Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for our local stretch.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We get a pulse of solid swell early on, but the wind is gonna be a pain for most of it. There’s one window that’s the real standout, so we gotta be sharp.

First up, Tuesday the 11th rolls in with some size. Dairy Beach (New Pier) sees a 8ft SSE swell, but the period’s short at 8 seconds, so it’s a bit of a lumpy, wind-affected mess with that 19 mph SSW offshore. It’s clean, but with that wave energy sitting at 1060, it’s a full-on, powerful beast. This isn’t for beginners; that’s solid expert territory. The quality drops off a cliff from the get-go, so don’t get too excited.

Come Wednesday the 12th, the swell pushes up to 10ft from the SE with a 9-second period. The combined energy hits a whopping 1310, so the ocean is absolutely loaded with power. The wind is a cross-offshore, so it’s still clean, but again, this is for the big-wave crew only. Not a day for a casual paddle.

Then we get the golden ticket. Thursday morning, the 13th of August. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The swell drops to a much friendlier 6ft from the ESE, with a 9-second period. But the real story is the wind: glassy. Slight air, dead calm. The wave energy is a solid 600, so there’s enough power to get into anything. The tide and conditions look crisp. This is the pick of the fortnight by a mile. Get on it early.

Things go downhill fast after that. From Friday the 14th all the way through to Wednesday the 26th, it’s a long, painful run of onshore easterly winds. Most days are a write-off with poor conditions. The swell stays small to moderate, but that constant NE wind ruins everything. There’s a couple of moments around Wednesday the 19th afternoon where a 5ft ESE swell bumps through with a clean cross-offshore wind, but it’s a tease in a long stretch of grovel. The combined energy is a weak 588, so it’s not really worth the effort.

The second week is a real snoozer. High winds blow through on the 21st and 22nd of August with big, chunky, short-period swell, but it’s all onshore and blown out. The 28 mph NE wind on the 21st makes it look more like a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session. There’s a fleeting glimpse of a long-period 14-second S groundswell on the 23rd, but it’s tiny (2ft) and buried under another 19 mph onshore blow. By the 26th of August, we’re scraping the bottom of the barrel with tiny 2ft swell.

So there you have it. That Thursday morning is the absolute standout. The rest is mostly a waiting game. Keep your head up, forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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