Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's on the cards for Oyster Bay.

First up, the water is sitting at 61°, which is a solid 5° colder than what's normal for this time of year. That's a big anomaly, so you'll want a thick suit if you're heading out.

The next 16 days are a mixed bag. We've got a decent pulse of swell arriving but it's going to take a while to settle down. The first few days are a write-off, with poor conditions and choppy, onshore winds. Things get interesting on the morning of Thursday, August 27th. There's a clean 7ft SSW swell with a 12-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the NE at 9 mph. Combined wave energy is strong at 2902, so it'll have some push. It's a sandbar break that's inconsistent, but this morning window is the most promising start to the period. The swell is a bit much for beginners though.

The rest of that week deteriorates quickly. From Friday morning through to Tuesday the 1st of September, it's mostly onshore, choppy, and lumpy with poor surf quality. The swell is there, but the wind just ruins it. There's a window on the morning of Tuesday, September 1st with a 7ft SW swell, but the wind is cross-onshore, making it messy.

Now, for the standout. The morning of Wednesday, September 2nd is shaping up to be the best of the entire run. We're looking at a massive 13ft SW swell with a 14-second period, which is a proper long-period groundswell. The wind is light and variable from the E at 3 mph, and the forecast is calling for clean conditions. The combined energy is a very strong 6908. However, this is a sandbar break, and a swell this size is going to be way too big for most. This is strictly for experts only, and even then, it might be a beast. This swell is also too big for the break, so it's a real caveat.

The following week is a bit of a rollercoaster. Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th of September are blown out by strong onshore winds and rain, with huge, unsurfable swell. By the morning of Monday, September 7th, the wind finally swings offshore from the NNE at 9 mph, with a clean 6ft ESE swell. The period is 11 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at 1481. This is a solid, clean option for experienced surfers, with a much more manageable size than the 13ft day.

The rest of the second week fades out. The wind swings onshore again, and the swell drops off. By the morning of Thursday, September 11th, we see another big pulse of SW swell, 10ft with a 11-second period, but it's too big for the break and the wind is onshore, so it's a no-go.

So, to wrap it up, the best bet for a clean, quality wave is the morning of Wednesday, September 2nd, but only if you're an expert and can handle a massive, long-period groundswell at a sandbar. The morning of Monday, September 7th offers a much more manageable, clean alternative. Everything else is either blown out or too big for the break.

Rusty.

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