Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s talk about Dairy Beach. The upcoming sixteen days are a proper mixed bag, and honestly, it’s a tale of two halves. The standout moment is a real brute of a swell that rolls in right at the start, but you’ve got to be on your game.

It kicks off on Monday, 10th August. There’s a solid 13ft S swell rolling in during the afternoon, with a period of 10 seconds and a strong offshore wind from the SSW. The combined energy is a hefty 2796 (strong). That’s a lot of water moving around. This is the pick of the entire forecast: the wind is favourable, and the tide is set up right. But look, 13ft is seriously big—this is experts-only territory at Dairy Beach (New Pier). The water temp is around 71°, which is about average for the time of year.

The Monday morning preceding that is a write-off—12ft of S swell but with a near-gale cross-off wind from the SSW making it messy. The afternoon is the one to chase, but it’s not for the faint-hearted.

Tuesday the 11th drops off quickly. Morning sees a 8ft SSE swell, period 8 seconds (short), with a fresh offshore wind. The combined energy is 959 (moderate). It’s clean, but the period is short, so it won’t have much push. The afternoon is smaller at 7ft, and conditions are just marginal.

Wednesday the 12th through to the end of the first week is a bit of a letdown. Onshore winds, rain showers, and cross-shore chop make for poor quality. The swell hangs around 8ft on Wednesday, but the cross-shore wind from the SE ruins it. By Thursday and Friday the swell drops to 4ft–6ft, and the wind turns onshore from the ENE. The break is exposed to the east, so that’s a cold wind right in your face.

The second week, from about 17th August onwards, is grim. The wind is predominantly onshore from the NE, with speeds up to 22 mph. The swell is mostly weak, between 4ft and 5ft, with short periods. The combined energy sits around 300–400 (weak). For a beach/pier setup like this, that’s not going to produce anything worth paddling for. The 25th August shows a 5ft S swell with a 12-second period, but the wind is still onshore, so it’s blown out.

There’s a gap of several days here with no real recommendations. The only other small window is on Wednesday the 19th morning, when a fresh offshore wind from the SSW cleans up a 5ft swell, but it’s not enough to get excited about.

So, if you’re a seasoned charger, pin your hopes on that Monday afternoon. Otherwise, it’s a long, flat, windy wait. Don’t bother with the boards for the rest of it unless you’re into a kite session—this setup looks far more interesting for kiting than paddle surfing.

Rusty.

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