Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next stretch at Dairy Beach (New Pier). It’s a bit of a slow burner this time, with a few days of small, average surf before the ocean wakes up.

The first couple of days, Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th, are pretty forgettable. Friday morning has a knee-high 2ft east swell with a 9-second period and a light cross-offshore breeze, but the energy is weak (162), so it’s just surfable, nothing more. Friday afternoon goes a bit flat and crumbly with a cross-shore wind. Saturday is a write-off, with onshore winds and a short-period bump, and it gets bigger to 6ft but all messy.

Sunday the 9th stays small and clean but still weak, with 2-3ft swells and moderate cross-offshore winds. It’s not bad, but it’s not doing much. Then Monday the 10th morning is a real struggle – a strong 25 mph offshore wind makes it clean but impossible to paddle into, with only 2ft of swell. Watch out for the afternoon though. This is where it starts to get interesting. A solid 12ft south swell with a 9-second period rolls in, and the energy jumps to a strong 1746. But it’s too big for this spot, and the wind, while cross-offshore, is strong. This is expert-only, and even then, it’s a lot of water moving.

Tuesday the 11th is still big – 8-10ft – with strong offshore winds, but the period drops to 8 seconds. It’s powerful (energy around 1075-1246) but raw and lumpy. This is not for the faint-hearted. Wednesday the 12th sees the swell ease a bit to 7-8ft from the southeast, still with a 9-second period and offshore winds. Cleaner, but still pushing big for this beach. The energy is still strong at 822-956.

By Thursday the 13th, things settle into a nicer rhythm. The swell drops to 6-6ft from the east-southeast, with a 9-second period and gentle offshore winds in the morning. This is the pick of the week for the more experienced surfer – clean, solid waves, and the energy is still moderate to strong (525-667). Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th see the swell ease further to 3-4ft, with light cross-offshore winds and clean conditions. It’s fun, small waves with a bit of push, but not a standout.

Next week, from Sunday the 16th through to Tuesday the 18th, the wind goes onshore in the mornings and the surf gets muddled. There’s some size, but it’s messy. The standout in this period is Tuesday the 18th afternoon – the wind drops to glassy, and you get a clean 3ft east-southeast swell with a 10-second period. It’s clean and rideable, but it’s small.

The last few days of the window, from the 19th to the 22nd, are a mixed bag. The swell direction shifts to the northeast with short periods (6-7 seconds), which makes for weak, disorganized waves. There's some size around 5-6ft, but the short period means it’s walled-up and sloppy. The water is 71°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.

Overall, the real highlight is Thursday the 13th morning – the conditions line up best for a clean, solid session. The Monday the 10th afternoon is the big-wave day, but it’s too much for most and only for experts. The energy levels tell the story: weak early, then a massive spike, then a slow drop back to moderate. If you’re keen, pick your window around mid-week, and don’t even bother with the weekend before.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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