Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 01 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.1° C
0.2° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,442 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 1st Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 18s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 17s
Most Powerful10PM (Sat 1st Aug)7ft (2.1m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a pretty solid run of surf shaping up, with some absolute gems if you time it right. The water is sitting at 56°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild on that front. The first week is where the action is, then things get a bit messier.

Saturday morning (1st August) kicks things off with a clean 4ft SW swell, period around 12 seconds. Wind is a light cross-off from the NNE, so Point Leo should be tidy. The combined energy is moderate at 809. It’s not huge, but it’s a nice, clean start for the beginners and longboarders.

Sunday (2nd August) sees the swell bump up to 6ft with a very long 16-second period from the SW, packing moderate energy (1744). The wind stays cross-off from the N, but it's blowing a fresh 19 mph in the morning. That will keep the surface clean but make it a bit of a paddle. The afternoon eases to 16 mph. It’s a solid, powerful groundswell, but that length might make it a bit straight at the beach; on a reef point like Point Leo, it’ll be a treat.

The middle of the week (3rd to 5th August) gets a bit dicey. A strong 25 mph offshore on Monday morning makes paddling a real chore, even if the waves look clean. By Wednesday afternoon (5th August), things settle down with a lighter WSW wind and a 3ft SW swell. The energy drops to 691, but the period bumps back to 14 seconds and the wind is cross-off. It’s a sneaky, clean little session.

Thursday (6th August) is a glassy gem. The swell is tiny at 2ft, but a 15-second period on a glassy surface with a light offshore in the morning… that’s pure magic if you’ve got a log. Energy is weak (541), but the quality is high.

Now, for the standout of the whole run: Friday 7th and Tuesday 11th August.

Friday 7th August is looking exceptional. The morning sees a 6ft SW swell (16-second period) with clean conditions and a gentle cross-off breeze from the N. The energy is strong at 1816. The afternoon? It goes glassy with a 3 mph wind. That is a proper, long period groundswell hitting a reef. It’s in the experienced surfer range (6ft), so crowds are possible as word gets out. This is the one to call in sick for.

Tuesday 11th August is another cracker. 7ft of SW swell (15 seconds) with a light offshore in the morning and glassy conditions in the afternoon. The energy is very strong (2262 and 3574). This is getting big, expert territory. The reef at Point Leo will handle this long period beautifully. Expect a crowd.

The second week gets messy. Wednesday 12th has a big 8ft swell but a cross-shore wind in the afternoon spoils it a bit. Thursday 14th is a monster – 10ft SW swell with 17-second period, energy at 5348 – but the wind is cross-shore. That’s a lot of power and chop; only for the brave. Saturday 15th looks promising with a moderate offshore and a clean 7ft swell. Sunday 16th finishes with a clean 5ft morning session before the wind turns cross-on in the arvo.

So, to wrap it up: the absolute pick of the bunch is Friday 7th August for that perfect combo of size, period, and glassy conditions. Tuesday 11th is the heavy-hitter alternative. The rest of the run has windows of clean fun, especially the glassy Thursday 6th, but be prepared for some windy and choppy days in between.

Keep an eye on the sky and pick your moment.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Sat morning, strong winds from the WNW by Mon morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
1
2
2
3
4
4
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
18
1.8
SW
17
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.4
SW
15
1.5
SW
13
1.6
SW
12
2.1
SW
12
1.5
SW
11
0.6
SW
20
0.9
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
0.5
SW
20
1.4
SW
18
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.1
SW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
386
1837
2413
1591
1297
1034
940
856
780
706
1213
573
242
341
380
212
191
1227
1532
1048
671
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
15
NNW
15
NNE
30
N
30
N
30
NW
40
WNW
30
W
25
W
25
W
25
SW
20
SW
15
SW
10
WSW
15
WNW
15
NW
5
WSW
10
N
15
N
5
N
20
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
2:01PM1.96m
1:51AM1.68m
2:32PM2.01m
2:34AM1.76m
3:01PM2.03m
3:15AM1.84m
3:29PM2.04m
3:56AM1.91m
3:57PM2.03m
4:37AM1.95m
4:28PM2.02m
5:22AM1.97m
5:02PM1.99m
Low Tide
8:12PM0.73m
8:00AM0.42m
8:45PM0.61m
8:38AM0.43m
9:16PM0.49m
9:15AM0.47m
9:47PM0.38m
9:52AM0.52m
10:20PM0.27m
10:30AM0.60m
10:55PM0.19m
11:11AM0.69m
11:36PM0.14m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:15
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:32
5:34
5:35
 mm
1
1
3
8
2
2
Temp °C
12
14
12
13
15
13
11
12
10
11
12
12
12
13
13
12
13
12
13
15
13
Feels °C
7
10
8
6
9
7
3
5
5
6
7
7
9
10
9
8
12
10
10
13
9
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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