Mbotyi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start for Mbotyi, but there’s a couple of windows that’ll have you itching for a paddle. The water temp is sitting at 70°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real hope comes on Tuesday the 14th. That morning, it’s looking glassy with a clean 6ft swell from the east, period around 9 seconds. The energy is moderate (618), and with zero wind, those lines are going to be clean. That’s your best early call. The afternoon holds up with a similar swell, but a light cross-breeze creeps in, so get out early.

Wednesday the 15th afternoon is another sweet spot. The swell drops a touch to 5ft, but the wind goes glassy again, and the period stretches to 10 seconds. That’s a nice, clean groundswell pushing in. The energy is still solid (455). It’s a great session for intermediates.

Then we hit a flat spell. From Thursday the 16th through to late on the 21st, it’s mostly small or messy. A few mornings have glassy conditions but the swell is tiny, like 2ft. Not worth paddling out for.

Things get interesting again on Saturday the 18th morning. A big pulse of energy shows up – 1460 in the tank – with a 5ft swell from the south-southeast, period 10 seconds. The wind is light cross-onshore, so it’ll have a bit of texture, but that’s a lot of power for Mbotyi. The swell is sizeable, but it’s still manageable for a confident intermediate. Keep an eye on the tide.

The standout, though, is Tuesday the 28th. Tuesday morning is glassy, dead calm, and the swell is pumping at 6ft from the east-northeast, with an 8-second period. The energy is strong (781). That’s going to be clean, punchy, and consistent. This is the session to circle on the calendar. The afternoon gets a bit chunkier, jumping to 8ft, but it turns cross-onshore and choppy, so that morning session is the clear winner.

Before that, on Friday the 24th morning, there is a sneaky long-period groundswell from the south, 15 seconds, but only 2ft. It’s glassy, so it’ll be clean, but the swell is tiny. Mbotyi is a fairly consistent spot, so even though we have a few gaps, it usually doesn’t stay flat for long.

Rusty.

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