Jaconé Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming down the pipe. Hang on, because this forecast for Jaconé has a lot of moving parts, and we’ve got a massive swell coming that we need to talk about.

First up, the water temp is sitting at a warm 73°, which is about 1° warmer than average for the time of year. Nothing too unusual, just a touch of extra tropical warmth in the water.

Alright, so the pattern. This one starts quiet. The weekend is a write-off; Saturday morning has a tiny 2ft SSE swell with glassy conditions, but the energy is weak (125) and it’s just too small to get excited about. Winds go bad in the afternoon, and Sunday is a complete mess with strong onshore winds and a rising, lumpy south swell. We’re not surfing that.

Monday the 7th, though, we start to see a real shift. The morning is still average with a bit of cross-onshore wind, but Monday afternoon is the first real standout. The wind goes dead calm and glassy, the swell is a solid 8ft from the SSW, and the energy is cranked up to a strong 1055. This is excellent, expert-level surf. The size is over 8ft, so this is strictly for the experienced crew. The beach setup here might mean it’s a bit straight, but with that glassy texture, it’s going to be a session to remember.

Tuesday the 8th morning keeps the quality going with a clean 5ft SSE swell and a moderate offshore wind from the NE. Good energy (910), and a much more manageable size for the intermediate surfer. That’s your best bet if you’re not a pro.

Now, we have to talk about Monday the 14th and 15th. There is a monster pulse of swell predicted. Monday brings a massive 13ft S swell with a very long period of 13 seconds, and the energy is through the roof at 5387. However, the guidance flat-out says the swell is too big for this break. The winds are light, the conditions would be perfect, but it’s an absolute beast that will be washing through. This is a "watch from the cliff" day unless you are a big-wave charger with the right gear, and even then, Jaconé might not handle it. Tuesday the 15th morning is still very large at 7ft but with clean offshore winds, making it another expert-only session.

After that big pulse, we settle back into a more consistent pattern from Wednesday the 16th morning through to Sunday the 20th. The standout in this second week is Wednesday the 16th morning – a clean, glassy 4ft SE swell with light winds. Also, Sunday the 20th morning looks very promising with a clean 6ft ESE swell and a light offshore breeze. That’s a beauty for everyone.

Keep in mind, this place is listed as consistent, and for a long stretch there, it delivers. The crowd situation can be a problem at times, so get out early.

Rusty.

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