Big Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s cut right through it. For the next couple of weeks, Big Bay is looking at a proper run of solid winter groundswell, with some days of pure class and a few that are strictly for the experienced crew. The water is sitting at 56°F which is over three and a half degrees colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll feel that bite.

The action kicks off Monday the 6th of July. Monday morning is glassy, with a clean 7ft swell from the WSW and a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is a meaty 1226, and with just a whisper of ENE air, it’ll be clean as a whistle. That afternoon, the swell drops a fraction to 5ft but stays glassy with offshore wind. It’s excellent, but this is solid size for an intermediate – the 7ft morning sets will have some punch.

Tuesday the 7th is another beauty. Morning glass, 6ft SW swell at 12 seconds, and by the afternoon it’s pumping up to 7ft SW with a 13-second period. That’s proper groundswell, and the combined energy jumps to 1719. The wind goes glassy again in the afternoon. This is the pick of the early week – consistent, powerful, and clean.

Wednesday the 8th holds the goods. Morning glass again with 7ft SW at 13 seconds and a combined energy of 2316. The afternoon brings a few clouds and a light cross-off breeze, but it’s still clean. This is big, raw energy, not for the faint-hearted.

Thursday the 9th sees the swell peak. Morning is 8ft SW at 14 seconds and a huge combined energy of 2609. The wind is a moderate cross-off from the SSE, so it’s clean but powerful. The afternoon pushes 10ft. This is expert territory only – too big for beginners, and even for most intermediates. The period is long, so expect long lulls between big sets, but the shape will be excellent if you’re on a point or reef setup.

Friday the 10th stays solid with 10ft SSW in the morning, a gentle offshore from the SE, and a combined energy of 2604. The afternoon drops to 8ft but stays clean. This is still big, powerful surf.

Saturday the 11th is a step down to 7ft SSW at 12 seconds, with light cross-off winds and a combined energy of 1697. Still very good, but the crowds could be an issue – this spot is often busy, and with this run of quality, it’ll be popular.

Sunday the 12th is a bit of a reset. Morning is glassy with a 5ft S swell, period 11 seconds, and energy down to 798. It’s a nice, clean, more manageable size. The afternoon gets messy with cross-on wind. After this, things go quiet for a few days. From Sunday afternoon through to Wednesday the 15th, the swell drops below 3ft and the winds turn unfavourable. It’s a real gap in quality – nothing worth paddling out for.

Thursday the 16th brings the next pulse. Morning glass, 6ft SW at 12 seconds, combined energy 1098. Clean and solid. Friday the 17th is bigger again at 7ft SW, but with onshore wind, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. That’s a caveat – the period is long at 12 seconds, so the energy is there, but the wind will chop it up.

Saturday the 18th sees a moderate cross-off breeze with 5ft to 6ft WSW swell. Clean, but the wind is stiffer at 12 mph. Still rideable for the experienced.

The standout for the second week is Sunday the 19th. Morning brings 7ft WSW at 13 seconds with a light offshore from the ESE, combined energy 1498. Then the afternoon goes glassy, 6ft WSW at 12 seconds, combined energy 1172. That’s a full day of clean, long-period groundswell with perfect conditions. This is the best of the second week, no doubt.

Monday the 20th eases off, and Tuesday the 21st has a glassy morning with 4ft WSW at 12 seconds – a nice, clean, smaller option for the less experienced.

Overall, the first week is stacked with powerful, clean groundswell. Run early, bring the right board, and don’t expect it to be empty. The second week has a couple of gems, particularly the Sunday the 19th.

Rusty.

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