Koeel Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks for Koeel Bay. There’s some good stuff on the horizon, but it’s not going to be a straight run of perfect days. We’ll start with a solid Sunday morning, then a rough patch, and then things really come together again around the 22nd and 26th.

Let’s kick off with the standout session: Sunday morning, 13 September. Koeel Bay is a reef break, fairly consistent, and it’s firing for the experienced surfer. The water temperature is 59°, which is about average for this time of year. The wind is glassy—absolutely dead calm—and we’ve got a 4.6ft swell from the SSW with a 14-second period. That’s a groundswell, and with that period, it’s going to have some proper energy behind it. The combined swell energy is a strong 1483. It’s not too big for a good surfer, but it’s enough to get some proper rides. The crowd factor is only “sometimes,” so you’ve got a decent chance of some clean ones to yourself. This is the best on offer for the start of the run.

Sunday afternoon the same day, the wind swings to a light cross-shore from the SSW at 6 mph, and the swell drops a touch to 3.9ft. It’s still rideable, but the conditions are more marginal, so I’d get out there in the morning.

Now, Monday the 14th through to Tuesday the 15th is a write-off. We’ve got strong cross-onshore winds from the NNW and NW at 15-22 mph, and the swell gets smaller and messy. The combined energy drops right off to around 204-594, which is weak to moderate. Not worth paddling out.

Wednesday the 16th looks a bit better, especially the afternoon. We get a clean offshore wind from the SE at 19 mph, and the swell builds to 4.9ft from the W with a 13-second period. The combined energy jumps to 1577, which is strong. It’s a bit on the bigger side and the wind is fresh, so it’s more of a challenge for the experienced. The morning on the 16th is also clean but with a slightly smaller swell and a cross-off wind.

Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th keep the clean offshore winds from the SE and ESE, with swell heights around 2.9ft to 4.3ft. The energy is moderate, and the conditions are clean, but the quality is still marginal. Not a standout, but a paddle could be worth it if you’re keen.

Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th, the wind goes glassy or light offshore, with 3.3ft to 4.3ft SSW swells. The combined energy is moderate, and the conditions are good. It’s not a top-tier day, but it’s a nice clean weekend session.

Monday the 21st, the winds pick up again from the SE at 15-19 mph, creating a clean but lumpy cross-offshore condition. The swell is around 3.6ft to 3.9ft, and the energy is moderate. I’d give it a miss unless you’re desperate.

Now, here’s the next big moment: Tuesday, 22 September. Morning starts glassy with a SSW wind at 3 mph, and the swell is a nice 4.6ft from the SW with a 17-second period. That’s a very long period groundswell, which is going to produce some clean, powerful waves. The combined energy is a very strong 1445. By the afternoon, the swell builds to 6.6ft from the SSW with a 16-second period, and the energy goes up to 2102. The wind is a light cross-offshore, so the waves will be clean. This is a serious session for the experienced crew. The wave direction is a little off from the optimum, but the quality is still excellent.

Wednesday the 23rd keeps the clean offshore winds from the SE at 19 mph, with a 4.9ft to 5.2ft SSW swell. The energy is strong but the conditions are a bit more marginal due to the fresh wind. Still, there’s a good wave in there.

Thursday the 24th, the wind drops to a light offshore, and the swell holds at 4.6ft to

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