Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 9,404 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what Point Leo's got cookin' for the next couple of weeks.
We've got some serious SW groundswell on the menu, but the wind and the size will call the shots. The water's sitting at about 56°, which is just a hair warmer than average for this time of year. The real standouts are Tuesday the 8th and Saturday the 12th, with a couple more promising days further out for the patient ones.
Sunday the 6th starts us off with a clean 6ft SW swell with a long 14-second period. There's a ton of energy (1507) and a light cross-off breeze, so the reef will be offering some excellent, lined-up waves. This one's for the experienced surfers though, as it's a bit chunky for the groms.
Monday the 7th is a total bust. Strong cross-on winds from the SSW will turn it into a washing machine. Save your petrol.
Now, Tuesday the 8th is a proper standout. Both morning and afternoon look mint. We've got a 4ft to 5ft SW groundswell with a very long period of 17 to 18 seconds. That's real energy (1753). With light cross-off winds all day, the reef will be glassy and clean. This is the pick of the first week for anyone who can handle a longer-period wave that might stand up a bit on the reef.
Wednesday the 9th jumps up to a massive 12ft, but with strong cross-shores, it'll be a messy, lumpy mess. Thursday the 10th cleans up with offshore winds, but those 10ft to 12ft waves are only for the hardcore crew.
Friday the 11th is a bit average, with 7ft and cross-shore wind creating some chop.
The next real gem is Saturday the 12th. The morning has a nice 7ft SW swell with a long 16-second period (2132) and light offshore winds. But the afternoon is the absolute winner – glassy conditions, 6ft from the SW, and a period of 15 seconds. That's as good as it gets for clean, groomed reef waves.
The following week is a bit more unpredictable. The 16th and 21st of September have some excellent morning windows with clean 8ft and 8ft SW swells and gentle offshore winds, but the wind gets stronger later on. For the big wave crew, the morning of the 21st looks special: 8ft, gentle offshore, and long period. It'll be a proper paddle-out.
So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 8th is your best bet for a cruisy, clean session. If you want a bit more size and can handle a crowd, Saturday the 12th afternoon with glassy conditions is the dream. For the experts chasing the big stuff, the 10th and the morning of the 21st are on the radar but the winds can get howling. There are a few days with no surf worth mentioning, but there's enough action to keep the stoke alive.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 7 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1423 | 837 | 976 | 362 | 1167 | 901 | 1172 | 1787 | 5360 | 8698 | 8767 | 5970 | 4427 | 2851 | 1855 | 1855 | 2443 | 1983 | 1568 | 1063 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:21PM1.96m | 6:45AM1.91m | 6:11PM1.87m | 7:50AM1.81m | 7:15PM1.77m | 9:05AM1.76m | 8:39PM1.69m | 10:21AM1.77m | 10:13PM1.70m | 11:25AM1.83m | 11:35PM1.80m | 12:18PM1.90m | 00:41AM1.92m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:02AM0.13m | 12:28PM0.89m | 00:59AM0.24m | 1:33PM0.96m | 2:08AM0.36m | 2:56PM0.97m | 3:28AM0.44m | 4:22PM0.88m | 4:47AM0.48m | 5:34PM0.71m | 5:56AM0.48m | 6:30PM0.53m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — |
 | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 22 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 21 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1423 | 837 | 18 | 193 | 1167 | 790 | 1172 | 1787 | 1128 | 812 | 8767 | 5970 | 4427 | 2851 | 1855 | 1855 | 2443 | 1983 | 1568 | 1063 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 26 | SSW 16 | — | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 |
| kJ | 31 | 87 | 71 | 70 | 377 | 901 | 581 | 26 | 232 | — | 749 | 785 | 429 | — | — | — | 314 | 149 | 80 | 113 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 22 | S 21 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | — | — | SSW 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 18 | 8 | 246 | 62 | — | — | 246 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 6 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 7 | S 6 | — | — | SW 6 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 53 | 639 | 976 | 362 | 74 | — | — | 186 | 5360 | 8698 | 5627 | 3813 | 2790 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 8 | 135 | 135 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 454 | 543 | 1143 | 66 | 8 | 128 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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