Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat on what’s coming up for Dairy Beach (New Pier). We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag, but there are definitely a couple of windows to get excited about.

First off, the water is sitting at a warm 73°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – you can leave the steamer at home.

We kick off straight away, this Saturday, the 25th of July. The morning is looking crisp with a clean 6 ft swell from the SSE. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze, and the combined energy is in the moderate range (569). That’s a solid, surfable wave for an intermediate surfer. The afternoon holds up nicely too, with the same clean conditions and a 6 ft SSE swell (545). This is the best on offer, no question. The swell direction is coming straight from the optimum direction for this spot, so it should be wrapping in nicely. Just be aware that crowds are likely here, so get in early.

Sunday the 26th is a write-off. Onshore winds from the NE are going to ruin it. Poor conditions.

Monday the 27th is a bit of a lottery. The morning has a short-period 5 ft NE swell, but with a light cross-onshore wind it’s going to be bumpy. The afternoon sees the wind swing and the swell drop to 3 ft with very weak energy (69). Not worth the paddle.

Tuesday the 28th is also a no-go, with moderate rain and onshore winds messing up a 4 ft to 5 ft S swell.

Now, here’s the second standout. Wednesday the 29th of July. It’s a bit of a wildcard because it’s calling for light rain, but the wind is offshore from the WSW, and the swell is a clean 6 ft from the SSE again. The energy is moderate (516 in the morning, 548 in the afternoon). That offshore wind will groom it into some nice, clean lines. This is your other good call.

Thursday the 30th starts clean again in the morning with a 5 ft SE swell (477), but the wind shifts onshore in the afternoon, making it marginal.

From Friday the 31st through to the end of the first week of August, it’s a pretty bleak run. Onshore northeasterly winds dominate. Even though there’s some size – a 8 ft ESE groundswell on Sunday the 2nd of August (strong energy at 1300) – that onshore wind will make it a messy, choppy mess. That size is also getting into the expert-only zone, but it’s still blown out.

There’s a gap of about 9 days of poor-to-marginal conditions from Friday the 31st of July through to the second week.

Then, on Friday the 7th of August, the morning looks promising. The wind goes glassy, and we have a clean 4 ft E swell. It’s small, but glassy conditions are a major positive. The energy is low (217), but it’s surfable. That’s a glimpse of hope in the long range, but it’s a long way out so keep an eye on it.

The rest of the second week fades back into onshore wind and poor conditions. So, to sum it up: your best bets are Saturday the 25th and Wednesday the 29th of July. The rest is a gamble.

Rusty.

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