Surf Forecasts:
Mbotyi surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 12s period, SSE swell with 1,197 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mbotyi this week:
The surf forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mbotyi in the next 16 days are 2.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 9s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks at Mbotyi.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but it picks up nicely. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Sunday the 19th kicks things off with a clean 4ft SSE swell rolling in, glassy as anything with the wind barely a whisper from the east. The energy’s got some punch to it (1063), and that 13-second period means proper groundswell. This is the standout of the first few days – excellent surf for the experienced crew. Monday morning the 20th is also worth a mention: 6ft SE swell, still glassy, a bit more size but still very clean. That’s a solid morning session.
Tuesday the 21st keeps it clean with glassy mornings, but the swell drops to 4ft and the energy fades a bit. Still fun, but not the peak. Wednesday the 22nd sees the swell drop further, and by Thursday the 23rd we’re into a flat spell with tiny waves and onshore winds. That flat run lasts from Thursday the 23rd all the way through to Saturday the 26th – nothing worth paddling out for.
Then, on Monday the 27th, we get a surprise: a clean 6ft ENE swell, glassy again, with moderate energy (577). That’s a fun morning. But after that, the wind gets ugly and the surf turns messy for a few days.
Now, the real standout is way out there on Saturday the 1st of August. We’re looking at a massive 10ft SSE swell with a very long 13-second period, and the energy is off the charts (3248). But here’s the catch – it’s predicted to be too big for this break. The wind is cross-onshore, light, but the size alone puts it in expert-only territory. If you’re a seasoned charger and can handle that much water moving, it could be a wild one. But for most of us, it’s a day to watch from the beach.
Sunday the 2nd of August cleans up nicely: 7ft ENE swell, glassy, with a solid 1262 energy. That’s a great session for the experienced. Monday the 3rd has a similar vibe, 6ft ENE swell, glassy again, nice and clean.
So, overall: the best on offer is Sunday the 19th for clean, glassy groundswell, and Sunday the 2nd of August for a bigger, clean swell. The 1st of August is a monster, but only for the brave.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | SSE 11 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | S 11 | E 11 | E 5 | SSE 8 | E 5 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 563 | 389 | 977 | 929 | 761 | 603 | 425 | 386 | 325 | 316 | 212 | 169 | 108 | 63 | 60 | 850 | 59 | 25 | 68 | 19 | 23 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:18PM1.53m | 7:23AM1.32m | 7:56PM1.41m | 8:03AM1.20m | 8:40PM1.28m | 8:55AM1.08m | 9:41PM1.16m | 10:24AM1.00m | 11:21PM1.11m | 12:28PM1.01m | 00:57AM1.14m | 1:45PM1.10m | 1:58AM1.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:52PM0.20m | 1:26AM0.38m | 1:28PM0.32m | 2:07AM0.49m | 2:08PM0.46m | 2:57AM0.59m | 2:58PM0.58m | 4:11AM0.67m | 4:22PM0.68m | 6:03AM0.67m | 6:21PM0.68m | 7:29AM0.59m | 7:40PM0.60m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | | | | | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 22 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 25 | 27 | 22 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 17 |
Feels °C | 18 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSE 11 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | ENE 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | S 11 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 432 | 389 | 977 | 929 | 761 | 603 | 425 | 386 | 325 | 522 | 299 | 91 | 201 | 135 | 850 | 850 | 2766 | 1560 | 794 | 911 | 799 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | S 11 | E 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SSW 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSW 20 | SE 11 | E 5 | SSE 8 | E 5 | E 5 |
| kJ | 563 | 224 | 50 | 73 | 242 | 206 | 74 | 229 | 544 | 316 | 212 | 196 | 108 | 63 | 60 | 149 | 30 | 25 | 68 | 19 | 13 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SE 13 | S 10 | SW 12 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 17 | SSW 11 | ENE 4 | ENE 6 | — | SE 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 11 | — | SE 11 | E 5 | ESE 10 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 68 | 250 | 31 | 66 | 30 | 16 | 160 | 44 | 8 | 40 | — | 169 | 24 | 14 | 7 | 43 | — | 18 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 8 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | NE 4 | NE 5 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | SSW 3 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 11 | — | E 11 | ENE 7 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 57 | 125 | — | — | — | 4 | 31 | 85 | 110 | 6 | 331 | 588 | 1386 | — | 59 | 5 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 94 | 48 | 0 | 216 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 116 | 206 | 90 | 473 | 532 | 0 | 82 | 188 | 0 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mbotyi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mbotyi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mbotyi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mbotyi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mbotyi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mbotyi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mbotyi is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Port Saint Johns. If you plan a holiday in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Saint Johns. Port Saint Johns has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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