Surf Forecasts:
Victoria Bay surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with 3,541 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Victoria Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Victoria Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Victoria Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Victoria Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let's talk in feet and miles per hour. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at Victoria Bay. It’s a reef-and-point set-up, exposed to the south, and the next couple of weeks look pretty promising. Water temp is about 62°F, which is normal for this time of year.
The pattern starts hot. Sunday morning, July 5th, is glassy, dead calm, with a 5ft swell from the ESE, period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy is 842 (moderate). That’s a beautiful, clean start. Sunday afternoon stays glassy with 4ft swell. Monday, July 6th, shifts to a SW swell at 5ft, morning is still glassy, but the afternoon gets a cross-shore breeze, so it turns marginal.
Tuesday, July 7th, is a real standout. The morning is glassy with a 6ft swell from the SW, 12-second period, energy at 1030 (moderate to strong). The report says excellent conditions for experienced surfers, and I agree. Tuesday afternoon stays glassy with 6ft swell. This is the window to be out.
Wednesday, July 8th, has a 6ft swell with energy hitting 1578, but a cross-shore wind messes with the face. Thursday, July 9th, is another absolute beauty: 8ft of SSW swell, 14-second period, energy at 2909, and glassy conditions. This is expert-only, powerful groundswell, perfect for the point.
Friday, July 10th, gets big with 10ft swell, but the wind turns onshore and it gets choppy. Saturday, July 11th, morning is glassy again with 6ft swell, excellent for experienced surfers. Sunday, July 12th, has 4ft swell with a clean offshore NNW breeze in the morning, but afternoon is blown out. From Monday, July 13th to Wednesday, July 15th, it’s small – 3ft to 3ft – with weak energy and messy wind.
Then, Friday, July 17th, is a monster. The morning is glassy with an 8ft WSW swell. But the afternoon? 21ft of SW swell, 13-second period, and energy of 13,851. That is terrifyingly big, and the report says it’s too big for this break. Experts only, and even then, be very careful.
Saturday, July 18th, still has 12ft swell but fresh onshore wind by afternoon. Sunday, July 19th, has 7ft swell but cross-shore winds. The run finishes clean on Monday, July 20th, with a morning glass-off and 5ft SSW swell.
The best bets are Tuesday, July 7th (6ft, glassy) and Thursday, July 9th (8ft, glassy, expert power). And if you’re a pro, keep an eye on Friday, July 17th, but respect the 21ft.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 527 | 414 | 341 | 655 | 534 | 802 | 929 | 833 | 1280 | 1191 | 1828 | 1693 | 2904 | 2299 | 3541 | 2955 | 2676 | 1200 | 1001 | 653 | 524 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:59PM1.63m | 7:09AM1.45m | 7:42PM1.59m | 7:59AM1.37m | 8:35PM1.54m | 9:05AM1.28m | 9:45PM1.49m | 10:33AM1.25m | 11:09PM1.49m | 12:05PM1.30m | 00:31AM1.56m | 1:18PM1.42m | 1:38AM1.66m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:38PM0.30m | 1:12AM0.44m | 1:17PM0.37m | 2:02AM0.48m | 2:05PM0.45m | 3:04AM0.52m | 3:07PM0.53m | 4:22AM0.53m | 4:29PM0.58m | 5:49AM0.49m | 6:00PM0.55m | 7:05AM0.39m | 7:18PM0.44m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — |
 | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 |
| kJ | 527 | 414 | 341 | 655 | 534 | 802 | 929 | 833 | 1280 | 1191 | 1266 | 1693 | 2904 | 2299 | 3541 | 2955 | 2676 | 1200 | 1001 | 653 | 524 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | SW 9 | SW 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | E 11 | E 10 | SE 15 | SE 14 | — | — | SSE 7 | — | SE 6 |
| kJ | 118 | 79 | 181 | 207 | 149 | 95 | 90 | 57 | 218 | 364 | 708 | 649 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | — | — | 108 | — | 162 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 13 | WSW 10 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 10 | S 24 | S 22 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | SE 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 |
| kJ | 197 | 120 | 85 | 1 | 1 | 125 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 5 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 7 | E 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1828 | — | — | — | — | — | 73 | 368 | 238 | 352 | 120 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Garden Route | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Victoria Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Victoria Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Victoria Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Victoria Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Victoria Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Victoria Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Garden Route? If you are looking for accommodation near Victoria Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Garden Route, consider staying in George which is 15 km (9 miles) away. Other places in and around Garden Route where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mossel Bay which is 43 km (27 miles) away, Knysna, Oudtshoorn and Plettenberg Bay.
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