Nine Mile Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, giving you the long-range outlook for Nine Mile Reef. We’ve got a bit of a story unfolding over the next couple of weeks, so let’s get into it.

The water is sitting at 59°, which is a bit colder than what you’d normally expect for this time of year. Nothing crazy, but worth having that extra rubber on hand.

Right out of the gate, the first few days are a bit flat and weak. Saturday and Sunday have some small waves, but honestly, with a weak swell energy of 182, not much to get excited about. The real story starts to build as we push into the new week.

Monday, July 6th is where things start to look interesting. The morning is a standout. We’ve got a glassy clean 4ft SW swell rolling in, and the energy is picking up to 417. It’s the best of the bunch for the early part of the forecast. The wind is dead calm – glassy, clean conditions. This is the one to target if you’re looking for a proper session.

Tuesday morning, July 7th, is also quality. Another 4ft of SW swell, with 526 of energy, and a light NNW offshore wind. The conditions will be clean and lined up nicely.

Wednesday and Thursday look like a write-off. The wind swings onshore and choppy, and the swell gets a bit jumbled. Leave those days for something else.

Then Saturday, July 11th rolls around. This is another standout window. The morning session is looking very good. We’ve got 4ft of SSW swell, the wind is glassy from the ESE, and the energy is a solid 586. It’s clean, manageable, and well worth a paddle out.

After that, the forecast gets a bit dicey again. There’s a period of smaller, ordinary surf through Monday, July 13th. Not a total loss, but nothing to set an alarm for.

We then see a big spike in size around Wednesday, July 15th, with a 6ft S swell. But the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and won’t have that same punch. By Thursday, July 16th, we’re looking at a 10ft swell from the SSE. That’s expert-only territory at Nine Mile Reef – too big for most of us. Friday and Saturday also hold onto some size but the onshore winds and rain make for poor, messy conditions.

Sunday, July 19th brings a little relief. A cleaner 4ft SSE swell with a light offshore wind from the north. It’s a nice way to wrap up the outlook, with solid energy at 392. It’s a good, surfable option.

So, to sum it up: Look hard at Monday morning, July 6th, and Saturday morning, July 11th. Those are your true standouts. Everything else is either too small, too big, or too windy. The middle of the second week gets heavy, so keep that in mind if you’re a beginner.

Rusty.

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