Jacobs Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag around here, so let’s break it down day by day.

The ocean’s got some life in it, but the wind is going to be the story for a while. We’ve got a solid SW groundswell pushing through, with water temps sitting at 56°, which is a couple of degrees colder than we’d expect for this time of year, so you’ll want the thick rubber.

Our first real chance to get wet is on Saturday the 12th. It’s not going to be perfect, mind you. Jacobs Bay is seeing a 6ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and the combined energy is moderate (1976). The SSE wind is cross-off, so it’s got some shape to it, and the surface is clean. It’s a bit marginal though, and the water’s much colder than normal, so it’s not the day to be picky. Sunday the 13th looks better. The swell is still a solid 7ft from the same direction, and the morning has a gentle NNE cross-off breeze. That’s the standout of the first stretch. The energy is moderate (1972), and it’s shaping up nicely for those of you who know what you’re doing.

Monday the 14th is a write-off. It’s messy, with a fresh cross-shore and lumpy chop, so give it a miss. Tuesday the 15th is much the same – chopped up and onshore.

Now, Wednesday the 16th has some size, with 8ft on the morning, and the energy is strong (3295). But that S wind is cross-shore, making it messy. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, to be honest. Thursday the 17th is cleaner, with a SSE cross-off, but the swell has dropped to 5ft, and it’s still just marginal. The wind really howls on Friday the 18th, with strong cross-shore winds and bumpy conditions. Not worth it.

The weekend brings the best conditions. Sunday the 20th is the standout of the whole run. The morning sees a light E offshore wind, glassy and clean, with a 6ft SW swell and a 13-second period. The energy is moderate (1166). That’s the one to circle. Light offshore, clean lines. That’s what it’s all about. Saturday the 19th has potential, but the cross-off wind is fresher, making it less clean.

After that, we drop off. The swell fades into the 4ft range on Monday the 21st, and it gets small and choppy through Tuesday the 22nd. The middle of the next week, the 23rd and 24th, sees some inconsistent SW swell in the 5-6ft range, but the winds are mostly cross or onshore, so it’s not going to be great.

The following weekend, the 26th and 27th, we see another push of long-period SW groundswell. The energy is strong (2806), but the winds are cross and fresh, and the surface is bumpy. It’s a lot of water moving for not much reward if the wind doesn’t play ball.

So, keep it simple. Sunday the 13th and Sunday the 20th are your best bets. The 20th is the pick of the pair, with that offshore wind. The long-range stuff for the 27th is promising for size but is less certain with the wind. Keep an eye on it.

Stay stoked.

Rusty

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