Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for Dairy Beach (New Pier) over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burn, but there’s a serious pulse of energy coming through, and we need to be patient for it.

The immediate future is looking pretty flat and messy. The next few days are a write-off, with small, weak swell and onshore winds messing things up. We’re talking knee-to-waist high slop, not worth getting wet for. This quiet spell runs right through the weekend, and the wave energy is weak, hovering around the 100 to 200 mark. You’ll see the water temp is sitting at 71°F, which is about normal for this time of year, nothing crazy there.

Now, for the real story. The middle of next week changes everything. There’s a big, powerful south swell pushing in, and the energy readings go through the roof, reaching 3112 by Monday the 10th. This is a strong, thumping swell, but here’s the catch: it’s too big for this spot. We’re talking 11 to 13 feet of raw south energy. That’s not a Dairy Beach wave; that’s a hold-onto-your-wetsuit-and-pray kind of day. The wind is offshore and clean, which would be perfect if it wasn't so oversized. Even though the conditions are favorable, it’s just too much. This solid, oversized swell will keep things blown out and unruly for a couple of days.

Things start to settle down by Wednesday the 12th. The swell drops to a more manageable 6 feet, but it’s still got a lot of push behind it with an energy of 2004. The wind is offshore and clean, and this is when it gets interesting. This is the standout window for the more experienced crew. The easterly direction is right on the money for this spot, and that period is still decent. It’s still powerful, but it becomes a proper, grinding wave. The morning of Thursday the 13th is another big one, but again, it’s too big at 11 feet, so we’ll have to wait.

The real highlight, the one you want to circle on the calendar, is the morning of Friday the 14th. The swell has dropped to a solid 8 feet, the energy is still strong at 1436, and the wind is light and cross-off, leaving it clean. This is the pick of the bunch. It’s a proper, powerful east-southeast swell with a long 11-second period, and it’s going to have some real push to it. This is for experienced surfers only, no doubt. It’s big, it’s clean, and it’s got some serious grunt.

After that, it slowly fades out. The weekend of the 15th and 16th sees the swell drop back to 5 feet, with the wind going onshore and a bit bumpy. By the start of the following week, we’re back to small, weak, and junky. The energy drops off significantly, and it looks like we slide back into the doldrums. There’s a slight bump on the afternoon of Tuesday the 18th with a bit of south wind-swell, but it’s short-period and not worth getting excited about.

So, to sum it up: don’t bother this weekend. The early part of next week is way too big. The standout is Friday morning, the 14th, when the size and wind align for a proper session. Wednesday the 12th is also worth a look for the experienced. The long-range stuff is a bit of a lottery, but this window looks promising. It’s a case of waiting for the ocean to sort itself out.

Rusty, out.

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