Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from the shack. Let's talk about Tubes for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we got a bit of a slow start. The first few days are looking average at best, but don't write it off. The real story here is the second week, specifically a couple of days that could be absolute belters.

Kicking off Saturday the 25th, we've got a solid 10 ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 13-second period. The water temp is sittin' at about 65°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, nothin' weird there. But the wind is a light ESE cross-shore, so it's not gonna be that clean, silky wall we all dream of. It's a bit lumpy, so for the experienced crew, it's worth a paddle, but don't expect perfection.

Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th, the swell drops a touch, but the wind gets nasty. Monday morning has a howlin' 19 mph WSW cross-offshore wind that'll put a texture on the face, and then it swings to a strong S cross-off in the arvo with rain. The wave energy is still massive – over 3900 (moderate to strong energy) on Monday arvo – but it's messy. For the average surfer, this is a skip.

Now, through Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th, the onshores just wreck it. Choppy, lumpy conditions with the swell bouncing around 10 ft but with a moderate to fresh breeze from the E/ENE. This is kite-surfing territory, not for the paddle crew. The combined energy is still up there (4173 on Tuesday morning) but the quality is zero.

We finally get a breather on Thursday the 30th. The swell drops to a manageable 5-5 ft, but more importantly, the wind goes light and variable, turning offshore (SW) in the afternoon. Clean lines start to appear again. The energy is down to around 700-800, so it's not a monster, but it'll be fun and rideable.

The standout run starts here, so mark your calendar. The gap of poor conditions from the 31st of July to the 5th of August is a real bummer – a solid week of tiny, wind-shredded leftovers. But hang in there.

Thursday the 6th gets things going again with chest-high SW swell and a very light, glassy wind. Get in the water then for a sneaky session.

But the real winner is the morning of Friday the 7th of August. Holy moly. We’ve got a 6 ft SW groundswell with a 13-second period, and the wind is listed as *glass*. You read that right – glassy. That means Tubes will be a picture-perfect, smooth, peeling wall for the experienced surfer. The combined energy is solid (1149), so there's plenty of push. If you can only surf one day this fortnight, this is it.

The next morning, Saturday the 8th of August, is also an absolute ripper for the big boys. We've got a 13 ft SW swell on the morning with a short, 9-second period, but with light offshore SSW wind. That's a big, powerful, punchy wave. This is strictly for the expert crew – over 8 ft, it's a serious paddle and you need to know what you're doing. The combined energy is through the roof (2554). It's going to be grinding, critical, and a few heads might be turned around.

After that, the wind swings onshore again on Sunday, shutting the party down for the rest of the forecast. So to sum it up: this window is all about the 7th and 8th of August. Get excited, but remember, long-range forecasts can change. For now, though, it looks promising.

Rusty.

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