Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Dairy Beach (New Pier) over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 72°, which is pretty normal for this time of year – nothing wild there.

The next few days are a bit of a write-off, to be honest. Thursday the 23rd is small and messy with a cross-off wind, not worth paddling out for. Friday the 24th is plain ugly – strong breeze and a tiny 2 ft swell in the morning, then the arvo blows up to 12 ft, which is way too big for this spot and just a washing machine with the wind. You’ll wanna steer clear.

Saturday the 25th offers a little hope. The morning has a clean 6 ft swell from the SSE, with a light breeze, and the combined energy is moderate (546). It’s rideable, but not a standout. The arvo gets a cross-on wind, so it’s average.

Sunday the 26th right through to the end of the first week is all onshore wind and poor conditions. We’ve got a gap of poor surf from Sunday the 26th all the way through to Thursday the 30th of July. There’s a big swell event on the 29th and 30th with 10 ft to 12 ft, but it’s all onshore and messy – honestly, with that much wind and size at a beach break, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Now, here’s the standout. Friday the 31st of July. That’s your best bet. Morning brings a solid 10 ft swell from the SSE, with a gentle offshore wind from the SSW. The combined energy is strong (1743), and the conditions are clean and excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon holds up with 8 ft from the SE and a cross-off breeze, still excellent. This is the one to circle on the calendar – just be aware that water is gonna be pumping and it’s for experienced crew only.

After that, the first week of August looks inconsistent again. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd have 8 ft and 6 ft swell but with onshore winds, so it’s poor. Monday the 3rd has a near gale offshore wind, which is hard to paddle into. Tuesday the 4th morning cleans up with a light breeze and 4 ft from the east, but the energy is weak (327), so it’s a small, clean session if you’re desperate.

The rest of the second week is small, weak, and mostly onshore. Nothing to get excited about.

So, bottom line: Friday the 31st of July is the clear winner. Big, clean, and offshore. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too big and messy. Get that date locked in if you’re keen.

Rusty.

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