Mbotyi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s shaping up for Mbotyi over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow start, but there’s some real magic waiting if you’re patient.

Right now, Friday the 31st of July is a write-off – onshore slop with weak energy, just not worth the drive. We’ve got a couple of days of nothing solid before things start to turn.

The first real glimmer comes Saturday morning, August 1st. The swell is a clean 6 ft from the ESE with a period of 10 seconds and the wind is glassy. That’s the kind of morning you roll out of bed for. The wave energy is moderate (630), so it’s got some push but won’t be a washing machine. Mbotyi is an exposed spot, and with those conditions, it’s gonna be clean and fun for an intermediate. Keep it in mind.

But the true standout? That’s Sunday morning, August 2nd. Swell jumps to 7 ft from the SE, and the period stretches out to a nice 11 seconds. Combined energy is a solid 1162 – you’ll feel that power. The wind is a light cross-shore from the ENE at just 3 mph, so the face will be clean. This is a proper groundswell, with long, lined-up sets. It’s a bit bigger, so maybe not for total beginners, but for the experienced crew, this is the pick of the first week.

Once we hit Monday the 3rd, the swell drops back a touch and the quality fades into the week, with energy dwindling and wind turning a bit messy. From the 5th to the 9th, it’s pretty bleak – small, weak, and mostly blown out. You’re looking at a real dry spell there.

Now, keep an eye on the second week. The 10th of August brings a new pulse from the south, 6 ft with a long 12-second period, but the wind is cross-onshore. The real re-ignition looks to be Tuesday afternoon, August 11th. The wind goes glassy from the NW, swell is 6 ft from the ENE, and conditions turn clean. Not huge, but a glassy session is always worth a paddle.

Then Wednesday August 12th morning, the swell gets solid – 8 ft from the ENE. That’s expert territory. The combined energy is 1352, strong stuff. Wind is a cross-shore from the SW at 9 mph, so it’ll be a bit lumpy but powerful. The afternoon glass-off looks even better, with 7 ft and clean conditions. That afternoon session is a serious contender for the best of the run.

Thursday the 13th gets stormy with strong winds – that’s a pass. But then Friday the 14th morning? That’s the big one. Swell is 7 ft from the ENE at 10 seconds, combined energy of 1341, and the wind is light and cross-offshore from the WSW. That’s the recipe for excellent, hollow waves for experienced surfers. If you can only surf one day, that Friday morning is it.

The water temp is sitting around 71°, which is about average for this time of year, so a spring suit will do you fine.

Alright, that’s the picture. A slow start, then some absolute gems. Get out there when it’s glassy.

Rusty.

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