Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for Dairy Beach (New Pier) over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s a bit of a slow start. The first few days are pretty flat and messy, with a lot of onshore wind and small, weak swell. We’ve got a gap of nothing really worth paddling out for from Tuesday the 18th right through to Saturday the 22nd. That Saturday morning, the 22nd, sees a small bump of 5ft from the NE, but it’s a short period of 7 seconds and the wind is cross-shore, so it’s not going to be anything special. The water temp is sitting at 70°, which is right on the money for this time of year.

Now, the real action starts to build on Sunday the 23rd. That morning we’ve got a solid 10ft groundswell from the S, with a 13-second period, and the wind is a clean cross-off from the S at 12 mph. The wave energy is a massive 3224, so there’s a heap of power in the water. That’s a big, heavy swell, so it’s really only for the experienced crew. Sunday afternoon cleans up even more with a light SSE breeze at 6 mph, dropping the swell slightly to 8ft, but still with that same long period and a very strong energy reading of 2139. This is the standout of the whole forecast. The swell direction is solid S, which is right on the money for this spot’s optimum E direction, and with those offshore winds, it’s going to be a proper session for the lads who know what they’re doing. Crowds are often here, so expect a few eager faces.

Monday the 24th holds on with some decent surf. The morning is a bit onshore with ENE wind, but the swell is still a chunky 6ft from the S, with a 13-second period (energy 1398). The afternoon is the real gem: glassy conditions with an ESE breeze at 3 mph, and the swell is 5ft from the S with a very long 16-second period. The energy is 1083, and the report says it’ll be very good surf. That long period is a treat for the point and reef setups, but on a beach break like this, it might be a bit too straight, so pick your peak carefully.

After that, Tuesday the 25th sees the swell drop off, with onshore winds and poor conditions. The rest of the week into early September is a bit of a mixed bag. We get some more size on the 26th (7ft ENE) but with strong onshore winds, making it a mess. The 27th and 28th are similar – plenty of swell, but the wind is howling out of the NE, ruining any chance of a clean wave. There’s a bit of a look on Sunday the 30th with a 7ft swell and cross-off SSW wind, but the period is short at 7 seconds, so it’ll be choppy and weak.

To be honest, the standout is undoubtedly Sunday the 23rd afternoon, with that big, clean S swell and light offshore wind. Monday the 24th afternoon is a very close second with those glassy conditions and long-period groundswell. The rest of the window is either too small, too windy, or too short-period to get the heart racing. Keep your eyes on the 23rd and 24th, and don’t bother with the rest unless you’re desperate for a paddle.

- Rusty

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