Ilot Sancho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer at Ilot Sancho.

First thing you need to know – the water is running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 76.3°F.

Right now, the outlook is a bit of a slow burn. We’ve got some swell showing up from Saturday the 8th, but honestly, it’s not really worth paddling out for. The wind is a fresh cross-shore, and the waves are all lumpy and messy. The energy is there, but it’s not doing us any favours – the combined energy is sitting at 2018 (moderate wave energy), but the quality is just not there.

Come Sunday the 9th, we see a jump in height to 7.5ft, but it’s a short period ESE windswell at 8 seconds. The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean, but that short period means the waves are going to be a bit fat and weak. The energy is moderate (1427). Still not a standout.

Monday the 10th picks up a bit more. The swell pushes to 8.2ft in the morning and 9.8ft in the afternoon, with a 9-second period from the ESE. The wind is cross-off, keeping it clean. The energy is climbing – 1875 in the morning, 2203 in the afternoon (moderate wave energy). The swell is getting big, but it’s still short period, so it’s going to be a bit of a wall. Not the best shape.

Tuesday the 11th is a similar story – 7.8ft to 7.2ft, 10-second period, but the wind goes cross-shore, so it’s a bit lumpy again. The energy is moderate (1895 to 1663).

Then Wednesday the 12th, the wind drops to a gentle breeze from the east, cross-off, and the swell is 6.9ft with an 11-second period. The energy is 1648 (moderate). This is the first time things look a bit more promising – that longer period should give the waves some shape and a bit more punch. But it’s not a full-on standout.

Thursday the 13th, the wind turns cross-on, and the swell drops to 5.9ft – back to choppy and not great.

Friday the 14th, the swell builds again, but the wind is messy. The afternoon sees a jump to 7.5ft with a 10-second period from the SSW, and the energy jumps to 2845 (strong wave energy). But the wind is a moderate cross-shore, so it’s lumpy.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday the 15th of August is the one to circle. The morning has 8.2ft swell from the south with a *very long* 19-second period. The energy is 6468 (strong wave energy). The wind is cross-shore, so it’s not perfect, but the size and period are there. But the afternoon is the real standout – 13.1ft from the SSW with a 19-second period, and the energy is a massive 11871 (very strong wave energy). The file says the wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s expert territory only. This is the best on offer, no question.

Sunday the 16th, it’s still big – 11.5ft in the morning, 9.8ft in the afternoon, with a 16-second period. The energy is still very strong (6490 to 4816). Again, too big for most, and the wind is cross-shore, but the power is there. Only for the experienced.

After that, it starts to drop. Monday the 17th, the swell is 5.6ft with a 15-second period, and the wind is cross-off, clean. The energy is 2325 (strong wave energy). This is a good, solid option, but not the standout.

Tuesday the 18th, the morning looks excellent for experienced surfers – 4.3ft, 13-second period, gentle cross-off breeze. The energy is 1519 (moderate wave energy). Clean, lined up, but it’s a small swell.

The rest of the week into the 20th and 21st, the swell stays around 6.5ft to 7.8ft, but the period drops to 8-9 seconds, and the wind is fresh and cross-shore, so it’s messy and lumpy. Not worth the effort.

Then Saturday the 22nd of August morning – the wind is a gentle breeze from the east, cross-off, and the swell is 7.8ft from the ESE with an 8-second period. The energy is 1182 (moderate wave energy). The file says excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The short period means it’s a bit of a wall, but the clean wind and the size make it a good option for the more experienced.

Sunday the 23rd of

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