Ilot Sancho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Ilot Sancho (reef). The water is sitting at 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing extreme, just a little extra warmth in the water.

Right now, there’s really nothing to get excited about. The week starts off pretty flat and messy. Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th are a write-off – small, weak, short-period windswell with a lot of cross-shore chop. The combined energy is weak, sitting around 874 to 538, and the wave comment says it’s marginal. Not worth paddling out.

Things start to show a little promise on Friday the 21st. Swell direction shifts to the SW, and the period bumps up to 14 seconds – that’s groundswell, with more shape and energy. The combined energy climbs to 963, and the morning is clean with a light cross-off breeze. Still not a standout, but you can feel the change coming.

Saturday the 22nd is where it starts to get interesting. The morning is clean, with 5ft of SW groundswell at 14 seconds, and a gentle cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate (935). But the real highlight is Saturday afternoon: 6ft SW swell, period still 14 seconds, clean conditions with a light breeze, and the combined energy jumps to 1073. The wave comment says excellent surf for experienced surfers. This is the first proper call of the forecast.

Sunday the 23rd morning is the standout. 8ft SSW swell, 14-second period, light offshore breeze, and the energy is strong at 2515. That’s a solid, powerful reef wave. The wave comment says excellent for experienced surfers, and with the wind clean, this is the best session on offer. This is where you want to be.

Monday the 24th holds similar size – 8ft SSW – but the wind turns more cross-shore in the afternoon, bringing a slight chop. The morning is still clean, though, and the energy is very strong (2821). For experienced surfers, this is another good morning.

Tuesday the 25th eases a bit to 7ft in the morning, but the afternoon is the real gem: 6ft SSW, period 12 seconds, clean cross-off breeze, and the wave comment says excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is moderate (1192), but the quality is there.

After that, a long gap of poor conditions sets in. From Wednesday the 26th all the way through to the end of August, the wind picks up hard. Strong to fresh breezes from the SE and ESE, cross-shore and messy. By Thursday the 27th, the swell is huge – 13ft to 15ft – but the wind is howling, and the wave comment is “poor surf conditions.” The energy is massive (12398), but it’s a washing machine. This is more kite-surf territory than paddle surfing. The swell stays big and lumpy through the 30th, with energy dropping from 11520 to 1243, but the wind never lets up.

A brief window on the 31st and into September shows 8ft ESE windswell with short 8-9 second periods and moderate cross-shore winds. The combined energy is moderate (1257 to 1816), but the wave quality is marginal. Nothing to plan a trip around.

Then on Thursday the 3rd of September, we see a late shift: 5ft SSW groundswell at 16 seconds, with a clean cross-off breeze and energy of 2268. That’s a promising long-range signal, but it’s a long way out and uncertain.

So, the standout is Sunday the 23rd morning – 8ft SSW groundswell, clean offshore, powerful energy. Best waves of the forecast. If you’re an experienced surfer, that’s your window.

Rusty.

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