Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve been staring at the charts for Warner Beach, and I’m not gonna lie – it’s a bit of a mixed bag for the next two weeks. There’s no real standout day that’s gonna have us all calling in sick, but we do get a couple of windows that are worth paddling out for if you’re keen. The water temp’s about average for this time of year, so no nasty surprises there.

We start off on Thursday morning, the 9th of July, but it’s pretty ordinary. You’ve got a 5 ft SSW swell, but it’s short-period at 8 seconds and cross-on, so it’s choppy and messy. The energy’s moderate (509). Not worth suiting up for.

Friday the 10th of July sees a jump in size. The morning brings a 7 ft S swell, long-period at 15 seconds, so there’s proper groundswell energy, but it’s still cross-on with a light breeze. The combined energy is strong (2027). The swell’s over 5 ft, so it’s getting a bit much for beginners, but the long period means it’ll be better shaped. Just a heads up, that long period can make a beach break like this close out a bit straight. The afternoon drops a touch to 7 ft with the same 15-second period, but the wind picks up and makes it choppier. Not ideal.

Saturday the 11th of July is a step down to 5 ft S swell, period dropping to 13 seconds, still cross-on in the morning. The energy is moderate (759). The afternoon looks better with a glassy, onshore wind from the SE, but the swell’s only 5 ft and the period is down to 12 seconds. It’s marginal.

Sunday the 12th of July has a morning of poor conditions, but the afternoon is the first real highlight. The wind goes glassy, the swell is a clean 4 ft from the S at 12 seconds, and the energy is moderate (401). The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions.” It’s small, but it’ll be clean and fun for a longboard or a fish. This is the best bet of the first week.

Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th of July are both scrappy with small, weak ENE windswell and cross-shore winds. Not worth a mention.

Wednesday the 15th of July is another small window. The morning has a 5 ft ESE swell at 9 seconds, with a clean cross-offshore wind. The energy is moderate (430). The afternoon is a bit bigger at 6 ft, but the wind picks up to a moderate breeze. Still, it’s clean. It’s small and inconsistent, but it’s rideable.

Then we hit a rough patch. From Thursday the 16th of July through to Sunday the 19th, it’s a mess of strong winds, lumpy seas, and poor conditions. On the 19th, the swell jumps to 8 ft from the NE, but it’s short-period windswell (7 seconds) and the wind is strong. Avoid it.

Now, here’s the long-range tease. Monday the 20th of July morning has a solid 10 ft NE swell, energy is strong (1455), but the forecast says it’s too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory, if you can handle the size and the 8-second period. The wind is cross-shore.

Tuesday the 21st of July morning is similar – 10 ft NE swell at 9 seconds, energy is very strong (2384), and again, too big for the break. The afternoon drops to 8 ft, still big, but the wind goes light and cross-shore. It’s a maybe if you’re an expert.

The 22nd and 23rd of July are repeats of the same story: 10 ft+ swells, too big for the break, with moderate energy. Friday the 24th of July morning has a massive 12 ft ENE swell, the strongest energy of the whole run (3179), and it’s clean with a cross-offshore wind, but again, it’s way too big for Warner Beach. Only for the most experienced.

So, overall, don’t get your hopes up for a classic. The best on offer is Sunday the 12th of July afternoon for a small, glassy session, and maybe Wednesday the 15th of July morning for a clean but small wave. Everything else is either too messy, too windy, or too big for the spot.

Rusty.

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