Mbotyi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Mbotyi has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp is feeling about average for this time of year, nothing too wild.

We kick things off on Wednesday the 29th of July. It’s a bit of a mixed bag right out of the gate. Morning session has a lumpy 8ft SE swell (811), but that light rain and side-shore breeze is making things messy. The afternoon cleans up nicely though. The wind swings to a light cross-offshore, and we’ve got a solid 7ft SE swell (643) with clean conditions. It’s a decent way to start, but not the stand-out.

The real action picks up on Friday the 31st of July. This is the one to circle. We’ve got a 7ft SE swell (664) and the wind is glassy. That’s about as good as it gets for a clean face. The sets will be coming through with a nice 9-second period, offering some proper shape. This is the best morning of the first week, hands down.

Saturday the 1st of August drops off a little. The swell backs down to 6ft (459) and the wind goes cross-shore, making things a bit lumpy. Still surfable, but the magic is gone.

Sunday the 2nd of August sees a bump in size, with a 8ft ESE swell (1260) and a longer 11-second period. That longer period means more energy and better shaped waves, but with a steady cross-shore wind, it’s going to be a bit of a battle to keep it clean. It’s not a write-off, just not as clean as Friday.

The middle of the week from Monday the 3rd through to Thursday the 7th of August is a slow grind. Swell drops from 6ft (644) down to under 3ft, with mostly cross-shore winds and poor conditions. There’s a brief pocket on Thursday the 6th morning with a small 3ft E swell (126) and a clean cross-off breeze, but it’s barely a ripple. If you’re not desperate, save your energy.

Then we get a late blast of promise. On Saturday the 8th of August, the swell jumps back up to 8ft from the ENE (1109). That’s a serious size, definitely in the expert-only zone. The morning has light cross-shore winds, so it might be manageable for the brave, but that’s a lot of water moving around. Not for the faint of heart.

The best bet in the second week is Tuesday the 11th of August. The morning session is glassy with a 4ft E swell (318) and a 10-second period. It’s not huge, but that glassy surface and clean lines will make for a really fun, user-friendly session. It’s a much more inviting option than the big, windy Saturday before it.

After that, Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th of August turn messy again with onshore winds and a building, choppy swell.

So, the standouts are clear: Friday morning the 31st of July is the pick of the first week with 7ft glassy SE swell. For the second week, Tuesday morning the 11th of August is the one to aim for with clean, glassy 4ft waves.

Rusty, signing off.

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