Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me tell you what's cooking here in this part of the world. This is Rusty, and I've got the long-range scoop for you, looking at the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, but there's some serious size and glassy windows for those who know what they're doing.

First off, the standout spot we're watching is Oyster Bay (Oyster Bay). It's a sandbar set-up, and it's inconsistent, so when it lines up, you gotta be on it. Water temperature's running about average for this time of year, nothing too wild.

The opening of the outlook is a bit of a tease. Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st of July are looking pretty average. You've got some waist-to-chest high swell around, around 6 ft, but the wind is on the cross-off, and the energy is strong, but the conditions are just marginal. Saturday the 1st of August is a write-off with a fresh breeze and a short period, bumpy 8 ft mess from the east. It's not looking good.

Now, Sunday the 2nd of August is where we start to get a little bit of hope. Morning brings chest-to-head high 7 ft swell from the ESE with a light breeze, and the energy is still strong. The afternoon cleans up even more with a 6 ft ESE swell, an 11-second period, and a gentle breeze. It's excellent for experienced surfers, but it's still a bit marginal for the average punter.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th drop back down to smaller, weaker stuff, and the wind starts getting messy with cross-onshore and chop. Wednesday the 5th of August into the 6th, the swell jumps up big time, with 6 ft and then 12 ft on Thursday, but the cross-onshore wind is fresh and lumpy, making it a kiter's dream more than a paddle surfer's. The energy is massive, but the quality is just poor.

Here's the real standout. Friday the 7th of August is a special day for the big-wave crew. Oyster Bay is going to see a solid 12 ft swell from the SW with a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is off the charts. But the best part? The morning is blowing offshore from the north, and the afternoon goes glassy. The swell is too big for the average surfer, but for the experts, this is a dream window with clean, powerful lines. The caveat with that long period is it might peel a bit too fast and straight on a beach break, but on a sandbar like this, the current and shape could be incredible.

Saturday the 8th is a write-off with a near gale. Then there's a flat spell Sunday and Monday morning the 10th, before the monsoon arrives. Monday the 10th of August is a monster: an 18 ft SW swell with a 14-second period and an offshore breeze in the morning. The energy reading is off the charts - that's not surfing, that's survival. Again, only for the absolute experts.

Tuesday the 11th brings an 12 ft S swell, still huge, but the cross-off wind keeps it clean for the big-wave chargers. Wednesday the 12th of August is another beauty: morning is glassy with a 5 ft SW swell, but then the afternoon turns into a gem with an 8 ft E swell, clean with a light offshore. That’s excellent for experienced surfers. The 10-second period on the afternoon swell is a nice, manageable groundswell.

Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th settle down to cleaner, smaller 5-6 ft surf with light cross-off winds and moderate energy. It's a solid end to the run.

So, the simple truth: the absolute standout is the glassy Friday the 7th of August for the crew with big boards. The second-best is the cleaner sessions on Sunday the 2nd. The rest is a waiting game between the big wind and the bigger swells. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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