Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,639 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here, checkin' in from the beach. We've got a pretty wild ride ahead over the next couple of weeks. A big pulse of swell is on the way, but it's gonna take a bit of patience to get through some gnarly weather first.
The real deal this week is a massive swell event that's gonna push through, but it's gonna come with some serious wind. From Friday the 10th through the weekend, the surf is clean but small, with a gradual build. The stand-out moment is gonna be Tuesday the 14th. We've got a solid 13ft SW groundswell (combined energy of 13998) wrapping in, with a 16-second period. That's a ton of water moving. The wind is a cross-off from the W, so the lineup at Point Leo is gonna be a beast. This is strictly for experts—anything over 8ft is a handful, and this is well past that. The period is long, so expect those long lulls between massive sets, perfect for a reef like Point Leo to handle.
Leading into that, Monday the 13th is also big, with 12ft SW swell and a 15-second period, but the wind is a strong offshore from the NW, which will make it clean but very hard to paddle into (combined energy of 6243). Sunday the 12th is a write-off for paddling—31 mph NW winds with 10ft WSW swell is more of a kite-surfing deal than anything else.
After that big pulse, the swell eases slowly. Wednesday the 15th is a beauty for the experienced crew: 8ft SW groundswell with a clean, moderate offshore NW wind. That's a whole lot of fun. Thursday the 16th is still good with 6ft SW swell, though the afternoon gets a bit of a cross-shore ripple.
The second week gets a bit disappointing. The swell drops way off, and the wind stays on it. From Friday the 17th, we get a few clean windows with offshore winds, but the swell is small—around 6ft on the 17th, dropping to 4ft by the 19th. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year. By the time we hit the 20th and 21st, it's pretty much flat with messy wind and rain. The last few days of the window, the 24th and 25th, show a tiny pulse of 5ft swell, but with strong offshore winds, it'll be too blown out to be any good. We're looking at a solid 3-4 day gap of no real surf in there.
So, bottom line: if you're a seasoned surfer, lock in Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 15th. For everyone else, the end of the first week is the best bet, but it's still big.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the W by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon morning, light winds from the WNW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1062 | 979 | 701 | 476 | 395 | 451 | 2545 | 2948 | 3425 | 5404 | 5973 | 8639 | 7425 | 5417 | 3330 | 2263 | 1812 | 1463 | 1238 | 1238 | 1526 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:09PM1.90m | 7:34AM1.88m | 6:55PM1.86m | 8:41AM1.90m | 7:51PM1.82m | 9:53AM1.94m | 8:58PM1.79m | 11:03AM1.99m | 10:14PM1.79m | 12:07PM2.07m | 11:30PM1.83m | 1:04PM2.14m | 00:42AM1.89m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:19PM0.80m | 00:50AM0.22m | 1:16PM0.91m | 1:45AM0.16m | 2:21PM1.00m | 2:47AM0.12m | 3:36PM1.03m | 3:55AM0.09m | 4:52PM1.00m | 5:05AM0.07m | 6:03PM0.89m | 6:11AM0.05m | 7:05PM0.74m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — |
 | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 12 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | — | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 1062 | 979 | 701 | 476 | 395 | 451 | 2545 | — | 3425 | 5404 | 5973 | 8639 | 6573 | 4853 | 3330 | 2263 | 1812 | 1463 | 1238 | 1238 | 1526 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | — | SSW 13 | — | S 14 | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | — | — | SSW 14 | — |
| kJ | 38 | — | 35 | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | 166 | 198 | — | — | — | 209 | 116 | 79 | — | — | 115 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 18 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | N 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 12 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 9 | 13 | 36 | 62 | 46 | 2948 | 48 | 74 | 77 | 5547 | 7425 | 5417 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 91 | 166 | 493 | 472 | 601 | 262 | 96 | 66 | 62 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Point Leo surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest