Koeel Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the table at Koeel Bay over the coming weeks. The water temp is sitting at a notable 58°, a good degree colder than what’s normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a thick wetsuit.

Saturday the 5th is a write-off. The swell is there at 6 ft to 6 ft from the SE, but it’s a short-period, messy 7 seconds with fresh offshore wind that just can’t organise itself. Poor surf.

We don’t really get going until Sunday morning the 6th. That’s your first real standout. A solid 6 ft groundswell from the SSW, with a very long period of 18 seconds, packing a huge amount of energy (1906). The wind is a moderate offshore from the east, which will keep things clean. This is prime Koeel Bay. That long period will push in with proper power, absolutely best for the reef setup here. Expect excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The afternoon drops a touch to 5 ft but stays clean and very good.

Monday the 7th is a mixed bag – the swell holds around 4 ft from the SSW, winds get light, but the morning is tricky with an onshore. The afternoon cleans up with a light cross-off breeze and clean surf, giving you another decent session.

Tuesday the 8th sees the swell drop off. Only 3 ft to 2 ft, but it goes glassy in the morning. If you’re desperate for a longboard, you can get a wave, but it’s nothing to get excited about.

We’ve got a quiet spell from Wednesday the 9th through to Friday the 11th. The swell stays small and the winds aren’t ideal. Thursday the 10th morning does bring a jump in energy – 6 ft from the SW at 16 seconds (1761 energy) – and gentle offshore wind, but it’s flagged as having questionable tide conditions. Worth a look if you can read the bank.

Friday the 11th afternoon is marginal with a 7 ft SE windswell at a dismal 6-second period. That’s short and bumpy, not recommended for paddle surfing.

Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th have decent sized groundswell but poor winds. Saturday’s offshore is fresh and clean, but the surf is marginal. Sunday swings onshore and blows out.

Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are flat and poor. Tuesday the 15th sees a near gale from the north at 31 mph – completely blown out. Not worth your time.

Wednesday the 16th offers a promising get-out – the swell builds again to 6 ft from the SW, moderate offshore wind from the SE, and clean. The energy is very strong (1347). Still marginal according to the numbers, but that looks like a solid session for the crew who don’t mind a bit of sweep.

Now, marking your calendar for Thursday the 17th – another true standout. Morning sees a 7 ft SSE swell, short period at 9 seconds, but the combined energy is very strong (1446). The wind is light and cross-off from the east, making the surf clean. This is big enough to be expert-only territory. The afternoon cleans up further with a glassy, clean 4 ft SSW groundswell for the more relaxed surfer.

The final week is mostly poor. Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th are crossed up and messy. Sunday the 20th is a monster – an 12 ft SW swell, 14-second period, with incredible energy (7643). But the wind is cross-onshore and it’s flagged as too big for this break. That is expert-only, maybe even more suited to a tow-in or a kite session. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Not for the faint-hearted.

To sum it up: Sunday the 6th and Thursday the 17th are your best bets. Sunday has the long-period groundswell perfection. Thursday is the big, clean paddle-in session for the experts.

Rusty.

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