Mbotyi Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, looking at the next 16 days for Mbotyi.

The first few days are a bit of a slow start, but we’ve got a solid pulse building later on. The water is sitting at 21°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises.

Monday the 20th kicks off with a 6ft SE swell at 12 seconds, but it’s got a cross-on wind from the south at 6 mph, making it a bit scrappy. The afternoon cleans right up though – glassy conditions with a 5ft SE swell, still that long 12-second period. That’s the pick of the opening day. The wave energy is moderate at 761.

Tuesday morning the 21st is glassy again, NE wind at 3 mph, with a 4ft SE swell, period 11 seconds. It’s clean but small, energy down to 418. That afternoon stays glassy, similar size, 12-second period. Good for a longboard.

Wednesday morning the 22nd drops to 3ft, wind turns cross from the NE at 6 mph, and the quality fades. By afternoon it’s 12 mph cross-shore, messy. Thursday the 23rd is a write-off – small, weak, cross-shore wind. Friday the 24th has a brief spike in the afternoon – 7ft from the south at 10 seconds, but it’s cross-on and a bit raw.

From Saturday the 25th through to the end of the month, it’s mostly poor. Small swell, cross-shore winds, and a lot of chop. A few tiny windows of glassy conditions on the 28th morning, but the swell is only 2ft, so it’s really just a paddle.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The 1st of August is a standout. Saturday morning has a 10ft SSE swell, 10-second period, and the wind is light WSW cross-off. That’s a big, clean swell for experienced surfers only – over 8ft means it’s expert territory. The energy is strong at 1447. Saturday afternoon drops to 8ft, still clean with a NNE cross-off at 9 mph, and it’s rated excellent for those who can handle it. That’s the best on offer.

The 2nd of August has a massive 6ft S swell at 14 seconds – very long period – but the wind is howling from the WSW at 28 mph in the morning. That’s a kite session, not a paddle. The long period means it’ll be better on a point or reef, but Mbotyi is exposed, and that wind will wreck it.

The 3rd and 4th of August bring back 7ft to 8ft E/ENE swells, but the wind is cross or cross-on, keeping it messy. The 4th has some moderate energy, 1477, but it’s not clean.

To sum it up: the best surf is Saturday the 1st of August, especially the afternoon session. The Monday 20th afternoon is also a nice glassy start. The rest is a mix of small, windy, or too big for the conditions. The long gap from the 23rd to the 31st is mostly poor, so don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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