Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get down to it. We’ve got a run of southwest groundswell headed our way for the next couple of weeks, and Tubes is the place to be. Water temp is about standard for the season, nothing crazy.

The big one is this Thursday, the 6th. We’re talking a solid 12ft of southwest swell with a long 13-second period. The energy is pumping, with readings at 4512 in the morning and still a strong 3567 in the afternoon. Morning has a light offshore breeze and clean conditions – that’s your money window. The afternoon breeze picks up a bit, but it’s still offshore and clean. This is serious surf for experienced folks only. Beginners, grab a coffee and watch from the cliff.

Friday sees the swell back off a little to 10ft, but the wind turns onshore from the east, making it choppy. Not great. Saturday cleans up with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell drops to 8ft. It’s got shape, but it’s not the day.

Sunday morning the 9th is another standout. Another pulse of 12ft swell, and the wind is a moderate offshore, keeping the faces clean. Energy is back up at 4418. That’s a great session. But the afternoon gets wild – a strong cross-offshore wind and heavy rain, with swell energy spiking to a huge 8624. It’ll be a raw, powerful, and messy one. Not for the faint of heart.

Monday is still 10ft, but the wind stays cross-offshore from the southeast. It’s clean, but the energy is down to 2966. Tuesday is a washout with onshore winds and poor conditions. We’re looking at a real lull coming.

From the 13th through the 17th, we hit a flat spell. The swell drops out – down to 4ft or less – and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore. It’s a waiting game. Nothing worth getting wet for, unless you just need to be in the water.

Now, for the long-range promise: Tuesday the 18th. A new, cleaner southwest swell fills in around 7ft with a 11 to 13-second period. The kicker is the wind. Tuesday morning is forecast to be absolutely glassy. Flat calm. The energy is moderate at 1518, but on a point break like this, a glassy surface with a clean southwest swell will produce some truly fantastic waves. The afternoon stays clean with a light cross-offshore breeze. That’s your second standout – a much more user-friendly session after that lull.

The rest of that week is more modest. The 19th has clean offshore winds and 5ft swell – fun, but not epic. The 20th looks better, with the afternoon bringing a moderate offshore breeze and 6ft swell, energy building to 1118. That will be a good one.

The 21st, the wind swings onshore again, so be prepared for that.

So, to sum it up: the heavy hitters are Thursday the 6th and Sunday morning the 9th – big power and size. For a clean, glassy, and more relaxed session, mark Tuesday the 18th on your calendar. The first week is for the experienced, the second week is for picking your windows. Crowds are possible here, so get out early.

Keep it salty.

Rusty

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