Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 3,692 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Point Leo. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag for conditions, so you gotta pick your moments.
The week kicks off with a small, weak south-west groundswell rolling in on Tuesday the 18th. At 4ft and a 14-second period, there’s some decent energy in the water (moderate, 683), but that light easterly breeze is putting a bit of a crinkle on the face. It’s rideable, but nothing to write home about.
Wednesday the 19th is a write-off. Strong northerly winds will trash any hope of a clean wave, with swell dropping to under 3ft. Save your energy.
Things start to turn around on Thursday the 20th. A new, cleaner south-west groundswell fills in, and while the size is tiny at 2-2ft, that long, 17-18 second period means it’ll have a lovely shape. The wind goes offshore from the north-west, and it gets clean. It’s a longboard session, but a beautiful one.
Friday the 21st sees the swell building back to a fun 4ft, with a period hovering around 14-15 seconds. The south-west groundswell has moderate energy (951-1064), and the cross-offshore wind from the west keeps the surface tidy. It’s a good, clean day for a proper session.
Now, here’s the standout. Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd are where it’s at. We get a solid pulse of south-west groundswell, hitting 8ft Saturday morning and holding over 7ft through Sunday. The period stays in that sweet spot for reefs like Point Leo (14-16 seconds). The energy jumps up to strong levels (3225), and we get light to moderate offshore winds from the west-northwest and north-west. This is serious, good-quality surf. Waves will be clean with plenty of push. With the size over 8ft, this is strictly for experienced surfers. Crowds are possible at a spot this good when it’s like this.
Monday the 24th drops back in size to a user-friendly 5-5ft. The wind swings offshore from the north-west again, and the moderate energy (844-1014) from the 14-second swell makes for a very good, clean day.
We hit a rough patch mid-week. Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th are plagued by onshore and cross-off winds that will chop things up. The swell is still there (4-5ft), but the quality just isn’t. Not worth the paddle.
Thursday the 27th offers a glimmer in the morning with a fresh offshore wind, but the swell is dropping and short-period. The afternoon brings a nasty pulse of 10ft WSW swell with a strong, strong onshore wind. That one is a stormy, blown-out mess.
The weekend of the 28th and 29th turns into a proper, heavy-duty south-west groundswell event, with waves reaching 10-12ft. The energy is very strong (6127 on Friday!). However, the wind is a problem. It’s cross-shore and cross-onshore, creating a nasty chop on top of that big power. This is only for the most experienced, and even then, it looks more like a kite-surfing affair with that big swell and messy wind.
By Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st, we’re back on point. The swell drops to a much more manageable 3-6ft. On the 31st, we see a fantastic combination: a long-period groundswell (17-18 seconds) with light offshore and variable winds. The energy is moderate to strong (1071-1233), and the conditions are described as very good. Point Leo will be clean, lined up, and fun for everyone.
Looking into the first days of September, the swell holds around 4-6ft through Tuesday the 1st and Wednesday the 2nd. The wind stays manageable, and on Wednesday afternoon we see that long 18-second period again. That’s a clean, quality south-west groundswell for those mid-week sessions.
The absolute pick of the bunch is Saturday the 22nd through Sunday the 23rd for the experienced crew. For a more manageable but still high-quality day, Monday the 31st is your best bet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the NNE by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Mon morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
621 | 465 | 251 | 236 | 217 | 157 | 222 | 216 | 693 | 606 | 2284 | 3090 | 2690 | 2544 | 1891 | 1564 | 1602 | 978 | 801 | 772 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:08AM2.04m | 4:01PM2.07m | 4:48AM1.99m | 4:33PM1.99m | 5:28AM1.90m | 5:04PM1.90m | 6:08AM1.81m | 5:36PM1.80m | 6:53AM1.71m | 6:09PM1.70m | 7:47AM1.63m | 6:49PM1.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:49PM0.16m | 10:03AM0.53m | 10:25PM0.18m | 10:39AM0.64m | 11:01PM0.23m | 11:15AM0.75m | 11:37PM0.31m | 11:50AM0.87m | 00:14AM0.40m | 12:29PM0.98m | 00:57AM0.48m | 1:18PM1.08m | 1:49AM0.56m | |||||||
— | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | |
5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | |
mm | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 |
Temp °C | 18 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 16 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
621 | 465 | 251 | 236 | 217 | 147 | 154 | 175 | 693 | 606 | 2284 | 3090 | 2690 | 2544 | 1891 | 1564 | 1602 | 978 | 801 | 772 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SE 4 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SW 20 | WSW 9 | W 8 | SW 16 | SW 20 | WSW 7 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 22 | WSW 21 | SW 19 |
51 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 61 | 45 | 41 | 216 | 98 | 79 | 54 | 135 | 95 | 163 | 522 | 57 | 25 | 18 | 43 | 94 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 4 | SW 15 | SW 16 | ESE 8 | SW 18 | SW 17 | WSW 7 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | SW 22 | — | NNE 5 |
— | 6 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 157 | 222 | 32 | 26 | 379 | — | — | — | — | 31 | — | — | 18 | — | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 5 | NNE 2 | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | W 4 | W 4 | NW 3 | W 7 | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | NW 3 | — | NW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 3 | NW 3 |
11 | 1 | 13 | 27 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 134 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 12 | 6 | 6 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 16 | 91 | 86 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 53 | 0 | 8 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











