Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a stretch ahead of us at Tubes that’s got a bit of everything, but it’s going to test your patience before it pays off. Let’s walk through it.

The opening weekend is a write-off, honestly. Saturday morning (Aug 8) is cross-off with a fresh breeze, and the swell is only marginal — too messy to get excited about. The afternoon cleans up a little with a proper offshore, but it’s still not firing, so don’t rush out.

Sunday (Aug 9) has the size but it’s all over the shop. That 10ft swell is there, but the wind is cross-off and there’s rain messing with the surface. It’s not going to be pretty. Monday (Aug 10) is more of the same — cross-off, 8ft to 10ft, but it’s just not making the grade. We’re looking at a couple of days of shoulder-shrugging surf.

Then Tuesday and Wednesday (Aug 11-12) the wind swings onshore and it gets properly chopped up. Those are days to stay on the beach, not in the water. The swell drops and the energy gets weak, so there’s no saving it.

Thursday (Aug 13) holds that poor quality, and Friday morning (Aug 14) is still junk. But Friday afternoon (Aug 14) we get a little glimpse — 4ft at 14 seconds, with a gentle offshore blowing. It’s small but clean. Worth a paddle if you’re keen.

Now, the standout in this whole window is Saturday morning, August 22. That’s over a week away, so treat it as a promising long-range call, not a guarantee. But the charts are looking proper. We’re talking 16ft of WSW swell at 11 seconds, light cross-off winds, and the energy reading is massive — 6236. That’s strong to very strong wave energy, folks. This is one for the experienced crew. Tubes is a reef and point setup, and with that size, it’s going to be thick and powerful. Beginners stay well clear — anything over 8ft is expert territory.

The Saturday afternoon session (Aug 22) stays serious, with 15ft at 12 seconds and clean, light winds. Then Sunday morning (Aug 23) rounds it off with another solid 12ft at 14 seconds, with a gentle offshore. That’s groundswell, long-period, and it’s going to be proper out there.

Before that, there’s a bit of a tease on Saturday evening (Aug 15) with 4ft and an offshore, and then Sunday the 16th morning has 7ft at 9 seconds, clean and offshore — not huge, but it could be a fun one.

The 19th (Wednesday morning) looks like a similar moderate sort of day, with 5ft and light cross-off winds, glassy. And the 20th and 21st have some offshore mornings, but the size is nothing to write home about.

The crowd situation at Tubes is listed as sometimes, so be ready for that if you’re heading out.

Overall, the best on offer is without a doubt that big Saturday swell on the 22nd. It’s a while out, so don’t book your flights yet, but it’s got the size, it’s got the wind, and the energy is through the roof. Sunday the 16th morning is the only other real shout for a clean, solid session, but it’s not in the same league.

Keep it on your radar, and we’ll see how it shapes up.

Rusty.

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