Koeel Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s cooking at Koeel Bay.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. The early part of the week is looking clean but small, then we get a pulse of bigger swell towards the end of the first week and into the second, but the wind is going to be a pain. The real standout looks like it’ll be around Wednesday the 26th, with some lovely, clean conditions.

Let’s start with Tuesday the 25th. There’s a 4ft swell from the SW, but the forecast is a bit touch-and-go, with a moderate offshore breeze from the ESE at 15 mph. The combined energy is moderate (799). It’s surfable, but not the best of the window.

Now, Wednesday the 26th is where it’s at. Koeel Bay is a reef break, and it’s fairly consistent. Wednesday morning we’ve got a 2ft S swell, but with a 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell. The wind is light offshore from the E at 12 mph, so it’s going to be clean. The afternoon gets even better: the swell picks up to 3ft, still from the S with that long 16-second period, and the wind drops to a light 6 mph offshore. The water temp is sitting at 59°, which is about 1° cooler than average for this time of year – nothing too unusual. The combined energy is moderate (828). This is the pick of the fortnight. It’s not big, but for a clean, long-period reef wave, it’ll be offering some real quality.

Thursday the 27th is a write-off. The wind swings to a cross-on from the NW, and the swell bumps up to 5ft, but it’s messy. Poor conditions.

Friday the 28th is a bit better. The swell drops to 4ft from the S, period at 11 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-off from the S. It’s clean, but the energy is weak (347). A decent small-wave session.

Saturday the 29th is a no-go with onshore winds.

Sunday the 30th looks promising again. Morning has a 5ft SW swell, 13-second period, with a light cross-off from the SSE. The combined energy is moderate (681), and it’s clean. That’s another good one.

Monday the 31st is a bit marginal – the swell is there at 4ft, but the wind is cross-on, so expect some ripples.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting for the big wave crew. Tuesday the 1st of September we see a big jump in size. The morning has a 7ft SW swell, but the wind is a strong cross-on from the N at 15 mph, making it poor. The afternoon ramps up to 10ft from the SSW, with a strong onshore wind. The combined energy is very strong (3304), but with the wind howling onshore, it’s going to be a washing machine. This is only for the brave, and honestly, it looks more like a windy mess than a surf session.

Wednesday the 2nd of September is still big, with 8ft SSW swell, but the wind is cross-shore, making it a bit cleaner. This is solid, expert-level territory.

The rest of the first week of September sees a gradual drop in size. Thursday the 3rd, Friday the 4th, and Saturday the 5th all have some waves, but the wind is either onshore or the period drops off (short period, around 7-9 seconds), which means less punchy waves. The week starting the 7th is small again, with the occasional clean moment like Sunday the 6th, where we get a glassy 2ft SSW swell with a very long 16-second period, but it’s tiny.

Overall, if you want the best, aim for Wednesday the 26th of August. It’s the cleanest, most lined-up surf of the whole window. The big days around the 1st and 2nd of September are for experts only, and only if you can handle the wind.

Rusty.

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