Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 8,611 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve got the outlook for Point Leo. This is a reef setup, fairly exposed to the swell, and it’s picking up a solid run of south-west groundswell over the next couple of weeks. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Now, let’s get into it.
The first few days are a bit rough. Tuesday the 1st has some solid 5.9 ft SW swell with a long 16-second period, but that NNW wind is howling at 25 mph and blowing cross-off. The wave energy is moderate (1568), and the conditions are just marginal – it’s clean but the wind is strong. Not worth getting excited about. Wednesday the 2nd is similar: 6.2 ft to 7.2 ft SW swell, still that long 16-second period, and a more manageable 12 mph W wind. The energy picks up (1970 to 2427), but the score is only modest. It’s clean but not stand-out.
Then Thursday the 3rd sees the swell jump up to 9.8 ft to 11.5 ft from the SW and WSW, with a 14-second period. The wind is strong again from the W at 19 to 25 mph, keeping it cross-off. The energy is moderate to strong (3709 to 7807), and while it’s clean, the wind is fresh to strong. This is getting big – over 8 ft, so this is expert-only territory. Friday the 4th holds around 9.8 ft SW swell with a 15-second period, but the NNW wind is still fresh at 19 to 22 mph. The energy stays strong (4585 to 3997), but the conditions are marginal.
Saturday the 5th is a write-off for surfing – the swell hits 13.1 ft to 14.8 ft from the WSW with a 13 to 14-second period, but the wind is a strong 28 mph from the WNW, creating poor surf conditions. The energy is very strong (5407 to 7261), but this is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.
Now, here’s the first true standout: Sunday the 6th. We’ve got 9.8 ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period, and the wind swings to a clean offshore from the NNW at only 12 mph. The energy is strong (4957), and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the pick of the first week – clean, powerful, and offshore. But remember, with that long period and a reef setup, it’ll be breaking with good shape. The crowd factor here is listed as “sometimes”, so you might have company, but it won’t be chaos. Given the size, this is for experienced crew only.
Monday the 7th drops right off – only 3.6 ft to 4.3 ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and a cross-shore wind from the SW that creates a cross-chop. The energy is weak (580 to 442), and conditions are poor. A rest day.
Then we get into the second week, and there are a couple more standouts. Tuesday the 8th has a solid 9.8 ft to 13.1 ft SW swell with a very long 17 to 18-second period. The wind is from the WSW at 19 to 22 mph, cross-off, and the energy is very strong (6532 to 9202). The score is solid, and it’s clean. This is big, so again, experts only.
Wednesday the 9th is another highlight: 9.8 ft to 11.5 ft SW swell with a very long 17 to 18-second period, and the wind drops to a light breeze from the WSW at 6 to 12 mph. The energy is strong (5840 to 7011), and the afternoon session is described as excellent for experienced surfers. Clean and powerful.
Thursday the 10th holds at 9.8 ft SW swell with a 15 to 16-second period. The morning has a gentle offshore from the WNW at 9 mph, making for clean, excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The energy is moderate to strong (3749 to 3900). The afternoon shifts to a light cross-shore, so the morning is the call.
Friday the 11th is another beauty: 9.8 ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period. The wind is light and offshore from the NNW at 6 to 9 mph, and the energy is strong (455
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Mon night, strong winds from the NW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Fri night, light winds from the NNW by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
2247 | 1474 | 949 | 742 | 1806 | 2285 | 2449 | 3709 | 4529 | 5716 | 4585 | 3804 | 2553 | 5407 | 7261 | 8611 | 4957 | 2860 | 1255 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 2:17AM1.95m | 2:25PM2.00m | 2:57AM2.05m | 2:56PM2.03m | 3:38AM2.11m | 3:28PM2.04m | 4:19AM2.12m | 4:02PM2.04m | 5:03AM2.09m | 4:39PM2.01m | 5:51AM2.01m | 5:21PM1.96m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:21AM0.47m | 8:40PM0.29m | 8:59AM0.49m | 9:14PM0.17m | 9:36AM0.53m | 9:50PM0.08m | 10:13AM0.60m | 10:30PM0.05m | 10:53AM0.69m | 11:13PM0.07m | 11:37AM0.79m | 00:02AM0.13m | |||||||
— | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
2247 | 1474 | 949 | 742 | 1806 | 2285 | 2449 | 3709 | 4529 | 5716 | 4585 | 3804 | 2553 | — | — | 6564 | 4957 | 2860 | 1255 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — |
229 | 94 | 47 | 290 | 164 | 142 | 191 | — | — | — | — | 193 | 204 | — | — | — | — | 43 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WSW 6 | — | NW 4 | NW 5 | SW 14 | NW 4 | — | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | — | — | — |
— | 27 | 20 | 22 | 69 | — | 26 | 29 | 3278 | 4 | — | 11 | 70 | 5407 | 7261 | 8611 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 455 | 69 | 61 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 472 | 62 | 62 | 30 | 61 | 485 | 459 | 460 | 62 | 0 | 2 | 16 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











