Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’ve got a solid look at the next 16 days of swell for Point Leo, a reef break that’s fairly exposed to the southwest. Water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there. Let’s get into it.

The first real window of good surf kicks off Thursday morning, August 13th. We’ve got a big 9.8ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 16-second period—that’s a long-period groundswell, packing serious energy. The combined wave energy is a hefty 5036, which is strong. Onshore winds are offshore from the WNW at 15.5 mph, so the waves will be clean and well-shaped. This is top-tier for experienced surfers only—that size and power is no joke for beginners. Point Leo is a reef, so it’ll handle that long-period groundswell well. Crowds are possible here, but the quality on offer should be worth it.

Thursday afternoon stays solid with the same 9.8ft SW swell, period at 16 seconds, energy at 4590. Winds go light from the west at 6.2 mph, cross-off, so it’s still clean. Still excellent for experienced surfers.

Friday morning, August 14th, the swell holds at 9.8ft from the SW, period still 16 seconds, energy 3920. Offshore winds from the WNW at 12.4 mph keep it clean. The score tells me this is still very good, but again, expert territory.

Friday afternoon things start to shift—same swell size but period drops to 15 seconds, and winds go cross-shore from the SW at 12.4 mph, making it choppy and marginal. That’s the end of the standout run.

Saturday and Sunday, August 15th and 16th, see the swell dropping into the 7.9ft to 5.2ft range, but winds are cross-onshore and onshore, making conditions pretty messy. Not worth paddling out.

Monday, August 17th, is still marginal with onshore winds, but the swell is around 5.2ft to 5.6ft. Nothing to get excited about.

Now, Tuesday morning, August 18th, is a nice little surprise. The swell is down to 4.3ft from the SW, period 14 seconds, but we get a cross-off breeze from the NNE at 9.3 mph. The energy is 1086, moderate, and conditions are clean. This is a very good session for a smaller day—good for a range of surfers.

Wednesday, August 19th, the swell drops to 2.6ft with poor conditions. A quiet day.

Thursday, August 20th, the swell picks up to 3.6ft to 4.3ft, with a strong offshore from the north at 18.6 mph. The energy is around 729 to 826, which is moderate. The wind is strong offshore, making it clean but tricky to paddle into. Still, it’s marginal overall.

Friday, August 21st, is a gem. The swell is 4.3ft from the SW, period 14 seconds, and we get light cross-off winds from the WSW in the morning, then glassy conditions in the afternoon with zero wind. The afternoon is glassy—clean, smooth, and fun for a small wave session. Energy is moderate at 639. This is a very good small-wave day.

Saturday, August 22nd, the swell builds to 5.9ft, but the wind is a strong offshore from the NW at 21.7 mph. That’s a fresh offshore, which will make the waves clean but the paddle-out a battle. Only for the keen and fit.

Sunday, August 23rd, the wind gets even stronger—27.9 mph offshore from the NW. The swell is 5.6ft from the WSW. It’s clean but very hard to paddle into. This is for experts only, and the conditions are marginal.

Monday, August 24th, the swell is back up to 5.9ft to 6.9ft, with a fresh offshore wind from the NW and WNW. The period is 13 to 16 seconds, and energy is 2047 to 2146, moderate to strong. This could be a good session for experienced surfers who can handle the wind.

Now, the standout in the second week: Tuesday, August 25th, the swell jumps to 11.5ft from the WSW, period 14 seconds, and the energy is a massive 7561. That’s strong to very strong. Winds are strong offshore from the west at 24.9 mph, so it’s clean but very challenging. This is definitely for experts only, and it’s promising but far out, so keep an eye on it.

The rest of the week sees the swell dropping and winds turning onshore, so not much to recommend.

Finally, Thursday, August 27th, is another highlight. The swell is 5.9ft from the SW, period 17 seconds—very long period groundswell—and the energy is 2320, moderate. The wind is glassy from the SE at 3.1 mph. This is excellent for experienced surfers,

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