Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Dairy Beach.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid gap of nothing worthwhile until Tuesday the 15th. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you might want the rubber.

Tuesday the 15th sees the first real chance. Morning is marginal with a 7ft E swell and cross-off wind from the south at 9 mph, but the afternoon is where it’s at. Glassy conditions, SE wind at just 3 mph, and a clean 6ft E swell. The energy is moderate (619) and the period is a touch short at 9 seconds, but for a Tuesday arvo session, you could do a lot worse.

Wednesday the 16th has a clean 5ft E swell in the afternoon but it’s ruined by a strong cross-off breeze from the SSW at 28 mph. Not worth the paddle.

Thursday the 17th shapes up nicely. Light rain in the morning but don’t let that put you off. A 6ft SSE swell with a clean cross-off breeze from the south at just 3 mph. The afternoon looks even better with a 5ft E swell and offshore wind from the SW at 6 mph. That’s clean, lined-up surf with moderate energy (755). This is a standout – the wind is right, the swell is manageable, and it’s gonna be a fun one.

Friday the 18th is a different story. The swell jumps to 12ft to 13ft from the SE and SSE. The wind is favourable in the morning with a cross-off westerly, and strong offshore in the afternoon from the SW, but the size is too big for this break. This is expert territory only if you’ve got the nerve, but for most of us, it’s a pass. The energy is huge (1875 to 2386), but the guidance says it’s too big for Dairy Beach.

Saturday the 19th through Monday the 21st is a write-off. Onshore winds from the NE and strong onshore flow keep the surf messy. Swell drops but the wind stays ugly. Avoid.

Tuesday the 22nd offers a glimmer. A 7ft S swell with fresh offshore wind from the SSW at 22 mph in the morning. It’s clean but the energy is moderate (927) and the guidance flags it as marginal. The afternoon is cleaner but the wind switches to cross-off. Worth a look if you’re keen but don’t expect perfection.

Wednesday the 23rd is back to onshore junk from the NE. Not worth the drive.

Thursday the 24th sees a drop-off. Only 3ft S swell in the morning with a cross-off breeze, and 3ft in the afternoon with glassy conditions. The period is long at 11 seconds but the size is tiny. Marginal at best.

Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th are mostly poor. Onshore winds and messy surf. Saturday afternoon has a fresh offshore from the SSW at 19 mph with a 5ft ENE swell, but it’s marginal.

Now, Sunday the 27th – this is the other standout. The morning has a 8ft ENE swell with moderate offshore wind from the SSW at 12 mph, and the afternoon goes off. 10ft ENE swell, cross-off breeze from the south at 9 mph, clean, and the energy is strong (1220). The period is short at 8 seconds, but the size and wind combo make it a proper session. Get on it if you can.

Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th are back to onshore slop from the NE. The window closes hard.

Best on offer: Thursday the 17th afternoon for clean, fun waves, and Sunday the 27th afternoon for the bigger, punchier swell. Get it while it’s good.

Rusty.

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