Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The surf’s been a bit of a mixed bag out at Tubes, but there are definitely some windows where it’s gonna light up.

Right off the bat, Sunday afternoon is looking rough. We’ve got a funky 2.0m SW swell pushing in, but that ENE wind is gonna chop it all to pieces. There’s a lot of energy in the water – 1651 – but it’s messy, lumpy, and not worth your time. You’re better off doing something else until things settle down.

Monday morning is still small and questionable – 1.3m with light cross-shore winds. Not great. But Monday afternoon, things start to turn. The wind swings offshore and it cleans up to a gentle 1.2m. It’s not big, but it’s clean and surfable. Tuesday carries that same thread – clean, small waves in the 1-1.3m range. Good for getting some fun ones if you’re not chasing size.

Now, Wednesday the 16th is where it gets interesting. The swell jumps to 3.0m and the energy numbers are huge – 2476 in the morning, 3140 in the afternoon. That’s a serious pulse of SW groundswell. The morning has moderate offshore winds and it’s clean. This is the standout for the first week. It’s big, it’s powerful, and it’s gonna be a proper session for the experienced crew. This is a “bring your big board and your best game” kind of day. Beginners, stay out of the water – 3.0m is well over the limit.

Thursday drops back to 1.8m but the wind goes onshore again and it gets choppy. Friday’s the same story – cross-onshore winds, lumpy, messy. The swell is still there but the conditions are just poor. We’re looking at a couple of days of frustration there.

Then we hit Saturday the 20th. The morning is glassy – pure glass. 1.4m of SW swell and no wind. That’s a beautiful sight. But the real gem is the afternoon. The swell picks up to 2.5m, and it swings around to the ESE. Now, this is where it gets interesting – the energy jumps to 2504, and it’s clean. This is the second standout. It’s a different direction, a bit more easterly in the mix, and the light offshore wind will have it looking perfect. This is a great day for Tubes.

Sunday the 21st keeps the momentum with a solid 1.8m, and Monday the 23rd morning has a nice 2.5m WSW pulse with offshore winds – very good surf. But after that, the wind turns onshore again and the forecast gets messy through the middle of the week. There’s some size, but the conditions are junk.

Then we get a golden window. Saturday the 26th – the wind goes completely glassy. The swell is 1.9m, the energy is up around 1249 in the morning and 1706 in the afternoon, and it’s just clean, glassy surf. This is the best-looking stretch on the whole forecast. The water’s been a bit cold too – 16° and about 3° colder than normal for this time of year, so keep the thick rubber on.

Sunday the 27th has some offshore wind and clean 1.8m surf, and Monday the 28th morning is another standout with a 1.8m SSW swell and moderate offshore winds. That’s a solid run of clean waves.

So, to wrap it up: there’s plenty of surf over the next couple of weeks, but the real winners are Wednesday the 16th, Saturday the 20th afternoon, and that run from Saturday the 26th through Monday the 28th. Those are the days you wanna be out there. The rest is either too small, too windy, or just plain messy.

Keep an eye on that long-period stuff – the 15 and 16 second swells are prone to breaking a bit straight at the beachies, but at a reef and point like Tubes, that’s where it really shines.

Stay stoked.

Rusty

Read more