Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming our way for the next couple of weeks at Dairy Beach (New Pier). It’s a mixed bag, but a couple of windows will get the blood pumping.

Right off the bat, the water temp is sitting pretty average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.

We’ve got a strong pulse of swell arriving this Friday the 10th. It kicks off the period with a bang. Friday morning is looking like the standout. We’re talking solid 8 ft south swell with a long 15-second period – that’s proper groundswell, folks. The energy is pumping through at a hefty 2442, and with a light SSE cross-offshore breeze, it’s going to be clean. This one’s for the experienced crew only though; at that size, it’s not a beginner’s game. The south direction is a good fit for this spot, too. It does get *often* busy here, so expect company if you’re paddling out.

Friday afternoon drops a hair to 8 ft but the wind stays clean, though the score drops off a bit – still surfable for the experienced.

Saturday the 11th sees the swell ease to a still-chunky 6 ft from the south, with a 13-second period. Light SSW cross-offshore winds keep it clean all day. The energy is down to a moderate 1125, but it’s still a decent day for intermediates who want a piece of the action without the Friday overhead freight train.

Sunday the 12th is smaller again – 5 ft dropping to 4 ft – and the wind picks up a bit. It’s clean but nothing to write home about. The energy is dropping into the 500-600 range. It’s a so-so day.

Monday and Tuesday (13th & 14th) see the swell shift to an ESE direction with a shorter 8-10 second period. The size hangs around 5 ft to 7 ft. Winds are light and clean, especially Tuesday afternoon which looks to have a bit more energy (703). Still, the shorter period makes it a little more crumbly, not the same grunt as the start of the run.

Wednesday the 15th is the sneaky second standout. Morning glass-off conditions with an ESE wind – it doesn’t get much cleaner than that. 7 ft swell with a 10-second period and energy at 800. For the intermediate surfer who wants a clean, fun wave without the Friday crowds and power, this is your session. The wind goes a bit cross in the arvo, so make the most of the morning glass.

From Thursday the 16th onward, it’s a slow fade. Friday the 17th is dead – onshore NE wind and tiny 3 ft waves. A gap of a few days of poor, onshore junk follows. Saturday the 18th shows a brief flicker of hope with a strong SSW offshore wind and a small 4 ft swell, but it’s weak.

Then we hit another dry spell. Monday the 21st has a weird little pulse come in the afternoon – a 7 ft ENE swell with a short 7-second period and light cross-offshore wind. It’s a messy one, though. The period is far too short for that size, so don’t expect much shape. There’s a couple of small windows late in the run on the 24th and 25th, but the winds are onshore and the swell is junky.

To sum it up: Friday the 10th morning is the big dog for the experts, with powerful, clean south groundswell. Wednesday the 15th morning is the best all-rounder for intermediates – clean, fun, and glassy. Don’t sleep on that Wednesday glass-off.

Rusty.

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