Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,523 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the cards for Point Leo, kicking off this Friday morning and stretching right through the 16-day window, with a few gaps where the conditions get too wild to recommend. The standout is going to be this Friday and Saturday, so let’s dive in.
Friday, 17 July – The session starts with a clean 6.9ft SW swell rolling in, with a very long 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, and it’s packing a meaty 2281 units of combined energy – moderate to strong stuff. Wind is a light cross-off N breeze at 6 mph, making for excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers. This is a reef break, so that long period will bend beautifully around the point. Water temperature is 55.9°, which is about normal for this time of year – no real anomaly there. Friday afternoon turns glassy with a W breeze at 3 mph, same swell size, same long period, and energy up to 2381. That’s the pick of the day – glassy, clean, and powerful. Biggest call: this is the best on offer. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.
Saturday, 18 July – Swell drops a touch to 5.6ft, still a nice 14-second period, energy at 1154. Morning has a NW offshore wind at 6 mph, clean and lined up. Afternoon goes glassy again with a WSW breeze at 3 mph, swell at 5.2ft, 13-second period, energy 880. Very good conditions for a range of surfers, still pretty solid for intermediate crew.
Sunday, 19 July – Swell backs off to 3.6ft, period 13 seconds, energy 419. Light cross-off winds of 6 mph in the morning, then 3 mph in the afternoon. Clean but smaller – good for a longboard or a fun fish.
Monday, 20 July – Swell picks up again to 3.6ft but with a 16-second period, energy 613. Morning has a moderate offshore NNW wind at 12 mph, making it clean. Afternoon the swell shifts to WSW at 3.3ft, period 15 seconds, energy 719, but wind goes cross-off. Still clean, but the wind is a bit stronger.
Tuesday, 21 July – Morning is smaller with a 3.9ft SW swell, 14-second period, energy 589, but cross-off winds at 12 mph. Not the best. Afternoon though, the swell bumps to 5.2ft, period 13 seconds, energy 867, with a gentle cross-off breeze. That’s a nice clean session.
Wednesday, 22 July – Morning has a 3.9ft SW swell, 12-second period, energy 414, with a moderate offshore NW wind at 16 mph – clean but a bit chunky. Afternoon steps up to 5.6ft WSW, 12-second period, energy 838, with a gentle offshore NW breeze. That afternoon looks good.
Thursday, 23 July – Morning gets a 7.5ft SW swell, 14-second period, energy 2066, but winds are onshore SW at 12 mph, creating a cross-chop. Not great. Afternoon drops to 6.9ft, same direction, period 14 seconds, energy 1615, with a cross-off WSW wind at 16 mph – still clean enough for the more experienced.
Friday, 24 July – This is a big one, but it’s for experts only. Swell hits 9.8ft, 14-second period, energy 3048 in the morning and a
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2035 | 2241 | 1563 | 1154 | 880 | 494 | 364 | 236 | 197 | 587 | 461 | 437 | 589 | 867 | 594 | 414 | 835 | 1259 | 2024 | 1615 | 1564 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 1:53PM2.19m | 1:47AM1.95m | 2:38PM2.22m | 2:46AM1.99m | 3:20PM2.21m | 3:41AM1.99m | 3:58PM2.18m | 4:31AM1.96m | 4:35PM2.11m | 5:19AM1.91m | 5:09PM2.01m | 6:06AM1.84m | 5:43PM1.90m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:00PM0.58m | 8:06AM0.12m | 8:50PM0.43m | 8:57AM0.22m | 9:37PM0.31m | 9:43AM0.34m | 10:20PM0.25m | 10:27AM0.49m | 11:01PM0.24m | 11:09AM0.63m | 11:41PM0.27m | 11:50AM0.77m | 00:20AM0.32m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | |  | |  |  | | | | |
 | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — |
 | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | NW 4 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 2035 | 2241 | 1563 | 1154 | 880 | 494 | 364 | 236 | 167 | 587 | 461 | 437 | 589 | 867 | 594 | 414 | 3 | 1259 | 2024 | 1615 | 1564 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | W 4 | WSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | E 10 | — | — | SSW 15 | — | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 246 | 140 | 80 | — | — | — | 16 | 60 | 197 | 1 | 249 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 42 | — | 144 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | SE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 39 | 75 | 20 | 25 | 9 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NNW 2 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | WSW 12 | — | — | — | WNW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 835 | — | — | — | 19 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 10 | 66 | 61 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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