Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,442 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, it’s Rusty again. Let’s break it down in feet and degrees, same story, different numbers.
The opening weekend, Saturday the 1st of August, has some clean little waves at Point Leo. It’s a reef setup, open to the SW swell. Water’s about 56°F – pretty standard for this time of year. Saturday morning brings a 4ft SW swell with a 12-second interval, and a light NNE cross-off breeze at 9 mph. Clean, glassy, beginner-friendly. Wave energy’s moderate (809).
Saturday afternoon jumps to 6ft with a long 17-second groundswell, energy spiking (2005). Wind stays cross-off from the NNW, but tide might be tricky.
Sunday the 2nd holds 6ft SW swell, 16-second intervals, but the north wind picks up to 19 mph. Still cross-off and clean, but choppier.
Monday the 3rd is a washout: rain, NW wind at 25 mph, and swell dropping. Don’t bother.
From Tuesday the 4th through the end of the first week, it’s small and messy. Swell drops below 3ft, winds go bad. There’s a bright spot on Friday morning the 7th – 5ft, 16-second groundswell with a light offshore breeze from the NNW (9 mph). Energy is solid (1483). That’s a good call for experienced surfers, but it’s a one-morning window.
Second week: Monday the 10th morning has a small 3ft swell with an enormous 20-second period. Very long lines, light WNW wind. Clean and glassy for those who don’t mind waiting.
The big one is Tuesday the 11th of August. Swell hits 8ft from the WSW, 16-second period, light west wind at 6 mph. By afternoon, the energy is massive (4385). This is strictly for experienced surfers – 8ft is too much for beginners. The reef should handle it well, clean conditions.
Wednesday the 12th stays heavy: 10ft SW swell (15-17 sec, energy 3519-5246) with offshore WNW winds in the morning. Experts only, and go early before the wind picks up.
Thursday the 13th through the end is all onshore, lumpy, and ugly. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are flat and choppy – no good.
Best bets: the opening clean mornings for small-wave fun, Friday the 7th for a clean groundswell session, and Tuesday the 11th for the real power hit. The rest is pretty grim.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Sat morning, strong winds from the NW by Mon morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Tue morning, calm by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 386 | 1837 | 2413 | 1591 | 1297 | 1034 | 940 | 856 | 975 | 822 | 583 | 583 | 268 | 346 | 380 | 212 | 151 | 401 | 1240 | 1019 | 1839 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:01PM1.96m | 1:51AM1.68m | 2:32PM2.01m | 2:34AM1.76m | 3:01PM2.03m | 3:15AM1.84m | 3:29PM2.04m | 3:56AM1.91m | 3:57PM2.03m | 4:37AM1.95m | 4:28PM2.02m | 5:22AM1.97m | 5:02PM1.99m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:12PM0.73m | 8:00AM0.42m | 8:45PM0.61m | 8:38AM0.43m | 9:16PM0.49m | 9:15AM0.47m | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:52AM0.52m | 10:20PM0.27m | 10:30AM0.60m | 10:55PM0.19m | 11:11AM0.69m | 11:36PM0.14m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — |
 | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 386 | 1837 | 2413 | 1591 | 1297 | 1034 | 940 | 856 | 975 | 822 | 583 | 583 | 113 | 68 | 380 | 212 | 135 | 370 | 1240 | 1019 | 1839 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | SW 21 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SSW 5 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | WSW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 366 | 168 | 311 | 153 | 140 | 75 | — | — | 192 | — | — | 154 | 268 | 346 | 33 | 163 | 151 | 401 | 149 | 817 | 311 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | S 7 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 15 |
| kJ | 57 | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | 81 | — | — | 69 | 239 | 222 | 197 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 94 | 86 | 39 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NW 4 | WNW 5 | WSW 7 | — | WSW 6 | SW 6 | S 6 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 11 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 91 | 263 | — | 112 | 151 | 100 | 120 | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 20 | 30 | 262 | 78 | 8 | 66 | 10 | 61 | 10 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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