The Spot Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming up for The Spot, but don’t write it off just yet. The water is sitting at 72.3°, which is about 1.3° warmer than usual for this time of year, so nothing crazy, just a touch on the warm side.

The first real action kicks off Thursday morning, July 9th. We’re looking at 3ft of SSW swell with a 14-second period, which is a nice long-period groundswell. The combined energy is moderate at 654. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze from the SSW, keeping things clean. This is a beach and reef setup, so that long period will wrap in nicely. Not a standout, but a solid start.

Thursday afternoon picks up to 6ft from the SSW, with the period dropping a touch to 13 seconds. The energy jumps to 1204 (moderate). The wind swings to a cross-off from the SSE, still clean. The size is getting into the intermediate zone, but it’s not a world-beater.

Friday, July 10th, is the pick of the first week. The morning brings a solid 8ft of SSW swell with a very long period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is a strong 2588. The wind is light cross-shore from the SE, creating small ripples but not ruining it. This is a big, powerful groundswell. At 8ft, this is pushing into expert territory, so only the experienced crew should be looking at this. Because it’s a beach and reef, a long-period swell like this can break a bit straight, but the power will be there. Friday afternoon stays at 8ft with a 14-second period and energy at 2451, with a cross-off wind from the south. This is the standout window.

Saturday morning, July 11th, drops to 5.5ft from the SSW, 13-second period, energy at 995 (moderate). Light cross-off wind from the south. Conditions are clean for the experienced surfers. The afternoon is similar, just a touch smaller.

Sunday, July 12th, is a drop-off. 4.5ft SSW swell in the morning, 12-second period, light cross-shore breeze. Not much to write home about. The afternoon is smaller at 4ft, with light cross-off wind.

There’s a rough patch from Monday, July 13th, through to Wednesday, July 22nd. Onshore winds, poor conditions, and a lot of frustration. Things get a bit messy with easterly windswell. The period drops to 7-10 seconds, and the wind is onshore from the NE, making it a no-go for a paddle surfer. For a few days there, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup with the wind and slop, especially Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 21st.

Now, looking into the second week, there’s a promising blip but it’s a long way out. On Sunday, July 19th, the morning shows a big 11.5ft swell from the ESE with a 10-second period. The combined energy is a massive 4059 (very strong). That’s a serious amount of energy. The wind is a cross-off from the SSW, keeping it clean. This is for experts only. The afternoon drops to 8ft from the ESE, same period, energy at 1442, with a light cross-off breeze. This is a promising, but it’s over a week away, so don’t book the trip just yet.

Then from Monday, July 20th, through Friday, July 24th, it’s a hard close-out. Onshore winds from the NE, poor conditions, and the swell gets smaller and smaller. The 23rd and 24th have some long-period SSW swell, but the onshore wind ruins it completely. Forget about it.

So, the standout is clear: Friday, July 10th at The Spot. The morning and afternoon both offer 8ft of clean, long-period groundswell from the SSW. It’s big and powerful, so only for the experienced surfers. The second-week option on Sunday, July 19th, is worth watching, but it’s not a sure thing.

Stay frothy.

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