Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks down at Warner Beach.

We’ve got a bit of a tease to kick things off, but nothing to get too worked up about just yet. The standout – and really the only window worth paddling out for – is early doors, Thursday morning, August 13th. The water’s sitting at a comfortable 71°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, nothing unusual there. We’ve got a solid 6ft swell rolling in from the ESE with an 8-second period, and the combined energy is sitting at moderate 523. That’s decent, but the real winner is the wind: glassy, from the SSW at just 3 mph. That’s going to put a mirror-smooth face on things. Warner Beach is an exposed spot, so when it’s clean like this, it can be a joy. That said, it can also get a few bodies in the water on a good morning like this, so expect some company.

After that Thursday morning window, the weather turns against us. Winds shift onshore or cross-shore and start picking up through Friday and the weekend. The swell sticks around at thigh to waist-high, but it’s gonna be chopped up and messy. From Friday morning right through to early the following week, it’s pretty much a write-off for decent paddle surfing.

There’s a long gap of poor to marginal conditions stretching from the afternoon of Thursday, August 13th, all the way through to Tuesday, August 25th. A few pulses come through, but the cross-winds and onshore breezes ruin any chance of quality. The 6ft ESE swell on Saturday the 15th afternoon has strong wave energy (1224), but it’s blowing 12 mph cross-shore – that’s a bumpy mess. For kite surfers, that’s more interesting.

The next real glimmer comes on Wednesday morning, August 26th. The swell jumps up to 10ft from the ENE with an 8-second period, and the combined energy is strong at 2062. But here’s the catch – for a beach break like Warner Beach, that’s getting into expert-only territory, and the period is short, so it won’t hold much shape. Add in a gentle cross-shore breeze and it’s going to be lumpy and powerful. This one is for experienced surfers only; beginners should sit this one out.

Following that, we see another couple of days of cleaner but smaller swell on the 27th and 28th, but the wind stays cross or cross-on, so it never really comes together perfectly.

Honestly, if you want the best of the 16-day window, it’s that Thursday morning, August 13th. After that, you’re waiting over a week and a half for a chance at some big, unruly waves that only the brave should tackle.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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