Big Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s look at what’s coming up for the next couple of weeks. This is a long-range forecast, so keep that in mind.

We’ve got a promising start, but it’s for the experienced crew only. The swell is just too big for beginners right now. Thursday morning, we’re looking at a solid 10-foot SW groundswell, with a period of 14 seconds. That’s a lot of energy in the water. The wind is cross-offshore from the SSE at 9 mph, so it’s clean. This is a proper, powerful, long-period swell, so it’ll come in sets with plenty of push. Big Bay is exposed, so it’ll be handling all that energy. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

Friday morning looks like a standout. The swell drops slightly to 8 feet from the SSW, still pumping at 13 seconds. The wind goes offshore from the SE at 9 mph, which is a major positive. It’s going to be clean and lined up. This is excellent for experienced surfers, with good shape and power.

Saturday morning is another good one. The swell is down to a more manageable 7 feet from the SSW, period 12 seconds, with a light offshore breeze from the ESE at 6 mph. Conditions are clean and the surf will be excellent. This is a great window for the intermediate crew as well, as the size is more approachable.

Sunday morning the swell drops to 5 feet, still a clean SSW groundswell with an 11-second period. The wind is light offshore from the ESE at 3 mph. This is a very good, clean option for all skill levels.

After that, the swell fades quickly. Monday and Tuesday are small, with waves around 2 feet to 3 feet. Not much to write home about.

Then we get a bit of a lull mid-week. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th see building swell, but the wind is all wrong. Wednesday is cross-onshore, making it messy. Thursday the 16th has cross-offshore wind but the wind is strong, with 22 mph gusts in the afternoon, making it pretty wild.

Friday the 17th looks like a solid return. The swell is back up to 7 feet from the SW, with a 12-second period. The wind is offshore from the ESE at 6 mph. This is clean, powerful, and excellent for experienced surfers. A real high point in the second week.

Now, the real big one is coming a week later, on Thursday the 23rd of July. The models are showing a massive 16 to 18-foot SW groundswell, with a very long period of 17 to 18 seconds. The energy values are off the charts. The wind is light and favorable. But here’s the thing: this is way too big for Big Bay. It’s predicted to be a problem. It’s only for the absolute top-tier experts, and even then, it’s a serious call. A long-period swell of that size will be incredibly powerful, and at a beach break, it could be a washing machine. This is a promising, but very uncertain, long-range outlook.

So, to sum it up: the best bets are Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th in the first week, and Friday the 17th in the second week. Keep an eye on that massive swell for the 23rd, but don’t get your hopes up too high for a clean ride.

Rusty

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