Koeel Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up at Koeel Bay.

We’re kicking off the outlook on Saturday, August 29th, with some small, clean waves. It’s not going to be a world-beater, but there’s a little bit of fun on offer. The overall pattern is a slow start, a solid pulse of good swell mid-week, then a long drawn-out tail of smaller, cleaner conditions.

Saturday morning we’ve got a 2ft south-west swell with a 14-second period. The energy is moderate (370). The wind is a light north-easterly, making it cross-offshore, so the reef should be handling that nicely. It’s a fairly consistent spot, but crowds can be a pain sometimes. The water temp is about average for this time of year. Saturday afternoon turns a bit lumpy with a south-south-westerly wind and a bigger 6ft swell, but it gets messy.

Sunday is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning is clean with a 5ft south-west swell (12 seconds) and a cross-off south-easterly breeze. Looks alright, but the afternoon wind picks up and kills the quality. Monday is a drop back to smaller, cleaner 4ft waves, better for a longboard.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday, September 1st, the swell starts to build, but it’s a bit of a tricky one. The wind is light and variable, but the report says "unknown" conditions, so treat it with caution. The real standout hits on Wednesday, September 2nd, in the morning. We’ve got a solid 7ft south-west groundswell, with a 13-second period. The energy is strong (1520). The wind is a light, offshore south-easterly, making it glassy and clean. This is the best on offer. It’s an intermediate wave, but at that size it’s for the experienced crew.

Thursday, September 3rd, the swell drops back but the wind gets real strong. Friday and Saturday, September 4th and 5th, see a big, messy, short-period wind swell develop. It is too big for beginners – over 8ft – and with a 7-8 second period, it’s just a wind-blown wall. The wind is screaming offshore, which for a beach or reef setup like this might actually be more interesting for the kite surfers than for paddle surfing.

Then we hit a lull. From Sunday, September 6th, through to Wednesday, September 10th, the waves are small – mostly under 3ft – but the wind goes light and glassy. It’s the kind of period where you’re just happy to be out for a paddle. The energy is weak (57-416). The water is about average for the time of year.

The second week shows a bit of promise again. The morning of September 13th (Sunday) has a clean 5ft south-west swell, light and glassy. That’s a nice end to the run. The forecast is less certain that far out, but it looks fun.

Bottom line: if you’ve got a window, Wednesday morning, September 2nd, is the one to chase. The 7ft south-west swell with offshore, clean wind is a proper session. The rest of the run is for the small-wave crew or the patient.

Rusty.

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