Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

The first week is a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a real standout on Monday, August 3rd that’s worth circling on the calendar. After that, things get messy for a few days, but the second week shows some promise again.

The overall pattern starts with a solid pulse of swell but takes a dive mid-week before a slow rebuild. The best bet is coming up fast.

Monday, August 3rd is the one to chase. Dairy Beach (New Pier) is looking at a solid 7ft swell from the SE with a long period of 11 seconds, giving it some real grunt. The combined energy is pumping at 1125 (strong to very strong wave energy). What makes this a standout is the glassy conditions in the morning – wind from the SSE at 3 mph, smooth as anything. That’s a recipe for clean, powerful waves. This is intermediate territory, so if you’ve got the skills, get out there. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no wild surprises.

Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th see the swell drop right off and onshore winds mess things up. Not worth your time.

Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are small and clean, but with swell around 2ft to 3ft, it’s more of a longboard or cruiser session. The energy is weak (83 to 151 on the combined scale). Nothing to get excited about.

Saturday the 8th is a write-off – strong onshore winds and a messy windswell with a short period of 6 seconds. That 6ft spike in the afternoon is just wind-blown chop.

Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th are cleaner but still not great. Monday the 10th has a 7ft swell from the S with an 8-second period, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-off. It’s surfable but far from perfect. The afternoon gets a 31 mph near gale offshore – that’s for experts only, and even then, it’s a battle to paddle out.

Tuesday the 11th is a no-go with strong winds and small, messy surf.

Wednesday the 12th is the next glimmer. A glassy morning with 3ft of swell from the S, but the period is a long 12 seconds, giving it some shape. The combined energy is moderate at 448. The afternoon gets even better – glassy again, with 6ft from the ENE, though the period is short at 6 seconds. It’ll be fun if you’re in the right spot, but that short period means it’s a bit lumpy. Still, for a mid-week session, it’s one of the best on offer.

Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are clean but small until Friday morning, when a 6ft ENE swell with a 9-second period rolls in, combined energy at 732 (strong). The wind is light and cross-off, so conditions look clean. That’s a decent session for the second week.

After that, the weekend of the 15th and 16th is back to onshore winds and poor conditions. The 17th and 18th are small and clean but nothing to write home about.

So, the standout is Monday, August 3rd – 7ft SE groundswell, glassy, and plenty of energy. The other highlight is Wednesday the 12th, with glassy conditions and a nice long-period swell in the morning. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

Read more