Surf Forecasts:
Victoria Bay surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with 7,800 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Victoria Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Victoria Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Victoria Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Victoria Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break it down. Rusty here.
First up, we’re talking Victoria Bay. It’s a reef and point break that loves a good S swell, and we’ve got a solid run of waves coming. Water temp is about 63°, which is normal for this time of year.
The forecast kicks off on Monday afternoon, July 20th. We’ve got a clean 4ft swell from the SE, period at 12 seconds, and the wind is glassy. That’s a nice, easy start. The combined energy is moderate at 733. Nothing huge, but clean.
Tuesday morning, July 21st, is a step up. Swell hits 7ft from the SSW, 14-second period, and it’s glassy offshore. That’s proper groundswell – energy reading of 1969 – and it’s going to be excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon gets a bit cross-on, but the morning is the pick.
Wednesday the 22nd is more average. Swell drops to 6ft, period back to 12 seconds, and the wind is cross-shore. Not terrible, but not the best.
Now, Thursday the 23rd is a real standout. Morning has 7ft from the SW, 11-second period, with cross-offshore wind. Clean. The afternoon is even better: 10ft from the SW, 11 seconds, cross-off wind. Combined energy is 3811 – strong. That’s a big, clean swell. Best of the first week.
Friday the 24th brings a big SW groundswell – 12ft at 16 seconds in the morning, energy of 5860. That’s a lot of water. But the wind is cross-on, so it’s lumpy. Only for experts.
Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th both have clean windows. Sunday morning especially – 6ft from the SW, 12 seconds, with offshore wind from the NW. Clean, glassy, energy at 996. Good for intermediates.
The second week gets mixed. Monday the 27th drops off, Tuesday the 28th is windy and lumpy – 22 mph cross-shore, not good.
But Wednesday the 29th morning is a nice one: 8ft from the SSW, 14-second period, cross-off wind, clean. Energy of 2888 – strong. Good for experienced surfers.
Thursday the 30th is glassy in the morning – 6ft from the SSW, 13 seconds, calm wind. Clean.
Now, the end of the run? Friday the 31st afternoon is a monster. 15ft from the SW, 16-second period, combined energy of 10658. That’s very strong. Light cross-on wind, so it’s big and powerful. Only for experts. Saturday August 1st is similar – 15ft from the SSW, 13 seconds, energy in the 7000s. Again, big and heavy.
Sunday August 2nd morning is glassy with 13ft from the S, 12 seconds, energy of 4107. Big, clean, but only for experts.
The standout? Thursday July 23rd afternoon – that 10ft SW swell with cross-off wind is going to be pumping and clean. And for the big wave crew, Friday July 31st afternoon.
Crowds at Victoria Bay can be a thing, so expect company on the good days.
There’s a gap at the start – no surf before Monday July 20th.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Sun morning, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 314 | 371 | 1647 | 2345 | 1634 | 1077 | 902 | 572 | 1019 | 2244 | 7800 | 5807 | 4152 | 2927 | 1787 | 1682 | 1236 | 977 | 945 | 833 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | off | off | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 7:55PM1.52m | 8:11AM1.26m | 8:44PM1.38m | 9:15AM1.15m | 9:54PM1.27m | 10:59AM1.10m | 11:34PM1.23m | 12:41PM1.15m | 00:56AM1.29m | 1:42PM1.26m | 1:49AM1.39m | 2:24PM1.38m | 2:29AM1.50m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:16AM0.56m | 2:09PM0.58m | 3:11AM0.67m | 3:06PM0.71m | 4:36AM0.73m | 4:44PM0.79m | 6:23AM0.70m | 6:37PM0.75m | 7:33AM0.61m | 7:43PM0.66m | 8:16AM0.50m | 8:26PM0.54m | ||||||||
 |  | | | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — |
 | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 26 | 27 | 18 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 22 | 25 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | ESE 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 314 | 341 | 1647 | 2345 | 1634 | 1077 | 902 | 572 | 1019 | 1464 | 7800 | 5807 | 4152 | 2927 | 1787 | 1682 | 1236 | 977 | 945 | 833 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SW 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | E 8 |
| kJ | 208 | 188 | 317 | 255 | 222 | 186 | 154 | 403 | 127 | 94 | 93 | 53 | 32 | 31 | 11 | 11 | 25 | 15 | 18 | 58 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | S 5 | — | — | ESE 4 | SSW 14 | ESE 13 | E 7 | S 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | S 16 |
| kJ | 211 | 371 | 5 | — | — | 3 | 213 | 142 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 4 | 4 | 132 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 4 | — | — | SW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 5 | — | — | W 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | 2244 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 46 | — | — | 9 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 20 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Garden Route | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Victoria Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Victoria Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Victoria Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Victoria Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Victoria Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Victoria Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Garden Route? If you are looking for accommodation near Victoria Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Garden Route, consider staying in George which is 15 km (9 miles) away. Other places in and around Garden Route where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mossel Bay which is 43 km (27 miles) away, Knysna, Oudtshoorn and Plettenberg Bay.
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