Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead for Point Leo, but it’s definitely a case of picking your moments. The first few days are a write-off for anything decent, but from Tuesday the 8th onwards, the pattern starts to switch on, with some proper standouts later in the forecast.

Sunday the 6th is a bit of a tease. You’ve got a 7 ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and it’s clean in the morning with a light cross-off breeze, but the energy is already strong (1962) and the report says it’s marginal. I’d leave it. Winds pick up Monday the 7th with a 16 mph cross and cross-on breeze, whipping up a chop on that 7 ft SW swell – that’s a hard pass, the kites might have more fun.

Now, Tuesday morning the 8th is where it gets interesting. The swell drops to 4 ft, but that’s a long-period SW groundswell at 18 seconds, and the combined energy is still pumping at 1753. Pair that with a clean cross-off WNW breeze, and you’ve got the kind of smooth, lined-up waves that make a reef break like Point Leo sing. The water temperature is sitting at 56°F, which is about average for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit. Crowds are only sometimes an issue here, so you might get a bit of company, but it’s worth it.

Wednesday the 9th gets blown out – a 22 mph cross-swell with 12 ft waves and lumpy conditions. Not for me. Thursday the 10th cleans up a bit with a cross-off breeze, but that 12 ft swell is still big and heavy, with a 17-second period. That’s expert territory, especially on a reef. The energy is massive (7569), so only the brave need apply.

The real standout, the one you circle on the calendar, is Monday the 21st of September. We’re looking at a 13 ft WSW swell, with a 17-second period in the morning and an 18-second period in the afternoon. The combined energy is off the charts: 10057 in the morning, then a staggering 17860 in the afternoon. And the wind? Offshore all day, light, with a moderate breeze in the morning dropping to a light breeze in the afternoon. This is exceptional surf, but it’s only for experts. If you’re good enough, this is the session of the forecast.

Saturday the 12th is another strong option, with 8 ft SW swell, 16 seconds, and a clean cross-off in the morning, then glassy conditions in the afternoon with only 3 mph wind. That’s a beautiful day for a confident intermediate to get stuck in. Tuesday the 15th also looks sweet – glassy conditions in the afternoon with a 10 ft SW swell and 16-second period, and the energy is very strong (4476). Again, that’s a big wave, so know your limits.

After the 21st, the forecast drops off quickly with small, windy conditions. So, if you’re after the best, aim for Tuesday the 8th for a clean, fun day, or the 21st for the big one. Things are looking up after a quiet start.

Rusty.

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