The Spot Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks at The Spot are a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down. We’re looking at a slow start, but things are going to get serious around the 10th. Hang tight, because there’s some proper size on the horizon, but it’s not for the faint of heart.

The first few days are pretty quiet. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th have some small, junky swell with onshore winds, so not worth getting excited about. The water temp is sitting right around average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Thursday the 6th will be clean and glassy, but the swell drops right off to a tiny 2ft from the SSW. It’s pretty, but weak, and probably only good for a longboard if you’re desperate.

We’ve got a flat spell from Friday the 7th through to Sunday the 9th. There’s nothing doing, so maybe catch up on sleep or fix your fins. It’s a proper lull.

Now, here’s where it kicks off. From Monday the 10th, the ocean wakes up in a big way. A solid SW groundswell pushes in, and it’s big. We’re talking 11ft on Monday morning, jumping to 16ft by the afternoon. The wind is howling offshore from the SW at 28 mph, which will make it clean but a real battle to get out the back. The energy reads strong to very strong. This is not a day for the faint-hearted.

Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th are the standouts of this whole run. The swell is still a solid 16ft, but the offshore wind backs off to a manageable 19 mph, making it much more user-friendly for the experienced crew. This is proper, powerful groundswell with a long period of 12-14 seconds, and the energy is pumping. This is big, expert-only territory. If you're not comfortable in heavy, powerful surf, give it a wide berth. This is where the real surfers earn their keep.

Thursday the 13th sees the swell peak at 18ft, with light offshore winds. It’s still huge and the guidance is saying it might be too big for this break, so we're looking at the absolute top end of the scale here. Only the best will be out.

By Friday the 14th, the wind swings to the ENE and goes glassy. The swell has dropped to a still-very-large 11ft from the SSE. This is a great day for experts, with clean conditions and a big, powerful swell. It's going to be a circus out there, but for the right surfer, this is probably the pick of the week.

The weekend of the 15th and 16th sees the swell drop steadily. It’s still a few feet on Saturday, but the onshore NE wind will chop it up. Sunday is cleaner but smaller, with waves around 4-5ft. It’s a fun size down, back to just normal surf.

After that, the 17th is blown out by strong NE winds, and the 18th and 19th see the swell disappear entirely into the flat zone again. So, to sum it all up, the window from the 11th through to the 14th is the show. Big, powerful, and strictly for experts. The 6th is the only clean, small wave option, everything else is just waiting for the main event.

Rusty out.

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