Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Warner Beach over the next couple of weeks.

It’s a rough start. The first few days are a write-off for any decent paddle surfing. Friday the 24th into Saturday the 25th is a mess with strong cross-onshore winds and a big, lumpy swell. You’re looking at 12 ft on Friday morning with a 10-second period, but the wind is absolutely shredding it. The combined energy is a massive 2124, but it’s all for nothing with that wind. Not a single wave worth paddling for.

Things start to settle a little by Saturday the 25th, but it’s still marginal. The swell drops to 6 ft from the SSE, and the wind eases, but it’s still cross-onshore. The water temp is sitting at 73°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

We’ve got a long gap of poor to marginal conditions right through until the end of the month. The wind stays tricky, mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the swell is inconsistent. There’s a pulse of S/SSE swell on the 29th and 30th around 8 ft to 8 ft, but it’s still lumpy with a fresh cross-shore breeze, keeping the quality down. The wave energy is strong, hitting 1793 on Thursday the 30th, but it’s just not clean.

The standout – and the only time I’d really get excited – is Friday morning, the 31st of July. The wind goes glassy, a light ENE breeze at just 3 mph. The swell is a solid 6 ft from the SE with a 10-second period, giving a combined energy of 906. This is the cleanest window in the whole forecast. The swell direction (SE) is a good match for the optimum (ESE), so it should have some shape. It’s a fair option for intermediates, but with that size, it’s a bit much for beginners. The crowds are listed as “sometimes” possible, so you might get a few others out, but that glassy morning is worth the effort.

After that, the first week of August is a mixed bag. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd are marginal, with light winds and smaller 5 ft to 6 ft swell. Not great, not terrible. Then we get into a run of ENE windswell from the 3rd to the 5th, with moderate cross-shore breezes. The swell picks up to 7 ft on Monday the 3rd, but it’s short-period (7 seconds) and choppy. Not really worth the drive.

The long-range promise – On Friday the 7th of August, the morning shows a lot of potential. We’ve got 8 ft of ENE swell, but the wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNE at 9 mph. The wave energy is strong at 1107, and the conditions are described as clean. This is a session for experienced surfers only, as that 8 ft is in the “expert” zone. It’s a week and a half away, so don’t book the day off yet, but keep an eye on it.

The forecast then fades out after that, with a return to smaller, onshore-affected surf for the 8th.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a bust. The only real standout is the glassy morning on Friday the 31st of July. The second week has a promising but uncertain look for Friday the 7th of August. Get that glassy Friday morning if you can.

Rusty.

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