Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 6,728 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here, breaking down the Point Leo forecast for the next couple of weeks. Let's get into it.
The water is sitting at 14°, which is bang on average for the season. Nothing weird there.
We’ve got a proper SW groundswell hitting. Tuesday the 14th is a washout – the swell is a massive 12 feet, but the wind is screaming out of the west at 40 km/h, just making a mess of it. The combined energy is a whopping 9929, but you can't surf it. That size is for experts only, and with that wind, it's a kite session.
Wednesday the 15th morning is the first real shot. The swell drops to a still hefty 8 feet from the SW, with a 14-second period. The wind switches to a clean offshore out of the WNW at 20 km/h. The reef will handle it, but at 8 feet, that's only for the experienced crew. The energy is still very strong at 2482.
The real gold is Friday the 17th afternoon. The swell is a solid 8 feet from the SW, period stretching out to 17 seconds, and the combined energy is 3287. The wind goes glassy and offshore. The reef will be offering long, clean, powerful lines. This is the standout session of the whole window.
Saturday the 18th is your best bet for a more manageable wave. The swell drops to a fun 5 to 6 feet from the SW, and we get clear skies and glassy conditions again. The combined energy is moderate (1271 in the AM, dropping to 816 in the PM), but the quality will be high. It's a great day for a paddle.
After that, the swell fades hard. From Sunday the 19th, we're looking at small waves, mostly under 3 feet, with weak energy. There are a few small windows with clean winds, like the 1.3m (5ft) on Tuesday the 21st, but it's mostly inconsistent. There's a long gap of poor conditions from the 23rd to the 25th, with strong winds. The end of the month looks a little more promising, with a bump on the 28th, but nothing to write home about.
So, mark your calendar for Friday the 17th afternoon. That 8-foot SW groundswell with glassy offshore wind is the one. The Saturday morning is the best for the rest of us.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5845 | 6082 | 4054 | 2439 | 2135 | 1947 | 1956 | 2010 | 1760 | 2009 | 2947 | 2028 | 1271 | 816 | 543 | 297 | 236 | 249 | 502 | 322 | 489 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:03AM1.99m | 10:14PM1.79m | 12:07PM2.07m | 11:30PM1.83m | 1:04PM2.14m | 00:42AM1.89m | 1:53PM2.19m | 1:47AM1.95m | 2:38PM2.22m | 2:46AM1.99m | 3:20PM2.21m | 3:41AM1.99m | 3:58PM2.18m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:52PM1.00m | 5:05AM0.07m | 6:03PM0.89m | 6:11AM0.05m | 7:05PM0.74m | 7:11AM0.07m | 8:00PM0.58m | 8:06AM0.12m | 8:50PM0.43m | 8:57AM0.22m | 9:37PM0.31m | 9:43AM0.34m | 10:20PM0.25m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — |
mm | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 5845 | — | 4054 | 2439 | 2135 | 1947 | 1956 | 2010 | 1760 | 2009 | 2947 | 2028 | 1271 | 816 | 543 | 297 | 236 | 140 | 502 | 322 | 489 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | — | — | W 23 | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 12 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 131 | 43 | 44 | 167 | — | 284 | 149 | 140 | 340 | 125 | — | — | 10 | 41 | 97 | 249 | 25 | 36 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | SW 20 | S 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 97 | 2 | 10 | 8 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | 4084 | 6082 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 66 | 455 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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