Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,605 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, it’s Rusty here.
Alright, listen up. The next couple of weeks have some real potential, but you’re gonna have to be patient and pick your windows. The opening days are messy, but there’s some real gold further out, especially around the end of the month and into the first week of September. The energy in the water is solid, with combined wave energy readings mostly in the thousands (3277 to 6998) – that’s plenty of push – but the wind and conditions are the real story.
Saturday the 22nd is a write-off. The morning has a fresh W cross-off breeze at 19 mph, and while there’s a clean 7 ft SW swell at 15 seconds, the notes say it’s marginal, with questionable tide. The afternoon builds to 10 ft but it’s cross-shore and chopped up. Not worth it.
Sunday the 23rd is the first real highlight. Morning comes in with a light NNW offshore at 6 mph, and that 7 ft SW swell at 14 seconds is clean. Good for experienced surfers. But the standout is the afternoon: glassy conditions with a WNW breeze at just 3 mph. The swell drops slightly to 6 ft but it’s perfect, clean lines. That’s your first window, my friends.
Monday the 24th the swell drops to 5 ft and the wind swings cross-off. It’s clean, but the energy is weak (816-874). Not much to get excited about. Tuesday brings onshore slop and rain, forget it. Wednesday is small and cross-on, poor. Thursday the 27th afternoon is interesting – glassy again with a 4 ft SW swell, but it’s pretty small.
Now, here’s where it gets good. The big push comes at the end of the month.
Sunday the 30th is a trap. The morning has a long-period SW swell at 19 seconds, and 4 ft, but it’s cross-on and bumpy. The afternoon is a messy 10 ft with strong cross-onshore winds – that’s a full-on close-out. Avoid.
Monday the 31st is the standout of the entire period. Overnight, the wind drops to dead calm, literally 0 mph. The morning is glassy, with a clean 7 ft SW swell at 16 seconds. The energy is strong (2475), it’s well overhead, and the conditions are pristine. This is a proper groundswell with real power. This is your mission. Expect some crowd, as it’s a fairly consistent spot and this will be the day.
After that, Tuesday the 1st has a clean 8 ft SW swell in the morning with a WNW cross-off, but the breeze is moderate. The afternoon is a blown-out disaster with 22 mph onshore wind. Wednesday and Thursday are small and poor.
The second week is leaner, but hold on. Friday the 4th of September morning looks promising. There’s a 8 ft SW swell at 14 seconds with a moderate WNW offshore wind. It’s big, but it’s clean. That’s a powerful day for the experts. The weekend that follows has smaller swells with light winds, offering some clean but modest waves.
So, overall, there are two true standouts: Sunday the 23rd for the glassy perfection, and Monday the 31st for the combination of size, period, and dead calm conditions. That Monday is the pick of the lot. Stay patient, pick your sessions, and be ready when the ocean lines up.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Fri night, calm by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 17 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 19 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
2491 | 1900 | 4135 | 3261 | 1811 | 1299 | 1602 | 874 | 801 | 688 | 1037 | 865 | 1094 | 799 | 552 | 424 | 268 | 565 | 1576 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:08AM1.81m | 5:36PM1.80m | 6:53AM1.71m | 6:09PM1.70m | 7:47AM1.63m | 6:49PM1.61m | 8:56AM1.58m | 7:45PM1.52m | 10:15AM1.59m | 9:08PM1.46m | 11:22AM1.66m | 10:38PM1.48m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:37PM0.31m | 11:50AM0.87m | 00:14AM0.40m | 12:29PM0.98m | 00:57AM0.48m | 1:18PM1.08m | 1:49AM0.56m | 2:28PM1.15m | 2:54AM0.61m | 4:02PM1.16m | 4:08AM0.63m | 5:24PM1.07m | |||||||
— | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 17 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 19 |
2491 | 1900 | 4135 | 3261 | 1811 | 1299 | 1602 | 874 | 801 | 688 | 1037 | 865 | 1094 | 799 | 552 | 424 | 268 | 565 | 1576 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 8 | — | — | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | WSW 18 | SW 16 | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 22 | WSW 14 |
129 | — | — | 152 | 522 | 596 | 204 | — | 15 | 50 | 121 | 381 | — | 6 | 5 | 127 | 136 | 229 | 617 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | SW 18 | SE 5 | SSE 4 | WSW 4 | SSW 19 |
— | — | — | — | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58 | 49 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 71 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | SW 10 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NW 3 | — | — | E 3 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | — | — | WNW 2 | — | — |
16 | 1377 | 2863 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | — | 5 | 7 | 16 | — | — | 1 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 62 | 66 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











