Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a decent run of surf coming up at Dairy Beach (New Pier), but you’ll need to pick your moments. The early part of the week is bumpy, but there’s a real standout session on Sunday, 2nd August that you don’t want to miss if you’ve got the skills.

The pattern starts off Thursday, 30th July, with a solid 8 ft to 10 ft south swell, period around 9 seconds. The wind is fresh offshore from the SSW, so it’ll be clean but that strong breeze (up to 25 mph) will make paddling hard work. Wave energy is moderate to strong (969 to 1234), but the quality is marginal. This is more for the fit and determined. Friday 31st holds similar 10 ft swell easing to 8 ft, still with fresh offshore winds, but the cross-off shift in the afternoon softens it up a bit – still clean but not as punchy.

Saturday 1st August looks much better. Morning brings a 7 ft SE swell with a moderate offshore breeze, energy is strong (1299). The ‘expect very good surf conditions’ flag is flying, and with clean lines it’s a solid intermediate option. Saturday afternoon eases a notch but stays clean with a 8 ft SE swell at 10 seconds.

Now for the standout. Sunday, 2nd August, is the pick of the whole outlook. The morning session delivers a 10 ft SE swell with an 11-second period – proper groundswell – and only a light SSW breeze (6 mph) making it glassy offshore. Combined energy is pumping at 1812, strong and powerful. This is excellent surf but remember: over 8 ft, so it’s only for experienced surfers. The long period will create clean, lined-up waves at this beach/pier setup, though because it’s a beach break the longer period might make the waves break a bit straight. Still, for the crew who can handle it, this is the call. The afternoon stays clean with a 8 ft swell and light winds. CROWD WATCH: crowds are often here, so expect company.

Then we hit a big lull. Monday 3rd August through to Monday 10th August is largely poor. Onshore winds from the NE dominate, swell drops to 6 ft and below, and the energy drops to weak or moderate (under 700). Wind states are onshore or unknown, and scores are zero for most sessions. A few half-hearted blips show on Saturday 8th with 8 ft but onshore junk. Sunday 9th has a strong offshore wind (25 mph) but the swell is a messy 8 ft from the NE with short period – more of a kiter’s day than a paddle surfer’s. This gap of poor conditions runs about 8 days.

Tuesday, 11th August, things get interesting again but it’s a mixed bag. A huge 10 ft south groundswell arrives with an extremely long 16-second period. The energy is massive – over 4000 – but the wind is onshore from the ENE. That offshore wind we need isn’t there. It’s marginal at best, and for the experts only due to size. The long period at a beach break is likely to be fat and closey. Wednesday 12th still has solid 7 ft swell from the south with 14-second period, but again onshore ENE winds. The quality is poor. This long-range call shows potential but is less certain this far out.

Water temp is about average for the time of year – no anomaly flagged – so you’ll be fine in a spring suit.

Bottom line: Sunday 2nd August morning is your golden window – big, clean, powerful. After that, it’s a long wait until mid-August with a bit of size but messy wind. Keep an eye on the forecasts.

Rusty.

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