Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've gotta be straight with you – this 16-day stretch for Warner Beach is looking pretty grim. The water's sitting at 70°, which is about bang on average for this time of year, so at least you won't be freezing your arse off while you're staring at flat lines.

The truth is, there's barely a single session that's worth paddling out for. We've got a long run of poor surf conditions stretching from now through to the end of the month. The swell energy is all over the place, but the wind is almost always cross-shore or cross-onshore, chopping everything up. You'll see a few moments where the swell bumps up – like Monday afternoon the 17th with 6 ft from the ENE and moderate wave energy (1177), but it's still cross-shore and marginal. Then on Tuesday the 18th, it drops right off with a weak 4 ft from the E and only 260 on the energy scale, and the wind swings onshore – just messy.

The only real standout, if you can call it that, is Wednesday afternoon the 19th. The swell is tiny at 2 ft from the SSW, but the period is a long 16 seconds, and the wind is cross-offshore, so it'll be clean. The wave energy is weak (246), but for a longboard or a foiler, you might get a few. The rest of the week is a write-off: Thursday the 20th with 4 ft from the S and a short 6-second period, onshore wind – no thanks.

Heading into the second week, it doesn't get much better. Saturday the 22nd has 7 ft from the S, but it's short period (7 seconds) and cross-on, so more of a messy, lumpy close-out. Sunday the 23rd is fresh cross-onshore winds at 19 mph and only 3 ft – that's kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing. The end of the month sees a few bumps, like Wednesday the 26th with a 4 ft swell from the S at 21 seconds – very long period – but the wind is a fresh cross-shore at 19 mph, and the energy is strong (1794), but it's still rated marginal. Then Thursday the 27th morning has 7 ft from the NE, but again short period (8 seconds) and cross-shore, so it'll be a bumpy, unshaped mess.

Honestly, for Warner Beach, this is a tough run. The whole 16-day window is mostly poor or marginal, with no true standout. If you're desperate, keep an eye on that Wednesday afternoon the 19th for a clean, tiny wave, or maybe the morning of the 27th if you're an expert looking for a challenge in lumpy conditions. But I'd be saving my energy and waiting for a better forecast.

Rusty.

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