Keurbooms Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The long-range looks like it’s got some serious teeth for Keurbooms, but the start of the run is a bit of a washout. The first few days are messy, with a big, raw swell on Sunday the 9th – 11.5ft at 12 seconds from the SSW – but that cross-on wind and the rain are going to make it a choppy, bumpy mess. Not worth the paddle. The energy is strong (3370), but it’s wasted on the conditions.

Monday the 10th is still questionable, with a 8.2ft SW swell in the morning, but the afternoon sees a bump to 9.8ft, and the guidance notes it’s likely too big for this break. The wind is light onshore, but it’s just too much water moving. We’re waiting for things to settle.

Tuesday the 11th drops a bit, but it’s still cross-on and choppy. Not your day.

The first real glimmer shows up on the 14th, Friday morning. The swell is down to 4.9ft from the SW, but the wind swings around to a cross-off from the N, and the call is clean. It’s not big, but it’s rideable and the surface will be good. Wave energy is still moderate at 1950.

Saturday the 15th is the first true standout. The morning shows 4.3ft of SW swell with a 14-second period, light N wind, and the report says “expect very good surf conditions.” It’s clean, it’s lined up, and the energy is moderate (927). The afternoon is similar, just a touch smaller. This is the window to be out.

Sunday the 16th is a drop-off, fading to 3.9ft with a cross wind. The 17th Monday morning is glassy, with a small 3ft SW swell at 17 seconds, but it’s tiny. The afternoon is a different story – a 8.2ft SW swell rolls in, but the cross-on breeze might make it a bit lumpy.

Now, the second week gets interesting. Tuesday the 18th is a big one. The morning is 9.8ft from the E, but that’s a short, wind-swell period of 8 seconds, and it’s too big for the break. The afternoon, though, is 8.2ft from the E at 9 seconds, with a light cross-off wind. The call is “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” That’s a heavy, powerful wave, but it’s clean. Only for the confident crew.

Wednesday the 19th is glassy all day. The morning has 6.2ft from the ESE at 10 seconds with zero wind – that’s a beautiful, clean, and still chunky wave. The afternoon is a bit smaller at 5.2ft, but still glassy. This is a great, clean run.

After that, the 20th and 21st fade out. The swell gets smaller and the wind gets messy again. The 22nd Saturday afternoon is clean and glassy, but it’s down to 3.6ft.

But then, hold on. The 23rd Sunday afternoon is a big call. 8.2ft of SSW swell at a very long 15-second period, and it’s glassy. The report says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” That’s a proper groundswell, and with that kind of period at Keurbooms, it’s going to have some serious push. The water temp is 61.5°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so a good hood is a smart call.

The 24th Monday, though, is another one that’s likely too big. 9.8ft from the SW in the morning is a lot of water. The afternoon is 8.2ft, still on the big side.

So, the best bets are the 15th for a clean, fun, manageable session, and the 19th for the glassy, powerful ESE swell. The 18th afternoon and the 23rd afternoon are the heavy-water days for experts only. The gap in the first few days is worth sitting out. It’s a long-range forecast, so keep an eye on it, but the potential is there.

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