
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 9,124 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 3.0m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s heading to Point Leo. This reef break is fairly open to the swell and a good spot for beginners. Water temp is about 56°F, right where it should be for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.
There’s a quiet patch to start—nothing worth suiting up for until Tuesday the 14th. Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th are not your friend. Waves are pushing 10ft to 12ft, way too big and punchy, with a strong offshore wind that makes it a battle just to get out. The wave energy is massive (3141 to 5397), but it’s not fun.
Tuesday the 14th is where the action kicks off. Morning brings a 12ft swell from the WSW with a 16-second period—that’s real groundswell, long lines, heaps of energy (12333). Wind is a fresh offshore from the WNW, so it’ll be clean. But at over 8ft, it’s for experts only. Afternoon cranks it up to 13ft, still WSW, 15 seconds, and the wind backs off to a moderate offshore. The combined energy is huge (10939), and the conditions are absolutely prime for experienced surfers. That’s your highlight of the whole forecast—big, clean, and powerful.
Wednesday the 15th holds at 8ft from the SW, 14-second period. Morning has a gentle offshore from the NW, clean but sizable. Afternoon the wind goes cross-off, and the swell drops to about 8ft. Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th offer consistent 7ft to 7ft SW swell with periods of 14 to 16 seconds. Winds are light to calm, and Friday afternoon goes glassy. That’s a sweet stretch for experienced surfers looking for clean, lined-up waves.
Saturday the 18th sees the swell drop to 5ft in the morning and 5ft in the afternoon, with glassy conditions. Smaller but clean. Sunday the 19th onward, it fades fast—down to 3ft and less, with cross-off winds. The energy drops right off (434 to 465). There’s a bit of a lull for a few days.
Monday the 21st brings a fresh pulse: 7ft SW swell with a 14-second period, moderate offshore from the NW. That’s a solid option for experienced surfers again. Tuesday the 22nd is smaller but still clean. From Wednesday the 23rd through Thursday, it gets weak and the winds turn messy.
Then, Friday the 24th is a bit of a surprise—swell drops to 3ft but the period goes to 20 seconds. That’s an extremely long-period groundswell. It’ll be clean in the morning, but at a reef setup like Point Leo, long-period swells can break a bit straight, so keep that in mind. The energy is moderate (754). Worth a look for the odd clean set.
Saturday the 25th sees a return of 7ft SW swell with 16-second period and light cross-off winds. That’s another promising session. Sunday the 26th is smaller, and by Monday the 27th, the period drops to 8 seconds—short and choppy—with a fresh offshore wind. Not ideal unless you want something punchy and messy.
Overall, Tuesday the 14th afternoon is the standout—13ft, clean, powerful, for experts only. The window around Friday 17th afternoon through Saturday 18th morning is also clean and solid for experienced surfers. The long-range stuff around the 24th and 25th is promising but less certain. Crowds are possible at Point Leo sometimes, so keep an eye out.
That’s the word. Take care out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon morning, light winds from the W by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sun 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
3141 | 3748 | 5231 | 6242 | 9124 | 6491 | 6234 | 4054 | 2570 | 1919 | 1595 | 1665 | 1784 | 1760 | 2384 | 2157 | 1500 | 961 | 632 | 388 | 321 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:51PM1.82m | 9:53AM1.94m | 8:58PM1.79m | 11:03AM1.99m | 10:14PM1.79m | 12:07PM2.07m | 11:30PM1.83m | 1:04PM2.14m | 00:42AM1.89m | 1:53PM2.19m | 1:47AM1.95m | 2:38PM2.22m | 2:46AM1.99m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:47AM0.12m | 3:36PM1.03m | 3:55AM0.09m | 4:52PM1.00m | 5:05AM0.07m | 6:03PM0.89m | 6:11AM0.05m | 7:05PM0.74m | 7:11AM0.07m | 8:00PM0.58m | 8:06AM0.12m | 8:50PM0.43m | 8:57AM0.22m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | |
5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | 5:20 | |
mm | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
3141 | 3748 | 5231 | 6242 | 7869 | 5583 | 4705 | 4054 | 2570 | 1919 | 1595 | 1665 | 1784 | 1760 | 2384 | 2157 | 1500 | 961 | 632 | 388 | 321 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | — | SW 23 | SW 21 |
— | — | 166 | 198 | — | 259 | — | — | — | — | — | 142 | — | — | 201 | 133 | 42 | — | — | 21 | 70 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 23 | WSW 21 |
— | — | — | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 43 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 2 |
12 | 44 | 106 | 80 | 9124 | 6491 | 6234 | 2754 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 682 | 96 | 262 | 826 | 61 | 62 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











