Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first real chance to get wet doesn’t show up until Wednesday morning, the 15th. Before that, Tuesday afternoon is a write-off with onshore winds and poor conditions, so you might as well wax up your board and wait.

The standout window is Wednesday the 15th through to Thursday the 16th. Dairy Beach (New Pier) is where it’s at. Wednesday morning, we’ve got a clean 6ft easterly swell with a nice 10-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE. That’s going to set up some proper, pitchy walls. The wave energy is sitting at a solid moderate 743 (combined energy), so there’s enough push to get you down the line without it being a washing machine. The water is sitting at a normal 71°, so no surprises there. Thursday morning is the cherry on top – glassy conditions, 5ft easterly swell, and the same 10-second period. That’s the kind of morning you call in sick for. The surf will be clean and fun, perfect for an intermediate surfer.

The swell drops a bit into Friday and Saturday, with smaller 4ft to 3ft waves, but it stays clean through Friday afternoon. By Saturday, the onshore winds come back, and the quality drops right off. We then hit a dry spell from Sunday the 19th through to the morning of Monday the 27th. There’s a few pulses of bigger swell in there, like a 6ft SSE groundswell on Sunday afternoon, but the wind is howling onshore, making it a mess. For a couple of days around the 20th, there’s a brief glimmer of clean conditions and a 6ft SSE swell, but the wind is side-offshore, and the energy is high (1047 combined energy), meaning it’s only for the experienced crew.

Then, we finally get a flicker of hope on the 27th. Monday afternoon, the wind goes light offshore from the SSW, and we get a clean 3ft S swell. It’s small, but it’s surfable. The real comeback looks like it’s brewing for Tuesday the 28th. A fresh 19 mph offshore wind from the SSW will clean up a 7ft S swell with a solid 11-second period. That’s a big, powerful groundswell – 1070 combined energy – and it’s going to be a bit of a beast. That’s a pulse for experts only, and it’s still a week and a half out, so lock it in with a pinch of salt. After that, it’s back to small and onshore for the rest of the 16-day run.

So, to sum it up: the best bet is Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th for clean, fun waves at Dairy Beach. The long-range look at Tuesday the 28th is promising for the big-wave hunters, but it’s a long way off.

Rusty.

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