Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into the outlook for Tubes.

We’ve got a run of surf coming up, but it’s a mixed bag of conditions. The first real standout is a cracking Thursday afternoon session, and a big, powerful Sunday morning that’s only for the brave. There’s a lull early on, then a building trend, but plenty of days where the wind or the size will mess with the quality.

The period kicks off on Tuesday morning, the 8th of September, with small, clean waves. Swell is 4ft from the SW with a solid 13-second period, and the wind is glassy from the NNE. The combined energy is moderate (695). It’s a good, gentle start for a cruise, but it’s not the big show.

Tuesday afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-shore wind, so the quality drops. Wednesday the 9th is small and ordinary, with a big 15-second period but only 2ft of swell – not enough to get excited about.

Now, Thursday the 10th is where we start to see some action. The morning session sees a clean 4ft SW swell with offshore wind, and the energy is solid (748). But the real standout is Thursday afternoon (10th September). The swell jumps to 7ft from the SW, a 16-second period, and the wind is blowing clean offshore from the SW. The combined energy is strong (2069). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The waves will have serious power and shape, but that size (over 5ft) means it’s not for beginners.

Friday the 11th is a write-off with strong onshore winds and choppy, poor surf. Saturday the 12th is a mixed day – the morning is clean with 4ft swell, but the afternoon gets messy.

Sunday morning, the 13th of September, is another big one. Swell is 8ft from the SW with a 15-second period, the wind is light and cross-off, and the combined energy is very strong (2443). This is excellent surf, but again, only for experienced surfers due to the size. The afternoon drops off with a cross-shore wind.

The middle of the week from the 14th to the 15th is a bit of a lull – small, inconsistent, and poor to marginal conditions. The combined energy drops right back.

Then we see a massive push into the second week. Wednesday afternoon, the 16th of September, the swell goes huge at 13ft from the SW, with a 17-second period and strong offshore wind. The combined energy is extreme (9414). This is a real groundswell, but it’s a dirty, powerful, giant wave. Too big for anyone but the most experienced, and with that long period, it could be a bit straight at the beach. This is a 'watch from the cliff' kind of day.

The 17th and 18th of September stay big, with 12ft to 13ft swell, but the wind is strong and the conditions are marginal. The energy is still very strong, but it’s a wild ocean.

Things settle down for the weekend. Sunday morning, the 20th of September, is a beauty. Swell is 7ft from the WSW, a 14-second period, and the wind is dead calm, glassy. The combined energy is strong (1800). This is very good surf, clean, and a much more manageable size.

The 21st and 22nd of September go huge again, with 16ft swell on the Monday, but the wind is cross-shore, making it a messy, powerful beast. That’s for the big-wave specialists only.

We finish on Wednesday morning, the 23rd of September, with a clean 5ft SW swell, offshore wind, and moderate energy (1043). A nice, clean, paddlable wave to finish the run.

Summing it up: If you’re experienced, Thursday afternoon (10th) and Sunday morning (13th) are your best bets for powerful, clean surf. For the brave, the giant swells of the 16th and 20th are there, but they require serious respect. The second week is a mix of huge, dangerous days and a few clean windows. Stay sharp.

Rusty.

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