Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks for Dairy Beach (New Pier). It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down day by day.

To start, the first few days are pretty grim. From Sunday the 16th through to Wednesday the 20th, you’re looking at onshore winds, small, weak waves, and not a single window where it’ll be worth paddling out. The swell energy is weak to moderate at best, mainly in the low hundreds, and the period is short. It’s a flat, bumpy stretch that’s best spent doing anything else.

There’s a bit of a jump in energy on Friday the 21st in the afternoon, with the swell jumping to 6ft and a long 15-second period, but the wind is on it from the NE, so it’s gonna be messy. Don’t get too excited.

Now, here’s the one real standout in this entire run. Saturday morning, the 22nd of August. The wind drops to nothing – glassy conditions – and there’s a 4ft southerly swell rolling in with a 16-second period. The combined energy is 797, which is solid, and the conditions are described as ‘very good’. This is your window. The sets will be clean, the waves will have some push, and it’ll be worth the paddle. For Dairy Beach, this is about as good as it gets.

After that, the weekend gets messy again. Sunday the 23rd is cross-off winds with a building swell, but it’s only marginal. Then Monday the 24th sees a big jump in size – up to 7ft – but with a 16-second period and onshore NE winds, it’s going to be a blown-out mess. Onshore and big, that’s a no-go unless you’re after a battle.

The rest of the second week is a story of onshore winds and a building, but unsurfable, swell. From the 25th to the 28th, it’s mostly NE winds messing up the surface. The swell stays around the 4ft mark, but it’s just not clean.

By the very end of the run, the 29th, 30th, and 31st, we see the swell really kick up – up to 8ft by Sunday afternoon. That’s big, but the winds go onshore and cross-onshore, and the period drops to 8 seconds or less. This setup is going to be lumpy, raw, and messy. For a beach/pier break, this looks much more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. It’s just too much energy with no order to it.

So, the honest truth is, there’s one day worth getting excited about – Saturday the 22nd. A few other days have the size, but the wind just ruins it. It’s not the best run for the region, but that one glassy morning should be a cracker.

Rusty out.

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