Victoria Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's comin' our way for the next couple of weeks. It's all about Victoria Bay, and there are some proper windows of opportunity if you pick your moments.

We start off with a bang right on Monday morning, September 7th. The water temp is sitting at 60°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – a good couple of degrees off, so you'll want a decent suit. The swell's already here, solid at 6 ft from the SSW with a nice long 14-second period, shoving a heap of energy into the bay (1862). That, combined with glassy conditions and an offshore wind, makes for excellent, clean surf. This is a standout session for the experienced crew – the swell's a bit too chunky for beginners. The afternoon stays clean with a lighter 6 ft SSW swell, but that cross-on wind from the ESE will put a few ripples on the face.

Tuesday the 8th eases off. Morning sees a clean 5 ft swell from the east with glassy conditions again, but the period has dropped right off to 9 seconds, so it'll be a bit more of a bumpy, less powerful wave. Still very surfable, but not as good as Monday.

Wednesday the 9th is a small day. Swell drops to 2 ft in the morning with a cross-on wind making it pretty average. Afternoon cleans up with a cross-off breeze, but with only 3 ft of swell, it's a logger's special.

Now, hold onto your hats for Thursday the 10th. The morning is a bit average with a cross-shore wind on a solid 5 ft SSW groundswell (17 second period, 1869 energy). The setup is a little wonky. But the afternoon? That's the absolute pick of the window. It turns glassy, with a ramping 7 ft SSW swell packing 2307 energy and that long 16-second period. This is proper, powerful groundswell. At that size and with that juice, it's for the experienced surfer only. This is a serious standout, but it’s a long-period swell, so expect longer lulls between sets. The 7 ft height means it’s in the “experts only” zone.

Friday the 11th brings a bit of a letdown after that Thursday peak. Swell backs off to 5 ft from the SW with a cross-on wind making it a bit messy.

Saturday the 12th is a special one. The morning is dead flat calm, with a 6 ft swell from the ESE but a very short 8-second period. Despite the short period, the glassy conditions will make it look fun, though the energy (1114) is pretty moderate. The afternoon, however, is a gem. Glassy again, with a clean 5 ft SSW swell with a beautiful 14-second period and plenty of energy (1411). This is a fantastic, clean session for intermediates and above.

Sunday the 13th has some rain around, but the afternoon cleans up. A glass-off on a solid 5 ft SW swell with a 14-second period (1666 energy) makes it another excellent choice, though it's a step down from the Saturday afternoon perfection.

The following week starts to taper off and get messy. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th have some clean windows, but the swell is dropping. Tuesday afternoon, September 15th, is a nice little standout: clean conditions from an offshore wind, with a building 6 ft SSW swell and a long 16-second period (2214 energy). It’s a bit further out, but it looks promising.

But then things turn ugly. From Wednesday the 16th through to the end of the forecast, conditions go downhill fast. We get a massive 10 ft swell and strong winds, but the wind is cross-shore or onshore, making it a lumpy, messy mess. By Thursday and Friday the 17th and 18th, we’re looking at strong onshore winds (19-28 mph) and poor, bumpy conditions. It's not worth paddling out. The swell size is over 8 ft during this period, but with the atrocious wind, this is more of a kite-surfing setup than a place for a surfing.

So to wrap it up: the clear standouts are Monday afternoon, September 7th, for the first big glassy push, and Thursday afternoon, September 10th, for the biggest, cleanest groundswell of the run. Saturday the 12th afternoon is a close third for pure clean fun. Get on them while you can, because after the 15th, it's a washout.

Rusty.

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