Black Rocks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about what’s brewing. The first couple of days are pretty much a bust. We’ve got rain and a stiff cross-breeze out of the ESE at 15 mph making a mess of the surface at Black Rocks. The water’s sitting at 25°, which feels a touch warmer than usual for this time of year.

You’re looking at a few days where it’s not worth the effort. Thursday morning, the swell drops to a tiny 1 ft with a long period, but that fresh cross-shore wind will ruin any chance of a clean wave. Even Friday is a mix of rain and a moderate breeze, leaving things poor.

The first real chance to get out comes on Saturday the 5th. We’ve got a SSW swell pushing 6 ft in the morning with a period around 14 seconds. The wind goes light from the SE, so it’s cross-shore with just a few ripples. The combined wave energy is moderate at 1142. It’s not perfect—there’s a bit of cross-chop and the tide might be tricky—but it’s the best we’ve seen so far. That size is okay for intermediates, but beginners might find it a handful.

Sunday the 6th is a bit smaller, around 4 ft, with a light cross-onshore wind. It’s rideable, but nothing special.

Here’s the standout. Monday the 7th morning, the swell jumps to a solid 7 ft from the SSW with a long period of 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and for a reef like Black Rocks, that long period will wrap in nicely. The combined energy is strong at 1785, and the wind is a gentle cross-onshore, so it stays fairly clean. This is the pick of the whole window. It’s getting up there for intermediates, so know your limits. Crowds are often here, so expect some company.

The afternoon of Monday the 7th gets bigger at 8 ft, but the wind swings more onshore and starts to chop things up, so aim for the morning.

Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th see the swell get proper chunky—12 ft by Wednesday with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s expert territory, and the wind is a fresh cross-shore, so it’s going to be lumpy and challenging. The combined energy is very strong (8305), so this is for the hardcore crew only. Most of us will be watching from the beach.

After that, the swell backs off. Thursday the 10th morning has a cleaner 6 ft with a cross-off breeze, but the energy is still up there. The rest of the second week tails off into smaller, less consistent waves with moderate winds. By the 15th, we get a short-period 5 ft from the S that looks messy and blown out, and the 16th sees another big pulse of 12 ft but with fresh cross-shore winds again. That one is a couple of weeks out, so keep an eye on it but don’t count on it.

So, in short: get your skates on for Monday the 7th morning at Black Rocks. That’s the one. The long period SSW groundswell with light winds is your best bet for a clean, solid session.

Rusty.

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