Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 06 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.0° C
0.2° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 25ft (7.5m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 23ft (7.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 31,727 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 12s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 7.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Thu 6th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 12s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 13th Aug)25ft (7.5m) 17s
Most Powerful 7AM (Thu 13th Aug)23ft (7.0m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, let’s have a look at what we’ve got coming up for Point Leo. This reef setup is a pretty consistent performer around here, and the water temp is sitting at 55°, which is about average for this time of year – nothing to write home about, but you won’t need a 5mm just yet.

The first real sniff of action kicks off Thursday the 6th, but honestly, it’s small. We’re looking at a 3 ft SW swell with moderate offshore wind, which will keep things clean and tidy. The wave energy is weak (586), so it’s more of a longboard session than a performance wave. It gets even smaller in the afternoon, dropping to 2 ft, but with a super-long 16-second period and glassy conditions, that’s a sneaky fun afternoon if you’ve got a log. This is beginner-friendly stuff.

Friday the 7th is where things start to get a bit more serious. The swell ramps up to 5 ft from the SW, with a period of 15 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wave energy climbs into the moderate range (1336) by morning, and then the afternoon turns glassy with zero wind. That means clean, lined-up waves peeling down the reef. This is the standout of the first week, no question. The size is still manageable for intermediate surfers, but that long period means you’ll want to be on the right part of the reef.

Saturday the 8th looks punchy but tricky. Swell hangs around 5 ft, but a strong N wind at 19 mph will make it choppy and less inviting. The energy is there (1260–1122), but the wind is just too messy for a top-notch session. Sunday the 9th is a write-off – strong winds and dropping swell.

Then comes Monday the 10th, and we hit the big stuff. An 18 ft SW swell hits in the morning, but it’s accompanied by 25 mph W winds – that’s a washing machine and not suitable for paddling. The afternoon settles with a 10 ft SW swell and strong offshore wind, and the wave energy spikes to 9261 – that’s very strong. This is only for experts. The period is 17 seconds, so it’s going to be a proper groundswell pumping into the reef with power. It’s a world-class day for the handful of blokes who can handle it, but for the rest of us, it’s a spectator sport.

Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th are blown out by strong northerly and westerly winds, with swell still solid but sloppy. Thursday the 13th sees another monster pulse – a 20 ft SW swell early, but it’s too big for the break, even for experts. The afternoon settles to a more manageable 15 ft, but the southwest wind still has the place feeling messy.

The following week is a mixed bag. Friday August 14 and Saturday August 15 both offer solid 8 ft to 10 ft SW swell, but moderate to fresh offshore winds keep things clean for the most part. Wave energy is strong (3320–4743). These are good days for experienced surfers who know the reef. Sunday August 16 onward sees the swell dropping, and by Monday the 17th we’re back to small 4 ft SW swell with clean conditions – a nice recovery day.

The real standout in the second week comes on Thursday August 20. The morning shows 6 ft from the SW at a long 21-second period, with moderate offshore wind. That’s a very clean, powerful swell for the reef. Wave energy is high (4663). This is a promising call, but being a week and a half out, take it with a grain of salt.

Overall, best on offer: Friday afternoon August 7 for clean, glassy 5 ft groundswell, and Monday afternoon August 10 for the big, expert-only 10 ft SW groundswell with offshore wind.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sat night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SW on Sun night, moderate winds from the NNW by Mon night).

Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
4
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
6
4
0
0
0
2
0
6
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SW
12
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
18
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.7
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1
SW
13
1.4
SW
16
5.5
SW
11
3
SW
17
2.5
WSW
16
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.7
SW
19
3.5
WSW
18
5.5
WSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
287
242
522
1219
1171
1757
1210
1074
857
548
342
952
6444
5176
2986
1289
1034
543
2074
7125
13404
Wind (km/h)
20
NW
20
WNW
25
W
10
W
5
NE
15
N
30
N
30
N
35
NNW
40
N
35
N
50
SW
40
W
35
NW
30
NW
40
N
40
N
45
N
35
NNW
55
WSW
45
WSW
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:28PM2.02m
5:22AM1.97m
5:02PM1.99m
6:11AM1.96m
5:41PM1.95m
7:08AM1.91m
6:27PM1.90m
8:14AM1.86m
7:25PM1.83m
9:29AM1.84m
8:38PM1.76m
10:44AM1.87m
10:04PM1.74m
Low Tide
10:30AM0.60m
10:55PM0.19m
11:11AM0.69m
11:36PM0.14m
11:56AM0.80m
00:23AM0.12m
12:47PM0.91m
1:19AM0.15m
1:50PM1.01m
2:24AM0.19m
3:09PM1.05m
3:38AM0.23m
4:34PM0.99m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:11
7:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:38
 mm
3
2
21
1
1
2
3
Temp °C
12
14
12
12
14
13
15
15
14
13
12
11
12
11
11
13
14
14
13
11
10
Feels °C
7
10
7
9
12
9
8
9
7
5
5
5
5
4
5
6
7
6
5
0
1
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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