Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 02 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
12.9° C
0.0° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, SW swell with 1,935 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Thu 6th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 12s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 7th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 18s
Most Powerful 1PM (Tue 4th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, it’s Rusty here. We’ve got a pretty solid run of swell heading into Point Leo over the next couple of weeks, but conditions are going to be a mixed bag. The water temp is sitting at 55° and that’s bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

We kick things off on Sunday the 2nd of August with a groundswell out of the SW at 6 feet, 16-second period, and that’s packing moderate energy (1744). The wind’s blowing a fresh 19 mph from the north though, so it’s cross-off and a bit choppy – more of a session for the dedicated, not a standout. Monday the 3rd sees offshore winds from the WNW at 22 mph, so it’ll be clean, but the swell drops to 5 feet and the energy dips to moderate (940). Tuesday the 4th bumps back up to a 8-foot SW swell in the afternoon with a shorter 11-second period and solid energy (2014), but the wind swings cross-off again with moderate breeze. Not bad, but not the pick.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday the 7th of August is the first true standout. Morning brings a 6-foot SW groundswell with a long 16-second period, and the energy is strong (2072). Winds are light offshore from the NW at 9 mph – gentle and clean. This is a reef break that's fairly consistent and works best on a SW swell, which is what we’ve got. It’s a beginner-friendly wave, but with that size and period, it’ll be more fun for the intermediates and above. The afternoon gets even better – glassy conditions with a 5-foot SW swell from the NNE at just 3 mph. That’s about as clean as it gets. Crowds can show up sometimes, so get in early.

From Saturday the 8th through Sunday the 9th, the wind picks up again and the quality drops off. There’s a gap from Monday the 10th onward where the swell really fires up – we’re looking at massive 15-foot SW and WSW swells on the 10th with energy through the roof (9817 in the morning). That’s expert-only territory, and while the wind is moderate cross-off, the sheer size and power will sort the men from the boys. Tuesday the 11th still has a 10-foot SW groundswell with offshore winds, excellent for experienced surfers. But the real question is whether the tide and wind line up – the forecast says “marginal” for many of these days, so you’ll need to pick your window.

The second week sees consistent big swell, but the wind turns onshore or strong cross-shore after the 14th, especially from the 16th and 17th with near gale-force winds. Kite surfers might fancy that, but paddle surfers will struggle.

The best bet in the whole outlook? Lock in Friday the 7th of August, especially the glassy afternoon session. That’s your standout: clean, long-period SW groundswell, light wind, and the reef should line up nicely for some proper rides.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
2
2
1
1
3
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
4
4
3
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
13
1.9
SW
12
2.3
SW
11
2
SW
11
1
SW
10
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.8
SW
12
1.1
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.9
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.7
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1591
1297
1034
940
940
792
1100
1234
947
216
453
380
206
546
649
1759
1219
1737
1225
1101
856
Wind (km/h)
30
N
30
N
30
NNW
35
WNW
35
WNW
30
WNW
25
WNW
20
WSW
30
WSW
10
SSW
20
SW
20
WSW
15
NW
10
NW
15
NNW
20
NW
5
NNE
20
NNE
25
N
30
N
40
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
off
off
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:32PM2.01m
2:34AM1.76m
3:01PM2.03m
3:15AM1.84m
3:29PM2.04m
3:56AM1.91m
3:57PM2.03m
4:37AM1.95m
4:28PM2.02m
5:22AM1.97m
5:02PM1.99m
6:11AM1.96m
5:41PM1.95m
Low Tide
8:45PM0.61m
8:38AM0.43m
9:16PM0.49m
9:15AM0.47m
9:47PM0.38m
9:52AM0.52m
10:20PM0.27m
10:30AM0.60m
10:55PM0.19m
11:11AM0.69m
11:36PM0.14m
11:56AM0.80m
00:23AM0.12m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:15
7:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:32
5:34
5:35
5:36
 mm
2
6
1
2
4
1
Temp °C
13
15
13
12
12
9
10
12
12
12
13
12
11
13
13
12
15
13
14
14
14
Feels °C
6
9
8
5
4
3
4
8
7
10
9
7
7
10
9
9
13
9
8
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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