Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next 16 days at Warner Beach are a real mixed bag, and mostly a frustrating one. We’ve got size on the way, but wind and conditions are gonna be a battle for most of it. The water temp is sitting at 71°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The window opens Saturday the 8th of August, but it’s a tough start. Saturday morning sees a small 2ft easterly swell, with a moderate 12 mph cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. It’s clean-ish, but the wave energy is weak (183), and the score is a flat zero. Saturday afternoon gets a bit more size, 5ft from the ENE, but that’s a short-period 6-second wind swell, and with a 16 mph cross-offshore, the surf is marginal at best. Sunday the 9th is a write-off – tiny, messy, and cross-onshore. Monday the 10th is where things get interesting, but not in a good way for paddling. A big 10ft southerly swell hits, with a 9-second period, but the wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore, making it a lumpy, blown-out mess. The combined energy is strong at 1476, but with those conditions, this setup at Warner Beach is more suited to kite surfing than a paddle session. Tuesday the 11th is similar – 8ft to 7ft, but still cross-onshore and lumpy. Honestly, the first week is a slog.

Now, there is one true standout. Thursday the 13th of August morning. That’s your window. The swell drops to a clean 6ft from the ESE, and the wind goes completely glassy – zero mph. The conditions are described as “very good surf conditions,” and the combined energy is moderate at 601. For an intermediate break like Warner Beach, that’s the session to aim for. The ESE swell direction is a perfect match for the optimum. The only catch is that crowds are sometimes an issue, so you might have some company, but for clean, glassy waves, it’s worth it.

The following week is a bit of a letdown. Friday the 14th morning has a clean 4ft easterly swell with a 10-second period and a light cross-offshore breeze, but it’s marginal. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are mostly cross-onshore and choppy. Monday the 17th of August morning goes glassy again, with a small 4ft easterly swell, but it’s described as “surfable but very ordinary.” Tuesday the 18th morning has a bit more size at 5ft from the east with a 10-second period, but a 19 mph cross-offshore wind makes it clean but windy. The rest of the second week is a write-off – strong onshore winds, big messy swells, and poor conditions.

The gap between the Thursday the 13th standout and anything decent is basically the rest of the forecast. There’s a glimmer on Monday the 17th morning, but it’s not a standout. The long-range window ending Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd of August has some size, but it’s all cross-onshore and poor. A few smaller, cleaner options on the 23rd might be worth a look, but it’s a long shot.

So, bottom line: if you’re keen, make Thursday the 13th of August your target. The rest is mostly a fight with the wind. Stay tuned – forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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