Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a mixed bag coming up for Warner Beach over the next couple of weeks. First off, the water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, nothing wild. The opening days are a bit of a tease—small, short-period slop that’s barely surfable. Hold your horses.

The first real chance to get wet kicks off on Monday afternoon (July 6th). We’ve got a clean little 3ft swell from the SE, with a gentle cross-off breeze from the NNE. The combined wave energy is moderate (252), so there’s a bit of push behind it. It’s not world-class, but for a Monday after work, it’s a fun little glass-off session. Crowds can pop up here sometimes, so get in early.

Tuesday (July 7th) offers similar heights – 4ft in the morning, 5ft in the afternoon – but the swell direction swings to the NE with a crappy 7-second period. That’s short-period windswell, so it’ll be a bit crumbly and weak. Light winds keep it rideable, but nothing to write home about. Combined energy is moderate (290-302).

Now, Friday morning (July 10th) is where things get interesting, but tricky. We’ve got a solid 6ft swell from the S with a very long 15-second period. That’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy jumps to strong (1734). However, the wind is onshore from the ESE, so it’ll be lumpy. That long-period S swell is best on a point or reef, and Warner Beach is an exposed beach. It’ll break straight and close out a lot. This one’s for the experienced crew who don’t mind a battle.

There’s a lull through the middle of the week, with poor winds and messy conditions until Tuesday morning, July 14th. That morning is a true standout: glassy conditions with a light SW breeze, 4ft of S swell at a decent 10-second period. Clean, smooth faces. Combined energy is moderate (436). This is the window for a proper, uncrowded session. Get on it.

Thursday morning, July 16th brings a beast: a 10ft S swell with a 10-second period, combined energy roaring at 1965. That’s too big for most folks. The wind is a fresh cross-shore from the SW at 19 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. This is strictly expert territory, and honestly, it’s more of a kiter’s dream than a paddle surfer’s. The swell is simply too heavy for this break.

We then have a string of days with onshore winds and poor quality until Tuesday morning, July 21st. That morning brings a promising 6ft NE swell at 8 seconds, with a clean cross-off breeze from the NNE. Combined energy is solid (684). It’s not a long-period gem, but with that wind, expect some fun, punchy waves. This one’s a good bet for the second week.

Overall, the best on offer is Tuesday morning, July 14th for the clean, glassy conditions and fun size. The second standout is Tuesday morning, July 21st for the cross-off winds and decent NE swell – though longer-range, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

Read more