Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag for us here. Looking at the whole window, there’s some real size coming, but we gotta sift through a lot of ordinary, blown-out days to find the gems. The start is pretty quiet, but hold onto your board, because things get big around the 10th and 11th before settling back down.

For the first few days, we're looking at small, weak surf. The energy is low, just a little pulse on Wednesday the 5th with a 3ft easterly swell, but it’s straight onshore from the NE. Not worth paddling out for. Thursday the 6th stays small, maybe 3ft, with a better cross-off breeze in the morning, but it’s still pretty weak. Friday the 7th is more of the same, small and clean-ish but nothing that’ll get your heart racing. The weekend stays small and poor, with onshores and junk.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real deal shows up on Monday the 10th. The swell jumps to 12ft from the S with a strong breeze, and the energy reads a massive 2712. But here’s the catch—this is Dairy Beach (New Pier), and that size is just too much for this spot. It’s a beach/pier setup, and 12ft is gonna be a washing machine. The wind and tide are favorable, but it’s too big. That continues into Tuesday the 11th, with 13ft of south-southeast swell. Still too big. For the experienced crew, it might be tempting, but this break is just going to be a closeout. If you’re a kiter, this might look more interesting than a paddle-out.

After that pulse, we get a drop in size but the quality isn't great. Wednesday the 12th through Friday the 14th sees a lot of strong, messy cross-onshore junk, with swell energy still strong but all over the place. It's not a good look.

Things finally clean up a bit on Saturday the 15th. In the afternoon, the wind drops to glassy, and there’s a 5ft easterly swell. The energy is moderate at 414. This is our first real standout of the period. It’s not huge, but it looks clean and fun. That’s the one to circle. Then Sunday the 16th sees a small, clean 4ft easterly swell, with light offshore winds in the afternoon. Another decent, if smaller, option.

After that, it fades out. The week starting the 17th looks small and mostly poor again. There’s a pulse of 8ft on Tuesday the 18th, but it’s short-period and onshore. Not a good look.

So, the standout is definitely Saturday afternoon, August 15th. That’s the pick of the crop. Keep an eye on it.

The water temp is about 71°, pretty much normal for this time of year.

Rusty

Read more