Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's talk Dairy Beach. It’s the only break in the mix, so we’re locked in here. The first few days are a slow grind. Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th? Forget it. Small, weak swell with the wind blowing straight onshore. Wednesday the 8th is even flatter with barely a whisper of energy (51 mm combined swell energy). You get a tiny, bumpy window on Thursday the 9th morning with a 3ft S swell at 6 seconds, but it’s nothing special.

Then Friday the 10th hits like a truck. That morning you get a solid 7ft south swell with a very long 15-second period, and over 2000 mm (2051) of energy heading straight in. The afternoon bumps up to 8ft from the south at 14 seconds. That is big, powerful, expert-only territory. The wind is light and cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean as a whistle but heavy. For the skilled crew, this is the one. Saturday the 11th drops off, but the afternoon shows a 5ft S swell with a 13-second period (736 mm energy) but a cross-onshore breeze means bumpy conditions.

Sunday the 12th morning is a nicer 4ft S swell at 12 seconds with light cross-offshore wind (410 mm energy). That’s a clean, fun size for intermediate paddlers. Monday the 13th morning is glassy calm with a light SE wind and a 4ft S swell, but the period is short at 7 seconds – clean but weak. The real gem is Tuesday the 14th morning: 7ft of S swell at 10 seconds, with a strong, clean offshore wind from the SSW (856 mm energy). That’s a quality session with lined-up surf and no wind chop. Tuesday afternoon gets bigger at 8ft but the wind turns cross-offshore and howls to 22 mph, messing up the surface. Wednesday and Thursday the 15th and 16th keep the size between 5ft and 8ft but mostly with poor wind. From the 17th onward it’s back to small, junk waves with onshore flow.

Water temp is around 72°F, pretty normal for this time of year. And yeah, expect company – crowds are often here. The ideal swell direction for Dairy Beach is east, but the best swells are coming from the south. That means Friday’s big south groundswell will be powerful but maybe not perfectly groomed for the bank. Still, it’s the biggest energy of the whole window. For the everyday surfer, Tuesday morning the 14th with that clean offshore wind and a solid 7ft swell is your best bet. Don’t sleep on that glassy Monday morning the 13th either if you just want a clean paddle.

Rusty.

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