Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 9,026 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what we’ve got on the cards for Point Leo coming up. This is a classic setup – a reef break that's fairly consistent, takes a good SW swell, and the magic words around here are a NW offshore wind. Water temp is sitting at about 57°, which is pretty much spot on for the season, so nothing unusual there.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start before the fun kicks in. The first solid call is for Wednesday afternoon, July 8th. The ocean’s serving up a solid 7ft SW groundswell with a long 18-second period, packing a serious amount of energy (2954). And the wind? Glassy as. It’s going to be clean as a whistle, but at that size and with that period, this is one for the experienced crew only. Beginners, stay on the beach.
Thursday the 9th stays good. Morning sees a drop to a still very fun 5ft SW swell (16 sec, 1123 energy) with a nice cross-off breeze keeping things clean. The afternoon gets even better with the wind going glassy again on a 4ft SW swell. Beautiful conditions for a longer board.
Now, if you’re looking for the standout of the whole forecast, you have to look towards the second week. Tuesday, July 14th is offering up some serious size. We’re talking an 12ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period and a massive combined energy reading of 6633. The morning has a moderate offshore wind, so it’ll be clean but make no mistake, this is big, powerful reef surf. Only for experts – this is the kind of day where you better know what you’re doing.
The end of the first week gets messy with strong northerly winds blowing up to 25 mph on the 11th, so give it a miss. Sunday the 12th has a big 10ft WSW swell but it’s accompanied by 25 mph offshore winds. Offshore is good, but that strong is going to make it a battle to get out and hold your position. By Tuesday the 14th that offshore wind drops to a more manageable moderate breeze, and that's where the real quality is.
Looking further out, there’s another nice window on Wednesday, July 22nd. The afternoon offers up a solid 8ft WSW swell (14 sec, 2134 energy) with a moderate offshore wind. Clean, powerful waves for the experienced surfers.
So, to wrap it up: the best of the best is Tuesday, July 14th for the big wave chargers. For the rest of us, the glassy sessions on Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th are where you’ll find the most user-friendly, clean conditions.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the N by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Sat afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sat night, moderate winds from the NW by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2714 | 1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1171 | 993 | 676 | 476 | 469 | 1775 | 3322 | 2537 | 2783 | 3420 | 4245 | 7277 | 6633 | 4915 | 3952 | 2527 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:57PM1.97m | 5:41AM1.81m | 5:30PM1.94m | 6:34AM1.85m | 6:09PM1.90m | 7:34AM1.88m | 6:55PM1.86m | 8:41AM1.90m | 7:51PM1.82m | 9:53AM1.94m | 8:58PM1.79m | 11:03AM1.99m | 10:14PM1.79m | 12:07PM2.07m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:24PM0.39m | 11:30AM0.70m | 00:04AM0.30m | 12:19PM0.80m | 00:50AM0.22m | 1:16PM0.91m | 1:45AM0.16m | 2:21PM1.00m | 2:47AM0.12m | 3:36PM1.03m | 3:55AM0.09m | 4:52PM1.00m | 5:05AM0.07m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 |
 | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | 5:16 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | 6 | 6 | 1 |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 2714 | 1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1171 | 993 | 676 | 476 | 469 | — | 3322 | 2537 | 2783 | 3420 | 4245 | 7277 | 6633 | 4915 | 3952 | 2527 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SW 20 | S 16 | S 15 | — | S 14 | — | W 9 | — | — | — | SW 24 | — | SW 19 | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 240 | 183 | 82 | 186 | 134 | 38 | — | 14 | — | 76 | — | — | — | 22 | — | 133 | — | — | 318 | 135 | 42 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 12 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | W 12 | NW 5 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 16 | — | — | — | S 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 28 | 48 | 1775 | 21 | 70 | 64 | 74 | 87 | 5085 | — | — | — | 75 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 262 | 97 | 262 | 68 | 97 | 96 | 749 | 760 | 66 | 30 | 61 | 53 | 262 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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