Black Rocks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for this stretch.

Right off the bat, don’t get too excited about the next day or so. Saturday afternoon is looking pretty average with small, choppy 5ft SW swell and a cross-onshore breeze messing things up. The water’s sitting at a balmy 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice bonus if you’re just floating around.

Sunday afternoon is where we finally see a glimmer of hope. The wind drops right out, turning glassy, and that 4ft SW groundswell (13 sec period) will be super clean. The combined energy is moderate at 726, so it won’t be a beast, but for a small wave session, it’s the pick of the early days. Black Rocks is a reef setup that loves a SW direction, so this is your window for a fun, uncrowded paddle.

Monday brings a jump in size – 7ft to 8ft SSW swell with a very long 15-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, with combined energy climbing into the thousands (1712 to 2368). The problem? The wind goes onshore and it gets messy and rainy by the afternoon. This spot needs clean conditions, and it’s not getting them. By Tuesday and Wednesday, the swell pumps up even bigger – up to 13ft on Wednesday with massive energy (over 10,000) – but the wind stays nasty from the SE, making it a lumpy, choppy mess. That 13ft is expert-only territory anyway, and with the wind, it’s a no-go for paddling. Honestly, that setup looks way more interesting for the kite crew.

We get a bit of a reprieve on Saturday the12th. The wind swings cross-offshore, cleaning up a5ft SSW swell. It’s only moderate energy (888), but the conditions will be clean. The real standout, though, is Sunday the13th. Mark that one. Morning session has a solid5ft SSW groundswell with an18-second period – that’s a very long period, so the waves will have real punch and shape. The wind is light and cross-offshore, leaving the surface clean. Combined energy jumps to a strong 2136. Black Rocks is a reef, so that long period will wrap in nicely. This is the best on offer for experienced surfers, just be aware it can get crowded here.

The following week sees the swell hanging around in the 5ft to8ft range, but the wind is mostly a problem. Tuesday the15th has a chunky8ft SSW swell with16-second period, but it’s crossed up and lumpy. By Wednesday the16th, the wind is howling at 25 mph, making it a write-off. We finally get a clean window again on Sunday the20th, with a solid6ft SSW swell and a16-second period, and the wind turns offshore. Combined energy is a healthy 1672. That’s a quality, clean session for those who can handle it, but it’s the last proper call in the window. After that, the swell drops right off into tiny, weak stuff for the final days.

So, if you’ve got one session to chase, make it Sunday the13th morning. The backup is Sunday the20th morning. The rest is either too windy, too big and messy, or too small to get excited about.

Rusty.

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