Victoria Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a classic setup on the cards. The swell energy is going to be a real talking point over the next fortnight, with some serious grunt coming through at times. The water temp is sitting at 61.3°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no need to worry about a spring suit or a thick winter one.

We kick things off proper on Thursday the 10th. It’s not a total loss, but it’s a bit messy. The swell is coming in from the SW at 6.2 ft, with a long 16-second period, that’s a proper groundswell. The energy is strong (1823), but the wind is a cross-shore breeze from the SW at 6 mph. It’s not clean, just marginal. The afternoon stays similar, a touch smaller at 5.9 ft, and the same cross-shore wind. It’s a day to have a paddle, but not a standout.

Friday the 11th is a bit of a write-off. The swell drops to 4.3 ft, and the wind swings SE, going onshore in the morning and cross-onshore in the afternoon, making it choppy. Not worth a special trip.

Saturday the 12th starts with some promise. The swell pushes back up to 4.6 ft from the SW with a long 15-second period, and the energy is solid (1154). The wind is a light cross-onshore at 3 mph, so it’s not perfect, but it’s workable. Then the afternoon turns ugly. The wind picks up to 15 mph from the SE, making it a choppy, cross-onshore mess. The swell jumps to 6.2 ft, but it’s not worth paddling for.

Sunday the 13th is another day of strong wind and lumpy conditions. The swell is 6.2 ft in the morning, but that 15 mph cross-onshore wind from the E makes it poor. The afternoon sees a big jump in swell to 11.5 ft, but it’s from the ESE with a short 8-second period and a cross-onshore wind. That’s a kite surfer’s wave, not a paddle surfer’s.

Now, Monday the 14th is the first real standout. The morning is going to be magic. The swell is 7.5 ft from the ESE, with a 10-second period. The energy is solid (1415). But the real story is the wind. It’s glassy, absolute glass. That’s a rare treat. The waves are going to be clean and lined up, but that 7.5 ft is getting into the territory for experienced surfers only. The afternoon holds the same glassy conditions, with the swell at 6.2 ft, which is a bit more manageable for the strong intermediate crew.

Tuesday the 15th is a nice little runner-up. The morning is glassy again, with a clean 4.9 ft swell from the E. The period is 11 seconds, so it’s got a bit of weight. The water will be smooth as silk. The afternoon is a strange one – a 3.3 ft swell from the SSW with a very long 19-second period. That’s a lot of energy (1250) for a small wave, but it’s an onshore wind, so it’s a marginal call.

We’ve got a bit of a lull in the middle of the week, but Wednesday the 16th is a big one for the experienced crew. The morning sees a solid 9.8 ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and the energy is pumping (3394). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the WNW at 6 mph, keeping it clean. That’s a powerful, long-period groundswell, and it’s going to be excellent for the reef and point setup here. The afternoon is smaller at 5.9 ft, but still clean with a cross-offshore wind.

Thursday the 17th is another good one for the morning. Glassy conditions with a 6.9 ft SW swell, 12-second period, and strong energy (2138). It’s clean, powerful, and a great option for the experienced surfer. The afternoon goes cross-onshore, so it’s a morning mission.

The next week starts to get a bit more interesting. Saturday the 20th has a clean morning with a 5.9 ft ESE swell, a 12-second period, and a light cross-offshore wind. Solid energy (1991) and good conditions. The following Monday the 21st is another big swell event. The morning is a massive 11.5 ft from the SSW, with a 16-second period and the energy is huge (5889). The wind is a cross-shore, so it’s a bit lumpy, but that’s a lot of power. It’s only for the brave.

The last real standout comes on Wednesday the 23rd. The wind is a solid offshore from the N at 12 mph, and the swell is 5.9 ft from the SSW. It’s a moderate wind, but it’s clean, offshore, and the waves are going to be well

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