Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. Rusty here.

First off, the next couple of weeks at Warner Beach are a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a slow start, a bit of a wait for anything decent, but there are a couple of windows that could fire.

Right now, the immediate forecast is pretty quiet. You’re looking at small, weak energy for the first few days. Friday the 21st has a little 3-foot south swell with a period of 13 seconds, but the wind is a light cross-shore, and the combined energy is only 282 – weak. It’s listed as marginal, and I wouldn’t go rushing out.

Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd are a write-off. Strong winds, messy conditions, with some gale-force gusts on Saturday afternoon (31 mph). The swell builds on Sunday to around 7 feet, but it’s short-period (9 seconds) and cross-onshore, just messy. Skip it.

Monday the 24th is still marginal at best – small 4-foot south swell, light cross breeze, but the energy is weak (241). Not worth the paddle.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Tuesday the 25th through to the end of the month, there’s some energy building – the south swell sticks around, and the combined energy figures start climbing into the hundreds and even thousands (1776, 2508, 1473). But almost every session is saddled with fresh cross-winds or lumpy chop. The wave comment keeps saying "marginal" or "poor." For most of that, the conditions just aren't cooperating with the swell.

Tuesday the 26th of August afternoon is worth a mention. We’ve got 5-foot of south swell with a very long 17-second period – that’s groundswell energy, and the combined energy is strong at 1332. But the wind is a light cross-onshore. At 3 feet, 4 feet, 4 feet, it’s just messy wind. It’s frustrating because there’s energy, but the quality isn’t there.

Now, for the standout. The best bet in this entire 16-day window looks like Sunday the 30th of August afternoon into Monday the 31st of August morning. Sunday afternoon shows a 10-foot south swell with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is a proper 1463. The catch? It’s cross-onshore and the comment says it might be too big for this break. But if you’re an experienced surfer and you can handle a bit of onshore texture, there’ll be some serious raw power on offer. By Monday morning, it’s dropping to 7 feet from the SSW with a 10-second period, but the wind is still a moderate cross-onshore. It’s not perfect, but it’s the most size you’ll see all period.

The water temp is sitting right around 71°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so a shorty or spring suit might be all you need.

After that, we drop back down again. The first few days of September look poor to marginal again, with moderate to fresh cross-shore winds. The only other possible look is Saturday the 5th of September afternoon, with a massive 12-foot swell from the ENE, but that’s combined with a short 8-second period and a fresh, lumpy cross-wind. The comment even says it’s too big for this break. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing – just too raw and blown out for a surfer.

So, to sum it up: There are no real clean, glassy days in this outlook. The two standouts are the bigger, messier swells around the 30th of August – if you don’t mind a bit of chop, that’s where the power is. Otherwise, it’s a long wait with not much on offer.

Stay tuned.

Rusty.

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