Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with 2,434 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Point Leo. We’ve got a solid run of south-west groundswell on the way, but you’ll want to pick your windows carefully because the wind is going to be a bit of a mixed bag.
The water temperature is sitting at 56°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real standout arrives Sunday the 23rd of August. Afternoon glass-off with a 6ft SW swell coming in at 13 seconds. The combined swell energy is strong at 1793, and with that light north-west wind going glassy, it’s going to be clean and lined up. This is the pick of the first few days for sure.
Monday the 24th is a write-off with strong northerly winds. Tuesday the 25th has a bit of morning rain and cross-on wind, but Tuesday afternoon turns glassy again with a 5ft SW, 13-second swell. Combined energy is 1102, so moderate to strong, and it’ll be worth a sneaky late session.
Wednesday the 26th is messy with cross-shore wind, so keep the board on the rack.
Now, get ready for this. Friday the 28th of August is the absolute standout of the whole outlook. Morning starts with a 5ft SW swell and a very long 18-second period, combined energy of 2058, and clean north-west offshore wind. That’s a proper groundswell with serious push. Then Friday afternoon gets even better: 6ft SW, 17 seconds, combined energy 2169, and glassy conditions. This is the session you plan your week around. Point Leo is a reef break, so that long-period energy will wrap in beautifully.
Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th keep the goods coming. Saturday morning has 5ft SW with offshore wind and clean conditions. Sunday morning is 6ft with cross-offshore wind, still clean and a strong 1558 energy. Sunday afternoon pushes up to 7ft, but picks up a cross-shore wind and some chop, so it’s not as clean.
Monday the 31st through Tuesday the 1st of September holds excellent surf for experienced surfers. Both mornings have offshore wind and swell around 7ft, energy around 1800-1900. This is powerful, consistent reef-firing swell. Not for beginners at all, but if you’ve got the skills, it’s a feast.
Wednesday the 2nd of September starts with a crazy 40 km/h north-northwest wind in the morning – a skip for sure – but the afternoon cleans right up with offshore wind and a 5ft SW swell.
The run carries on with lower energy after that, and by the 4th of September, we get a 10ft WSW swell, but it’s riding on a short 10-second period and lined up with gusty winds. That’s messy and big, more of a challenge than a pleasure.
From the 5th of September onwards, we’re looking at gale-force winds and big, confused swell. Wave energy peaks at 5762 on the Saturday afternoon, but with those winds it’s blown out and dangerous. This stretch is for kite surfers only, if anyone. Paddling into an 12ft SW swell with 50 km/h winds is asking for trouble.
Wrap it up: Friday the 28th of August is the clear winner – head high, long-period, glassy conditions, and clean. Get on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
1197 | 1602 | 874 | 715 | 643 | 892 | 721 | 1079 | 799 | 905 | 732 | 389 | 440 | 753 | 1367 | 2111 | 1449 | 1016 | 731 | 552 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | off | glassy | off | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:09PM1.70m | 7:47AM1.63m | 6:49PM1.61m | 8:56AM1.58m | 7:45PM1.52m | 10:15AM1.59m | 9:08PM1.46m | 11:22AM1.66m | 10:38PM1.48m | 12:12PM1.74m | 11:51PM1.56m | 12:50PM1.83m | 00:48AM1.69m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:57AM0.48m | 1:18PM1.08m | 1:49AM0.56m | 2:28PM1.15m | 2:54AM0.61m | 4:02PM1.16m | 4:08AM0.63m | 5:24PM1.07m | 5:16AM0.60m | 6:19PM0.93m | 6:12AM0.55m | 7:00PM0.77m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | |
5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 13 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
1197 | 1602 | 874 | 715 | 643 | 892 | 721 | 1079 | 799 | 905 | 732 | 389 | 440 | 509 | 1367 | 2111 | 1449 | 1016 | 731 | 552 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | S 15 | — | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 22 | SW 20 | WSW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 15 | — | SW 20 |
596 | — | — | 15 | 50 | 51 | 381 | — | 4 | — | 91 | 76 | 119 | 753 | 630 | 58 | 49 | 17 | — | 66 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 23 | SW 22 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 73 | 38 | 61 | — | — | — | — | 40 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | — | — | — | SW 4 | SW 6 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 5 | SW 5 |
— | 8 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | 11 | 86 | 694 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 35 | 49 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 61 | 10 | 300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











