Koeel Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Let’s talk Koeel Bay. This reef break is the only spot worth looking at in the forecast, and it’s gonna give us a real mixed ride. The water’s sitting at 57°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so don’t forget a good suit.

We kick off this Sunday, 6th September, with some serious juice. A strong SSW groundswell with a very long period of 18 seconds pushes in at 6 ft. The combined energy is massive (1896), so there’s plenty of push. Wind is offshore from the east at 16 mph, keeping the surface clean. This is excellent for experienced surfers only—that’s a lot of power and size on a reef. The long period will make the sets a bit tricky to read, but it’ll groom the waves nicely.

Monday morning the 7th is absolute gold. The swell drops to a friendly 4 ft, but the wind goes glassy from the WNW at just 3 mph. The conditions are perfect—clean, lined up, and the energy is moderate (679). It’s one of those mornings you’ll remember. Crowds are only “sometimes” a problem, so you might get it quiet.

Tuesday the 8th drops way off to 3 ft and glassy again, but it’s too small to bother with. Wednesday and Thursday morning the 10th bring another punch: a big SSW swell jumps back up to 7 ft with a 16-second period. The energy rockets to 2119, and with a solid SE offshore at 12 mph, this is for the hard crew only. Over 8 ft of powerful swell—no place for learners.

Friday the 11th stays rideable but wind picks up, and Saturday the 12th has another classic: a fresh SSW swell at 5–6 ft with a very long 17-second period. The wind stays offshore from the ESE at 12–16 mph. Saturday afternoon looks especially clean with energy at 1622. From Thursday to Saturday next week is the best run of quality surf.

From Sunday the 13th through Tuesday the 15th, it all goes to crap. Strong cross-onshore winds from the NNW and NW wreck the surface. Swell hangs around but it’s messy and choppy. Not worth paddling out—this stretch is more interesting for kite surfing if you’ve got the gear.

Wednesday the 16th sees a recovery with moderate SE offshore wind and a consistent 5 ft SSW swell, though there’s moderate rain. Thursday the 17th is similar but with a strong breeze that’ll make paddling into sets a chore.

By the 18th and 19th, the swell direction shifts to SSE and SE, the period drops to 8–9 seconds, and the energy fades. The last few days from the 20th into the 21st are tiny—around 2–2 ft with that super long 19-second period on the last day. Not enough to get excited about.

Top picks: Monday morning the 7th for glassy perfection, and the run from Thursday the 10th through Saturday the 12th for power and quality. Everything else is either small, blown out, or for the brave only.

Rusty.

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