Black Rocks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burner, but there’s a couple of windows that are going to make it all worth it.

The big news is that a serious, long-period groundswell is going to roll in from the SSW, and it brings some serious energy with it. The combined energy at times is strong, hitting a peak of over 5000 (5172). But here's the thing: we've got a rough start with strong cross-shore winds making a mess of things, so we have to wait for the right conditions to line up with this swell.

The first real standout comes in a bit over a week. On Thursday the 24th, Black Rocks is looking prime. The swell out of the S is 4 ft with a period of 17 seconds—that’s proper groundswell, but at that size it’s manageable and the long period will push through with real shape. The wind swings around light and offshore. Come Thursday afternoon, it goes glassy with an ENE breeze of just 3 mph and surf conditions are expected to be very good. That’s the one you circle on the calendar. Water temps are sitting around 76°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won't need the thick rubber.

Now, if you’re an experienced surfer wanting a bit more punch, hang in there. On Saturday the 26th, the swell builds to 6 ft from the SSW with a 12-second period, and we get a glassy morning with no wind at all. Conditions look excellent for experienced surfers then. The combined energy is solid at 1587. It's a bit bigger, but the clean, glassy surface will make it a special session. Be aware that afternoon the wind swings onshore a bit, so get on it early.

After that, it holds some decent size into Sunday the 27th with 7 ft to 7 ft SSW swell, but the wind turns cross and cross-onshore, so it gets a bit lumpy. Not the best for paddle surfing, but if you’re into kite surfing, that combo of big swell and side wind could be interesting.

Looking further out, there's another solid pulse on Tuesday the 29th. Morning sees 4 ft SSW with a 18-second period and a light ENE breeze—clean and very promising. The afternoon gets a little bigger at 6 ft with cleaner conditions again, so that’s another top pick for the experienced crew. And on Wednesday the 30th, the wind goes glassy again with a nice 6 ft SSW swell. A great way to wrap up the run.

Remember, Black Rocks is an inconsistent reef break, so it doesn’t fire every day, but when it lines up like this, it’s a proper wave. Just know that it can get crowded often, so get out there early.

A lot of the first week is pretty average with messy seas, so don’t get frustrated. The second half of the outlook is where the magic sits. Keep an eye on the 24th and the 26th as the true standouts.

Rusty.

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