Matinhos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a good look at what's on offer at Matinhos over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the first week is pretty tough sledding. We've got a window starting Friday the 17th, but it's more of a "might as well stay home" situation. The swell is small, around 3ft from the east, and with a cross-shore wind, it's just not going to be worth the paddle. The wave energy is weak (193), and it's just poor surf conditions.

Starting Saturday the 18th, things start to look a little more promising, but still not epic. The wind turns offshore (NNW) in the morning, cleaning up small 3ft easterly swell. It's surfable but very ordinary. The afternoon shapes up a bit better as the wind shifts to a cross-offshore (NNE) and the swell ticks up to 4ft from the east, giving us clean conditions. It's still not a standout, but it's the best of a pretty average bunch in the early days. This pattern of clean, small waves (3ft to 4ft) from the east or southeast repeats through the week, mostly in the mornings with light offshore or glassy winds. The combined energy is mostly weak to moderate (between 107 and 163).

Then we hit a real lull. From around Monday the 21st afternoon through to Thursday the 24th, it gets grim. Expect onshore winds, rain, and tiny, weak swell. The wave energy drops into double digits (83-108), which is as weak as it gets. It's not worth getting wet for.

But hold on. The second week is where it gets interesting. There is a serious pulse of swell forecast for the morning of Wednesday the 29th of July. This is the one to circle in your calendar. We’re looking at a very long-period groundswell from the SSE with a period of 14 seconds, pushing in at 5ft. The combined energy is a powerful (1025), which is a massive jump from what we've seen. Now, this is a point break at Matinhos, and that very long period can make these swells a bit too straight for beach breaks, but at a point break like this, it could be a dream. The morning is looking clean with a light offshore wind from the NW. This is for experienced surfers only. The water temp is around 66°, which is about average for the time of year.

Earlier in that week, on Tuesday the 28th, we get a taste of that long-period groundswell (14 seconds) but it's much smaller at 2ft from the SSE. The morning is clean with a light cross-offshore wind, but the wave energy is moderate (237). The afternoon gets ruined by an onshore wind.

After that big Wednesday morning, the swell drops back but remains fun. Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st should offer clean conditions with light winds, and the swell hangs around 3ft to 4ft from the SSE and SE. The water temperature anomaly is only +0.9°, so it’s about what you’d expect for a winter dip.

So to sum it up: the first week is a battle for dribbles. The real standout is the morning of Wednesday the 29th of July. That's your best chance for a proper session. The following mornings will be fun but much smaller. Don't expect much from the first half of the forecast.

Rusty.

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