Itaúna Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for our coast over the next couple of weeks. We start off with some proper swell and a couple of mornings that are going to be firing. Then it drops way off, and we are looking at a long flat spell before a late pulse at the end that’s still a bit of a question mark.

The Start: Solid Groundswell & Clean Mornings

The opening days are where all the action is. We’ve got a strong, long-period groundswell from the south, packing a real punch. The combined swell energy is strong, coming in around 1523, which means serious power behind these waves. This sets up the best conditions of the whole outlook.

Itaúna (Wednesday, August 12 - Thursday, August 13) is the standout of the period. The swell is a solid 8ft from the south with a long 12 seconds between waves. It’s breaking with real force, so this is strictly for the experienced crew. The mornings are when you want to be in the water. Wednesday morning has a light cross-offshore breeze from the ENE at 6 mph that keeps the wave face clean and glassy. This is a proper winter session. Thursday morning is just as good, with the wind dropping to a slight 3 mph air, and the swell holding at a powerful 7ft. This is the pick of the bunch. The afternoons get cross-shore and messy, so don’t sleep in.

The Middle: Fading Swell, Shifting Winds

From Friday (August 14) through the weekend, the swell stays in the 6-7ft range, but the quality fades. The wind turns more onshore or cross, chopping up the surface. Mornings are still the best bet, and there is a slight window on Saturday morning (August 15) when the ENE cross-off wind at 6 mph cleans up that 7ft south swell. It’s still okay, but not as epic as the previous few days.

After that, we see a real downturn. The swell drops below 7ft and the wind picks up from the ENE, creating messy, cross-off conditions. By Sunday afternoon and into Monday and Tuesday, the wave period shortens right down to 7-8 seconds. This is just windswell, weak and disorganized. The energy drops from a strong three-digit number down to a couple of hundred at best. It’s poor. A rare glassy session appears on the afternoon of Tuesday, August 25, with a tiny 5ft swell from the SSE, but it’s short-period (6s) and the energy is weak at 290. It might be a novelty, but it won’t be a classic.

The Gap and Late Potential

From around the 19th through the 24th, it’s mostly flat or onshore mush. The swell energy drops into the weak two-digit range, with waves around 2ft to 4ft and short, unimpressive periods. Kite surfers might find some interest with the onshore winds, but for us paddle surfers, it’s a blank run. Your board’s going to be collecting dust.

There is a flicker of hope right at the end of the forecast window. Around Wednesday, August 26, there’s a new pulse of south groundswell. The energy jumps back into the strong range (1318), pushing 7ft waves, but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy, which is a bummer. This one is a promising but less certain call, being so far out. If the wind cooperates, it could be a great way to finish the run, but for now, it’s a lookout, not a go-to.

Water Temp
For the first few days, the water temp is running about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Alright, keep it on the low tide, and I’ll see you out there.

Rusty

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