Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's get into it.

We’re looking at a long haul here for Oyster Bay. The first week and a half is pretty much a write-off, so don't get your hopes up too early. We've got a big block of onshore and cross-onshore winds with solid swell, but it's just too messy to be any good. There's a real standout hiding way out in the forecast, but it’s a long wait.

Looking at the water at Oyster Bay, it’s running at 65°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year.

The first potential day that’s even worth a mention is Friday the 10th of July. The forecast models are showing a significant SW swell (combined energy of 4292), but it’s predicted to be too big for this spot. For the experienced crew, the wind and tide are looking favorable that afternoon, with an 12ft SSW swell and glassy conditions incoming, but the size is a major caveat.

We then hit a lull. From Saturday the 11th through to Tuesday the 22nd, it's a mix of marginal conditions or flat spells. There’s some clean, cross-off wind on Saturday the 11th with an 8ft SSW swell (combined energy of 2095), but it’s marginal. Not much to get excited about. The energy really drops off from Sunday the 12th onwards, with small, weak swell and poor conditions dominating.

Now, for the real standout. Mark your calendar for Sunday the 19th of July. This is the one that has my full attention. We’re looking at a clean 7ft SSW groundswell with a period of 12 seconds, and the wind is predicted to be glassy, absolutely dead calm. This is excellent, clean surf for experienced surfers. The combined energy is a solid 1336, so there’s some proper push behind it. The break is inconsistent, so you’ll want to be patient, but for the crew that knows Oyster Bay, this is the session to aim for. Expect crowds sometimes.

But wait, there’s more. Looking further out, Wednesday the 22nd of July is another promising call. The morning shows an offshore wind with a powerful 8ft SSW swell (combined energy of 3276) and a very long period of 15 seconds. That is a proper groundswell, but that long period might make it break a bit straight at the beach. Still, for experienced surfers, it’s “excellent surf conditions”. Considering it’s two weeks out, be aware the forecast could change, but it has the potential to be a big one.

So, to wrap it up: Oyster Bay is mostly a no-go for the next two weeks. The true standout is that glassy Sunday the 19th. The 22nd is a promising but less certain long-range option for experts only.

Rusty.

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