Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, gather 'round, my salty crew. Rusty here, and I've been staring at the charts for Oyster Bay, trying to find a silver lining. It's a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest, so let's break it down.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 63°F, which is a touch cooler than usual for this time of year – about 3°F off the average, so you'll feel that chill.

The real story here is the lack of a green light for most of the run. The first few days are a write-off, with strong cross-offshore winds and a short-period, wind-affected swell that just won't clean up. The energy is moderate (892 to 1800) but it's just not cooperating. Saturday the 1st through to Tuesday the 6th is pretty much a no-go, with the wind and swell directions fighting each other. The highlight of the whole period is a very narrow window on Monday morning, August 3rd.

That Monday morning, the 3rd, is your best bet. We've got a light offshore breeze from the NE, which is a major positive, cleaning up the 6ft swell. The swell period is a solid 11 seconds, and the energy is strong (1617). The swell direction is ESE, which is close to Oyster Bay's optimum from the SE. This is the only time the conditions come together for a proper session, but it's rated for experienced surfers, and the spot is inconsistent, so don't expect a party wave every time.

After that, it goes downhill fast. There's a huge, messy, and dangerous swell that hits from the 6th to the 10th, pushing 16ft on the 6th with a massive 7699 energy reading. That's pure power, but with onshore winds, it's a frothing, lumpy mess that's only for the truly insane or the kitesurfers.

The rest of the second week, from the 11th onwards, is a long, drawn-out period of poor surf. The waves are blown out, the energy is moderate at best, and the wind is constantly onshore or cross-onshore. A few sessions on the 13th and 14th show a 5ft SSW swell with a very long period of 16 seconds, but the wind is onshore, making it choppy. The 16th shows a 8ft SW swell, but again, the wind is a stiff cross-offshore breeze, so it's not clean.

In short, it's a bleak outlook. The one standout is that Monday morning, August 3rd. If you can get out there, it'll be the best you'll find. For the rest, it's a waiting game. The forecast can always change, but as it stands, the surf is slim pickings.

Rusty.

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