
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 19s period, WSW swell with 6,597 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Point Leo. It’s a reef set-up that’s fairly consistent and works best on a SW swell. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.
We’ve got a bit of a wait for the good stuff. The first few days are a bit of a write-off – Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th have some swell, but the conditions are messy with moderate breezes and only marginal surf. The swell on Wednesday morning is 5ft from the SW, but the wind is a cross-off at 12 mph and the combined energy is weak (791). Not worth paddling out for.
Friday the 7th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning shows 5ft SW swell with a solid 15-second period and a moderate energy level (1324). The wind is a light cross-off from the WNW at 9 mph. But the real standout is Friday afternoon – the wind drops to a glassy 3 mph from the east, and the swell holds at 5ft SW with a 15-second period. The energy jumps up to 1658 (moderate) and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the pick of the first week.
Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are a letdown. Saturday has 5ft SW swell but the wind is a moderate cross-off and the energy is still moderate, but the quality drops. Sunday is a write-off with strong 28 mph winds making it poor.
Monday the 10th sees a big jump in size – 6ft SW swell, but with a near gale at 34 mph and a very strong energy reading of 3417, it’s going to be a messy, blown-out mess. Not for paddle surfing.
The middle of the week (Tuesday 11th and Wednesday 12th) remains poor with strong winds and marginal to poor conditions. The swell is there, but the wind is just too strong.
Thursday the 13th is a big one for the experts. The morning brings a solid 13ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a very strong energy reading of 14978. The wind is a fresh cross-off from the WNW at 19 mph. This is big, powerful, and only for the skilled crew. The afternoon drops to 13ft SW with a 16-second period and 7700 energy, still hefty but a touch cleaner with a moderate breeze.
The following week (14th to 20th of August) has a lot of decent swell on offer, but the conditions are often marginal. The best of the second week looks like Tuesday the 18th afternoon and Wednesday the 19th. Tuesday the 18th afternoon has 8ft SW swell, 18-second period, moderate offshore wind from the NNW at 16 mph, and a strong energy level of 3299. It’s rated excellent for experienced surfers. Wednesday the 19th is even better: morning has 6ft SW swell with a 16-second period, a gentle offshore from the WNW at 9 mph, and plenty of energy (2204). The afternoon is glassy with a 3 mph westerly wind and 6ft SW swell, with a very strong energy of 2512. That Wednesday afternoon is a top contender for the whole period.
If you’re looking for the standout sessions, I’d put Friday 7th afternoon as the best of the early run, and Wednesday 19th afternoon as the long-range gem. The rest of the time it’s either too windy, too big, or just average.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 35mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the N on Sat morning, gales from the WSW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 19 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
437 | 284 | 609 | 255 | 411 | 522 | 1219 | 1171 | 810 | 1239 | 1164 | 821 | 564 | 313 | 968 | 2557 | 2191 | 2761 | 1094 | 854 | 1623 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 3:57PM2.03m | 4:37AM1.95m | 4:28PM2.02m | 5:22AM1.97m | 5:02PM1.99m | 6:11AM1.96m | 5:41PM1.95m | 7:08AM1.91m | 6:27PM1.90m | 8:14AM1.86m | 7:25PM1.83m | 9:29AM1.84m | 8:38PM1.76m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:20PM0.27m | 10:30AM0.60m | 10:55PM0.19m | 11:11AM0.69m | 11:36PM0.14m | 11:56AM0.80m | 00:23AM0.12m | 12:47PM0.91m | 1:19AM0.15m | 1:50PM1.01m | 2:24AM0.19m | 3:09PM1.05m | 3:38AM0.23m | ||||||||
7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | |
— | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 33 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 |
103 | 245 | 609 | 255 | 411 | 522 | 1219 | 1171 | 810 | 1239 | 1164 | 821 | 564 | 313 | 628 | 2557 | 2191 | 2761 | 1094 | 854 | 1623 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 20 | WSW 14 | SW 7 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 21 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | WSW 18 |
239 | 284 | 197 | 161 | 38 | 362 | 55 | 441 | 516 | 51 | 48 | 41 | 83 | 143 | 968 | 15 | 9 | 84 | 44 | 20 | 451 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 7 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | SSW 14 | SW 24 | SSW 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | 175 | 150 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 50 | 46 | 15 | — | — | — | 20 | 23 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 8 | WSW 5 | NW 3 | W 4 | WSW 6 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | N 3 | N 3 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 5 | SW 8 | SW 8 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 4 |
437 | 191 | 61 | 2 | 13 | 63 | — | — | — | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 57 | 50 | 860 | 686 | 35 | 54 | 49 | 10 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 66 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 102 | 102 | 61 | 324 | 66 | 52 | 262 | 454 | 454 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











