Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, gather ‘round. Rusty here, lookin’ through the charts for the next couple of weeks. We got a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down.

The first solid surf we’re seeing is at Tubes starting Monday the 27th of July. It’s a reef and point set-up, and it’s consistent, which is good. The water’s a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sittin’ at 64°, so you might want a thicker suit. The early part of the week is a bit of a tease. Monday morning has some 6ft SW swell with a 12-second period, but the wind is a cross-off from the WSW at 22 mph, and the combined energy is moderate (1981). It’s a “marginal” call, but it’s clean. That afternoon, the swell jumps to 10ft, the period stretches to 17 seconds, and the energy jumps to strong (5537), but the wind swings to a cross-off from the SSE, and it’s still clean. That’s promising, but it’s a big, long-period groundswell, so it’ll be powerful and might jack up a bit straight at a beach break. Tubes is a reef and point though, so it should handle it well.

Tuesday the 28th sees the swell drop a bit to 8ft, still from the SW, but the wind turns onshore from the NE in the morning, which takes the shine off. The energy is still strong (3558). Wednesday and Thursday look pretty poor with onshore winds and choppy conditions, so you can sleep in. Friday the 31st is smaller again, around 5ft, but still messy.

Now, after a bit of a lull, we get a real standout. Monday the 3rd of August: glassy conditions in the morning with a 6ft SW swell at 13 seconds. The energy is moderate (1247). The wind goes calm, flat glass. The afternoon is clean too with a light cross-off. That’s the best of the first week, no doubt.

Then the second week kicks off with a bang. Tuesday the 4th of August the swell jumps up to 12ft from the WSW. The energy is very strong (2942). The wind is a fresh offshore from the WSW, so it’ll be clean. But that’s a big wave, 12ft, and it’s a short period at 10 seconds, so it’s going to be a bumpy, powerful beast. Only for the experts. Wednesday the 5th is still solid, 10ft, with a clean offshore wind in the afternoon. Thursday the 6th of August, though… that’s the one. The morning is 6ft but the period is 16 seconds, and the energy is strong (3473). The afternoon is a monster: 12ft SW swell with a 15-second period and an incredible 5747 combined energy. The wind is a light cross-off from the S, keeping it clean. That’s top-tier, groundswell perfection, but again, 12ft is for experienced surfers only. The crowd profile at Tubes says “sometimes,” so you might have company, but it’s worth it.

The rest of that week stays big, with 12ft waves and offshore winds on Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th, but the wind picks up to a fresh breeze, so it’s not as clean as Thursday. Sunday the 9th of August cleans up again with a light offshore in the afternoon, 10ft, and another excellent rating. The confidence is lower out that far, but it’s a great look.

The 10th and 11th of August see the swell drop a bit, but the wind turns onshore, so the quality takes a dive.

The standout: Without a doubt, Thursday the 6th of August at Tubes. That afternoon session is the pick of the whole run. Big 12ft SW groundswell, 15-second period, clean conditions, and massive energy. It’s a beast for the experts.

Rusty.

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