Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what's lining up for Point Leo. There’s a no-surf gap right now, so the first decent waves aren't expected until Monday, July 6th. That’s a few days of flat or poor conditions to sit through.

Sunday the 5th is a write-off. We’ve got a big 10ft SW swell hammering the coast, but it’s paired with a stiff onshore ESE wind at 12-18 mph, making for poor surf conditions. The combined swell energy is massive (6014), but it’s messy. Leave it.

Monday the 6th is where it kicks off. Morning sees the swell drop to 5ft from the SW, with a very long period of 14 seconds and a clean cross-off breeze from the NNE at just 3 mph. Combined energy is moderate (1026). That’s very good surf conditions. By afternoon, it gets even better: glassy conditions with a light SSW breeze, and the swell settles to a clean 4ft. The water temp is about average for this time of year. This is your first standout – clean, long-period groundswell wrapping into this reef setup. Point Leo is fairly consistent and exposed to SW swells, which matches the optimum direction. Crowds are possible here sometimes, but a weekday in winter should keep it mellow.

Tuesday the 7th is more marginal. The morning has 3ft SW swell with 17-second periods and a light cross-shore wind. The energy is moderate (850), but with questionable tide conditions. Afternoon picks up a bit to 5ft but the wind turns cross-on from the SSE. It's not a total loss, but I’d aim for the morning glass-off if you’re keen.

Wednesday the 8th is a real treat, especially the afternoon. The morning has 5ft SW swell and cross-shore winds, but the afternoon switches to glassy conditions with a 7ft SW swell at an 18-second period. The combined energy jumps to strong (2951) and the forecast calls for excellent surf for experienced surfers. That’s a standout session – big, clean, long-period groundswell with no wind. Point Leo will be handling that size well, but at over 7ft it’s for experienced crew only.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th are both solid, consistent days. Thursday offers clean 5ft to 4ft SW swell with glassy or cross-off winds, and the energy stays moderate (1124 to 800). Friday holds steady at 5ft with similar conditions. Very good surf, just not the size of Wednesday, but cleaner for a bigger range of surfers.

Saturday the 11th is a write-off. Strong N winds at 22-25 mph, poor surf conditions, and a rain shower in the afternoon. The swell drops to 4ft but it’s blown out. Not worth it.

Sunday the 12th has size again, but tricky winds. Mornings see a fresh offshore WNW at 22 mph and 8ft SW swell. Combined energy is high (1912). It’s clean but windy – marginal for typical surfing. By afternoon, the wind picks up even more and the swell hits 10ft. The energy is strong (3152), but with rain showers and strong breezes, it’s rough.

Monday the 13th looks promising again. Morning offers 10ft SW swell with fresh offshore NW winds at 19 mph. Energy is very strong (4589). The afternoon is the real standout of the second week: a massive 12ft SW swell with a 19-second period, combined energy over 11403, and still fresh offshore NW winds. That’s huge, powerful, and clean – expert-only territory. This is your long-range standout, but it’s more than a week away so treat it as promising but not locked in.

Tuesday the 14th stays solid with 10ft SW swell and offshore winds, but the energy drops slightly. Still a good day for experienced surfers. Wednesday the 15th brings onshore cross-winds and rain, making the big 10ft swell messy. Not recommended.

Thursday the 16th is smaller, around 8-7ft, with moderate cross-off winds. Still clean but nothing special. Friday the 17th has a nice drop to 5ft in the morning with offshore NNW winds and moderate energy (767) – very good surf conditions again for a wider range – but the afternoon turns poor. Saturday the 18th has strong winds again. Sunday the 19th sees a short-period 8-second swell at 7ft in the morning, then a 8ft SW groundswell in the afternoon with cleaner winds.

Monday the 20th closes the window with a 10ft SW swell, fresh cross-off winds, and very strong energy (5941). It’s clean but big, for experts only, and still a week and a half out.

Overall, the best bets are: Monday the 6th for clean, manageable waves and Wednesday the 8th afternoon for a glassy, big-groundswell session. Keep an eye on Monday the 13th afternoon – if it holds, that’s a monster day for the bold.

Stay stoked.
Rusty

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