Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Let’s be straight with you: Warner Beach is going to be a tough stretch for the next couple of weeks. I’ve looked the whole 16-day window over, and honestly, there’s no session that screams “paddle out now.” The first solid chance doesn’t show up until Saturday afternoon, August 29, and even that’s a tricky one.

The overall pattern is messy. We’ve got some decent swell pulses, but the wind is almost always cross or cross-onshore, and the surf quality is just poor for most of it. The first few days are a write-off—Saturday morning, August 29, is a clear no-go with 19 mph cross-shore winds and lumpy 7 ft chop from the ENE. The swell energy is moderate (876), but it’s just not clean.

The only real standout? Saturday afternoon, August 29. That’s your best bet. The swell jumps to 10 ft from the ENE, with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is strong (1201). The wind is still cross at 22 mph, but the forecast notes the wind and tide are favorable. However, this is a big one—10 ft is too big for beginners, and only for competent intermediates and up. The crowd at Warner Beach can be around sometimes, so expect company if you’re keen. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

After that, Sunday August 30 morning drops to 5 ft with a cross-on SSW wind at 19 mph—still lumpy. The afternoon is 4 ft, same story. Through the week, we get a few marginal moments, like Tuesday morning September 1 with 4 ft ENE and a gentle cross-shore, but the score is low and it’s far from clean. The real letdown comes Wednesday September 2 with a 8 ft SSW swell, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy.

Later in the first week, Thursday September 3 morning has a tiny 2 ft SSW groundswell (12-second period) and a clean cross-offshore NNE wind at 16 mph. The energy is weak (155), but the conditions are clean—if you’re desperate for a longboard, it’s an option, but barely.

The second week gets worse. From September 5 onward, we see some bigger swell energy (1206 to 1236) on Saturday September 5, with a 5 ft S swell at 16 seconds—very long period. That’s a groundswell, and it’s best for a point or reef, but Warner Beach is exposed, so it might break too straight. The wind is cross-shore, not ideal. Then Sunday September 6 has 5 ft ENE with a cross-offshore wind, but it’s short period (7 seconds) and marginal. The rest of the week is a mess of strong winds, rain, and lumpy conditions—Monday September 7 has gale-force SSW winds at 44 mph and 7 ft ENE, which is only good for kite surfing, not paddle surfing.

From September 8 to September 13, it’s all poor surf: strong winds, cross or cross-on, with swell heights between 3 ft and 7 ft but no quality. The energy drops off, and the last few days are just straight-up poor.

So, your best bet is Saturday afternoon, August 29—10 ft ENE, big and powerful, but only if you’re ready for it. The rest? Honestly, give it a miss. The forecast can change, but for now, it’s a lean run.

Rusty

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