Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the one and only Tubes. This is a reef and point setup, sheltered from the swell, and it's a consistent break, so it can handle a bit of energy. It's gonna be a bit of a slow burn for the first week, but then things get seriously interesting.

Alright, the water temp is sitting at 65°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no wetsuit drama.

We kick off on Tuesday the 28th of July, but honestly, it's a write-off. The wind is a messy cross-onshore, the swell is a chunky 10ft with a short period, and the combined energy is a massive 4326, but it's all chop. No point paddling out.

The whole first week is pretty grim. From Wednesday the 29th through to Saturday the 2nd of August, it's a mix of cross-on winds and onshore slop. Swell drops from 7ft down to 2ft. The energy levels are all over the place, but the wind just kills it. You're looking at at least five days of nothing worth paddling for.

Then, on Sunday the 2nd of August, we get a little glimmer of hope in the afternoon. The wind goes glassy, and there's a 4ft SW swell with a 13-second period. The energy is only 495, but it's clean. A bit small, but it's a start.

The real standout for the first part of the outlook is Wednesday the 5th of August. This is the one to circle. The morning session is looking prime. We've got a clean 7ft SW swell, but check this out: a 16-second period (very long period). That's proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is 2465 (moderate to strong). The wind is offshore from the SW, so it's going to be clean. This is an intermediate-level break, and 7ft is a solid wave, but it's a reef and point, so that long period will wrap in beautifully. The afternoon is also a winner with a clean 8ft swell and a 14-second period. This is the best on offer in the first week.

Thursday the 6th of August sees the swell jump to a massive 13ft, with a very strong energy of 5593. The wind is offshore, so it's clean, but that's big. This is for experts only, and even then, it's marginal. The next morning, Friday the 7th, is also huge at 12ft, with a clean offshore wind in the afternoon. Again, only for the experienced.

Now, if you can wait, the absolute standout is Sunday the 9th of August. The morning is forecasting an exceptional 16ft SW swell with a 14-second period. The combined energy is a staggering 14817 (very strong). The wind is cross-offshore and it's clean. This is a massive, powerful swell. The break is consistent, and it's a reef and point, so it will handle that size, but you need to be an expert. This is a once-in-a-while kind of day. The afternoon is still huge but gets a bit windy.

Monday the 10th of August keeps the size at 16ft, with a 16-second period, but the wind is cross-on, so it's a bit messy. The energy is still huge at 12273. It's a promising day, but the wind is a factor.

As we head into the second week, Tuesday the 11th of August has a glassy afternoon with a 8ft SSW swell. Clean, but not the stand-out. Then Wednesday the 12th of August is another beauty. The morning is glassy with a 8ft SW swell, but the period is a very long 17 seconds. The energy is 4583. This is a clean, powerful day for experienced surfers. The afternoon is clean with a 10ft swell.

So, to sum it up: the first week is rough. The two standouts are Wednesday the 5th of August for a solid, clean day of long-period groundswell, and Sunday the 9th of August for a truly exceptional, massive swell that will be a lifetime session for the experts. The 9th looks raw, powerful, and clean. Get on it.

Rusty.

Read more