Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what’s shaping up at Dairy Beach (New Pier).

First thing to get your head around – the water temp is sitting at 71°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.

The forecast opens on Friday, July 3rd, with a thumping 10ft south swell hitting the beach. The combined swell energy is a solid 2888, so there's plenty of power in the water. Period is a meaty 13 seconds – that's a proper groundswell. Now, for an intermediate spot like this, 10ft is pushing it; this is really only for the experienced crew. The morning is looking unreal, with glassy conditions and zero wind. That’s about as clean as it gets. The afternoon stays clean, with a light cross-off breeze from the SSE at 3 mph, and the swell drops slightly to 8ft. These two sessions on Friday look like the true standouts of the whole period – big, powerful, and clean.

Saturday the 4th keeps the goods coming. Morning offshore wind from the SSW at 6 mph with a 8ft south-southeast swell (13-second period). The energy is still massive at 2362. It's still big, but the offshore wind will make for some absolutely heavenly, clean, lined-up waves. Afternoon sees a slight drop in size to 7ft, but still clean with a cross-off breeze. This is another top day.

Sunday the 5th takes a turn. The wind swings onshore from the NE, and the swell drops to 6ft by the morning, then 5ft in the afternoon. The period shortens a touch to 11-12 seconds. The wave energy is dropping fast (788 then 530). Honestly, by Sunday afternoon it’s looking pretty poor.

Then we hit a rough patch. Monday the 6th through to Wednesday the 8th is a write-off for decent surfing. The swell is small, the winds are messy, and the energy is weak. Thursday the 9th shows a little flare-up with a 8ft south swell and a short 8-second period, but the energy is moderate at 905. The morning has a nice offshore breeze, so it’ll be clean, but that short period means the waves will be a bit lumpy and closey. Worth a look if you're desperate, but not a standout.

Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th are tricky. Friday has onshore winds spoiling a decent 5-6ft south swell. Saturday the 11th looks better – a 4ft south swell with a long 14-second period in the morning under a cross-off breeze, and then a clean offshore wind in the afternoon. It's cleaner but the size is down.

From Sunday the 12th right through to the end of the forecast window, it’s mostly onshore winds or small, weak swells. There’s a pulse on Monday the 13th with a 7ft south swell (15-second period, 1737 energy), but the onshore wind is howling at 12-19 mph, making it a total mess. The only other glimmer is Saturday the 18th – the morning has zero wind and glassy conditions with a 5ft east swell. It’s not big, but it’ll be clean and fun for an intermediate.

So to wrap it up: Friday July 3rd and Saturday July 4th are your absolute best bets. That big south swell with those clean wind conditions is about as good as it gets. After that, it’s a bit of a gamble, with only the odd session worth paddling out for. Keep an eye on Saturday the 11th and the morning of Saturday the 18th for smaller, cleaner windows.

Stay stoked, Rusty.

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