Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's get into it. The next 16 days are a real mixed bag for us. We have some serious, powerful swell on the way, but it's going to be a bit of a waiting game for the right conditions.

The main focus is Oyster Bay. It's a sandbar, and it's inconsistent, so it doesn't fire all the time. When it does, it can be magic, but it can also be a total beast. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing to stress about on that front.

We've got a big, powerful SSW groundswell rolling in on Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th of July. We're talking chest to overhead-plus at 10ft to 12ft, with a long period of 12-13 seconds. The wave energy is strong to very strong (4121). But here's the catch: it's simply too big for this break. The sets will be closing out or just too heavy. The wind on Friday is a bit of a mess, too. So, not the one.

Sunday the 12th the swell starts to drop, but it's still a solid 5ft to 6ft from the SSW. The combined energy is still moderate (1392). The wind is cross-off in the morning, keeping it clean, but the quality is only marginal. It's a wave for the keen, but not a standout.

The whole of the next week, from Monday the 13th through to Saturday the 18th, is a bit of a write-off. The swell is weak, the winds are messy, and the quality is poor. There's a few moments of cleaner conditions, but the waves are just too small or too wind-affected. It's a blank run of about 6 days.

Now, we get a massive spike again on Sunday the 19th of July. Another SSW groundswell, a beast at 10ft to 12ft, with a period of 13-14 seconds. The energy is extreme (3959). The wind is cross-off and clean, which is a beautiful thing to see. But again, the size is the problem. It's too big for Oyster Bay. This is strictly for experts only, and even then, it's a risk. The raw power is there, but the shape is going to be challenging.

The real standout, the one to circle on your calendar, is Thursday the 23rd of July. Early morning, we have a 8ft SSW groundswell with a very long period of 15 seconds. This is deep, ocean energy. The combined energy is strong (2561). The wind is a gentle cross-off, keeping the surface clean. The data says it's excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one. This is where the longer period will really shine, drawing up nice, lined-up waves. It'll be a bit of a paddle, but the sets will be worth it. Expect crowds here, as it's a rare, good day.

Then, we're looking at a massive, almost comical, 16ft SW groundswell on Saturday the 25th of July. The period is 16 seconds and the energy is off the charts (12572). It's glassy, but it's a total maelstrom. That's a boat day, not a paddle day. Forget about Oyster Bay for that one.

So, the best of the best is Thursday the 23rd. Get on it.

Rusty.

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