The Spot Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. It’s a long flat spell out at The Spot, with nothing worth paddling for the first ten days or so. The second half of the outlook is where it gets interesting, so don’t give up.

The Spot is a beach and reef setup open to the south, and for the first week and a half the wind is mostly a nasty onshore northeasterly, and the swell is tiny or weak. The water temp is 72°, which is right around average for the time of year, so no surprises there – just a lot of flat, blown-out days.

The first real chance you get is on Wednesday the 16th in the afternoon. A small 4ft easterly swell with a short 8-second period and moderate wave energy (366). The wind goes light southerly, just a slight breath, and it’s cross-offshore. That means the surf will be clean enough to get a few. It’s not firing, but it’s a start.

Thursday the 17th is back to onshore junk, so don’t bother.

Now, hold onto your board. Friday the 18th is when things get properly big but totally unsurfable – 10ft SSW building to 15ft, all with a strong onshore NE wind blowing at 18-19 mph. The combined energy jumps from 1680 to a massive 5521, but with that wind it’s just a churning mess. That’s a kite day, not a paddle day.

The true standout is Saturday the 19th. The morning kicks off with a solid 13ft SSE swell at 11 seconds, with a south cross-offshore breeze, giving you clean conditions. The wave energy is massive (7771). This is for experienced surfers only – 13ft is heavy. By the afternoon, the wind goes light offshore from the SSW, the swell drops to a still-thumping 12ft, period goes to 12 seconds, and the energy is 2996. It’ll be clean and hit the reef nicely. If you’ve got the guts, this is the time.

Sunday the 20th is still solid with 8ft to 8ft SE swell, but the wind picks up strong from the SSW at 18-25 mph, making it choppy and less inviting.

Monday the 21st is the other real highlight. The morning goes glassy with a light east wind, a meaty 7ft SE swell at 13 seconds, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The wave energy is strong at 1719. This will be clean, powerful, and there will be long waits between sets – classic reef-break rhythm. By the afternoon it gets a little rippled with a light cross-shore, but still loads of push.

After that, Tuesday and Wednesday the 22nd and 23rd fade back into small, onshore junk. So, to wrap it up: dust off your board for Wednesday arvo the 16th for a small clean session, but the absolute standout is the big, offshore day on Saturday the 19th, followed closely by the glassy Monday the 21st. Don’t even look at the water before that.

Rusty.

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