Victoria Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for our stretch of coast here.

First up, we’ve got Victoria Bay, a reef and point set-up that’s very consistent and exposed to the south swell. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild there.

The opening window is shaping up nicely. Saturday morning, the 8th of August, we’ve got a 7ft SW swell with a 14-second period, which is a nice long groundswell. The wind is a light cross-shore, but the conditions are a bit touch-and-go with the tide. By Saturday afternoon, it gets better—that swell bumps up to 8ft, still from the SW, and it goes glassy. The wave energy is strong (2197), and it’s calling for excellent surf for experienced surfers. That’s our first real standout.

Sunday morning, the 9th, stays solid with a 8ft SW swell, 13-second period, and a clean offshore wind. The energy is still strong (2082). But Sunday afternoon turns nasty—wind swings onshore and gets strong, so it’s a write-off.

Monday and Tuesday are a mixed bag. The swell hangs around 7ft to 8ft, but the wind is mostly cross-shore or onshore, and the tide looks questionable. The energy is moderate to strong (from 1446 to 2638), but the conditions aren’t singing.

Now, keep your eyes on Wednesday morning, the 12th of August. It’s a 5ft SSW swell, but look at that period—20 seconds! That’s very long-period groundswell. The energy is very strong (3879), and the wind is a light cross-shore. It’s a bit of a tricky one; that long period will make it break a bit straight on the beach, but at a point or reef like Victoria Bay, it could be magic. The morning is marginal, but the score is decent.

The real gold comes on Thursday morning, the 13th of August. 6ft of SSW swell, 20-second period, and glassy conditions. The energy is pumping (3730), and it’s rated excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a standout session.

Friday morning, the 14th, is also a cracker—8ft of E swell, but with a short 9-second period, and glassy conditions. Energy is strong (2227). It’s good, but that short period means it won’t have the same power as the long-period days.

The weekend of the 15th and 16th is smaller. Saturday morning offers 5ft ESE swell with glassy conditions, but it’s lower energy. Sunday drops right off.

Then we’ve got a run of clean, glassy mornings from the 17th to the 20th of August. The swell is modest, around 5ft to 4ft, mostly from the SW or ESE, but with periods around 9 to 13 seconds. The energy is moderate (between 688 and 1010). These are clean, fun-size waves, but nothing to get too excited about.

Now, the big one. The 22nd of August, Saturday morning. A 12ft SW swell with a 12-second period. That’s big—over 8ft, so it’s for experts only. The wind is glassy, and the energy is very strong (3529). Saturday afternoon stays solid with offshore winds. This is a serious swell, a real standout, but it’s a long way off—over a week away—so keep an eye on it.

Sunday the 23rd backs off a bit to 8ft, still from the SW with a 14-second period, and clean offshore wind. That’s a great way to finish the run.

So, overall, the best waves are on the 13th and 22nd of August. The 13th has that long-period groundswell with glassy conditions, perfect for the point. The 22nd is a big, powerful swell, but only for the brave. Everything else is fun, clean, and smaller. The gap between the 16th and the 22nd is a bit of a lull, but there’s still rideable waves in there.

Rusty.

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