Surf Forecasts:
Mbotyi surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 11s period, ENE swell with 1,121 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 6s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mbotyi this week:
The surf forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mbotyi in the next 16 days are 2.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 7s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get down to Mbotyi. The start of this run ain’t much to shout about – a few small, choppy days with hardly any juice. Your first real shot at something worthwhile is on Sunday 16 August, when a solid 6ft east-northeast swell rolls through with a period of 11 seconds. The combined wave energy is at 1192 (moderate to strong), so there’s some real power there. The wind is cross-shore at 6 mph, so it won’t be glassy, but it’s not a total mess either. Mbotyi’s an east-facing exposed break and that direction is dead on its optimum, so the banks could line up nicely. Water temp’s about normal for this time of year.
Sunday afternoon the wind jumps to 12 mph cross-shore, so the morning is your better call. After that, the swell backs right off, and Monday through Thursday next week is tiny and weak – energy reading drops to just 63 on Wednesday, which is flat out flat.
Now, if you’ve got some patience, Monday 24 August is the real standout. We’re talking a 8ft south swell with a long 13-second period – that’s proper groundswell, with a combined energy reading of 1925 (strong). The wind in the morning is a light cross-shore at 6 mph, so the surface should be clean. That size is over 5ft, so beginners might find it intimidating, but for intermediates and above, it’s a serious session. One thing to keep in mind: longer period groundswell can run a bit straight on beach breaks like Mbotyi, but with east exposure and the right tide, it could still shape up nicely. Monday afternoon is still a solid 7ft but with a cross-onshore breeze, so the morning is where it’s at.
After Monday, the wind gets cross-shore again and the swell fades, so the 24th is the one to circle.
If you’re into kite surfing, the combo of onshore or cross-onshore wind and solid swell later in the period might be more your thing than paddling.
Bottom line: early days are slim pickings, but Sunday 16 August has a decent window, and Monday 24 August morning is the real standout – powerful, long-period south swell with clean conditions. That’s the one to chase.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sun afternoon, min 17°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 24°C on Thu afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | E 11 | ENE 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 6 | NE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 220 | 367 | 340 | 611 | 731 | 694 | 938 | 408 | 284 | 186 | 145 | 136 | 101 | 76 | 52 | 112 | 34 | 194 | 532 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:09AM1.67m | 5:32PM1.79m | 5:40AM1.61m | 6:02PM1.70m | 6:09AM1.51m | 6:31PM1.58m | 6:37AM1.39m | 6:59PM1.44m | 7:05AM1.26m | 7:28PM1.28m | 7:36AM1.12m | 8:05PM1.13m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:07PM0.05m | 11:14AM-0.03m | 11:39PM0.10m | 11:44AM0.04m | 00:09AM0.19m | 12:12PM0.15m | 00:38AM0.29m | 12:41PM0.28m | 1:08AM0.42m | 1:10PM0.43m | 1:41AM0.55m | 1:43PM0.58m | 2:31AM0.69m | ||||||
 |  | | | | | | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — |
 | 5:32 | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 22 | 24 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 21 | 24 | 22 |
Feels °C | 14 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 | E 11 | S 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 159 | 367 | 340 | 375 | 451 | 9 | 606 | 408 | 284 | 186 | 145 | 136 | 101 | 373 | 500 | 336 | 220 | 178 | 183 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | S 12 | S 11 | SW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SW 10 | S 5 | SW 16 | SW 8 | S 5 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 102 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 18 | 20 | 76 | 52 | 35 | 34 | 74 | 498 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | S 14 | S 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | — | — | E 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 22 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 45 | 7 | 34 | 64 | — | — | 9 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | — | — | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | E 11 | ENE 11 | SSW 3 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 11 | S 4 | — | — | ESE 4 | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 220 | — | — | 611 | 731 | 694 | 938 | 2 | 17 | 24 | 64 | 9 | — | — | 11 | 112 | 22 | 194 | 532 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 216 | 0 | 82 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 186 | 0 | 0 | 116 | 216 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mbotyi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mbotyi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mbotyi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mbotyi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mbotyi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mbotyi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mbotyi is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Port Saint Johns. If you plan a holiday in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Saint Johns. Port Saint Johns has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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