Matinhos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this outlook for the next 16 days is a bit of a mixed bag, and honestly, it’s mostly a flat spell with only a few fleeting moments of hope. We’ve got a long gap of nothing special before the first real standout comes into view.

The first recommendation isn’t until Saturday morning, July 25th, at Matinhos. This is a point break, intermediate-plus level, and it’s very consistent. The water is sitting at 67°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year – a nice little anomaly. Early Saturday, we’ve got glassy conditions with a 4ft swell from the SE, period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 189, so there’s a bit of push, but it’s not a big day. The wind is dead calm, glass – that’s a major positive for clean faces. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. The afternoon turns poor as the wind swings onshore.

Sunday the 26th morning is clean again with a cross-offshore breeze from the N, but the swell drops to 3ft (SE, 8 sec). Combined energy is still moderate at 197. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. After that, we hit a real dry spell. From Monday the 27th right through to the 2nd of August, the surf is tiny and mostly poor. Morning glazes and clean conditions are there, but the swell is under 2ft, with energy readings dropping into the 50s and 30s – weak, weak, weak. You’d be dragging your board for nothing.

The bright spot, and the only true standout in this whole 16-day window, arrives on Monday, August 3rd. That’s a week away, so keep an eye on the forecast, but it’s promising. The morning is glassy, dead calm, with a 2ft swell from the SSE, but the period is 14 seconds – that’s groundswell, and it’s very long. The combined energy jumps to 202 (moderate), and the comment says “expect good surf conditions.” This is a point break, so that long-period energy will wrap in nicely and hold shape. It’s small, but it’ll be clean and lined up. Wind is glass, which is perfect. The afternoon gets a bit cross-on, so the morning is the window.

The following days from the 4th to the 9th drift back into that mediocre zone. Swell sticks around 2ft to 4ft, but the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, and the periods drop back to 8 seconds or less. Some mornings are glassy, but the energy is weak. The 5th of August afternoon has a spike to 4ft with 237 energy (moderate), but it’s cross-on and choppy – not worth the paddle.

So, the takeaway? If you’re desperate, the early Saturday morning on the 25th is clean but small. The real one to watch is the morning of Monday, August 3rd – it’s the only time the stars align with a long-period swell and glass. Beyond that, it’s a snooze. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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