Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surf’s up, or at least it’s gonna be. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks for Dairy Beach (New Pier). It’s a bit of a slow burn, but there’s some serious potential hiding in there if you’re patient.

Right now, it’s flat out poor. We’ve got a small, weak swell pushing through with a cross-off wind, but it’s just not doing anything for us. The water temp is sitting at 71°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real window opens up on Monday the 10th. A solid south swell fills in, with wave heights jumping to 10ft in the morning and pushing 12ft by the afternoon. The wind is howling offshore from the SSW at 25-31 mph, which will keep things clean, but the size is a serious issue. This is well over the 8ft mark, so it’s expert-only territory. The energy is pumping at 1662 and then 1900, so it’s got some punch, but Dairy Beach is a beach/pier setup and this much swell is going to be a washing machine. It’s a spectacle, not a session for most of us.

Tuesday the 11th, the swell backs down a bit to 7ft in the morning, but the wind stays strong offshore. It’s still big and the energy is moderate at 819. The afternoon drops to 6ft but the wind swings cross-off, which messes with the quality. It’s still not great.

Wednesday the 12th sees the swell drop further, with 5ft in the morning and 5ft in the afternoon. The wind is lighter, but it’s cross-shore, bringing a bit of chop. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th look like the pick of the first week. The swell settles to a clean 6ft in the morning and 5ft in the afternoon from the ESE, and the wind goes light, offshore, and even glassy on Friday morning. The energy is moderate, around 425-514, but the conditions are pure. This is where the intermediate crew should be looking. The waves will have some shape, and that light wind will keep the face smooth. Friday morning with that 4ft glassy surf is your best bet for a clean, fun session.

The weekend, the 15th and 16th, the wind turns onshore from the NE and it gets lumpy. The swell is still there, 5-6ft, but the onshores are going to chop it up. Poor conditions, not worth the paddle.

Early next week, the 17th and 18th, the wind stays onshore and the swell starts to fade. It’s a bit of a flat spell, honestly. The 19th sees a bit more size but with a fresh cross-off breeze, it’s still not great.

Then, we get our real standout. Thursday the 20th. The morning is looking glassy with a light ENE breeze and a solid 7ft of east swell. The energy is pumping at 1309, and the conditions are forecast to be very good. This is a big, clean day. It’s pushing the limit for intermediates, but for the experienced crew, this is the one to circle. The afternoon gets onshore and messy, so it’s a morning mission.

After that, the 21st and 22nd see the swell hold around 6-7ft, but the wind is mostly onshore and messy. The 22nd afternoon has a cross-off breeze and some size, but the forecast is less certain that far out.

The final stretch, the 23rd and 24th, looks like the swell drops right off. We’re back to small, weak surf with onshore winds. It’s a quiet end to the period.

So, to sum it up: the real gems are Friday the 14th for a clean, fun wave, and Thursday the 20th for a bigger, more powerful session. The 10th is a big-wave spectacle for experts only. Everything else is either too small, too messy, or just not worth the effort. Stay sharp, and you’ll find your window.

Rusty

Read more