Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The only break on the radar for this stretch is Dairy Beach (New Pier). The setup is a beach-and-pier deal, fairly exposed, and it likes an easterly direction for the best shape. The water is sitting at 73°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first chance to even think about paddling out comes on Monday, July 20th, but honestly, it’s not much to write home about. You’ve got a 6ft SE swell running with a 12-second period, so there’s some decent energy in the water (combined energy of 1087), but the wind is a messy cross-off from the south in the morning, turning into a cross-shore in the afternoon. The call is marginal at best, and the scores are low. It’s surfable, but it’s not going to be one for the memory bank.

From Tuesday through Thursday, it goes downhill. The swell drops, winds turn onshore from the northeast, and the conditions are just poor. The combined energy drops to around 432-448 on Wednesday, and by Thursday, the swell is down to 2ft-3ft with a strong cross-off wind. It’s not worth suiting up for.

Now, Friday, July 24th is where things get a bit more interesting. The morning is still a bit messy with a 8ft S swell and a strong cross-off wind, but the afternoon is the real standout. The wind swings to a gentle cross-off from the SSE, the swell drops to a solid 7ft from the south with an 11-second period, and the combined energy is strong at 1116. That’s the window. The waves will be clean, the pier will be working, and it’s the best session on offer in the whole outlook. The only catch? It’s an intermediate-level wave at that size, and the crowds are often there, so be ready to share the peak.

After that, it’s a long, dry spell. From Saturday, July 25th, all the way through to Thursday, July 30th, it’s mostly onshore junk. The wind is pumping from the northeast, hitting 25 mph at times, and the swell is either too small or too short-period to do anything with. The combined energy on Sunday afternoon is just 129, and it’s a 6ft ENE windswell with a pathetic 6-second period – that’s more of a washing machine than a wave. The conditions are so poor that this setup would actually be more fun for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Then, on Friday, July 31st, we get a tiny glimmer. The morning has a clean 2ft ESE swell with a 13-second period, and a light offshore wind from the WSW. The combined energy is 274, which is weak, but the glassy conditions and that long period mean it’ll be clean and fun for a longboard. It’s small, but it’s the only clean surf in that whole week.

The outlook ends on Sunday, August 2nd with a bit of a warning. The afternoon shows a 12ft S swell with a 10-second period and a combined energy of 2160. That is a huge amount of energy, but the wind is onshore and the forecast says it’s simply too big for this break. That’s for experts only, and even then, it’s going to be a wild, dangerous paddle-out. Leave that one for the tow crew.

So, overall, there’s only one true standout: Friday afternoon, July 24th at Dairy Beach. Get there if you can. Everything else is either flat, blown out, or too big to handle.

Rusty.

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