Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 31 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.2° C
0.3° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 3,207 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Fri 31st Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 12s
Best Surf 1AM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Most Powerful 4PM (Mon 3rd Aug)10ft (3.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ down the line for Point Leo. It’s a reef setup, so it can handle a fair bit of swell, and it’s a beginner-friendly spot which is a bonus.

The water temperature is sittin’ at 56°, which is right on the money for this time of year. Feels about normal, nothin’ wild there.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first decent chance rolls in on Friday the 31st of July. The morning will see some clouds with a gentle offshore breeze from the NW at 9 mph. Swell is a clean 5 ft from the SW with a nice long period of 12 seconds, giving us moderate wave energy (592). That’s a solid start. The afternoon cleans right up with clear skies and a light WSW breeze at just 3 mph, keepin’ things glassy. Swell drops a touch to 4 ft but stays clean. This is a good, steady introduction to the period.

Saturday the 1st of August starts with clear skies and a N breeze at 9 mph. The morning swell is a little smaller at 4 ft, but the wave energy jumps up to moderate-strong (809) and the period holds at 12 seconds. By the afternoon, the swell bumps up to 6 ft with a very long period of 17 seconds. The energy really kicks in (2005), but the forecast flags tide or shape issues. That long period groundswell can make a beach setup a bit straight, but Point Leo is a reef, and that’s where it can really shine. The wind is cross-off from the NNW at 9 mph, so it’s clean. That afternoon session on the 1st is a standout for those who like a bit more juice and know the reef.

Sunday the 2nd of August sees a strong, clean cross-off wind from the N at 19 mph, with a solid 6 ft swell and a very long 16-second period. The energy is strong (1881), but those conditions are described as marginal, likely due to the tide. It’s still a wave, but not the peak of the window.

The rest of the first week into the second week gets bumpy. Monday the 3rd has moderate offshore wind but the energy drops and conditions look difficult. Nothin’ worth gettin’ too excited about until we hit Thursday the 6th. That morning shows a gentle offshore breeze from the NW at 9 mph with a small but clean 3 ft swell and a very long period of 16 seconds (519 energy). It’s a tiny wave, but glassy and clean. The afternoon gets a real nice score: clear skies, a slight air from the SW at just 3 mph, a 4 ft swell with a 15-second period (721 energy). The conditions are flagged as very good. That Thursday afternoon is another hidden gem.

Now, hold on to your boards. Friday the 7th of August morning is a true standout. Clear skies, a light N breeze at 6 mph, and a 6 ft SW swell hitting with a very long 16-second period. The energy jumps to 1712. The forecast calls it excellent for experienced surfers. The wave height is just under that expert-only threshold, but the power is serious. This is the best of the first week. The afternoon still has the swell size and period, but an ESE cross-on breeze at 6 mph puts a little crinkle on it, so get out there early.

The week of the 8th to the 14th looks blown out by strong winds and large swell. Sunday the 9th, Monday the 10th, and Tuesday the 11th all have hefty swell (7 ft to 13 ft) with very strong energy (16451 at the peak), but the wind is howlin’ at 22 to 28 mph. For a beginner break, this is white-knuckle territory. For the experienced crew, the size is there, but paddlin’ into those waves with a strong offshore holdin’ you up is a mission. A lot of this period looks better suited for kite surfing than a relaxing paddle session.

Things settle a bit by the 15th of August Saturday morning. We’ve got some clouds, a W wind at 16 mph, and an 8 ft SW swell with a 16-second period (3347 energy). That’s big, powerful, and clean. The forecast calls it marginal, likely due to the size and wind. It’s a big-boy wave, and for the experienced crew, the raw power is there, but it’s a long way off and less certain.

The best of the whole run is without a doubt Friday the 7th of August morning at Point Leo. Clean, offshore wind, a solid 6 ft groundswell from the SW with a 16-second period. That’s a session to mark on the calendar. The second pick is Thursday the 6th of August afternoon for those who like it smaller, cleaner, and glassy. For the second week, the big energy on the 10th and 14th is promising, but those distant swells and strong winds make it a coin toss. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Mon night, light winds from the WSW by Wed night).

Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
3
3
3
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
0
0
2
1
2
1
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
12
1.3
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
0.8
SW
18
1.8
SW
17
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
3
WSW
15
2.4
SW
13
3
SW
11
1.9
SW
10
1.7
SW
9
1.2
SW
10
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
0.7
SW
16
1.2
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
565
494
383
386
1837
2413
1591
1297
1034
1006
3207
1945
1941
687
447
313
632
512
252
737
1187
Wind (km/h)
15
NW
5
WSW
10
NNE
15
N
15
NNW
20
N
30
N
25
N
25
N
35
NNW
30
W
40
WNW
30
W
40
SW
25
SW
20
SW
25
SW
15
SW
10
SSW
5
SSW
10
NE
Wind State
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
1:26PM1.90m
1:02AM1.61m
2:01PM1.96m
1:51AM1.68m
2:32PM2.01m
2:34AM1.76m
3:01PM2.03m
3:15AM1.84m
3:29PM2.04m
3:56AM1.91m
3:57PM2.03m
4:37AM1.95m
4:28PM2.02m
Low Tide
7:35PM0.86m
7:19AM0.43m
8:12PM0.73m
8:00AM0.42m
8:45PM0.61m
8:38AM0.43m
9:16PM0.49m
9:15AM0.47m
9:47PM0.38m
9:52AM0.52m
10:20PM0.27m
10:30AM0.60m
10:55PM0.19m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
light rain
thunderstorm
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:22
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:32
5:34
 mm
1
1
5
4
2
2
1
1
Temp °C
10
12
11
12
14
12
13
15
13
10
11
11
12
13
12
13
12
12
13
13
12
Feels °C
8
11
10
8
10
7
6
9
8
3
4
5
6
5
7
9
7
8
10
10
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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