Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming up at Dairy Beach (New Pier) over the next couple of weeks. The good news is there’s a standout session early on, but then we hit a long dry spell before a promising, if uncertain, flurry of activity in the second week.

The first real opportunity hits Monday the 20th of July afternoon. The water’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 73°, which is a nice little bonus. You’re looking at a clean 6 ft swell from the SE, with a solid 12-second period pushing a strong wave energy of 1140. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE at 6 mph, so the waves will be clean and well-shaped. This is the pick of the bunch – a proper session for intermediates. Keep an eye out for the crowds, as they’re often around here.

From Tuesday the 21st through to Saturday the 25th of July morning, the wind swings onshore from the NE, and the surf quality drops off a cliff. We’re talking onshore slop and poor conditions for days. The swell sticks around but the wind just ruins it.

Saturday the 25th of July morning and afternoon see a new S swell pushing in with a very long 15-14 second period, but it’s buried under a moderate to fresh onshore NE breeze. The combined energy is strong (897 and 864), but the wind makes it messy. Not worth paddling out for.

Then we hit a real quiet patch. From Sunday the 26th of July right through to the 1st of August, the surf is mostly poor or too small. There’s a brief moment Thursday the 30th of July morning with a clean 6 ft ESE swell and light cross-off wind, but it’s not a standout. There’s a glassy morning on Friday the 31st of July with a 5 ft E swell, but the energy is only moderate (419) and the swell direction isn’t perfect for the break.

The real interest comes in the first week of August. Monday the 3rd of August is a no-go – a massive 10 ft SSE swell with a very long 12-second period and onshore NE winds at 12-15 mph. The combined energy is extreme (2911 and 2644), but the wind and size make it a mess. Strong offshore winds from the SW on the 29th of July also create a powerful, clean but hard-to-paddle-into 8 ft swell. This is expert-only territory.

Now, for the true standout later on: Tuesday the 4th of August. Morning and afternoon both deliver a solid 8 ft and 8 ft SE swell, with a 12-second period and significant wave energy (1773 and 1788). The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the SSE and S, at a moderate 12 mph and gentle 9 mph. The surf will be clean and powerful. It’s a bit of a long-range call, so keep your fingers crossed, but if it comes together, this is the session to aim for. The 8 ft size is definitely for experienced surfers only.

Signing off, Rusty.

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