1135 (strong). This is for experienced surfers – the size is pushing into the 5ft+ zone, and the long period will make it grind nicely at the point, but it’ll be a bit much for beginners.

Thursday the 6th of August keeps the energy high. Afternoon sees offshore NW wind at 6 mph, swell 6ft from the SW, and the combined energy is 1398 (strong). The wind is off, the waves are solid, and the quality is excellent for those who know what they’re doing.

But the big one is Friday the 7th of August. Morning swell hits 10ft from the SW with a 15-second period (very long period groundswell). The wind is light offshore from the NW at 3 mph. The combined energy is 3224 (very strong). This is a true expert-only day – it’s big, powerful, and the long period means it’ll be a freight train on the takeoff. If you’re not on a step-up and you don’t know the lineup, stay on the sand. Afternoon drops to 8ft, still strong, but the wind goes cross-off.

Saturday the 8th of August is a write-off. Heavy rain, strong onshore wind from the S at 22-25 mph, and lumpy, messy surf. The energy is still decent (971), but the wind is making it unrideable.

Sunday the 9th of August is also poor. The wind is onshore from the SE, the swell is short-period (7-8 seconds) from the SE, and the water is lumpy. For the combined energy of 780 to 908 (moderate), this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The rest of the second week (Monday the 10th through Thursday the 13th) is mostly marginal. Monday and Tuesday have small, clean conditions on the 11th (2ft from the SSW, glassy wind, 229 energy) but it’s very small. Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th see a bigger SW swell (5-6ft, 15-17 second period) but the wind is onshore from the SSE at 9-12 mph, making it messy and lumpy. The energy is strong (1139-1717), but the wind kills it.

The standout is Friday the 7th of August. The 10ft SW swell with 15-second period and light offshore NW wind is the best of the 16-day window. Muizenberg is exposed to the SW, and the optimum direction is SE, so the swell is a little off-angle, but with that size and period, it’ll still wrap in nicely. For experienced surfers only, it’ll be a day to remember.

Rusty.

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