Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 14 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
12.8° C
0.2° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 2,830 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sat 15th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 15s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 15th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 15s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sat 15th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer at Point Leo over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a solid run of surf kicking off this Friday afternoon, with a big 8ft SW groundswell rolling in. The period is a long 15 seconds, so there’s plenty of energy behind it – that’s 3637 units of combined energy, which is very strong. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze from the WSW, which will keep things clean. This is serious stuff though; at 8ft, this is for experienced surfers only. It’s a reef break, so it’ll handle that long period well, but expect it to be a handful.

Saturday morning starts with a bit of a letdown. The swell is still a solid 8ft from the SW, but the wind is onshore from the ESE, making things messy. The afternoon only gets worse with a stronger onshore wind, so that’s a write-off.

Sunday morning looks better. The swell has dropped to a cleaner 6ft, still from the SW, and the wind is a light cross-shore from the ENE. The energy is still moderate (1350 units). It’s a bit more manageable, but still a decent wave. The afternoon sees a bit of an onshore kick, so morning is the pick.

Monday through to the middle of the following week is a tough stretch. The swell fades, the wind is messy, and the scores are low. There’s a few small windows of clean conditions, but the waves are small and weak. Honestly, from Sunday afternoon right through to the following Thursday, it’s a real struggle to find anything worthwhile.

The Standout

Now, if you can wait, the real gem is a week and a half away. Monday, the 24th of August is the one. The afternoon session is absolutely pumping. We’re looking at a massive 12ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period. The combined energy is a massive 11301 – that’s exceptional. And the wind? Glassy, near calm from the WSW. This is a true expert-only session at the reef. It’s the best on offer, by a long shot. The morning of that day is also excellent, with an 12ft swell and light winds, but the afternoon is the peak.

After that, the 25th still has some decent 7ft swell, but the wind picks up and the quality drops. The rest of the week fades into small, windy conditions, though there’s a glimmer of a clean, glassy morning on the 29th with a small 5ft SW swell.

So, the call is simple: the first couple of days have some solid if challenging waves, but the real prize is waiting for you on Monday the 24th. Don’t sleep on that one.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Tue morning, fresh winds from the N by Wed morning).

Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
1
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.5
SW
18
0.9
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3539
2525
2372
1736
1238
1048
911
885
1240
1155
763
630
471
301
232
169
157
390
198
Wind (km/h)
20
SSW
5
SE
20
SSW
15
ESE
10
E
15
S
15
E
15
ENE
25
ESE
15
ENE
15
NE
10
ESE
15
NE
35
N
35
N
30
NNW
30
NNW
15
NW
35
NW
Wind State
cross
glassy
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
00:42AM1.88m
1:31PM2.09m
1:43AM1.98m
2:13PM2.13m
2:37AM2.04m
2:51PM2.14m
3:24AM2.06m
3:27PM2.12m
4:08AM2.04m
4:01PM2.07m
4:48AM1.99m
4:33PM1.99m
Low Tide
7:02AM0.26m
7:42PM0.47m
7:55AM0.29m
8:28PM0.31m
8:41AM0.35m
9:10PM0.21m
9:24AM0.43m
9:49PM0.16m
10:03AM0.53m
10:25PM0.18m
10:39AM0.64m
11:01PM0.23m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:05
7:05
7:03
7:01
7:01
7:00
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
 mm
1
3
1
1
Temp °C
13
13
13
14
12
13
13
14
16
13
16
17
16
14
14
14
14
16
10
Feels °C
9
9
9
9
10
11
9
11
11
10
13
14
13
7
7
9
9
12
5
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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