
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 6,963 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's look at what we've got coming up at Point Leo. It's a reef setup that's fairly consistent and works best on a SW swell, so keep that in mind.
The week starts with some serious size but tricky conditions. Tuesday the 14th is packing a punch with a solid 12ft to 13ft SW swell, but it's coming with a strong 25 mph cross-off wind. The wave energy is through the roof (9929), but that wind is going to make it messy and challenging. This is advanced territory only, and probably not the best bet for a fun session. The water temp is 57°, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.
Now, the real standout window opens up Wednesday the 15th and carries through the weekend. Wednesday morning looks excellent – we've got an 8ft SW groundswell with a lovely 14-second period, and the wind is swinging offshore from the WNW at 12 mph. The energy is still strong (2482) and the clean conditions are going to make for some epic, well-shaped lines on the reef. Wednesday afternoon is also decent, with 8ft and lighter winds, but the morning is the pick.
Thursday the 16th drops a touch in size to a still-solid 8ft, but the wind goes glassy-light and cross-shore. That long 15-second period is a dream for a point like this, and the morning will likely offer the cleanest conditions.
Friday the 17th is another top contender. We’ve got 7ft to 7ft of that long-period SW groundswell (16-17 seconds) and the wind is either light cross-off or turning glassy offshore. The energy is pumping (2910), and this is prime Leo. For experienced surfers, this might be the best slice of the whole run.
Saturday the 18th is still fun but fading. The swell drops to 6ft in the morning with clean cross-off winds, but by the afternoon, it's down to 5ft and turning onshore, so get your session in early.
From Sunday the 19th, the swell really winds down. We're looking at smaller 3ft to 4ft waves for a few days, and while the winds are okay, the energy is low and the quality drops off. The forecast then shows a bit of a lull until Wednesday the 22nd, when a fresh pulse of WSW swell pushes through. The afternoon of the 22nd looks promising, with 6ft and a gentle offshore wind, offering some clean, fun waves.
Looking further out, there's another solid pulse forecast for Thursday the 24th, with 8ft SW groundswell, but it's paired with a fresh 19-25 mph offshore wind. That's a lot of wind, even if it’s offshore, and it will be a challenge. The weekend of the 25th and 26th sees the swell drop and the wind turn onshore, so that's a miss.
Overall, the cream of the crop is Wednesday the 15th morning and Friday the 17th morning. The swell is solid, the winds are clean, and the long-period SW groundswell is going to unload on the reef. Get on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
5845 | 6963 | 3883 | 2439 | 2135 | 2004 | 2278 | 2341 | 1784 | 2009 | 2694 | 1976 | 1170 | 792 | 535 | 335 | 236 | 249 | 502 | 318 | 367 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:03AM1.99m | 10:14PM1.79m | 12:07PM2.07m | 11:30PM1.83m | 1:04PM2.14m | 00:42AM1.89m | 1:53PM2.19m | 1:47AM1.95m | 2:38PM2.22m | 2:46AM1.99m | 3:20PM2.21m | 3:41AM1.99m | 3:58PM2.18m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:52PM1.00m | 5:05AM0.07m | 6:03PM0.89m | 6:11AM0.05m | 7:05PM0.74m | 7:11AM0.07m | 8:00PM0.58m | 8:06AM0.12m | 8:50PM0.43m | 8:57AM0.22m | 9:37PM0.31m | 9:43AM0.34m | 10:20PM0.25m | ||||||||
7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | |
— | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 |
5845 | — | 3883 | 2439 | 2135 | 2004 | 2278 | 2341 | 1784 | 2009 | 2694 | 1976 | 1170 | 792 | 535 | 335 | 236 | 167 | 502 | 318 | 367 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | — | — | W 23 | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 10 | S 10 | WSW 14 |
— | — | 133 | 43 | 78 | 161 | — | — | — | 208 | 216 | 123 | — | — | 10 | 41 | 97 | 249 | 10 | 8 | 183 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | S 15 | SSW 14 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 39 | 97 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 21 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 |
4084 | 6963 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 66 | 472 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 35 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










