Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the Dairy Beach (New Pier) surf forecast for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but a couple of sweet windows are shaping up, especially if you’re an intermediate surfer who can handle a bit of size. The first few days are pretty grim, with onshore winds and poor surf conditions through Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th. You’re better off staying on the beach for those days.

Our first real chance to get wet comes on Wednesday morning, the 26th of August. The wind swings light cross-offshore out of the SSW, cleaning things up nicely. We’ll see a 3ft south swell with a solid 17-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy, folks. The combined energy is moderate at 389, so it’ll have some push. The wave comment says to expect good surf. It’s not huge, but it’ll be clean.

Now, Wednesday afternoon, the 26th, is the standout of the first week. The swell jumps to 5ft from the south, still holding that 17-second period. The wind stays light and cross-offshore. The combined energy really kicks in at 1372, meaning strong wave energy. The report says excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers. This is the one to point your board at for the week. The south swell is firing straight into the pier, so expect some proper lines. The water temp is about 70°, which is normal for this time of year.

After that, it gets messy again. Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th see fresh to strong onshore northeasterlies, smashing the swell. We get some size – up to 10ft on Friday – but with the wind howling onshore, it’s a washing machine. Not worth it for paddling, but if you’ve got a kite, that Friday afternoon might look interesting.

The weekend of the 29th and 30th is more of the same: strong onshore winds and big, messy waves. The swell is pumping, but the quality is poor. We get a bit of a break on Monday the 31st with lighter winds, but the swell drops off and the conditions are still marginal.

Our next real glimmer of hope comes on Tuesday the 1st of September. The morning shows a 5ft swell from the east-northeast with clean conditions and a light cross-offshore SSE wind. The combined energy is moderate at 310. The wave comment says expect good surf. It’s a decent window for a paddle.

Then we hit a bit of a lull, but the big news is Saturday the 5th of September. That morning, we’re looking at a 10ft south swell with a 15-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell. The combined energy is a massive 3660, which is very strong. The wind is cross-offshore from the SSW, so it’ll be clean. This is only for experts, folks, as it’s over 8ft. The wave comment says marginal, but the size and period are huge. That long period means it’ll be better suited to a point or reef, but at Dairy Beach (New Pier), be ready for some serious power and longer lulls between sets.

Sunday the 6th of September still has a solid 6ft south swell with offshore winds, but the conditions are more marginal.

Overall, the window for the best surf is Wednesday afternoon the 26th of August for the intermediate crew, and the big Saturday the 5th of September for the experts. The wave comment for Saturday flags it as marginal, but the energy is undeniable. Don’t get too excited about the long-range calls; they’re promising, but things can change. There’s a lot of onshore wind in between, but it’s a classic late winter pattern.

Enjoy the clean ones when they come.

Rusty.

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