Keurbooms Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next stretch.

We’ve got a run coming up, but it’s a slow start. The first real chance to get wet doesn’t kick off until the 17th. Before that, the waves are tiny and the conditions are flat, so save the energy. Once it lights up, there’s some serious size on the way, but you’ve got to pick your windows. The standout is Monday the 17th. Keurbooms is an exposed spot and we’ve got a solid 8ft swell rolling in from the SW, with a fat period of 14 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, proper energy, with sets that’ll push you down the line. The wind is glassy from the SSE at only 3 mph, so it’ll be clean as a whistle. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is 8° colder than normal, so that’s very unusual. You’ll want a thick suit and booties. The combined swell energy is pumping at 2161 (moderate to strong energy), but this size and power is for experienced surfers only. Anything over 8ft is expert territory, and this one is right there. The break has an exposed handle on an easterly swell, with an optimum direction from the SE, but the amounts of SW groundswell here will wrap in fine. Crowds are sometimes an issue, just to keep in mind.

Moving through the week, Tuesday the 18th offers a similar morning session with 8ft SW swell and glassy SSE wind again, but the morning is cross. The afternoon cleans up nicely. Still solid juice at 1849 (moderate to strong energy). Wednesday the 19th has building size – 8ft SW, and the morning is cross-shore, but the afternoon switches to a nice cross-offshore breeze from the WSW at 9 mph. That’ll carve up nice lines. By Thursday the 20th, things get heavy. The swell jumps to 12ft from the SSW. That’s a big boy size, with combined energy screaming at 4175 (very strong). The wind is light, but this is just too big for most. It’s expert-only territory and likely going to close out. Comes with a side of caution: it’s a beach setup, and long-period swells like this can straighten out, so you’re better off at a point or reef. Kite surfers might have a field day.

The following weekend on the 22nd, we drop back to a much friendlier 5ft SW swell, clean with a cross-offshore breeze, and the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s choppy and fat, but it’s rideable for intermediates. Solid enough for the average crew. Then Sunday the 23rd is a monster: 18ft from the SSW with a 15-second period. That’s 12121 (very strong energy). Wind is cross-off but that’s just colossal – expert-only and only if you’re a madman. Most of us are watching from the sand.

The following week from the 25th onward is a lot more moderate. Tuesday the 25th sees 6ft but with onshore wind and marginal conditions. Wednesday the 26th improves with a clean offshore breeze from the NNW at 12 mph, but the swell drops to 4ft from the SSE, so it’s small. Thursday and Friday are not great – cross-onshore winds and weak energy. Saturday the 29th picks up again with 7ft SW, cross-offshore wind, giving it a clean look with moderate energy around 1223. Sunday the 30th is a similar 6ft, clean. Decent fun but nothing mind-blowing. The end of the run on the 31st is another huge 12ft, but onshore winds ruin it.

If I’m picking one true standout, it’s Monday the 17th. Glassy, solid 8ft SW groundswell, long period, all for the experienced crew. The next best window is Wednesday the 19th or Saturday the 29th for the mid-range fun. Keep an eye on that water temp – it’s bloody cold.

Rusty out.

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