Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s coming up for Warner Beach. The next 16 days are a mixed bag, but there’s one real standout that’s got me excited.

First up, the immediate picture is a bit rough. We’ve got some solid swell energy pushing through, but the wind is just not cooperating. Wednesday afternoon, July 29th, sees a 7ft SSE swell, but with a strong cross-shore wind, the ocean is going to be a lumpy mess. The combined energy is actually moderate (1098), but poor conditions mean it’s not worth paddling out for. The real kicker is that Thursday and Friday, July 30th and 31st, are even worse. We’re looking at 7ft to 8ft of swell, but with fresh, cross-shore winds, it’s just choppy and blown out. Even though the combined energy gets up to a strong 2067 on Friday morning, the wind is just ruining it. This is a kite surfer’s paradise, not a paddle surfer’s.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. From the end of the first week of August through to the second, the swell drops off significantly. We’re looking at small, weak waves around 3ft to 3ft with poor winds. It’s a dry spell, my friends. The forecasts are a bit better for the second week, but it’s still not looking good.

But hold on, because Sunday, August 2nd is the one you’ve been waiting for. The stars align. We’ve got a clean 8ft SE groundswell, with a long period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is a strong 1431. But the real magic is the wind: glassy conditions. A slight air, with the wind coming from the SSW at just 5 km/h. That’s about as good as it gets. The swell direction is from the SE, which is bang on what Warner Beach likes. This is a morning for the experienced surfer – the 8ft size is a bit much for beginners. The water temperature is sitting at 72°F, which is about average for the time of year. Crowds can be a thing here sometimes, but on a morning like this, it’s worth the company.

The rest of the run is a bit of a let-down after that Sunday. The following week, from August 9th onwards, we see some bigger swell again, but it’s hit or miss. The 10th of August has a 10ft ENE swell, but the wind is a mess. Then on the 12th of August, we get a huge 10ft SSW groundswell with a very long period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 3156 – that’s very strong. But the reading says it’s predicted to be too big for this break, so unless you’re a real charger, it’s a day to watch from the shore.

So, to boil it down: Sunday morning, August 2nd, is your best bet. The rest of the fortnight is largely a write-off for good surf due to wind or a lack of it. Keep your eyes on the forecasts, but for now, mark that Sunday in your calendar.

Rusty.

Read more