Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Looking at the next sixteen days, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. There’s a decent run of swell on the way, but we’ll have to wade through some pretty poor conditions first before things get really interesting. The standout windows are a few days out, so keep your schedule flexible. Also, the water temp at Dairy Beach (New Pier) is sitting around 70°, which is pretty much normal for the middle of the season.

Right now, for the 30th and 31st of August, it’s not doing a whole lot. Sunday morning has a small 5ft ENE swell with a fresh SSW cross-off breeze, and while it’s clean-ish, it’s just not offering much. The energy is weak too, only 401 (weak). Sunday afternoon is a bit better with 4ft E swell and a lighter cross-off, but it’s still pretty ordinary. Monday follows the same theme: small 4ft E swells, some morning cross-shore bumps, and nothing that’ll get the heart racing. The energy is moderate but unremarkable, sitting at 227 and 266.

Moving into Tuesday the 1st and Wednesday the 2nd of September, we’re looking at more small, weak surf. Tuesday has onshore winds and messy conditions. Wednesday is more promising in terms of wind – a light S cross-off – but the swell drops to 3ft and 3ft, with very little energy behind it (125 and 114). It’s surfable but flat by any stretch. You’d be scratching for a knee-high runner.

Now, here’s the part we need to talk about. The weekend of the 5th and 6th of September is looking big. Really big. There’s a serious pulse of S swell arriving on Saturday. Wave heights jump to a massive 20ft to 25ft, and the combined energy is a monstrous 10955 and 15239 (very strong to extreme). The wind is a cross-off, which would be great elsewhere, but this is too big for Dairy Beach (New Pier). Even though the period is a solid 12 seconds, this is only for experts, and honestly, at this size, it’s probably going to be a washing machine. It could be more interesting as a kite session than a paddle session, to be honest.

Sunday the 6th is still huge but a bit more manageable. Morning sees 11ft SE swell with a clean offshore wind, still too big for most. But the afternoon is the first real standout. The swell drops to a solid 10ft, still a heavy size, but the conditions are prime: a light cross-off wind, clean faces, and a very long 9-second period offering plenty of power. The combined energy is a strong 4496. This is solidly for experienced surfers. This is one to circle on the calendar.

The following week, starting Monday the 7th, things ease back. There’s a 5ft S swell early Monday with light offshore winds and decent shape. It’s a quick window, as the afternoon gets onshore. Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th get messy with onshore winds and junky, lumpy conditions on a building SE/SSE swell. Not good.

The second week is a bit more of a mixed bag and harder to call at this range. Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th have some size (5ft to 7ft) but onshore winds are a problem. There is a window on Friday afternoon with a 6ft ENE swell and a fresh cross-off, but it’s likely wind-blown.

The last true highlight of this outlook is Saturday the 12th of September. The morning session is looking like a winner. We have a 7ft ENE swell with a clean, light S cross-off breeze. It won’t be perfect and the period is a short 8 seconds, but it should be fun, playful, and with some power. Expect some decent waves. The energy is a moderate 930. This one is the best of the second week. After that, the window closes again with a drop in size and poor, bumpy conditions on the 13th and 14th.

So, to sum it up: there are two true standouts here. The first is the Sunday afternoon, September 6th window – big, powerful, and clean, though only for the experienced crew. The second is the Saturday morning, September 12th session – more moderate but clean and fun. Everything else is a battle against conditions or a lack of swell. Hang tight and pick your moments.

Catch ya on the beach,

Rusty

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