Surf Forecasts:
Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar) surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, ENE swell with 302 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar) this week:
The surf forecast for Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar) in the next 16 days are 1.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright friends, let's talk shop about Ponta Negra for the next couple of weeks.
Straight up, the first week is a bit of a snoozer. The wave energy is pretty tame, with only about 398 units of combined energy on Friday the 17th morning. We get a clean 3.3ft wave from the southeast with a short 10-second period, and light winds keeping the surface tidy. But it feels like a weak, close-out set-up. The water temp is 71.6°, completely normal for this time of year, so no need to dig out the 5/4 yet.
Friday afternoon gets even smaller. Saturday the 18th bumps up a bit – 4.6ft on the morning from the east-northeast, but that 7-second period makes it a short, choppy mess. Sunday the 19th is the best of the first run with a 4.9ft east swell at 8 seconds, but the energy is still just moderate. The winds are just cross-off, not truly clean.
Then comes the flat spell. From Monday the 20th through to Thursday the 24th, we are looking at tiny waves, with heights rarely touching 2.6ft and the energy numbers dropping way low. For a solid 5 days, it is basically unsurfable. Don't waste the petrol.
Now, chin up. The second week looks much more promising. Keep a close eye on Monday the 28th of July. That morning shows a clean 3.3ft south swell with a nice long 12-second period and light offshore wind from the east-northeast. That's a solid, clean combo for Ponta Negra.
But the big one, the one that has me pacing like a caged animal, is August 1st. Saturday the 1st of August is looking like an absolute belter. A powerful 7.2ft south-east groundswell, with a solid 13-second period. The wind is forecast to be a light offshore from the east-southeast. The combined wave energy numbers are huge – 1785 in the morning and 2092 in the afternoon. That's some serious ocean power. At that size, over 6.5ft, this is strictly for the experienced crew. Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar) is a fairly exposed spot, and this swell direction is bang on. The conditions will be clean. Crowds are listed as "sometimes," so expect company. This is a proper, top-tier swell for the area, but remember it's two weeks out – it's a promising forecast, not a hard guarantee. Worth getting a little bit of hope up for.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 18°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 20°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | S 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 208 | 153 | 104 | 183 | 100 | 156 | 258 | 74 | 131 | 72 | 164 | 302 | 80 | 60 | 232 | 61 | 47 | 49 | 66 | 144 | 245 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 5:09PM0.89m | 4:17AM1.01m | 5:33PM0.84m | 5:00AM0.96m | 5:58PM0.80m | 5:50AM0.90m | 6:29PM0.77m | 6:52AM0.82m | 7:11PM0.74m | 8:47AM0.76m | 8:16PM0.71m | 11:03AM0.78m | 10:16PM0.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:47AM0.00m | 10:58PM0.39m | 11:30AM0.09m | 11:38PM0.38m | 12:14PM0.19m | 00:24AM0.37m | 1:02PM0.30m | 1:18AM0.36m | 1:57PM0.38m | 2:21AM0.34m | 3:02PM0.44m | 3:28AM0.31m | 4:13PM0.46m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 26 | 22 | 26 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 24 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 30 | 29 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 21 |
Feels °C | 22 | 23 | 18 | 24 | 24 | 19 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 29 | 27 | 24 | 29 | 28 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SSW 10 | S 10 |
| kJ | 208 | 153 | 103 | 66 | 37 | 156 | 74 | 74 | 131 | 72 | 55 | 111 | 80 | 60 | 60 | 61 | 47 | 49 | 33 | 144 | 245 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 7 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | S 11 | SW 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 43 | 33 | 102 | 96 | 59 | 24 | 21 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 28 | 66 | 31 | 18 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 13 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | — | — | S 15 | — | — | — | S 13 | — | S 15 | S 14 | SSW 9 | E 8 | S 15 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 17 | 25 | 46 | 17 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 4 | 4 | 26 | 31 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | — | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | E 7 | — | E 8 | — | E 7 | — | E 8 | ENE 7 | — | — | ENE 8 | — | — | WSW 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 144 | — | 104 | 183 | 100 | — | 258 | — | 127 | — | 164 | 302 | — | — | 232 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio de Janeiro | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Ponta Negra (Quebra Mar) is 13 km (8 miles) from the city of Marica. If you plan a holiday in Rio de Janeiro, look for hotels and other accommodation in Marica. Marica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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