Ilot Sancho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Ilot Sancho.

The ocean is pumping a lot of energy through here, but the wind is going to be a real pain for most of the coming week. The standout conditions are a long way off, so patience is key.

Monday the 7th kicks off with a substantial 7ft SSW groundswell, with a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is a strong 2373, so there’s plenty of push. The water is 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The morning has a light cross breeze from the SE at 6 mph, which will keep things fairly clean. It’s a marginal window, but the best of a tricky start. By Monday afternoon, the wind jumps to 16 mph and gets choppy, so that window closes fast.

The entire middle of the week is a write-off. Tuesday through Friday is dominated by a strong, fresh cross-shore wind from the ESE, gusting 19 to 25 mph, turning the ocean into a lumpy, cross-chop mess. The swell size varies from 7ft up to a massive 13ft on Wednesday, with energy readings hitting 11681 – that’s very strong, but it’s just too big and messy for paddle surfing. The swell period is long, but the wind is wrecking any chance of a clean wave. This setup is much more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We do get a brief window on Saturday morning the 12th. The swell drops to 6ft from the SSW, with a 16-second period, and the ESE wind backs off to 12 mph. It’s a moderate cross-shore chop, but the ocean is a little more manageable. The energy is still a moderate 1949. It’s not perfect, but it’s the first time you can paddle out without being thrashed.

The real standouts come at the very end of the forecast. On Monday the 21st, we get a solid 10ft SSW groundswell, with a moderate 13-second period, and the wind swings to the ENE at 16 mph, going cross-offshore. The morning and afternoon are both clean, with energy readings of 2971. This is big, powerful swell, and for experienced surfers at a reef break, that’s a proper session. It’s over 8ft, so this is for experts only. You’ll want to be on a point or reef, as that long period will make beach breaks a bit too straight.

Then, on Tuesday the 22nd, the pick of the entire outlook. The swell drops to a much more manageable 7ft from the S, with an 11-second period. The wind is a light 6 mph from the ENE, and it’s cross-offshore. The afternoon is described as having excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers with a clean surface. The combined energy is a moderate 1713. That’s the day to circle on the calendar. The crowds are possible, but the quality will be worth it.

For the rest of the second week, the wind stays fresh and cross, with occasional clean windows, but the size drops off. The 5ft to 6ft SSW swell on the 15th and 16th has clean conditions in the mornings, but the energy is lower. Plenty of average days, but you are waiting for that 21st and 22nd.

Rusty.

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