Surf Forecasts:
Mbotyi surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, ESE swell with 1,034 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mbotyi this week:
The surf forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mbotyi in the next 16 days are 2.1m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 9s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mbotyi over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s look at Mbotyi. It’s a slow start with a small southeast swell and messy cross-shore winds. Waves are weak and messy early, but things improve through the weekend.
Friday the 24th is flat. Light rain, a fresh 30 km/h cross-wind from the southwest, and a tiny 0.5m southeast swell. Energy is weak (60). Leave the board in the car.
Saturday the 25th morning flips it. The wind drops to almost nothing out of the east-southeast at 5 km/h, glassy. Swell is a clean 1.7m from the south-southeast with a 9-second period. Wave energy is moderate (457). This is a solid intermediate session with clean conditions. Crowds can happen, but it’s well worth it.
Saturday afternoon sees a light east wind create small ripples. Swell holds 1.6m from the south-southeast. Still okay, but not the peak.
Sunday the 26th fades. Morning has 1.2m from the southeast with a cross-wind from the northeast. Afternoon drops to 0.8m as the wind picks. That window is gone.
Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 29th is a washout: small, choppy, onshore winds. Even when the swell hits 1.5m to 2.0m, the wind ruins it.
Thursday the 30th morning is a standout. Clean, cross-offshore breeze from the west-southwest at 10 km/h, 1.7m east-southeast groundswell at 9 seconds, and strong energy (694). Water is about average for the season. This is clean, punchy surf. Crowds are possible.
Thursday afternoon the swell jumps to 2.1m from the east-southeast, period at 11 seconds, and energy hits 1076 (strong). Wind is light cross. This is good but at over 2m, beginners should stay ashore.
Friday the 31st morning hits 2.5m from the east-southeast with a 13-second period and energy at 2144. Light wind, big power, long-period sets. This is expert territory.
Friday afternoon: 3.0m from the east-southeast, 13-second period, 3111 energy. Glassy conditions. The forecast says it’s borderline too big for Mbotyi. Experts only, if the banks handle it.
Saturday August 1st holds 2.2m to 2.4m with 12-second periods and a moderate northeast cross-wind. Still big and bumpy. Experts.
Sunday August 2nd drops to 1.7m with 11-second periods and moderate wind. Fair but not special.
Monday the 3rd onward through the second week the swell fades, stays bumpy with cross or cross-onshore wind. By the 7th and 8th of August we’re down to 0.6m swells and weak energy (60-227). Dead period.
Best hits: Saturday the 25th morning for clean fun, Thursday the 30th morning for punchy clean waves, Friday the 31st afternoon for big-wave crew only. Rest is either flat, messy, or too big.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu night, calm by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 78mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 25°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SE 11 | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | E 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 9 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 106 | 60 | 586 | 385 | 455 | 460 | 335 | 237 | 112 | 204 | 73 | 41 | 154 | 258 | 603 | 160 | 365 | 418 | 363 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 11:21PM1.11m | 12:28PM1.01m | 00:57AM1.14m | 1:45PM1.10m | 1:58AM1.23m | 2:31PM1.22m | 2:39AM1.33m | 3:07PM1.33m | 3:14AM1.43m | 3:39PM1.44m | 3:44AM1.51m | 4:08PM1.53m | 4:13AM1.57m | ||||||
Low Tide | 6:03AM0.67m | 6:21PM0.68m | 7:29AM0.59m | 7:40PM0.60m | 8:19AM0.48m | 8:28PM0.50m | 8:55AM0.37m | 9:05PM0.40m | 9:26AM0.26m | 9:38PM0.31m | 9:55AM0.17m | 10:08PM0.24m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | |  | | | | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | 5:20 | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 14 | 10 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
Temp °C | 19 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 19 | 22 | 16 | 25 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 18 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 22 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 20 | SSW 17 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 12 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | SSW 13 | S 7 | S 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SE 8 | SE 8 |
| kJ | 125 | 339 | 921 | 385 | 455 | 460 | 335 | 237 | 237 | 105 | 73 | 151 | 154 | 258 | 612 | 1572 | 1275 | 418 | 363 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SE 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SE 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | E 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | E 9 | SE 8 | SSE 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 106 | 60 | 138 | 988 | 656 | 515 | 415 | 499 | 112 | 397 | 217 | 41 | 318 | 659 | 39 | 160 | 365 | 811 | 447 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | E 10 | — | SSW 18 | — | SSW 16 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 17 | SSW 12 | E 9 | — | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 11 |
| kJ | 9 | — | 42 | 29 | 2 | — | 31 | — | 226 | 35 | 11 | 54 | 79 | 56 | — | 62 | 60 | 81 | 156 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SSW 10 | S 9 | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NE 4 | ENE 5 | NE 7 | — | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | — | S 9 | S 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 337 | 1066 | 586 | — | — | — | 3 | 24 | 83 | 204 | — | 237 | 225 | — | 603 | 156 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 473 | 472 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 338 | 0 | 216 | 475 | 0 | 36 | 217 | 67 | 165 | 187 | 48 | 504 | 1061 | 48 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mbotyi Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mbotyi provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mbotyi can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mbotyi surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mbotyi) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mbotyi may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mbotyi is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Port Saint Johns. If you plan a holiday in Eastern Cape - Wild Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Saint Johns. Port Saint Johns has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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