Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m pulling up the local outlook for Oyster Bay.

We’ve got a 16-day window here, but don’t go paddling out just yet. The first real chance for a surf isn’t until Monday the 3rd of August, and even that one is a bit of a mixed bag. The water temp is sitting at 62°F, which is a solid 4°F colder than normal for this time of year – definitely grab a thick wetsuit, that’s notably chilly.

Okay, let’s start with what we’ve got. Monday afternoon comes in with a 6ft swell from the ESE with an 11-second period and combined energy of (1334). It’s clean, but the wind is cross-off, so it’ll be a bit tricky. It’s not a standout, just something to wet your line.

The first real highlight is Tuesday morning, the 4th of August. We get a nice 5ft swell from the SW, with a 12-second period and (1148) energy. The wind is off and clean – NNE at 15 mph. That’s proper offshore and glassy. The wave comment says excellent conditions for experienced surfers. This is your best bet early on. The swell direction (SW) is a match for what Oyster Bay likes. It’s an inconsistent sandbar, but when it’s on, it’s fun. Crowds are possible here, so expect company.

Wednesday morning the 5th is another look. It’s smaller at 3ft, but the period jumps to a long 15 seconds (groundswell) with (871) energy. The wind is again a clean offshore NNE at 15 mph. That’s really clean, glassy water. The long period will make the waves peel nicely, but at a beach-sandbar setup, a 15-second swell can be a bit too straight, so don’t expect it to barrel. Still, with the wind, this is a quality session for anyone who wants a long, cruisy ride.

After that, the surf gets serious but messy. Thursday morning the 6th sees a big 12ft SW swell at 13 seconds with (4516) energy. The wind is light cross-onshore, which isn’t ideal, and the setup looks better for kite surfing than paddle surfing at that size. It’s too big for beginners, and even for experts, it’s just big and bumpy. Friday and the weekend follow a similar pattern – big SW swell (8ft to 10ft) but with strong onshore or cross-on winds. That’s a no-go.

The next real chance is Saturday morning the 8th. There’s an 8ft SW swell (14-second period, 2686 energy) with light offshore wind from the north at 10 mph. That’s clean, but this size is for experienced surfers only. It’s a standout for the experienced crew.

The middle of the week (10th to 13th of August) is a write-off. We get massive S and SSE swells (13ft to 18ft) with strong cross-shore winds – 25-28 mph. That’s dangerous, lumpy, and not for anyone. That’s kite-surfing territory, not a paddle session. The combined energy on the 10th hits (9448) – that’s strong to very strong.

Things calm down a bit on Saturday the 15th for the afternoon. We’ve got a clean 6ft swell from the SW at 13 seconds (1029 energy) with light offshore breeze from the ENE at 10 mph. The wind is glassy, the waves are clean, and the energy is moderate. That’s a good, solid session for intermediate to experienced surfers. This is likely your best option in the second week.

Then the 18th of August brings another big SW swell (12ft to 13ft) with strong cross-off winds, but again, it’s too big for most. The setup (5626 energy) is for experts only.

Overall, the standout windows are Tuesday morning (4th) and Saturday morning (8th) for experienced surfers, with Saturday afternoon (15th) being the best clean option for the second week. The long gaps between good conditions are normal for this inconsistent spot. Keep an eye on the forecasts – it doesn't stay flat forever.

Rusty.

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