Keurbooms Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s chat about what’s rollin’ into Keurbooms over the next couple weeks.

We’re starting slow. The first real chance to get wet is Saturday the 5th, but it ain’t pretty – morning’s got 2 ft from the SSW, 11-second period, but that onshore breeze from the ESE at 9 mph is gonna mess it up. The water’s about 60°, which is a touch colder than usual for this time of year – nearly 3° cooler, so you’ll want a good wetsuit. The combined energy is weak (693). Afternoon’s worse with 12 mph winds – poor, not worth paddling.

Sunday the 6th brings some size – 7 ft morning, 10 ft afternoon from the SSW – but that cross-onshore wind at 12-16 mph chops it bad. Energy’s moderate to strong (3678 morning, 6037 afternoon), but it’s a mess.

Now Monday the 7th looks up. Morning’s still iffy with 7 ft from the SSW and light cross-on wind, but the afternoon… wow. The wind drops to glass – 3 mph from the ESE, clean as can be – with 7 ft of SSW swell at a long 14-second period. That’s gonna be smooth, lined-up waves for the experienced crew. Energy’s strong (2014). This is the first standout.

Tuesday the 8th is a drop – small E swell, 5 ft morning with a short 9-second period, onshore wind. Not much to chase.

Wednesday the 9th is tiny – 2 ft to 3 ft from the SW, period around 13-14 seconds but weak, energy under 500. Hardly worth waxing.

Thursday the 10th we get a pulse: 7 ft morning, 8 ft afternoon from the SW at a nice 16-second period – proper groundswell. But the wind’s cross-onshore and bumpy in the arvo. Still, it’s got power (2135 to 3425) and could be fun if you find the right bank.

Friday the 11th is another glass-off gem. Morning’s 7 ft from the SW with light cross-on, but the afternoon turns dead calm – 0 mph, glassy – with 6 ft of SW swell at 13 seconds. Clean, lined-up, excellent for experienced surfers. Energy’s solid (1897). That’s your second standout.

Saturday the 12th goes wild – 10 ft from the ESE morning with a short 8-second period and a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore. That’s a windy, lumpy mess. Afternoon swaps to 7 ft from the SW but still choppy. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Sunday the 13th has potential for the brave. Morning glass with 10 ft from the ESE, but the swell’s predicted too big for this break – expert territory. Afternoon’s glassy with 8 ft from the ESE at 11 seconds, excellent for the experienced. Energy’s strong (3139 morning, 2540 afternoon).

Monday the 14th again has a morning swell too big (10 ft, SW), but the afternoon glass-off with 8 ft SW is excellent for experienced surfers. Tuesday the 15th brings another glassy afternoon – 8 ft from the SW at 11 seconds, calm wind, energy 1560 – clean and fun for those in the know.

Wednesday the 16th onward gets messy: the 16th morning has 8 ft from the SW at 15 seconds but a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore – clean but punchy. Afternoon 10 ft from the SW is too big for this spot. Thursday the 17th morning 10 ft from the SW is too big, and the afternoon gets hammered by 19 mph cross-onshore wind.

Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th are smaller, marginal – 4 ft to 8 ft, mostly short-period E/SW swell, light winds. Not terrible, but nothing special.

Finally, Sunday the 20th finishes with a bang – 10 ft morning, 13 ft afternoon from the SW, periods around 10-12 seconds, cross-offshore and clean. But these waves are way too big for Keurbooms – expert only, if at all. Energy’s massive (3053 to 4791).

So the real standouts are Monday the 7th afternoon and Friday the 11th afternoon – both glassy, clean, with nice 6 ft to 7 ft SSW groundswell. That’s where I’d be.

Rusty.

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