Keurbooms Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about Keurbooms. It’s a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks – some memorable moments in there, but you’ll have to pick your windows carefully.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 15°, which is a solid 3° colder than normal for this time of year. That’s not just a little chilly; that’s straight up unusual, so don't even think about a shorty – you’ll want a full 5/4 or at least some serious rubber.

The run kicks off Tuesday the 25th. The surf is already up around 8ft from the SW with a period of 14 seconds, so it’s a proper groundswell with a lot of grunt – combined energy is strong at 3073. But, the wind is light cross-shore in the morning and turns cross-on in the arvo. The quality is marginal at best, with questionable tide conditions. It’s surfable for a confident intermediate, but it’s not the pick of the forecast. Wednesday the 26th is a write-off: strong ESE winds up to 30 km/h and lumpy conditions, so give that one a miss.

Now, hold onto your board for Thursday the 27th. This is a genuine standout. Morning brings glassy conditions with a light SSE breeze, and the swell is a solid 6ft from the SSW at a very long 16 seconds. Combined energy is still pumping at 1496. It’s excellent for experienced surfers. Afternoon stays glassy with 4ft from the S. This is the session you want. The long period means the waves will have real shape and power, and with the wind dead calm, it’ll be clean as a whistle. Don’t sleep on it, but be aware crowds are *sometimes* thick here, so get in early if you can.

Friday the 28th is a tale of two halves. The morning is messy with a cross-on wind, but Friday afternoon turns glassy again – calm wind, 4ft from the S at 11 seconds. It’s not as powerful as Thursday, but it’ll be clean and fun for all levels.

The end of the month and start of September look small. Saturday the 29th has a clean afternoon with 3ft from the SW at 13 seconds and a light cross-off wind, but nothing exciting. Sunday the 30th is tiny – 2ft and weak, not worth paddling out. Monday the 31st has a small, short-period swell (8 seconds) and light glassy afternoon, but it’s only 4ft – maybe a log session at best.

Now, a big moment pops up on Wednesday the 2nd of September. The forecast is showing a massive 12ft – 10ft SW swell with very strong combined energy (4139 and 2802). The wind is favorable (cross-off on the arvo), but let’s be real – this wave is simply too big for this break. Unless you’re a seasoned expert on a tow-in board, this is a no-go zone. Same story for Thursday the 3rd: 13ft from the SSW with onshore wind? Absolutely not.

The calendar flips to Friday the 4th of September morning: glassy conditions, 8ft from the SSE at 10 seconds, combined energy at 2983. Excellent for experienced surfers. That’s another solid session if you have the skills, but that’s a fair-sized, powerful wave for anyone less than advanced.

After that, it fades. Saturday the 5th afternoon turns glassy again with 5ft from the SSE – a nice, clean small-wave option. The second week fizzles out. Sunday the 6th has a long-period SW swell (7ft, 16 seconds) but onshore winds, so not great. Monday the 7th of September looks sweet though: offshore NW wind at only 5 km/h, with 4ft from the SW at 13 seconds. Clean, glassy conditions all day. That’s a great way to start your week.

From the 8th onwards, the swell drops off a cliff. The 8th, 9th, and 10th show tiny 2ft – 3ft waves with moderate offshore winds. It’s not flat, but it’s close to it – more of a longboard or funboard zone, and not worth a special trip.

So, bottom line: Thursday the 27th of August is the absolute standout – glassy, solid 6-8ft groundswell with amazing period. Friday the 4th of September morning is your second big hitter for experienced surfers. Otherwise, the forecast has a lot of average or too-big days. Pick those two windows, and you’ll score.

— Rusty

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