Monwabisi Strand Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. This outlook for Monwabisi Strand is a bit of a mixed bag – a few promising windows in the short term, then a big, messy middle, and a glimmer of hope way out.

First up, the water temp is sitting about average for the time of year, so nothing to worry about there.

The standout session is Thursday morning, August 27th. We’ve got a clean 4 ft south swell with a solid 11-second period and moderate combined energy (555). The wind is a light NNW cross-off at 3 mph, which will keep the surf glassy and well-shaped. This is the best call of the whole forecast – clean, user-friendly waves for the dawn patrol.

Friday morning, August 28th, is worth a look too. Conditions are clean again with a light NNW cross-off, but the swell has dropped to 3 ft south at 11 seconds, with combined energy dropping to 322. Still a fun, small wave option for the log or a mid-length.

After that, things get messy. From Friday afternoon right through to the end of the first week, we’ve got onshore winds, choppy conditions, and a lot of poor surf. The swell picks up again around Sunday the 30th to 5 ft, but it’s onshore and messy. Not worth paddling out.

There’s a long gap of several days with no real recommendations. The next decent window shows up on Monday morning, August 31st, with a clean 4 ft south-west swell and a light cross-off from the NW at 6 mph. Good energy (352) and clean conditions, but it’s a smaller, more ordinary wave.

The swell starts to build fast on Tuesday, September 1st, hitting 6 ft in the morning and 7 ft in the afternoon – still clean with cross-off winds, but the combined energy jumps to 954 then 1395. This is getting into solid, punchy territory, but it’s still manageable for competent surfers.

Then from Wednesday, September 2nd, through to Friday, September 4th, we’ve got a full-on stormy period. The swell surges to 12 ft with onshore gales – that’s blown-out, messy, and dangerous for anyone but experts. The combined energy is over 2000 – extremely strong. This is more kite-surfing territory than paddle surfing.

Saturday, September 5th, is a weird one – the swell is still 12 ft, but the morning is glassy with a light WSW wind. The forecast says the wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is just too big for this break. That’s a miss for the paddle crew.

The following week cleans up a bit. Sunday, September 6th, has 8 ft SSE swell with a strong cross-off from the north – still big, but the wind helps. The swell slowly drops through Monday and Tuesday, with clean conditions and smaller, more manageable waves. By Wednesday, September 9th, it’s tiny – 1.0 ft to 4 ft – and not really worth chasing.

Overall, the best bet is Thursday morning, August 27th. After that, the window narrows. The long-range stuff around the first week of September is promising but uncertain – keep an eye on the forecasts.

Rusty.

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