Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya with the outlook for Tubes for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a solid run of groundswell on the way, so let’s get into it.

The water’s running at about 64°, which is a bit colder than we’re used to for this time of year, so you might wanna layer up a bit more than usual.

The week kicks off proper on Wednesday the 22nd. The morning is clean with a light cross-off breeze and solid 7ft swell from the southwest, period a juicy 12 seconds. Wave energy is pumping at 1660 (moderate to strong). It’s a consistent spot, so there’ll be plenty of waves to go around, but it can get a bit crowded sometimes. The afternoon picks up with the wind going offshore, and the energy jumps to 1722. This is a cracking start to the outlook – clean, solid, and with that offshore flow it’ll be glassy perfection.

Thursday the 23rd keeps the good vibes going with a morning offshore breeze and 6ft SW swell (energy 1149). Still clean, still fun. The afternoon gets a bit sketchy though – wind swings cross-off at 22 mph and the swell jumps to 10ft. That’s getting pretty big for the average punter, and the wind will chop it up. Better to get out early.

And then – hold onto your boardies – Friday the 24th is the absolute standout of this whole outlook. The morning is glassy as a mirror, with a massive 13ft groundswell rolling in from the south-southwest. The period is a very long 16 seconds. The combined energy is off the charts at 7665 (very strong). This is proper, expert-level stuff. The waves will have incredible shape and power, but at a reef and point like Tubes, that long-period energy will really line up. It’ll be a dream for the chargers. But if you’re not an expert, steer clear – this is not for the faint of heart.

Saturday the 25th eases off a touch: still glassy in the morning with a 8ft SW swell (energy 2102). Clean and fun, a great option if Friday was too heavy. Sunday the 26th is a mixed bag – morning is choppy, but the afternoon turns glassy again with a clean 6ft swell. That’s a nice, laid-back session to end the week.

The following week, Monday the 28th brings some interesting swell: a 7ft SSW groundswell with a 15-second period and energy at 2964, but the wind is cross-shore. Not perfect, but still plenty of grunt.

Looking further out, the first week of August gets a bit bleak. From the 30th through to the 6th, it’s mostly poor conditions with strong onshore winds, lumpy seas, and dropping swell sizes. A couple of afternoons on the 5th do show offshore wind and a clean 7ft SSW swell (energy 1658), so there might be a little window there if you’re keen and the forecasts hold.

Overall, the first five days are where it’s at. Friday the 24th is the one to circle on your calendar – just be ready for a serious session.

Rusty.

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