Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.5°C
0.8° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 9,685 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Tue 8th Sep)5.5ft (1.7m) 13s
Best Surf 4AM (Tue 8th Sep)5.5ft (1.7m) 13s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 9th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Look, we’ve only got one spot on the radar for this entire 16-day stretch, and it’s Point Leo. It’s a reef break, fairly consistent, and it’s a beginner-friendly wave. The water’s sitting at 56°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first decent window doesn’t arrive until Tuesday, the 8th of September. Monday the 7th is a write-off—cross-on winds and lumpy, messy surf. But Tuesday morning we see a shift. The swell is 4ft from the SW with a long period of 18 seconds, and the combined energy is solid at 1684. The wind is light cross-off, and the conditions are clean. It’s a good start, though the swell is still on the smaller side. Tuesday afternoon gets even better: the swell bumps up to 5ft, still SW, period at 17 seconds, and the energy is 1753. The wind goes light WSW cross-off, and it’s clean. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, but honestly, for a beginner-friendly reef, it’s a sweet spot for anyone who knows what they’re doing.

Wednesday the 9th is a giant mess. The swell jumps to 10ft and then 12ft, but it’s all cross-shore wind with lumpy chop. The energy hits 7246 and 9199, which is strong, but it’s unsurfable for most. Thursday the 10th is still big—12ft and 10ft—with cross-shore winds, so it’s marginal at best and only for the brave.

Now, the real standout is Saturday the 12th. Saturday morning we’ve got 7ft of SW swell with a 16-second period, energy at 2229, and a light NNW cross-off wind. It’s clean. But Saturday afternoon is the absolute pick of the whole forecast. The swell drops slightly to 7ft, still SW, 15-second period, energy 1790, and the wind goes glassy. Dead flat calm. That’s a dream session for a reef break, and the crowd can be an issue here sometimes, so get in early. That’s the one to circle.

Sunday the 13th is a letdown, with strong N winds and a drop in swell to 5ft, though it’s clean. The next week sees a few more pulses, but the wind is often onshore or strong. The 21st of September (Monday) looks promising again: 10ft SW swell, 16-second period, energy 4544, and a light NW offshore wind in the morning. That’s clean and big—only for the experienced crew. Tuesday the 22nd also has a 10ft SW swell with offshore NW winds, keeping it clean.

Overall, there’s a big gap of poor surf from Monday the 7th, then a slow build, but the glassy Saturday afternoon on the 12th is the undisputed best on offer. The long-range stuff around the 21st is big and clean, but less certain this far out.

Stay stoked, and I’ll see you in the water.
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
3
3
4
1
0
0
6
6
3
3
3
2
4
4
4
3
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SW
12
1.9
SW
8
1.8
SW
14
1.2
SW
18
1.4
SW
17
2
SW
16
3
SW
16
3.5
SW
18
4
SW
18
3.5
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
2.1
SW
15
2.3
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
2
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
287
416
1167
901
1172
1929
4791
8412
8461
5658
4016
2653
1855
1907
2736
2009
1715
1262
949
864
612
Wind (km/h)
35
SSW
30
SSW
10
S
15
W
10
WSW
35
SW
35
SSW
35
SSW
25
SSW
20
SW
20
SW
10
SW
10
SSW
10
SSW
5
NNE
10
NNW
5
NNW
20
N
35
N
30
N
40
N
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:11PM1.87m
7:50AM1.81m
7:15PM1.77m
9:05AM1.76m
8:39PM1.69m
10:21AM1.77m
10:13PM1.70m
11:25AM1.83m
11:35PM1.80m
12:18PM1.90m
00:41AM1.92m
1:03PM1.96m
1:34AM2.03m
Low Tide
12:28PM0.89m
00:59AM0.24m
1:33PM0.96m
2:08AM0.36m
2:56PM0.97m
3:28AM0.44m
4:22PM0.88m
4:47AM0.48m
5:34PM0.71m
5:56AM0.48m
6:30PM0.53m
6:53AM0.46m
7:17PM0.36m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:31
6:31
6:28
6:28
6:26
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
 mm
1
Temp °C
12
11
10
10
11
11
11
11
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
16
19
17
19
20
17
Feels °C
5
5
6
7
8
5
2
3
5
6
8
9
8
8
8
12
17
14
12
14
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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