Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right on, folks – Rusty here. Let’s talk about Tubes. This is a reef and point set-up that’s consistent, so it’s going to be our main focus for the next couple of weeks. The water is sitting at 65°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you might want an extra layer.

We’ve got a solid run of swell coming through, but the wind is going to be the real story. The first few days are a bit of a write-off for quality. Friday the 24th of July has a big 12ft SSW swell with a long 15-second period, but the cross-on wind and questionable tide make it a messy one. The combined swell energy is pumping at 5463 (strong), but it’s not clean.

Saturday the 25th is a real standout. The morning session is where it’s at. We’ve got a 8ft SW swell, nice 13-second period, and the wind is glassy – dead calm. That’s going to be clean as a whistle. The combined energy is still strong at 2226, and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. This is your window. The afternoon goes a bit cross-shore, so get it early.

Sunday the 26th is a step down. The swell drops to 8ft, the wind is cross-on, and it’s inconsistent. The energy is still moderate (2021), but it’s not the same quality.

Monday the 27th gets interesting but tricky. The morning has a 6ft SW swell with a fresh 21 mph cross-off wind. That’s clean, but the wind is howling. The afternoon brings a bigger 10ft SSW swell with a *very* long 17-second period and a massive 5344 energy reading. The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean, but that period is so long it might break too straight for Tubes. It’s a point/reef, so it could handle it, but it’s a gamble. This one is for the experts only given the size.

Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th are blown out. Strong cross-on winds and lumpy conditions. The swell is big (10ft to 12ft), but the wind ruins it. Not worth paddling out.

Then we hit a flat spell from the 30th of July through the 1st of August. Swell drops to 4ft, energy is weak (under 500), and the wind is onshore or cross-on. That’s a solid 3-day gap with no real recommendations.

We get a second wind starting Sunday the 2nd of August. The morning shows a 6ft SW swell with a 15-second period and a gentle offshore wind from the WSW. That’s clean. The energy is moderate (1376), and it’s looking very good. This continues into Monday the 3rd with a 7ft SW swell and offshore winds. These are solid, clean days.

But the true standout of the second week is Thursday the 6th of August. You’re looking at a massive 13ft SW swell with a 15-second period, light offshore wind, and an incredible 7540 combined energy. That’s very strong. The conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. This is a big, powerful groundswell that will be absolutely pumping at Tubes. If you can handle it, this is the best day of the whole forecast. The crowds are "sometimes" an issue here, so on a day like this, expect it to be busy.

A quick note: the spots over 5ft are for experts only, and the 13ft stuff on the 6th is serious. Keep that in mind.

The following Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th see the swell holding at 12ft, but strong onshore winds from the east chop it up badly. Back to blown-out conditions.

So, my pick: hit Saturday the 25th of July morning for the glassy, clean 8ft swell. For the big-wave hunters, circle Thursday the 6th of August – that’s the one to plan for.

Stay wet, stay stoked.
Rusty.

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