Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey crew, Rusty here, lookin' at the charts for Dairy Beach (New Pier). Honestly, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, with a lot of onshore slop to sit through before we get any real quality.

The big story is that there’s a massive amount of wave energy heading our way for a few days, but the wind is gonna be a total bummer for most of it. The water temp is sittin' at a pretty standard 70°, nothing weird there.

So, here’s how it shakes out. Monday the 7th starts with some serious size – a 10ft S swell with a very long 17 second period, packing huge energy (5344). But we’ve got NE winds blowin’ 6 mph straight onto it. That combo is gonna make a mess. Not a great day for it. That swell drops later in the day, and the wind cranks up to 15 mph, so it’s a write-off.

Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th are a write-off too. The wind is honking onshore from the NE at 15-22 mph, just ruining whatever shape the swell has. There’s size, but it’s unsurfable slop.

The whole week from the 8th through to the 14th is plagued by strong onshore winds and poor conditions. Even when the swell drops, the wind just won't let up. We've got days of pure rubbish.

We finally get a little window on Tuesday the 15th. Swell drops to 5ft from the E with a 9-second period, but the wind swings to a light SSW offshore at 9 mph. That’s your one chance for a clean-ish surf in the first week. It’s not huge, but it’ll be head-high and clean. Get it while you can because it goes back onshore straight after.

The really interesting stuff is way out. Look at Sunday the 20th of September. A 7ft SE swell with a solid 10-second period (energy at 942) is lining up, and the wind is forecast to go dead glassy – SSW at just 3 mph. That is the standout moment of the whole run. The water will be like a lake, and that SE swell is gonna hit the beach super clean. If this holds, that morning session will be absolutely unreal. It’s a long way out, so you gotta keep an eye on it, but that's the one to circle on the calendar.

Don't get too excited about the days before that though. Thursday the 18th and Friday the 19th have massive 10ft to 13ft SSE swells, but again the wind is howling onshore or cross-off. That's kite-surf territory, not paddle surfing. Despite the size, the onshore wind will make it a brutal, bumpy mess.

So, to sum it up: the next week is mostly a bust. Your best bet is Tuesday the 15th if you just need a paddle. The real prize, the one with potential for perfection, is that glassy morning on Sunday the 20th. I’ll be watching that one closely.

Rusty.

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