Bay of Plenty Surf Break

Lat Long: 29.84° S 31.04° E

Bay of Plenty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bay of Plenty sea temperature is
21.8° C
0.0° 

Bay of Plenty surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bay of Plenty surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 17s period, S swell with 1,328 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bay of Plenty this week:

The surf forecast for Bay of Plenty over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bay of Plenty in the next 16 days are 1.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (SAST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Wed 15th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 11s
Best Surf 2AM (Wed 22nd Jul)5ft (1.6m) 14s
Most Powerful11AM (Wed 22nd Jul)5ft (1.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bay of Plenty over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the Bay of Plenty surf for the next couple of weeks.

We start off a bit slow, but the first real chance to get wet comes Thursday morning, July 16. Bay of Plenty is a beach/jetty break, good for beginners. Water temp is about 72°, which is right on normal for this time of year.

Thursday morning is the pick of the early run. We’ve got a clean 5ft easterly swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is dead calm – glassy as can be. That’s going to be some real clean, fun surf with moderate energy. The crowd factor is “sometimes,” so expect a few people but nothing too hectic.

From Friday through Sunday, the quality drops. Swell fades and the wind turns cross-on or cross-shore, leaving the surface messy. Not worth paddling out.

We hit a dry patch until Wednesday morning, July 22. That’s the one to mark on the calendar. Swell from the south at 5ft with a very long period of 17 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The combined energy is 1402, so it’s got some punch. Wind is glassy again, making it ideal for experienced surfers. Over 8ft is expert territory, but 5ft with that period and glassy conditions? That’s a gem. The long period might make it a bit straight on the beach, so pick your spot.

Thursday the 23rd brings a bigger pulse: 8ft from the south, 15-second period, and combined energy of 3245. That’s a solid swell, but it’s borderline for experts only, and the wind is cross-on, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. Worth a look if you’ve got the skills.

After that, the wind gets nasty again. Friday afternoon the 24th has 22 mph cross-shore winds, which is just blown out. Skip it.

The final week is quiet. A few small glassy mornings on the 26th and 28th, but nothing special. The last notable pulse is on Thursday, July 30, with a 7ft swell from the SSW and 13-second period, but the wind is cross-on and choppy, so it’s more of a kite session than a paddle session.

The best of the best is Thursday morning, July 16 for clean, beginner-friendly waves, and Wednesday morning, July 22 for the experienced crew looking for a clean, powerful groundswell.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sat morning, min 16°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Mon afternoon, min 17°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Sun afternoon, calm by Sun night).

Wed
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
3
0
0
3
0
0
2
1
1
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
E
10
1.8
E
11
1.6
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.2
E
10
1.2
E
10
1.1
E
10
1
E
10
1
E
10
0.8
S
13
1.2
S
12
1.2
S
11
0.8
SSE
14
1.2
S
10
0.9
SSE
12
0.9
SE
11
1.2
SSW
13
1.8
SSW
7
0.7
S
13
1.6
S
14
1.5
S
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
770
736
520
386
279
279
234
190
196
219
407
338
233
304
235
182
492
355
163
1042
1328
Wind (km/h)
15
S
15
WSW
5
ENE
10
SE
10
NW
10
S
10
SSE
5
WNW
10
NNE
15
NNE
10
WSW
25
SSW
25
SSW
5
WNW
20
NNE
25
NE
20
SW
20
S
10
S
10
NNW
5
E
Wind State
cross
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
4:43PM1.98m
4:55AM1.93m
5:23PM2.00m
5:34AM1.89m
6:01PM1.96m
6:11AM1.82m
6:38PM1.88m
6:48AM1.71m
7:14PM1.78m
7:24AM1.59m
7:52PM1.65m
8:03AM1.46m
8:36PM1.52m
8:51AM1.33m
Low Tide
10:51PM0.26m
11:06AM0.15m
11:31PM0.27m
11:44AM0.18m
00:10AM0.32m
12:21PM0.26m
00:48AM0.41m
12:56PM0.37m
1:26AM0.52m
1:31PM0.50m
2:06AM0.65m
2:09PM0.64m
2:56AM0.77m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:48
6:48
6:48
6:48
6:47
6:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:13
5:14
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:16
 mm
Temp °C
20
20
20
20
19
19
20
18
21
22
22
21
21
19
21
23
20
20
21
19
23
Feels °C
18
19
21
19
19
18
19
19
19
20
21
17
16
17
18
19
19
18
20
20
20
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bay of Plenty Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bay of Plenty provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bay of Plenty can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bay of Plenty surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bay of Plenty) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bay of Plenty may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast? If you are looking for accommodation near Bay of Plenty, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, consider staying in Durban which is 6 km (4 miles) away. Other places in and around Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Glenwood which is 6 km (4 miles) away, Kwamashu, Umhlanga and Mount Edgecombe.

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