Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at Point Leo.

First up, water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is only about 1°F warmer than the long-term average for this time of year, so nothing out of the ordinary there—just your standard cool Spring water.

We’ve got a bit of a wait for the real good stuff. The early part of the window is a bit of a write-off. Saturday the 5th sees a lumpy 7ft SW swell but with a strong 25 mph WNW cross-off wind, it’s messy and the combined energy is a hefty 2299 but the score is low. Sunday the 6th is a little better with a 8ft SW swell and lighter winds, but still not clean enough to get excited about. Monday the 7th is a total dud with small, choppy, poor surf.

We’ve got a proper gap of poor conditions until Tuesday the 8th morning. That’s the first real standout. The swell drops to 4ft, but it’s a long-period 18-second groundswell from the SW, and the combined energy is a solid 1753. More importantly, the wind is a gentle 9 mph W cross-off, so the surface is clean. This is a classic reef setup and that long period will really wrap in nicely. It’s an excellent surf for experienced surfers, but with that period, it’s going to be lined up and powerful. The bigger sets will be well overhead for a beginner.

Wednesday the 9th gets wild. The swell jumps to a massive 12ft from the SW, with a 16-second period. The combined energy skyrockets to 5811 in the morning and 9924 in the afternoon. That’s some serious juice. But the wind is barking at 19-22 mph cross-shore, so it’s a lumpy, windy mess. This is strictly for the experts only, and honestly, with that much wind and size, it might be more interesting for the kite crew than paddle surfers.

Thursday the 10th is the next big highlight. The size is still 12ft from the SW, but the wind drops to a moderate 12 mph cross-off, cleaning it up nicely. The combined energy is still massive at 8918. This is big, powerful, and clean—a proper session for the experienced crew. The morning window is the best on offer for this week.

After that, the swell slowly backs off. Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th are both surfable with 7-8ft SW swells, clean conditions, and light winds. Saturday afternoon actually gets a glassy offshore breeze from the NNW, which is a dream for Point Leo. The combined energy is still a strong 2111. This is a solid, fun day for intermediate to advanced surfers.

Moving into the second week, the standout is Thursday the 17th. The swell is a solid 10ft from the SW, with a 16-second period, and the combined energy is 4913. But the wind is absolutely glassy—3 mph SW in the morning, then dead calm 0 mph in the afternoon. This is as good as it gets: clean, long-period groundswell, perfect conditions. It’s big, so it’s for experts, but the quality is through the roof. Later in the day on the 17th, the swell drops to 8ft but the glassy conditions hold. This is the best session of the entire 16-day window.

The tail end of the forecast gets windy again. Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th are blown out by strong offshore winds (28 mph NNW), making the paddle-out a real struggle even if the waves are clean. Sunday the 20th sees a 10ft SW swell with fresh offshore winds, but it’s a bit of a wild card.

So, the standout session is Thursday the 17th. That glassy, 10ft, 16-second SW groundswell at Point Leo is a rare treat. The secondary pick is Thursday the 10th morning for the big, clean, powerful surf. Keep your eyes on the long-range forecast for the 17th—it’s promising but a bit far out, so don’t book the day off just yet.

Rusty.

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