The Spot Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what The Spot has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, with some real juice on the way, but you’ll have to be patient and pick your moments.

The outlook starts with a bit of a flat spell. The opening days are pretty grim – small, weak, and messy with onshore winds. Honestly, not worth paddling out for. We then see a pulse of solid, but tricky, swell arrive around Friday the 4th. There’s a chunky 10ft to 12ft southerly swell, but the wind is howling at 25 mph. The wave energy is strong (1279 to 2184), but the wind is cross-offshore, so it could be clean, but that size (over 8ft) is for experienced surfers only. The period is short – 8 to 10 seconds – so it’s going to be a bit lumpy and walled-up, not a classic, well-shaped wave. An interesting option for those with the skill, but not the standout of the period.

The real standout, the one I’d be circling in red, is on Wednesday the 18th. That’s the pick of the bunch. Friday morning brings a 7ft south swell, but this time the wind is a gentle offshore from the SSW at just 9 mph. That’s proper clean conditions. The swell period is a moderate 9 seconds, and the combined energy is strong at 1486. The file says it’s "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers," and that’s no lie. It’s a big, powerful wave, and the offshore breeze will have those waves standing up nicely. Not for beginners, but for those in the know, this is the session.

Earlier on Tuesday the 15th, there’s a smaller but promising window. Afternoon sees a 3ft south swell with a moderate offshore wind from the southwest. It’s clean and rideable for intermediate surfers, but it’s not the size or energy of the big day on the 18th.

A couple of other moments to watch: a big 10ft southerly swell with a very long period of 17 seconds hits on Monday the 7th, but it’s pinned under a nasty 22 mph onshore wind. That’s a washing machine. Not worth it. Then on Thursday the 17th, we get another 10ft south swell, but the wind is a punishing 34 mph. Kite surfers might be loving it, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a hard pass.

Water temp is around average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Just your usual autumn suit.

So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly waiting. Friday the 4th is big and challenging. The real day to save the date for is Wednesday the 18th – that’s the one with the clean, strong swell and the glassy offshore wind. It’s a promising call from this far out, but the near-term signs are good.

Rusty.

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