Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this 16-day outlook for Oyster Bay is a bit of a mixed bag, and it’s gonna take some patience. We’ve got some serious swell at times, but the wind is going to be the main character in this story, and not always in a good way. The standout windows are few and far between, but when they line up, it’ll be worth the wait.

The first proper surf on offer kicks off on Friday the 7th of August. We’ve got a solid 9.8ft SW groundswell rolling in, with a 13-second period – that’s a lot of energy, about 2490 (moderate wave energy). The wind is a light 6 mph cross-off from the ENE, which keeps things clean. The issue? The swell is too big for this spot. At 9.8ft, it’s a bit much for the average punter, and with the water temp sitting at 61.3°F, which is 4.3°F colder than normal for this time of year, you’ll be wanting a thick steamer. The tide and wind are favorable, but the size is the gatekeeper. By Friday afternoon, the wind cranks up to 19 mph from the east, still cross-off, but the swell drops to 8.2ft with a 14-second period, generating 2938 energy. It’s cleaner, but the tide starts to get questionable.

Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are write-offs. The wind swings to the west and southwest, howling at 25-28 mph, creating a strong cross-onshore mess. The swell is still big, 7.5ft to 11.5ft from the SW, with energy peaking at 6883 on Sunday arvo (strong wave energy). The surf is straight-up poor, with lumpy, choppy conditions. You’d be better off on a kiteboard than a paddleboard if you’re desperate.

Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are onshore and rainy, with winds from the SSW and S at 19-22 mph. The swell is 9.8ft to 11.5ft, but the rain and onshore wind kill it. Not worth a look.

Now, here’s a standout. On Tuesday the 11th of August, the morning session is a beauty. The swell drops to 9.8ft from the south, with a 13-second period, and the wind swings to a light 12 mph cross-off from the east. The energy is 2939 (moderate wave energy). The wind and tide are favorable, but once again, the 9.8ft swell is too big for Oyster Bay. This is one for the experienced crew only. The afternoon is a drop-off to 6.6ft, but the tide gets marginal.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are a bit of a tease. The swell drops to 2.6ft-6.2ft from the SSW/SW, with very long periods of 16-21 seconds. The wind is a strong cross-off from the ENE, 19-28 mph. The energy is high (1173 to 3041), but the tide conditions are marginal. The waves will be clean but inconsistent because of the long period.

Friday the 14th is cleaner, with a gentle breeze from the NE at 9 mph, cross-off. The swell is 5.2ft from the SW, 15-second period, 1285 energy. The tide is still a bit marginal. It’s a poor man’s option.

Now, here’s the best on offer. Saturday the 15th of August. This is the standout. The morning has a perfect 3 mph offshore breeze from the NNE – glassy. The swell is 5.2ft from the SW, with a 15-second period, and 1858 energy (moderate). The conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. The break is inconsistent, but when it comes, it’ll be clean. The afternoon holds up with a 5.2ft swell and 14-second period, but the wind goes cross-off from the east at 9 mph. Still good, but the morning is the call.

Sunday the 16th is a dud. The wind turns onshore from the west, and the swell drops to 2.3ft from the east – barely 131 energy. Junk.

Monday the 17th of August has another promising window. The morning sees a 6.9ft SW swell, 14-second period, 1842 energy, with a gentle 9 mph cross-off from the ENE. The conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. The swell is right on the edge of being too big for beginners, but the wind is clean. The afternoon has a 3 mph cross-shore from the ESE, which is light, but the tide is a little marginal.

From Tuesday the 18th through to the end of the run on the 22nd, it’s mostly poor. The wind is cross-onshore, mostly from the west and southwest, and the swell is all over the place. The last gasp on the 22nd is a 9.8ft SW swell with fresh onshore wind – just ugly.

So, to boil it down: Saturday the 15th

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