Victoria Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.00° S 22.55° E

Victoria Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 26 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Victoria Bay sea temperature is
16.4° C
0.4° 

Victoria Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Victoria Bay surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 19s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with 6,630 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Victoria Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Victoria Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 1.1m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Victoria Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (SAST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Mon 27th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 12s
Best Surf 8AM (Sun 2nd Aug)6ft (1.9m) 19s
Most Powerful 8PM (Mon 27th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Victoria Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, grab your wetsuit, 'cause we've got a juicy one ahead. This isn't a quick session; this is a sixteen-day arc for the Bay, and it's got a bit of everything, from absolute glassy perfection to some proper groundswell monsters. We're looking at a solid run, so pick your days wisely.

The opening of the week on Monday the 27th isn't the best. We've got a solid 7ft swell from the SSW, but it's being blown out by strong onshore winds in the afternoon. It's a bit of a write-off for a clean surf, honestly.

Things start to turn the corner on Tuesday the 28th, but it's still a bit messy with cross-onshore winds. Wait for Wednesday the 29th morning. That's when the magic starts. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, and there's a clean 6ft SSW groundswell. The water temp feels pretty average for this time of year, so nothing shocking there. The energy is solid, sitting at 1384. This is the kind of morning you live for.

Thursday the 30th brings more of the same in the morning: another glassy session with a solid 5ft SSW swell. The wave energy is still there at 1005. It's clean, it's consistent, and the Bay will be working beautifully. Friday the 31st drops off a little, with a weaker SW swell and messy afternoon winds.

Now, look ahead. The real standout is Sunday the 2nd of August. Both the morning and afternoon are utterly pristine. Glassy conditions, a building swell hitting 7ft to 8ft from the SSW, and the energy is massive at 3222 to 3455. This is a true groundswell with a period of 17-18 seconds, which at a reef and point break like Victoria Bay, translates to long, grinding walls. It's not for beginners at that size, but for experienced surfers, this is a session to mark in your calendar.

The week that follows has a few more glassy mornings, particularly the 6th and 8th of August. On the 6th, we have a 8ft SW swell with glassy conditions, and on the 8th, it's an 8ft SW swell – again, glassy. That's some serious size for the experts, the kind that will barrel on the inside.

The very end of the period, around the 9th and 10th of August, shows a big shift. The swell swings to the ESE, and while it gets huge at 12ft, the quality drops off into a more choppy, wind-affected state. It's a different vibe altogether. For the first week, stick with the Wednesday, Thursday, and that absolute dream session on Sunday the 2nd.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Sun night, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
4
0
2
0
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
3
2
3
3
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
SW
13
2.2
SSW
16
3
SSW
18
3.5
SSW
16
2.3
SSW
15
2.3
SSW
14
2
SSW
14
1.7
SSW
13
1.6
SSW
13
1.6
SSW
13
1.5
SSW
13
1.5
SSW
13
1.4
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
2
ESE
8
1.9
ESE
8
1.9
ESE
9
1.8
ESE
9
0.9
SSW
21
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
951
2330
5536
5258
2207
2089
1487
1045
902
915
808
784
700
392
511
498
547
477
763
Wind (km/h)
20
W
10
WNW
20
SSE
25
ESE
20
E
30
ESE
10
NE
5
ENE
10
ENE
10
N
5
SSW
5
E
5
NNE
10
ESE
20
ESE
10
N
5
E
10
E
15
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross
off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
off
High Tide
2:29AM1.50m
2:58PM1.50m
3:03AM1.59m
3:29PM1.61m
3:34AM1.67m
3:58PM1.71m
4:03AM1.72m
4:27PM1.78m
4:32AM1.75m
4:55PM1.82m
5:01AM1.74m
5:23PM1.84m
Low Tide
8:26PM0.54m
8:50AM0.38m
9:01PM0.44m
9:20AM0.28m
9:32PM0.35m
9:47AM0.19m
10:02PM0.28m
10:14AM0.13m
10:31PM0.23m
10:41AM0.10m
11:01PM0.21m
11:08AM0.10m
11:31PM0.21m
clear
cloud
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:49
 mm
4
7
2
Temp °C
22
16
16
14
15
16
14
15
19
17
16
16
15
16
17
16
17
19
19
Feels °C
18
14
13
10
11
11
10
13
17
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
15
17
15
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Victoria Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Victoria Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Victoria Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Victoria Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Victoria Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Victoria Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Garden Route? If you are looking for accommodation near Victoria Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Garden Route, consider staying in George which is 15 km (9 miles) away. Other places in and around Garden Route where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mossel Bay which is 43 km (27 miles) away, Knysna, Oudtshoorn and Plettenberg Bay.

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