Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at what Dairy Beach (New Pier) has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

First thing's first – the water is sitting at 71°, which is bang on average for this time of year, no surprises there. The pattern ahead is a bit of a mixed bag. We've got some small, onshore slop to start the week, but a proper window of clean, solid surf opens up towards the end of the first week and into the weekend.

Right now, Sunday the 5th is a write-off. We've got a 6ft SSE swell but with a strong onshore NNE wind, so it'll be a messy, blown-out mess. The conditions just aren't there.

Monday the 6th sees the swell drop right off to under 3ft. Clean enough with a light breeze, but there's just not enough push to get excited about. It's a flat blip in the forecast.

Tuesday the 7th offers a little more size – 5ft – but it's a short-period NE windswell with a weak 7-second interval and onshore wind. Not worth paddling out for.

Wednesday the 8th is tiny and weak, with combined energy dropping to just 78. A real lull in the action.

Thursday the 9th is where things start to get interesting. The morning is still small at 2ft, but then Thursday afternoon a new S swell kicks in at 6ft with a 14-second period. The wind goes cross-offshore from the SSE, and while the conditions are labelled as marginal, that's a solid groundswell building. The combined energy jumps to 1228 – that's moderate to strong.

The real standout, though, is Friday the 10th. This is the best of the run. We've got a solid S swell running at 7ft to 7ft with a very long 15-second period. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the SSE, so those waves will be clean, powerful, and lined up. This is proper groundswell, the kind with real grunt. The combined energy is sitting at 1880 to 2126 – that's strong. For experienced surfers, this is the morning to be in the water. The size is getting up there, so it'll be pushing intermediate limits; it's best left to the guys who know what they're doing.

Saturday the 11th keeps the swell size but the wind swings onshore from the NE, ruining the surface. By Sunday the 12th, we've got a fresh onshore breeze and choppy conditions, so we're back to poor surf.

Monday the 13th is a bit of a nothing day, then Tuesday the 14th brings a big S swell of 8ft but with a fresh 35 km/h cross-offshore wind. That's a lot of power, but the wind might make it unruly.

Wednesday the 15th morning looks promising – 5ft from the ESE with a 10-second period and clean conditions. A good session for the more competent crew.

Then it goes quiet again until the end of the period. Saturday the 18th is a major highlight, but there's a big caveat: we're looking at a huge 12ft S swell with a 10-second period and favourable cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is a massive 2744 – that's very strong. The forecast literally says it's too big for this break. This is expert-only territory, and frankly, it might be more of a spectacle than a session for most of us.

Sunday the 19th sees the swell drop back to a manageable 5ft from the SSE with light cross-offshore winds, offering a nice clean day to wrap it all up.

So, if you're looking for the absolute best, get on Dairy Beach (New Pier) for Friday the 10th. That morning session with the long-period S swell and glassy cross-offshore wind is the one. Keep an eye on Saturday the 18th if you're a gun, but respect the size.

Rusty.

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