Mbotyi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Mbotyi. It’s a pretty exposed spot, best with swell from the east, and when it’s on, it can be a real treat. But I gotta be straight with you – for the next little while, it’s mostly a waiting game. The water’s sitting at 70°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no worries about a chilly surprise.

The first real chance to get excited doesn’t come until Monday, the 24th of August. That afternoon, we’ve got a glassy, clean surface with a 4 ft S swell rolling in at a long 13-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 421, and with the wind glassy and light, this is a proper window for a session. The swell direction isn’t exactly the optimum east, but the south swell can still line up nicely at Mbotyi, especially with that longer period giving the waves some push and shape. Just keep in mind, this spot can be inconsistent, and crowds are sometimes a thing, so if you see a few heads out, don’t be surprised.

After that, things flatten out again until the 27th of August. Thursday morning the 27th we see a 5 ft ENE swell, but it’s short period at 8 seconds and the wind is cross-shore. The wave energy is quite high at 938, but the quality is marginal at best. It’s a bit of a messy one, but for the more experienced crew, there might be a few lumpy ones to be had.

Then, on Friday the 28th of August, the morning looks promising again. Glassy conditions with a 3 ft S swell, 11-second period, and moderate energy at 318. The wind is light and offshore, so the surf should be clean and workable. This is another standout in the outlook, but it’s still a week and a half away, so treat it as a hopeful tick in the calendar.

Moving into the start of September, Monday the 31st of August morning has a 8 ft ENE swell with a 9-second period and cross-on wind. Combined energy is a hefty 1692, which is strong. That’s big, powerful stuff – only for experts, and with the wind being cross-on, it’s going to be rough. Probably more of a kite session than a paddle session if you ask me.

The rest of the period is pretty quiet, with small, weak swells and poor conditions. So, to sum it up – the best bets are Monday afternoon the 24th of August, and Friday morning the 28th of August. Everything else is either flat, messy, or for the hardcore only.

Rusty.

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