Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

We've got a solid outlook on our hands for Tubes, with a real classic swell window opening up in the back half of the run. The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag, a bit of a tease, but the ocean's got some plans for us.

Starting things off on Sunday the 2nd, we're looking at a bumpy 7ft of east-southeast wind swell, but it's a bit jumbled with the cross-on wind. The water is a touch colder than it should be for this time of year at 63°, so you might want the hood. It's not great, but it's surfable if you're keen.

Monday the 3rd cleans up nicely though. Glassy conditions in the morning with a 6ft southeast swell and a period of 11 seconds. That's a big step up in quality. The afternoon turns a little cross-on again, but it's still way better than Sunday.

Tuesday the 4th is a write-off. The swell drops to 5ft, it's from the southwest with a short period, and the wind is on it. Poor conditions, not worth the paddle.

Wednesday the 5th is when things start to turn. The morning is small, but the afternoon is where it's at. A clean 5ft southwest swell rolls in with a 16-second period and light offshore winds. That's the first real taste of what's to come.

Thursday the 6th is a step up again. We're looking at a strong 12ft southwest groundswell early, with clean offshore winds. This is proper juice. By the afternoon it's 10ft, still clean and offshore. This is getting serious, only for the experienced crew though.

Friday the 7th is a bit of a letdown. The swell is still solid, 8ft, but the wind swings onshore and chops it all up. Not your friend.

Saturday the 8th is a return to form. Clean, offshore winds all day, with a strong 8ft southwest swell in the morning, easing to 8ft in the afternoon. Another day for the better surfers, no question.

Sunday the 9th brings some rain and a screaming 25 mph cross-offshore wind. It's big, 10ft, but the conditions will be wild and difficult. Kind of a hold-your-ground day.

Monday the 10th, things wind down a bit, with a 5ft southwest swell and moderate offshore winds. Not bad, but a step down from the weekend.

Now, here's where we look ahead. Tuesday the 11th of August is the standout. This is the one that gets the heart pumping. The forecast is for an absolute monster of a swell, 26ft, with a long period of 14 to 16 seconds. The combined energy is off the charts. The morning looks glassy, which is about as perfect as it gets. This is an all-time, expert-only kind of day. It doesn't get much bigger than this.

Wednesday the 12th is still huge, but the swell goes more southerly and the winds are stronger cross-offshore. Still 20ft, but it’s going to be a lot more raw and unruly.

Thursday the 13th backs down a bit, but 12ft with clean offshore winds is another great day, still for experts.

Friday the 14th brings the wind up a bit, but it's still a solid 5ft, with a clean 5ft in the afternoon. Not bad at all.

The next stretch, Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th, get messy with strong cross-on winds and a bumpy 8ft. It’s going to get chopped up.

The run ends with Monday the 17th, which has some size but won't be pretty. The wind is strong and offshore, but the swell's period has dropped to 10 seconds, making it a bit wind-blown and crumbly.

So, there you have it. There are some rippable windows in the first week, but the crown jewel is without a doubt Tuesday the 11th. That's the one you clear your calendar for. It's a long way out, so we'll keep an eye on it, but man, it's looking promising. The energy in that system is huge.

Stay stoked.

Rusty.

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