Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Alright, let’s dive into what we’ve got coming up at Point Leo. This is a reef set-up that’s fairly consistent, and we’ve got a lot to work with over the next couple of weeks, but it kicks off with a bit of a mess.

Things start off pretty average, to be honest. This Saturday morning, the 22nd, we’ve got rain showers and a stiff 19 mph cross-offshore wind from the west. The swell is a chunky 7 ft from the southwest with a long 15-second period, which means there’s a lot of energy in the water (3302). But that wind is going to make it rough. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about average for this time of year. The afternoon cleans up a little but turns to a messy cross-shore wind, so the first weekend is a write-off.

Sunday the 23rd is where we finally see some hope. The morning kicks off with a crisp clear sky and a light offshore breeze from the NNW at 6 mph. The swell is a solid 8 ft from the southwest, still packing that long 14-second period. This is the first real standout – the combined energy is pumping at 2503, and the offshore wind is going to groom it perfectly. It’s a bit on the bigger side for beginners, but for anyone with some experience, this is clean, powerful reef surf. The afternoon gets even better with glassy conditions and a 6 ft swell. That’s the session to get wet for.

After that, we hit a bit of a flat spell. Monday the 24th drops to 5 ft with a cross-offshore breeze, and Tuesday the 25th turns onshore with rain, making it pretty grotty. Wednesday the 26th looks poor too, with cross-onshore wind and choppy, weak energy (902). So, from Monday morning through to Wednesday afternoon, the surf quality is marginal at best.

Things start to look up again on Thursday the 27th. We’ve got some clouds clearing, and the wind goes light and glassy in the afternoon. The swell drops to 4 ft, but that 13-second period keeps it clean and rideable. The energy is on the lower side (624), but it’s a nice, relaxed paddle-out.

Now, the second standout is shaping up for Friday the 28th. This is a big one. We’re looking at a clear morning with a 16 mph offshore breeze from the northwest. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the southwest, and the period goes up to a very long 17 seconds. The combined energy is massive at 3407. This is groundswell at its finest, and at a reef break like Point Leo, it’s going to line up beautifully. The only catch is that the period is so long that the sets will be far apart, but the shape will be worth the wait. This is for experienced surfers only – the size and power are no joke.

The first week of September continues to deliver. Saturday the 30th and Sunday the 31st of August both have solid 7 ft swell with strong offshore winds, keeping it clean. The energy stays high, and the consistency is there.

Heading into the second week, it’s still pumping. Tuesday the 1st of September has a 8 ft swell with a 16-second period (2907 energy) and gentle cross-offshore winds. Wednesday the 2nd is still good with a 7 ft to 8 ft range, but the wind gets a bit strong at 19 mph.

Then we hit a bit of a wind hiccup on Thursday the 3rd with strong breezes and rain showers, and the swell drops to 6 ft. Not the best.

But hold on, the real corker is way out in the forecast. Sunday the 6th of September is looking absolutely mental. The forecast shows a 16 ft swell from the southwest with a 17-second period – that’s a combined energy of 20584, which is enormous. This is only for expert surfers, and even then, it’s going to be pushing the limits at Point Leo. The wind is light and variable, which might keep it just clean enough. If you’re an experienced charger, keep an eye on this date early next month. It’s a long way out, so don’t book the week off yet, but the potential is there.

To wrap it up: if you’re looking for the best bet in the near-term, Sunday the 23rd is your morning. Clean, offshore, and a solid 8 ft swell. For the long-range promise, the end of the first week and especially that monster 16 ft day on the 6th of September is the one to dream on.

Stay stoked.

Rusty.

Read more