Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've been staring at the charts for your local stretch. We've got a solid run of surf coming up, but it's a story of two halves. The first week is a proper standout, with some serious groundswell and clean conditions. The second week is a bit more of a lottery, with a big, messy pulse that's tricky to read.

Let's kick things off. The water is sitting at a chilly 62°, which is a full 4° colder than usual for this time of year. You're going to want a thicker wetsuit, no doubt about it.

The real action starts on Tuesday afternoon at Tubes. It's a reef and point break that's sheltered and consistent. The morning is a write-off with a cross-on wind, but by the afternoon, the wind swings to a light offshore from the SW, and the swell is a clean 5ft from the SW. The period is a solid 11 seconds, giving it some nice grunt and shape. The combined energy of all swells directed here is moderate (826). This is a solid start, but the best is yet to come.

Wednesday afternoon is where things get exciting. The swell jumps to 6ft from the SW, with a groundswell period of 16 seconds. That's a very long period, which means the waves at Tubes are going to be well-shaped, powerful, and have those long, satisfying lulls between sets. The wind is a gentle offshore from the SW, making for clean, lined-up waves. Combined energy here is strong (1551). This is a top pick.

Now, for the experts only. Thursday the 6th of August is absolutely firing. Both morning and afternoon see a massive 10ft to 12ft SW swell, with a 13-second period. The wind is offshore and light. The combined energy is very strong (4228 and 3264). This is serious, powerful groundswell, and it's going to be too big for beginners. For the experienced crew, this is the standout of the entire forecast. The waves are going to be deep, hollow, and demanding.

Friday the 7th of August continues the rampage with 8ft to 10ft SW swell, again with offshore winds and a 13-14 second period. The energy is very strong (2166 and 3325). Another day for the big dogs.

Saturday the 8th of August is still pumping. The swell is 8ft to 8ft from the SW, with a 14-second period and offshore winds. The energy remains very strong (2686 and 2073). This is a world-class run of swell.

Sunday the 9th of August gets messy. The wind is howling from the WSW at 25 mph in the morning, making it a write-off, and while the afternoon offshore is strong, the whole day is rated as marginal. By Monday the 10th of August, the swell direction swings to the SSE, and the period drops to 11 seconds. The size is huge at 16ft to 18ft, and the energy is extreme (8361 and 5600), but the wind is cross-off, and the quality is questionable. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly.

There is a gap of a few days after that with no real quality recommendations. The swell is all over the place, with onshore winds and poor conditions.

A promising but less certain window appears on Friday the 14th of August. The morning at Tubes looks glassy, with a 6ft SW swell and a 14-second period. The combined energy is moderate (1163). This is a nice, clean option if the long-range forecast holds.

Saturday the 15th of August is a solid bet. The swell is 5ft from the SW with a 12-second period, and the wind is offshore all day. The energy is moderate (599 and 540). Clean, fun waves without the crowd. This is a good one.

Sunday the 16th of August morning is a beauty. The wind is dead calm, glassy, with a 4ft SW swell. The waves will be clean and perfect for a longboard. The afternoon is a bust, though, with a moderate cross-onshore.

Monday the 17th of August sees a new pulse of 10ft SW swell, but with a shorter 11-second period. The combined energy is very strong (1871 and 1363), and the wind is light and cross-off, so it should be clean. This is a late-season standout to keep an eye on, but it's two weeks out, so a bit of a gamble.

Tuesday the 18th of August afternoon is a winner. The wind goes offshore from the SW, and the swell is a solid 8ft with a 12-second period. The energy is strong (1565).

Wednesday the 19th of August afternoon looks glassy with a 8ft SSW swell and a 12-second period. The energy is strong (1403). A nice way to wrap up the forecast period.

Alright, that's the picture. The first week is a guaranteed classic for the experts, with Wednesday the 5th of August offering a solid day for the intermediates. The second week is a mixed bag, but there are a few gems if you're patient.

Rusty.

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