Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at Warner Beach and the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some serious size on the way, but the wind is going to be a problem for a lot of it. The water temp is feeling about average for this time of year, nothing too wild.

The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t come until the morning of Monday, September 7th. We’ve got a solid 8ft S swell rolling in with a very long 17 second period. That’s a lot of deep ocean energy (4209) pushing in, but it’s coming in with a cross-shore NE wind at 9 mph. The forecast says it’s marginal. The tide might be a factor, and that wind is going to put a bit of a chop on it. It’s not the cleanest start, but it’s the biggest swell we see for a bit. The afternoon sees the wind pick up to 16 mph, so that’s a write-off.

Things get messy from there. The wind stays onshore or cross-shore through the week, with a lot of short-period, weak windswell. There’s a solid 7ft ENE swell on the afternoon of Wednesday, September 9th, but with a 19 mph cross-shore wind, it’s just a lumpy mess. Not worth your time.

Saturday, September 12th, is a flat spell with tiny 3ft waves. A total non-event.

Then we get a big pulse on the afternoon of Sunday, September 13th. The swell jumps to 10ft from the ENE, but it’s short-period (8 seconds) and there’s a 22 mph cross-shore wind. The model says it’s too big for this break, and honestly, with that wind, it’s going to be a washing machine. Kite surfers might be having a field day, but for paddle surfing, it’s a no-go.

The next real standout, and the one to circle on your calendar, is the morning of Friday, September 18th. This is the best bet of the whole outlook. We’ve got a 12ft SSE groundswell with a long 12 second period, and the energy is massive (3670). The wind is a light, 6 mph cross-offshore from the NNE. That’s clean. The only catch is the size. 12ft is big, real big, and this is a beach break. That long period groundswell is going to make it dumpy and fast. This is for experienced surfers only. The morning is the window, as the wind backs off in the afternoon and the swell drops slightly to 10ft, but it’s still a beast.

The morning of Saturday, September 19th is still worth a look. The swell is on the way down at 8ft from the SE, still with a very long 12 second period. The wind is light from the ESE, but it’s a touch onshore. It’ll be a bit bumpy, but there’s still a lot of energy (2119) moving through.

After that, it’s a slow fade back into average conditions for the final few days of the window. The Monday, September 21st afternoon session has a glimmer of hope with a 5ft E swell, a 9 second period, and a clean cross-offshore wind from the NNE. It’s the smallest wave of the two-week window, but it’s clean. For a longboard or a funboard, it’ll be a fun, uncrowded session.

So, to wrap it up: if you’re an expert, the Friday morning of September 18th is the one. If you want something clean but smaller, the Monday afternoon of September 21st is your best bet. Everything else is either too windy, too small, or too big and messy.

Rusty.

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