Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid run of south-west groundswell headed our way to Point Leo, but it’s not without its challenges. The main story is a big pulse of swell arriving this Sunday, with size and power hanging around for days after. The catch? The wind is going to be howling for the first few days, making it a battle to get out and stay in the wave. Once that eases off mid-week, the place will turn on. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so the rubber’s a must.

Don’t bother with this Saturday (11 July). There’s a little waist-high swell from the SW, around 4 ft, but with a fresh northerly breeze hitting 25–28 mph blowing cross-off, it’s messy and low energy (476). It’s a pass.

Sunday and Monday (12–13 July) are a proper beast – the swell jumps to 10–12 ft from the WSW/SW, with a long 12–16 second period and the combined wave energy absolutely cranking (up to 6251). But the north-west winds are going to be near gale to strong breeze strength (25–31 mph) blowing offshore. That’s glassy on the face, but you’ll be fighting a heavy paddle battle – definitely for experts only. Tuesday holds similar size (12 ft) but the wind drops a notch to a fresh breeze from the west, still cross-off, so it remains a big-wave zone.

Now, here’s where it gets good. Wednesday through Friday (15–17 July) is the standout window. Wednesday morning, the swell eases to a still-strong 8 ft from the SW (14-second period, 2521 energy) and the wind turns light offshore from the NW at just 9 mph. That’s clean, lined-up and punchy – excellent for experienced surfers. The same story holds for Thursday and Friday, with 6–7 ft swell, glassy or offshore winds, and those long 14–16 second periods. Thursday afternoon sees the wind go dead calm (5 mph offshore), and by Friday afternoon there’s a glass-off with a northerly wind at 3 mph and a smooth 7 ft SW swell at 16 seconds (2288 energy). That is prime Point Leo reef perfection – long lines, easy paddling between sets, and the crowd factor is “sometimes” busy, but when it’s this clean, it’s worth the company.

The weekend of 18–19 July sees the swell drop back to 4–3 ft and the wind picks up again, so the quality fades. Monday the 20th brings a new pulse of 8 ft WSW swell with a moderate cross-off breeze – decent, but not a standout.

Looking into the second week, Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd offer another solid run: 8–10 ft SW swell with 13–14 second periods, light to moderate offshore winds, and clean conditions. Wednesday afternoon even goes glassy with a light southerly and a smooth 7 ft swell (1538 energy) – a promising long-range option. The swing to cross-onshore winds on Friday the 24th and messy side-shore over the weekend of the 25th–26th ends the run on a quieter note, with 5–6 ft swell and only fair conditions.

Best on offer: Wednesday 15 July through Friday 17 July, and a long-range nod to Wednesday 22 July afternoon. That’s when Point Leo will be at its finest.

Rusty.

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