
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 11,080 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got your surf outlook for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a run of solid swell on the go, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag with the wind. Let’s get into it.
First up, we’re looking at Point Leo – a reef break that’s fairly consistent. The water temp is sitting at 56.3°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.
The action kicks off Thursday morning, the 3rd of September. We’ve got a 9.8ft swell from the WSW with a 14-second period, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph from the west, making it cross-off. It’s clean, but the combined energy is pumping at 3509, and it’s a bit of a grunt. Hold out for the afternoon – the swell jumps to 11.5ft from the WSW, period still 14 seconds, but the wind drops a touch to 16 mph from the WSW. The energy rockets to 7648, and it’s still clean. This is big, powerful swell, and at over 8.2ft, it’s for experienced surfers only.
Friday the 4th is where it starts to get interesting. Morning session sees a 9.8ft SW swell with a long 16-second period, and the wind is a moderate 12 mph from the NNW, blowing offshore. The energy is 4891, and it’s clean. This is a standout session – long-period groundswell, offshore wind, and the break is a reef, so that long period will wrap in nicely. The afternoon is just as good: 9.8ft SW, 16-second period, and a gentle 9 mph offshore from the NW. Energy at 4733. This is the best on offer for the near-term.
Saturday the 5th turns ugly. The morning has a 7.5ft SW swell, 15-second period, but the wind is a howling 28 mph from the NW, strong offshore. It’s clean but you’ll be fighting to paddle into anything. The afternoon is a write-off with a 11.5ft WSW swell and 28 mph WNW winds – energy is 5154, but the conditions are poor. Forget it.
Sunday the 6th is a step down. Morning has a 7.2ft SW swell, 13-second period, with a 12 mph WSW cross-off. Energy at 1693, clean but nothing special. The afternoon drops to 6.9ft SW, same period, with a gentle 9 mph SW cross-shore. It’s marginal.
Monday the 7th is small. Morning has a 3.6ft SW swell, 12-second period, with a 9 mph WNW cross-off. Energy is only 397. The afternoon picks up to 7.9ft SW but with a short 8-second period and a moderate 12 mph SW cross-shore. Choppy and not worth it.
Tuesday the 8th is a return to form. Morning offers a 5.9ft SW swell, 13-second period, with a light 6 mph west cross-off. Energy is 1924, and it’s clean. The afternoon has a 4.6ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period, but a 9 mph SW cross-shore puts a bit of texture on it. The morning is the pick here.
Wednesday the 9th gets interesting. The morning has a 7.5ft SW swell, 15-second period, but a fresh 19 mph SSW cross-shore makes it lumpy. The afternoon, though – that’s a massive standout. A 11.5ft SW swell with a 21-second period, the longest period in the forecast, and the energy is a staggering 17081. The wind is a moderate 16 mph SSW cross-shore. It’s going to be a beast of a session, but at 11.5ft and cross-shore, it’s only for the experts. This is a true big-wave day.
Thursday the 10th holds size. Morning has a 11.5ft SW swell, 18-second period, with a light 6 mph SW cross-shore. Energy at 7601. The afternoon drops to 9.8ft SW, 17-second period, with a gentle cross-shore. Both are solid, but the morning with lighter wind is the call.
From Friday the 11th onwards, the swell starts to fade. The 11th has a 5.9ft SW swell, 15-second period, with a very light 3 mph ENE cross
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Sat morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 8 | SW 9 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 21 | SW 19 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
3434 | 4529 | 5280 | 4891 | 4412 | 3373 | 2359 | 5052 | 3278 | 1619 | 1374 | 773 | 379 | 762 | 734 | 1006 | 1172 | 1929 | 2329 | 9590 | 9973 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:28PM2.04m | 4:19AM2.12m | 4:02PM2.04m | 5:03AM2.09m | 4:39PM2.01m | 5:51AM2.01m | 5:21PM1.96m | 6:45AM1.91m | 6:11PM1.87m | 7:50AM1.81m | 7:15PM1.77m | 9:05AM1.76m | 8:39PM1.69m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:50PM0.08m | 10:13AM0.60m | 10:30PM0.05m | 10:53AM0.69m | 11:13PM0.07m | 11:37AM0.79m | 00:02AM0.13m | 12:28PM0.89m | 00:59AM0.24m | 1:33PM0.96m | 2:08AM0.36m | 2:56PM0.97m | 3:28AM0.44m | ||||||||
6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | |
— | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | 11 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 16 | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 21 | SW 9 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 21 | SW 19 |
75 | 4529 | 5280 | 4891 | 4412 | 3373 | 2359 | 102 | — | 1619 | 1374 | 773 | 379 | 71 | 734 | 1006 | 1172 | 1929 | 2329 | 9590 | 9973 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | WSW 20 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 22 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SW 24 | SSW 21 | SSW 21 |
— | — | — | — | 321 | 288 | 209 | — | — | 37 | 31 | 87 | 18 | 29 | 290 | 901 | 721 | 97 | 273 | 1406 | 1929 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | SSW 15 | — | — | S 21 | SW 20 | SSE 5 | SSW 17 | — | SW 24 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | 21 | — | — | 9 | 459 | 17 | 99 | — | 146 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SW 14 | NW 4 | — | — | N 4 | NW 4 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | — | W 5 | SW 8 | SW 9 | — | SSW 8 | SW 5 | SW 15 | SW 21 | SSW 6 |
3434 | 3119 | 6 | — | — | 12 | 51 | 5052 | 3278 | — | — | — | 61 | 762 | 481 | — | 39 | 38 | 1588 | 6085 | 92 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 66 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 538 | 493 | 66 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 66 | 454 | 573 | 1345 | 56 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










