Koeel Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Howdy, Rusty here. Let’s talk surf for Koeel Bay over the next couple weeks. It’s a mixed forecast, with some real gems and a lot of days you can sleep in.

Right off the bat, Thursday the 3rd through Saturday the 5th are not worth getting wet. Thursday morning has a small 3ft SW swell and a light cross-off breeze, but the energy is weak (409) and it’s a marginal call. Thursday arvo and all of Friday are a mess – 8ft to 10ft of SSE windswell with screaming offshore winds over 25 mph. The energy jumps into the thousands (1587), but those gusts make it impossible to paddle out or hold your line. By Saturday, the swell drops to 6ft but it’s short-period slop (7-8 seconds) with a strong offshore wind still gusting 22 mph. The energy is moderate (503-541) but the quality is poor.

Now, Sunday the 6th is where it’s at. That morning we’ve got a 6ft SSW groundswell with a period of 18 seconds – that’s real long-period energy. The combined energy is very strong (1864), and with a 9 mph offshore wind from the ESE, the conditions are clean and glassy. This is your best bet: the reef handles this kind of long-period swell beautifully, offering shaped-up, powerful waves with longer lulls between sets, making it easier to get out. Sunday afternoon is also a treat – 4ft on the same SSW groundswell (16-second period) with only a 3 mph offshore breeze from the east, nearly glassy. The water temp is about 58°, which is a touch colder than average for this time of year, so bring a wetsuit.

From Monday the 7th through Saturday the 12th, things go flat and messy. Swell drops to waist-high and the wind turns cross-on or cross-off. The energy stays below 600 for most of that time. Not worth a drive.

Then, on Sunday the 13th, a bigger pulse of SSW swell hits – 8ft with a 13-14 second period. The combined energy is massive, hitting 2773 in the afternoon. The wind is offshore from the ESE but gusting to 22 mph. This is for experts only, and it’s still marginal with that wind.

Monday the 14th is another standout morning: 7ft SSW groundswell (14 seconds) and absolutely glassy conditions with only a 3 mph wind from the SSW. Combined energy is very strong at 2320. The call is excellent for experienced surfers – that morning is a winner. But by afternoon, the wind goes onshore from the NW and it gets marginal.

The final days, from Tuesday the 15th to Friday the 18th, are mostly poor with cross-on winds and choppy conditions. However, Friday morning the 18th shows another chance: 6ft SSW groundswell (14 seconds) with a moderate offshore breeze from the SE, combined energy of 1345, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers.

Bottom line: get on the morning of Sunday the 6th for the cleanest, longest-period session. The morning of Monday the 14th is the big, glassy swell for the advanced crew. Everything else is either junk or for experts only in strong winds.

Rusty.

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