Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, grab a coffee and listen up. Rusty here.

It’s a pretty grim stretch ahead for Warner Beach. We’re looking at a long, frustrating run of poor conditions that won’t really let up for the better part of a fortnight. The water temp is sitting right on average for the time of year at 69°, so nothing weird going on there.

The first proper chance you’ll get is on the morning of Friday the 12th of September, but even then it’s a bust with poor surf and messy cross-onshore wind. For the next week, the same story repeats: onshore, cross-shore, or just too much wind turning a bit of swell into a washing machine. Swell energy is mostly moderate, with values like 313 (moderate) and 477 (moderate), but it’s never clean.

The only flicker of hope is on Sunday the 13th of September afternoon. A tiny 2 ft groundswell from the SSW with a very long 17-second period slides in. Energy is moderate (386). The wind goes light and cross-shore, so the surface might clean up for a minute. This is a point break or reef swell, and at a beach like Warner Beach, that long period is going to make it break straight and close out fast. For the absolute die-hard with a longboard, there might be a fun, glassy little nugget, but it’s a real gamble.

After that, the ocean gets properly angry. The 14th of September Monday sees a 10 ft ENE pulse with a short 8-second period and a howling 28 mph NE wind. The combined energy hits 1070 (strong). That’s a complete mess – blown out and dangerous for anyone but a kite surfer. It gets even bigger on Monday afternoon with 12 ft and 34 mph winds (energy 2117 – very strong). Skip it entirely.

The rest of the outlook is more of the same: lumpy, choppy, and rated as poor. Even into the second week, from the 16th of September onwards, we get a few mornings with lighter winds and marginal conditions (score of 2 out of 10 at best), but the swell is either too small or the direction is all wrong. The 22nd of September Tuesday has a tiny 3 ft swell from the SE with an 11-second period and a light cross-offshore breeze – those are the cleanest conditions of the whole window, but the swell is negligible.

Honestly, for the next 16 days, there is no standout, no hidden gem. It’s a blank run. The best you can hope for is a fleeting, clean knee-high wave on Sunday the 13th afternoon, but even that’s a stretch. Leave the boards in the car and go for a walk on the beach instead.

Rusty.

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