Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Warner Beach is the only spot on the radar, and honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag across the next 16 days. We’ve got a real tease up front, then a proper dry spell, before things get a bit interesting again down the line.

The best of the whole run lands slap-bang on Wednesday morning, the 13th of August. Warner Beach is exposed to an ESE swell coming in at 6 ft with a period of 8 seconds. The water’s sitting at 71°, which is about normal for the time of year. Most importantly, it’s glassy—wind is 0 mph from the ESE and conditions are totally calm. That’s rare and beautiful. The combined energy is moderate at 523, so there’s enough push to get you into something fun. It’s not a standout for power, but the clean conditions and decent chest-high sets make this the session to aim for. It’s fairly consistent here, so you’ve got a good chance of getting waves. Just keep an eye out—crowds are sometimes an issue.

That Thursday morning window is the only real gem. From Thursday afternoon onward, things go downhill fast. The wind swings onshore or cross-shore for days, with gusts ramping up. Friday the 14th through to the middle of the next week is mostly poor surf conditions—lots of chop, messy wind, and the swell drops off. There’s a stretch from the 14th to the 19th where there’s no surf worth recommending, just small, bumpy slop.

Monday the 17th sees a pulse of ENE swell around 7 ft, and the combined energy jumps to 1278—moderate to strong—but the wind is cross-shore all day at 12 mph, leaving it messy. Still, the size might tempt a few, but it’s not clean enough to call a standout. Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th drop back to poor conditions with small, choppy waves.

Then we hit a real low. From late on the 19th through to the 25th, the swell gets tiny and the wind stays ugly. Strong breezes and cross-shore winds dominate. On the 22nd of August, Saturday afternoon, there’s a sudden jump to 8 ft from the ENE with a combined energy of 1233, but the period is only 7 seconds—short period wind swell—and the wind is cross-shore again. It’s messy. That’s not a surfer’s friend.

After that, Sunday the 23rd of August has a solid 8 ft SSW swell with a combined energy of 1515, but the wind is cross-shore at 22 mph, and it’s a fresh breeze with lumpy conditions. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.

The only other moment worth a mention is Monday morning, the 24th of August. It’s tiny—3 ft from the SSE with a period of 7 seconds—but the wind goes glassy again, 0 mph from the SSE, and the combined energy is weak at 103. You’d be on a longboard or a foamie if anything. Surfable but ordinary.

From the 25th onward, it’s all small, cross-shore mush with combined energy often under 100—nothing to chase.

So, bottom line: set your alarm for Thursday morning the 13th at Warner Beach. That’s the only session where everything lines up. After that, you’re waiting a long time for any kind of repeat, and even the bigger pulses are ruined by wind. It’s the nature of the spot—it can be fickle, but when it’s on, it’s worth the wait.

Rusty.

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