
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, SW swell with 1,935 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, it’s Rusty here. We’ve got a pretty solid run of swell heading into Point Leo over the next couple of weeks, but conditions are going to be a mixed bag. The water temp is sitting at 55° and that’s bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.
We kick things off on Sunday the 2nd of August with a groundswell out of the SW at 6 feet, 16-second period, and that’s packing moderate energy (1744). The wind’s blowing a fresh 19 mph from the north though, so it’s cross-off and a bit choppy – more of a session for the dedicated, not a standout. Monday the 3rd sees offshore winds from the WNW at 22 mph, so it’ll be clean, but the swell drops to 5 feet and the energy dips to moderate (940). Tuesday the 4th bumps back up to a 8-foot SW swell in the afternoon with a shorter 11-second period and solid energy (2014), but the wind swings cross-off again with moderate breeze. Not bad, but not the pick.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday the 7th of August is the first true standout. Morning brings a 6-foot SW groundswell with a long 16-second period, and the energy is strong (2072). Winds are light offshore from the NW at 9 mph – gentle and clean. This is a reef break that's fairly consistent and works best on a SW swell, which is what we’ve got. It’s a beginner-friendly wave, but with that size and period, it’ll be more fun for the intermediates and above. The afternoon gets even better – glassy conditions with a 5-foot SW swell from the NNE at just 3 mph. That’s about as clean as it gets. Crowds can show up sometimes, so get in early.
From Saturday the 8th through Sunday the 9th, the wind picks up again and the quality drops off. There’s a gap from Monday the 10th onward where the swell really fires up – we’re looking at massive 15-foot SW and WSW swells on the 10th with energy through the roof (9817 in the morning). That’s expert-only territory, and while the wind is moderate cross-off, the sheer size and power will sort the men from the boys. Tuesday the 11th still has a 10-foot SW groundswell with offshore winds, excellent for experienced surfers. But the real question is whether the tide and wind line up – the forecast says “marginal” for many of these days, so you’ll need to pick your window.
The second week sees consistent big swell, but the wind turns onshore or strong cross-shore after the 14th, especially from the 16th and 17th with near gale-force winds. Kite surfers might fancy that, but paddle surfers will struggle.
The best bet in the whole outlook? Lock in Friday the 7th of August, especially the glassy afternoon session. That’s your standout: clean, long-period SW groundswell, light wind, and the reef should line up nicely for some proper rides.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1591 | 1297 | 1034 | 940 | 940 | 792 | 1100 | 1234 | 947 | 216 | 453 | 380 | 206 | 546 | 649 | 1759 | 1219 | 1737 | 1225 | 1101 | 856 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:32PM2.01m | 2:34AM1.76m | 3:01PM2.03m | 3:15AM1.84m | 3:29PM2.04m | 3:56AM1.91m | 3:57PM2.03m | 4:37AM1.95m | 4:28PM2.02m | 5:22AM1.97m | 5:02PM1.99m | 6:11AM1.96m | 5:41PM1.95m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:45PM0.61m | 8:38AM0.43m | 9:16PM0.49m | 9:15AM0.47m | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:52AM0.52m | 10:20PM0.27m | 10:30AM0.60m | 10:55PM0.19m | 11:11AM0.69m | 11:36PM0.14m | 11:56AM0.80m | 00:23AM0.12m | ||||||||
7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 6 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 21 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
1591 | 1297 | 1034 | 940 | 940 | 792 | 1100 | 1234 | 154 | 216 | 453 | 380 | 178 | 546 | 649 | 1759 | 1219 | 1737 | 1225 | 1101 | 856 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | S 20 | SW 18 | — | SSW 16 | S 21 | S 5 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 20 | SW 18 | WSW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
153 | 140 | 75 | — | 7 | 192 | — | 24 | 9 | 37 | 284 | 197 | 206 | 37 | 486 | 221 | 614 | 101 | 51 | 49 | 47 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | SW 13 | S 5 | SSW 18 | SSW 5 | S 8 | SW 14 | SSW 17 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 103 | 19 | 30 | 14 | 1 | 73 | 92 | 8 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | N 4 | NW 4 | WNW 5 | W 5 | WSW 7 | NW 4 | SW 11 | SW 11 | — | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SW 4 | — | — | NW 3 | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 |
9 | 9 | 17 | 54 | 53 | 171 | 10 | 756 | 947 | — | 32 | 21 | 20 | — | — | 6 | — | — | 11 | 9 | 29 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 30 | 30 | 30 | 96 | 97 | 62 | 61 | 30 | 66 | 8 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 460 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











