Jacobs Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at the surf ahead for Jacobs Bay over the next couple of weeks.

The opening of the window isn't offering much on Monday, with a lumpy, cross-off wind and an 8ft swell making for messy, unappealing conditions. From Tuesday morning the 11th, things start to get interesting. We've got a clean 8ft SSW swell pushing in with a nice 13-second period and an offshore easterly breeze. That's going to be clean and chunky, but it's already over 6ft, so it's a session for the strong paddlers and experienced crew only at Jacobs Bay. The water temp is sitting about 57°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so grab the steamer if you’re heading out.

The real standout, though, is Wednesday the 12th. We're looking at a solid groundswell from the SW, around 6-6ft, with a super long 18-second period. That kind of period means real, powerful lines wrapping in. There’s a moderate offshore wind from the ENE in the morning turning to a straight E in the afternoon which will set the face up beautifully. The combined swell energy is right up there (2824), and even though this spot is fairly consistent, a groundswell this long can sometimes make the wave run a touch straight at the beach. Still, a top-tier morning for those who know what they're doing.

The quality carries into Thursday the 13th with another solid 8ft WSW swell and a 17-second period backing it, but a strong cross-off wind in the morning and then a shifting wind in the arvo makes it a bit trickier to grab the peak of it. Best to catch the morning if you're considering it but conditions won't be as clean as Wednesday.

We hit a small lull around the 14th and 15th, but there's some glassy conditions worth noting. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th both have flat calm mornings with barely a breath of wind and a clean 6-6ft WSW groundswell rolling in. Solid energy numbers for the size (over 1000), and that glassy surface will be a treat. The wave direction is a little onshore in the afternoons, so get out early.

After that, Monday the 17th sees a serious pulse: a 10ft swell hitting with an absolutely massive combined energy reading of 4372. This is too big for what Jacobs Bay can handle, and even by Monday afternoon, it’s over the top. You’ll want to sit this one out unless you’re on a big-wave gun and know the channel well. Similar story to start Tuesday the 18th: still too much size for comfort and wonky winds.

From Wednesday the 19th to the 20th, the size drops a bit but stays around the 7ft mark with 12-second period. Winds are cross-off but fresh, and the overall quality is average to poor, so nothing to get excited about. A big messy cross-shore on the 20th afternoon makes it unsurfable. We see some poor-quality junk and onshore junk around the 21st, too. The week after is a bit of a gap with mediocre conditions.

But just when you think it’s all fizzled out, we get another beauty on Sunday the 23rd... wait, no, the next real standout is much later: the 24th of August (Monday) is a cracker. A smaller 5ft SW groundswell with a nice 12-second period, glassy conditions, and not a breath of wind in the morning. It's smaller, which makes it more approachable and the energy is decent (1284). That morning will be super clean and fun for those who can make it.

So, to sum it up: Wednesday the 12th is the pick of the fortnight – big, clean groundswell with perfect offshores, but it’s a strong surfer's wave. If the bigger stuff isn’t your thing, the glassy mornings of the 15th, 16th, and 24th offer cleaner, more user-friendly conditions for a proper session.

Rusty, signing off.

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