Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a long, hard look at what’s coming down the line for Tubes. I gotta be straight with you—there’s a rough patch ahead before we get to the good stuff.

The next week is looking pretty grim overall. We’ve got a big, messy swell arriving on Thursday the 3rd, with a 10ft swell from the SSE, but it’s getting hammered by a strong 19 mph cross-offshore wind. The wave energy is massive (1942), but the conditions are marginal at best. Friday the 4th isn’t much better—still big, still windy, and that cross-shore chop will have you fighting for every turn. Honestly, from Thursday through the weekend, it’s a write-off. The wind is just ruining it.

We get a bit of a breather on Monday the 7th. The wind drops right off, turning light and offshore in the morning, with a clean 7ft SSW groundswell (period 14 seconds) pushing through (1935 energy). It’s still a bit hefty for beginners at that size, and the tide might be a factor, but for the experienced crew, it’s a window. By Tuesday morning the 8th, the wind goes glassy—dead calm—and the swell drops to a cleaner 4ft from the SW. That’s your first real chance for a clean, fun session, even if the energy is moderate (746).

Now, the real standout—the one you want to circle on the calendar—is Monday the 14th. This is the big one. We’ve got a serious SSW groundswell building through the weekend, and on Monday morning it’s a solid 6ft, but by the afternoon it’s pumping at 10ft with a 15-second period. The wave energy is a massive 4097—that’s strong, powerful stuff. And the wind? Offshore and light at 6 mph. That’s the kind of combo that makes Tubes fire. This is expert territory only; 10ft is no joke. For the experienced guys, this is the best session on offer by a long shot.

Tuesday the 15th keeps the quality high with a 7ft SSW swell and clean offshore winds in the afternoon, but it won’t have the same punch as Monday.

There’s a bit of a lull mid-week before another clean window opens up on Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th. Thursday sees a clean 5ft SW groundswell with light offshore winds—a solid, fun day for intermediates. Friday morning the 18th gets a bit more size (7ft) and good energy (2449), but the wind swings cross-offshore, so it’s not as perfect.

Look, the first week is a struggle. Strong winds and lumpy conditions are the story. But that Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th? That’s the pay-off. Be ready.

Rusty.

Read more