Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer at Tubes.

We’ve got a run of solid south-west groundswell rolling in, and the opening window kicks off from Saturday the 18th of July. That first afternoon brings a clean 5ft SW swell with light offshore wind. The water’s a touch colder than normal for this time of year at 64°, so you’ll want a decent winter suit. The combined swell energy is moderate (903).

Sunday the 19th keeps things clean through the morning with a little 5ft SW swell and barely any wind. Not huge but very rideable. By afternoon, wind cranks up hard from the WSW at 25 mph and the swell jumps to 8ft – it gets messy and rough. Wouldn’t bother unless you’re after a battle.

Monday the 20th is where it gets interesting. Morning glass-off conditions with a solid 7ft SW swell, moderate energy (2344), and light wind. This is for experienced surfers – it’s pushing overhead and clean. Afternoon holds at 6ft with light offshore breeze, still very good.

Tuesday the 21st sees the swell kick up to 8ft from the SSW with a proper long period of 14–15 seconds. That sort of period is best suited to Tubes because it’s a reef and point setup – long-period groundswell will wrap in and hold shape. The combined energy is strong (2402). It’s worth a look but the wind is a bit cross in the morning and cross-shore in the afternoon, so conditions are a bit marginal for perfection.

Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday morning the 23rd are decent – 7ft to 10ft SW / SSW swell with clean cross-off winds and moderate offshore flow. Thursday morning spikes to 10ft with 11-second period and excellent conditions for strong surfers, big energy (2431). That’s a standout session.

Thursday afternoon the wind goes cross-onshore and it gets choppy. Leave it.

Friday the 24th has a monster pulse: 13ft SSW groundswell with a 16-second period early and clean cross-off winds. That’s very strong energy (7473). Not for the faint-hearted. The afternoon is a gorgeous 12ft SSW swell with 15-second period and clean offshore wind. Best left to experienced crew who know the reef.

Saturday the 25th morning is about as good as it gets – 10ft SW groundswell, 14-second period, glassy conditions. Combined energy is strong (2995). That’s a standout. The afternoon drops to 8ft but gets a little funky with cross-shore wind.

From Sunday the 26th, the swell backs off a bit and the winds start to turn onshore or cross-off at times. Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th see another big push with 12ft SW swell but winds are messy – onshore and choppy, especially Tuesday afternoon. Not great.

The end of July and into early August is a mixed bag. Wednesday the 29th through Friday the 31st keep pumping 10ft+ SSW swell but with rain showers, strong winds, and lumpy conditions. Big but not clean. You’d need to be keen and experienced if you paddle out.

Then Saturday the 1st of August drops right back – small 5ft SW swell, glassy morning, clean but tiny. Not really a goer.

Sunday the 2nd of August is a curveball: 13ft from the ESE with an 11-second period and glassy conditions in the morning. That’s very rare for this spot and it would be huge. Energy is very strong (6324). If it lines up, that’s a specialist-only session.

Overall, the standout sessions are Thursday the 23rd morning and Saturday the 25th morning – both offer big, clean SW groundswell with good wind conditions. Friday the 24th afternoon is also a gem for experts. Tubes is a consistent reef and point break that handles the bigger swells well, especially the long-period stuff. Crowds can be a factor sometimes, so expect company on the better days.

That’s the call. – Rusty

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