Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let me break it down for what’s on offer at Oyster Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the first few days are a write-off. Tuesday and Wednesday look pretty grim with cross and cross-onshore winds messing up what little swell there is. The water’s sitting at 64°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good wetsuit if you’re even thinking about it. But honestly, don't bother.

The real interest kicks off on Thursday the 16th in the morning. We’ve got a solid 10ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 14-second period – that’s long-period, proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is a big 3231 (moderate to strong), but here’s the catch: this break is exposed and that size is too big for Oyster Bay. It’s expert-only territory, and even then, that long-period SW swell tends to race past beach and sandbar setups. The wind is light and cross, so it’s not blown out, but the sheer power makes it a dicey call for most. Friday the 17th afternoon shapes up a bit better – still a decent 8ft SW groundswell, 11-second period, but the wind turns cross-off and it goes clean. That’s a good window for experienced surfers who know the sandbar.

Heading into the next week, Monday the 20th looks promising with clean, cross-off winds and a consistent 8ft SSW swell. It’s not a standout session for the crowds, but if you can find a peak, it’ll be worth the paddle. Then April 21st Tuesday morning – wow. We’re looking at 10ft SSW swell with a very long 16-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 4034 (strong). Again, this is too big for Oyster Bay for most, but for the brave and skilled, it’s a serious session. The wind is cross, not ideal, but the power is undeniable. That afternoon, the wind cranks up to 31 mph from the WSW and it’s blown out – no good.

The real standout? I’d put my money on Thursday the 24th morning. It’s not the biggest swell at 6ft, but it’s from the SSE with a short 7-second period – small, clean, and with light offshore wind from the north. The energy is manageable at 585 (moderate) and the break will be clean. It’s not a day for the big-wave hunters, but for a fun, cruisy session on the sandbar, that’s your pick. The 25th Saturday morning also offers a clean 5ft SW groundswell with moderate offshore wind – another solid option, but the 24th has the better overall conditions for a good paddle.

Further out, the 28th Tuesday morning is another expert-level session with 8ft SW groundswell, long period, and clean offshore wind – but by that point, you’re two weeks away and forecasts get a little more iffy.

Overall, there’s a decent run from the 16th onward, but the first few days are a washout. If you can wait, the 24th is the one to circle.

- Rusty

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