Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu at Tubes.

We’ve got a solid run of swell coming in, but the winds are gonna be the main character here for a while. This is a sheltered reef and point break that really needs that SW to SSW direction, and when the offshore wind lines up, it’s a whole different ballgame. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing crazy, just the usual.

First up, Sunday morning, August 9th. The ocean is pumping with an 12 ft SW swell, period of 13 seconds, and the energy is massive at (3718). That’s a lot of power. The wind is light offshore from the SW, keeping it clean. But look, this is only for experienced surfers. Over 8 ft, it’s expert territory, and this is well above that. If you’ve got the skills, this is a serious session. The afternoon goes downhill fast with a strong SSE wind ruining things.

Monday, August 10th is a write-off. The swell drops to 8 ft but the wind is all wrong, cross-off in the morning and full cross in the afternoon. The energy is still moderate to strong (1939-2090), but the wind makes it a struggle.

Tuesday, August 11th and Wednesday, August 12th are poor. Strong onshore winds and chop. The swell fades badly by Wednesday morning to 3 ft with a ridiculously long 21-second period – that’s a long wait between sets and it’ll be weak and crumbly.

Thursday, August 13th and Friday, August 14th are marginal. The swell picks back up a bit (5 ft to 6 ft), with long periods of 15-17 seconds, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s choppy and not worth paddling out for.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday afternoon, August 15th, we get a turnaround. The swell is only 4 ft from the SW, with a 14-second period, but the wind swings offshore from the SSW. Light breeze, clean faces. It’s not big, but it’s rideable and clean. The energy is low (468), but quality over quantity.

Sunday, August 16th keeps that clean vibe going. SW wind stays light offshore, swell holds around 4 ft from the WSW. Consistent, clean, and fun.

Monday morning, August 17th – mark this one. Glassy conditions, not a breath of wind, with a 5 ft SW swell. That’s the kind of morning you wake up early for. The energy is moderate (1144). The afternoon gets a cross-shore wind but the morning window is pure gold.

Tuesday morning, August 18th is another glassy gem. 7 ft from the WSW, 14-second period, and glassy. That’s a standout morning for intermediate surfers – big enough to get some push, clean enough to enjoy it.

Wednesday morning, August 19th sees the swell bump up to 8 ft from the SW, with a clean offshore wind. That’s expert territory again, but if you’re confident, it’s gonna be firing.

Thursday morning, August 20th keeps the 8 ft SW swell going with a moderate offshore wind. Consistent, clean, and powerful. Another one for the experienced crew.

The run continues into Saturday, August 22nd with an 8 ft SW swell and fresh offshore wind, and then Sunday morning, August 23rd brings the real standout for the second week. A 8 ft SW swell, 16-second period, moderate offshore wind, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The energy is massive at (2805). That’s a session you’ll remember.

Monday, August 24th fades out with onshore wind and dropping quality.

Overall, the first week is a mixed bag of big, clean swells for experts and choppy onshore junk. The real sweet spot is the glassy mornings of Monday 17th and Tuesday 18th – those are the best bets for clean, manageable waves. The long-range standout is Sunday the 23rd – big, clean, and powerful, but keep an eye on the forecast, it’s a ways out.

– Rusty

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