Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s peer into the crystal ball for Tubes over the next couple of weeks.

The first session is a beauty, but it’s a bit of a wait before the next real chance. The water is a bitter 57°, a massive 9° colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll be in a thick hooded suit all day. The energy is pumping hard with a combined reading of 2155, which is strong.

Thursday, September 10th afternoon is the absolute standout. Tubes is a reef and point setup, and it’s breaking with a solid 7ft SSW groundswell, with a long 16-second period. The wind is a clean offshore out of the southwest, and it’s right in the optimum swell direction. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. It’s a big, powerful, long-period swell, so expect long gaps between sets, but the waves that come through will have serious shape and punch. This is the one to plan for.

There’s a long dry spell after that. Conditions get messy from Friday, September 11th, right through the rest of the third week. The wind is all over the map – cross-shore, cross-on, and onshore, gusting up to 22 mph at times. Swell stays mostly in the 5ft to 7ft range, but the quality is rubbish. It’s choppy and lumpy. A couple of cleaner windows pop up on Tuesday, September 15th, with 5ft to 5ft SW swell and light cross-off winds, but nothing that’s going to get you driving across town.

Then, into the back half of the forecast, we see a glimmer. Thursday, September 24th afternoon shows some promise. The swell is 8ft but shifting to a short-period ESE at 8 seconds. Don’t expect the same grunt as the earlier SSW swell. However, the wind on that Thursday afternoon is a light cross-off from the SSW, and the report says to expect very good surf conditions. The combined energy is still a solid 1320. It’s a long way out, so keep a loose eye on it, but it could be a decent session if the wind keeps its word.

Friday, September 25th, the surf drops right off to under 3ft with strong offshore winds, so the window closes out small and clean.

So, to sum it up: the first Thursday is the absolute winner. The surf is going to be a mess for a while after that, but that late September Thursday has potential. Get after it on the 10th if you can handle the cold.

Rusty.

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