Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. I’ve had a look at the charts for the next couple of weeks, and honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. We’re going to have to sit through a lot of onshore junk before we see anything worth getting properly excited about.

The first real chance for a wave is on Monday the 17th, but it’s not looking great. The swell is around 6ft from the ENE, but the wind is blowing straight onshore from the NE at 9 mph. The water is sitting at 70°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate (1157), but with that wind, it’s going to be a messy, bumpy mess. Not worth the paddle.

We then hit a long, dry spell. From Tuesday the 18th all the way through to Saturday the 22nd, the winds are a mix of onshore and cross-off, but the swell is tiny and weak. The energy readings are all low, under 200 most of the time, with heights dropping below 3ft. There’s nothing to chase here, just blown-out dribble.

The first real standout comes on Sunday the 23rd. A pulse of SSW swell hits, pushing 7ft, with a period of 10 seconds and moderate energy (934). The wind is cross-offshore from the S at 16 mph, which should keep things reasonably clean. This is a solid, intermediate-sized swell. For a beach/pier setup like Dairy Beach (New Pier), this is where it starts to get interesting. The direction is from the S, which isn’t the optimum E direction, but the size and clean wind make it the best option on offer for that day. Monday morning the 24th looks even bigger, with a 10ft SSW groundswell, a very long period of 17 seconds, and very strong energy (4606). That’s expert territory. The wind is a light cross-on, so it might be a bit lumpy, but the power is undeniable. This is a big, deep-water swell, so expect long, heavy sets. That Monday morning is the absolute peak of the window.

After that, we’re back to the onshore grind. Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th see the wind swing back to the NE, blowing onshore at 13-19 mph, ruining the fun. The swell drops off, and the energy fades.

For a quick look at the second week: Thursday the 27th afternoon shows a glimmer with a 6ft ENE swell and clean cross-offshore wind from the S at 9 mph. The energy is moderate (433). It’s smaller, but clean. Then the signal fades again into the end of the month.

So, to wrap it up: the standout is Sunday the 23rd for a solid, clean session on the SSW swell, and Monday the 24th for the big boys who want to tackle a serious, powerful groundswell. Everything else is a write-off thanks to the wind. Keep the boards waxed for that Sunday.

Rusty.

Read more