Dairy Beach (New Pier) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s comin’ up for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow start, but there’s some real promise later on, so don’t write the whole period off just yet.

The first real surf to talk about is at Dairy Beach (New Pier). The water temp’s sittin’ around 71°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so nothin’ unusual there.

Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are kickin’ things off gently. We’re lookin’ at small 3 ft to 2 ft swell from the east, with a period of 9 to 10 seconds. The combined energy is weak to moderate (146 down to 106). The wind’s comin’ from the south and south-southeast, blowin’ cross-off, so the faces will be clean. But honestly, it’s pretty ordinary – surfable, but you won’t be tellin’ your mates about it.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are a write-off with onshore winds and messy conditions. The swell’s small and the wind’s from the northeast, pushin’ it all over the place. Not worth paddlin’ out for.

Now, Monday the 10th gets interestin’ but for the wrong reasons. The swell jumps up to 10 ft to 13 ft from the south, with a combined energy of 1491 to 2988 – that’s strong, very strong. The period’s around 8 to 10 seconds. This is a big, powerful swell, but it’s too big for this spot. The wind is cross-off, but the size makes it an expert-only zone, and even then, it’s questionable. Lookin’ more like a day for kite surfers than paddle surfers here.

The real standout of the whole forecast is Wednesday the 12th of August. That morning, we’ve got a 8 ft swell from the southeast, a 9-second period, and combined energy of 927 (strong). The wind is blowin’ from the south-southwest at 12 mph, which is a clean offshore wind. The forecast is for “very good surf conditions,” and I’m gettin’ excited about it. The swell direction is east-southeast, which is right in the sweet spot for this break. This is the one to aim for – it’s gonna have some real punch, and the offshore wind will keep the walls smooth and lined up. It’s a moderate offshore breeze, so it’ll be a bit lumpy on the paddle out, but the waves will be worth it.

Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are still solid, with 5 ft to 6 ft from the southeast and east-southeast. The wind’s light and glassy or cross-off, so the conditions will be clean. The energy is still moderate (460 to 382). It’s good, solid surf, but the Wednesday morning is the clear winner.

The second week gets small again. Saturday the 15th has a glassy morning with 3 ft from the east, but the afternoon turns cross-on. The rest of the week from the 16th onwards is mostly onshore winds and small, weak swell. The combined energy drops back to weak numbers (206 down to 32). The 19th and 20th of August have a bit of a cross-off wind, but the swell is tiny and the period’s short. Not much to get excited about.

So, the call is simple: the best bet is Wednesday the 12th of August at Dairy Beach. It’s gonna be a proper session with that 8 ft southeast swell and clean offshore wind. The rest of the window is either small and ordinary or too big and messy. Get out there on the 12th if you can.

Rusty.

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