Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks here are a bit of a mixed bag. There’s plenty of swell on the cards, but it comes with wind and tide issues that will keep us guessing. The first real window is on Thursday the 6th, but honestly it's a write-off – we've got a strong cross-onshore breeze and lumpy, poor surf. Not worth paddling out for.

Then we get a shot on Friday morning the 7th. The swell is still a solid 10ft from the SW with a 13-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the ENE. The call says it's clean, but it’s also flagged as too big for this break. Keep in mind Oyster Bay can't handle that size; it's an inconsistent sandbar, so unless you're a seasoned pro looking for a challenge, you might be better off giving it a miss. The energy is strong, with a combined value of 2490. The swell direction is from the SW, but its optimum is SE, so it's a bit off-angle.

The rest of that weekend and into Monday the 10th is a washout – more rain, strong winds, and those S/SSW swells just won't let the place settle. It's all poor conditions.

Things start to look more interesting on Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th. The swell does back down a touch to around 7ft-8ft from the SSW, and the wind is cross-offshore from the ENE, keeping the surf clean. The Tuesday morning session is your best bet of this stretch, with a score that stands out. It's a moderate energy, around 2090, but those clean conditions are the main draw.

Then here's the standout, but it comes with a big caveat. Wednesday afternoon the 12th into Thursday morning the 13th, we've got a very strong E swell, 10ft at 8 seconds. The energy jumps up to 3075 and 4084, and the wind is cross-offshore and clean. But this has "too big for this break" written all over it. Oyster Bay just won't handle that size, especially with a short period swell. It'll be a mess.

For the real highlight, you need to look further out to Friday morning the 14th. The swell is a much more manageable 5ft from the SW, but here’s the kicker: we’ve got a true offshore wind from the NNE, gentle at 15 km/h. This is the cleanest and most favorable window we see. It’s not the biggest swell, but conditions are as good as it gets for this spot. The water's still much colder than usual for this time of year, around 61°F, so bring the booties and hood. The energy is moderate at 2073, but the offshore wind will make all the difference. This is the one to make time for.

After that, the following week (around the 19th to 20th), it drops way off. The swell fades to under 3ft, and while there's some clean wind, there's just no power. You can see that as a real gap with nothing to surf until the 21st, when a weak 4ft SW groundswell tries to show up. But that's a flyer at best, something to keep an eye on later in the day.

So to sum it up: there are only a couple of true windows here. Friday the 14th is your best bet for a quality, clean session. The huge E swells around the 12th and 13th are there, but they're too big for the bay and only for experts. Everything else is a battle with the wind or just too small. It’s not a classic stretch, but there are a couple of gems if you pick your moments carefully.

- Rusty

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