Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day surfers, Rusty here. Look, it’s a bit of a waiting game for Warner Beach this week. The next week or so is pretty grim, with a lot of messy, choppy conditions and small waves, so you’ll need to be patient. There are a few good days to aim for, but the real standouts are further out, past the first ten days.

The waiting period starts Wednesday the 22nd of July. Wednesday morning has a clean, cross-off wind with a 4ft swell from the SE at 12 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 653, and the water temp is 72.3°, which is about average for this time of year. But honestly, even with clean conditions, the forecast says it’s marginal, so not worth getting too excited. Wednesday afternoon gets worse with stronger cross-shore wind and a cross-chop.

Thursday the 23rd is a write-off: small, choppy, onshore wind. Friday the 24th is a hard pass – massive 10ft swell from the S, but it’s smashing in with a strong cross-onshore wind, making it a messy, blown-out mess. The combined energy is through the roof (1447 and 1927), meaning a lot of power, but the quality is zero. This is more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day.

We scrape through a few marginal days over the weekend. Saturday the 25th sees the swell drop to 5ft from the SSE, but wind is light and cleanest in the morning. The weekend winds stay cross or cross-on, making things average at best.

The whole of the following week (Monday 27th to Friday 31st) is a total bust. We’re talking small swell, mostly under 3ft, and persistent cross-shore winds with a cross-chop. A few sessions have a long-period (15s) groundswell on the 29th and 31st, but with the wind angles we’ve got, it won’t be worth paddling out. Consistency is fair, but the quality is not there.

Now, hold onto your boards. Saturday the 1st of August is our first true standout. Morning brings a glassy, dead calm surface with a solid 3ft S groundswell running at 18 seconds – that’s very long period, so expect proper lines and long gaps between sets. Combined energy is strong at 877. This is perfect for a clean, long-period groundswell, so Warner Beach should be firing with clean faces. This is the pick of the entire forecast for the average surfer.

Sunday the 2nd of August is also magic. Another glassy morning, now with a 6.5ft ESE swell at 9 seconds. The energy is moderate-strong (701). The wind is glassy, making for more quality waves, but that 6.5ft height starts getting a bit big for beginners. Surf is still good, but the long-period groundswell from the day before was a nicer shape.

Monday the 3rd of August is a warning. The swell jumps to 10ft from the E at 10 seconds. The combined energy is massive at 2906. The wind is cross-offshore and clean, but the size means this is strictly for experts only – too big and powerful for anyone else.

The rest of that week holds a few more days of big, messy stuff and onshore winds until Thursday the 6th of August morning. That morning looks very good again: a drop to 5.5ft from the E (10s), clean cross-offshore wind, and moderate-strong energy (898). It’s a solid finish to the long-range outlook, but as always, long-range calls are promising but less certain.

So in short: get through the flat, average first week. Set your sights on Saturday the 1st of August for the best session of the window.

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