Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk Dairy Beach. Over the next 16 days, we’re looking at a pretty tough run. There’s some swell coming through, but the wind is nearly always in the way. Water temperature is about 70°, dead normal for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The first couple days are a bust. Sunday the 6th has a 3ft east swell with cross-on wind and light rain – not worth it. Monday the 7th brings a big 10ft south swell with a 17-second period, combined energy of 5344 – huge power. But the wind is onshore and blowing 16 mph by the afternoon. That’s expert-only stuff, over 8ft, and the onshore will wreck it.

Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th are all north-east winds in the 16-22 mph range, smashing up 4ft to 8ft swells. Thursday the 10th afternoon has a light breeze with a 6ft east-north-east swell – still onshore, only marginal.

Friday the 11th is clean, with a cross-off SSW breeze and a 3ft to 4ft east swell. Energy is weak (205 and 173), so tiny, but the wind is clean.

Now, Saturday the 12th of September is the first real standout. In the morning we’ve got glassy conditions – magic. A 4ft south swell with a 7-second period, combined energy of 258. It’s small and short period, so the waves will be a bit soft, but glassy wind makes everything look good. Surfable but very ordinary. That’s the best of the first week.

Then we hit a long dry gap. Sunday the 13th has an 12ft east-north-east swell with 1466 energy but a near gale from the north-east – complete mess. Monday the 14th is still onshore. Tuesday the 15th morning actually has a clean cross-off SSW breeze with a 5ft east swell and 394 energy, flagged as “expect good surf conditions” – that’s the top call of the whole period. Not big, but clean and rideable.

After that, it’s back into onshore junk. Thursday the 17th morning has offshore SSW winds at 16 mph with an 8ft north-east swell – big for experts, but period is only 8 seconds, so messy. Friday the 18th morning is clean again, 5ft east swell with a light cross-off SSW breeze, another “expect good surf conditions” call.

The second week is grim. Nothing standout. Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th are blown out with strong onshore winds. Monday the 21st has a tiny 3ft east swell but cross-off wind – surfable but weak.

All up, the only real windows are Saturday morning the 12th for the glassy moment, and Tuesday morning the 15th for the cleanest small swell. Experts could try Thursday the 17th morning when it’s offshore and 8ft, but the short period won’t do it any favors. For most of us, it’s a waiting game. Forecasts change though, so don’t give up.

Rusty.

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