Koeel Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Koeel Bay is cooking up for the next couple of weeks.

First things first, the water temp is sitting at 60°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. No surprises there.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start to this run. Thursday morning is a write-off, to be honest. We’ve got a 5ft SW groundswell, but it’s coming in with a tricky south wind making it messy. The combined swell energy is moderate, sitting at 943, but the conditions just aren't there. Thursday afternoon is no better, so don't bother paddling out. Friday is technically offshore, with winds from the ESE, but that swell drops right off. The period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s just not going to have any shape.

Now, Saturday the 12th of September is where it starts to get interesting. The morning is clean with a moderate 4ft SSW groundswell, and those ESE offshore winds will have it looking nice. The energy jumps up to 985, which is solid. But the real standout is Saturday afternoon. The swell pulses up to 6ft from the SSW, the period stretches out to 17 seconds, and the wave energy skyrockets to a strong 1990. With offshore ESE winds, this is a serious session. The waves will be powerful with those long gaps between sets, making it a proper groundswell day. It’s a bit too big for beginners, but for the intermediates this is where it’s at.

Sunday the 13th holds clean conditions with a 4ft SSW swell in the morning, but it's a little smaller than Saturday. The offshore breeze is still there, keeping things tidy.

Then we hit a flat, blown-out patch. From Monday the 14th right through to Tuesday the 15th, a strong NNW wind smashes the place. The swell drops to nothing and it’s just a messy, cross-onshore mess. This is a kite-surfing wind, not a paddle-surfing one. Save your energy.

Wednesday the 16th is a redemption day. The morning shows a nice 7ft SSW groundswell, though it's a cross-off wind. The energy is a very strong 2053, so there's plenty of power. But the best conditions of this whole stretch look to be Wednesday afternoon. The swell drops slightly to a still-juicy 6ft from the SSW, the period is 13 seconds, and we get light S winds. The energy is still over 1200, and the comment says "very good surf conditions". That’s a winner.

The rest of the week has some clean moments. Friday the 18th looks glassy in the morning, with a small 5ft swell from the ESE. It’s short period (8s) and low energy (463), so it’s a fun little session rather than a charge.

Now looking into the second week, things get mixed. We have a potential standout on the 20th of September. Sunday afternoon sees a big 6ft SSW swell with a 17-second period and a massive energy reading of 3102. But it comes with a 30 km/h cross-off wind, so it'll be bumpy and challenging.

The absolute best bet for experienced surfers is Monday the 21st. The afternoon session has a solid 7ft SSW swell at 15 seconds, the energy is a huge 2090, and the winds are light. This is excellent surf, but at 7ft, it's strictly for the crew who know what they're doing. It might be too much for the weekend warrior.

We’re all done building up the swell by Wednesday the 23rd, and the last few days of the forecast are pretty poor. A few days of light winds and small swell show up on the 24th and 25th, but nothing that’s going to make you rush.

To call it: Saturday afternoon the 12th of September is the pick for the best all-around fun. Wednesday afternoon the 16th of September is the cleanest, best quality session. And for the big-wave hunters, Monday afternoon the 21st of September is the one to circle on the calendar.

Stay stoked.

Rusty.

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