Jacobs Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, looking at the surf for Jacobs Bay over the next couple of weeks. We've got a slow start, but a solid run of cleaner swell is heading our way, especially for the experienced crew.

Right now, things are pretty quiet. The first couple of days are a bit of a write-off for good waves. Friday the 3rd has some chest-high swell at 4ft from the SW, but the wind is a messy cross-onshore, and the combined energy is weak to moderate (662). The water's sitting at 58°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. Saturday the 4th is even worse with poor conditions, so I'd give it a miss. Sunday the 5th morning is where we get our first real glimmer of hope – the wind goes glassy, completely flat calm. The swell has dropped a bit to 3ft from the SW, but that glassy surface makes it look way better than the size suggests.

Then things start to fire up. Monday the 6th morning kicks off a great run. We’ve got a clean, 7ft WSW swell, with a cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is strong (1319), and the 12-second period gives it some proper push. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but at over 8 ft, it's too big for beginners. Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th mornings are also clean and solid, with 6ft and 8ft SW swells respectively. Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th keep the quality up with clean, cross-off conditions and solid 6ft SW swell.

Right now, the standout of the whole forecast has to be Saturday the 11th morning. The forecast shows a 7ft SSW groundswell with a very long 14-second period, and the wind is glassy. The combined swell energy is strong (1619). This is going to produce some powerful, clean lines. Keep in mind that long-period swell can break a bit straight on the beach, but with clean conditions, the bank should hold some gems.

After that, the swell eases through the 12th and gets blown out on the 13th and 14th by nasty winds, making it a raw run of days.

Looking further ahead, the 15th of July, Wednesday morning, we see a huge 10ft SW swell rolling in, with a massive combined energy of 3693. However, the file tells us it's simply too big for Jacobs Bay. The same goes for the 16th, with a 10ft swell. That’s expert-only territory and potentially dangerous. The following weekend, Saturday the 18th of July, looks promising again with a clean, 6ft WSW swell and light offshore winds, a nice note to end the outlook on.

So, to sum it up: let the first few days pass, be ready for Monday the 6th morning, but if I were you, I'd be circling Saturday the 11th morning in the calendar.

Rusty.

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