Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s a window of great surf coming up if you’re patient. The first few days are just warm-ups, with nothing really worth paddling out for until we hit Sunday, July 19th. That’s where the real story begins.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are pretty much a write-off. Friday morning has a small 4ft easterly swell with a cross-onshore wind that’s just making a mess of things. The energy is weak (333), and the conditions are marginal. Not worth your time. Saturday brings a drop in size to 3ft, but the wind goes cross-offshore, cleaning it up a bit. Still, the swell is too weak to get excited about.

Now, Sunday morning, July 19th, is the standout. Warner Beach wakes up to a solid 6ft swell from the SSE, with a 14-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy reading is a hefty 1164, so there’s some serious push behind it. The wind is glassy – dead calm – so the surface will be like a mirror. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The water temp is sitting at 71°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The swell direction of SSE is a good match for the break’s ideal ESE, so it’s going to wrap in nicely. Expect clean, powerful lines. If you’re an intermediate, you might find it a bit on the bigger side, but it’s manageable. The crowd factor is a “sometimes” situation, so it could get a little busy, but it’s worth it.

Monday morning, July 20th, is also a strong option. The swell drops slightly to 6ft from the SE, still with a glassy wind. The energy is still high at 947, and the 12-second period means nice, lined-up waves. It’s a very good session for intermediates and above.

Things get a bit messy after that. Tuesday through Thursday next week see the swell dropping and the wind turning cross-onshore or cross-offshore, but the quality fades. The combined energy dips into the 400s and 500s, and the waves get chopped up. The 23rd and 24th are particularly poor, with strong winds and lumpy conditions.

Looking further out, the second week is a mixed bag but with some promise. July 25th and 26th are just blown out – strong, messy winds and cross-on conditions. Not good for a paddle. On the 27th, we get a long-period groundswell from the S, with a 4ft height and an 18-second period. The energy is huge (1446), but the wind is cross-offshore, keeping it clean. This is a point-break-friendly swell, so it will have good shape, but the size is small for the energy. Worth a look if you’re keen.

The 28th and 29th bring a moderate cross-onshore and a 7ft swell from the ENE, but the period is short (8 seconds), making it choppy and messy. With the size over 7ft, it’s for experts only, and the wind is not helping. The 30th cleans up a bit with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell is still short-period and inconsistent. The 31st and August 1st are poor, with small, weak waves and fresh winds.

So, bottom line: the best bet is the Sunday the 19th morning session. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. The Monday morning is a close second.

Rusty.

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