Surf Forecasts:
Mbotyi surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 14 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 14 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, ENE swell with 2,525 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mbotyi this week:
The surf forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 2.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mbotyi in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 8s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Mbotyi over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a pretty grim stretch. We're looking at a long, hard run of poor surf conditions. The first few days are a write-off. Friday the 11th through the weekend, and into the start of the following week, it's all messy, onshore wind with weak, short-period slop. You're looking at cross-onshore breezes and combined wave energies that barely crawl into the low hundreds – weak, unorganized stuff. Not worth paddling out for.
Now, Monday the 14th is a real tease. The forecast is throwing up a massive 13ft swell from the ENE with a period around 9 seconds. The combined energy reading is massive (3611). But here's the catch – the reports are telling us it's just too big for this break. Even with favorable wind and tide, that's a washing machine for all but the most insane, expert-level chargers. The afternoon looks similar, with an 12ft swell and over 3900 for energy. If you're not on a gun and ready for a beating, stay on the beach.
Things back off a little after that, but we're still in no-man's land. Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th see a drop to 6ft - 7ft swell, but the wind stays an onshore nuisance, creating choppy, bumpy conditions. The commentary calls it "marginal," and that's being polite. The wave energy is there (1377 on Wednesday morning), but the quality is cooked.
We get a real mixed bag after that. Thursday the 17th sees a drop back to 3ft with a cross-shore wind, but it’s just not that clean. There’s a glimmer on Monday the 21st with some glassy conditions and a tiny 3ft swell, but the energy is only 67 – that's barely a ripple.
Honestly, there isn't a single standout session in this entire 16-day window. The best of a bad bunch is probably Monday the 14th if you are a true expert and absolutely frothing on the size, but the break itself is warning us off. For the rest of us, it's a long wait. Conditions like these can change quick though, so keep an eye on it. But as it stands today, it’s a tough call.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon morning, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 25°C on Mon afternoon, min 15°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 | SSE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 110 | 115 | 95 | 107 | 168 | 118 | 337 | 555 | 2346 | 2525 | 884 | 710 | 878 | 500 | 928 | 400 | 239 | 158 | 562 | 482 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:00PM1.84m | 4:12AM1.71m | 4:30PM1.85m | 4:41AM1.69m | 4:57PM1.80m | 5:08AM1.63m | 5:23PM1.71m | 5:34AM1.55m | 5:48PM1.58m | 5:58AM1.43m | 6:12PM1.44m | 6:23AM1.30m | 6:36PM1.29m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:09PM0.00m | 10:14AM-0.05m | 10:38PM0.01m | 10:42AM-0.03m | 11:05PM0.05m | 11:09AM0.05m | 11:31PM0.13m | 11:35AM0.15m | 11:56PM0.24m | 12:01PM0.28m | 00:21AM0.37m | 12:26PM0.43m | 00:48AM0.51m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | |  | | |  |  | |  | |
 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — |
 | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Temp °C | 20 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 24 | 22 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
Feels °C | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 23 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | S 8 | SSE 8 | E 9 | SE 7 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 110 | 115 | 95 | 107 | 73 | 118 | 532 | 275 | 1263 | 1449 | 884 | 710 | 637 | 500 | 449 | 400 | 239 | 158 | 161 | 482 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | S 5 | E 9 | E 9 | S 11 | SSW 17 | E 9 | S 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | E 10 |
| kJ | 22 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 58 | 629 | 61 | 16 | 175 | 163 | 87 | 55 | 47 | 37 | 63 | 50 | 57 | 47 | 67 | 127 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | E 9 | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 9 | — | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SSW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | — | — | — | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 79 | 63 | 56 | 41 | 95 | 56 | 33 | 16 | 2 | — | 209 | 184 | 14 | 25 | 46 | 39 | — | — | — | 59 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 4 | E 5 | ESE 7 | E 6 | ESE 7 | E 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | — | — | ENE 10 | NE 5 | ENE 10 | — | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | S 9 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 12 | 36 | 168 | 84 | 337 | 555 | 2346 | 2525 | — | — | 878 | 68 | 928 | — | 366 | 572 | 562 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 111 | 182 | 216 | 656 | 216 | 1043 | 216 | 216 | 484 | 221 | 0 | 187 | 116 | 0 | 216 | 82 | 187 | 48 | 165 | 48 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mbotyi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mbotyi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mbotyi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mbotyi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mbotyi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mbotyi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mbotyi is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Port Saint Johns. If you plan a holiday in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Saint Johns. Port Saint Johns has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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