Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid 16-day window opening up at Tubes, a reef and point set-up that loves a SSW swell. Let’s break it down.

We kick off Monday the 13th with hardly anything to get excited about. The surf is poor, not worth paddling out for. Just a little wait, and by Tuesday morning the 14th, things flip. We’re looking at clean 5 ft surf from the ESE with glassy conditions – that’s the kind of stillness that makes for a real treat. The energy is picking up, with a combined swell energy of 560 (moderate). It’s a good warm-up but not the stand-out.

Now, the real standout is Thursday the 16th. If you’re an experienced surfer, this is your day. We’ve got a powerful 10 ft groundswell from the SW, with a period of 14 seconds, pushing through for the morning session. The energy is strong, hitting 3186, and the wind is glassy – it’s going to be clean. The afternoon stays solid at 8 ft with offshore winds, so you’re looking at a full day of it. This is a big swell, over 8 ft, so it’s for experts only, but the quality is there.

Friday the 17th keeps the size up with another 10 ft SW groundswell, but the wind is a bit stronger offshore in the morning, still clean though. It’s a lot of energy (3017) and the conditions are good for experienced surfers. The afternoon is more of the same, with a smooth offshore breeze.

We hit a bit of a lull over the weekend. Saturday the 18th is a write-off with strong onshore winds making a mess of the 6 ft southerly swell. Sunday the 19th is a bit better – clean 4 ft to 7 ft swells from the SW, but it’s not the size of the earlier part of the week.

We’ve got a gap of poor conditions Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st. Tuesday the 21st brings a massive 10 ft to 12 ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period, but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy, so it’s messy. The energy is huge (7023), but the wind kills it.

The end of the week picks up again. Wednesday the 22nd afternoon is a top pick. You’ve got an 8 ft SSW groundswell (15-second period, 3238 energy) with offshore winds. That’s clean, powerful, and a solid option for the experienced crew.

Thursday the 23rd is a monster – 13 ft SW groundswell with a period of 13 seconds. The energy is massive (5945) but the wind is light cross-shore in the morning, then a slight cross in the afternoon. It’s a lot of water moving, and with that size, it’s strictly for experts. The crowd factor at Tubes is listed as “sometimes,” so you might get a few others, but with that size, it’ll be thinned out.

The rest of the period wobbles around. Friday the 24th offers a clean 6 ft in the afternoon with offshore winds, which is a nice session. Then Saturday the 25th morning is another standout for the experts: an 12 ft SW groundswell, glassy conditions, and 3563 energy. It’s clean, powerful, and a beautiful way to start the weekend.

We’ve got a poor run Sunday the 26th with a massive 23 ft cross-onshore mess – that’s a kite boarder’s dream, not a paddle surfer’s. Then we close out on Monday the 27th morning with a glassy 13 ft SW groundswell, and Tuesday the 28th morning with a clean 8 ft. The long-range stuff is promising but a little less certain. Keep your eyes on Thursday the 16th and Wednesday the 22nd afternoon – those are your best bets.

Rusty.

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