The Spot Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up at The Spot. It’s a beach and reef setup, exposed to the south, and it’s fairly consistent, so we’ve got plenty to work with.

The water is sitting at 72°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

It’s a slow start. The first real call is Saturday the 18th of July. The Spot is showing glassy conditions with a clean 3 ft south swell, period around 13 seconds. The water’s smooth as a mirror with that 3 mph southeast breeze. The combined energy is moderate (477), so it’s not a powerhouse, but for a late afternoon session, you’ll find some fun, clean lines. This is paddling-around-and-smiling territory.

Sunday the 19th picks up a notch. Morning sees a 4 ft SSE swell, 12-second period, with a light onshore breeze. It’s a bit of a mixed bag – the swell’s growing but the wind’s not helping. By afternoon, the swell pushes to 5 ft (SSE, 12s), and the wind goes cross-on, so it’ll get a bit lumpy. The energy jumps to strong (1095), but the conditions are marginal.

Monday the 20th stays in that same range. A 6 ft SE swell in the morning with a cross breeze, energy still strong (1094). Afternoon drops a touch to 5 ft, but the onshore wind comes back. It’s a weekend of “almost there” surf.

Tuesday and Wednesday (21st to 22nd) are a write-off. The wind is onshore, moderate to fresh, and the swell gets messy. Thursday the 23rd is no better – a 5 ft south swell with a 6-second period is just a choppy, weak windswell. The energy is low (411). This is kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing.

Friday the 24th afternoon is interesting. A 6 ft SSW swell rolls in with a very long 18-second period, giving the energy a massive spike (2212). The wind is onshore though, so it’s a tease. The waves will have all that power, but the surface will be bumpy.

Now, here’s the standout. Saturday the 25th of July. The Spot is the place to be. Morning delivers a 5 ft SSW groundswell at 16 seconds, with a light cross-off SSE breeze. The energy is strong (1211), the waves are clean, and with that long period, the reef will handle it beautifully. It’s an intermediate-friendly size, but the quality is for everyone. The afternoon holds at 5 ft, 15 seconds, still cross-off. This is the best session of the first week.

After that, the surf drops back. Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th are blown out by onshore winds. Tuesday the 28th morning has a glimmer of hope – 4 ft SSW swell, 13 seconds, cross-off wind, clean conditions and good energy (410), but it’s a quick window.

The second week starts to build again. Wednesday the 29th afternoon though, look out. A 7 ft S swell with a 14-second period, strong offshore SSW wind at 22 mph, and energy through the roof (1948). That’s the top end for experts only. The wave height is over 8 ft, so it’s big and powerful. If you know what you’re doing, this is a serious session.

Thursday the 30th morning is still big (6 ft, SSE, 8 seconds) with a fresh offshore wind, but the shorter period makes it a bit more unruly. The afternoon cleans up nicely with a 3 ft SSW swell and offshore wind.

Friday the 31st is a solid day with 5 ft SSW swell, cross-off wind, and clean conditions. Good energy (over 1000). Not a standout, but a solid end to the month.

Then we hit the big one. Sunday the 2nd of August. The Spot goes off. A 7 ft SE swell, 12-second period, glassy conditions with barely a breath of easterly wind. The energy is massive (1594). This is a long-range call, so it’s a bit less certain, but if it lands, it’s the best wave of the whole forecast. That swell direction matches the optimum (S). The afternoon stays excellent at 7 ft, still clean. Mark your calendar.

So to wrap it up: the absolute best bets are the morning of Saturday the 25th of July for a fun, clean intermediate session, and the glassy morning of Sunday the 2nd of August for the big, clean groundswell of the whole 16 days. The Spot is your only break here, so make it count.

Rusty.

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