Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get stuck into this one. We’ve got a real slow cooker of a forecast for Tubes. The water’s sitting at about 63°F, which is a touch cooler than normal for this time, but nothing to complain about. The real story is the waiting game. There’s a big gap of quiet, messy conditions before something truly special lines up.

The first few days are pretty average and all over the shop. Sunday the 2nd kicks off with a small 3ft SW swell with good 13-second period, but it’s onshore and the energy’s weak (302). Not worth rushing for. Monday the 3rd shows a brief window of hope – early morning glassy conditions but only 6ft of fussy ESE windswell. It gets messy in the afternoon. Then we drift into a lull of poor and marginal stuff right through to Wednesday the 5th. There’s no staying power in any of that.

Thursday the 6th is where things start to wake up. The morning brings a solid 12ft SW groundswell with a period of 13 seconds, pushing moderate-to-strong energy (4228). It’s big – right at that expert-only threshold – and the wind is clean. This is a proper session for the experienced crew. The afternoon stays on with a 10ft SW swell and offshore wind, still excellent but heavy. Straight after that, though, Friday the 7th gets clobbered by strong onshores, and Saturday the 8th is just plain dangerous – a 25ft SW juggernaut with near-gale winds, energy off the charts (19942). That’s full-on survival, not surfing.

Now, Sunday the 9th is the one. Mark it. A massive 23ft SSW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, light NW winds and glassy conditions. The combined swell energy is 24646 – that’s exceptional power. This is the standout, no question. It’s only for experts, but if you’ve got the nerve, this is as clean and heavy as it gets at Tubes. Tides and timing will be everything. The afternoon goes lumpy again, but that morning window is gold.

After that, the surf settles back into a more manageable rhythm. The energy drops through the following week with a few clean windows – Wednesday the 12th morning has 6ft SSW groundswell and glassy conditions, and Thursday the 13th afternoon sees 5ft SW and offshore winds. Nothing massive, but clean and rideable for intermediates.

Don’t sleep on the very end – Sunday the 16th morning brings 8ft SW groundswell, 16-second period, clean and crisp with that long-period energy. It’s a bit straight for a beach break at that period, but Tubes handles it well. Only for the experienced, but it’s a worthy finisher.

Bottom line: the best of this outlook is Sunday the 9th, hands down. That is the one you plan around. Everything else is either building towards it or settling down after.

Stay safe out there.
- Rusty

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