Surf Forecasts:
Victoria Bay surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with 6,587 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Victoria Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Victoria Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 1.1m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Victoria Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Victoria Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s look at what’s coming up for the Garden Route.
We’ve got a solid run of surf, but the wind is gonna be the big boss here. The best days are the ones where the breeze drops or goes offshore.
Kicking off Tuesday the 21st, the morning’s glassy. Swell’s a solid 7ft from the SSW with a 14-second period – that’s a nice, long groundswell. The wave energy is pumping at 1966 (moderate to strong). This is excellent for experienced surfers. The Vic Bay reef and point will handle that long period well, giving you proper lined-up waves. The wind is a light SSE at 5 mph, so it’s dead glass. Water temp is about average for the year. Good session, but not the best of the run.
The real standout? Look at Friday the 31st of July. The morning is clean with a gentle offshore breeze from the NNW at 15 mph. That’s the magic wind for Vic Bay. Swell is 6ft from the SSW, period at 13 seconds, and the combined energy is 1705 (moderate to strong). The forecast says “excellent surf conditions,” and with that offshore wind, it’s going to be a treat. The waves will be clean, hollow, and well-shaped. That’s the session you want.
A bit further out, but worth noting, is the weekend of the 1st and 2nd of August. Saturday morning has a 6ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period (energy at 1963) and a light cross-offshore wind. Sunday is glassy all day, with a 6ft SW swell (14 seconds, energy 1495) – both mornings offer “excellent surf conditions.” It’s a bit of a wait, but the long-range signs are promising for those clean, glassy windows.
Through the middle of the week, the wind turns more cross or cross-onshore, so the surf will be a bit bumpy and harder to find a clean face. The swell stays in the 7ft to 10ft range, but it’s messy. Thursday the 23rd afternoon, for example, has a 10ft SW swell with a 20 mph cross-shore wind – that’s going to be a choppy, powerful mess. Not one for a casual paddle.
The water temperature is about average for the season, so you’ll be fine in a decent wetsuit.
So, the best of the best is that Friday morning, the 31st of July, with the offshore wind and a solid groundswell. The glassy mornings on the 1st and 2nd of August are also very strong contenders. Don’t miss those.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 25°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 371 | 1647 | 2345 | 1634 | 1010 | 902 | 528 | 1323 | 2116 | 4304 | 5516 | 3866 | 2518 | 2029 | 1753 | 933 | 822 | 1064 | 910 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:11AM1.26m | 8:44PM1.38m | 9:15AM1.15m | 9:54PM1.27m | 10:59AM1.10m | 11:34PM1.23m | 12:41PM1.15m | 00:56AM1.29m | 1:42PM1.26m | 1:49AM1.39m | 2:24PM1.38m | 2:29AM1.50m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:16AM0.56m | 2:09PM0.58m | 3:11AM0.67m | 3:06PM0.71m | 4:36AM0.73m | 4:44PM0.79m | 6:23AM0.70m | 6:37PM0.75m | 7:33AM0.61m | 7:43PM0.66m | 8:16AM0.50m | 8:26PM0.54m | |||||||
 |  | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — |
 | 5:40 | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 25 | 24 | 16 |
Feels °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 22 | 22 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 341 | 1647 | 2345 | 1634 | 1010 | 902 | 528 | 1323 | 1849 | 4304 | 5516 | 3866 | 2518 | 2029 | 1753 | 933 | 822 | 1064 | 910 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSW 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | SW 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 5 | SSW 16 | ESE 5 | E 7 |
| kJ | 217 | 317 | 255 | 222 | 186 | 154 | 492 | 127 | 94 | 1278 | 52 | 49 | 31 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 253 | 11 | 27 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | S 5 | — | — | — | SSW 14 | ESE 13 | — | S 22 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | ESE 5 | E 10 | S 20 |
| kJ | 371 | 2 | — | — | — | 213 | 145 | — | 9 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | 53 | 22 | 2 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 3 | SW 5 | — | — | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 5 | — | — | W 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 3 | 31 | — | — | 2116 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43 | — | — | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 0 | 20 | 43 | 1 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Garden Route | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Victoria Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Victoria Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Victoria Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Victoria Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Victoria Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Victoria Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Garden Route? If you are looking for accommodation near Victoria Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Garden Route, consider staying in George which is 15 km (9 miles) away. Other places in and around Garden Route where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mossel Bay which is 43 km (27 miles) away, Knysna, Oudtshoorn and Plettenberg Bay.
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