Keurbooms Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Keurbooms is the main spot to watch here. The combined swell energy is strong early on, with readings like 3613 and 2583 on Thursday and Friday, but the wind is just not playing ball – it’s mostly cross or cross-onshore, which will chop things up. Thursday morning sees 1.2m of SSW swell with a 19-second period, which is proper groundswell, but that NE wind is gonna make it messy. The water is 16°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – you’ll want the hood, not just for the temp, but because the wind is making it feel colder.

Friday afternoon is where it first clicks. The swell is a solid 1.4m from the SW at 15 seconds, the wind drops right out to glassy, and the combined energy, while not as big at 1136, is still moderate. That’s the first real window to paddle out with clean lines. The offshore wind on Friday morning is a good sign too, so by the afternoon, it should be lining up nicely.

Over the weekend, it backs off. Saturday is a write-off with onshore and cross-onshore breeze pushing a smaller swell around. Sunday is small and weak, just 0.8m or 0.5m with energy down at 132 and 107 – not worth the paddle. The surf takes a few days to build back.

Monday the 17th sees a bigger pulse of 1.9m SW at 14 seconds, but the wind is on it again. It’s a bit of a fight. The energy is up around 1408, so there’s power, but you’ll have to deal with some ripple. Tuesday is similar but the afternoon looks better – the W wind switches to cross-off and the surf is fairly consistent at 1.5m with a 12-second period. They’re saying “expect very good surf conditions,” so that’s a standout for the middle of the week.

Now, fast forward to the second week. Wednesday the 19th brings a bigger 2.4m swell, but it’s onshore and quickly turns to poor conditions – not your friend. The end of that week and into the next is dominated by strong ESE winds, which is straight onshore here. That’s a lot of chop and mess, with surf running 1.5m to 2.5m, but the quality is going to be poor. You might even think about the kite setup more than the paddle board – that cross-onshore constant wind will make it a fun session for the foil or kite crew, but not for us.

The real promise is at the very end of the run. On Tuesday the 25th, the wind drops to glass by the afternoon, the swell is a clean 1.7m from the ESE at 9 seconds. That short period is a bit of a burble, but with zero wind, it should be fun and playful. Then again on Wednesday afternoon, the wind goes glassy again with 1.5m at 10 seconds from the east. Both those afternoons are looking like the pick of the second week. They’re not huge, but they’re clean.

So overall, Friday afternoon is your first standout, Tuesday the 18th is your mid-week standout, and those glassy afternoons on the 25th and 26th are worth holding out for. Everything else – you’re just fighting the wind.

Read more