Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ down at Dairy Beach (New Pier) over the next couple of weeks.

First up, it’s a quiet start. The first real sniff of a wave isn’t until Friday the 24th, but don’t get too excited. We’ve got a beefy 13ft swell rollin’ in from the south with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 2842, so there’s plenty of power. But with a strong breeze honkin’ from the SSW at 28 mph, it’s gonna be a wild, blown-out mess. That swell is just too big for this break anyway. Friday afternoon drops to 10ft, but the wind is still fresh and cross-off, making it a no-go for a paddle. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Saturday the 25th is where we start to see a glimmer. The morning brings a cleaner 6ft SSE swell with a 10-second period, and the wind drops right back to a light breeze at 6 mph, blowin’ cross-off. The energy is moderate at 633. It’s surfable, but it’s not gonna blow your mind. Saturday afternoon stays similar at 6ft, but the wind swings cross-shore, puttin’ a bit of bump on the face.

We hit a real dry patch from Sunday the 26th all the way through to the end of the month. The wind is onshore, the swell is weak or wonky, and the scores are a flat zero. It’s a proper lull, and it’s gonna be a few days of nothing worth paddling out for. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Now, hold onto your board, because Thursday the 30th is a bit of a tease. The morning brings a 8ft SE swell with a 10-second period, and the energy is strong at 1088. The wind is fresh offshore from the SW, so it’ll be clean. The guidance says it’s marginal, so it’s a watch-and-wait situation. Thursday afternoon sees the same size but the wind cranks up to a strong breeze, makin’ it hard to paddle into.

The standout. If you’re an experienced surfer, circle Friday the 31st of July. The morning is already lookin’ good with a 10ft ESE groundswell and a 13-second period. That’s a long period, so it’ll have some proper energy and shape. The wind is fresh offshore, keepin’ it clean. The combined energy is a massive 2780. But the real gem is Friday afternoon. The swell holds at 10ft, the period is still a juicy 13 seconds, the wind drops to a moderate offshore breeze, and the energy jumps to 3113. This is excellent surf for experienced crew. The long period means it’ll be clean and powerful, but it might break a bit straight on the beach, so look for a bank. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Saturday the 1st of August keeps the fun going. Morning brings a 8ft ESE swell with a 12-second period (1725 energy) and a light cross-off breeze. Then Saturday afternoon is pure magic – 7ft ESE swell, 12-second period, and glassy conditions with no wind. The energy is 1315. That’s a beautiful window for a long session.

After that, the wind turns onshore again from Sunday the 2nd, and the options drop right off. The swell hangs around in the 5ft to 6ft range, but onshore wind kills it. Monday the 3rd has a brief moment of glassy conditions in the morning with a 5ft ESE swell, so that could be a sneaky fun session, but the energy is only moderate at 500. The rest of the week into early August is a write-off with onshore wind and dropping swell.

So, the best bet is clear: Friday the 31st of July afternoon is the top pick for the experienced crew, with Saturday the 1st of August afternoon giving you a glassy, clean option that’s a little more forgiving. Don’t sleep on that Friday arvo.

Rusty, out.

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