Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the surf outlook for Oyster Bay over the next 16 days. Let’s get into it.

The first good surf we see is on the morning of Friday, July 24th, but it’s a real heavy hitter. We’ve got a solid 13ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a 16-second period, so that’s a very long period groundswell. The combined energy is massive at 8443. But here’s the thing – that size is way too big for this break. It’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s pushing the limits. The wind is a light cross-shore, so it’s not a total washout, but this is for the brave and the very skilled. Saturday morning, July 25th, is where it really comes together. The swell drops to a still-sizeable 8ft from the SW, with a 13-second period, and the wind goes glassy. That’s a dream scenario. The energy is strong at 2230, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the standout session of the whole run – clean, powerful, and empty if you’re lucky. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Sunday, July 26th, holds on with a 7ft SW swell and a 12-second period, with a gentle offshore wind in the morning and glassy conditions in the afternoon. That’s two more solid days for the experienced crew. The combined energy is still strong, hitting 1950 and 1523.

Then things get ugly. Monday, July 27th, through Tuesday, July 28th, is a write-off. Strong cross-onshore winds, lumpy and choppy surf, and the swell is either too big or just messy. The energy is high, but it’s not for paddling. This looks more like a session for the kite surfers, not us.

Wednesday, July 29th, and Thursday, July 30th, are marginal. The swell drops to 7ft to 8ft, but the wind is a moderate to fresh cross-offshore, keeping things clean. The problem is the period drops off, especially on Thursday when it goes to 9 seconds – that’s short-period, weaker energy. Not worth getting excited about.

Friday, July 31st, through Sunday, August 2nd, is a mixed bag. The swell is hanging around 4ft to 6ft, but the wind is strong and cross-offshore. It’s clean, but the energy is moderate at best, around 1129 to 1932. The best of this stretch is Sunday, August 2nd, with a 5ft SW swell and a 12-second period, and a light breeze. It’s a small, clean day for the logs or a fun mid-length.

Monday, August 3rd, and Tuesday, August 4th, are poor again – fresh cross-onshore winds and lumpy surf. The energy is weak, in the 700s and 900s. Not worth paddling out.

Then we get a real treat. Wednesday, August 5th, sees a 8ft SW swell, 13-second period, and glassy conditions. The combined energy is strong at 2256. That’s another standout – clean, powerful, and for the experienced crew. Thursday, August 6th, holds similar size at 8ft, but the wind is a moderate cross-offshore, still clean. Friday, August 7th, has a 7ft SW swell with a moderate offshore wind, excellent for the experienced. The run finishes on Saturday, August 8th, with a 6ft SW swell, 12-second period, and a gentle cross-offshore breeze. It’s clean and fun.

Overall, the best on offer is the window from Saturday, July 25th, through Sunday, July 26th, and then again on Wednesday, August 5th. The first window is the real winner with that glassy, 8ft set. The second week’s standouts are promising but less certain.

Rusty signing off.

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