Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at Dairy Beach (New Pier). We’re in for a pretty quiet start with a lot of onshores, but there’s a big pulse of swell heading our way next week – just gotta find the right window.

The water temp is sitting at 71°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thick wetsuit just yet.

The forecast kicks off with a poor run. Tuesday the 4th through most of the following week is a write-off. Onshore winds, small weak swell, and the combined energy is weak to moderate. The wave energy is just not there, and the wind is messy. We’re looking at a gap of several days with nothing worth paddling out for.

Now, the real action starts to build around Monday the 10th afternoon. The wind goes howling from the SSW at 37 mph, swell jumps to 7ft from the south with a short period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate. That’s a windy, messy afternoon. The standout is the pulse arriving on Tuesday the 11th. We’re talking a solid 15ft to 18ft swell from the south and southeast, with a long period of 12 seconds. The combined energy goes through the roof – that’s strong to very strong wave energy. The wind is offshore and cross-offshore, so the conditions are clean. But look, this is a big ol’ beast. Over 8ft, it’s for experts only. The period is 12 seconds, which is good groundswell, but it’s a lot of water moving for a beach/pier setup. It’s going to be a proper heavy day.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th keep the big swell rolling, still 12ft to 16ft, with that 12-second period and clean offshore winds. The energy stays massive. This is the big boy window. Only for the experienced crew.

Then we get a bit of a breather. Friday the 14th morning sees the swell drop to 8ft from the ENE with a 10-second period. The wind is light cross-offshore, and the energy is moderate. This is a much more manageable size for strong intermediates. The conditions are clean. By Saturday the 15th morning, it’s glassy, 7ft from the ENE, and the energy is moderate. This is probably the best window for the average surfer. The swell is solid, the wind is glassy, and everything lines up. Expect some crowds as it’s a consistent spot and often has people out.

After that, the swell fades through Sunday and Monday, and the wind swings back onshore, so the window closes. The long-range stuff later in the second week is smaller and less promising.

If I’m calling it, the standout is the Saturday the 15th morning. That 7ft, glassy, clean ENE swell is the pick of the period. The Friday the 14th is also a solid option. The big stuff from the 11th to the 13th is for the hardcore only.

Rusty.

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