
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 12s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, SW swell with 6,535 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, your local surf reporter for Point Leo. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up over the next couple of weeks.
Right now, we’re in a bit of a rough patch. The surf is on offer, but it’s a tough start. Wednesday afternoon the 29th is a write-off – we’ve got a 13ft SW swell pumping in with a strong 21 mph cross-wind and lumpy chop. The combined energy is massive at 7534, but it’s just messy. That’s one for the kites, not the paddles.
Things start to settle Thursday morning the 30th. The swell drops to a more manageable 7ft from the SW, with a moderate 12 mph cross-offshore breeze. It’s clean, but the tide’s playing games so it’s marginal. Still, you’ll find some push – the combined energy is 1784. The water’s sitting at 56°, which is about average for this time of year, no big anomaly.
Friday the 31st is where it gets interesting. The morning brings a 5ft SW swell with a light 6 mph offshore from the NNW – clean. The afternoon goes glassy, with a 4ft SW swell and zero wind. The combined energy is 511 to 619, so it’s not huge, but the conditions are sweet. This is a solid beginner-friendly window.
Saturday the 1st of August keeps the good vibes rolling. Morning has a 4ft SW swell with a gentle cross-offshore breeze, and the afternoon offers a 6ft SW swell with a 17-second period and cross-offshore winds. The energy jumps to 2003, but it’s clean. The long period (17 seconds) means those lefthand reef lines at Point Leo will be drawing up nicely, with longer gaps between sets.
Now, Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are a bit of a mixed bag. The swell holds around 5ft to 6ft from the SW, but the wind picks up. Sunday has a fresh 19 mph north wind, and Monday morning sees a strong 25 mph offshore from the WNW – that’s clean but incredibly hard to paddle into. The combined energy is 1414 to 1875, so there’s power, but it’s a battle.
We’ve got a quiet patch from Tuesday the 4th through to Saturday the 8th. The swell drops to 3ft to 4ft, and while the wind is often offshore or cross-offshore, the energy is low (around 612 to 930). The standouts in this stretch are Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th. Wednesday morning has a 3ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period and a moderate offshore – clean, but the swell is small, better for a longboard. Thursday afternoon offers a 5ft SW swell with a 15-second period and a light offshore, energy at 1112 – that’s a real gem.
The real standout, though, is the 11th of August. Tuesday afternoon delivers a 15ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is a massive 9171. This is for experts only – over 8ft, it’s big and powerful. The reef at Point Leo will handle the long period well, but it’s going to be a serious session. The morning of the 12th is also big at 13ft, but the wind is a bit stronger.
So, to wrap it up: the best windows are Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st for clean, fun waves, and the 11th of August for the big-swell crew. The 10th of August also looks glassy with a 4ft WSW swell. Keep an eye on the long-range stuff – it’s promising but less certain.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Wed night, calm by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
3278 | 1619 | 1210 | 854 | 565 | 494 | 383 | 374 | 1858 | 2442 | 1591 | 1164 | 1109 | 1591 | 4822 | 2309 | 1167 | 469 | 483 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 10:58PM1.50m | 12:46PM1.82m | 00:05AM1.54m | 1:26PM1.90m | 1:02AM1.61m | 2:01PM1.96m | 1:51AM1.68m | 2:32PM2.01m | 2:34AM1.76m | 3:01PM2.03m | 3:15AM1.84m | 3:29PM2.04m | 3:56AM1.91m | ||||||
Low Tide | 5:41AM0.49m | 6:51PM0.98m | 6:33AM0.46m | 7:35PM0.86m | 7:19AM0.43m | 8:12PM0.73m | 8:00AM0.42m | 8:45PM0.61m | 8:38AM0.43m | 9:16PM0.49m | 9:15AM0.47m | 9:47PM0.38m | |||||||
— | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | |
mm | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 4 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 16 | — | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
3278 | 1619 | 1210 | 854 | 565 | 494 | 383 | 374 | 1858 | 2442 | 1591 | 1164 | 1109 | 1591 | — | 2309 | 1167 | 292 | 483 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | WSW 20 | — | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 24 | SW 21 |
42 | — | — | 22 | 18 | 61 | 131 | 366 | 168 | 219 | 146 | 130 | 37 | — | — | 111 | 69 | 22 | 279 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 15 |
— | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 57 | — | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | 77 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | S 9 | SW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 14 | — | — | SW 10 | SW 8 |
2171 | 165 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 24 | 4822 | — | — | 469 | 214 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 61 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 55 | 69 | 61 | 78 | 460 | 66 | 135 | 517 | 61 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










