Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the ocean's got cookin' for the next couple of weeks.

The first part of this stretch is all about the cold. That water is a full 3° colder than it ought to be for this time of year, so you'll be needing the thickest suit you own and probably a hood. We've got some solid swell on the way, but there's a rough patch in the middle, and we're looking at a bit of a lull before the next pulse. The early calls are the reliable ones; the stuff at the end is more of a "keep an eye on it" situation.

Monday morning, August 31st we kick off with a clean 6ft SW swell rolling into Tubes. It's glassy out there, real calm, with a 12-second period. There's some decent energy behind it (985), so it's a solid, if not spectacular, start. The afternoon stays clean with a light cross-off breeze, the swell holding around 6ft.

Tuesday, September 1st gets a bit more serious. The morning sees the swell push up to 8ft from the SW, with the energy jumping into a strong reading (1398). The wind is a slight cross-off, keeping things tidy. That's a good session. The afternoon jumps again to 8ft but the wind shifts and makes it a bit trickier, even with the energy pumping hard (2111).

Wednesday, September 2nd is the standout of the first week. The morning is prime for the experienced crew. We're looking at a solid 10ft SW groundswell, the period stretching out to 13 seconds, and the energy is right up there at 3364. The wind is a light cross-off, leaving it glassy and clean. This is big, powerful, and perfect. The afternoon holds the size but the breeze swings cross-shore, so it gets a little lumpy.

Thursday, September 3rd backs off a touch. The morning has a clean 8ft SW swell with a light cross-off breeze, energy still strong at 1724. That's another good one. But don't bother with the afternoon – a strong 45 km/h cross-shore wind is going to chop it up completely.

Friday, September 4th is a mess. A fresh SE wind whips up a 13ft SE swell, but it's short-period (10s) and lumpy. It's just big and junky, not worth the paddle out. The afternoon gets worse with cross-onshore winds. That's a beach day, not a surf day.

Saturday, September 5th is no better. Small, choppy, and onshore. Forget it.

Sunday, September 6th – now here's the big one. The morning brings a massive 10ft SSW groundswell with a very long 18-second period. That's a ton of water moving. The wind is cross-off and it's clean at the break, and the energy reading is astronomical (7019). However, with that kind of period, it's going to look a bit straight and walled-up. This is for pros only. The afternoon is even bigger – 15ft at 16 seconds, with a huge energy reading (11244) – but the wind goes cross-shore and makes it dangerous and lumpy. The morning is the lesser of two evils.

Monday, September 7th is a complete washout with strong, messy onshore winds.

Tuesday, September 8th is tiny and blown out. We hit a flat spell here.

This flat spell runs through the middle of the week. Wednesday and Thursday (Sept 9-10) are small, but Thursday morning shows a glimmer of hope with a clean 7ft ESE swell and a light cross-off wind. It’s not much, but it's clean.

Friday (Sept 11th) is small again.

Saturday, September 12th is the one to watch for the second week. We finally get a moderate offshore wind and a clean 5ft SW swell in the morning. It's not big, but it's good, clean surf. The afternoon improves a touch with a 6ft WSW and clean conditions. A proper, fun session.

Sunday, September 13th holds some promise too, with a 7ft SW in the morning and clean conditions with a light cross-off breeze. Another good call for the weekend, but again, nothing on the scale of that Wednesday.

After that, the outlook fades again with poor, onshore winds and small surf for the rest of the window. The big Wednesday and the clean Sunday will be your best bets, but the further out you go, the less you can trust the forecast.

Catch you in the water.

Rusty.

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