Victoria Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break it all down for Victoria Bay. This is a reef and point set-up that really lights up with a solid S to SSW swell, and there’s a proper run ahead. Water temp is 16°, right on average for this time of year.

The first real pulse lands Friday morning, the 14th. You’re looking at a clean 4ft SW swell, with a long 16-second period – that’s groundswell, smooth and lined up. Wind is a light N offshore, so the face will be glassy. The combined energy is 1227 (moderate), but it’s a wave for experienced surfers.

Friday afternoon fades with a cross-shore, and Saturday and Sunday are small and wind-affected, nothing worth paddling out for. Sunday afternoon goes glassy with a 3ft SW, but it’s weak. The whole stretch from Friday afternoon through Sunday is pretty blah.

Monday the 17th bumps up to 6ft SW, but the wind is messy. Tuesday the 18th morning is the first real highlight: 5ft SW, dead calm, glassy conditions. The reef will be clean and fun for intermediates, with 828 energy (moderate) giving enough push.

Then we get a big run from Wednesday the 19th, but most of it has cross-on wind. The absolute gem is Saturday afternoon, the 22nd of August. That’s a 13ft SW swell, period 13 seconds, and it’s glassy. The combined energy is 8418 (strong). This is exceptional, expert-only surf – huge, powerful, and clean. Beginners stay on the beach.

Sunday the 23rd stays big and glassy in the afternoon with 12ft SSW, also for experienced surfers. The swell stays solid through Monday and Tuesday, but winds turn. Tuesday afternoon gives a glassy 5ft from the ESE, but the period is short at 8 seconds – a weak pulse.

The second week looks good again. Wednesday the 26th has a 7ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period, going glassy in the afternoon. Energy is 2662 (strong) – powerful, well-shaped waves with long lulls. Perfect for the point. The 27th is glassy again with 6ft SW, and the 28th picks up with 8ft SW.

The big standout is Saturday morning, the 29th of August. We’re talking a massive 15ft SSW swell, period 15 seconds, with cross-shore wind that’s clean enough. Energy hits 8244 (strong). The afternoon gets choppy, so the morning is the window. Long-range, but looking promising.

Overall, the first few days are slow, then it fires from the 17th onward. The two best are Saturday 22nd afternoon (glassy, 13ft SW) and Saturday 29th morning (clean, 15ft SSW). The break is very consistent and crowds are possible on the good days. Some cross-on wind and short-period junk mess up a few days, but the quality sessions here are absolute gold.

Rusty.

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