Bruces Beauties Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right off the bat, the ocean’s got a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde thing going on. We’ve got some serious size building, but the wind is going to be the enemy for most of the coming stretch. The first real window that’s worth paddling out for is tomorrow arvo, Tuesday the 15th. It’s not the biggest swell of the week, but it’ll be the cleanest. We’re looking at 1.4m of east swell, with a light 5 km/h offshore breeze. That’s going to have Bruces Beauties (Big Island) looking like a postcard. The water’s sitting at 18°, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Tuesday morning is also okay, with 1.7m and a bit more breeze, but the arvo is the standout for that day. The energy is moderate, with the combined swell energy reading 550, and the 11-second period will give the waves a bit of push. This is the one to make the most of, because the next couple of days are a write-off.

Wednesday the 16th, the wind swings around to the west and gets up to 35 km/h. The swell drops to around a metre, and even though it’s cross-off, it’s just not gonna be worth the hassle. Then Thursday the 17th through to Saturday the 19th, things get properly messy. We’re talking onshore winds up to 40-45 km/h, with swell climbing to 2.5m and then jumping to a solid 4.0m on Saturday. That’s a lot of water, but all of it is lumpy, choppy, cross-onshore junk. The combined energy is strong, hitting 2622 and then 3279 on Saturday, but it’s all for nothing. Unless you’re a masochist or a kite surfer, stay off the board. That east wind will chop it up into a washing machine.

Sunday the 20th is a tease. The swell drops back to a still-chunky 2.5m, and the wind goes cross-off, but it’s a fresh 20 km/h westerly. The waves are clean, but the tide and conditions are questionable. It’s a marginal call, so don’t get your hopes up. Monday the 21st is a bit of a letdown, with the swell dropping to 2-1.7m and a south pulse. The morning is clean, but it’s only a 2-3 out of 10 situation. There’s a bit of push but nothing that’s gonna get your heart racing.

Now, here’s the one that’s got me excited. Wednesday the 23rd. The swell is back up to 2.0m, and the wind is offshore from the west-southwest at 25 km/h. That’s a proper groundswell, with a 12-second period from the south-southwest. The combined energy is solid at 1261, and the conditions are described as "excellent for experienced surfers." This is the standout of the whole run. Bruces Beauties is an advanced, inconsistent reef break, and when it lines up like this, it’s worth the wait. It’s a cross-off, so it won’t be glassy, but it’ll be clean and powerful. If you can handle it, this is the one to circle on the calendar. The arvo on the same day drops off a bit, but the morning is where it’s at.

After that, it’s a bit of a downhill slide. Thursday the 24th is blown out with a near gale easterly, and the swell is up but messy. Then Friday the 25th is clean but smaller, with a 2.0m morning that’s offshore from the west, but it’s only a marginal call. The weekend after that, the 26th and 27th, is poor. Swell drops to under a metre, and the wind is back onshore. It’s not looking good.

The long-range stuff, around Tuesday the 29th, is just flat and choppy. We’re talking 0.6m with onshore winds, so it’s a no-go.

So, overall, the best windows are tomorrow arvo (Tuesday 15th) and that Wednesday the 23rd morning, which is the pick of the pack. The rest of the fortnight is mostly junk or marginal. If you’re keen, get out there tomorrow, and keep your eyes on that 23rd. It’s going to be worth the wait, but it’s a while away, so don’t hold your breath just yet.

Rusty.

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