Monwabisi Strand Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks at Monwabisi Strand.

Right off the bat, Friday the 10th through Sunday the 12th is a bit of a write-off. The swell is there, but it's an onshore and cross-shore mess. The wind is from the ESE or SE, which is a problem for this spot, and it's bringing in cross-chop. You might see some 7ft swell on Friday morning, but it’s not going to be clean. There’s a lot of energy in the water (1698), but it’s just not surfable in a way that’s fun. This is a beginner-friendly sandbar, and with the wind and chop, it’s just not worth it for a paddle.

We have a bit of a lull in the middle of the week. Monday the 13th starts with a glassy, 4ft swell from the SE, and the energy is way down (350). That’s a small, clean window, but it’s a short-lived one. By Tuesday, the swell drops to 2ft, and while it’s glassy, it’s just too small to get excited about. The energy is down to 69-83, which confirms it’s weak.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Wednesday the 15th is the first real standout. The tide works out and we get a glassy morning with a 2ft swell, but then the afternoon picks up. The wind goes glassy, and the swell jumps to 5ft from the SW with a long 15-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy (972), and the direction is right for Monwabisi. It’s clean, and the wave quality will be there for a solid session. That afternoon is the best on offer in the first week.

Thursday the 16th is still good, but the afternoon gets a bit of a cross-on breeze. The morning is still glassy with a 5ft SW swell (757), so if you can get out early, you’ll score.

The weekend of the 18th and 19th has some promise. The 18th is a bit windy from the E, but the 19th Sunday afternoon is a ripper. The wind swings to the N, going offshore, and the swell is 6ft from the SW (961). That’s clean, offshore, and a proper size. That’s your best bet for the second weekend.

Then we jump ahead to the 23rd and 24th, which is a long-range call. The 23rd Thursday afternoon has a clean 7ft SW swell (1543) with a gentle offshore breeze. That’s a solid, clean day for experienced surfers. But the 24th Friday is a different beast. The swell pulses up to 15ft and then 26ft, with very long period energy (8885, then 39752). That is massive, powerful, and way too big for this break. The forecast says it’s too big, and I agree. It’s a serious, gigantic swell that will turn the lineup into a washing machine. Only for the absolute experts, and even then, it’s questionable.

The water temperature is about average for this time of year, no big anomalies to report.

So, to sum it up: The real standout is the afternoon of Wednesday the 15th, with clean, glassy, 5ft SW groundswell. The second best is Sunday the 19th afternoon, with offshore wind and a solid 6ft swell. The long-range 23rd is promising, but the 24th is just too big. The rest of the time, it’s small, messy, or blown out.

Rusty.

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