Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the table for Warner Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, the water temp is sitting at 70°, which is about normal for this time of year – nothing wild there.

The outlook starts off pretty lackluster. Tuesday afternoon (25th August) we’ve got a small 2ft south swell, but it’s coming in with a cross-onshore breeze and the energy is weak (497). Not worth paddling out for. That same weak south swell sticks around through Wednesday morning, but the wind stays light and cross-onshore, and the energy is still on the moderate side (828). The surf is just marginal.

Wednesday afternoon sees a jump to 7ft from the south, with a solid period of 18 seconds and a big energy reading (2476), but the wind is onshore and the conditions are questionable. Thursday and Friday are a write-off – strong winds from the NE, lumpy, messy cross-chop, and the swell gets short and weak. Saturday is even worse with 10ft ENE windswell and a fresh breeze. No good.

Sunday the 30th is still messy with cross-onshore winds and lumpy surf. But then Monday morning, 31st August, we get a little window of hope. The wind goes glassy, and we’ve got a 3ft east swell with 9-second period. The energy is still low (234) but those glassy conditions will make it clean. It’s the best we’ve seen so far, but it’s still small and inconsistent.

After that, it’s more marginal to poor conditions through the start of September. The swell stays small and the wind is either cross-shore or onshore. There’s a long gap with no real good surf until Wednesday 2nd September afternoon, when a 6ft south swell with long period (17 seconds) shows up, but the wind is cross-onshore and it’s messy.

Thursday 3rd September morning is a bit better – 4ft south swell, period 12 seconds, and light cross-shore wind. Still, the energy is moderate (503) and the conditions are marginal. Thursday afternoon the swell jumps to 8ft but the period drops to 7 seconds – just windswell.

Now, the standout in the whole forecast is the big swell event starting Friday 4th September. Friday morning we’ve got a 15ft southeast swell with 11-second period and massive energy (4946), but the wind is strong cross-onshore and it’s messy. Friday afternoon the swell peaks at 20ft from the east-southeast, period 12 seconds, and the energy is insane (18389). The wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is way too big for Warner Beach – this is for experts only at best, and honestly, it looks more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle session.

Saturday 5th September is still huge – 18ft in the morning, 16ft in the afternoon – but the wind is lighter and cross-shore or cross-onshore. Again, the swell is too big for this break. The whole weekend is blown out or too big.

After that, the swell drops back down, but the wind stays messy from the NE through the first week of September. The best bet in the second week is a small window on Monday 7th September morning with 6ft east-northeast swell and moderate cross-shore wind, but it’s marginal.

Overall, the only real standout is the glassy Monday morning on the 31st August – small, clean, and worth a quick session if you’re desperate. The big swell at the end of the first week is impressive but not for paddle surfing at Warner Beach. Most of the rest is either too small, too windy, or too big.

Rusty.

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