Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for Dairy Beach (New Pier). We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming up over the next couple of weeks, so let’s cut through the noise and find the real windows.

Right now, there’s nothing doing. Thursday morning is tiny with weak, messy 3 ft swell from the south at 7 seconds, and the energy is laughable (94). Thursday afternoon is even worse – basically a write-off. You’re looking at a couple of days of flat, ordinary conditions before anything worth paddling out for shows up.

The first real standout, and the best bet in the whole forecast, is Friday morning, the 10th of July. That’s when we get a proper pulse of groundswell. We’re talking 7 ft of south swell with a long 15-second period, and the energy is through the roof (2241). That’s for experienced surfers only – it’s going to be powerful and a bit raw. The wind is light and cross-offshore, keeping it clean. This is *the* session to circle on the calendar. The afternoon holds similar size but the wind picks up a notch, making it more of a handful.

Saturday the 11th still has some solid 6 ft south swell, dropping into the afternoon, but still with decent period (13 seconds) and moderate energy (1010). Light cross-off winds again in the morning, so it’s very surfable, just not quite as crisp as Friday.

Sunday the 12th is a step down in size and quality. The wind is stronger, making it choppier, and the swell is dropping. Monday the 13th has a bit of small glassy surf in the morning (3 ft, 11 seconds), but the energy is fading (390). It’s clean, but small.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Tuesday the 14th through to Saturday the 18th, it’s a mix of onshore winds (northeast) and generally poor, choppy conditions. The waves that do show up are short-period and messy. Don’t bother.

Now, things get interesting again on Sunday the 19th of July. Another big pulse arrives in the morning: 8 ft of swell from the northeast, but it’s short-period (8 seconds) and the energy is high (1155). The wind is light and cross-off again, so it could be fun for a short, punchy session, but it’s not the clean, long lines of the 10th. The afternoon glass off with a light south swell is a nice bonus, but the morning is the main event.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. From the 20th through to the 24th, it’s a solid block of strong onshore northeast winds. The swell is there, but it’s blown out, choppy, and ugly. Honestly, for kite surfing it might be a blast, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard pass.

So, to sum it up: your absolute best window is Friday morning, July 10th. That’s the big, clean, powerful groundswell. Saturday the 11th is a good backup. The Sunday the 19th pulse is promising but more of a wildcard with that short period. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too messy.

Stay stoked, and I’ll see you out there if it cleans up.

Rusty.

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