Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 04 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.2° C
0.4° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with 4,934 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 6th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 13s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Most Powerful 7PM (Mon 10th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look what’s comin’ for Point Leo.

This is a solid run of swell for the reef, but you’ve gotta be patient. The next few days are messy—Tuesday and Wednesday are a write-off with rain showers and cross-off winds making for marginal, questionable conditions, even though there’s a bit of energy around (1986 and 625 combined energy). The water’s sitting at about 56°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, nothin’ weird there.

Thursday morning (6th August) sees a switch: a clean NNW offshore breeze kicks in at 16 mph, and you’ve got a 3ft SW groundswell with a 12-second period—not huge but the wind’s good. The energy’s moderate at 412, and it’s clean. Still, the wave size is small, so don’t get too excited yet.

Now, Friday 7th August is where it starts to cook. Morning has a light W cross-off at 6 mph and a 5ft SW swell, period 15 seconds—proper groundswell. Energy jumps to 1423, so there’s some push. But the real standout is Friday afternoon: glassy conditions, WSW wind at just 3 mph, the same 5ft SW swell, and 1546 combined energy. That’s clean, lined-up reef surf for experienced surfers. It’s the best on offer in the first week—worth a session.

Saturday (8th) and Sunday (9th) fade off—Sunday is hammered by 28–31 mph north winds and only 0–1 scores. Avoid it.

Then the second week kicks in, and this is a big one for the crew who know what they’re doing. Monday 10th August morning: 7ft SW groundswell, 19-second period—very long period—and a strong NW offshore at 22 mph. Energy is a massive 3208. It’s gonna be powerful and clean but only for experts. By Monday afternoon, the swell bumps to 8ft WSW at 17 seconds, energy 7477. This is serious.

The real standout of the whole outlook, though, is Wednesday 12th August. Morning has a 15ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period—absolute beast—and a near-gale NW offshore at 31 mph. Energy is 12585. Afternoon drops slightly to 13ft WSW, 16 seconds, energy 15709. That’s huge wave energy and punchy, but the wind is near gale offshore—only the most experienced should even look at it. For experts only, and even then, paddling in will be a mission.

The swell hangs around through to the 19th, but the winds get tricky. Thursday 13th and Friday 14th still have good offshore winds and 10–12ft SW groundswell—solid but still big. By the weekend of 15th–16th it drops to a more manageable 5–8ft, and the winds ease off to light offshore or cross-off. That Sunday 16th afternoon has a 7ft SW, 16-second period, and 1981 energy—clean and more user-friendly for the strong intermediate.

One thing to note: with all this long-period SW groundswell, especially 15–19 seconds, Point Leo is a reef, and that’s a good thing—it’ll handle the long-period lines better than a beachie. The sets will be spaced out, making paddling out easier between bombs.

Overall, if you’re experienced, Friday 7th afternoon is your clean, glassy window for a solid 5ft. If you’re an expert hungry for size, Wednesday 12th is the big daddy—massive energy (15709) but only if you’re comfortable in freight-train territory.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Thu morning, light winds from the WNW by Fri morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, near gales from the N by Sun morning).

Tue
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
2
3
2
1
2
4
4
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
4
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
12
1.8
SW
10
1.3
SW
10
0.6
SW
19
1.3
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
18
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.4
SW
15
2.1
SW
19
2.5
WSW
17
2.5
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1208
680
355
284
609
244
411
522
1251
1074
742
1350
1267
928
573
471
827
3065
4425
3531
Wind (km/h)
25
WSW
20
WSW
20
WSW
20
WSW
15
WNW
25
NNW
25
NW
25
W
10
W
5
WSW
15
NNE
20
N
25
N
25
NNE
45
N
50
N
45
WNW
35
NW
30
WNW
40
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
High Tide
3:56AM1.91m
3:57PM2.03m
4:37AM1.95m
4:28PM2.02m
5:22AM1.97m
5:02PM1.99m
6:11AM1.96m
5:41PM1.95m
7:08AM1.91m
6:27PM1.90m
8:14AM1.86m
7:25PM1.83m
Low Tide
9:47PM0.38m
9:52AM0.52m
10:20PM0.27m
10:30AM0.60m
10:55PM0.19m
11:11AM0.69m
11:36PM0.14m
11:56AM0.80m
00:23AM0.12m
12:47PM0.91m
1:19AM0.15m
1:50PM1.01m
2:24AM0.19m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:18
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:13
7:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:32
5:32
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
 mm
3
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
2
2
Temp °C
12
11
12
12
12
9
12
12
12
13
12
15
15
13
13
12
11
11
11
11
Feels °C
7
7
8
8
8
3
7
6
9
11
9
10
9
8
2
1
5
3
4
3
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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