Ilot Sancho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's take a look at what’s coming our way for Ilot Sancho.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you—this isn't a week to get excited about. The next few days are rough. We’ve got a lot of cross-shore wind, messy conditions, and honestly, not much worth paddling out for until we get further into the forecast.

Things kick off on Monday the 14th with a moderate cross-onshore breeze and a weak 6 ft SSW swell, but the wind is just chopping it up. The combined energy is moderate at 1049, but the quality isn’t there. Tuesday the 15th sees a jump in size with a 10 ft SE swell, but the period is a short 8 seconds and the wind is a strong 25 mph cross—this is messy, lumpy, and honestly more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session. The combined energy jumps to a strong 2424, but that’s all wind and chop.

By Wednesday the 16th, we still have solid 10 ft SSW swell, but again, strong cross-shore winds and rain showers are spoiling it. The energy is very strong at 6471 in the morning, but the quality is marginal at best. This trend continues through Thursday and Friday—waves in the 5 ft to 7 ft range, but with fresh cross-shore winds keeping things lumpy and uninviting. The combined energy drops back to moderate levels (835–2035), but the wind is the main story here.

The weekend of the 19th and 20th is pretty flat and poor—small 3 ft to 5 ft swells, still with moderate to fresh cross-shore winds. The combined energy stays under 1015, so nothing to get excited about.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Starting Monday the 21st, the wind shifts to a cross-offshore direction, and the conditions start cleaning up. Monday morning sees a 4 ft SW swell with a 13-second period, light cross-offshore breeze, and clean conditions. The combined energy is moderate at 1050, but the quality is way better. Monday afternoon picks up a 7 ft ESE swell (short period at 8 seconds), but still clean. This is the first real window of decent surf.

The standout window, though, is Wednesday the 23rd through Thursday the 24th. Wednesday morning has a 4 ft SSW swell with a long 15-second period, a gentle cross-offshore breeze, and clean conditions. The combined energy is moderate at 1036. But the real gem is Thursday the 24th afternoon: a 3 ft SSW swell with a very long 17-second period, light cross-offshore breeze, and clean as glass. The combined energy is moderate at 1035, but the forecast calls for excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers. This is a groundswell with serious travel—long-period energy like that will wrap nicely around the reef at Ilot Sancho. The water temperature is about 76°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable out there.

Friday the 25th sees a return to bigger 6 ft SW swell, but the wind swings back cross-onshore in the afternoon, spoiling it. The weekend of the 26th and 27th has more solid SSW swell (5 ft to 8 ft), with moderate cross-shore winds and rain showers at times. The combined energy is strong (1996–2590), but the wind keeps the quality marginal. The morning of Sunday the 27th looks the best of that stretch, with clean conditions and an 8 ft SSW swell—that’s expert-level size, but the period is a solid 14 seconds, so there’s power there.

After that, we taper off into the end of the month with smaller, weaker swells and moderate cross-shore winds. Nothing worth planning your week around.

So, if you’re waiting for a good wave, hold out for Thursday the 24th afternoon—that’s your best bet. Clean, long-period groundswell, light winds, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The rest of the week is either too windy, too messy, or too small. Keep an eye on the forecasts, though—things can change.

Rusty.

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