Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s on the cards at Tubes. This is a reef and point setup that fires best when the swell is coming from the SSW. It’s a consistent wave, but the crowd factor is real – you’ll likely have company out there.

The water is sitting at a very unusual 57°, which is a massive 9° colder than what’s normal for this time of year. That’s not just a cool patch, that’s a full-on winter surprise. You’ll want a thick suit.

Right now it’s flat and it’s going to stay that way through Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th. The wind is a nasty easterly cross-on at 18-25 mph and the swell is messy with low energy (2440). Don’t even bother. There’s a gap of a few days of nothing worth paddling out for.

Thursday the 13th morning is a tease. There’s a 4 ft SSW groundswell with a very long 20 second period, and the wind is light onshore. The energy is substantial (2117) but the wind isn’t clean yet. Wait for the tides to do their thing.

Friday the 14th is a write-off. Cross-on wind and weak energy. Saturday the 15th morning though – this is where it starts to get interesting. Glassy conditions, a 4 ft SSW swell, and the energy (548) is moderate. It’ll be small but clean. The standout of this opening week is Monday the 17th. We’ve got a 6 ft to 6 ft SW groundswell, dead glassy in the morning and then clean offshore wind in the afternoon. The energy is strong (1113-1279) and the conditions are going to be very good. This is the one to circle.

Then on Tuesday the 18th afternoon, we see a jump to 10 ft from the SW with a moderate offshore wind and very strong energy (2879). This is excellent for experienced surfers – it’s a big, powerful wave for those who know what they’re doing. Wednesday the 19th holds similar size but with a fresher offshore wind, so it stays clean but big. That run of quality big swell lasts through Saturday the 22nd morning when we see a 12 ft to 13 ft SW groundswell with very long 16 second periods and offshore wind. The energy is insane (7514). This is not for the faint of heart, and only experts should be looking at this.

The final standout is a bit further out. Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th mornings both see glassy conditions with 5 ft to 6 ft SW groundswell, clean and inviting. Then Wednesday the 26th morning caps it off with glassy 7 ft SW swell and strong energy (1594) – again, very good conditions.

If you’re looking for the best on offer, it has to be Monday the 17th for the perfect combo of clean, manageable size and good energy. The second standout is Tuesday the 18th afternoon for the big-wave crew, but that’s only for experts. For the second week, things look promising but less certain – still, Wednesday the 26th morning looks like a beauty. Get on it.

Rusty.

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