Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Warner Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, there’s surf on offer from Saturday 15th August, but honestly, the early going is a bit of a struggle. The weekend and Monday morning are all showing a solid 5ft of east swell with a lovely long period around 10 seconds, and combined wave energy is moderate (447). Problem is, we’ve got a persistent cross-shore NE wind that’s keeping things a little chop-ridden. It’s surfable, but not clean enough to get excited about. The standout moment in the first week comes on Monday 17th August afternoon – glassy conditions, light air, and still that 5ft east swell (438). That’s your best bet for the next few days: clean faces, decent shape, and you won’t be battling much wind.

Then the wheels fall off. From Tuesday 18th through to Friday 21st, it’s a run of poor surf – cross-onshore winds, dropping swell sizes, and even a sneaky long-period SSW groundswell that’s too weak to do much with. The combined energy dips to 146 – very weak.

Saturday 22nd morning offers a brief flicker of hope with a 3ft east-northeast swell (195) and clean offshore NNW wind, but it’s underwhelming and best for a longboard.

Now for the big news: from Sunday 23rd August, a serious south swell arrives. Sunday itself sees 12ft of south swell (4885) but it’s howling SSW wind at 22 mph – messy and onshore. That’s a kite surfer’s session, not a paddle surfer’s.

The real deal for experienced surfers only is Monday 24th August morning: 10ft south swell, 18 seconds period, combined energy a massive 6131. That’s a powerful, long-period groundswell. Wind is light easterly and could be favourable. However, at 10ft, this is well over the 8ft expert threshold – beginners and intermediates should sit this one out. The long period means waves will be ripping with plenty of power, and gaps between sets will be big – great for paddling out, but you need to know what you’re doing. This is the standout big-swell window, but only for the experienced crew.

After that, the swell hangs around in the 8ft to 5ft range through Tuesday 25th and Wednesday 26th, but the NE wind builds again, adding chop. The energy starts dropping from 4720 down to 1573.

Thursday 27th and Friday 28th see the swell drop and the wind swing back onshore – poor conditions.

Finally, Saturday 29th August afternoon offers a tiny glimmer: a glassy 3ft south swell (160) – clean but barely enough for a fun session.

Water temperature is about 70°F, and the anomaly is -0.4°F – right on average for this time of year.

So, what’s the pick? Monday 17th August afternoon for clean chest-high waves in the first week, and Monday 24th August morning for the heavy-duty crew who want a proper south groundswell. The rest is mostly a write-off or tricky.

Rusty.

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