Mbotyi Surf Break

Lat Long: 31.46° S 29.74° E

Mbotyi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 11 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mbotyi sea temperature is
21.0° C
0.3° 

Mbotyi surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mbotyi surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, ENE swell with 1,121 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mbotyi this week:

The surf forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mbotyi in the next 16 days are 2.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 11s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (SAST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Wed 12th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 10s
Best Surf 5AM (Sat 15th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Most Powerful11PM (Sun 16th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I'll be straight with you—this 16-day window for Mbotyi is a proper mixed bag, and there's a long stretch of pretty ordinary surf before we get anything worth paddling out for. We've got a solid run of clean conditions and some decent energy trying to show up, but you've got to be patient.

Right now, the first surf worth mentioning doesn't kick off until the morning of Saturday the 15th of August. The waiting game is real. We've got a dry spell from now right through to Friday the 14th with scores that tell me it's not worth your time. Light rain, onshore winds, and choppy conditions are the norm, with cross-shore breezes and small, weak swell. It's a write-off.

Now, let's talk about the first sign of life. Saturday morning the 15th of August at Mbotyi (South Africa). The swell is starting to push in at a solid 7 ft from the east (E) with a long period of 12 seconds. This is groundswell energy, and the combined energy reading is strong at 1865. For an intermediate, this is a meaty wave, but it's not out of control. The wind is light and cross-shore from the ENE at 6 mph, which will keep things fairly clean. The water temp is about 70°F, which is only about 0.5°F warmer than average, so right on the money for this time of year. Crowds are sometimes a factor here, so you might get a couple of mates out but nothing crazy. This Saturday morning is a standout—big, long-period east swell with okay wind.

Sunday the 16th of August morning keeps the fun alive. We've got a 6 ft swell from ENE with another solid 11-second period. The combined energy is 1622—still very strong. The wind stays light cross-shore again (NE at 6 mph), keeping the surface tidy. Saturday morning is the pick of the first week, but Sunday morning is a close second.

From Sunday afternoon through Tuesday the 18th, it starts to fade. The wind picks up to a moderate breeze, and the swell drops off. By Tuesday, we're down to 3 ft with weak energy (181), and it's messy. Not worth it.

Then, on Wednesday the 19th of August, we get a flash of magic. The morning brings a 6 ft swell from the east with a short period of 8 seconds, but look at the wind—light cross-offshore from the WSW at 6 mph. The conditions are described as “clean.” This is the kind of glassy vibe that makes an average wave feel special. The combined energy is moderate at 746. The wind stays cross-offshore in the afternoon too, with a 6 ft swell from the east. For an intermediate, this Wednesday is your other standout: clean, user-friendly size, and light offshore wind.

After that, it's a slow slide into nothing. Thursday the 20th is tiny and onshore. Friday the 21st gets blown out by a fresh 18-22 mph NE wind. The weekend of the 22nd and 23rd is a mess of strong breezes and tiny swell. From the 24th of August onward, we're looking at weak 2 ft to 4 ft swells with moderate to fresh cross-shore winds. Nothing to get excited about.

So, the takeaway? Your best bets are Saturday morning the 15th of August for size and power, and Wednesday the 19th of August for clean, silky conditions. Don't waste your energy on the rest until you see the forecasts improve.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 14°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
3
0
0
3
3
1
3
3
2
4
1
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SE
9
2.2
S
10
1.7
SE
8
1.7
SSE
9
1.5
E
10
1.8
ESE
9
1.4
ESE
8
1.1
E
9
1.7
E
8
1.3
E
8
1.5
E
10
1.7
E
11
2
E
12
1.9
E
11
1.8
E
12
1.9
ENE
11
2.1
ENE
11
2.1
ENE
11
1.5
E
10
1.9
ENE
10
1.6
E
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
269
996
392
426
405
475
268
188
337
196
432
698
1098
890
843
911
1016
979
459
692
470
Wind (km/h)
10
SSE
15
SE
15
ESE
15
E
15
ENE
10
NNW
15
NE
20
NE
15
NNE
20
NE
25
NE
10
NNE
10
ENE
15
NE
10
N
10
NE
20
NE
10
WSW
15
ENE
20
NE
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
3:10PM1.57m
3:25AM1.62m
3:50PM1.71m
4:02AM1.69m
4:26PM1.80m
4:37AM1.70m
5:00PM1.82m
5:09AM1.67m
5:32PM1.79m
5:40AM1.61m
6:02PM1.70m
6:09AM1.51m
6:31PM1.58m
Low Tide
8:57AM0.18m
9:17PM0.18m
9:35AM0.05m
9:57PM0.09m
10:10AM-0.03m
10:33PM0.04m
10:42AM-0.06m
11:07PM0.05m
11:14AM-0.03m
11:39PM0.10m
11:44AM0.04m
00:09AM0.19m
12:12PM0.15m
00:38AM0.29m
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:39
6:39
6:37
6:37
6:35
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:32
5:34
5:34
5:35
 mm
3
4
7
2
2
Temp °C
15
16
16
16
16
16
17
18
16
19
21
16
23
24
20
26
27
23
23
25
22
Feels °C
13
14
12
13
13
14
14
14
14
15
17
13
21
22
19
24
24
21
22
23
21
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mbotyi Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mbotyi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mbotyi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mbotyi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mbotyi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mbotyi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mbotyi is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Port Saint Johns. If you plan a holiday in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Saint Johns. Port Saint Johns has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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