Victoria Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Victoria Bay.

This is a fantastic run of surf for a spot that’s very consistent and exposed to the south. It’s a reef and point setup, so it handles a good mix of swell directions. The water temperature is sitting at 62°F with a 0.4°F anomaly, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. Nothing to worry about there.

The first real standout is on Sunday morning, 2 August. The swell is coming in at 6 ft from the ESE with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at 776. The wind is glassy, dead calm, making conditions absolutely perfect. It’s a bit of a smaller day, but for an intermediate, this is clean, fun, and workable. Crowds are possible here at times, so it’s worth getting in early.

Then, Monday morning, 3 August is a real gem. The swell bumps up to 6 ft from the ESE, but the period has stretched to 11 seconds, giving it way more push. The combined energy is strong at 1135. Glassy conditions again with a slight southerly breeze. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, and the longer period means better shaped waves and longer lulls between sets. That’s the pick of the early week.

The wave energy climbs significantly from Wednesday 5 August onwards, with a big shift to a southwest groundswell. On Wednesday afternoon, 5 August, we’re looking at 6 ft from the SW, a very long period of 16 seconds, and combined energy of 1850 – that’s strong. The wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’s a bit textured but still very rideable.

Thursday 6 August and Friday 7 August see the swell size pushing 8 ft to 8 ft from the SW, with periods of 13–14 seconds. The energy is very strong, with values over 2000. This is getting into the big stuff – definitely only for experienced surfers now. The wind stays cross-onshore, so it’s not glassy, but the power is there.

Saturday morning, 8 August is still a solid 7 ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, but the wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’s manageable. The afternoon, however, jumps to 12 ft from the SW – that’s huge, with energy at 3803. This is big, powerful, and only for the brave.

There’s a bit of a messy period from Sunday 9 August into Monday 10 August, with strong winds and dropping swell, so that’s a good time to sit it out.

Then the real monster shows up. From Tuesday 11 August through Wednesday 12 August, we’re looking at 16 ft to 18 ft swells from the SW, with periods of 13 seconds. The combined energy is off the charts – 7344 to 9121. This is very strong, extreme wave energy. The wind is cross-onshore and lumpy, so it’s going to be a washing machine. This is genuinely only for absolute experts, and even then, it’s hazardous. Might be more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

The following week settles down a bit. Friday morning, 14 August offers a clean 7 ft from the SE, with a 10-second period and a cross-off wind. That’s one of the better cleaner windows in the second week. And Sunday morning, 16 August brings a smaller 4 ft swell from the SW with a 13-second period and glassy conditions – a nice, clean, mellow morning for a session.

Overall, the best windows are Sunday 2 August morning, Monday 3 August morning, and then for experienced surfers, the big SW groundswell days from Wednesday 5 August through Saturday 8 August. The middle of the second week is a write-off with the huge storm surf, but the end of the period looks like it cleans up nicely.

Rusty.

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