Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 3,178 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, switching to feet and Fahrenheit for you blokes.
Point Leo’s on the radar. A reef setup that breaks fairly consistently, and it’s friendly for beginners. Water temp is about 56°, so no wetsuit drama, just average for now.
We start off slow. Friday the 28th afternoon is messy – cross-shore wind and chop, forget it. Saturday the 29th morning is your first real go. A clean 6-foot swell from the SW with a 14-second period, wind is cross-offshore from the west. Clean face, good for a paddle.
The standout of the first week is Monday the 31st morning. The swell bumps to a clean 7-foot from the SW, 14-second period, and a nice cross-offshore wind from the WNW. That’s the morning to get wet. The combined swell energy is strong at 1828, so plenty of power.
Watch out for Tuesday the 1st of September morning – swell is 6-foot but the wind is howling at 25 mph from the north. It’s clean cross-offshore, but those gusts make it a session for experienced surfers only.
Now for the second week, the real power shows up. Friday the 11th of September afternoon is a big one. Expect a 8-foot SW swell with a very long 17-second period. Wind is light from the SSW. The combined energy is massive at 4456. That’s a serious groundswell. Because it’s a long period, it might break a little too straight on the beach, but the points and reefs should handle it beautifully. That’s your big call.
Saturday the 12th morning, the swell drops to 6-foot but still holds that long 17-second period with clean cross-offshore winds. Good, but not as big as the day before.
So, for the metric guys, circle Saturday the 29th morning and Monday the 31st morning early on. And for the big one, that Friday the 11th afternoon is the power session you don’t want to miss.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Tue morning, calm by Wed night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2454 | 1958 | 1307 | 1163 | 1053 | 1103 | 1191 | 1339 | 1572 | 1572 | 2275 | 1613 | 1169 | 992 | 1512 | 1850 | 2085 | 2626 | 2202 | 2003 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:51PM1.56m | 12:50PM1.83m | 00:48AM1.69m | 1:24PM1.90m | 1:35AM1.82m | 1:55PM1.96m | 2:17AM1.95m | 2:25PM2.00m | 2:57AM2.05m | 2:56PM2.03m | 3:38AM2.11m | 3:28PM2.04m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:19PM0.93m | 6:12AM0.55m | 7:00PM0.77m | 7:00AM0.51m | 7:35PM0.60m | 7:42AM0.48m | 8:08PM0.44m | 8:21AM0.47m | 8:40PM0.29m | 8:59AM0.49m | 9:14PM0.17m | 9:36AM0.53m | 9:50PM0.08m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | |  | | |  | | |  | |  | | |
 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — |
 | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 2454 | 1958 | 1307 | 1163 | 1053 | 1103 | 1191 | 1339 | 1572 | 1572 | 2275 | 1613 | 1169 | 992 | 1512 | 1850 | 2085 | 2626 | 2202 | 2003 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | S 15 | WSW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | — | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | WSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — |
| kJ | 53 | 25 | 21 | 17 | 45 | 98 | 136 | — | 256 | 373 | 214 | 137 | 45 | 638 | 94 | 135 | 144 | 73 | 73 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 24 | — | SW 20 | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 11 | — | 16 | — | — | — | 72 | — | — | — | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 5 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 4 | NW 3 | NW 3 | SW 3 | SW 6 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 33 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 64 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 135 | 4 | 0 | 78 | 8 | 8 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 69 | 61 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 96 | 472 | 460 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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