Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' at Dairy Beach (New Pier) over the next couple of weeks. Got a bit of a mixed bag comin' our way, so let's break it down.

We're starting off a little slow, to be honest. Wednesday afternoon is a no-go with a strong onshore wind and messy surf. The water temp is sittin' around about 72°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, nothin' unusual there.

Thursday morning is a little better, with a small 3ft SE swell and an offshore-ish cross-off wind. It's clean, but it's small and weak (258 energy units). Thursday afternoon is similar, just very average.

Friday looks wild. The morning is blown out with 28 mph winds, so forget it. But Friday afternoon? Whoa. We're lookin' at a big 12ft S swell, but here's the thing – this break can't handle that size. For 12ft surf, you'd want to be an expert, and even then, the strong energy (2902 energy units) and clean-off wind might make it more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle session. I'd steer clear unless you're towed in.

Saturday morning 25th July is where we finally get a decent window. Lookin' at a clean 6ft SSE swell with light cross-off winds. The period is a touch short at 10 seconds, but the energy is moderate (563) and conditions look good. This is probably the best bet in the early part of the run. The water temp is still average for this time of year, around 72°F.

Sunday and Monday slip back into trash territory – onshore winds killin' the vibe with small, weak swell. Tuesday 28th July has a small, clean 3ft E swell but nothing to write home about.

Alright, now for the standouts. If you're lookin' ahead, mark your calendar for Thursday 30th July morning. We're lookin' at a 6ft SSE swell with the wind going totally glassy. That means perfect, clean conditions. It's a bit weak on energy (601), but the combination of that glassy surface and chest-to-head-high waves is gonna be special. Expect some crowds though, as this spot is often busy when it's good.

Then there's Friday 31st July. This is the one I'd circle. Morning brings a strong 8ft SE swell with a clean, offshore WSW wind. The energy is pumpin' at 975 units. This is gonna be a proper session for the experienced crew. The afternoon holds similar quality with an 8ft ESE swell and light offshore wind (1028 energy). Both of these windows are top tier. That bigger swell (over 8ft) means this is for the experts only – it'll be a bit too much for beginners.

After that little burst of gold, things fade again. Early August has some clean mornings on the 2nd (5ft E swell, glassy) but the energy drops off. The rest of the first week of August is plagued by easterly onshore winds and junky waves. The 5th of August has a clean, small 5ft E swell in the afternoon, but it's nothin' special.

The last few days fade out with tiny, onshore slop. There's a clean 3ft E swell on the 6th of August afternoon with an offshore wind, but it's small and weak (120 energy).

So, to wrap it up: the next few days are mostly for checking your gear. The two standout periods are Saturday 25th July morning for the clean, chest-high swell, and then the real gold is Thursday 30th July morning (glassy perfection) and Friday 31st July (proper sizable, clean conditions for experts). The long-range stuff (the second week) is less certain, but the 30th and 31st look like they could be absolute crackers. Be ready for crowds on the 30th. Get after it.

- Rusty

Read more