Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up at Tubes. It’s a classic reef and point setup, consistently breaks, and it’s sheltered from the swell, so it needs the right direction to really fire. The water’s sitting at 64°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you might want an extra spring in your wetsuit.

The week starts off with a bit of a wait. Thursday the 23rd afternoon is a write-off – there’s a solid 13ft SW swell, but that 25 mph W wind is making it a beastly, messy affair. The wave energy is strong (4014), but it’s just not worth it.

Then, Friday the 24th morning is where it gets interesting. That’s the standout. You’ve got a 13ft SSW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, and the wind is a light 3 mph from the NW, keeping it clean. The combined energy is massive (8610). This is big, powerful, and clean – excellent for experienced surfers, but at 13ft, it’s strictly for the experts. That long period will make the waves really stand up and run, which is perfect for a point like this. The crowds are likely to be there, but for that quality, it’s worth it.

Saturday the 25th morning gets glassy. No wind (0 mph), a 8ft SW swell at 14 seconds, and it’s clean. The wave energy is still solid (2261). That’s a much more manageable size for a strong intermediate, and it’s a beautiful morning for it. The afternoon gets a bit of a cross-shore breeze, but it’s still surfable.

The rest of the first week gets messy. Sunday the 26th through Wednesday the 29th are all cross-onshore winds, dropping the quality. The swell sticks around at 7ft to 10ft, but it’s lumpy and choppy, and the scores drop off a cliff. There’s a small window on Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th mornings where the wind is cross-off, but the reports are still marginal. Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st see the swell drop off to 4ft to 4ft, but the wind is onshore and strong, so it’s a complete no-go. That’s a solid 5 to 6 day gap with nothing worth paddling out for.

The second week starts to look a bit more promising. Tuesday the 4th of August afternoon, we get a gentle offshore breeze from the SW, a 5ft SW swell, and the wave energy is moderate (1453). The guidance says to expect very good conditions. That’s a nice, clean option.

Then Wednesday the 5th of August afternoon is another big one. A 10ft SSW swell with a 12-second period, light offshore wind from the SW, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The wave energy is strong (5245). That’s a good, powerful swell, but again, 10ft is expert territory.

Thursday the 6th of August morning is glassy again, with a 10ft SE swell, but the period is a short 8 seconds. That’s a bit of a weird one – it’s big and clean, but that short period will make it fat and dumpy, so it’s not the best shaped wave. The energy is still strong (2289), though.

The final few days, Friday the 7th into Saturday, are smaller, cleaner, and more manageable, with 4ft to 5ft SW swells and light cross-off winds. Good for a fun, longboard session if you’re not chasing the big stuff.

Best bet: Friday the 24th morning is the real standout, but only for the very experienced. For a cleaner, more accessible session, Saturday the 25th morning is your best bet in the first week, and Tuesday the 4th afternoon is the one to watch in the second week.

Rusty.

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