Keurbooms Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down the Keurbooms forecast for the next couple of weeks.

The water’s sitting at 64°F, which is right on the money for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

We’ve got a slow start, but the first real action is on Wednesday the 22nd. The morning looks clean with a light cross-offshore breeze from the WSW and a solid 7ft SW groundswell with a 12-second period. The combined energy is pumping at 1527 (moderate wave energy), making for some excellent, punchy waves. This is intermediate territory – 7ft is a fun size, but it’s not for beginners. The crowds are only sometimes a hassle here, so you might get a few out, but it’s nothing to worry about.

Thursday the 23rd morning is a real standout. Clear skies, a whisper of a WSW wind at 5 km/h, cross-off, and the same 7ft SW swell. Clean as a whistle. The afternoon, however, gets a bit of a warning: the swell jumps to 10ft with a W wind of 20 km/h. That’s getting into expert-only territory, and the combined energy rockets to 2326 (strong wave energy). For the experienced crew, it’s still on, but the size is pushing it.

Friday the 24th is a big day for the brave. The morning sees an 12ft SSW groundswell with a very long period of 16 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 6279 (very strong wave energy). That’s a lot of water moving. The catch is the onshore wind from the ESE. For a beach-and-reef setup like Keurbooms, that long-period swell could be a bit too straight and tricky, so this is more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle session. The afternoon is just as big with 10ft and a 15-second period.

The end of the week and into the weekend gets messy with onshore winds and choppy conditions, but then Sunday the 26th morning brings a real gem. Glassy conditions, a 6ft SW swell, and a combined energy of 1344 (moderate wave energy). It’s a lovely, clean window for a few hours.

Looking ahead, the absolute best of the bunch arrives on Thursday the 30th afternoon and into Friday the 31st. Thursday afternoon: glassy, a 7ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and combined energy of 1848 (strong wave energy). Friday morning: again glassy, 6ft SW swell, same period. The afternoon of Friday the 31st is a flat calm with no wind, a 5ft SW swell, and 1152 combined energy. This is the sweet spot – clean, grunty, and manageable.

Then on Saturday the 1st of August, we get a shift in direction. The morning is glassy, with a 8ft E swell, but the period is short at 8 seconds. The combined energy is 1592 (strong wave energy). This is a bit of a mixed bag. The afternoon is similar, glassy with a 8ft E swell and a 9-second period. It’s surfable, but that short period won’t have the same push.

The second week is much quieter and more inconsistent. There’s a brief window on Sunday the 2nd of August morning with a clean 7ft E swell and a 10-second period, but the energy drops to 1051. After that, it’s a lot of onshore junk and big, messy swells that are too big and blown out, like the 13ft SW storm on Thursday the 6th of August. That one’s a write-off for paddling.

So, to wrap it up: the standout is the glassy, clean swell from Thursday the 30th afternoon through Friday the 31st. That’s your best bet for a proper session. The Saturday the 1st of August is a wildcard with the short-period E swell, but it’s clean. The early part of the week (Wednesday the 22nd to Thursday the 23rd morning) is also solid, but watch out for the size on the 24th.

Keep an eye on the forecasts, but those glassy days are the ones to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

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