Surf Forecasts:
Mbotyi surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 26 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 26 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, S swell with 5,242 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mbotyi this week:
The surf forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mbotyi in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 10s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Wed 26th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Wed 26th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you – this Mbotyi outlook is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a long stretch ahead, but the good stuff is going to take some patience.
Right now, for the next couple of days, it’s basically flat. Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th are a write-off for any real surf – we’re looking at tiny 0.6ft to 3ft waves with poor conditions. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.
The first real pulse of energy shows up on Thursday the 27th. Swell jumps to 6ft from the ENE, but it’s a messy, short-period wind swell (6 seconds) with a strong cross-shore wind. The combined energy hits 212 (moderate), but the wind is going to chop it up. Not beginner-friendly – that 6ft is a bit much for learning, and the conditions are poor. Friday the 28th is a bit better in the morning with a 4ft S swell (12-second period, nice long lines) and moderate cross-shore wind. The combined energy is 975 (strong), but the wind is still cross-shore, so it’s marginal. The afternoon gets bigger (7ft ENE) but with a shorter period (9 seconds) and stronger wind – that’s getting into expert territory.
Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th keep the energy up – 6ft to 7ft from the ENE, but the wind never really cleans up. It’s cross-shore or cross-on all week. The best bet in this whole forecast might be the morning of Friday the 28th, with that S groundswell (12 seconds) giving some shape, but you’ll be fighting the wind. After that, we get a drop-off into early September with mostly smaller, poor-condition surf until the 5th and 6th.
On the 5th and 6th of September, we see a solid S swell (11 seconds) pushing 4ft to 4ft, with combined energy around 518-603 (moderate), but it’s cross-onshore from the east. It’s marginal, not clean. The 6th has a bigger 7ft ENE pulse (1051 energy, strong), but again, cross-onshore wind and short period (8 seconds) – that’s a messy, powerful wave for experts only.
Honestly, the standout here is Friday morning the 28th of August. The 4ft swell from the south with a 12-second period is the best quality we get – longer period means better shape and more energy. The combined energy is 975, which is strong. But the cross-shore wind is going to keep it from being perfect. For a dedicated surfer, that’s your window. Mbotyi is a fairly consistent spot, so it won’t stay poor forever, but this 16-day run is a tough one. If you’re not keen on fighting chop, this might be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on most days.
Stay patient, and keep an eye on the forecasts. Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sat night, calm by Mon afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NE by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | E 9 | E 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 10 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 17 | S 17 | S 16 | ENE 6 | S 13 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 11 | 6 | 6 | 140 | 79 | 75 | 62 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4056 | 212 | 572 | 584 | 493 | 623 | 499 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 00:57AM1.05m | 1:48PM1.07m | 1:53AM1.19m | 2:23PM1.23m | 2:27AM1.32m | 2:52PM1.38m | 2:56AM1.45m | 3:18PM1.52m | 3:23AM1.55m | 3:43PM1.64m | 3:50AM1.63m | 4:09PM1.73m | 4:17AM1.68m | ||||||
Low Tide | 7:33AM0.65m | 7:45PM0.64m | 8:12AM0.50m | 8:22PM0.50m | 8:40AM0.36m | 8:52PM0.37m | 9:05AM0.23m | 9:19PM0.25m | 9:30AM0.11m | 9:47PM0.15m | 9:55AM0.03m | 10:14PM0.08m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — |
 | 5:37 | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 25 | 27 | 21 |
Feels °C | 14 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 22 | 24 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | S 17 | S 16 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 |
| kJ | 11 | 800 | 499 | 279 | 79 | 75 | 291 | 845 | 1346 | 1165 | 2239 | 4114 | 4056 | 1443 | 572 | 584 | 493 | 407 | 271 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 8 | E 9 | SSE 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 14 | SSE 8 | SE 10 | E 9 | E 9 | — | — | — | — | SSW 12 | S 16 | — | — | SSE 15 |
| kJ | — | 6 | 6 | 140 | 100 | 118 | 62 | 27 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 297 | 237 | — | — | 123 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 9 | — | E 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 9 | SSE 12 | E 9 | SSE 9 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | S 16 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 6 | — | 6 | 24 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 5 | — | — | — | — | 185 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 3 | — | — | — | — | E 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 1544 | 1732 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | 52 | 212 | 431 | 533 | 482 | 623 | 499 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 473 | 111 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | 3 | 130 | 216 | 188 | 661 | 656 | 206 | 259 | 490 | 216 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mbotyi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mbotyi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mbotyi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mbotyi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mbotyi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mbotyi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mbotyi is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Port Saint Johns. If you plan a holiday in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Saint Johns. Port Saint Johns has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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