Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 24 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.6° C
0.5° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 4,828 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sun 26th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 11s
Best Surf10AM (Sun 26th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 11s
Most Powerful 7AM (Wed 29th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, lookin’ at the charts for Point Leo. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way, but it’s gonna take a bit of patience to find the real clean windows. The water is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The pattern starts with a big pulse of energy hitting Friday the 24th. We’re talking a solid 12 ft of SW groundswell with a 15-second period, packing some serious punch (10,398 combined energy). This is a lot of water, well over 8 ft, so this is expert-only territory. The wind is a fresh cross-off from the W, so it’ll be clean but mighty. It’s a big, powerful swell that’s gonna be a handful even for the locals.

That big swell drops back a touch over the weekend, but it stays sizeable. Saturday the 25th is still 8 ft, but the wind is a bit stronger and the wave comment is not great, so I’d be sitting that one out. Sunday the 26th is a step down to 7 ft, and we finally get a proper offshore wind from the WNW. The energy is still moderate (929 combined energy), but the conditions are looking good. This is where the window opens for the experienced crew.

Into Monday the 27th, the swell drops to a more manageable 5 ft to 5 ft, with a clean offshore from the NNW. The period is 11 seconds, so it’s a proper groundswell with good shape. This is a solid day for the intermediate surfer who wants clean lines without the raw power of the bigger days.

Tuesday the 28th is a write-off. The wind cranks up to 25 mph, making it a battle just to get out. The swell is 6 ft, but the wind is just too strong. It’s a kite-surfing day, not a paddle-surfing day.

Wednesday the 29th sees another big pulse of SW groundswell, 10 ft with a 16-second period (5,003 combined energy). Again, this is big and powerful, for experts only. The wind is a moderate cross-off from the WSW, so it’ll be clean but the raw power is the main story.

The end of the week looks promising. Thursday the 30th has a nice 6 ft SW swell with a light breeze, and the wave comment says “very good.” That’s a sweet spot. But the real standout is Friday the 31st of July. Friday morning has 5 ft of SW groundswell, 13-second period, with a light offshore from the NNW. Then Friday afternoon, it goes glassy. Zero wind. 4 ft of clean, long-period SW swell at 13 seconds. This is the pick of the entire forecast. Clean, manageable, and uncrowded potential. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

The first week of August sees a few more pulses. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th have 7 ft to 8 ft SW groundswell with clean offshore winds, which is excellent for the experienced surfer. But the standout of that second week is Thursday the 6th of August. It’s a 10 ft SW groundswell at 19 seconds (6,336 combined energy) with a clean offshore wind. This is another big, powerful, long-period groundswell, perfect for a reef like Point Leo, but definitely for the experts only. The energy is very strong.

The run fades out after that. Saturday the 8th of August is small, 5 ft, and the wave comment says “poor.” That’s the end of the ride for this forecast.

So, to wrap it up: the best on offer for the average surfer is that Friday the 31st of July with the glassy conditions. For the big-wave crew, the first pulse on Friday the 24th and the pulse on Thursday the 6th of August are the ones to watch. Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Fri night, light winds from the WNW by Sun afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Tue afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Wed night).

Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
6
5
2
2
3
1
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
4
2
2
3
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
13
2.5
SW
12
2.1
SW
12
2
SW
11
1.8
SW
11
1.6
SW
11
1.4
SW
11
1.5
SW
11
1.5
SW
13
1.9
SW
12
2.5
WSW
12
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.2
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
1.6
SW
12
1.4
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
6287
4786
3133
2166
1760
1121
918
703
595
471
534
710
1155
1941
4464
4791
3026
1719
1120
812
565
Wind (km/h)
35
W
30
WNW
35
WNW
30
WSW
20
W
25
W
25
WNW
15
WNW
15
NW
15
NNW
20
N
35
N
40
NNW
45
WNW
35
SW
20
SW
20
SW
15
SSW
15
W
20
WSW
10
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:17PM1.80m
7:43AM1.70m
6:53PM1.70m
8:41AM1.65m
7:37PM1.61m
9:48AM1.64m
8:32PM1.54m
10:57AM1.67m
9:43PM1.49m
11:57AM1.74m
10:58PM1.50m
12:46PM1.82m
00:05AM1.54m
Low Tide
12:31PM0.90m
1:00AM0.39m
1:17PM1.01m
1:45AM0.46m
2:12PM1.10m
2:37AM0.50m
3:23PM1.16m
3:38AM0.53m
4:44PM1.15m
4:41AM0.52m
5:56PM1.09m
5:41AM0.49m
6:51PM0.98m
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:28
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:27
5:28
5:28
 mm
1
2
2
2
2
1
Temp °C
11
12
12
13
13
11
13
14
13
14
16
14
14
12
11
10
11
11
10
11
11
Feels °C
4
5
6
7
8
5
9
11
10
10
11
8
6
3
3
5
5
6
6
5
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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