Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Tubes over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a bit of a rough start, but there’s some proper gold waiting for those who are patient.

The forecast starts with a bit of a dud. Sunday the 6th is a write-off, with messy, choppy conditions from a strong easterly breeze. Not worth paddling out for. Monday the 7th is still marginal, with onshore winds messing with the lines. The wait is on.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Tuesday morning the 8th. The wind goes glassy, and even though the swell is a modest 4.3 ft from the SW, that clean surface will make it feel like a different spot. The energy is a bit on the weak side (695), but for a morning sneaky session, it’s the first real chance to get a wave.

The standout, and I mean the real standout of this whole outlook, is Saturday afternoon the 12th. The wind swings offshore out of the SSW, light and clean, and the swell jumps up to 7.9 ft from the same direction with a long period of 16 seconds. That’s 3787 units of energy – you’ll feel that push. This is a reef and point setup, so that long-period groundswell is going to line up beautifully. It’s a bit punchy, so it’s for the experienced crew, but if you’re on it, you’ll be getting some of the best waves of the forecast. The following Sunday and Monday also hold excellent conditions with offshore winds and solid swell, but Saturday the 12th is the pick.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag mid-week, with some strong, almost too big, surf on the 15th and 16th. Tuesday morning the 15th is glassy with a 9.8 ft SW swell, but that’s big, expert-only territory. The wind gets wild on the 16th with a 13.1 ft swell and strong breezes, making it look more like a kite-surfing playground than a paddle spot.

The second week gets a bit more promising again. Thursday afternoon the 17th, with a light offshore breeze and a 9.8 ft SW swell, is another solid session for experienced surfers. The final real highlight is Monday morning the 21st of September. It’s a week and a half out, so less certain, but the forecast shows a clean 9.8 ft SW swell with a light offshore breeze. That’s a long-range looker.

Overall, don’t bother with the first few days. The real action starts from the 12th, with that Saturday afternoon being the absolute best bet. Crowds are sometimes a thing at Tubes, so get there early for that standout session. The water is about average for this time of year, nothing wild to report on the temperature front.

Stay patient, and you’ll be rewarded.

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