Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s look at what’s comin’ down the line for Oyster Bay. This is a sandbar set-up that needs a specific swell angle to really work, and we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag.

The first real chance to paddle out hits Sunday, July 26 in the afternoon. We’ve got a clean 7ft swell rollin’ in from the southwest, with a solid 12-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is a light offshore from the NE at 6 mph, so the face will be smooth. The water’s sitting at 65°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The combined energy is pumping at 1520, which is solid. Keep in mind, this spot is inconsistent, and it’s an intermediate affair, so don’t expect a party wave every set. The crowds are a possibility, so you might have some company if it’s the only game in town.

Now, Monday morning the 27th is a write-off – the wind’s howling onshore at 22 mph, lumpy as hell. The afternoon sees a big 10ft swell from the SW with a 17-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell, full of energy (4708), but it’s too big for this break. It’ll be a closeout mess for paddle surfing. If you’ve got a kite, the setup might be interesting, but for a stick, it’s a no-go. Tuesday the 28th is much the same story – big, powerful swell, but the wind is cross and the swell is too meaty.

The best of the bunch, the real standout, is Thursday morning, July 30. At 6ft from the SSW with a 13-second period, the wind is glassy – a dead calm N at 3 mph. That’s the cleanest you’ll see it. The energy is still decent at 1857, and for a sandbar that’s inconsistent, a glassy morning like this is a gift. Get on it early.

The rest of the first week and into the second is a struggle. Friday the 31st is clean but small, with a 5ft swell and a fresh cross-offshore wind that’ll keep it bumpy. The weekend (August 1) drops to a short-period 8-second E windswell, 6ft to 7ft, and the wind is howling at 19-22 mph – not worth the drive.

Then, a glimmer: Sunday, August 2, morning. A 6ft SSW swell with a 19-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell, energy at 2952, and a gentle offshore from the NNE at 9 mph. This is another standout, but it’s a long-range call, so less certain. The long period will mean it’s better for this sandbar than a beach break, but the sets will be wide apart.

After that, Monday the 3rd through Wednesday the 5th is a washout of strong winds and messy, lumpy conditions. Thursday the 6th sees a massive 20ft SW swell with a 15-second period and a combined energy of 30407 – that’s a monster. It’s way too big for this break, and the wind is howling. Same goes for Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th with 13ft and 12ft swells – all too big, with strong onshore or cross winds. The second week is a big, angry ocean with very little that’s rideable for a paddle surfer.

So, to sum it up: your best bets are Thursday morning, July 30 for the glassy clean conditions, and Sunday morning, August 2 for the long-period groundswell with offshore wind. Everything else is either too big, too windy, or just plain messy. Stay sharp.

Rusty.

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