Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at the next couple of weeks for Dairy Beach (New Pier).

Alright mate, the next 16 days have a bit of a slow start, but there’s some real promise tucked away in there. The first surf worth paddling out for hits us this Saturday morning, July 25th. We’ve got a solid 6 ft swell rolling in from the SSE, with a period of 10 seconds – that’s a nice, workable groundswell. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the S at 6 mph, so it’ll be clean. The combined energy is sitting at 633 (moderate wave energy). Water temp is 73°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. For an intermediate, Saturday morning is the standout early call.

Now, Sunday the 26th is a write-off – onshore NE winds at 12-15 mph are gonna mess it right up. Monday morning the 27th is a bit average, but Monday afternoon is a little glassy gem with a tiny 3 ft swell from the ENE (6 seconds) and glassy conditions. It’s not big, but it’ll be clean and fun for a cruisy session. The energy is weak at 57.

Tuesday the 28th is blown out with strong cross-offshore winds. Skip it.

But then we get to Wednesday the 29th. Wednesday morning has clean 6 ft swell from the SSE (8 seconds) with a light offshore SSW wind at 9 mph. The energy is moderate at 531. That’s a solid morning for Dairy Beach. Wednesday afternoon holds up too, with 6 ft and light offshore winds – good conditions.

Thursday morning the 30th is the absolute pick of the first week. Glassy conditions, 5 ft swell from the SE (9 seconds), and the combined energy is 472 (moderate). That’s as clean as it gets. Get out there early before the afternoon cross-onshore wind kicks in.

After that, we hit a rough patch. Friday the 31st and Saturday August 1st are both onshore trash or marginal at best. Sunday August 2nd is even worse with NE winds at 15 mph and 7 ft lumpy swell.

Now, the second week brings a proper standout. Monday August 3rd afternoon gets a 6 ft swell from the SE (12 seconds) with glassy conditions. The combined energy is 962 (moderate-to-strong) and the forecast is for very good surf. That’s the best of the whole run – a long-period groundswell with clean glass. It’s a week away, so don’t lock it in yet, but keep an eye on it.

Tuesday the 4th onward is mostly poor or marginal, with onshore winds and smaller swell. By Friday August 7th, strong SSE winds blow through but won’t give us much quality. The rest of the run into the second weekend looks ordinary – onshore NE winds and inconsistent small surf.

So bottom line: Saturday morning July 25th, Thursday morning July 30th, and Monday afternoon August 3rd are your real windows. The 3rd is the standout if the forecast holds.

Crowds are likely at Dairy Beach, so get there early for the clean ones.

- Rusty

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