Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's shaping up for Dairy Beach (New Pier) over the next couple of weeks.

Alright, so the outlook for Dairy Beach starts off pretty grim. The whole first week is a write-off – we’re looking at a solid gap of about 7 days of nothing worth paddling out for. The onshore winds from the NE are just junking it up, and the swell is all over the place. It’s a tough start.

Come Monday the 27th, there’s a tiny glimmer. The morning shows a 5ft NE swell, but it’s a short-period 6-second windswell, and with a cross-shore breeze, it’s just a mess. The afternoon actually cleans up with a proper offshore from the SSW, but the swell drops to 3ft ENE, so you’re on a grovel board for ordinary waves. Not worth the drive.

Tuesday the 28th is a no-go, with the wind switching and a risk of thunderstorms. The real glimmer of hope hits on Wednesday the 29th of July. The morning is looking like the standout. We’ve got a solid 7ft SSE swell, an 8-second period, and a clean offshore wind from the SW. The energy is pumping with a combined energy reading of 759 (moderate wave energy). That’s a proper session. The afternoon stays good with 7ft, but the morning is the pick. Just be aware it’s a fair-sized swell, maybe pushing it for beginners, but intermediate surfers are going to have a blast.

Thursday the 30th holds some cleaner swell at 6ft, but the wind is cross-off, not pure offshore. Still, it’s a decent day. Then things back off again through the weekend into early August. The wind goes back onshore and the size drops.

Now, there’s a bit of talk on the horizon. On Tuesday the 4th of August, we see a longer period groundswell arrive – 6ft SE swell with a 13-second period. The energy is high (1058 – strong wave energy). But the wind is onshore, NE. It’s a curse. The swell is there, but it’s going to be bumpy and messy. If the wind ever swings offshore, that day would be incredible, but as it stands, it’s a frustrating session.

The very end of the outlook, on Monday the 10th of August, is a big one. An 8ft ENE swell with a 9-second period, and finally, a cross-offshore wind from the south. The energy is massive at 1646 (very strong wave energy). That’s a lot of water moving. For a beach break, that’s a powerful, heavy wave. This is for experts only; 8ft with that much energy is a proper paddle battle. The afternoon is a bit smaller at 7ft, but still a big day.

So, the best bet is clear: Wednesday the 29th of July morning. That’s your window. The offshore wind, solid 7ft SSE swell, and clean conditions make it the standout. The big 10th of August is a wildcard – massive energy but a cross-offshore wind, which might be more interesting for the kite crew than a straight paddle session. Keep an eye on it, but don’t get your hopes up too high.

Rusty.

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