Surf Forecasts:
Victoria Bay surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with 3,150 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Victoria Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Victoria Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Victoria Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Victoria Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright, this is Rusty, checking in from the South African coast. We’ve got a solid run of surf ahead for Victoria Bay, so let’s get into it.
We’re kicking off this Sunday morning, the 12th of July, with a clean 5-foot SSW groundswell. The period is 11 seconds, giving it some nice push, and with glassy conditions from a light ESE breeze, the water is like a mirror. The combined energy is moderate (905). This is a good start for the weekend, with the swell direction right in the sweet spot for this exposed reef and point break. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Sunday afternoon sees the swell drop a touch to 5 feet, but the wind picks up and goes cross-on, making it a bit choppy. Not the best session.
Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th offer up some smaller, clean windows. Monday morning is glassy with 4 feet of SSW swell, and Tuesday afternoon has a glassy 5-foot ESE swell. These are fun, mellow sessions for the intermediate crew, but nothing to get too excited about.
Now, the real standout for the first week is Thursday the 16th. We’ve got a solid 8-foot SW groundswell rolling in with a very long 14-second period. The energy jumps up significantly (2337). The wind is glassy all day, so the waves will be absolutely perfect. This is a serious swell, over 8 feet, so this is for experienced surfers only. The combination of a long-period groundswell and a point break like Vic Bay is a dream. Expect clean, powerful, lined-up waves.
Friday the 17th gets bigger, hitting 10 feet from the SW, but the wind turns cross and cross-on, making it a bit of a mess. The energy is strong (2226-2308), but the quality drops. This is more of a challenge than a classic day.
We then have a bit of a lull in quality through the weekend and into Monday the 20th, with smaller, wind-affected waves. Tuesday the 21st is a write-off with strong cross-shore winds and rain. Not worth paddling out.
Looking into the second week, the real fireworks are set for Wednesday the 22nd through to Saturday the 25th of July. We’ve got a run of excellent, expert-level surf.
Wednesday the 22nd morning is a glassy 7-foot SSW groundswell with a 14-second period. Excellent conditions (2240 energy). Thursday the 23rd is a monster: a 10-foot SSW groundswell with a 15-second period (3611 energy). The wind is clean and cross-off in the morning, and glassy in the afternoon. This is the best on offer for the whole forecast. It’s massive, powerful, and clean. Experts only.
Friday the 24th is nearly as good, with an 8-foot SSW swell, 14-second period, and clean conditions (3785 energy). Saturday the 25th morning holds that 10-foot SSW swell with glassy conditions (3375 energy). The afternoon gets a fresh 19 mph offshore wind, which will groom the faces but make it tricky.
After that, the swell drops a bit on Sunday the 26th, and the wind picks up again, so the quality fades. The long-range standouts (Thursday the 23rd to Saturday the 25th) are the ones to circle on your calendar. They’re promising, but a week and a half out, we keep an eye on the forecast.
Remember, Vic Bay can get crowded, so get there early for the best of it.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Sat 18 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | E 9 | SSW 17 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSE 13 | S 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1208 | 534 | 444 | 339 | 260 | 237 | 240 | 211 | 416 | 248 | 169 | 528 | 2648 | 2252 | 1615 | 2840 | 2195 | 2268 | 2355 | 1026 | 1079 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:38AM1.66m | 2:17PM1.57m | 2:34AM1.76m | 3:07PM1.72m | 3:23AM1.84m | 3:53PM1.83m | 4:08AM1.87m | 4:36PM1.90m | 4:50AM1.84m | 5:17PM1.92m | 5:30AM1.77m | 5:57PM1.88m | 6:08AM1.66m | 6:36PM1.79m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:06AM0.26m | 8:21PM0.31m | 8:57AM0.15m | 9:15PM0.20m | 9:42AM0.06m | 10:03PM0.13m | 10:24AM0.01m | 10:48PM0.10m | 11:03AM0.02m | 11:30PM0.14m | 11:40AM0.07m | 00:11AM0.21m | 12:16PM0.16m | ||||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | |
 | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — |
 | 5:36 | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 18 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 12 |
| kJ | 1208 | 534 | 444 | 180 | 220 | 237 | 240 | 211 | 416 | 248 | 169 | 141 | 2648 | 2252 | 1615 | 1892 | 2195 | 2268 | 2355 | 686 | 1079 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SW 5 | SSW 17 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 18 | SSE 13 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 12 | 153 | 169 | 339 | 260 | 157 | 120 | 76 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 528 | 110 | 85 | 67 | 69 | 31 | 32 | 123 | 1026 | 965 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | W 12 | SSW 16 | W 11 | SSE 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 9 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | S 20 | E 10 | SW 11 | — |
| kJ | 12 | 3 | 25 | 2 | 12 | 82 | 98 | 85 | 33 | 39 | 72 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 31 | 309 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 4 | SW 5 | — | — | — | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | E 5 | ESE 6 |
| kJ | — | 215 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 25 | — | — | — | — | 2840 | — | — | — | 77 | 148 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Garden Route | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Victoria Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Victoria Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Victoria Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Victoria Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Victoria Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Victoria Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Garden Route? If you are looking for accommodation near Victoria Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Garden Route, consider staying in George which is 15 km (9 miles) away. Other places in and around Garden Route where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mossel Bay which is 43 km (27 miles) away, Knysna, Oudtshoorn and Plettenberg Bay.
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