Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Warner Beach over the next couple of weeks.

First things first, we’ve got a rough start. The first week is pretty much a write-off. Monday and Tuesday are a complete mess – strong cross-onshore winds, rain, and a churned-up 10ft swell. That’s not surf, that’s a washing machine. The combined swell energy is 1388 (moderate to strong), but it’s all wind and chop. Not worth paddling out.

Wednesday the wind drops, but we’re looking at onshore conditions with rain showers and a 7ft to 8ft swell. The forecast calls it marginal, and I’d agree. It’s a bit of a gamble with the tides and rain.

Now, Thursday the 13th of August is where it gets interesting. We wake up to glassy conditions with a slight air, a 6ft swell rolling in from the ESE at 8 seconds. That’s a short period, but the wind is dead calm. The energy is moderate at 516, and the forecast says “very good surf conditions.” This is your window. It won’t be huge, but it will be clean. The water temp is about average for the time of year here, so nothing weird going on.

Friday through Sunday the 16th, we see a clean-up. Winds go light and variable, with a mix of cross and glassy conditions. The swell stays in the 4ft to 6ft range, with periods stretching out to 12 seconds by Sunday. This is longer-period groundswell energy, which means better shape but longer waits between sets. The combined energy climbs from 412 up to 896 (moderate). The wind is light, so the surface will be smooth. Crowds are possible here at Warner Beach, so keep an eye out, but this stretch from Friday morning to Sunday afternoon looks like the best of the first week. It’s not pumping, but it’s surfable and clean.

We hit another rough patch from Monday the 17th through the 20th. Strong winds kick back up, cross-onshore and lumpy, with swell dropping to 3ft to 5ft. The energy drops into the low hundreds (158 to 604). Not worth it.

Friday the 21st of August we get a pulse of 8ft from the NE, but the period is only 7 seconds – short, weak windswell. The energy is 1148 (moderate), but the wind is cross-shore. It’s marginal at best.

Now, hold on. The real standout comes in the second week. Monday the 24th of August. We’ve got a 7ft swell from the S with a period of 17 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell, folks. The combined energy is 2653 (strong). The wind is a light cross-shore from the NE. That’s a big, clean, powerful swell. This is a proper long-range groundswell that will wrap in nicely. It’s ideal for a point or reef, and Warner Beach is exposed, so it’ll handle it. Keep in mind that at 7ft, it’s pushing into the size that’s for intermediate to expert surfers. This is the pick of the whole forecast, but being so far out (24 August), it’s a promising call, not a lock. Tuesday the 25th still has some leftover energy at 6ft from the S with a 14-second period and light wind – another solid day.

So, if you’re itching for a paddle, Thursday the 13th is your early call. But for the real deal, pencil in Monday the 24th. That’s the one that has the juice.

Stay wet.
Rusty.

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