Warner Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I won’t sugarcoat it – the next couple of weeks are a proper mixed bag for Warner Beach. We’ve got a heap of energy coming through, but the timing and conditions are going to test your patience. The water temperature is sitting at 69.8°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

This whole run starts off pretty ordinary. Sunday the 23rd has some solid swell – 8.2 ft from the south with a 10-second period – but that 15.5 mph cross-on wind from the SSW is just wrecking it. It’s choppy and messy, and the combined energy is strong at 1289, but it’s not doing you any favours. The wave comment says “poor surf conditions,” and I’m not arguing with that. Same story into the afternoon, with the swell backing off a touch.

Monday the 24th is still marginal. There’s a bit of chest-to-shoulder high swell around 3.9 ft from the south, but it’s cross-shore with a NE breeze and only a 9-second period, so not much to write home about. Tuesday and Wednesday stay in that marginal zone, with some surprisingly long-period groundswell popping up – up to 18 seconds on Tuesday afternoon (2.3 ft, 506 energy) and Wednesday (2.6 ft, 517 energy). That’s proper long-period energy, but the cross-onshore or cross winds keep it from cleaning up properly. Still, that kind of period suggests nice shaped waves if the wind ever cooperates.

Now, Wednesday afternoon the 26th is a glimmer of hope. The wind swings SE (onshore at 9.3 mph) and the swell bumps up to 5.2 ft from the south with that 18-second period. The combined energy jumps right up to 1556. The score is still only a 2 out of 10 because of questionable tide conditions, but it’s the best-looking session in this first week by a long shot – clean-ish conditions and proper groundswell. If the tide lines up, this could be a sneaky good one.

Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th are a write-off – strong NE winds make a mess of the 4.9 ft to 7.5 ft swell. That ENE swell on Friday has a short 8-second period, so it’s lumpy and unappealing. Saturday the 29th is worse again, with 9.8 ft and fresh cross-shore winds. This is big, but the quality is poor – more of a kiter’s session than a paddle surfer’s.

Sunday the 30th is the first real standout, and it’s a cracker. We’ve got 9.8 ft from the ENE with a 9-second period, but here’s the kicker – the wind swings S at only 6.2 mph, light cross-onshore with just small wind ripples. The combined energy is massive at 1653. The wave comment says “wind and tide favourable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break.” That 9.8 ft is expert territory, so if you’re not comfortable in big stuff, give it a miss. For the crew who are, this is the best session in the whole outlook.

Monday the 31st and Tuesday the 1st of September drop back down to smaller, choppy conditions. Then from Wednesday the 2nd of September, we start to see a real shift. Wednesday morning has a 4.3 ft swell from the east with a 9-second period, and the wind comes NNE at 12.4 mph – cross-offshore and clean. The afternoon is even better: 3.9 ft from the east, 10-second period, NE 9.3 mph cross-offshore, and the wave comment says “expect good surf conditions.” Combined energy is 384. It’s not big, but it’s clean and rideable – a solid option for intermediate surfers.

Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th of September turn ugly again with strong southerly winds and lumpy conditions. Friday afternoon sees a 9.8 ft south swell with a 10-second period and a combined energy of 3529, but with 21.7 mph cross-on winds, it’s a disaster.

Now, Saturday the 5th of September is the big one. It’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not guaranteed. We’ve got 16.4 ft from the SSW with a 15-second period – that’s very long-period groundswell. Combined energy is 12469, which is extremely strong. The wind is S at 12.4 mph, cross-on, and the wave comment says “wind and tide favourable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break.” That’s absolutely huge, experts only. If it lines up, it would be the most powerful session of the entire forecast, but the size alone will shut out most people.

Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th of September continue with 8.2 ft to 11.5 ft southerly groundswell, with 15-second and 13-second periods and cross-on winds. These are also marked as “too big

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