Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. The next 16 days at Dairy Beach (New Pier) are a proper mixed bag. We’ve got one standout session right at the start of the period, but then a long stretch of grovel or blown-out conditions takes over.

Wednesday, August 26 is your day. That’s the one to circle. A solid, long-period south groundswell rolls in with a deep 18-second pulse. The morning sees a clean 4 ft south swell, with a light cross-off breeze coming out of the south at 6 mph. The water is sitting at 70°, which is pretty much average for the time of year. That offshore wind and that long period are going to set up some seriously clean, well-shaped lines on the pier. The combined swell energy is sitting strong at 803, showing there's plenty of push. This is the pick of the whole forecast.

Wednesday afternoon actually gets even bigger, jumping to 7 ft from the south with that same 18-second period. The energy rockets up to 2979. The wind stays cross-off from the SSE at 9 mph. This is excellent, but at 7 ft with that much power, it’s more for the experienced crew. If you’ve been surfing a while, get out there.

Here’s the kicker: After that, we hit a wall. From Thursday, August 27 all the way through to Monday, September 7, the conditions turn ugly. The wind swings onshore from the northeast, and it blows hard – 19 mph, 22 mph, up to 28 mph. It’s a classic onshore mess. A few clean-ish moments pop up from a SSE wind in late August and early September, but the surf is small and raw. Honestly, this stretch looks far more interesting for kiteboarding than paddle surfing, especially when the swell gets over 8 ft with that onshore howl.

Monday, September 7 offers a tiny glimmer. The afternoon shows a massive 12 ft south groundswell, and the wind goes light and offshore from the south at 9 mph. The energy is huge at 2577. But the forecast is clear – this swell is simply too big for this break. It’ll be a washing machine. Only the most hardcore, experienced crew should even look at it. For everyone else, that’s a skunk.

After that, the final few days in the second week are just marginal. Small, short-period bumps from the east-northeast with mostly cross-off or onshore winds. Nothing to get excited about.

So, there it is. Wednesday morning, August 26. Clean, long-period south swell at Dairy Beach. Don’t snooze on it, because the window after that is a long, dry spell.

Rusty.

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