Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.8° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SW swell with 4,577 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Fri 28th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 16s
Best Surf 1AM (Thu 3rd Sep)8ft (2.4m) 14s
Most Powerful10AM (Fri 4th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, it’s Rusty. We’ve got a decent spring run ahead at Point Leo, with the first solid windows coming this Friday morning and really firing up by Monday. Water temp is sitting at 56°, which is normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The week kicks off Friday morning the 28th with a clean 5 ft SW swell, period around 18 seconds and a moderate offshore breeze from the NW. That’s a proper groundswell—longer gaps between sets, but real grunt. The energy reading is 1953 (moderate to strong), and it looks excellent for experienced surfers. The reef setup handles long-period SW groundswell beautifully, so expect some nice lines. Friday arvo gets lumpy with a cross-shore, so stick to the morning.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th are both in the 6-6 ft range, SW swell, period dropping to 13-14 seconds. Winds are light to moderate and cross-offshore, so conditions stay clean. The energy sits around 1200-1300, still moderate. Solid weekend for a beginner-friendly wave at this break—nothing too big, just fun and rideable.

Monday the 31st is the standout window. We’ve got a 7 ft SW swell for the morning with 14-second period and a light offshore NW breeze. Then Monday afternoon turns glassy—3 mph SSW wind, flat sea, same 6 ft, 14-second swell. Combined energy hits 1955. That’s the best couple of sessions on offer: clean, powerful, and uncrowded because the crowds are only “sometimes” here. For a break that’s fairly consistent, this one delivers.

Tuesday the 1st of September gets blown out by a strong NNW wind, 25 mph in the morning. Not worth it. Wednesday the 2nd sees a fresh offshore from the NW at 16 mph with a 7 ft SW swell, period 14 seconds, energy 2107. That’s big and clean—good for experienced surfers only, the swell’s pushing above 5 ft. Thursday the 3rd stays similar: 8-8 ft, fresh offshore NW winds, energy 2134-2200. Solid, but you need to know what you’re doing.

Then Friday the 4th of September gets serious. Light rain, 12 ft to 13 ft SW swell, period 13-14 seconds, and strong offshore winds from the WNW. Energy jumps to 7671 and then 9945—that’s very strong. This is expert territory only. The reef will be handling it, but the power is immense.

The following week (Sept 5th to 12th) has more size but wind and chop mix it up. Saturday the 5th is 8-10 ft with strong offshore winds, but the conditions are “strong offshore and clean but hard to paddle into”—honest. Sunday the 6th gets messy with cross-shore winds and 13 ft SSW swell, not worth it. Monday the 7th morning goes glassy, 6 ft SW swell, period 11 seconds, energy 967, and conditions are “glassy”—that’s a sneaky good session for those who can wait. Then a lull Tuesday and Wednesday, with onshore junk. Thursday the 10th morning turns glassy again, 4 ft, 14-second SW swell, energy 676—clean and small but very workable for a sunset solo. Friday the 11th afternoon jumps to 10 ft SW with 18-second period, NW cross-off at 19 mph, energy 6703—that’s another big, clean groundswell for experts. Saturday the 12th of September finishes strong: 8 ft SW, 16-17 second period, light cross-off WSW winds, energy 3461-4527. Board choice matters—longer period groundswell at a beach/reef setup like this means the wave will break with real shape, not just close out.

There’s a few quiet days in there (Sept 8th and 9th are mostly poor), but overall the 16-day stretch has plenty of action. If you’re a beginner, aim for this Friday morning or the weekend the 29th-30th. For experienced surfers, Monday the 31st is the pick, and the big sessions Sept 4th, 11th and 12th are worth circling on the calendar.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue morning).

Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
3
4
4
4
1
2
2
4
2
5
3
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
2
SW
16
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
2
SW
13
2
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
2.1
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
2.2
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.4
WSW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.5
SW
13
3.5
WSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1136
2454
1958
1307
1163
744
1103
1086
1319
1485
1505
2302
1494
1200
1903
1977
2090
2280
2027
2200
4457
Wind (km/h)
20
NW
15
SW
15
SW
15
WNW
15
WSW
15
WNW
15
WNW
15
SW
15
WSW
10
NW
5
SSW
15
N
40
N
35
NNW
35
NNW
25
NW
20
SW
10
N
30
NW
30
NW
40
WNW
Wind State
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
12:12PM1.74m
11:51PM1.56m
12:50PM1.83m
00:48AM1.69m
1:24PM1.90m
1:35AM1.82m
1:55PM1.96m
2:17AM1.95m
2:25PM2.00m
2:57AM2.05m
2:56PM2.03m
3:38AM2.11m
3:28PM2.04m
Low Tide
6:19PM0.93m
6:12AM0.55m
7:00PM0.77m
7:00AM0.51m
7:35PM0.60m
7:42AM0.48m
8:08PM0.44m
8:21AM0.47m
8:40PM0.29m
8:59AM0.49m
9:14PM0.17m
9:36AM0.53m
9:50PM0.08m
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:52
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:57
5:58
5:58
 mm
2
1
Temp °C
12
12
11
10
11
11
11
11
11
11
14
13
18
19
18
15
13
12
14
15
15
Feels °C
9
9
7
7
8
8
8
9
9
10
12
10
10
13
12
11
9
11
7
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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