Ilot Sancho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve been looking over the numbers for Ilot Sancho. This is a reef setup that’s fairly consistent, and it’s got a decent run of swell coming through. The water is sitting at 77°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus.

We’ve got a fair bit of energy on the way, but it’s not all clean. The standout session is Wednesday morning, July 29th. We’re looking at a 8ft SSW groundswell with a solid 14-second period, and the wind is a gentle easterly breeze, blowing cross-offshore. That’s going to be clean, powerful, and lined up. The combined energy is a strong 2437, so there’s plenty of push. This is for experienced surfers only – that size is no joke. The crowds are sometimes a problem here, but on a Wednesday morning you might get a bit of a window.

Friday, July 31st, is another good shout. Both morning and afternoon have clean cross-off winds and a 6ft SW swell with a 16-second period. The energy is solid at 1938 and 1830. It’s slightly smaller than Wednesday, so it’s a bit more manageable, but still a serious wave.

From Saturday, August 1st, through to Monday, August 3rd, the swell stays in the 6ft to 7ft range, but the wind is picking up to a moderate to fresh breeze. It’s still cross-off, so it’s clean, but it’s a bit wind-affected. The period drops to 9 seconds on the 3rd, which makes it more of a windswell, and the energy dips to 1994. It’s surfable, but not the best of the run.

The second week, from August 4th onwards, gets a bit trickier. The wind picks up even more, with fresh breezes from the east at 19 to 22 mph. The swell is still around 5ft to 7ft, but the period is often short, around 8 to 10 seconds. The energy is moderate to strong, but the short period and the strong wind mean the waves are going to be lumpy and chopped up. The 5th and 6th of August have a longer period SSW swell at 18 and 16 seconds, with strong energy (2644 and 2761), but the wind is still a fresh breeze, so it’s messy. The 10th and 11th of August see a big jump in size, with 10ft on the 10th afternoon and 7ft to 10ft on the 11th, but the wind is cross-shore and the period is short, so it’s a big, messy, dangerous wave. The 12th of August is the same story – 10ft, short period, and fresh cross-shore wind. That’s kite territory, not paddle.

So, overall, the best of the lot is Wednesday morning, July 29th, with Friday, July 31st as a close second. The rest is a bit of a mixed bag, with the wind making it harder to score clean waves.

Rusty.

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