Ilot Sancho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into what's cookin' at Ilot Sancho over the next couple of weeks.

We’re looking at a quiet start, but there’s a bit of a wait before things really turn on. The first decent swells roll in this Saturday, July 4th. For the first few days, conditions are a bit of a mixed bag. Saturday the 4th afternoon is a standout with a clean 5.2ft SSW groundswell, a long 13-second period, and a light east cross-offshore breeze. The water's sitting at 77.5°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined swell energy is a solid one-one-nine-four (1194), so plenty of push for an intermediate surfer.

Sunday the 5th is a step down. The morning is a bit messy with a cross-shore wind, and the afternoon gets choppier as the wind picks up. Then from Monday the 6th through to Wednesday the 8th, the wind starts howling. It gets proper messy with strong winds and the swell jumps up. By Wednesday morning, the swell is a thumping 11.5ft, but it's coming from the SE with a short 9-second period, and the winds are strong and cross-shore. It's just too big and ugly for most, even for experienced crew. Honestly, this stretch looks more suited to kite surfing than paddle surfing with that wind and chop.

We get a small reprieve on Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th with cleaner conditions, but the swell drops away to marginal, knee-high stuff. The real return to form comes on Saturday July 11th. That morning, we’ve got a clean 4.6ft SW groundswell with a solid 14-second period and a light east breeze. The swell energy is up at one-four-seven-five (1475). It's not huge, but it's well-shaped and clean. Then again on Sunday July 12th morning, there's a bigger push of 8.2ft SW swell with a very long 15-second period, which is a proper groundswell. The energy is massive at three-five-one-seven (3517). But here's the thing with that long period at a reef break like Ilot Sancho – it’ll produce some beautiful, long lines, but it might also make it a bit tricky if you're not used to the lulls. The wind is light, so the surface should be glassy, and it'll be a good one for the experienced crew. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so keep an eye out.

After that, things get a bit lumpy again through mid-week with cross-onshore winds and dropping swell quality. The following weekend, July 18th and 19th, looks pretty flat and weak, with small, weak swells and messy winds. So to sum it up, your golden tickets are Saturday July 4th afternoon for a clean, fun session, and the morning of Saturday July 11th for well-shaped waves. The absolute best bet, if you can handle the size and the lulls, is Sunday July 12th morning when that big, clean SW groundswell hits – just be ready for some power.

Stay safe out there.

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