Surf Forecasts:
Mbotyi surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 14 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, ENE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 14 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, ENE swell with 3,048 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 9 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mbotyi this week:
The surf forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mbotyi in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 16s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Wed 9th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, with a look at what Mbotyi has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.
We’re looking at a pretty frustrating stretch of surf, to be honest. The pattern is dominated by messy, onshore or cross-shore winds, leaving only a few very narrow windows of clean surf. The water is sitting at 69°F which is about average for the time of year, so at least a steamer won’t be necessary.
The first real glimmer of hope comes on Thursday, the 10th of September. Thursday morning is the standout. The swell is a solid 7ft from the ENE, with a period of 9 seconds, and it’s glassy. This is the cleanest we’ll see it. The combined wave energy is moderate at 470. That’s the one to circle. The afternoon of that same day turns poor as the wind swings cross-shore.
The next whisper of something decent is way off, on Friday the 18th of September. Friday afternoon looks like it could be a surprise. The onshore wind drops, the sky clears, and we get a glassy 6ft wave from the SSE. The energy is moderate at 412. It’s a long way out, so don’t bank on it, but keep an eye on it.
Everything else in between is a write-off. We’ve got a huge gap of poor conditions from the 11th right through to the 17th. The swell gets big at times, hitting 10ft on the 14th, but it’s accompanied by a fresh 25 mph cross-shore wind, making it a total mess. That kind of energy (1666) with that wind is more for the kite crew than a paddle surfer.
So, keep your wetsuit handy and your expectations low. The 10th morning is the one to aim for, and maybe, just maybe, the 18th afternoon will deliver.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu morning, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun morning, min 17°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the NE by Mon morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 | SSE 8 | ENE 6 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 314 | 679 | 620 | 385 | 721 | 589 | 276 | 202 | 132 | 138 | 113 | 82 | 85 | 212 | 111 | 279 | 302 | 610 | 1664 | 1218 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:19PM1.48m | 2:34AM1.50m | 2:56PM1.65m | 3:09AM1.62m | 3:30PM1.78m | 3:42AM1.68m | 4:00PM1.84m | 4:12AM1.71m | 4:30PM1.85m | 4:41AM1.69m | 4:57PM1.80m | 5:08AM1.63m | 5:23PM1.71m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:29PM0.28m | 8:42AM0.16m | 9:06PM0.14m | 9:14AM0.04m | 9:39PM0.05m | 9:45AM-0.03m | 10:09PM0.00m | 10:14AM-0.05m | 10:38PM0.01m | 10:42AM-0.03m | 11:05PM0.05m | 11:09AM0.05m | 11:31PM0.13m | |||||||
 |  | | | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 20 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 28 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 21 |
Feels °C | 20 | 19 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 25 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSE 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 | SSE 8 | E 6 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | E 10 |
| kJ | 156 | 306 | 333 | 59 | 385 | 329 | 276 | 202 | 132 | 138 | 113 | 82 | 85 | 139 | 111 | 196 | 190 | 166 | 68 | 1218 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 13 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | S 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | S 9 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 43 | 80 | 64 | 18 | 41 | 22 | 14 | 202 | 199 | 97 | 44 | 79 | 57 | 54 | 417 | 469 | 334 | — | 2 | 38 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSE 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 20 | SW 6 | SE 11 | SE 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSE 8 | E 9 | SSE 7 | SE 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 28 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 17 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 63 | 56 | 41 | 33 | 57 | 36 | 55 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | S 5 | — | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | — | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 9 | WSW 3 |
| kJ | 314 | 679 | 620 | 385 | 721 | 589 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 13 | — | 18 | 72 | 212 | — | 279 | 302 | 610 | 1664 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 484 | 0 | 259 | 484 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 111 | 187 | 67 | 0 | 216 | 216 | 121 | 216 | 216 | 216 | 490 | 473 | 186 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mbotyi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mbotyi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mbotyi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mbotyi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mbotyi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mbotyi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mbotyi is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Port Saint Johns. If you plan a holiday in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Saint Johns. Port Saint Johns has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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