Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, things are a bit quiet. Sunday the 2nd is a no-go with poor, weak surf. The first real chance to get wet comes Monday morning, the 3rd of August. Tubes is a sheltered reef and point break, and it’s a consistent spot, so there’s always hope.

Monday morning sees a clean 3 ft swell from the ESE, coming in with a moderate 11-second period. The wind is glassy, just a slight air, so the surface will be smooth as silk. The combined energy is decent at 1407 (moderate wave energy). It’s not a massive day, but for a Monday dawn patrol, it’s a solid option. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Tuesday the 4th is a write-off; the wind is messy and the swell drops off. Wednesday the 5th is a bit of a sleeper. The morning is small, 3 ft but from the SSW with a 14-second period, offering clean lines. It’s the afternoon that’s the real standout for the first week: a 5 ft SW groundswell, 16-second period, with a moderate offshore breeze from the SW. That’s a recipe for long, clean walls at Tubes. The energy is moderate (1019), but the quality will be high.

Now, hold onto your boards. Thursday the 6th of August is the big one for the experienced crew. We’re talking a solid 12 ft SW swell in the morning, blowing up to 10 ft in the afternoon, with a 13-second period. The wind is offshore and clean all day. The combined energy readings are massive (4336 in the morning, 3389 in the afternoon), putting us in strong territory. This is for experts only, well over 8 ft, and the crowd will definitely be there—it’s a popular spot.

Friday the 7th gets hammered by onshore wind, so that’s a skip. The weekend of the 8th and 9th gets interesting, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag. Saturday the 8th afternoon has a massive 21 ft SW swell, but the wind is howling at 30 km/h, even if it is offshore. The energy is extreme (12155), but the forecast says "marginal," so it’s wild and probably only for the lunatics. Sunday the 9th is still big, 13 ft and 10 ft, with cleaner wind, but it’s a lot of water moving.

The second week looks more promising for consistency. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are blown out by cross-onshore winds. The real gem appears on Wednesday the 12th: a clean 5 ft SW swell with an offshore breeze, building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Clean and workable, moderate energy.

Then, for the long-range standout, look at Thursday the 13th of August. Morning session has a 7 ft SSW groundswell with an 18-second period—very long period. The wind is offshore and moderate. That’s a dream combo for a point break like Tubes, with clean, powerful lines. The energy is high (4100). This is the one to circle on the calendar, but it’s over a week out, so keep an eye on it.

Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th are messy with onshore and cross-shore winds, and the swell is big but not clean. Sunday the 16th is similar, and Monday the 17th is a windy, lumpy mess.

So, to sum it up: the best windows are Monday morning, August 3rd for a clean, smaller session, and Thursday the 6th for the experts. The real standout to watch is Thursday morning, August 13th, for that long-period groundswell with offshore wind. Crowds are likely, especially on the bigger days, but for a consistent spot like Tubes, that’s just part of the deal.

Rusty, signing off.

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