Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at the surf outlook for the next couple of weeks. It’s a focused run of solid swell, but it’s not for the faint of heart—this is big, powerful, and demanding. We’re talkin’ open ocean groundswell with a very long period, banging straight into a reef-and-point setup. The water is a staggering 59°F, which is a massive 7°F colder than normal for this time of year. That’s some serious chill, so you’ll want a thick hood and gloves.

The big story kicks off on Thursday the 6th of August. We’ve got a solid 12ft swell pumping in from the SW, with a period of 13 seconds, and a huge combined energy of 4512. That’s a lot of juice. The morning is the standout: the wind is a light offshore breeze from the SW, making for clean, glassy conditions. This is excellent surf, but at 12ft, it’s strictly for experienced surfers only. The afternoon sees the wind pick up to a moderate 16 mph from the SSW, still offshore, but tougher to paddle into.

Friday the 7th, the swell drops a touch to 10ft, but the wind turns cross-on from the east, which is a bit of a bummer. The morning is messy, and the afternoon gets more choppy. Not the best day.

Saturday the 8th, the swell is at 8ft, and the morning has a strong cross-offshore wind that cleans it up, but it’s a bit wild. The afternoon is the real gem here: offshore wind from the WSW at 16 mph, with a clean 8ft swell. This is where the wave shape really starts to shine. Sunday the 9th, we’re back to serious size at 12ft, with moderate offshore wind and a strong 13-second period. The energy is back up to 4041. This is another top-tier session for the experts, but there’s some rain in the air.

The swell stays solid through Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th, but the wind turns more cross-off and then cross-on, making it less than ideal. The period is still solid at 11-12 seconds.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Wednesday the 12th sees a weird drop to tiny 3ft, but with a super-long period of 21 seconds – that’s an anomaly. The energy is still moderate at 1125, but the wind is onshore and messy. This is a no-go for paddle surfing. The quiet period stretches through the middle of the month, with small, period-laden swells and often unfavorable winds. There’s a glimmer of light on Saturday the 15th of August, when the afternoon goes glassy with a 3ft, 16-second period swell. It’s small, but the absolute calm conditions make it a sneaky good option for a longboard.

The real return to form comes on Monday the 18th of August. Tuesday morning the 18th is a dead-set standout: glassy conditions, 3 mph wind, and a clean 7ft swell from the SW with a 14-second period. The energy is a solid 1667. This is a beautiful morning for a surfer who can handle the reef. The photo-finish is on Thursday the 20th of August. The morning is blown out by a strong cross-on wind, but the afternoon delivers a clean 8ft swell with a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is strong at 1912. This is a fantastic afternoon session, but it’s late in the run.

The period ends on Friday the 21st of August with a big 8ft swell, but a howling 28 mph wind in the morning and 25 mph in the afternoon makes it a battle. The wind is offshore, but it’s so strong it’s nearly impossible to paddle into. The energy is still there, but the conditions are for the hardcore only.

The best is the Thursday morning, the 6th, and the Tuesday morning, the 18th. Those are the two cleanest, biggest, and most powerful windows. The rest is a mix of great size with tricky wind, or clean conditions with smaller swell. Get out there if you’re ready for the cold and the power.

Rusty.

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