Jacobs Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. This run we’ve got one spot on the radar – Jacobs Bay – and it’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break down the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a decent run of swell heading our way, but the winds are going to be the story. The first solid window is Wednesday the 12th. The swell is pushing 6ft from the WSW with a long 18-second period. The energy is strong, checking in at 2514, and with a light easterly offshore breeze, it’s going to be clean. The water is sitting at 55°F, which is a few degrees colder than average for this time of year – so you’ll want the hood and booties, it’s properly chilly out there. This is a standout for the experienced crew; the size and power are there, but it’s not for the faint of heart.

Thursday the 13th turns a bit messy. The swell bumps up to 8ft, but that strong NNE cross-off wind at 25 mph will chop it up. There’s a solid amount of energy (3378), but you’ll be fighting the conditions. Friday the 14th stays in the 6ft range, but the wind goes cross-on from the NNW, so it’s not great. The period is still long, but the surface will be a bit lumpy.

Come Saturday the 15th, there’s a reprieve. The swell is still 6ft from the WSW with 14-second period, and the morning sees a light SSE cross-off breeze. It’s clean, and the energy is still moderate at 1320. This is another decent pick for the weekend. Sunday the 16th starts with glassy conditions – a 3 mph westerly – but the afternoon gets a light cross-on. The swell stays solid at 6ft, but Monday the 17th is where the size kicks up again, hitting 8ft from the WSW with a 13-second period. The morning has a clean cross-off breeze, and the energy is strong at 2515. This is one of the better days for the experts, but it’s a big one.

After that, Tuesday the 18th backs off a bit to 7ft, but the winds go cross-shore, so it’s not super inviting. Wednesday the 19th is a write-off; the swell is still 8ft but the SSE wind is howling at 25 mph, making it all over the place.

We get a bit of a reset going into the second week. Thursday the 20th sees the swell drop to 6ft, period drops to 9 seconds, and the energy weakens to 1030. It’s clean, but smaller and shorter period. Friday the 21st looks promising though. A gentle offshore wind from the east, 6ft of SSW swell with an 11-second period, and the energy is moderate at 919. It’s a nice, clean day, but the afternoon wind picks up.

Saturday the 22nd is a bit of a teaser. The morning is clean at 5ft, but the afternoon sees the swell jump to 8ft with a longer 15-second period while the wind swings onshore, making it lumpy.

Now, the real standout of this whole run is Sunday the 23rd. We’ve got glassy conditions in the morning, a solid 6ft of SW swell with a long 17-second period, and the energy is cranking at 3333. That’s the one to circle. But be warned – by the afternoon, that same swell is predicted to pump up to a massive 10ft, and the energy goes ballistic at 6401. That’s well into expert-only territory; it’s too big for anyone not comfortable in serious juice.

Monday the 24th continues to be big, with 10ft still on the cards in the morning, and while the wind is cross, it’s still heavy. It stays oversized into the afternoon. Things back off from Tuesday the 25th, with the swell dropping to 4ft but the period stretching out to 20 seconds – that’s very long period, so the waves are going to be a bit softer and more drawn out, better on the points than the beach breaks. The energy is moderate at 2121.

Wednesday the 26th brings another clean window with a glassy morning and 7ft of SW swell at 15 seconds. That’s a solid option for the experienced surfers. The final day we have data for, Thursday the 27th, sees the swell drop to 5ft, but the period is still a decent 12 seconds.

So, to sum it up: the best bets are the morning of Wednesday the 12th, Saturday the 15th, Monday the 17th, and the standout glassy morning of Sunday the 23rd. That Sunday morning will be special if you can handle the size. After that, keep an eye on the long-period stuff early next week – it’s promising but far out, so we’ll see. Remember, this is all for Jacobs Bay, and it’s a fairly consistent spot, so even when it’s not perfect, it usually has something. I’m Rusty, and I’ll see you in the water.

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