Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards at Tubes for the next couple of weeks. It’s a real rollercoaster – plenty of size, but the wind’s gunna call the shots. The water’s a nippy 60°F, which is a solid 6°F colder than average for this time of year, so you’ll feel that chill.

Thursday the 27th of August is a bit of a letdown. There’s a solid 6ft SSW groundswell with a 12-second period and a hefty 1275 combined energy reading, but the cross-shore wind and poor conditions mean it’s not worth paddling out for.

Friday the 28th cleans right up. Morning brings a crisp 12 mph WSW offshore, with 4ft of S swell at 11 seconds. Energy’s dropped to 426, but those clean lines are perfect for an intermediate. Afternoon holds with 4ft of S swell and light cross-off wind.

Saturday the 29th the wind kicks up – a fresh 22 mph WSW offshore in the morning with 4ft of WSW swell. The 912 energy is there, but the wind’s making it a fight. The afternoon fades.

Now, Sunday the 30th is where we focus. Light rain and a steady 12 mph SSW offshore with 6ft of SW swell. Energy is 1018 – moderate and punchy. This is a standout window. The offshore breeze will keep ‘em clean and lined up. Monday the 31st has 6ft to 8ft SW swell with some cross-off wind. Energy climbs to 1402 by the afternoon, but the fresh breeze makes it marginal.

Tuesday the 1st of September kicks off with a clean 8ft SW swell and glassy conditions in the afternoon – light 9 mph offshore. Energy is a strong 1674. Good for confident surfers, but getting serious.

Then it gets heavy. Wednesday the 2nd of September morning has 13ft SW swell with 6064 energy, and by the afternoon it’s a beastly 20ft with a huge 15267 combined energy and a 15-second period. That’s a very long-period groundswell – powerful and straight at this reef and point, so experts only. The cross-off wind keeps it from being a total mess, but it’s a serious paddle.

Thursday the 3rd stays big with 13ft to 12ft SW swell, still clean. Friday the 4th into Saturday the 5th is a total loss – strong ESE winds ruin the surface with 15ft to 16ft of lumpy SE swell. Kitesurfers might love it, but not for a paddle.

But look at Sunday the 6th of September afternoon – a light 6 mph SSW offshore, 13ft of SE swell with 4814 energy. This is excellent for experienced surfers. Monday the 7th morning is glassy with 6ft of S swell and 1697 energy.

The second week tapers off. Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th are small and wind-affected, with 4ft to 3ft SW swell. Thursday the 10th has a brief clean window with 3ft SSW swell and 439 energy, but Friday the 11th finishes rough with lumpy onshore wind.

The standout is Sunday the 30th – that 6ft SW swell with clean offshore wind is the one for most folks. For the big-wave crew, Wednesday the 2nd of September is the day, but bring your courage.

Rusty.

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