Danger Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. Short answer? It’s a rough start, and you’ll have to sit on your hands for a while. We’re looking at a long dry spell before anything worth paddling out for shows up, so patience is the name of the game here.

The first real chance of a wave comes in on Sunday, 13 September, but even then it’s a marginal call. The swell is up around 6 ft from the SW with a solid 14-second period, so there’s some decent energy in the water (combined energy value of 1748). But with a fresh onshore wind from the ESE, it’s never going to be clean. The break itself, Danger Reef, is a reef setup exposed to swell, best from the SE, so the SW direction isn’t ideal. It’s a fairly consistent spot that can handle a crowd, and crowds are possible here. Honestly, this one’s more about hope than a plan.

Things don’t get any better through the week. The wind stays onshore and the swell jumps up over 8 ft from Tuesday, 16 September onwards. That’s expert-only territory, and with those winds, it’s going to be a mess. Not your day.

But then, hold onto your board – there’s a genuine standout on Saturday, 19 September. The morning session is looking like the best of the whole run. We’ve got a 4 ft swell from the SW, and the wind is glassy – as in, almost dead calm, just a slight air. The combined energy is moderate (429), but the clean conditions will make every wave count. Still pretty small for the experts, but for the intermediate crew, it’s a gem. Crowds are possible, so get there early.

The following Monday, 21 September, also shapes up well. Another glassy morning, with a 4 ft SW swell, 14-second period (combined energy 583). That’s more solid, long-period groundswell that will wrap nicely into the reef. Again, it’s a small-scale session, but with those clean, glassy conditions, it’s a proper treat.

After that, the wind shifts back onshore and the swell drops off again. Winds become strong onshore around 28 mph by Tuesday, 22 September, with a short-period, choppy SSE swell – not worth the drive.

There is a flicker of hope further out on Thursday, 24 September. The morning offers a 5 ft SW swell and gentle offshore winds from the NNW. Combined energy is moderate (862), but the offshore breeze will groom it into clean lines. The afternoon holds similar: 5 ft from the SW with moderate offshore winds. It’s not massive, but it’s clean and surfable. That’s your second half of the month highlight if the earlier windows don’t work.

The last few days of the forecast – Saturday, 26 September – see a bump in size again with 8 ft to 8 ft from the SSE, short period around 10 seconds. But the wind is cross-shore and messy. For a reef break, that’s not ideal – this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Water temperature is sitting at 60°F, which is only 0.5°F cooler than average for this time of year – nothing unusual, just your typical cool water.

So, to wrap it up: the standout is Saturday, 19 September morning – glassy, small, clean. The Monday 21 September morning is a close second. Thursday 24 September offers the best chance for a slightly bigger, clean session later on. The rest? A whole lot of waiting.

Rusty.

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