Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, crew, Rusty here. Let's break down the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we have to be straight with you – the next few days are looking pretty wild. For those wanting to get wet soon, you probably want to sit this one out unless you're a seasoned charger. The standout, and really the only window that looks good for a proper paddle, is a solid week away.

The only spot we're looking at is Oyster Bay. It's a sandbar setup that's exposed, but it doesn't break all that often. To start the run, Wednesday the 26th, there's serious size rolling in. We're talking a solid 10 ft of SSW groundswell packing a punch. The winds are cross-off, so it'll look clean, but mate, that's expert-only territory. It's way too gnarly for the average surfer. The water is at 61°, which is a massive 5° colder than normal for this time of year – that's a proper winter chill, don't forget your hood.

Thursday the 27th drops a bit, with 7 ft to 6 ft from the SSW, but the scores are low and it's described as marginal. Not worth a paddle. Friday the 28th morning is interesting. We get 4 ft from the S with a clean 11-second period and a gentle offshore from the NNE. This is the first sniff of something rideable, but it's not a standout.

Then things go pear-shaped. From Saturday the 29th right through to the end of the first week of September, it's messy. The winds howl from the west and southwest, mostly onshore or cross-onshore. We get a couple of days of flat dribble, then it kicks back up on Tuesday the 1st with a massive 13 ft SW swell, but it's blown to pieces. A few days later it gets even bigger – 20 ft on the 3rd and 18 ft on the 4th with gale force winds. Forget about surfing, that's kite-surfing weather if you're game, but for a paddle? No way.

Now, if you're still reading and have some patience, here's your window. Monday, September 7th is the pick of the fortnight. Oyster Bay wakes up. The forecast shows a clean 4 ft groundswell rolling in from the SW with a lovely long 14-second period. The real kicker is the morning wind: a gentle offshore from the NE. That's glassy, clean conditions. The report calls it "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." The size is manageable for a good intermediate but won't be massive. The longer period from the SW works well here. With the offshore wind, this is the day to circle on the calendar. It gets a bit crowded here sometimes, so expect a few mates out.

The following days fade out into small, choppy junk again, with winds turning cross-onshore. There's another uptick in size on the 10th (10 ft to 13 ft), but again it's showing cross-onshore and onshore wind, so that's a no-go.

So, the long and short of it: the next week is a write-off for a good paddle. The only true standout is that window on Monday the 7th of September. It's a one-day wonder, but with those conditions, it'll be worth the wait.

Rusty.

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