Bay of Plenty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let's have a look at what we've got for the Bay of Plenty. It's a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. The first few days are a bit of a write-off, with some messy conditions and onshore winds. We've got a long wait ahead before we see anything decent.

We start off Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th of July with some pretty ordinary conditions. The swell is there, but the wind is howling from the south and southwest, making it all cross-shore and lumpy. The water temp is sitting at 73°F, which is about 2°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a bit of a treat if you’re in a wetsuit.

Come Saturday the 25th, we’ve got a bit of a reprieve. The swell drops to 6ft from the SSE, and the wind goes light. On Saturday morning, it’s a bit onshore, but by the afternoon it turns clean offshore from the ESE. The energy is moderate (729). It's a marginal call, but for a beginner-friendly beach/jetty break, it could be a fun little session if you’re not too fussy.

Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th are a bit of a letdown again, with the wind swinging around and the swell dropping right off.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The end of July and start of August brings some serious size. On Wednesday the 29th of July, we’re looking at a solid 12ft swell from the SSE, with a moderate energy reading (2807). The wind is light from the south, but the problem is, this is just too big for this break. Same goes for Thursday the 30th, with a massive 15ft swell (7776 energy) and onshore winds. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s pushing it.

The standout in the whole 16-day window has to be Monday the 3rd of August. The swell drops to a clean 5ft from the ESE (490 energy), and the wind is forecast to be glassy in the morning. Absolutely clean conditions. The water temp will still be mild, and the crowd profile here is "sometimes" busy, so you might have a few other keen locals out, but it’ll be worth it. The swell direction is perfect for the optimum SE direction for this spot.

The rest of the first week of August fades out with onshore winds and dropping swell, so that Monday morning is the one to circle. It’s a promising call, but it is a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it.

In short, there’s a lot of waiting, but that Monday the 3rd is the real gem. The big stuff on the 29th and 30th of July is just too hefty for the lineup.

Rusty.

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