The Spot Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at the outlook for The Spot. It’s a beach and reef setup, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, so we need to be patient.

The water temp is sitting at 70°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.

The run starts on Friday the 14th of August, and honestly, it’s a rough start. The Spot is getting hammered by onshore wind from the NE, making a mess of the 4ft easterly swell. The combined energy is moderate (444), but with that wind, it’s a write-off. That onshore breeze sticks around through Saturday and Sunday, so we’re looking at a few days of poor conditions. A real bummer to kick things off.

Things start to look a little less grim on Monday the 17th of August. The wind swings to the SSW, giving us a cross-offshore breeze, and the wave height touches 5ft from the east. The energy is still moderate (399), but the wind is clean. It’s only a marginal call, but it’s the first sign of life.

Tuesday the 18th of August is actually the pick of this first week. The morning sees a light SSE breeze, cross-off, and a clean 4ft easterly swell with a 9-second period. The combined energy is 250, which is moderate, but it’s clean and surfable. The afternoon is a bit more ordinary, but the morning session is your best bet.

We then hit another dry spell. Wednesday and Thursday are mostly poor, with onshore winds and small waves. Friday the 21st of August has a little ju-ju with a 3ft SSW swell and a 15-second period, giving it some long-period grunt (energy of 339), but it’s only marginal. The Spot is a beach and reef, and that long period can make a beach break a bit straight, so keep that in mind.

There’s a big shift for Sunday the 23rd of August. The morning sees a 8ft SSW groundswell with a 16-second period. The combined energy is a massive 2977, which is very strong. But the wind is a cross-onshore from the ENE, making it choppy. It’s a marginal call, and at 8ft, this is expert territory. The afternoon is even bigger but with onshore wind, so it’s not for the faint-hearted.

The following week is a tale of decent swell but poor wind. Monday the 24th has a 5ft SSW swell (energy 1133), Tuesday the 25th has a 4ft SSW swell, but every day is dominated by NE onshore winds. It’s frustrating – the swell is there, but the wind is killing it. The energy numbers are moderate to strong, but the quality is poor.

The very end of the run, on Saturday the 29th of August, finally gives us a clean moment. The wind goes light offshore from the SSW, with a small 1ft swell. It’s tiny, just 1ft, and the energy is a weak 56, but it’s clean. A wave for the longboard or a foiler, but at least you’re not getting blown off the water.

So, the standout? If you have to pick one, make it the morning of Tuesday the 18th of August. That’s the cleanest, most consistent wave of the near-term. The big swell on Sunday the 23rd is for experts only, and it’s a gamble with the wind. After that, it’s a waiting game for the wind to play nice.

Rusty.

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