Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it.

The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag for Dairy Beach (New Pier). There’s some proper size on the way, but the wind is gonna be a big player. We’ve got a real window of opportunity coming up, but also some periods that are just a complete write-off.

It’s a bumpy start. Friday the 4th kicks off with a strong southerly breeze and a solid 10ft south swell, but it’s all over the place. The energy is moderate but the short 8-second period and that strong wind are going to make it a messy battle. There’s a window Friday afternoon with a bigger 12ft south swell and a cleaner cross-off wind, but honestly, at that size, this break might just be too much. It’s a washing machine. This is not the day to be a hero.

Saturday the 5th drops in size to 8ft, but the wind swings onshore and it’s just going to be lumpy and poor. Not your day.

The surf drops right off after that. Sunday the 6th is tiny and onshore, and then we enter a real dry spell. A big, long-period south swell rolls in on Monday the 7th – we’re talking 8ft at 17 seconds – but it’s getting smashed by a 19 mph onshore northeasterly. It’s going to be a complete mess, even if it is big. That trend holds through the middle of the week. It’s onshore, lumpy, and just no good.

The wait is worth it, though. The standout comes at the start of the second week. Monday the 14th builds through the day, and by the afternoon we get a proper clean-up. The wind swings around to a light southerly cross-off, and we get a solid 8ft east-northeast swell with an 8-second period pushing in a heap of energy. The water’s still warm at 69°, which is pretty average for the time of year. This is the one. It’s powerful and clean, and it’s for experienced surfers. It’s the best on offer.

The conditions turn messy again on Tuesday the 15th. A 25 mph onshore northeasterly is blowing hard, and the swell is all jumbled.

But there’s another gem to close out the period. On Thursday the 17th, a strong, clean south groundswell arrives. We’re looking at 8ft at a very long 12 seconds, with a light offshore wind. It’s a proper point-break style groundswell, though. Keep in mind that a period that long can make a beach break close out. It’s the second standout of the run, and it’s promising. The south wind is a bit stronger in the afternoon, but the morning is the call.

There’s a slight window on Friday the 18th with a lighter 5ft south swell and a barely-there wind, but it’s a step down from the days before.

So, in short, the first four or five days are a wash. The magic happens at the start of the second week, and again a few days later. Get on it.

Rusty

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