Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let's have a look at what's on the cards. The whole 16-day window is basically a one-break story, and that break is Tubes. It's a reef and point set-up, consistent, and it's sheltered. The best of the action is definitely right at the start, and then again much later on.

We kick off on Tuesday, September 1st, with a solid start. Morning glass-off with a light SE breeze, 3 mph, and a clean 8 ft SW swell at 12 seconds. The combined energy is pumping at 1488 (moderate wave energy). That's a very good session waiting to happen. The water temp is about average for this time of year. Good stuff. Tuesday afternoon gets a bit cross-shore, and the swell bumps up to 8 ft, but it's still a decent option.

The real standout of the first week lands on Wednesday, September 2nd. The morning is a classic: glassy conditions, 3 mph wind, and a solid 10 ft SW groundswell at 13 seconds. The combined energy is a very strong 3415. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. With that size and period, it's best left to the crew who know what they're doing. It could be a bit much for beginners. The afternoon sees the wind shift and the conditions get a little lumpy, but the morning window is pure gold.

Thursday, September 3rd, drops off a bit. The swell is still 8 ft from the SSW, but the wind is cross-offshore and stronger, and the morning has light rain. The energy is still moderate at 1799, but it's not the same quality as the day before. Not a write-off, but not a standout.

Then we hit a long, dry spell. From Friday, September 4th, right through to Friday, September 11th, the conditions are poor. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, mostly fresh to strong, and the swell is messy. There's a big spike of energy on Sunday, September 6th, with an 12 ft, 18-second groundswell hitting 7564 (very strong wave energy), but the wind is howling from the ESE at 22 mph, making it a lumpy, blown-out mess. That one is a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle-surfing one. This stretch of weak or poor-quality surf goes on for about a week.

The ocean starts to wake up again on Friday, September 11th. The afternoon looks promising with a light cross-offshore breeze and a 6 ft SW swell at 11 seconds. The energy is 901 (moderate). It's a decent return to form.

The next real standout, and the best call of the whole forecast if you can wait, is on Wednesday, September 16th. That's a long way out, so there's a bit of uncertainty, but it looks special. The morning offers a glassy 10 ft SSW groundswell with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is a massive 3965 (strong wave energy). The wind is a gentle offshore from the WSW at 9 mph. That is a recipe for clean, powerful, lined-up waves at Tubes. For experienced surfers only, but it's the one to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

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