Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, it’s Rusty.

Alright, we’re looking at a 16-day window for Point Leo, and I gotta be straight with ya – it’s a slow burn. The first week’s pretty average, but if you can hang on, the second week kicks into gear with some serious size. There’s a gap with no decent action early on, so don’t rush.

We start with Saturday the 15th. There’s some swell around – 8 ft from the SW – but the wind is cross-onshore from the south at 9 mph, and the water’s chopped up. The combined energy is high at 2748 (moderate-strong), but the quality’s junk. Not worth paddling out.

Sunday the 16th is more of the same: 6 ft SW swell, but easterly cross-onshore wind. Still messy. By Monday the 17th, the swell drops to 5 ft SW, and while the wind goes onshore out of the SE on the afternoon, it’s not clean enough to get excited about.

Tuesday the 18th is small and weak – 4 ft SW swell, cross-shore wind, combined energy down to 959 (weak). Wednesday the 19th is a write-off: tiny 2-3 ft SW swell, clean cross-offshore wind, but the combined energy is only 316-234 (weak). No juice.

Thursday the 20th throws a change – offshore NW wind at 16 mph, 2 ft SW swell, but a very long period of 18 seconds. Combined energy is still weak at 284, but it’s clean. It’s small, but the conditions are nice for a longboard.

Now, the standout. Friday the 21st. Morning brings 4 ft SW groundswell at 16 seconds, combined energy of 1304 (moderate), and a clean moderate offshore from the NW. This is the best call in the first week – decent shape, clean line-up, and Point Leo is a reef that loves that long-period SW swell. Crowds are possible here (“sometimes”), so you might have a few others with the same idea. The water temp is 55°, about normal for this time of year.

Then it gets heavy. Saturday the 22nd, a big pulse hits: 13-15 ft SW swell, but the wind is a screaming 28 mph cross-offshore. Combined energy jumps to 4279-7811 (very strong). This is expert-only territory – the wind will make it a battle, and anything over 8 ft at this spot is for skilled surfers only. Not for the faint-hearted.

Sunday the 23rd backs off a bit – 12 ft SW swell – but the offshore wind is fresh at 19-22 mph NW. Still big, still clean, but that’s a big paddle. Monday the 24th has 10 ft SW swell, but cross-onshore winds make it lumpy and poor.

By Tuesday the 25th, the swell is still 10 ft SW, but the wind goes cross-shore at a gentle 9 mph, giving it some order. Combined energy is 6667 (very strong). This could be manageable for experienced crew, but the wind direction isn’t perfect.

Wednesday the 26th drops back to 7 ft SSW swell, light cross-onshore wind. Cleaner, but not a standout.

Another standout, later in the run. Friday the 28th afternoon. Clear skies, 5 ft SW swell at 16 seconds, combined energy 1230 (moderate), and a light cross-offshore wind from the NNW. Glassy conditions are close – the morning of Thursday the 27th has clean 3 ft SW swell with glassy NNE wind, but the energy is weak (628). The real gem is the afternoon of the 28th: clean, 5 ft, good period, and it’s a reef break that will handle that groundswell beautifully. Crowds possible.

Saturday the 29th is small and poor. Sunday the 30th morning serves up 2 ft SW swell with an incredible 21-second period, combined energy 758 (weak), but clean offshore wind. That’s a very long-period groundswell – perfect for a reef like Point Leo, though the size is tiny.

Overall, the best windows are the morning of Friday the 21st for a solid, clean session, and the afternoon of Friday the 28th for a clean, fun size. The big days around 22-25 August are for experts only and will be raw.

Rusty.

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