Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 23 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.5° C
0.4° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 11s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 7,146 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 11s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Sun 26th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 11s
Best Surf 1PM (Sun 26th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 11s
Most Powerful 1AM (Fri 24th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag for Point Leo, but there’s definitely some real magic waiting if you’re patient. The pattern starts with a big, messy pulse that’s more for the hardcore than the casual, then it cleans right up into some beautiful glassy sessions early next week and beyond. The water temp is sitting around 56°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first real swell to talk about is Thursday morning, July 23rd. We’ve got a solid 10ft SW groundswell pumping in with a 14-second period, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph west cross-off. It’s clean on the face, but that’s a lot of water moving around – the combined energy is strong at 3656. It’s a bit of a beast, and honestly, for a beginner-friendly reef like Point Leo, it’s pushing the limits. The afternoon only gets bigger and windier, so Thursday is a day to watch from the beach unless you’re really comfortable in heavy water.

Friday the 24th stays big, with 12ft SW swells and a 15-second period in the morning. The energy is up there at 9591, which is serious. Still cross-off wind, but the size is relentless. By Saturday the 25th, it starts to drop a touch to 10ft and then 8ft, but the wind is still a problem – fresh cross-off all day. The combined energy is still strong, between 5278 and 3120. It’s not a beginner’s playground.

Now, Sunday the 26th is where it starts to turn. The swell drops to 7ft by morning, period at 11 seconds, and we get a moderate offshore from the WNW. That’s a clean Arvo. The afternoon gets even better – 6ft, 11 seconds, and a gentle offshore from the NW. The energy is down to 870, which is moderate, but the conditions are prime. This is a solid, clean session for a confident intermediate.

Monday the 27th is smaller again, 5ft to 6ft, but the wind is offshore in the morning before turning cross-off. It’s okay, but not the standout.

The real standout arrives on Saturday, August 1st. The morning has 5ft SW groundswell at a very long 17 seconds. The wind is a gentle offshore from the NNW. Then Saturday afternoon… glassy. Flat calm, 5ft SW swell, 16 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 1362, but the conditions are as good as it gets. For a reef that likes a clean SW groundswell, this is a dream session. The crowd is sometimes a factor here, so if you see a few cars, you’ll know why.

Sunday, August 2nd, keeps the magic going. Morning has 6ft SW groundswell at 15 seconds with a gentle offshore. Afternoon is glassy again, 6ft, 15 seconds. Energy is 1635. This is another top-tier window.

Monday, August 3rd, is for the experienced crew. The morning throws up 10ft SW groundswell at a very long 18 seconds with a light cross-off. The energy is strong at 6115. The afternoon is glassy with the same 10ft at 18 seconds. That’s a big, powerful, clean swell at a reef. If you’re an expert, that’s the one. If you’re not, give it a wide berth.

After that, the swell slowly fades through the rest of the week into the 5th, 6th, and 7th of August. The energy drops, and the winds become more variable. There’s a late pulse on Friday, August 7th, with a 4ft SW swell at an insanely long 22 seconds, but it’s got a fresh cross-off wind and the energy is moderate. It’s a tailslide and a prayer session.

All in all, if you can wait for the end of the first week and into the start of August, you’ll be rewarded. The best on offer is the glassy conditions on Saturday, August 1st, and Sunday, August 2nd at Point Leo. That’s the cream of the crop. The big Monday, August 3rd, is for the experts only. Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the SW by Tue afternoon).

Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
6
5
2
3
3
2
2
3
3
2
1
2
2
2
2
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
4
SW
16
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
13
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
12
2.5
WSW
11
2.1
SW
11
1.9
SW
11
1.8
SW
10
1.6
SW
10
1.7
SW
11
1.7
SW
13
1.7
SW
13
1.9
SW
16
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
14
2.5
SW
14
2
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3569
4215
7146
5813
4720
3292
2871
1891
1474
1008
844
685
582
677
917
897
1719
5093
3468
2271
1286
Wind (km/h)
35
W
40
WSW
40
WSW
30
W
30
WNW
35
WNW
30
W
25
WSW
25
WNW
25
WNW
15
NW
20
NW
25
NNW
30
NNW
35
NNW
35
NW
35
W
25
SSW
25
S
20
SSE
15
ESE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
5:43PM1.90m
6:53AM1.77m
6:17PM1.80m
7:43AM1.70m
6:53PM1.70m
8:41AM1.65m
7:37PM1.61m
9:48AM1.64m
8:32PM1.54m
10:57AM1.67m
9:43PM1.49m
11:57AM1.74m
10:58PM1.50m
Low Tide
11:50AM0.77m
00:20AM0.32m
12:31PM0.90m
1:00AM0.39m
1:17PM1.01m
1:45AM0.46m
2:12PM1.10m
2:37AM0.50m
3:23PM1.16m
3:38AM0.53m
4:44PM1.15m
4:41AM0.52m
5:56PM1.09m
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
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cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:27
5:28
 mm
2
3
1
2
1
2
2
1
Temp °C
11
11
11
11
12
12
12
13
12
12
14
13
14
15
13
12
12
10
10
10
10
Feels °C
2
1
2
4
5
6
6
8
7
7
10
9
9
9
5
6
5
1
3
4
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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