Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Tubes over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a rough patch. The first few days are a write-off for a decent paddle. Tuesday the 11th is a mess – cross-on winds at 30 km/h and the water is a very unusual 5° colder than average for this time of year, sitting at just 14°. The swell is there but it’s lumpy and poor. Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are still battling cross-on winds, making it hard to get a clean one. The combined energy is still strong (1287 to 2117), but the wind is ruining it.

Friday the 14th is a bit of a holding pattern, still not great. But then, things start to turn. Saturday morning the 15th is the first real glimmer of hope. The wind swings offshore from the SSW at just 5 km/h, turning the 1.2m SW swell (14 sec period) clean. The energy is moderate (550), but the conditions are clean. It’s a small, glassy morning for the patient ones. Sunday the 16th is similar, with offshore WSW winds, clean 1.2m swell, but a bit more breeze at 20 km/h.

Now, let’s talk about the standout. Circle Wednesday the 19th of August on your calendar. The morning session is looking like the pick of the entire forecast. We’ve got a 12 ft SW groundswell (period 11 sec) wrapping in, combined with glassy conditions – 5 km/h wind from the SE. The combined energy is pumping at 2672, which is strong. This is a big, powerful swell, so it’s strictly for experienced surfers only. The Tubes reef and point setup will handle this size, but it’s a serious step up. The afternoon is still solid at 10 ft but gets a light cross-on breeze, so stick to the morning.

Following that, Thursday the 20th is another excellent call. Clean conditions with offshore SW winds, dropping a bit to 7 ft and 6 ft across the day, with energy in the 782 to 1505 range. Good solid waves for the skilled crew.

The second week has a few more strong days. Saturday the 22nd of August sees a 7 ft SW swell (14 sec) with moderate offshore wind, giving clean conditions and a very good session. Then Wednesday the 26th of August closes out the forecast with a bang: 8 ft SSW groundswell (12 sec) with gentle offshore wind, producing excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The energy is strong at 2035.

So, the strategy is simple: be patient through the early cross-on junk, nail the glassy morning of the 19th for the biggest and cleanest swell, and then keep an eye on the 20th, 22nd, and 26th for more solid, clean waves. Tubes can get crowded sometimes, so expect company on the best days.

Rusty.

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