Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.3° C
0.1° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 3,684 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Fri 17th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 16s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 17th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 16s
Most Powerful 1AM (Fri 24th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s run through what’s coming up for Point Leo.

Right now, the surf is building with a solid SW groundswell carrying a lot of energy. The water temp is 56°, which is pretty average for this time of year.

The real standout is Friday 17 July. We’ve got a clean 7ft SW swell with a long 16-second period, and the combined energy is strong at 2281. Friday morning the wind is a light cross-off from the N, so the waves will be clean and well-shaped. Friday afternoon goes glassy with a light W breeze – that’s as good as it gets. This is a reef break and it’s fairly consistent, so expect a few others in the water, but it’s worth it.

Saturday 18 July is still very good, with 6ft to 5ft SW swell, period dropping to 14-13 seconds, and glassy conditions in the afternoon. Energy drops to moderate (1154 morning, 880 afternoon), but it’s clean and fun.

Sunday 19 July the swell backs off to 3ft, period 13-12 seconds, with light offshore and cross-off winds. The waves will be smaller and cleaner, good for a longboard or a beginner session.

Monday 20 July morning is a write-off – 25 km/h cross-off winds and a messy 4ft SW swell with a long 16-second period (energy 631). The long period makes this reef break better, but the wind is chewing it. Afternoon improves with a 20 km/h offshore, but the swell drops to 2ft. It’s rideable but small.

Tuesday 21 July afternoon is the pick of the midweek, with a 5ft SW swell, 13-second period, and a light offshore from the NNW. Energy is moderate at 721, and it’ll be clean. Wednesday 22 July is a mixed bag – morning is blown out with 25 km/h cross-off winds, but the afternoon turns gentle offshore with 4ft SW swell.

Now, Thursday 23 July to Friday 24 July – the swell jumps up to 8ft-10ft SW, but the wind is strong cross-off, 25-35 km/h. This is big, powerful stuff (energy 2370-3717), but it’s going to be messy and hard to paddle into. This is for experienced surfers only, and even then, the wind is a problem.

The next proper standout is Monday 27 July (over a week away). This is a big one – 10ft to 12ft SW swell, 17-second period, and a moderate offshore from the NW. The energy is massive (4951 to 7520). This is expert territory, and the waves will be thick, powerful, and clean. It’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but if it comes together, it’ll be the best of the whole run.

After that, Tuesday 28 July to Wednesday 29 July holds decent 7ft-8ft SW swell with lighter offshore winds, and energy dropping to moderate. Thursday 30 July is another big pulse with 10ft SW swell, but the wind is cross-off, so it’s not as clean.

The last few days of the run (31 July to 1 August) are a write-off. The swell is huge – 15ft-16ft – but the wind is straight onshore and cross-onshore, and the energy is extreme (over 10,000). This is not for paddle surfing. It’s more of a kite-surfing scenario if anything.

Stay safe, keep your eyes on that Monday 27 July window, and enjoy the clean Friday glass-off.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
0
2
4
2
1
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1
SW
13
1
SW
12
0.6
SW
18
1.1
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.9
WSW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.3
WSW
13
1.1
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
2
WSW
13
3
SW
11
2.5
SW
13
3
WSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2035
2241
1563
1154
880
494
311
278
197
587
226
367
437
721
563
373
400
1338
1806
2511
3684
Wind (km/h)
15
N
5
WNW
10
NNW
10
NW
5
SW
5
N
10
N
5
NNW
15
N
25
NNW
20
NNW
15
NNW
15
NNW
10
NNW
20
NNW
25
NNW
15
NW
25
WNW
30
W
40
WSW
35
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
1:53PM2.19m
1:47AM1.95m
2:38PM2.22m
2:46AM1.99m
3:20PM2.21m
3:41AM1.99m
3:58PM2.18m
4:31AM1.96m
4:35PM2.11m
5:19AM1.91m
5:09PM2.01m
6:06AM1.84m
5:43PM1.90m
Low Tide
8:00PM0.58m
8:06AM0.12m
8:50PM0.43m
8:57AM0.22m
9:37PM0.31m
9:43AM0.34m
10:20PM0.25m
10:27AM0.49m
11:01PM0.24m
11:09AM0.63m
11:41PM0.27m
11:50AM0.77m
00:20AM0.32m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:30
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:17
5:19
5:20
5:20
5:21
5:22
5:22
 mm
1
3
Temp °C
10
12
12
11
13
12
12
15
13
13
14
13
13
15
13
14
15
13
12
11
11
Feels °C
8
11
11
9
12
10
9
13
10
8
9
9
10
12
9
9
12
8
6
2
3
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Point Leo:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Point Leo surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest