The Spot Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, with a lot of waiting around before things get properly interesting. We’ve got a long stretch of small, messy surf to start, so don’t rush to the water just yet. But if you’re patient, there’s a window of real power coming, and it’s worth keeping an eye on.

To start with, we’re looking at some pretty weak surf. The swell energy’s running at 99, which is weak, with waves around 2ft. A fresh NE breeze is blowing straight onshore, keeping things messy. Not worth the paddle. This flat, poor spell looks set to linger for a few days.

The forecast shows poor conditions hanging around through Wednesday and Thursday, with small wave heights under 1.5ft. The wind stays onshore and the energy’s minimal. Friday the 11th brings a little more life to the water, with a longer period SSW swell of 16 seconds, but the heights are still small, and the cross-offshore wind keeps it clean but not surfable. The energy reads 154, which is still moderate, but we’re not getting any real waves out of it.

Saturday the 12th sees a bit more size, with waves around 3ft, but the direction swings to the east and it turns cross-onshore, so it’s going to be choppy. The energy picks up to 201, but with the onshore wind, it’s not going to be pretty. Sunday the 13th has a real spike in the energy readings, hitting 563, but the wave height is still under 3ft. The swell direction is from the SSW with a long 18-second period, but the wind is onshore, and the guidance calls it marginal. The potential is there, but the conditions are against us.

Monday the 14th isn't looking better. The wind is due to howl onshore, with speeds around 28 mph in the morning and 34 mph in the afternoon. Wave heights are dropping back down to 2ft, with energy down to 167 and 78. This is mostly a write-off.

Tuesday the 15th is mostly small and messy, but Wednesday the 16th afternoon is where the story starts to change. That’s when we see the first real jump in size. The swell comes up fast, with heights of 10ft from the SSW. The period is a short 8 seconds, but the energy reading is a strong 1081. A strong offshore wind is keeping it clean, but that short period with that size and a strong offshore wind is going to make it hard to paddle into. It'll be for the experienced locals only.

Thursday the 17th builds on that, with 8ft waves in the morning from the S and 7ft in the afternoon. The wind is strong offshore, and the energy is high at 936 and 837. The comment says it all: “strong offshore and clean but hard to paddle into.” This is a powerful, challenging day. The wave period is still short at 8 seconds, which can make it peaky and hard to handle.

Friday the 18th is when things start to align a bit better. The swell is solid, around 8ft to 10ft, with the wind swinging to a cross-offshore direction. The energy is very strong, with readings of 1463 and 1731. The period stretches out to 10 seconds, which is more manageable. This is the first day where the quality and the power start to meet up. This is looking like the standout of the whole stretch.

Saturday the 19th holds that size, with 8ft waves. The morning has light cross-onshore winds and a 12-second period, with a massive energy reading of 1876. The afternoon turns more onshore with a NE wind, which will mess it up. So, your window is the morning. This is another prime session candidate.

Sunday the 20th is raw and powerful again, with 10ft waves and a short 8-second period, but the winds are cross-offshore and the energy remains very high, around 1651 and 1499. The period is short, which makes it less ideal, but it will be big and heavy.

Monday the 21st sees the size drop slightly to around 7ft, but the energy is still up there near 940. Cross-offshore winds will keep it reasonably clean, but the power is backing off.

And then, just as quick as it came, it fades. Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd return to smaller, onshore slop, with the swell dropping and winds turning onshore again. The energy drops back down to the hundreds, and we're back to poor surf.

One last little tease appears on Thursday the 24th afternoon. The wind goes glassy, and there’s a small, clean 1.5ft SSW swell with a 14-second period and moderate energy of 105. It’s small, but it could be a fun, clean little wave to finish the run if you’re desperate for a paddle.

So, the standout days look to be Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th. That’s where the combination of size, energy, and better wind align. The swell direction is from the SE, which is a bit north of the optimum, but the size and power should make up for it.

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