Black Rocks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for this stretch of coast.

The coming week has a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a clear standout early on and then a long, frustrating spell of junky conditions. The real magic happens on Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th, so you’ll want to be on it.

The main event is Black Rocks. This exposed reef break is an intermediate zone, and it's inconsistent so it doesn't fire all the time – but when it does, it's special. The water is sitting at 77°F, a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, which is a nice little bonus.

Monday the 13th is the absolute pick of the entire 16-day window. The mornings are looking clean with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NE. We’ve got a solid 7ft SSW groundswell with a long 14-second period, which is perfect for a reef setup like this. The combined energy is massive (1667), so there’s serious power moving through. The afternoon holds up just as well with the same size and shape. This is excellent, powerful surf for experienced surfers.

Tuesday the 14th is still a solid option. The swell drops a touch to 6ft, still from the SSW with that lovely long period, and the wind stays clean out of the east. It’s a little smaller, but still quality. The energy is still pumping (1143).

Now, after that, it gets ugly. We have a massive gap of poor to marginal conditions. Wednesday the 15th starts to wind down, and by Thursday the 16th it’s under 3ft and ordinary. A brief, fun moment arrives on Friday the 17th morning with a glassy 2ft swell, but it's tiny. The real story from the 18th of July onwards is a relentless run of strong cross and cross-onshore winds out of the south and southeast, often with a fresh breeze. The swell actually gets quite big again with an 8ft SSW swell on the 20th and 21st, but it's completely blown out and choppy. That combo of big swell and bad wind makes it a write-off for a paddle board. With conditions like that on a reef, you’d honestly be better off with a kite.

This poor run of wind and lumpy conditions looks set to continue right through to the end of the forecast on the 28th. There’s a spike of 10ft on the 28th, but it’s short-period and cross-shore wind. It’s a hard pass for the second week unless you’re desperate for a paddle in messy, lumpy lines.

Rusty.

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