Koeel Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s on the cards for Koeel Bay. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up, but you’ll need to pick your moments for the best of it.

The main story is a building south swell that gets really interesting mid-week. The first few days are a bit average, but from Tuesday morning things start to clean up proper. The real standout window looks like Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th. That’s when we get a long-period SW groundswell – we’re talking 18 seconds on Wednesday – and the winds go light or glassy. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

Let’s walk through it. Monday the 10th kicks off with a 6ft south swell, but it’s got a moderate breeze and the wave energy is moderate (744). It’s surfable but nothing to write home about. Monday afternoon bumps up to 7ft but the wind is a fresh offshore, and the energy jumps to strong (1746). Still, the conditions are a bit marginal.

Tuesday the 11th morning is where it starts to get interesting. We’ve got a 6ft south swell with a period of 12 seconds, a gentle offshore breeze, and strong wave energy (1451). This is excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon drops slightly to 5ft from the SSE but remains clean with moderate offshore wind.

Now, Wednesday the 12th is the pick of the bunch. Morning sees a 4ft swell from the southwest with a very long 18-second period. It’s clean with just a slight air. The afternoon? Glassy conditions, same 4ft SW swell at 18 seconds. The wave energy is very strong (1640 and 1480). This is reef break perfection. Because it’s such a long period groundswell, it will be best on the take-off zone here at Koeel Bay – it’s a reef, so it should handle that long-period energy well. This is for intermediate to expert surfers; the power is there.

Thursday the 13th keeps the goods coming with 5ft SW swell and 18-second period in the morning, clean with a light cross-off breeze. Afternoon sees a gentle offshore and 5ft SW swell at 17 seconds. Both sessions have very strong energy (1552 and 1430). Another excellent day.

Friday the 14th sees the swell drop off. Morning is glassy with a 3ft SW swell (400 energy) – small but clean for a mellow session. Afternoon similar, 4ft.

The weekend goes a bit flat and choppy. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are poor with cross-onshore winds and small, weak swell. Not worth the paddle.

Monday the 17th brings a new pulse. A 6ft SW swell with 15-second period and a moderate offshore breeze. Wave energy is strong (1212). This is a very good option again, especially after the flat weekend.

From there, it tapers off. Tuesday the 18th through Wednesday the 19th are small and clean but weak – fine for a longboard or a beginner session. Thursday the 20th is blown out.

Friday the 21st looks like a big, messy one. An 8ft WSW swell but with a moderate cross-onshore wind and a short 10-second period. The energy is very strong (1569), but the conditions are poor. This one is for experts only, and even then, it’ll be a battle. It might be more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day with that wind and size.

Saturday the 22nd cleans up with a glassy 5ft SSW swell – a decent morning session.

Then we have another potential standout on Sunday the 23rd. A 8ft SSW swell with a long 15-second period and glassy conditions. The combined energy is massive (3590). This is excellent for experienced surfers, but that size and power mean it’s strictly for the crew who know what they’re doing. Monday the 24th still has a solid 6ft SSW swell, clean and strong.

So, to sum it up: your absolute best bet is Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th. That long-period SW groundswell with glassy or light offshore winds is as good as it gets. After that, Monday the 17th is another solid day. The big Sunday the 23rd is worth a look for the experts, but it’s a long-range call and less certain.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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