Oyster Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s break it down.

We’ve got a solid run of south-west groundswell lining up for Oyster Bay, but it’s a mixed bag. The water is sitting at 56°F which is a massive 10°F colder than usual for this time of year – that’s a serious chill, so you’ll want a thick suit.

The first look is Friday morning, August 14th. A solid 5ft south-west swell rolling in with a long 15-second period, pushing a lot of energy. The wind is light off the NNE, keeping things clean. This is experienced surfer territory – the power is real, and the sets will have some punch. The afternoon stays sweet with a 5ft south-west swell and a light offshore breeze, still glassy and clean.

Saturday, August 15th, starts off with a treat. The swell drops slightly to 4ft from the south-west, but the wind is dead calm – glassy conditions. The period is still a solid 14 seconds, so the waves will have shape and push. This is a great session for a confident intermediate, with moderate wave energy. The afternoon gets a bit blown out with a cross-offshore breeze, so go for the morning.

Sunday, August 16th, is a write-off. Cross-onshore winds and choppy, messy surf. The same goes for Monday, August 17th – the swell bumps up to 8ft but the wind is onshore, making it a washout. Not worth paddling out.

Now, Tuesday morning, August 18th, is a standout. We’ve got 7ft of south-west swell with a 13-second period, and the wind is glassy again. The energy is strong. This is for experienced surfers – the size and power are real, but the conditions will be near perfect. It’s a window of excellence.

The second half of the week gets messy again. Wednesday, August 19th, is blown out with 8ft of swell and cross-onshore winds – choppy and ugly. Thursday, August 20th, is marginal: 6ft south-west swell with a cross-offshore breeze, so it’s clean but not great. Friday, August 21st, is back to poor conditions.

Then we hit a big event. Saturday, August 22nd, sees a massive 16ft to 20ft south-west swell with a very long 16-second period. The energy is off the charts. The wind is strong cross-onshore, making it a pure mess. This is way too big for Oyster Bay – it’s blown out, lumpy, and dangerous. The setup looks more exciting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Sunday, August 23rd, is still huge (15ft to 13ft) but the wind turns cross-offshore, making it cleaner. Still, this is only for elite experts on a big-wave board. The swell is too big for this break.

Monday, August 24th, stays massive with 12ft swell and clean cross-offshore winds. Again, strictly for the big-wave crew. The energy is very strong. Tuesday, August 25th, drops but gets blown out again. Wednesday, August 26th, has 10ft to 12ft swell with clean cross-offshore winds, but it’s still too big for most.

The final days, from August 27th to 29th, are mostly poor with strong onshore winds or small, weak swell. Saturday, August 29th, has a tiny 1ft east swell with no energy – a complete flat spell.

The best on offer: Friday morning, August 14th, for the first pulse of power and clean conditions. But the absolute standout is Tuesday morning, August 18th – 7ft of clean, glassy south-west swell with strong energy. That’s the session to circle. The big stuff from August 22nd to 24th is for experts only, and even then, the wind on Saturday ruins it.

Remember, Oyster Bay is an inconsistent sandbar, and crowds are possible. Keep your eyes on the horizon.

Rusty.

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