Big Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's talk about what's coming up at Big Bay.

We've got a solid run of surf on the horizon, but you’ve gotta pick your moments. The early part of the week is where it’s at for the more experienced crew, and then we’ve got a couple of interesting longer-range pulses that are worth keeping an eye on.

Wednesday morning the 8th kicks it off with a glassy 7ft SW groundswell, period a long 13 seconds. The water temperature is about average for this time of year. That combined energy is in the strong range (2316), and those conditions are absolute quality for experienced surfers. By the afternoon, the wind shifts to a cross-off 15 km/h, so it stays clean if a little more challenging on the tide.

Thursday the 9th sees a bump up in size, with 8ft SSW swell in the morning and a solid 14-second period. Strong energy (2734), but the 20 km/h cross-off wind from the SSE keeps it a bit more raw. Still clean, but it’s a handful.

Friday the 10th though, that’s the standout of this first window. Morning brings a true offshore wind from the SE at 15 km/h, groomin’ a 8ft SSW swell with a 13-second period. That’s clean, powerful surf (2460 energy) for those who can handle it. The afternoon stays clean with a cross-off.

Saturday the 11th is still excellent, with a morning offshore from the ESE at 10 km/h on a dropping 7ft SSW swell. Energy is still strong (1595). It’s clean and lined up. Sunday the 12th still has clean 5ft surf in the morning with a light offshore, but the energy drops to moderate (675).

We hit a flat spell from Monday the 13th through to the morning of Wednesday the 15th. The swell drops right out below 3ft, not worth paddling out for.

Now, we get a significant pulse kicking in on Thursday the 16th. Conditions are marginal in the morning with a light cross-onshore wind and a building 7ft SW swell, but the afternoon? That’s a special one. The wind swings to a cross-off at 15 km/h, and the swell jumps to a solid 12ft from the SW with a 13-second period. The energy is extremely strong (4382). This is for experts only, as anything over 8ft is serious. That afternoon session looks big and clean.

Friday the 17th holds big 10ft SSW swell, but the wind is up – 25 to 30 km/h cross-off to offshore. It’s gonna be howling, but it’s offshore, so for the brave and well-prepared, there’ll be some heavy, clean walls.

After that, we get a drop-off into the weekend with smaller, but cleaner surf. Saturday the 18th has a moderate offshore wind and a dropping 5ft S swell – much more manageable.

Looking way out to the second week, the 19th of July looks very promising. Sunday morning serves up a 5ft SSW swell with a very long 17-second period. Despite the long period breaking a bit straight at beach breaks, with the light cross-off wind it could be amazing. But the real gem is Sunday afternoon: glassy conditions, 6ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, and energy in the strong range (2307). That’s about as good as it gets, but it’s a long way out, so keep it on the radar.

Then there’s a massive pulse forecast for the 22nd and 23rd. Wednesday the 22nd starts with a 7ft WSW swell at a crazy 19-second period, energy is very strong (5342), but the wind is a light cross-onshore. By Wednesday afternoon, it’s a huge 13ft WSW swell at 17 seconds with an energy reading of 8965 – that’s extreme. It’s still a light cross-onshore wind, so conditions are marginal, but that is a monster groundswell. Thursday the 23rd cleans up with a cross-off wind and a still-massive 10ft WSW swell. These are far out and uncertain, but if they hit, it’s all-time potential for experts.

Stay safe, read the conditions, and don’t be a hero if it’s too big.

Rusty.

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