Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's talk about the next couple of weeks at Dairy Beach. It's a mixed bag, to be honest, so let's get into it.

Right off the bat, we're looking at a rough patch. The start of this run is pretty much a wipeout for us. For several days, we've got onshore winds and junky, weak swell. The water temp is sitting at 71°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so the ocean feels normal, but the waves aren't delivering. There's some energy in the water with moderate readings, but it's all for nothing with that wind. We're staring at a solid dead spell until the end of the month.

Then, around Sunday the 30th, things start to look a little more promising. The wind finally swings around to a cross-offshore direction, and the surf cleans up. We're seeing some waist-high lines, but it's pretty marginal. The swell's a bit disorganized, and you'll be scratching for a few. It's not worth getting too excited about, but at least the water looks better.

Monday the 31st holds some hope, too. The wind goes light and a little cross, and while the swell drops a bit, it's surfable. Then in the afternoon, we get a proper offshore breeze and some cleaner conditions, but the swell is just not there. It's a one-star type of day, where you're just happy to be in the water.

The first few days of September look average. We get some clean windows with offshore winds on Wednesday and Thursday, but the swell's small. Then, hold onto your board, because Friday the 4th of September is where it gets wild. The swell just explodes. We're talking a massive 21ft of south swell, and the energy reading is off the charts at a staggering 14237. But, and it's a big but, the wind is howling onshore with a near gale. It's going to be a complete mess. This is not a surf day; this is a day to watch from the beach and maybe think about kite surfing because the conditions will be more favorable for that.

Saturday the 5th is still huge, with 13ft of south swell early. The wind is better, and it's clean, but this is way too big for this spot. It's only for experts, and even then, it's a dangerous, heavy day. The model is even saying it's too big for the break. The following days, the swell starts to fade but stays significant. We've got strong offshore winds which will keep it clean, but it's still big and you'll be fighting it just to get out past the break. This big swell event is the standout, but it's a wild card.

Looking further out, around Tuesday the 8th of September, we finally see a bit of light. The wind goes offshore and moderate, the surf is still a solid 7ft from the ENE, and the conditions finally line up. The model gives us a "very good" nod for the first time. This is your best bet for the whole run if you're after some clean, proper waves. Wednesday the 9th is similar but the wind starts to go onshore, so you'll want to be on it early.

After that, it fades back into small, poor conditions for the end of the run. The last few days are a drift. So, if I'm calling it, the window is Tuesday the 8th of September. It's not perfect, but it's promising. Everything else is either too small, too messy, or way too big. The long-range stuff looks okay, but it's less certain.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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