The Spot Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

We’re looking at a 16-day window at The Spot – a beach and reef setup that’s gonna have some real ups and downs. The first decent surf doesn’t roll in until Friday morning, July 17th. Water temp is sitting at 71°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Friday the 17th starts things off with a clean 4ft swell from the east, 10-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate (321). It’s not the biggest, but it’s clean and rideable. Friday afternoon stays similar, with the same 4ft east swell and a light cross-off.

Saturday the 18th morning is a bit of a write-off with onshore wind and small 3ft east swell. But then Saturday afternoon, get this: glassy conditions, 3ft of south swell with a 13-second period, and the energy bumps up to 494. That’s a nice little window for a point break or reef kind of wave. Clean and easy.

Sunday the 19th morning is a bit messy with a cross-on breeze, but the swell is building to 5ft from the SSE at 11 seconds. The real standout here is Sunday afternoon: 5ft from the SSE, 12-second period, combined energy 998, and a clean cross-off wind. That’s proper surf – good shape, easy paddling.

Monday the 20th morning sees a 6ft SSW swell with 10-second period, but the wind is cross-on, so it’s a bit bumpy. Energy is strong (1280), but the quality is marginal. Monday afternoon drops to 5ft but with a 12-second period from the SE, still cross-on. Not perfect.

Tuesday the 21st is a total write-off – onshore wind, messy, no good.

Wednesday the 22nd morning is cross-shore and small, but Wednesday afternoon is a gem: glassy, 4ft from the SSE at 13 seconds, energy 590. Clean waves, easy to surf.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Thursday the 23rd morning: 8ft from the SSW, 12 seconds, cross-off wind, but the energy is massive (2519). That’s big – only for experienced surfers. Thursday afternoon is still 7ft, still strong, still cross-off.

Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th are a bit of a letdown – onshore winds, messy, or just too big and blown out. Saturday the 25th morning has a 7ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, but onshore wind kills it. That kind of long period groundswell would be best at a point or reef, but the wind is no good.

Sunday the 26th is howling offshore from the SSW at 25 mph – 5ft swell, but that wind is so strong it’s hard to paddle into. Not recommended.

The standout of the whole outlook lands on Monday, July 27th morning. 16ft from the SSW, 15-second period, energy a staggering 12,110, and a gentle offshore breeze. That is exceptional surf for expert surfers only. This is a proper, big, powerful groundswell. If you’re experienced, that’s the day. Monday afternoon is still 16ft but onshore wind, so morning is the call.

After that, it’s a mixed bag of big, messy, or onshore conditions through the rest of the month. Tuesday the 28th is 12ft but blown out. Wednesday the 29th is 10ft with onshore wind. Not great.

Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st are smaller but still onshore and messy.

Finally, Saturday the 1st of August morning: 6ft from the south, cross-on breeze, but Saturday afternoon looks promising again – 5ft from the south, glassy, and clean. A nice way to wrap up the period.

The best on offer? Sunday the 19th afternoon for clean, fun waves, and the absolute standout is Monday the 27th morning for the big, expert-level groundswell. That’s the one to circle.

Rusty.

Read more