Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Dairy Beach (New Pier) over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a quiet start. The first real sniff of a wave comes in on Sunday afternoon, the 19th of July, but it’s a marginal one. The tide is questionable and the surf is just okay. We’re seeing a 5ft SSE swell, but it’s coming in with a NE wind blowing onshore, so it’s gonna be a bit bumpy. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 73°F, about 2°F above average for this time of year. Not a standout.

Monday the 20th of July offers a little more size. The morning shows a 7ft SSE swell with a 12-second period and a cross-offshore wind from the south at 12 mph. The energy is moderate (1181), but the quality is still flagged as marginal. The afternoon drops to 6ft from the SE, but the wind goes cross-shore, making it pretty average. Still not the time to call in sick.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Tuesday the 21st of July all the way through Monday the 27th of July, the surf is poor. The wind is mostly onshore from the NE, and the swell is either small or wonky. The 25th of July has a long-period 4ft swell from the S at 15 seconds, but it’s blown out by a 19 mph NE wind. That long period would be a treat at a reef or point, but here it’s just messy.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Tuesday the 28th of July. The morning brings a 8ft S swell with a short 8-second period, but the wind is offshore from the SSW at 16 mph. That’s clean. The energy is moderate (697). This is for the experts though – 8ft is getting big. The afternoon is still solid at 7ft, but the wind goes cross-offshore.

The standout of the entire forecast is Wednesday the 29th of July. The morning shows a 7ft S swell, but the period is a very long 15 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the SSE at 12 mph. The combined energy jumps to 1970 – that’s strong wave energy. The afternoon is even better: 7ft from the S, a 16-second period, and 2287 energy. This is groundswell of the highest order. It’s gonna be powerful, with long lulls between sets, but the shape will be there for the crew who know how to handle it. Remember, that long period and size means it’s one for the experienced. The crowds are listed as “often” here, so expect plenty of company in the lineup.

Thursday the 30th of July’s morning session is worth a mention too. A 4ft S swell, 13 seconds, and a clean offshore wind from the SW at 16 mph. The energy is 883. It’s a solid option for the intermediate surfer.

The first week of August is a mixed bag. Saturday the 1st of August has a 7ft ENE swell with a fresh offshore wind from the SW at 19 mph. The energy is strong (1464). But that swell is a short 9 seconds, so it’s a bit junky. Sunday the 2nd of August morning has an 8ft ENE swell, 10 seconds, and a huge 2297 energy, but the wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’s not gonna be pretty. By Monday the 3rd, it’s fading back to onshore conditions.

For the best on offer, I’m calling Wednesday the 29th of July as the one to circle. That long-period S groundswell with clean cross-offshore wind is the real deal. Don’t sleep on the Tuesday morning either, if you want a bit less size but still clean.

Alright, keep your eyes on the horizon. This is Rusty, signing off.

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