Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break this down. We’re looking at Oyster Bay for the next 16 days, and it’s a real rollercoaster. The best session is shaping up for the morning of Monday, August 3rd, but we’ve got a lot of big, windy, and tricky stuff before we get there.

The water temp is sitting at 65.1°F, which is about normal for this time of year. Nothing unusual.

The surf kicks off this Monday afternoon, July 27th, with a solid 9.8ft SSW groundswell. That’s a long period of 17 seconds, meaning proper, powerful lines. But the wind is a nasty cross-on from the SSE at 18.6 mph, making it lumpy and poor. The combined wave energy is massive at 5837, showing just how much punch is in the water. It’s too big for beginners at this size, and the wind is just ruining it. Stay away.

Tuesday, July 28th, sees the swell dropping to 8.2ft from the SW. The period is still long at 15 seconds, but the wind is a messy cross-shore from the ESE at 15.5 mph, creating a cross-chop. The morning and afternoon are both marginal at best, with energy still high at 3435 and 2887. Not worth paddling out.

Wednesday, July 29th, the swell eases a bit to 6.6ft, period 13 seconds. The wind finally turns cross-offshore from the ENE. Morning is 21.7 mph, afternoon is 18.6 mph, but the description says “clean.” That’s the key word. The energy is still moderate at 1787 and 1676. This is a solid, clean option for intermediate surfers who can handle the 6.6ft size. The cross-off wind will make for some nice, open faces.

Thursday, July 30th, and Friday, July 31st, follow a similar pattern: 5.2ft to 4.3ft SW swell, periods around 13 seconds, and cross-off ENE winds. The energy drops to 1261 by Friday morning. Friday afternoon, the swell direction switches to a short-period 6.9ft E swell at 9 seconds, with a strong 28 mph cross-off wind. That’s a lot of wind, but the clean conditions hold. Still, the short period makes it less punchy. These are all decent, clean options for a surf, but not the best of the run.

Now, Saturday, August 1st, is where things get interesting. The morning sees a 9.8ft E swell, but it’s a short period of 9 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-off from the NE at 15.5 mph. The energy is strong at 2595. The report says it’s too big for this break, which is a sandbar. For experts only, and even then, the short period will make it dumpy and fast. Saturday afternoon drops to 8.2ft, still short period, still too big for most.

Sunday, August 2nd, is a write-off. The wind switches to a messy cross-on from the W at 15.5 mph, with a 6.6ft E swell. The energy is moderate at 1253, but the conditions are poor and choppy. Don’t bother.

The standout. Monday, August 3rd, morning. This is the one. The swell drops to a manageable 4.9ft from the E, period 10 seconds. The wind is glassy, from the N at only 3.1 mph. The energy is 782, moderate. The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the cleanest, most user-friendly wave of the whole period. The glassy conditions will make for silky smooth waves. It’s a good size for intermediates and even confident beginners. The swell direction is E, and the optimum for Oyster Bay is SE, so it’s not a perfect match, but with that glassy wind, it’ll still be a fun, clean wave. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might have some company, but it won’t be packed.

Monday afternoon, the wind picks up from the ESE, bringing

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