Jaconé Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, pull up a stump, let’s talk wave. The outlook for the next couple of weeks is a slow burn, with a proper pulse of solid south swell sliding in around the 23rd. The first few days are a bit of a write-off, but we’ll get there.

Alright, for the start, Jaconé (Brazil) is it. Monday afternoon the 13th is a no-go – that’s a 19 mph cross-shore making a mess of a 7ft SSW swell. The combined energy’s pumping at 970 but the wind is just cooking it. Tuesday the 14th is marginal; a 5ft S swell with 11-second period arrives, but it’s cross-on both morning and afternoon. The energy’s still chunky (836 and 933) but the wind kills it. Wednesday morning the 15th is the first real highlight of the week. We’ve got a clean 6ft SSE swell, 10-second period, with a gentle offshore breeze from the ENE. The water’s a touch warm at 72°, which is bang on average for this time of year. That’s your play for the early run. The energy drops to 715, but the quality is there. The afternoon gets a bit blown out with a 16 mph cross-off.

Thursday the 16th through Monday the 21st is a mix of smaller, cleaner days. Mornings are generally best with offshore or light cross-off winds, and the swell hangs around the 3ft to 6ft mark from the SE and ENE. The best of this stretch is Wednesday morning the 21st: a 6ft ENE swell, 8-second period, with a light cross-off breeze and combined energy of 611. It’s consistent, clean, and the crowds are only “sometimes” a problem, so it’s a solid, fun option.

Now, the real standout. The 23rd of July, Thursday morning. We’ve got a serious 8ft S swell, 12-second period, and it’s a groundswell. That’s a long period, which means it’ll be chunky and powerful, better for a point or reef, but at a beach break like Jaconé it might be a bit too straight. The wind is a light 6 mph offshore from the ENE, so it’s going to be glassy. The combined energy is a massive 1692 – that’s strong wave energy. This is for experienced surfers only; 8ft is expert territory. It’s a long way out, but this is the punch to mark on the calendar. The 24th holds a similar 6ft SSW swell, also 12-second period, with a 6 mph offshore, and energy at 1035, another excellent morning for the experienced crew.

The final few days, from the 26th onwards, trickle back down in size and period. The 27th Monday morning sees a 6ft E swell, 8-second period, with a 12 mph offshore wind. That’s a bit of a blow, but the energy is a moderate 684, and it’s clean. The wind gets a bit messy on the 28th.

So, to sum it up: the early run is a waiting game. Wednesday the 15th is your best bet for a clean, fun wave. But the big one, the one worth waiting for, is the 23rd and 24th of July – that’s a serious south groundswell with perfect wind. Just be ready for the size.

Rusty.

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