Keurbooms Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about Keurbooms over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a pretty wild ride ahead, with some serious power showing up, but the wind is going to be the big story – it's gonna mess with a lot of it. The first real standout is a short window that looks absolutely firing, so you’ll want to be locked in for that one.

The water temperature at Keurbooms is sitting at 59°, which is a whopping 5° colder than normal for this time of year. That’s a major cold snap, so a thick steamer is non-negotiable.

Tuesday the 1st is a write-off. The swell is pushing 8ft to 8ft from the SW, but the wind is cross-on, and the combined energy is already up there at 1556 (moderate to strong). It’s messy and marginal, not worth the paddle.

Wednesday the 2nd is the day. This is the standout of the whole outlook. We’ve got a solid 10ft SW swell with a 13-second period (that’s proper groundswell) rolling in, and the wind is light and onshore, but the report says wind and tide are favorable. The combined energy is absolutely pumping at 3119 (strong). Now, 10ft is big—this is expert territory. The long period means it’ll bend best around a point or reef, but for a beach break, it might be a bit too straight. However, for the experienced crew on bigger boards, this could be the session of the month. Crowds are sometimes an issue, so get in early.

Thursday the 3rd starts clean in the morning with a 6ft SW swell (13s) and a cross-off breeze from the W, which will groom it nicely. Combined energy is 1348 (moderate to strong). That morning looks excellent for experienced surfers. But hold onto your leash—the afternoon turns ugly fast. A 13ft S swell with a short 9-second period gets slammed by 40 km/h cross-on winds. That’s a full-on washing machine. Combined energy is 2266 (strong), but it’s pure chaos.

Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th are poor. The swell drops but the wind stays nasty from the ESE at 25-30 km/h, making everything lumpy and choppy. Not worth your time.

Sunday the 6th has to be mentioned, but only as a warning. A massive 12ft SSW swell with a 19-second period hits, and the combined energy is an enormous 8777 (very strong). That’s a lot of water moving, but it’s getting thrashed by 30 km/h cross-on winds. For paddle surfing, it’s a no-go. If you’ve got a kite, then this setup is much more interesting.

Monday the 7th sees a drop in swell to 6-6ft, but still with cross-on winds. Marginal at best, with combined energy between 1690 and 2867. Light winds mean small ripples, but it’s not clean.

Now we get a real treat. Tuesday the 8th through Wednesday the 9th is a beautiful, small window. On Tuesday, the morning has a 5ft E swell with a 10-second period and a clean cross-off breeze from the NNW. But the real magic is Tuesday afternoon: a 4ft E swell, glassy conditions (SE 5 km/h), and clean surf. Combined energy is only 528 (moderate), but it’s clean and fun for all levels. Wednesday morning is glassy again with a tiny 2ft swell, but the energy is low (149), so it’s more of a longboard or foiling session.

From Thursday the 10th onward, things get inconsistent and mostly average. Thursday afternoon has some potential with a 4ft SW swell and glassy conditions (combined energy 522). Monday the 14th afternoon also offers a chance at a glassy 4ft SW swell (704 combined energy). Wednesday the 16th morning and afternoon sees a clean 5ft SW swell (12s) with cross-off winds, and the afternoon session is rated excellent for experienced surfers (combined energy 1220).

The rest of the second week is a mix of onshore winds and small, weak swell. Combined energy drops below 200 often, and it’s just not going to be worth getting wet. There’s a solid gap of poor or marginal days from the 12th to the 14th morning.

In the end, if you’re an expert, Wednesday the 2nd is your absolute best bet for size and power. For everyone else, Tuesday the 8th afternoon and Wednesday the 9th morning are the cleanest, most fun waves on offer, even if they’re small.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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