Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 27 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
14.4°C
1.6° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 27 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 28 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 4 Oct, 5PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 2,212 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 28 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 28) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Oct 04) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Friday (Oct 02) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Mon 28th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 14s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 28th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 14s
Most Powerful 5PM (Sun 4th Oct)7ft (2.1m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSE on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Wed night, fresh winds from the SSW by Fri afternoon).

Sun
27
Monday
28
Tuesday
29
Wednesday
30
Thursday
1
Friday
2
Saturday
3
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
3
1
2
1
1
0
1
2
3
2
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.5
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
1.4
SW
16
1.4
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.3
SW
14
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2413
1212
943
767
581
1096
864
623
459
991
942
1034
821
667
577
746
1124
821
799
885
Wind (km/h)
35
SSE
15
SE
5
SE
15
SSE
10
NE
30
N
30
NNW
30
N
30
NNW
25
NNW
15
N
20
N
25
NNW
15
WNW
25
SW
35
SSW
25
SW
25
SSE
20
S
15
SE
Wind State
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
High Tide
00:27AM1.83m
12:37PM1.81m
1:13AM2.00m
1:12PM1.89m
1:55AM2.14m
1:48PM1.96m
2:37AM2.23m
2:24PM2.01m
3:19AM2.27m
3:02PM2.04m
4:01AM2.24m
3:42PM2.04m
Low Tide
6:11PM0.61m
6:36AM0.62m
6:49PM0.42m
7:20AM0.57m
7:27PM0.24m
8:01AM0.54m
8:05PM0.09m
8:40AM0.53m
8:45PM-0.01m
9:19AM0.55m
9:26PM-0.04m
9:58AM0.60m
10:09PM-0.01m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
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6:01
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5:58
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5:58
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5:56
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—
5:54
—
—
5:52
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:19
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6:20
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6:21
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6:22
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6:22
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6:23
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6:24
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
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1
6
4
3
—
—
—
—
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Temp °C
10
9
9
10
12
20
21
20
19
21
19
20
17
17
12
12
11
11
11
11
Feels °C
3
4
6
6
8
14
15
15
12
18
17
18
13
14
7
4
4
5
6
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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