Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down. The first stretch is a dead zone – nine days of nothing worth mentioning. The first real sign of life shows up on Tuesday, September 15. In the morning you’ve got a 4ft SW swell with a clean offshore breeze from the WSW at 6 mph. The period is 11 seconds, so it’s a little short, but it’s clean. Combined energy is low at 335 – weak. By afternoon the swell bumps to 5ft from the SW, period drops to 10 seconds, but it stays clean with a light cross‑off. Not a barnstormer, but you can have a surf.

The water temperature on that first surfable day is a shock to the system: 60°F, which is 6°F colder than normal for this time of year – that’s very unusual, so you’ll want a thick suit.

The absolute standout of the whole outlook is Tuesday, September 22. The morning is glass – no wind – with a 5ft SW swell and a 13-second period. Combined energy is 736, solid moderate power. The break here is Tubes (reef and point), a consistent, sheltered spot that loves the SW swell direction. Crowds are possible, but on a glassy morning like this, you’ll be stoked to share the take‑off zone.

Later that week, Saturday, September 26 is another cracker: morning brings 7ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, a moderate offshore wind from the WSW at 12 mph, and combined energy at 1719 – strong. This is expert territory at that size. The afternoon stays clean with 7ft and a lighter offshore breeze.

The last few days have some big numbers – a 12ft SSW groundswell on Friday, September 25 with a very long 17-second period – but the wind is cross‑onshore and lumpy, making it more of a kite‑surfing day than a paddle session.

So, to sum it up: the two days to circle are Tuesday, September 22 for the glassy dawn patrol, and Saturday, September 26 for the clean, powerful afternoon session. Everything else is either waiting or fighting the wind.

Rusty.

Read more