Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 07 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.0° C
0.3° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 8,846 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Best Surf 4PM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 13th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Right, let’s get straight into it. I’ve looked over the charts for Point Leo and over the next couple of weeks, there’s a real mixed bag coming our way. We’ve got some clean, fun waves early on, but then a bit of a wild stretch before things settle down into some proper clean lines later. The water temp is sitting at 55°F, which is about average for this time of year, so it’s not an icy shock or anything weird.

First up, Friday morning the 7th is looking like a treat. We’ve got a 5ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and the wind is light offshore from the WNW. That’s glassy, clean conditions and the energy is solid at 1332. It’s a classic Point Leo morning – the reef is going to be working with some nice, lined-up waves. The afternoon pushes it up a notch with the wind dropping to glass and the energy jumping to 1643. This is the standout session of the first week – clean, punchy, and perfect for anyone who knows their way around a reef.

Saturday the 8th is still rideable but the wind swings to a cross-off from the north, which takes a little shine off it. Swell holds at 5ft with a 16-second period, but it’s just not as crisp. And then things get ugly. Sunday the 9th brings fresh to strong northerly winds and the swell drops to 4ft. It’s poor. Monday the 10th is worse – a near gale whips up and the swell jumps to 12ft, then 15ft in the afternoon with a short 11-second period. That’s just a messy, windy ocean, a real write-off. The energy is huge, at 7683, but with that wind, it’s not for paddling. If you’ve got a kite, it might be interesting, but for a surfboard, you’re wasting your time.

After that blowtorch, things start to clean up. Tuesday the 11th has a fresh offshore wind and the swell settles back to 7ft with a 14-second period, but it’s still a bit raw. Wednesday the 12th is similar – offshore but strong, with the swell building again to 8ft by the afternoon. It’s doable but it’s a workout, and paddling out will be a battle.

The next real standout is Thursday the 13th. The swell is a solid 12ft with a 16-second period, and while the wind is cross-off, it’s clean and there’s a ton of energy in the water – 5936. This is big and powerful, definitely for experienced surfers only. It’s a proper Point Leo day when the reef really shows its teeth.

The following week is more promising but less certain. Friday the 14th morning has a clean 8ft swell and offshore wind. It looks good. But Saturday the 15th is a bit of a tease – a big 10ft, 17-second SW swell but with a light cross-onshore wind. It’s clean-ish but not perfect. The real gem looks like Sunday the 16th. The wind drops to glass and the swell is a fun 6ft with a 14-second period. That’s a magic morning, clean lines, and a much more manageable size. Energy is at 1453, so it’s got some push.

After that, it’s a bit of a downslide. Monday and Tuesday are smaller and the wind plays around with onshores. Wednesday the 19th morning has a clean 5ft swell with light cross-off winds, which should be fun on the inside, but it’s not a headline act.

So, to wrap it up: the pick of the bunch are Friday the 7th with its glassy perfection, and Sunday the 16th for a cleaner, more manageable swell. The big Thursday the 13th is for the brave hearted.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sun morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SW on Mon morning, moderate winds from the NW by Mon night).

Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
4
2
0
0
2
2
0
3
3
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.8
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
13
0.9
SW
20
3.5
WSW
19
4.5
SW
11
3
WSW
10
2
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
2
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
4
SW
17
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
3
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1219
1155
1882
1210
1074
833
485
347
620
7683
4671
1708
1602
1115
609
2161
3137
8846
5845
5134
4243
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
5
WSW
15
NNE
25
N
25
N
25
NNE
35
NNE
40
N
25
NNE
55
SW
45
WSW
30
NW
35
NNW
35
NNW
50
N
35
WNW
40
WNW
50
WSW
30
WSW
30
WNW
30
WNW
Wind State
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
5:02PM1.99m
6:11AM1.96m
5:41PM1.95m
7:08AM1.91m
6:27PM1.90m
8:14AM1.86m
7:25PM1.83m
9:29AM1.84m
8:38PM1.76m
10:44AM1.87m
10:04PM1.74m
11:50AM1.94m
11:29PM1.79m
Low Tide
11:11AM0.69m
11:36PM0.14m
11:56AM0.80m
00:23AM0.12m
12:47PM0.91m
1:19AM0.15m
1:50PM1.01m
2:24AM0.19m
3:09PM1.05m
3:38AM0.23m
4:34PM0.99m
4:54AM0.25m
5:49PM0.85m
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:15
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:11
7:09
7:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:38
5:39
 mm
2
2
4
4
1
1
9
6
Temp °C
11
12
14
14
15
13
13
13
12
12
11
11
13
13
13
11
9
11
12
12
12
Feels °C
8
10
10
9
10
8
4
5
7
1
1
5
5
5
4
2
-3
2
6
6
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Point Leo:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Point Leo surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest