Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Looking at the charts for Dairy Beach (New Pier) and honestly, we've got a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. The water is sitting at a pretty standard 71°F for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

We’re kicking off on Monday the 10th of August with a big, raw Southerly swell pushing through at a solid 12 feet. The combined energy is massive, clocking in at (1790), and that's just too much. The wind is a strong 25 mph cross-off, which keeps the surface clean, but this is expert territory for sure. The afternoon looks similar with a strong offshore breeze, but the sheer size makes it a grind just to get out.

Tuesday the 11th sees the swell drop a touch, but it’s still sizeable and messy with a shorter 8-second period. The morning is 8 feet from the SSE with a 22 mph cross-off, and honestly, it’s looking pretty average with tide issues. Not worth getting excited about.

Wednesday the 12th shows a lot of rain showers about. The morning has 10 feet of SE swell (1304 energy), but the conditions are marginal. The afternoon improves a bit with lighter winds and 8 feet, but it’s still not a standout.

Now, Thursday the 13th to Friday the 14th starts to tidy up. Thursday offers clean 6-foot waves in the morning with light cross-off winds, and Friday morning the 14th is where we get a real window. It’s the standout of the first week. You’ve got a glassy 5 feet from the ESE with a 10-second period. The combined energy is a manageable (337). That’s clean, just about chest to head high, and perfect for an intermediate surfer looking to get a few good ones. The only catch is it'll be busy – this spot gets crowded often. Friday afternoon gets blown out by a cross-on breeze, so get your session in early.

We then hit a lull. From Saturday the 15th right through to the start of the following week, the swell gets mixed up with onshore easterly winds and a longer 11-second period. The energy is moderate (around 900-1000), but the conditions are just not ideal for a clean paddle session.

We get another small, glassy window on Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th mornings. Expect clean 5 to 6-foot waves with very light winds. These are nice, mellow sessions for a longboard.

After that, it goes pretty flat and ordinary from the 19th onwards. Strong winds kick up again, and the swell drops down under 4 feet until Saturday the 22nd, which brings a short-period, onshore 6-foot windswell. That’s more of a choppy mess for kites than a clean paddle.

Looking way out, the forecast suggests a significant pulse on the 24th and 25th of August. Tuesday the 25th morning in particular has a raw Southerly swell at 10 feet with a moderate offshore wind. The energy is back up at (1195). It’s powerful and clean, but again, that's a big, expert-only wave. Something to keep an eye on for the brave crew, but it's a long way out and could change.

So to sum it up: this Friday morning, the 14th, is your best bet for clean, fun surf. Otherwise, it’s either too big, too blown, or too small.

- Rusty

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