Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Point Leo.

The next couple of weeks are a mixed bag. The models are showing a lot of energy rolling in, but the wind is going to be the main character here – sometimes it plays nice, sometimes it doesn’t. We’ve got a bunch of solid SW groundswell on the table, but the windows of clean conditions are going to be specific. The water temp is sitting around 57°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year – about 2°F above average, so nothing crazy, but it’s a nice little bonus.

Right now, the immediate forecast isn’t jumping out. Sunday is a write-off – a raw 19 mph north wind and a bumpy 5ft SW swell. Not your day. Monday morning the 14th is our first real highlight. We’ve got a clean 3ft SW swell with a 12 mph offshore from the WNW. The combined swell energy is still moderate at 372, but the offshore wind makes it tidy. It’s a small, clean beginner-friendly wave at Point Leo. The afternoon gets messy with a cross-shore, so get on it early.

Tuesday the 15th sees a big jump in size – a 8ft SW swell, but it’s getting hammered by a 19 mph WSW cross-off. The energy is strong at 2178, but the rain showers and freshening breeze make it marginal. By afternoon, a 25 mph SW wind turns it into a messy, choppy 10ft barely surfable – that’s more of a kite-surfing setup than anything else.

Wednesday the 16th is a massive 10ft SW groundswell with a solid 15-second period. The energy is pumping at 6973, but the wind is a lumpy cross-onshore all day. This is expert-only at best, and honestly, the conditions are going to be rough.

The next standout window is Thursday the 17th morning. The swell drops to 7ft from the SW, and the wind is a light 9 mph cross-shore. It’s not glassy, but the energy is still strong at 1983. It’s a mid-tier option.

Friday the 18th afternoon is the best call of the first week. The swell is 4ft from the SW, but the period is a very long 17 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. The wind is a clean 12 mph offshore from the WNW. The combined energy is 1676, and it’s clean and lined up. This is a classic Point Leo day for the experienced surfer – long-period SW groundswell loves a reef setup like this. Crowds are possible here at Point Leo, so don’t sleep on it.

Saturday the 19th afternoon has a clean 6ft WSW swell with a gentle 9 mph offshore – that’s a very good session in the books. The energy is moderate at 946, but the conditions are glassy.

We then hit a poor stretch. The 20th is blown out by a near gale. The 21st is cross-on and choppy. Nothing worth paddling for.

The second week starts looking better. Tuesday the 22nd afternoon has a solid 8ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period and a clean cross-off breeze. Energy is strong at 3044. Good, but it’s a big swell.

Wednesday the 23rd morning is the standout of the second week. A massive 10ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period and a clean cross-off. Energy is pumping at 4427. It’s going to be a big, powerful wave at Point Leo – expert territory. The wind is favourable, but the size is serious. It’s a promising call, but being 10 days out, keep an eye on the wind direction.

Saturday the 26th brings a clean return to small, fun waves – 5ft SW with a light offshore breeze. Gentle and clean. That’s a nice way to close out the outlook.

Bottom line: Best on offer is Friday 18th afternoon for the clean, long-period groundswell with offshore wind. The big standout for the bigger wave hunter is Wednesday 23rd morning, but that’s a long-range call.

Rusty.

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