Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

The next week and a half is a real mixed bag at Point Leo, with a couple of clear standouts for the patient surfer. The swell kicks off with a solid groundswell from the WSW, but the real magic won’t happen until we get some cleaner windows.

We’re starting on Monday the 20th of July. The first proper recommendation is for Monday afternoon. Point Leo is a reef break that’s fairly consistent and fairly exposed to the swell. The water temp is sitting around 56°F, which is about usual for this time of year. The sea is pumping out a 3ft WSW swell with a very long 15-second period, giving it a moderate combined swell energy of 754. The wind is a gentle offshore from the NNW, so it’s glassy and clean. This is a great chance for beginners to get some friendly, long-period waves.

Tuesday the 21st is still rideable, but the quality drops. Morning sees a 5ft WSW swell, period dropping to 14 seconds, and the wind turns cross-offshore, keeping it clean but not as perfect. The afternoon is similar with a 5ft SW swell. The energy is still moderate, but the forecast says the tide might mess with things.

Wednesday the 22nd starts with a fresh offshore from the NW and a 4ft WSW swell, period down to 12 seconds. The wave energy is dropping to 480. The wind is strong, and the surf is looking a bit marginal. The afternoon turns ugly with a 5ft SW swell and a howling 22 mph cross-offshore wind. That’s poor conditions, not worth paddling out.

Thursday the 23rd sees a big jump in size. The morning brings a 8ft SW swell, period 14 seconds, and a massive jump in combined energy to 4695. The wind is a strong cross-off from the W. This is big, powerful swell, and with the wind being cross-off, the waves will be clean but heavy. This is expert territory. The afternoon is even bigger at 10ft, with the wind cranking to 25 mph. The energy is still very strong at 3501. This is more for watching than surfing.

The first real standout is Friday the 24th of July. The morning is pumping with a 12ft WSW swell, a very long 16-second period, and a massive combined swell energy of 11448. The wind is a fresh cross-offshore from the WNW. This is a powerful, long-period groundswell that will be a freight train at the reef. The waves will be solid, clean, and have plenty of push, but the long period means the sets will be spaced out. This is for experienced surfers only. The afternoon stays similar with a 12ft swell, period 15 seconds, and energy of 9640. Still powerful, but the wind is a touch stronger.

The weekend (Saturday 25th and Sunday 26th) sees the swell drop back to 10ft and 7ft, with shorter periods. The wind stays cross-off, so it’s clean, but the quality is average. The energy is still moderate to strong.

Monday the 27th of July afternoon is a nice little window. The swell is down to 5ft from the SW, period 11 seconds, and the wind swings back to a gentle offshore from the NW. Combined energy is 897. The forecast says “very good surf conditions.” This is a much cleaner, more manageable day for intermediate surfers.

The second standout is a long-range call for Tuesday the 28th of July afternoon. The swell jumps back up to 13ft from the SW, period 12 seconds, with a strong combined energy of 4240. The wind is a fresh offshore from the NNW. This is a big, clean, powerful swell. It’s not as long-period as the 24th, so the waves will be a bit more consistent. This is a promising one, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it.

The rest of the window into early August shows a slow decline. Wednesday the 29th stays big (up to 13ft) with fresh offshore winds, but the quality is marginal. Thursday the 30th gets a bit smaller, and the 31st of July sees a glassy morning with a 5ft SW swell and a 3 mph wind from the NE. That’s clean, but the swell is smaller. The first few days of August are a mix of clean but small surf, with the wind picking up again.

Overall, the best bets are this Friday the 24th for the big, long-period groundswell (experts only) and the afternoon of Tuesday the 28th for another big, clean swell. The windows in between are either too big, too windy, or too small. Stay patient.

Rusty.

Read more