Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s shaping up over the next couple of weeks.

First thing to say is honestly, it’s a bit of a rough start. The next few days are nothing to write home about – there’s swell around at Warner Beach, but the wind is absolutely killing it. Tuesday the 8th kicks off with a fresh 30 km/h cross-shore NE wind, lumpy cross-chop, and the wave comment says it all – poor surf conditions. Even though there’s a 3ft S swell with 530 (moderate wave energy) and a 6ft ENE swell later, it’s too messy. That cross NE wind just doesn’t let up all day.

Wednesday the 9th is more of the same – 6ft to 7ft ENE swell but still that fresh NE cross-shore wind making a mess. No good. Thursday the 10th the wind drops a little but it’s still cross-shore, and the waves are lumpy – the morning is marginal with 6ft ENE, and the afternoon gets up to 8ft ENE with 1146 (strong wave energy), but it’s still only a 2 out of 10 call. Not worth paddling out.

The whole end of this week into the weekend looks pretty average – wind stays onshore or cross-shore, and while there’s swell, it’s not clean. By Saturday the 13th there’s a brief chance with a 5ft ENE and light cross-on ESE breeze, but it’s still only marginal.

Now here’s where it gets interesting – but not for everyone. On Wednesday the 16th, late in the day, we finally get a window of glassy conditions. The wind goes dead calm from the SSE at 5 km/h, and the water gets glassy. The swell is only 4ft from the E with 268 (moderate energy), but that clean surface makes it the first proper surf window in over a week. A standout for the patient surfer.

But hold onto your board because Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th see a massive pulse of south-southwest and south-southeast swell pushing through – 12ft to 13ft, with very long periods of 10 to 12 seconds, and the combined energy is absolutely pumping (2168 to 3802 – strong to very strong). However – and this is a big however – the wave comment states plainly that the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That means unless you’re an expert and the tide lines up perfectly, it’s a pass. The winds are cross-shore and fresh, so it’s mostly just a huge, messy spectacle.

Then finally, on Monday the 21st, things line up properly. The wind goes completely glassy, the swell is 7ft from the SE with a very long 13-second period, and the combined energy is 1831 (strong). The wave comment says excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers. This is the best of the whole outlook. Warner Beach with a clean 7ft SE groundswell, glassy conditions – this is a premium session for anyone who knows what they’re doing. Just bear in mind, at over 8ft it would be experts only, but this is well within that sweet spot for a skilled crew. The water temp is 71°, about average for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable.

After that, the window closes. The rest of the 22nd and 23rd sees the wind swing back NE cross-shore and the swell drops right off to 2ft with weak energy (112-118). That’s it.

So, in summary: the standout is without a doubt Monday the 21st of September. Mark it. Clean, glassy, 7ft SE groundswell with proper period. That’s the one. The Wednesday afternoon glass-off on the 16th is a nice runner-up if you can’t wait.

Rusty out.

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