Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Dairy Beach (New Pier) over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta tell ya, it's a pretty grim start. We’re looking at a solid stretch of nothing much from now until the end of the month. The first few days are all onshore wind and poor surf conditions, so don’t even bother waxing up just yet. There’s a bit of a tease on Thursday the 23rd with some clean conditions, but the swell is tiny at 3ft from the SE, and the energy is weak (206). That’s not really gonna get you out of bed.

We finally get a little glimmer of hope on Thursday morning, July 30th. It’s not a big swell, but it’s clean. The wind goes glassy, with a light 3 mph breeze from the east, and the swell is a manageable 5ft, also from the east. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 73°, so it’ll feel nice. This is the best-looking window in the first week and a half, but it’s still just a "good" session, not a standout.

Then we hit a bit of a weird one. On Monday, August 3rd, the forecast shows a massive 15ft swell from the south with a very long 14-second period and a massive energy reading of 13,202. That’s a huge amount of juice. But the wind is howling onshore from the NE at 12 mph, and it’s a beach/pier setup. For paddle surfing, that’s going to be a messy, dangerous mess. Honestly, that looks more like a kite surfer’s dream than a day for a shortboard. It’s just too big and blown out for us.

The real standout, and the one to circle on your calendar, is Tuesday, August 4th. The swell drops to a solid 8ft from the SSE, with a 12-second period, and the wind goes offshore. Morning is a clean cross-offshore breeze from the south at 12 mph, and the afternoon is a light, nearly glassy cross-shore from the SE. This is the pick of the whole forecast. The wave energy is strong (1,679 in the morning, 1,779 in the afternoon). This is proper, clean, powerful surf for experienced surfers. It’s not for beginners at that size, but for anyone who knows what they’re doing, it’s going to be firing. The long period from the SSE will be pushing in some nice lines, and with a clean wind, it’ll be well-shaped. The only bummer is that crowds are often around here, so get there early.

After that, the swell backs off again. Wednesday the 5th sees a drop in size and the wind goes back onshore, so the window closes pretty quick.

So, to sum it up: the first ten days are a write-off. Thursday the 30th is a nice little glassy session for a log or a funboard. Don’t bother with the big swell on the 3rd unless you’ve got a kite. But Tuesday, August 4th, is the one. Two solid days of clean, powerful surf for the competent crew.

Rusty.

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