Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Grab your board and let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, so you’ll need to pick your moments. There’s a stretch of rough, wind-blown days ahead, but a couple of windows open up where it’ll actually be worth paddling out.

Right now, we’re looking at a run of poor conditions. The wind is coming across from the northeast, and the swell is around 6ft to 7ft but it’s messy and cross-chop is making it tough. Thursday and Friday are going to be forgettable – the waves are there but the quality is just not happening. You’ll see some energy in the water but the wind is going to tear it apart.

Over the weekend, the swell drops off a bit. Saturday will see smaller, weaker waves around 3ft, and the energy is pretty low. It’s still not clean, mostly cross-shore and slightly choppy. Sunday morning has a funky long period swell at 18 seconds but it’s only 2ft and the wind is blowing 16 mph from the northeast, so it’s going to be all over the place. Not worth your time.

Then Monday rolls in with a big jump in swell size but the wind goes nuts. We’re talking 8ft in the morning with 28 mph cross-shore winds, and by the afternoon it’s 12ft and a near gale is blowing. This is a serious amount of energy, but it’s all going to be blown out. Unless you’re hunting for a kite session, forget the paddle board. These conditions are just too wild.

The first real light at the end of the tunnel comes on Tuesday afternoon, September 15th. The swell is a solid 6ft from the east with a 9-second period, and the wind goes glassy – a slight air from the east, 3 mph. That’s about as clean as it gets here. This is one of the standout windows, so if you can sneak out, this is your chance. The morning is still a bit iffy with light cross-onshore, but by the afternoon it’s going to be smooth and clean.

Wednesday and Thursday after that are back to poor conditions, the south wind picks up and the swell gets lumpy and blown out. Wednesday afternoon especially, the wind goes near gale force at 31 mph from the SSW, which will make a mess of the 8ft swell. It’s just not happening.

Looking further out, the following week is still mostly rough. There’s a lot of wind and messy surf in the forecast through the 21st and 22nd. On Tuesday the 22nd, we get a long period 12-second swell from the south, around 6ft, but the wind is mostly cross-shore or cross-on and it’s lumpy. Not ideal, but it’s a sign the ocean is trying to clean up.

Then we hit a potential payoff. On Wednesday the 23rd, the afternoon has some 7ft ENE swell and a gentler cross-shore breeze. It’s marginal but could be okay. But the big one to keep an eye on is Thursday the 24th. The afternoon sees 10ft of ENE swell at 8 seconds with a fresh cross-shore wind. The guidance says it’s too big for this break, and with that size, it’s only for the experts. Then Friday the 25th morning looks even bigger – 12ft from the northeast with a 9-second period and a huge amount of energy. That’s a lot of water moving. It’s predicted to be too big for the break, so unless you’re a seasoned gun rider, stay out of the way.

So, overall, the pick of the fortnight is Tuesday afternoon, September 15th – clean, glassy, and head-high. The other window to watch is the 24th and 25th, but that’s for the brave and the experts only. Everything else is either blown out or just not worth the hassle. Water temp is about average for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit unless you run cold.

Stay sharp, read the conditions, and don’t force it when it’s not there.

Rusty

Read more