Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for the next couple of weeks at Dairy Beach (New Pier). It's a bit of a mixed bag, but there are some moments that'll get the blood pumping.

First thing you need to know about the water temp is that it's sittin' at 70.5°F, which is dead average for this time of year. So no need for a steamer, just a spring suit or a rashie and you're good to go.

The outlook starts off flat and average. Monday the 24th is a write-off with a poor, onshore breeze. Tuesday the 25th is a bit better with some small, clean lines, but it's only around 2.0ft to 2.3ft. The swell energy is weak (72 to 297) on Tuesday, so it's a push for the longboard.

Wednesday the 26th is where things start to get interesting. The morning will see chest-high waves, around 3.0ft, with a clean cross-off wind. The swell energy is already building to a moderate 511. Then Wednesday afternoon, it kicks up to a solid 5.6ft from the south, with a very long period of 17 seconds. That's some serious groundswell energy. The combined energy jumps to 1752, a strong pulse. The wind is light, making for clean, powerful waves. This is a standout for experienced surfers, but that long period will make it break a bit straight at the beach, so look for a bank or a rip to get the best out of it.

Thursday the 27th is a total mess. The wind swings onshore and gets howling, up to 25 mph, trashin' the 5.0ft to 6.2ft swell. A complete wipeout. The same goes for Friday the 28th, Saturday the 29th, and Sunday the 30th – all blown out with onshore gales.

Monday the 31st sees the wind swing cross-off, but the swell has dropped and the energy is moderate (568 to 787). It's a bit of a scratchy, marginal day.

Tuesday, September 1st, is still a bit average. The wind is light, but the swell is messy and below 5.0ft.

Now, the real magic is in the second week. Look at Friday, September 4th. That's a big call. The wind goes strong offshore (SW at 25 mph), and the swell jumps to 9.8ft from the SSE with a period of 11 seconds. The energy is massive at 2006. This is expert territory, heavy, powerful, and it'll be a battle to get out. But for those who can handle it, the conditions will be incredible.

But the absolute best of the lot, the standout you want to circle on your calendar, is Saturday, September 5th. The morning sees an offshore breeze (SSW at 12 mph) with 6.2ft of solid SE swell. The energy is 1217. That's a powerful, clean, ridable wave. Then Saturday afternoon, the wind drops to a light cross-off (S at 9 mph) and the swell jumps back to 9.8ft from the ENE. The energy is 1690. It's a big, clean, powerful swell. For experienced surfers this is the day. The wind is light, the swell is up, and the conditions are clean. There will be crowds, as it's a popular spot.

Sunday the 6th will still be big, but the swell is a bit more mixed. Monday the 7th brings another good window with light winds and clean, chest-to-head-high surf.

The second week of September is showing a lot of promise, but it's a long way off, so don't book the day off work just yet. The wind and swell windows are looking good, but we'll have to wait and see how it all lines up.

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