Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next 16 days look a bit rough for solid, clean surf around here. We’ve got some waves on the horizon, but the wind and conditions are going to make you work for it. It’s not a total write-off, but you’ll be picking your windows carefully. We’ve got a few glimmers of hope, but nothing that’s got me doing cartwheels.

We kick things off on Tuesday, August 11th, with a real messy scene at Warner Beach. There’s swell pushing 7ft from the SSE, but that 30 km/h cross-onshore wind is going to have it all chopped up and lumpy. Poor surf, no doubt. The energy is strong, around 1105, but it’s all over the place. Not your go.

Wednesday the 12th isn't much better. Rain showers and an onshore breeze, with waves in the 7ft to 8ft range. The period is a touch under 10 seconds. It’s marginal at best, and the tide looks like it might be messing with things. I’d sit this one out too.

Now, Thursday the 13th is where we get a real gem. The morning is looking glassy with a light 5 km/h wind from the south. The swell is a clean 6ft from the ESE with an 8-second period. Combined energy is moderate at 533. This is your standout, the best of the first week. It’ll be clean and fun, but the short period means the sets will be a little close together. Watch out for the crowd, it might be popular. The water temp is 71°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year.

The afternoon on Thursday drops off a bit in energy, and the weekend brings in more of a cross-shore breeze from the NE. Friday and Saturday have some rideable 5ft to 7ft waves, but the winds are never really offshore. Sunday the 16th is similar, just cross-shore and a bit bumpy.

The next real chance is on Tuesday, August 18th. The afternoon is looking glassy with a 3ft wave from the east, a 9-second period, and light winds. It’s small, but it’ll be clean. Not a standout, just a little bit of fun.

After that, the week turns grim. There’s a big drop in size and the wind is onshore or cross-onshore most of the time. We get a long period swell on the 19th, but it’s coming in with a 4ft wave and a cross-onshore wind, so it’ll be lumpy.

The following weekend, the 22nd and 23rd, looks like a write-off. Strong winds, onshore, and messy. The 23rd has some decent energy with a 7ft swell at 15 seconds, but it’s completely spoiled by that cross-onshore breeze. If it was offshore, that would be a session to remember. As it stands, it’s just a wall of chop.

We finish the outlook with a few more mixed days. There’s nothing there that screams at you. The 26th has a 6ft NE windswell but it’s cross-shore and bumpy again. All in all, it’s a stretch that’s going to test your patience. The first half has one decent day; the second half is lean.

Remember, don't go out expecting great surf from a beach break with this much cross-shore wind. A 15-second period is a long time between sets, and that can make the paddle out easier, but it won't make the waves better if the wind is blowing all over them.

If the swell picks up and the wind is onshore like we're seeing, and it's a beach break, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Rusty out.

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