Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. Rusty here. I've been staring at the charts for Oyster Bay, and I gotta be straight with you—it's a frustrating run. The wind is just never quite on our side for most of this window, and when it is, the swell is too much for this spot. Let's walk through it.

We jump into the forecast on Wednesday, July 29th. There's some swell running, around 7ft from the Southwest, but the wind is a cross-off breeze. It's rideable, but feels like it's fighting you all the way. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about. The energy is solid, but it's just not coming together for a good session.

We go through Thursday and Friday with the same story—swell wrapping in from the SW, but the wind just won't let up. Friday afternoon gets ugly, the swell bumps up to 8ft from the East, but the wind roars in at 28 mph, and the energy is weak. It's a write-off. The weekend of the 1st and 2nd of August is a bit of a tease. Saturday has some size, around 8ft to 8ft, but it's still a messy cross-off wind. The wind does ease on Sunday morning, August 2nd, giving us a genuine window. The swell drops to 7ft from the East, and with a gentle breeze, it's clean. The energy is moderate. If you're an experienced surfer, this is your best shot in the first week. It's not amazing, but it's the best of a bad lot, and the crowds are *sometimes* a problem, so you might have it to yourself.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Monday the 3rd of August through to the 9th, the wind shifts onshore, blowing from the Southwest and West. The swell is all over the place, but the wind chops it up. The energy gets huge on the 5th, 6th, and 7th, with the 6th of August seeing a 10ft SW swell under glassy conditions, but the energy is staggering—that's way too much power for this sandbar. It's a definite "too big for this break" situation. The following days are a washout with gale-force winds on the 8th of August. No good.

Now, for the second week, there's a glimmer. Monday the 10th of August morning looks promising. The swell is a solid 8ft from the Southwest, but the wind finally goes light and cross-off from the Northwest. The energy is strong, and the conditions are clean. The forecast says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." This is your standout. The swell is over 8ft, so it's a big boy wave, but it's the only window where the wind and the size are in sync. The period is 11 seconds, a decent groundswell that will push through.

After that, it's back to the same old story. The wind turns onshore again on the 11th and 12th, and the waves get choppy and lumpy. The 13th of August morning shows a big 12ft SW swell with a cross-off wind, but again, the energy is massive, and it's predicted to be too big for this break.

So, what's the call? The standout is the morning of Monday, August 10th, if you're an experienced surfer who can handle some size. The Sunday the 2nd of August morning is the consolation prize for the first week. The rest? It's a waiting game. The setups look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on most days. Stay patient, and keep an eye on the wind shifts.

Rusty.

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