Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.6° C
0.4° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 8,464 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Wed 15th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Wed 15th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 14th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

We’ve got a solid run of swell on the cards for Point Leo, a reef setup that’s pretty consistent and works best with a south-west swell. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first real action kicks off Monday afternoon, 13 July, but don’t get too excited just yet. There’s an 12ft south-west swell with a long 16-second period, and the energy is substantial (6256). Problem is, the wind is howling from the north-west at 25 mph, strong offshore. It’ll be clean but a real battle to get out. The conditions are more for the experienced crew.

Tuesday morning, 14 July, sees the swell holding at 12ft, still SW, but the wind swings west and backs off a touch to 25 mph, cross-off. It’s clean, but still a big, powerful wave. The afternoon really turns it on though – 13ft of west-south-west swell with a 15-second period, energy is pumping (11361). The wind is a fresh breeze from the west at 22 mph, but it’s cross-off and clean. This is the standout session for the whole period. If you’re a strong surfer, this is the one.

Wednesday morning, 15 July, drops to 8ft, still SW, with a 14-second period and a moderate offshore from the west-north-west at 12 mph. Clean, but it’s a bit of a drop in size. The afternoon is smaller at 8ft and cross-off, still clean.

Thursday morning, 16 July, is 7ft, SW, 14-second period, and glassy with a light cross-off. Good for a more relaxed session. The afternoon goes cross-shore, still clean but with a few ripples.

Friday, 17 July, you’ve got a 7ft SW swell in the morning, cross-off from the north, clean. Then Friday afternoon is the real magic – 8ft, 17-second period, and the wind is glassy, zero mph. That’s about as perfect as it gets for a reef. The wave will have real shape and power.

It starts to taper off over the weekend. Saturday morning, 18 July, is 6ft, still clean, but the energy is dropping. By Sunday, 19 July, we’re down to 3ft and below. There’s a bit of a lull through the middle of the week, with some small, clean waves but nothing to get excited about, just ordinary conditions.

Then, hold on – Friday, 24 July, we get a late shot. A 6ft SW swell with a very long 18-second period rolls in, and the wind is light offshore. The energy is 2255, and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. That’s your second real standout, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on it.

The run continues through Saturday, 25 July, with 5ft, but turns cross-onshore in the afternoon. By Sunday, 26 July, it’s small and messy. But then Monday, 27 July, the wind is up again, and Tuesday, 28 July, finishes with a clean 5ft from the SW with a moderate offshore.

Overall, the best of it is Tuesday afternoon, 14 July, and Friday afternoon, 17 July, for the glassy perfection. The later swell on 24 July is promising but less certain at this range. If you’re a beginner, keep clear of the bigger days – 8ft and over is expert territory here.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon afternoon, calm by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
3
8
5
7
5
4
3
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
3
2
2
1
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
16
4.5
WSW
15
3.5
SW
16
4
WSW
15
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.1
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2.2
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2.1
SW
16
2.3
SW
17
2.1
SW
16
1.7
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.2
SW
13
1
SW
12
0.9
SW
12
0.7
SW
18
1.2
WSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5973
8464
5583
6234
3883
2439
2050
1737
1983
2038
1760
2185
2947
2002
1170
804
486
301
209
316
683
Wind (km/h)
40
NW
30
NW
40
W
35
WSW
20
WNW
20
WNW
15
W
10
NW
10
W
10
SW
0
ESE
10
N
0
WNW
10
NNE
10
NNE
5
E
10
NNE
15
N
10
NNW
15
N
20
N
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:58PM1.79m
11:03AM1.99m
10:14PM1.79m
12:07PM2.07m
11:30PM1.83m
1:04PM2.14m
00:42AM1.89m
1:53PM2.19m
1:47AM1.95m
2:38PM2.22m
2:46AM1.99m
3:20PM2.21m
3:41AM1.99m
Low Tide
3:55AM0.09m
4:52PM1.00m
5:05AM0.07m
6:03PM0.89m
6:11AM0.05m
7:05PM0.74m
7:11AM0.07m
8:00PM0.58m
8:06AM0.12m
8:50PM0.43m
8:57AM0.22m
9:37PM0.31m
9:43AM0.34m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:20
5:20
 mm
2
4
1
Temp °C
15
13
13
14
12
11
13
13
12
13
12
11
12
11
12
14
14
13
15
13
13
Feels °C
7
6
6
7
8
7
10
11
11
12
10
9
11
9
11
12
12
9
12
10
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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