Koeel Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mates, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks for Koeel Bay.

We’ve got a solid run of southwest groundswell on the way, but the first few days are a bit messy with onshore winds spoiling the party. The real standout is Friday the 24th of July, with flat, glassy conditions and a solid 8ft SSW swell rolling in. The combined energy is pumping at 2467 (moderate to strong), and with a 15-second period, this is proper groundswell. That’s one for the experienced crew, because at that size, it’s not for the beginners. The water is sitting at 60°, which is about normal for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The other big highlight is the last day of the month, Friday the 31st of July. Another morning of glassy conditions, with 8ft SSW swell at a very long 17-second period. Combined energy is huge at 3194 (strong). That’s a day for the reef and looking for a clean take-off. Expect some serious lines, but the long period might make it a bit walled-up at the beach, so stick to the peak.

Now, let’s walk through the week. Tuesday the 21st kicks off with a 6ft SSW swell, cross-off wind, and clean conditions. A decent start, but the energy is high at 1331 (moderate). Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd are a write-off with onshore and cross-onshore winds in the 9-16 mph range, making for choppy, poor surf. The swell drops to around 4-5ft, nothing worth paddling out for.

Once we hit the morning of Friday the 24th, it’s game on. Glassy, 8ft, and clean. That’s your best bet for the first week. Saturday the 25th eases off a bit, with 6ft and glassy conditions in the morning, still very good. Sunday the 26th is smaller and a bit cross-shore, marginal.

The following week holds some promise. Monday the 27th is a bit smaller, with a moderate offshore breeze from the ESE at 16 mph, keeping things clean but the swell is only around 3-4ft. Tuesday the 28th kicks back into gear with a solid 7ft SSW swell, 16-second period, and combined energy of 3316 (strong). The catch is moderate rain, but the wind is light and cross-off, so it’ll be clean. That’s a big day for the experienced surfers.

Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th are smaller, with cleaner conditions but not as punchy. Then bam, Friday the 31st of July delivers again with that 8ft, 17-second glassy session. Crowds are "sometimes" a factor at Koeel Bay, so you might have some company on those peak days.

The first week of August sees the swell drop right off. Saturday the 1st has some light rain and onshore wind, marginal. Sunday the 2nd is small, with offshore winds but only 3ft. By Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th, it’s tiny, with 1-2ft. Wednesday the 5th picks up a bit to 6ft, but it’s onshore again, so not great.

Overall, mark your calendar for Friday the 24th and Friday the 31st of July. Those are the standouts. The rest is a mix of smaller, wind-affected days, so don’t sleep on the glassy mornings.

Rusty.

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