The Spot Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s see what The Spot is cookin’ up.

We’ve got a sluggish start, but there’s a real pulse building for the middle of next week. The water temp is about 72°F at the start – right around average for the season, nothin’ wild.

First up, Saturday July 4th brings a 7ft swell out of the SSE, but the wind is onshore from the NE at 6 mph, makin’ things sloppy. The combined energy is strong at 1408 (moderate to strong wave energy), and the period is 12 seconds, so there’s some punch, but conditions are marginal. It’s rideable if you’re intermediate and jonesin’ for a session, but it’s not gonna be pretty.

Sunday the 5th tapers off quick – swell drops to 5ft, then 5ft, with onshore winds building to 12 mph. Poor conditions, not worth the paddle.

Monday the 6th through Wednesday the 8th are tiny to flat. Swell sizes fall below 3ft, combined energy drops into weak territory (under 200). Don’t bother, there’s a gap of several days with nothin’ to recommend.

Now Thursday the 9th starts to wake up. A 5ft S swell arrives in the morning with a cross-off wind from the S at 9 mph, combined energy at 594 (moderate). Still marginal, but the afternoon gets interesting – 6ft S swell, 14-second period, cross-shore wind, energy jumpin’ to 1175. Gettin’ closer.

The standout lands on Friday July 10th. This is the best stretch. The Spot fires with a 7ft S swell, a very long 15-second period (groundswell), and light cross-off winds from the S at 9 mph. The combined energy hits 1751 (strong wave energy). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – long-period groundswell like this works well at The Spot (beach and reef), so expect solid, well-shaped waves. It’s over 8ft for the biggest sets, so beginners should sit this one out. The morning is the prime window; the afternoon drops to 6ft, and winds pick up a bit.

Saturday the 11th still has size (7ft to 8ft) but cross-on winds and a risk of thunderstorms ruin the vibe. By Sunday the 12th, strong onshore winds of 22 to 28 mph tear it all apart.

The second week is hit-or-miss. Monday the 13th has a 5ft E swell with a short 7-second period and cross-off winds – energy is moderate (372), but that short period means weak, choppy waves. Not a standout. Tuesday the 14th sees a 4ft E swell with offshore SSW winds at 9 mph in the morning, combined energy 259 (weak to moderate). It’s surfable but nothing special.

Wednesday the 15th onward is mostly onshore or weak. A few moments on Saturday the 18th (5ft SSW swell, 13 seconds, energy 927) and Sunday the 19th (4ft S swell, 11 seconds, glassy NE wind 3 mph in the afternoon) are okay for a mellow session, but nothin’ to get stoked about.

So the one real winner is Friday July 10th. Mark your calendar and be there.

- Rusty

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