
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,571 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next stretch of surf for Point Leo. It’s a reef break, fairly consistent, but this outlook’s a bit of a mixed bag—there’s some proper size coming, but the wind’s going to mess with a few of those days. The water’s sitting at 57° right now, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.
The first real window opens up on Saturday the 12th. Friday afternoon’s looking marginal, but the weekend starts clean. Saturday morning you’ve got a 7ft SW swell ticking in at 16 seconds, cross-off light breeze, proper clean lines. The afternoon goes even better—glass, dead calm, 7ft SW at 15 seconds, and the energy’s still solid. That’s your first standout, no doubt. Sunday drops a bit in size but still fun, until the wind kicks up and makes it messy by the afternoon.
Monday the 14th is small, around 3ft, and mostly clean early but the wind swings cross-shore and kills it by the arvo. Then Tuesday the 15th is the one where it gets serious—Tuesday morning the swell jumps to 8ft, but the wind is 22 mph cross-off, and then the afternoon brings rain and 25 mph cross-shore with 12ft of swell. That’s not surfable, that’s just chaos. Wednesday the 16th is all cross-onshore and choppy with 10ft—unless you’re into paddle battles, give it a miss.
Thursday the 17th could be a sneaky one. The morning’s 7ft with a clean cross-off, but the afternoon looks better—6ft, light cross-off, and the call is for very good surf. That’s a solid pick. Friday the 18th brings fresh offshore winds, 7ft SW at 16 seconds, plenty of push but the winds are a bit strong. It’s still clean, but not glassy.
The following week is where it gets interesting. Sunday the 21st has a juicy 8ft SW at 16 seconds in the afternoon, with a light cross-off wind—that’s excellent for experienced surfers, another standout for sure. Then Monday the 22nd goes big again, 12ft, but the wind is fresh cross-off in the morning and cross-shore in the afternoon. That’s expert-only territory. Wednesday the 23rd is blown out, and Thursday the 24th is a smaller, cleaner day around 5ft with offshore winds.
The end of the run settles into a more relaxed rhythm. Saturday the 26th has 5ft SW at 15 seconds, light offshore in the morning—clean and fun, a good way to close it out if you missed the bigger stuff.
So, the pick of the lot is Saturday the 12th for the glassy afternoon session, and Sunday the 21st for the bigger, cleaner swell. Everything else, you’re working around the wind. Point Leo’s a reef, so those longer period swells should shape up nicely—just be mindful of the bigger days, they’re not for the faint-hearted.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon night, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
3077 | 2295 | 1882 | 1381 | 1006 | 927 | 598 | 357 | 290 | 130 | 1723 | 4766 | 4950 | 3777 | 3352 | 2597 | 1804 | 1244 | 1119 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:35PM1.80m | 12:18PM1.90m | 00:41AM1.92m | 1:03PM1.96m | 1:34AM2.03m | 1:42PM2.01m | 2:20AM2.11m | 2:19PM2.03m | 3:01AM2.13m | 2:54PM2.02m | 3:39AM2.11m | 3:27PM1.98m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:56AM0.48m | 6:30PM0.53m | 6:53AM0.46m | 7:17PM0.36m | 7:41AM0.46m | 7:58PM0.23m | 8:23AM0.48m | 8:37PM0.16m | 9:01AM0.52m | 9:13PM0.14m | 9:37AM0.57m | 9:47PM0.17m | |||||||
— | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 15 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
3077 | 2295 | 1882 | 1381 | 1006 | 927 | 598 | 357 | 290 | 130 | 357 | — | — | 3777 | 3352 | 2597 | 1804 | 1244 | 1119 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 8 | — |
434 | 280 | 144 | 93 | 128 | 45 | 22 | 15 | 37 | 111 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 72 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | S 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | N 3 | NNW 3 | WSW 4 | WSW 6 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 1723 | 4766 | 4950 | 2577 | 2173 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 78 | 78 | 78 | 768 | 273 | 300 | 10 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










