Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a ripper of a run ahead at Tubes, a sheltered reef and point setup that’s going to light up for the intermediate crew. The water is sitting at 59°F, which is much colder than normal for this time of year — a solid 7°F below average, so you’ll want a good wetsuit if you’re heading out.

The first few days start off a bit slow. Wednesday morning the 5th of August is a write-off — poor surf conditions with a weak 3 ft SSW swell (592 energy) and a cross-shore breeze. Not worth paddling out. But from Wednesday afternoon, things kick into gear. That afternoon sees a clean 6 ft SW groundswell (1551 energy) with a cross-off breeze, and the wave quality jumps up. It’s a good warm-up.

Thursday the 6th is where it gets serious. Both morning and afternoon deliver excellent surf for experienced surfers — solid 12 ft SW swell (4689 energy in the morning, 3824 in the afternoon) with a moderate offshore wind. That’s powerful, long-period groundswell that will unload on the reef. This is for the experienced crew only.

Friday the 7th of August is the standout. The morning is glassy — zero wind, clean as a whistle — with a 10 ft SW groundswell (2860 energy). That’s the best call of the whole run. The afternoon gets a bit cross-on and messy, so hit it early. The following Saturday the 8th is still very good: both sessions have offshore winds and 8 ft to 8 ft SW swell, with clean conditions.

Sunday the 9th gets a bit wild — 13 ft SW swell (5152 energy) but with a cross-shore wind and rain in the morning. The afternoon brings a 45 km/h cross-off wind that cleans it up but makes it gnarly. That’s for experts only. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are poor — strong onshore winds and messy conditions. Swell energy drops into the 900-2000 range, but the wind is a nightmare.

We get a bit of a lull then through Wednesday the 12th, with a small 4 ft SSW groundswell (1155 energy) and onshore wind in the morning. The afternoon improves — light 4 ft SSW swell (1186 energy) with a cross-off breeze and clean conditions. From Thursday the 13th onward, the trends get better. Thursday afternoon, the 13th, has a clean 6 ft SW swell (1728 energy) with a moderate offshore. Friday the 14th is clean both sessions with 4-5 ft SW swell. Saturday the 15th is smaller but still clean offshore.

The second week keeps a good rhythm. Sunday the 16th of August is a solid call: 6-6 ft SW swell (936-964 energy) with light offshore to cross-off winds, clean conditions. Monday the 17th is a bit marginal with cross-onshore winds. But Tuesday the 18th of August is another standout — glassy morning, 7 ft SW swell (1430 energy), clean and lined up. The afternoon gets a bit onshore but still surfable. Wednesday the 19th is clean offshore but smaller, then Thursday the 20th gets blown out by strong winds.

Overall, the best windows are Friday morning the 7th of August (glassy and pumping) and Tuesday morning the 18th of August (glassy, solid, and clean). Thursday the 6th is also a banger for the experienced. Keep an eye on the long-range stuff — the second week looks promising but less certain as always.

Rusty.

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