Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break down what’s on the cards for Tubes.

We’re starting off with a bit of a flat, messy run. The first few days are looking pretty average, with some cross-onshore winds and junky surf. We’ve got some swell on the way, but the wind isn’t doing us any favors yet. It’s one of those times where you might be better off just watching the forecast and waiting for things to clean up.

Come Sunday the 6th, we see a solid pulse of energy showing up, but the wind is blowing onshore and it’s making a mess of things. The swell jumps up to over 11 feet, but it’s not going to be rideable at Tubes with these conditions. Too much wind and chop, you’d be getting worked. This is a big energy event, with combined swell energy pushing over 7000, but it’s all for nothing unless the wind backs off.

The real window starts to open up on Tuesday morning, the 8th. We finally get a lull in the wind, with it going totally glassy. The swell drops to a cleaner 4.3ft from the SW with a 13-second period. That’s when Tubes starts to show its potential. It’s not a massive day, but it’s clean and inviting. The energy is moderate at 697, but the drop in wind makes it way more appealing.

From there, we’re tracking the conditions. The morning of Thursday the 10th sees more swell building, with a 3.6ft SW swell and a longer 16-second period, which brings in some nice groundswell. The wind is light and cross-shore, so it’s a little bit lumpy but still manageable. The energy is picking up, around 1037.

Then we hit the standouts. The first one is the morning of Monday the 14th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. We’re looking at a solid 13ft SW swell with an 11-second period. The combined energy is over 6700, which is strong. And the wind is light and cross-offshore, keeping the faces clean. It’s going to be big, powerful, and perfect for experienced surfers only. This is a proper session for those who know what they’re doing at Tubes. The second standout is the morning after, on Tuesday the 15th, which still has a very solid 8.2ft SW swell with a 11-second period, light cross-offshore winds, and strong, clean surf. Two solid days in a row there.

Now, for the later part of the week, things start to get a bit more complicated. We’ve got some strong winds building again, with strong offshore winds on Wednesday the 16th. That can make it tough to paddle out, even if the surf is still solid at 7.2-8.2ft. And we’re also dealing with some rain. It’s still worth a look, but it’s not as clean as the earlier days.

After that, the weekend of the 19th and 20th looks like it could get big again, especially the afternoon of the 20th with a 14.8ft SW swell. But the winds are looking strong and cross-offshore, which might make it wild. It’s a long way out, so treat that one as promising but not certain.

One thing to note: the water’s running much colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want the thickest wetsuit you’ve got. Definitely not a time to be complaining about the cold.

So, to wrap it up: the early days are a write-off. The window from Monday the 14th into Tuesday the 15th is your best bet for quality, experienced surf. Keep an eye on the long range for the 20th, but don’t bank on it yet.

Stay salty.

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