Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's cut through the noise and look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Right now, it’s a bit of a slow burn. That first bit of the run is looking pretty grim, with onshore winds and messy conditions through Thursday the 10th and into the weekend. We’re staring at a few days of poor surf that’s just not worth paddling out for. The water at Dairy Beach (New Pier) is sitting at a fresh 69°, which is a bit colder than average for this time of year, so you’ll want a good wetsuit when it does clean up.

Things finally start turning around on Tuesday the 15th. The morning brings a 6ft easterly swell with gentle cross-shore winds. The combined energy is moderate (608) and it’s looking borderline. The afternoon cleans up even more: 6ft from the east and only a 3 mph cross-shore breeze, practically glassy. The wave comment says it’s marginal, but the wind will have it looking a lot better than the junk we’ve been dealing with. That’s the first real window to wet a line.

Now, Wednesday the 16th is a solid call. You’ve got a clean 5ft easterly swell with a 10-second period and a cross-offshore breeze in the morning. The combined energy is 488—moderate, but with that wind, it’ll be a fun, user-friendly day for intermediates. Don’t sleep on it.

But the real standout, and I mean *the* standout of this whole 16-day stretch, is on Monday the 21st. We’ve got a 8ft south swell pumping in with offshore wind blowing at 12 mph in the morning. The combined energy is 824, it’s clean, and the wave comment says "expect very good surf conditions." The afternoon lightens up to just 6 mph offshore and 7ft from the SSE. This is your day. The swell is pushing 8ft, so it’s getting into the intermediate-to-expert zone, but with offshore winds, it’ll be lined up nicely for the pier. Crowds are "often" here, so expect company—they’ll all be chasing this window too. Don’t miss it.

After that, Tuesday the 22nd starts off glassy with a 5ft SE swell—good for a relaxed session before the wind picks up later. The rest of the week into the 25th is a mix of onshore junk and short-period windswell, so the window is tight.

So to sum it up: the first few days are a write-off. Tuesday the 15th is a warm-up, Wednesday the 16th is a solid goer, but Monday the 21st is your absolute best bet for clean, offshore perfection at Dairy Beach.

Stay frothy.
Rusty.

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