Surf Forecasts:
Bay of Plenty surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 15s period, S swell with 1,611 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bay of Plenty this week:
The surf forecast for Bay of Plenty over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bay of Plenty in the next 16 days are 1.9m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bay of Plenty over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break it down for the Bay of Plenty over the next couple weeks.
The water’s sittin’ about 71°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The session to beat is Thursday morning, July 16. The Bay of Plenty is a beach/jetty spot, fairly consistent, and it’s beginner-friendly. You’ve got a 5ft east swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is glassy – dead flat, no chop. The combined energy is moderate (552), so it’s gonna be clean, fun, and easy. Crowds are possible, so get in early.
Friday afternoon, July 17 is another quiet winner. Swell drops to 4ft from the east, but again the wind goes glassy, so the surface is perfect. The energy is lighter (263), but it’s a great session for a mellow paddle.
Saturday July 18 and Sunday July 19 get messy, especially Sunday afternoon with a fresh 19 mph cross-shore wind that’ll chop things up.
The big stuff hits on Thursday morning, July 23. A massive 13ft south swell, 11-second period, and the combined energy is huge (3543). The wind is light and cross-shore, but the size is way too big for beginners and even for most – it’s for experts only. The forecast says the swell is too big for this break, so be careful. Long-range, so keep an eye on it.
After July 23, the surf drops off and the wind stays mostly cross or onshore, killin’ the quality. There’s a bit of a 4ft south swell on Saturday July 25 morning, but the wind is fresh and messy, so not worth it.
Bottom line: Thursday July 16 morning is your best bet, with Friday July 17 afternoon as a solid backup. The big stuff on July 23 is for the brave.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 16°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sun morning, min 17°C on Sat morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SE 12 | S 13 | SSW 12 | S 8 | S 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 716 | 770 | 736 | 520 | 386 | 327 | 279 | 234 | 234 | 196 | 173 | 278 | 233 | 649 | 753 | 327 | 164 | 223 | 205 | 222 | 1070 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | off | cross | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:43PM1.98m | 4:55AM1.93m | 5:23PM2.00m | 5:34AM1.89m | 6:01PM1.96m | 6:11AM1.82m | 6:38PM1.88m | 6:48AM1.71m | 7:14PM1.78m | 7:24AM1.59m | 7:52PM1.65m | 8:03AM1.46m | 8:36PM1.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:27AM0.16m | 10:51PM0.26m | 11:06AM0.15m | 11:31PM0.27m | 11:44AM0.18m | 00:10AM0.32m | 12:21PM0.26m | 00:48AM0.41m | 12:56PM0.37m | 1:26AM0.52m | 1:31PM0.50m | 2:06AM0.65m | 2:09PM0.64m | 2:56AM0.77m | |||||||
 | |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — |
 | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 26 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 12 | S 11 | E 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SE 12 | ENE 6 | SSW 12 | S 13 | S 13 |
| kJ | 716 | 770 | 736 | 520 | 386 | 327 | 279 | 234 | 234 | 196 | 156 | 278 | 233 | 94 | 753 | 327 | 164 | 80 | 205 | 166 | 1070 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 4 | S 9 | S 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 13 | S 11 | S 13 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 14 | E 10 | SE 12 | S 7 | S 13 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 9 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 69 | 15 | 52 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 173 | 154 | 90 | 46 | 69 | 98 | 47 | 215 | 80 | 79 | 324 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SE 11 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SE 11 | SSW 14 | S 10 | SSW 12 | — | S 15 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | SE 13 | SSE 10 | SSW 12 | SE 11 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | SE 11 |
| kJ | 10 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 19 | 2 | 14 | — | 38 | 12 | 38 | 17 | 6 | 88 | 64 | 79 | 147 | 18 | 6 | 58 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 4 | SSW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 5 | NE 6 | — | — | S 11 | — | NE 7 | ENE 4 | NE 6 | S 6 | S 8 | — |
| kJ | — | 7 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 10 | 24 | — | — | 649 | — | 2 | 31 | 223 | 176 | 222 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 665 | 0 | 5 | 562 | 0 | 238 | 1 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bay of Plenty Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bay of Plenty provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bay of Plenty can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bay of Plenty surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bay of Plenty) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bay of Plenty may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast? If you are looking for accommodation near Bay of Plenty, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, consider staying in Durban which is 6 km (4 miles) away. Other places in and around Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Glenwood which is 6 km (4 miles) away, Kwamashu, Umhlanga and Mount Edgecombe.
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