Koeel Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for Koeel Bay. We’ve got a reef break on the cards, and it’s shaping up to be a ripper for the next week, with a bit of a lull after that.

The main event kicks off Thursday afternoon, the 23rd of July. The morning is a write-off with that 18 mph onshore wind from the north and lumpy conditions, but the arvo is where it’s at. The wind swings to the SSE at a light 3 mph, going cross-offshore, and the surf cleans right up. We’re looking at a solid 6 ft of groundswell from the SSW. The energy is already pumping at 1346, and for an intermediate surfer with some experience, it’s going to be a sick session. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so a spring suit will be fine.

But the real standout – the one you circle on your calendar – is Friday the 24th of July. It’s a beauty. The morning session is epic: 8 ft of SSW groundswell on a very long 15-second period, with glassy conditions and a crystal clear sky. The energy is huge at 2371. This is advanced territory, but if you’ve got the skills, it’s going to be some of the best surf we’ll see all month. The long period will make the waves super clean and powerful, and with the wind dead off the ESE for the Saturday morning session, it’s going to hold up well.

Saturday the 25th keeps the good times rolling with a 6 ft SSW swell and light offshore winds in the morning, turning glassy in the afternoon. After that, Sunday the 26th drops off a bit to 4 ft, but the wind is still favorable, so there’ll be fun, clean waves.

Now, we hit a bit of a weird patch from Monday the 27th to Tuesday the 28th. The swell is actually massive – hitting 10 ft on Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning, with a staggering energy of 6036 on the Tuesday morning. But the forecast is calling it ‘marginal’ due to the strong offshore winds (28 mph on Tuesday). That much wind, even offshore, makes it a battle to paddle into and keeps the quality weird. This is strictly for the hardcore, tow-in or expert crew only. The rest of us should just watch from the cliff.

After that, things settle down for a few days. Wednesday the 29th through to the end of the month sees the swell drop back to 3 ft to 5 ft, with clean conditions. Lighter crowds are possible as it’s not the huge swell, so it’s a good time for a relaxed paddle.

Then there’s a gap from Sunday the 2nd of August through to Tuesday the 4th. The waves are tiny, around 3 ft, and the wind is onshore or cross-off, making for poor conditions. It’s a bit of a dead period.

But hold on! The forecast picks up again on Wednesday the 5th of August. The Wednesday morning is looking like another standout. A 6 ft SSW groundswell, with a very long 16-second period, and glassy conditions. The energy is 1578. This is another excellent session for experienced surfers, promising clean, powerful lines. The arvo on the 5th stays clean at 5 ft, and then we get another clean 6 ft on the morning of Friday the 7th of August.

So, for the short term, you’ve got quality surf almost every day until the 28th, with Friday the 24th as the absolute peak. For the long haul, keep an eye on Wednesday the 5th of August – that’s got serious potential, but it’s a bit of a wait, so the forecast could change.

Rusty.

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