Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's cooking for the next couple of weeks at Dairy Beach.

So, the outlook is a bit of a mixed bag. It's not going to be epic every day, but there are a few windows where things line up nicely. The start of the period is pretty quiet, so don't rush down there just yet.

Saturday the 18th kicks off weak. The morning has a tiny 3 ft of east swell at 10 seconds, but it's cross-on with a NNE breeze, so it's messy. The afternoon cleans right up though. A solid 2 ft south swell rolls in with a nice 13-second period, the wind swings cross-off from the SSE and it goes glassy. The wave energy is moderate (416). For a Saturday arvo session, that's a pretty good little window. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Sunday the 19th sees the swell pick up to 5 ft from the SSE, but the wind is onshore from the NE in the morning, making it hard to get excited about. The afternoon turns cross-on from the ENE, which isn't ideal. It's not the pick of the week.

Now, Monday the 20th is the standout of this first week. The morning is where it's at. We've got a solid 6 ft of SE swell, period of 12 seconds, and the wind is a light cross-off from the south. Clean conditions. The wave energy is strong (979). This is your best bet for a proper session. The afternoon gets a bit sloppy as the wind picks up onshore, so make the most of the morning.

Tuesday the 21st drops back a bit. The swell is down to 4 ft from the SE, but the wind is onshore from the NE all day. It's not making me want to paddle out.

From Wednesday the 22nd through to the end of the first week and into the start of the second, it's a quiet run. Swell stays small, under 3 ft for most of it, and the wind is often onshore or cross. There's a tiny window on Wednesday afternoon with a clean cross-off from the SSW, but the wave energy is moderate (535) and the swell is only 3 ft. Not a great call.

Thursday the 24th has a weird late pulse. The afternoon shows a 2 ft south swell with a massive 20-second period. That's a very long-period groundswell, and at a beach/pier setup it might just close out or be too straight. It's interesting, but I wouldn't rely on it.

The weekend of the 25th and 26th is flat and poor. Swell under 2 ft and onshore winds. A couple of days to do other things.

We get a bit of a pulse again on Monday the 27th. Morning shows 4 ft from the south at a decent 14 seconds, with a cross-off SSW breeze. The wave energy is getting up there (850). It's a solid prospect, but the forecast is a week away, so it's a promising but less certain call.

Tuesday the 28th gets bigger, too big for beginners, with an 8 ft SE swell in the afternoon, but it's an onshore NE howler at 18 mph. That is pure chop. The wave energy is very strong (1572), but unless you're on a tow-in or a kite, it's not your day.

Wednesday the 29th is still big, with a 7 ft east swell in the morning, but the wind is onshore again. The afternoon cleans up with a strong 15 mph cross-off from the SSW, and the swell drops to 7 ft. That's expert territory. Not one for the learner.

Thursday the 30th is a big day with an east groundswell pushing 6 ft from the NE, light cross-shore winds. The wave energy is solid (796). If that north-east direction cleans up, it's got potential for the morning.

The last couple of days of July and into August fade back into the small stuff, with nothing to write home about until Sunday the 2nd of August morning, when a 3 ft south swell with an 11-second period and light onshore winds offers a slight chance.

Overall, if you're picking your times, Monday the 20th morning is the best by far. Clean, chest to head-high SE swell, light cross-off wind. After that, Monday the 27th morning is a promising south groundswell to keep an eye on. Dairy Beach (New Pier) can get busy, and with crowds possible, you'll want to be early.

Rusty.

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