Ilot Sancho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up over the next couple of weeks. We’re looking at a spot that’s exposed and can handle a lot, but for the first week, it’s mostly a write-off unless you’re desperate.

Right now, we’ve got a serious pulse of energy, but it’s messy. Tuesday morning, the 15th, we’re seeing a solid 10ft swell out of the SSE, but a strong cross-shore wind from the SE at 25 mph is just tearing it up. The combined energy is way up there at (2505), but it’s poor. Don’t bother. That afternoon, the wind eases a little, but we’re still in the cross-chop.

Wednesday the 16th is where things get interesting, but only for the bold. The swell is building, hitting 12ft from the S in the afternoon with a long period of 15 seconds (groundswell energy at 4979). That’s too big for beginners, but for an experienced surfer, the wind is cross-shore and the tide is favourable. It’s a standout for the first week. That said, it’s a reef break, so that long period will push through nicely, but watch out for size.

Thursday the 17th drops back a bit. The morning is still bumpy, but by the afternoon we get clean conditions with cross-off wind and a 7ft swell from the ESE (energy 2103). It’s marginal, but cleaner.

After that, from Friday the 18th right through to the end of the first week, it’s all marginal or poor. Small mixed swells, periods all over the place. You’ll be scratching around for anything rideable. There’s about five or six days there with hardly a true recommendation.

Now, the second week starts to build again. Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd have clean mornings with cross-off winds and a 4ft swell from the SSW. Not huge, but clean. Conditions stay tidy through Wednesday the 23rd, with a 5ft SSW groundswell. The water temp is sitting around 76°, which is a touch warmer than average for the time of year. Makes the morning paddle a little more pleasant.

The real buzz is building for Thursday the 24th. We’ve got a clean morning with a gentle breeze and a 7ft SSW groundswell holding a super long 18-second period. The combined energy is pumping at (3017). That’s a standout for the second week. It’s a proper groundswell, so on this reef setup, it’s going to hold its shape and run nicely.

Over the weekend of the 27th and 28th, we see another spike. Sunday the 27th has a 10ft SSW swell, clean in the morning, but that’s expert territory. Monday the 28th is the real gem though. Light breeze, clean cross-off wind, and a 6ft SSW groundswell at 14 seconds. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers, and the energy (1833) is solid. That’s your best day for a good session without it being a washing machine.

Crowds are a factor here sometimes, so on the standouts, expect company.

Overall, the first week is a struggle with only Wednesday the 16th afternoon as a big-wave standout for the experienced. The second week shapes up much better, with Thursday the 24th and Monday the 28th being the real highlights. Mark those in the calendar.

Rusty.

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