Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s talk about Tubes.

The outlook for Tubes over the next 16 days has some real promise but also some rough patches to sit through. The water’s sitting at 61°, which is about 5° colder than usual for this time of year – that’s notably chilly, so grab an extra wetsuit if you’re heading out. The first real chance of decent waves doesn’t show until Tuesday the 15th, after a pretty flat and poor start.

Tuesday morning the 15th brings in a 3ft SW swell with a 12-second period and light cross-offshore winds. The combined swell energy is moderate (247). The conditions are clean, and while it’s not big, it’s rideable and a nice way to ease into the week. Tuesday afternoon goes a bit ordinary with light cross-shore bumps and a 3.5ft swell – not the best.

Wednesday the 16th is the standout for the near term. Morning sees a solid 11.5ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period and cross-offshore winds. Combined energy is very strong (4314). This is big, powerful, and clean – expert territory for sure. It stays good into the afternoon with a 10ft SW swell, still cross-off and clean (3186 combined energy). If you’re experienced and ready, this is your window. Keep in mind the 14-second period makes this more suited to a reef and point setup like Tubes itself – it’s sheltered and handles that long-period energy well.

Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th get messy. Swell drops but winds turn cross-on and strong, making for lumpy, choppy conditions. Not worth paddling out. Saturday the 19th is even worse with strong cross-onshore winds and messy surf.

Sunday the 20th flips the script. The morning offers excellent conditions for experienced surfers – an 8ft ESE swell with 11-second period, light cross-offshore winds, and very strong combined energy (2310). Clean and powerful. This is a solid option if you can handle the size. Sunday afternoon drops off with rain and strong winds making it marginal.

Monday the 21st is marginal but cleaner in the morning with a 6ft SW swell (1437 energy) and gentle cross-off winds. Afternoon is more promising with 4.5ft SW swell and clean conditions – good for a session if you’re after something mellow.

Tuesday the 22nd sees a long-period 4ft SSW swell (15 seconds) but light cross-on winds spoil it a bit. Not the best call.

Now, the real standout in the second week is Wednesday the 23rd. Moderate offshore winds from the WSW, a clean 6.5ft SSW swell with 12-second period, and combined energy of 1176. This is very good surf – solid, clean, and the direction is spot on for Tubes’ optimum (SSW). Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so expect company. The following afternoon stays clean and fun with a 4ft SW swell.

Thursday the 24th through to the end of the forecast gets messy again with strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions, so don’t plan around those days. The weekend of the 26th and 27th is mostly poor with fresh cross-onshore wind and choppy surf.

Bottom line: Wednesday the 16th for the big, clean, expert-only groundswell, and Wednesday the 23rd for a more moderate but very good session with offshore winds and great shape. Both are the best on offer.

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