Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 16s period, SW swell with 2,761 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mates, let’s talk Point Leo. We got a solid run of swell on the way for this little reef, but you gotta be patient through a bit of a slow start.
It’s a no-go on Wednesday, 19 August. Dirty wind and poor conditions, so keep the stick in the car.
The first real window is Thursday, 20 August. We see a clean 2ft SW groundswell with a long 18-second period and a nice offshore wind from the NW. The energy is moderate, and the waves will be small and lined up. Great for the learners. Water temp is 55°, which is about normal for this time of year.
Friday, 21 August steps it up. Swell hits 4ft from the SW, period stays long at 15 seconds. By the afternoon, the wind is a light offshore, and the wave energy is getting proper. A solid afternoon session on the cards.
Saturday, 22 August is the big standout for the experts. We’re looking at 8ft of SW swell, a 15-second period, and moderate offshore wind. The energy is pumping hard. If you’re experienced, this is the day to be in the water. The afternoon goes glassy with a 16-second period – pure quality.
Sunday, 23 August keeps the goods coming with 7ft to 7ft of swell. Sunday afternoon is a glassy dream. Offshore wind, clean lines, and solid power. This is the best of the best for the experienced crew.
The surf drops off from Monday, 24 August into the middle of the week, with onshore winds making a mess of things. A few small, clean windows pop up, but nothing to write home about.
Friday, 28 August sees a big jump in size again to 8ft from the WSW, with a very long 17-second period and massive energy. But the wind is messy, creating a lumpy, cross-chop. This one is for the hardcore guys, though a kite surfer might have a ball.
The weekend of 29 August stays big but bumpy, with cross-shore winds. Not the cleanest Point Leo we love.
Looking into the second week, Monday, 31 August offers a clean 3ft groundswell with an 18-second period and light offshore winds. A fun, clean option.
Tuesday, 1 September brings 6ft of clean SW swell, great for the advanced crew.
So, if you’re an experienced surfer, lock in Saturday 22 August and Sunday 23 August as your top picks. For the beginners, Thursday 20 August and Monday 31 August are your best bets for a clean, manageable session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Wed afternoon, light winds from the W by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 251 | 236 | 217 | 157 | 222 | 219 | 693 | 947 | 2284 | 2725 | 2390 | 2263 | 1633 | 1639 | 1622 | 886 | 676 | 639 | 951 | 1645 | 1513 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 4:01PM2.07m | 4:48AM1.99m | 4:33PM1.99m | 5:28AM1.90m | 5:04PM1.90m | 6:08AM1.81m | 5:36PM1.80m | 6:53AM1.71m | 6:09PM1.70m | 7:47AM1.63m | 6:49PM1.61m | 8:56AM1.58m | 7:45PM1.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:03AM0.53m | 10:25PM0.18m | 10:39AM0.64m | 11:01PM0.23m | 11:15AM0.75m | 11:37PM0.31m | 11:50AM0.87m | 00:14AM0.40m | 12:29PM0.98m | 00:57AM0.48m | 1:18PM1.08m | 1:49AM0.56m | 2:28PM1.15m | 2:54AM0.61m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  |  | | | |  | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — |
mm | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 251 | 236 | 217 | 147 | 154 | 175 | 693 | 947 | 2284 | 2725 | 2390 | 2263 | 1633 | 1639 | 1622 | 886 | 676 | 639 | 951 | 206 | 174 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SE 7 | SW 20 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 61 | 46 | 47 | 219 | 98 | 460 | 115 | 85 | 77 | 118 | 595 | 28 | 25 | 18 | 60 | 81 | 175 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | ESE 7 | SW 18 | SW 17 | WSW 7 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | — | — | SW 21 | S 20 | S 18 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 9 | 10 | 5 | 157 | 222 | 10 | 26 | — | — | — | — | 35 | 31 | — | — | 18 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | W 4 | W 7 | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 12 | 28 | 9 | 18 | 2 | 19 | 107 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 723 | 1645 | 1513 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 102 | 58 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 52 | 53 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 61 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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