Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the coming weeks.

First up, this is a tough run. The forecast is looking pretty grim for a good stretch of time, with a lot of onshore wind and choppy conditions. The only real hope is a couple of specific windows in the second week. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so you won't need a thick winter suit, but you'll still want a decent one.

The best bet in the whole period is shaping up to be Friday the 11th of September at Dairy Beach (New Pier). The wind will be light and from the SSE, which is a clean cross-off, and we’re looking at a 5ft swell from the east with a 8-second period. The combined swell energy is a moderate 379, so it’s not a massive day, but with the wind tidying it up, it should be clean and fun for the intermediate surfer. The early part of the morning will be the go, before the wind swings around later. This is the standout.

The afternoon of the same day, Friday the 11th, also has a chance with a 5ft east-northeast swell and a 9-second period, still with that light SSE cross-off breeze. The energy dips slightly to 322, but it’s still clean and rideable. That’s your best two sessions.

Before that, the first week is a write-off. From Friday the 4th through to Thursday the 10th, the surf is poor, with strong onshore winds and messy conditions. There’s a big groundswell on Monday the 7th with a 10ft swell from the south and a 17-second period from the south, and the energy is massive at 5033, but it’s blown out by a strong NE wind. For a beach break like Dairy Beach, that long-period groundswell will be breaking straight and tough, so it’s not user-friendly.

After the 11th, it tails off again. Saturday the 12th morning is surfable but ordinary, with a 4ft easterly swell and clean cross-off wind, but the energy is low at 195. Then from Saturday afternoon through to the 19th of September, it’s pretty much poor again, with strong winds and choppy sea states. There’s a brief window on Tuesday the 15th morning with a clean offshore wind and a 3ft swell from the southeast, but that’s tiny and the energy is only 99, so it’s barely worth a paddle.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The second week has a couple of decent windows on the 11th, which are the best of the bunch. After that, it’s back to the doldrums. The long-range stuff on the 19th is just more wind and blown-out swell. This is a quiet period for the area, and it’s a bit of a blank run, but forecasts can change, so don’t write it off completely.

Rusty.

Read more