Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a window of calm to start. The first real surf worth paddling out for doesn't kick in until Friday morning, the 10th of July. So, for the first day or so of the forecast, forget it.

The main event across this 16-day stretch is a sustained run of solid, long-period SW groundswell at Point Leo. It’s a reef setup, fairly consistent, and takes a SW swell best. The water is sitting at 57°F, which is about average for the time of year, so nothing crazy there.

Friday the 10th is where it starts to get interesting. You’re looking at a clean 5ft swell from the SW, with a long 15-second period. That deep-water energy is already pumping. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze, making for clean, lined-up waves. This is a solid beginner-friendly option, and the crowds are only sometimes an issue, so you can get a few.

The weekend is a write-off. Saturday the 11th has strong winds that will ruin the surface, and Sunday the 12th is just too big for most. A 10ft to 12ft SW swell with winds near gale-force? That’s a hard pass for paddle surfing. The wave energy is massive, but it’s a battle zone.

Now, the real standout window starts on Tuesday the 14th of July. This is the best on offer. We’ve got a huge 12ft swell from the SW, with a period of 15 to 16 seconds. The combined energy is over 10,000, which is a proper amount of juice. The Tuesday morning session looks best with a fresh offshore wind, so the waves will be big, powerful, and clean. This is strictly for the experienced crew. It’s a long-period groundswell, so at a point break like this, it’ll hold up nicely.

Wednesday the 15th is still solid, with 10ft to 8ft waves, but the wind turns onshore or cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. Still, there’s plenty of energy.

Things settle down towards the end of the week, but Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th of July are looking like late-period standouts. On the 23rd, we’ve got a 7ft to 8ft SW swell with a very long 17 to 18-second period and glassy conditions. The waves will be steep, clean, and powerful. Then on the 24th, the swell pumps up to 12ft, but the period drops to 10 seconds, so it’s a bit more lumpy. The morning of the 24th still has a clean offshore wind, but that afternoon is glassy. Both days are for experienced surfers only.

Overall, skip the first few days, avoid the weekend, and circle Tuesday the 14th and Thursday the 23rd as your best bets for big, clean, powerful surf.

Rusty.

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