Victoria Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks for Victoria Bay. It’s a mixed bag, to be honest. The bay is a reef and point set-up, and it’s exposed, so it catches a lot of what’s thrown at it. The water temp is running about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start. Nothing worth getting excited about for the first few days. It’s not flat, but the conditions are marginal, with a lumpy cross-onshore wind and the swell a bit all over the place. The combined energy is moderate though, around 1575 to 2175 on Wednesday. It’s just not clean.

Thursday rolls in with a bit more size, pushing 10ft on the morning, but the wind is cross and it’s messy. The energy is solid at 2830, but it’s not going to be pretty. Friday is similar, with 8ft to 10ft of SSW swell, but that cross-onshore wind keeps it from being any good. The energy is strong, around 3635 on Friday arvo, but it’s just not lining up.

Now, Saturday the 9th is where it gets interesting. The morning looks like the best of the run. We’ve got a 10ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and the wind is a cross-offshore breeze. It’s clean, and the energy is pumping at 3436. That’s a proper window. But don’t get too attached, because by the afternoon the wind screams around to the south at 25 mph, it’s onshore, and it’s raining heavy. That surf is done. Sunday and Monday are write-offs with strong onshore winds and poor, choppy conditions.

Tuesday the 12th sees the wind ease, but the swell drops and it’s still cross-onshore. The energy dips. Not great.

Then we get a real gem. Wednesday the 13th, early. The wind goes glassy, pure glass. The swell is a solid 6ft of SSW groundswell with a long 17-second period. The energy is strong at 2568. This is the standout. That long period will wrap beautifully around the point. It’s a classic Victoria Bay morning. The crowd factor is a bit of a concern, as it can get busy, but for that window, it’ll be worth it.

After that, the swell slowly fades through the rest of the week. The 14th has a glassy morning, but the swell is only 4ft. There’s a bit of a pulse again on Monday the 17th, with glassy conditions and the swell building to 7ft by the afternoon. That’s another good window, with clean conditions and a 13-second period. The energy is moderate at 1679. It’s a solid, fun option.

The final days of the outlook see the swell drop right off, down to under 3ft, and the energy weakens. It’s not flat, but it’s small and not really worth the paddle unless you’re desperate.

So, the best on offer is definitely Wednesday the 13th morning. That’s the one. The other standout is the Monday the 17th afternoon. Both have that clean, glassy feel and a decent SW swell. The rest is either too windy, too messy, or too small.

Rusty

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