Koeel Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next couple of days are a total washout, so don’t even bother waxing up until Thursday. We’ve got a solid pulse of swell coming, but it’s going to take a little while for the wind to play nice. Once it does, we’re in for a couple of proper sessions, especially if you can get out around Friday.

Wednesday is a complete loss. The northwest wind is howling and lumping up the surface. You’d be fighting a losing battle out there. Don’t waste the energy.

Thursday morning is where it starts to get interesting. We’ve got a solid 7ft SW swell rolling in with a 13-second period, and the wind swings around to a light southeast cross-offshore. The water is a touch cooler than average for this time of year, sitting around 59°. Koeel Bay (Big Island) is the spot. The energy is building too, with the combined swell energy reading 1528, which is solidly in moderate territory. It’s going to be a bit much for beginners at this size, but for the experienced crew, it’s clean and pushy. Thursday afternoon drops off a little in quality, with the swell period shortening and the wind picking up a notch.

But Friday is the standout. Both morning and afternoon are looking prime. The swell holds around 7ft to 8ft from the SSW, and the period stretches back out to 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and it’s going to have some serious push. The morning is clean with a light cross-offshore breeze. But the afternoon, with the wind dropping to glassy, is about as good as it gets. The combined swell energy jumps up to 2268, which is strong. This is the session to plan your day around. The waves will have real shape and power, ideal for the reef setup. This is expert territory at this size, no doubt.

Saturday is still worth a look, but it’s a step down. The morning is glassy with a 6ft SSW swell, but the energy drops back. The afternoon brings a bigger 8ft swell, but the conditions get a bit tricky. The wind goes cross-shore and creates ripples. The energy is there, but the quality drops. It might be a bit of a war zone.

Sunday gets blown out. The wind swings around to a strong southeast and it’s howling. The swell is still there, but it’s going to be messy. The strong cross-offshore wind is going to make it hard to paddle out and the waves will be all over the place. You can forget it.

Monday is all about a strong offshore wind, which is a double-edged sword. The swell drops off a bit, and the period shortens. The wind is howling, making it nearly impossible to get into the waves. It’s going to be a battle just to get out the back. Not worth the effort for a surf.

After that, we hit a lull. The middle of next week is pretty weak. There are some small, clean waves around Tuesday, but they’re not going to get the heart racing. The swell is down around 3ft to 5ft.

The following weekend, around the 15th and 16th, we see a small but clean run of waves. The swell is small, but with light winds and glassy conditions, you could find a few fun ones if you’re desperate. It’s not going to be anything special.

Looking further out, about a week and a half from now around the 19th, there’s a glimmer of hope. The wind looks to go offshore again, but the swell is tiny. It’s a long way off, so don’t get too excited. For now, focus on Friday. That’s the day.

This next stretch isn't looking great. After the initial burst of energy, we're looking at a lot of small, weak surf. It's a bit of a bummer, honestly.

Rusty

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