Surf Forecasts:
Mbotyi surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, ENE swell with 1,186 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mbotyi this week:
The surf forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mbotyi in the next 16 days are 2.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 5.0m 15s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here with a look at what Mbotyi‘s got cooking over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.
The first real chance for a wave doesn’t show up until Monday morning, the 17th. That morning we’ve got a glassy 5ft easterly swell with a solid 11-second period pushing in. The water is sitting at a comfortable 70°, perfectly normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate at 457, and with that glassy wind, it’s going to be clean. This is the standout session of the early week. Things get messy after that, with the wind turning cross or onshore and the swell dropping right off.
From Tuesday the 18th right through to Monday the 24th, it’s pretty grim. Swell heights are tiny or non-existent, and the wind is all wrong. A real dry spell, almost a full week of nothing worth paddling out for.
Now, hold onto your leashes, because the second week gets interesting. Around Tuesday the 25th of August, a big, powerful S groundswell arrives. The morning shows an 8ft S swell with a very long 13-second period. The combined energy jumps to a massive 2181, which is very strong. This is solid, meaty surf. However, 8ft is getting into expert territory. The wind is a cross-on, so it’ll be a bumpy drop-in, but the power will be there. The afternoon has a 7ft swell from the S with a 15-second period. That’s a very long period groundswell, which means it might stand up a bit walled at the beach, but Mbotyi's setup will likely handle it. Wind is a fresh cross-shore, so a bit lumpy.
The real highlight, though, looks like Friday morning, the 28th of August. We get a 7ft ENE swell with a short 8-second period, but the wind is glassy. Absolutely dead calm. The combined energy is a strong 852. For a morning surf with no wind chop, that’s going to be some serious fun for the crew that can handle it, though that short period will make it a bit more pushed together. The wind is perfect, so the surface will be like a mirror.
Overall, the best bets are the glassy Monday the 17th for clean, user-friendly waves, and the glassy Friday the 28th for a powerful, clean session for the more experienced.
And remember, that big S swell on the 25th is a proper lump, so if you’re not confident, sit that one out.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 24°C on Mon morning, min 17°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed night, light winds from the WSW by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | ENE 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 | SSW 6 | E 8 | S 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 4 | NE 7 | SSW 6 | ENE 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 617 | 973 | 457 | 353 | 273 | 216 | 171 | 130 | 166 | 73 | 96 | 33 | 176 | 21 | 13 | 29 | 268 | 93 | 37 | 11 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:02PM1.70m | 6:09AM1.51m | 6:31PM1.58m | 6:37AM1.39m | 6:59PM1.44m | 7:05AM1.26m | 7:28PM1.28m | 7:36AM1.12m | 8:05PM1.13m | 8:27AM0.98m | 9:47PM1.00m | 12:23PM0.93m | 00:57AM1.05m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:09AM0.19m | 12:12PM0.15m | 00:38AM0.29m | 12:41PM0.28m | 1:08AM0.42m | 1:10PM0.43m | 1:41AM0.55m | 1:43PM0.58m | 2:31AM0.69m | 2:42PM0.73m | 5:11AM0.76m | 6:18PM0.77m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 19 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 25 | 23 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 18 |
Feels °C | 20 | 17 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 7 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | ENE 7 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 |
| kJ | 9 | 640 | 457 | 353 | 273 | 216 | 171 | 130 | 318 | 316 | 286 | 219 | 176 | 2410 | 854 | 475 | 128 | 203 | 123 | 542 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 11 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | SSW 16 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | SSW 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 47 | 18 | 36 | 146 | 125 | 73 | 66 | 33 | 463 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 303 | 85 | 37 | 11 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | S 10 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 9 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | — | ENE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 9 | 2 | 10 | 9 | — | 26 | 7 | 18 | — | — | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | ENE 11 | — | — | SSW 3 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | — | ENE 9 | ENE 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | — | — | ENE 4 | NE 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 |
| kJ | 617 | 973 | — | — | 4 | 6 | 5 | — | 166 | 40 | 96 | 173 | 254 | — | — | 29 | 268 | 93 | 284 | 921 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 216 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 48 | 36 | 216 | 206 | 326 | 187 | 19 | 3 | 695 | 661 | 0 | 218 | 656 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mbotyi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mbotyi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mbotyi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mbotyi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mbotyi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mbotyi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mbotyi is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Port Saint Johns. If you plan a holiday in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Saint Johns. Port Saint Johns has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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