Surf Forecasts:
Mbotyi surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 7s period, NE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 7s period, NE swell with 412 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mbotyi this week:
The surf forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mbotyi in the next 16 days are 2.0m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 10s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's switch gears and talk feet and knots.
So, the first week or so is a real bummer. From Tuesday, August 18th, right through to the 26th, it's just blown out. The wind is all over the place, and the swell is weak and messy. The combined energy is mostly in the weak range, with a few moderate days getting spun up by the wind. Don't waste the gas.
But then, hold on, because Thursday, August 27th, is where it's at. The water temp is about 70°, which is pretty normal for the area. Thursday morning is the real deal. We're looking at a 4ft swell from the SSE, with a 14-second period – that's proper groundswell. The wind is light offshore from the NNW, and it's going to be clean. The energy in the water is a massive 1238. For an intermediate surfer, that's the one. The swell direction is a bit off the ideal E, but with those conditions, it'll be a blast. It's a bit too big for beginners, but it's not a monster. That long period around 15 seconds means the sets will be a bit wider apart, and at a beach break like Mbotyi, it can make the waves a bit closeout-y. Look for a rip to get out.
The afternoon of the 27th bumps up to 5ft, but the wind swings around, so it gets a bit messier. The morning is the winner.
After that, the energy stays high, but the wind turns ugly. Friday the 28th has waves around 6ft with a 14-second period, but it's cross-on, so it'll be a battle. Into the start of September, it's a lot of choppy windswell, with the swell getting bigger again – 8ft on September 1st – but that's for the expert crew only. The cross-shore winds will make it ugly.
So, bottom line: the first week is a no-go. The standout window is Thursday, August 27th, morning. Get out there early for the cleanest waves. The rest of the period is a waiting game on the wind.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, fresh winds from the SW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sat night, calm by Mon morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 6 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | E 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 139 | 106 | 257 | 84 | 64 | 34 | 23 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 253 | 123 | 36 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:59PM1.44m | 7:05AM1.26m | 7:28PM1.28m | 7:36AM1.12m | 8:05PM1.13m | 8:27AM0.98m | 9:47PM1.00m | 12:23PM0.93m | 00:57AM1.05m | 1:48PM1.07m | 1:53AM1.19m | 2:23PM1.23m | 2:27AM1.32m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:08AM0.42m | 1:10PM0.43m | 1:41AM0.55m | 1:43PM0.58m | 2:31AM0.69m | 2:42PM0.73m | 5:11AM0.76m | 6:18PM0.77m | 7:33AM0.65m | 7:45PM0.64m | 8:12AM0.50m | 8:22PM0.50m | ||||||||
 |  | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — |
 | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 19 | 23 | 26 | 23 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 21 | 18 |
Feels °C | 18 | 20 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 21 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 139 | 106 | 460 | 396 | 318 | 310 | 246 | 1576 | 633 | 426 | 113 | 123 | 36 | 1111 | 834 | 1164 | 1057 | 714 | 639 | 806 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | S 6 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 8 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 22 | 40 | 132 | 54 | 64 | 172 | 475 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 254 | 263 | — | 13 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 16 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | E 8 | ENE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 8 | — | NE 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | — |
| kJ | 11 | 138 | — | — | — | 34 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 2 | 18 | 18 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 5 | — | ENE 9 | ENE 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | — | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 7 | SSW 2 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | — |
| kJ | 25 | — | 257 | 84 | 248 | 547 | — | — | — | 7 | 253 | 1 | 1282 | 1869 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 19 | 0 | 216 | 116 | 371 | 187 | 67 | 3 | 216 | 216 | 0 | 90 | 428 | 165 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mbotyi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mbotyi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mbotyi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mbotyi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mbotyi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mbotyi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mbotyi is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Port Saint Johns. If you plan a holiday in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Saint Johns. Port Saint Johns has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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