
Surf Forecasts:
Mbotyi surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 12s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period, SSE swell with 651 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 11s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mbotyi this week:
The surf forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mbotyi in the next 16 days are 2.1m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 16s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. This is a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
Straight up, the start of the period is a slow grind. Wednesday morning through to the following Tuesday looks pretty average. The waves are there, but they’re mostly small, and the wind is getting in the way. That first sniff of decent swell doesn’t come until the morning of the 24th, but it’s a bit of a mess with the wind, and the wave energy is still moderate at 644 (combined energy). The water temp is about what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.
The real standout, and the one to mark on your calendar, is the 29th of July. Mbotyi is exposed to the east, so a big SSE swell is heading straight in. We’re talking 10ft to 12ft of swell with combined energy hitting 1433 and then a massive 3268. That is serious power. The wind is cross-shore from the SW, so it’ll be chunky, but for an experienced surfer, this is a proper groundswell event. It’s only for the crew who know what they’re doing—this is way too big for beginners.
After that, things settle down a bit. The 30th looks messy with heavy rain and strong wind, though the 31st sees a bit of lighter wind. Then we get a promising little window on Saturday the 1st of August. The morning is glassy, and a 5ft ENE swell pushes in. It’s not huge, but with clean conditions, that’s a fun session. The energy is moderate at 436 (combined energy).
Then, the second week has a real gem. Tuesday the 4th of August is looking like a dream. The morning is completely glassy, calm winds, not a breath of air. The swell is a solid 6ft with a combined energy of 607. The afternoon is even better, glassy again with a 6ft swell and 613 energy. This is prime surf. The break is fairly consistent, so you can expect a few sets. Keep in mind the water temp is still average for the season. That’s a day to take off work.
The 5th of August brings a bigger pulse, with 8ft ENE swell, but the period is 11 seconds, which is a groundswell. It’s got a lot of energy (2234 combined) but it’ll be a bit more challenging to handle at this beach.
Overall, the first week is a patience game. The 29th of July is the big one for the experts, and the 1st of August and especially the 4th of August are the best bets for cleaner, more manageable waves. Stay patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 26°C on Wed afternoon, min 15°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Wed morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | S 9 | SE 11 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
373 | 392 | 292 | 205 | 142 | 140 | 106 | 60 | 601 | 40 | 212 | 221 | 88 | 50 | 210 | 368 | 144 | 109 | 47 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:40PM1.28m | 8:55AM1.08m | 9:41PM1.16m | 10:24AM1.00m | 11:21PM1.11m | 12:28PM1.01m | 00:57AM1.14m | 1:45PM1.10m | 1:58AM1.23m | 2:31PM1.22m | 2:39AM1.33m | 3:07PM1.33m | 3:14AM1.43m | ||||||
Low Tide | 2:57AM0.59m | 2:58PM0.58m | 4:11AM0.67m | 4:22PM0.68m | 6:03AM0.67m | 6:21PM0.68m | 7:29AM0.59m | 7:40PM0.60m | 8:19AM0.48m | 8:28PM0.50m | 8:55AM0.37m | 9:05PM0.40m | |||||||
— | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | |
5:17 | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 23 | 26 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 23 | 18 | 27 | 27 | 20 |
Feels °C | 17 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 24 | 25 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SSW 13 | SE 12 | ENE 7 | SSW 6 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 20 | S 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SE 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSW 12 |
373 | 514 | 292 | 117 | 75 | 276 | 125 | 256 | 601 | 1866 | 665 | 221 | 529 | 390 | 169 | 186 | 144 | 109 | 131 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SE 12 | SSW 13 | SE 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 8 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SSW 17 | SE 11 | SSE 9 | SSW 14 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | ENE 8 |
537 | 392 | 357 | 205 | 317 | 75 | 106 | 60 | 1294 | 40 | 212 | 515 | 88 | 42 | 25 | 83 | 173 | 183 | 47 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 4 | ENE 6 | — | SSW 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | SE 11 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | ENE 5 | — | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SE 9 | S 11 | SSW 16 |
5 | 18 | — | 241 | 142 | 140 | 21 | 3 | 43 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 17 | — | 54 | 97 | 3 | 9 | 166 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | — | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | — | — | ENE 3 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | — | SSW 3 | SSW 6 |
25 | 57 | 90 | — | 122 | 121 | 286 | 898 | 386 | — | — | 7 | 41 | 50 | 210 | 368 | — | 2 | 53 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 116 | 116 | 67 | 19 | 165 | 473 | 187 | 111 | 3 | 25 | 216 | 0 | 259 | 475 | 0 | 25 | 36 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mbotyi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mbotyi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mbotyi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mbotyi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mbotyi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mbotyi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mbotyi is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Port Saint Johns. If you plan a holiday in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Saint Johns. Port Saint Johns has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










