Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at what’s on the cards for Warner Beach over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – it’s a rough start. The first few days are a write-off, so don’t even bother paddling out until we get past the middle of the week.

The outlook starts with Tuesday, July 28th, and it’s a mess. We’ve got a 1.6 ft swell from the SSW with a super long 18-second period, but that cross-on wind from the SSW at 12 mph is ruining it. The combined energy is weak at 296, and the water’s sitting at 72.5°F, which is about a degree and a half warmer than normal for this time of year – a little treat if you’re hardy, but the surf is poor. The afternoon only gets worse: the swell jumps to 7.5 ft from the S, but the wind cranks up to 22 mph and it’s choppy as hell. Not worth your time.

Wednesday the 29th sees a bit of an upgrade, but it’s still marginal. The morning brings an 8.2 ft swell from the SSE, period of 9 seconds, with a light cross wind from the SW at 9 mph. There’s some cross-chop, but the energy is strong (1945). It’s a decent size, but the quality’s just not there. Afternoon is similar, 7.5 ft, still cross-shore wind, but it’s not clean. Thursday and Friday are more of the same: 7.2 ft to 8.2 ft, but winds are up and the rain showers are keeping the surface lumpy. The energy is moderate to strong (994 to 1715), but the wind is just mucking it up.

Now, Saturday morning, August 1st, is the first real glimmer. The swell drops to 5.2 ft from the SE, but we get a light cross breeze from the NE at only 3 mph. It’s a small cross wind ripple, but it’s the cleanest we’ve seen. The energy is moderate (795). This is a standout for the patient surfer – it’s not epic, but it’s the first time the conditions are working together. The break is fairly consistent, so you’ll get waves, but expect a few others out there since crowds are sometimes an issue.

The whole first week grinds through with similar stuff: 4.3 ft to 5.6 ft, cross winds from the NE, and marginal quality. The energy stays moderate (552 to 638). Nothing to write home about, but you can get wet.

Then we hit a big gap. From Tuesday, August 4th, through to Friday, August 7th, the surf is poor. The swell drops to 2.6 ft to 4.9 ft, the wind is onshore or cross-off, and the energy is weak (190 to 525). The only tiny exception is Thursday morning, August 6th, when we get a 3.3 ft swell from the NE with a light cross-off breeze and clean conditions. It’s a small wave, but it’s glassy. The energy is weak (239), so it’s a longboard or a foamy kind of day.

Now, the second week starts to get interesting, but it’s for experienced surfers only. Saturday, August 8th, the morning is a weird one: a 2.3 ft swell from the SSW with a very long 15-second period, but it’s not enough to do much. The afternoon jumps to 6.6 ft from the ENE, but the wind is strong and cross-shore. Sunday the 9th cranks up: the morning has a 7.9 ft swell from the NE with a 22 mph cross-off wind, but it’s clean. The energy is strong (1185). This is a big, powerful wave, and it’s only for experts. The wind is howling, but it’s offshore, so it’ll be a bumpy, powerful session.

The real standout, though, is Monday, August 10th, through Tuesday, August 11th. This is a massive swell event. Monday morning brings a 9.8 ft swell from the SSW, with a 10-second period, and a light onshore wind. The energy is huge (2013). The forecast says it’s too big for this break – and I agree. This is a 9.8 ft+ wave, and with a period of 10 seconds, it’s going to be a washing machine. Only for absolute experts. Tuesday the 11th is even bigger: 11.5 ft from the S with a 13-second period, and the energy is off the charts (6092). The wind is light and cross-shore, but the size is just enormous. These days are the best on offer, but only if you’ve got the skill and the balls. The crowds might be lighter because of the size, but it’s a war zone out there.

The tail end of the forecast, Wednesday the

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