Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a couple of proper windows that’ll get the heart rate up.

First up, it’s not looking too flash for the next few days. We’ve got some solid swell pushing through Tubes, but the wind’s all over the shop—cross-off and cross-on breezes killing the vibe. The water’s turned properly cold, about 57°F, which is a solid 9 degrees colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want the thickest rubber you’ve got. The energy is pumping hard on Saturday morning with a combined swell energy of 2462, but it’s messy and the conditions are questionable. Not worth paddling out for anything better than a grovel.

Sunday and Monday keep that size—12ft and 10ft—but it’s still cross-off and rain, so it’s powerful but lumpy. Tuesday the wind swings east and it goes onshore, and from there it’s a write-off all the way through to Friday. The swell drops off, but it’s choppy and ugly. Wednesday and Thursday have some long-period energy (20-21 seconds) but it’s all onshore and messy, so you’re not missing much.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday the 17th is the standout. The morning is still a bit cross-on, but the afternoon at Tubes (a reef and point setup) goes glassy. The swell is a clean 6ft from the southwest with a solid 13-second period, and the energy is up there at 2113. This is the one to circle. It’s a proper reef break, so that long-period groundswell is going to line up beautifully. Experienced surfers are going to have a field day. This is your best bet of the whole run.

After that, we get a bit of a lull. Monday and Tuesday stay around the 6-6ft mark but with cross-onshore winds, so it’s not clean. Wednesday and Thursday drop back to 4-5ft with offshore breezes, which is clean but small—good for a longboard if you’re desperate.

Then, the sneaky second standout: Friday the 21st. The swell jumps back up to 12ft in the morning and 10ft in the afternoon, with a moderate offshore breeze. The energy is massive—3799 in the morning. This is proper, powerful surf. It’s a bit big for beginners—over 8ft is expert territory—but for the crew who know what they’re doing, this could be the session of the fortnight. Just be aware that it’s a fair way out, so trust the forecast but don’t book the plane tickets yet.

The weekend after that drops off again, with cross-onshores and smaller swell. So, to sum it up: you’ve got a long, flat, and messy stretch ahead, but the afternoon of the 17th and the morning of the 21st are the ones to chase. Keep an eye on the buoys, but don’t hold your breath too hard.

Rusty out.

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