Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty, and I've got the goods on Dairy Beach (New Pier) for the next couple of weeks. The water's at a pretty standard 71°, so nothing unusual there for this time of year.

Alright, let's get into it. We've got a bit of a slow start, but the first real action kicks off on Friday the 17th. It's not a classic, but you'll find some surfable 4ft waves from the east with a short, weak 10-second period. The wind is cross-off from the south at 9 mph, making it a bit ordinary. The combined energy is moderate at 234, so it's something to get wet on.

Saturday morning the 18th is a write-off with poor conditions, but Saturday afternoon is where it starts to get interesting. The wind drops to a glassy 3 mph from the southeast, and we get a 2ft south swell. The period jumps to 13 seconds, giving it a clean, long-period push. The energy is moderate at 416, and the conditions are glassy – this is a solid choice for a clean, small-wave session.

Now, Sunday the 19th is the real standout. The swell builds to 5ft from the south-southeast with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is strong at 937. The wind is glassy from the east on Sunday morning, then shifts to a light cross-off in the afternoon. This is very good surf, clean and punchy. It's not too big for intermediates, but it's a proper step up from the tiny stuff.

Monday the 20th morning is the absolute peak of this window. We've got 6ft of south-southeast swell with a 12-second period, the wind is dead calm and glassy, and the energy is a strong 802. This is the best on offer – clean, powerful, and consistent. Get it while it's good, because the wind turns onshore from the northeast in the afternoon, killing the quality.

After Monday, we hit a big dry spell. From Tuesday the 21st right through to Friday the 26th, it's all onshore winds and poor conditions. The swell drops, the wind is junk, and it's not worth paddling out. That's a solid five days of nothing.

There's a flicker of hope on Saturday the 27th for the brave. We get a solid 4ft swell from the south with a very long 17-second period and a fresh offshore wind from the south-southwest at 22 mph. The energy is strong at 787. The conditions are clean, but that long period means it might be a bit straight and tricky at the beach break, and the rain showers will keep the crowds away. It's a marginal call, but the only game in town.

Then we're back into a long stretch of poor conditions. From Sunday the 28th through to the end of the period on Saturday the 1st of August, the wind is almost always onshore and the waves are messy. The swell gets bigger – up to 8ft on the 1st of August – but with a short period and onshore wind, it's just a messy, blown-out wall. That size is pushing into expert-only territory, but the wind will make it a battle. Honestly, for a beach break like this, it's looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, to sum it up: your best bets are the glassy Sunday morning and Monday morning sessions. After that, there's a long, quiet spell until a brief, wind-affected window on the 27th, and then a run of big, messy onshore slop. Don't hold your breath for the second week.

Rusty.

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