Outer Pool surfForecast / Garden Route / South Africa

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 1 am Saturday 16 May 2026 SAST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Outer Pool surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Outer Pool sea temperature is
17.5° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outer Pool this week:

The surf forecast for Outer Pool over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (May 16) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Outer Pool in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (May 19) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Friday (May 22) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (SAST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Sat 16th May)4.5ft (1.4m) 12s
Best Surf11AM (Wed 20th May)8ft (2.5m) 8s
Most Powerful11PM (Tue 19th May)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outer Pool over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 15°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the E by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Thu afternoon, min 16°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Tue morning, calm by Tue night).

Saturday
16
Sunday
17
Monday
18
Tuesday
19
Wednesday
20
Thursday
21
Friday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
3
2
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
13
1.5
S
12
1.3
S
12
1.1
S
11
1
S
11
0.9
SW
13
1
SW
13
1.1
SW
14
2.5
SE
8
2.3
SE
8
2.5
SE
8
3
ESE
9
2.5
ESE
8
2.1
ESE
8
2.1
ESE
9
1.7
ESE
9
1.5
ESE
8
1.2
ESE
8
0.6
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
871
625
446
282
231
299
345
459
689
627
890
1225
1024
573
645
443
306
185
246
295
303
Wind (km/h)
15
E
10
E
5
NNW
5
SW
10
SSW
10
W
5
ENE
20
ESE
25
E
30
E
30
E
10
E
5
WNW
10
SSW
10
W
15
W
10
SSW
15
WNW
15
WSW
5
S
0
ENE
on
on
glassy
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
on
on
on
on
on
glassy
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
glassy
glassy
High Tide
3:21PM1.94m
3:36AM2.16m
4:05PM1.96m
4:19AM2.11m
4:49PM1.94m
5:04AM2.00m
5:36PM1.87m
5:52AM1.86m
6:28PM1.78m
6:45AM1.68m
7:27PM1.68m
7:47AM1.52m
8:37PM1.60m
Low Tide
9:11AM0.12m
9:18PM0.22m
9:51AM0.11m
10:00PM0.23m
10:32AM0.15m
10:44PM0.30m
11:15AM0.24m
11:32PM0.42m
12:00PM0.36m
00:27AM0.55m
12:52PM0.50m
1:37AM0.69m
1:57PM0.63m
3:11AM0.76m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
mod rain
light rain
thunderstorm
cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:16
7:18
7:18
7:18
7:20
7:20
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:37
5:36
5:35
5:35
5:34
5:34
6
1
3
1
Temp °C
17
18
18
20
20
17
19
19
18
17
17
17
19
19
17
18
20
19
19
19
17
15
16
18
19
18
17
20
18
15
13
14
13
19
18
17
16
19
18
17
18
18
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
S
12
1.5
S
12
1.3
S
12
1.1
S
11
1
S
11
0.9
SW
13
1
SW
13
1.1
SW
14
1.7
SSE
8
0.8
SW
13
0.8
SW
13
3
ESE
9
2.2
ESE
8
2.1
ESE
8
2.1
ESE
9
1.7
ESE
9
1.5
ESE
8
1.2
ESE
8
0.9
ESE
8
0.8
ESE
8
0.9
SSW
14
Energy kJ
871
625
446
282
231
299
345
459
336
246
208
1225
692
573
645
443
306
185
118
87
303
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
0.8
ESE
6
0.8
ESE
6
0.8
S
10
0.8
S
13
0.6
S
12
1
SW
13
0.4
SE
15
0.4
SSE
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SSE
12
0.7
SSE
12
0.6
SSE
11
0.6
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
13
0.5
SW
12
0.7
S
7
0.8
SSW
16
0.6
E
8
Energy kJ
827
563
224
49
45
135
212
103
326
54
71
136
94
119
90
118
147
71
43
295
44
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
ESE
5
0.7
SW
11
0.7
SW
13
0.6
ESE
6
0.5
E
6
0.6
S
6
0.3
SSE
11
0.4
SE
14
0.6
SSE
12
0.6
SW
12
0.5
SW
12
0.5
S
15
0.4
SSE
11
0.2
SSE
10
0.4
SSW
20
0.6
SSW
18
0.6
SSE
6
0.6
SSE
6
Energy kJ
24
119
166
32
21
31
25
54
104
93
69
109
38
11
127
246
31
27
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
E
3
0.6
ESE
7
2.5
SE
8
2.3
SE
8
2.5
SE
8
2.5
ESE
8
0.3
WSW
3
0.4
SW
4
0.5
WSW
4
0.4
WSW
5
Energy kJ
5
34
689
627
890
1024
2
3
12
8
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
3
3
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
60
60
0
0
0
0
0
60
60
60
60
23
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Garden Route
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
6
4
7
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
6
5
9
6
5
9
7
6
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Outer Pool Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outer Pool provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Outer Pool can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outer Pool surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outer Pool) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outer Pool may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Outer Pool is 2 km (1 miles) from the city of Mossel Bay. If you plan a holiday in Garden Route, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mossel Bay. Mossel Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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