Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve been staring at the charts for Point Leo, and the next two weeks are a proper mixed bag. We’ve got a decent run of waves to kick things off, but then it gets messy with some serious wind before a promising finish. Let’s break it down.

The week starts sweet. Monday morning, the 6th of July, we’ve got a clean 5ft swell from the SW, with a light NNE cross-off breeze. The water’s sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The combined energy is moderate (1029), and that 14-second period means the waves will have some real push. It’s looking very good for a paddle.

Tuesday the 7th keeps the good times rolling with a 3ft SW swell in the morning, but the period jumps to a massive 17 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and it’ll wrap around Point Leo’s reef nicely. The combined energy is moderate (845), and the NNE cross-off breeze keeps it clean. The afternoon picks up to 5ft, though the wind swings to a light cross-on, which is a bit less ideal.

Wednesday the 8th is where things get interesting. The combined energy kicks up to a strong 2403 in the morning with a 5ft swell, but the wind is a light cross-on, so it’s not perfect. The afternoon sees the swell jump to 7ft, and the energy hits very strong (2954). That’s a lot of power, but the wind is onshore and the period is 18 seconds, which is a long period groundswell. For a reef like Point Leo, that’s a good thing, but it’s a solid size – over 7ft, so this one is for the experienced crew only.

Thursday the 9th is a real standout. The morning has a 5ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a clean cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate (1048). But the afternoon session is the pick of the week: glassy conditions, 4ft swell, and a 15-second period. That’s as clean as it gets. The energy is moderate (799), but the glassy wind means no bumps, just smooth lines. This is the best on offer for the first week.

Friday the 10th is another solid day. Morning has a 5ft SW swell with a 16-second period, moderate energy (1238), and a clean N cross-off. The afternoon is similar with a 5ft swell. Good, consistent surf.

Now, hold on to your board, because from Saturday the 11th through to the 18th, it’s a rough patch. Saturday morning, the wind is a fresh 19 mph from the north, and while it’s cross-off, it’s just too strong. The swell is only 4ft, and the energy is weak (521). Sunday the 12th is even worse with a strong breeze up to 28 mph, and the swell drops to 3ft. The energy is very weak (307). Monday the 13th is a full-on gale, with 31 mph winds and a 8ft lumpy swell. The energy is very strong (3136), but it’s a washing machine. The wind doesn’t let up much through the rest of the week, with onshore and cross-onshore winds making a mess of everything. The swell sticks around but it’s blown out. This is a gap of about 8 days where you’d want to be doing something else.

Then, look at the horizon. Sunday the 19th of July, the charts fire up again. The morning has a clean 6ft SW swell, with a 16-second period, moderate energy (1444), and a gentle cross-off breeze. The forecast says this is excellent for experienced surfers, and I can see why. It’s a proper return to form.

Monday the 20th is also promising. The afternoon has a 6ft WSW swell, moderate energy (1093), a gentle cross-off, and a 14-second period. It’s looking very good.

Tuesday the 21st is a big one, but it’s also a long way out. The swell jumps to 8ft with a 15-second period, and the energy is very strong (3037). The wind is a strong cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but at that size, it’s only for the experts. Keep an eye on this one, but treat it as a promising long-range bet.

The true standout in this whole 16-day window is the afternoon of Thursday the 9th of July at Point Leo (Point Leo). The glassy conditions on a 4ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period are just about perfect. Clean, powerful, and no wind. That’s the one to circle on the calendar.

Rusty.

Read more