Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 30 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.2°C
0.5° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 10,411 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Mon 31st Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 14s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 4th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sat 5th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Point Leo.

We’re kicking off a solid run of surf, but it’s not all plain sailing. The first week is full of energy, though the wind is gonna be a factor at times. The real standout window is shaping up for the second week, with a proper pulse of long-period groundswell and some absolute dream conditions.

First up, on Monday the 31st of August, we’ve got a clean 7ft SW swell with a 14-second period rolling in. The combined energy is strong at 1828, and with a light W cross-off in the morning, the morning session is worth a paddle. The afternoon is even better – glassy conditions with a 7ft SW swell. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Tuesday the 1st of September sees the swell drop a little, but the wind is a problem. Strong NNW breezes at 25 mph in the morning make things messy, and the outlook is marginal. The afternoon is a bit better with a 5ft SW swell and offshore NNW wind at 22 mph, but it’s still a tricky one.

The midweek period from Wednesday the 2nd to Friday the 4th is a mixed bag. Wednesday has a 6ft SW swell with 15-second periods but a moderate W cross-off, keeping it clean but marginal. Thursday the 3rd sees the swell building to 10ft and then 12ft in the afternoon, with strong energy (3218 and 7454), but the wind is fresh from the WSW. This is getting big, so it’s for experienced surfers only. Friday the 4th is the first real standout of the period. Clean, 10ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, offshore NNW wind at 16 mph, and combined energy of 5359. This is excellent for experienced crew, and the quality is top-notch.

Saturday the 5th is a write-off. The swell is huge – 13ft to 16ft – with near-gale force winds. The energy is off the charts (9471 in the afternoon), but it’s poor conditions and a no-go for paddle surfing. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than a regular surf session.

Sunday the 6th is a nice recovery. The swell drops to 8ft to 7ft with a moderate NW offshore in the morning and light W cross-off in the afternoon. Clean waves, good energy (2570 and 1524) – a solid end to the first week.

Then we hit the big gap. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are poor, with small, weak swell and strong winds. The swell direction shifts to WSW, and the period drops, making it a forgettable few days.

Now, the second week is where it gets interesting. From Wednesday the 9th of September, we start seeing some exceptional conditions. That morning, a 12ft SW groundswell with a 19-second period rolls in – that’s very long period, real deep-ocean energy. The combined energy is massive at 9510, and with a gentle W cross-off, it’s clean. This is a standout for expert surfers, as the swell size and period mean it’ll be powerful and lining up beautifully at the Point Leo reef. The afternoon turns cross-onshore, so the morning is the window.

Thursday the 10th is another cracker. A 10ft SW swell with a 17-second period, gentle NNW offshore, combined energy of 4925 – excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon stays clean with a light WNW offshore, 8ft SW swell. Friday the 11th is also a standout: 10ft SW swell, 19-second period, light N cross-off, energy at 6429. This is the kind of swell that makes a reef point like Point Leo light up.

Saturday the 12th the swell starts to drop off, with a 5ft SW swell and a moderate NNW offshore. Still clean, but the energy is lower. The afternoon is small and weak.

Sunday the 13th brings a surprise: a 5ft SW swell with a glassy NNE breeze in the morning. The period is a very long 18 seconds, and the energy is moderate at 1905. The swell is small, but the glassy conditions and long period mean it could be clean and fun for the experienced crew on a longboard. The afternoon turns onshore, so the morning is the pick.

The final run from Monday the 14th to Tuesday the 15th is a bit more speculative, but the pattern holds. Monday afternoon has a 12ft SW swell with a 16-second period, gentle NNW offshore, energy at 6229 – excellent for experienced surfers. Tuesday the 15th sees a 13ft SW swell with fresh NNW cross-off, but it’s marginal at that size.

If I had to call the best sessions, it’s the morning of Friday the 4th of September for the first week, and the morning of Wednesday the 9th of September or Friday the 11th of September for the second week. That very long-period groundswell with offshore winds is the stuff of dreams. Keep in mind, the second week forecasts are a bit more tentative, but it’s looking promising.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri night, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the WNW on Thu night, near gales from the WNW by Fri night).

Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
3
1
2
2
2
3
3
2
4
4
5
2
0
2
0
7
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
13
2.1
SW
14
2
SW
14
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
14
1.9
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
3
SW
13
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
4
WSW
11
5
SW
14
4
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1438
1572
1572
2247
1474
949
890
1466
1801
2232
3218
4529
4982
4829
4412
3102
4237
9471
7059
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
10
W
5
SSW
15
N
40
N
35
NNW
30
NW
25
W
25
W
35
NW
35
W
30
WSW
25
WNW
25
NNW
35
NNW
50
NNW
55
WNW
55
W
30
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:35AM1.82m
1:55PM1.96m
2:17AM1.95m
2:25PM2.00m
2:57AM2.05m
2:56PM2.03m
3:38AM2.11m
3:28PM2.04m
4:19AM2.12m
4:02PM2.04m
5:03AM2.09m
4:39PM2.01m
Low Tide
7:42AM0.48m
8:08PM0.44m
8:21AM0.47m
8:40PM0.29m
8:59AM0.49m
9:14PM0.17m
9:36AM0.53m
9:50PM0.08m
10:13AM0.60m
10:30PM0.05m
10:53AM0.69m
11:13PM0.07m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:55
5:57
5:58
5:58
5:59
6:00
 mm
1
2
4
Temp °C
10
10
12
13
17
19
15
13
14
13
13
13
12
14
15
16
14
13
12
Feels °C
7
8
11
10
9
12
9
8
8
6
6
6
7
9
8
7
4
2
4
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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