Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 08 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.7° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 8,956 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Fri 11th Sep)7.5ft (2.3m) 15s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 11th Sep)7.5ft (2.3m) 15s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 9th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Point Leo.

We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way, but the wind is going to be the main character in this story. The water is sitting at 56.1°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so nothing to shock the system.

The first real action kicks off on Tuesday morning, the 8th of September. A long-period SW groundswell is rolling in at 3.9ft, with a period of 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy is up at 1684 (moderate). The wind is a light W at 9 mph, which is cross-offshore, and it’s clean. This is a great window for experienced surfers. The reef at Point Leo will handle that long period well, and the conditions will be clean. The swell is a bit small, but the quality will be there.

By Tuesday afternoon, it’s a bit more size at 4.6ft, but the wind swings SW, becoming a cross-shore, and the forecast mentions questionable tide. It’s a step down.

Wednesday, the 9th, is a big jump in power. The morning sees 9.8ft of SW swell, but the wind is screaming from the SSW at 22 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. The combined energy hits 6975 (strong). That’s too big for beginners, and with that wind, it’s a poor surf call. The afternoon is worse, with 11.5ft and 13501 energy (very strong), but still windy and messy. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddling one.

Thursday, the 10th, is similar. Swell hangs around 9.8ft, wind is a moderate 12 mph from the SW, but it’s a cross-shore chop. The energy is still strong (6058 in the morning, 4440 in the afternoon), but the quality is marginal. Tough conditions.

Now, here’s the standout. Friday morning, the 11th of September. The swell drops to 6.9ft, a much cleaner size. The wind goes light, WSW at 3 mph, cross-offshore, and the forecast says “excellent” for experienced surfers. The period is 14 seconds, solid groundswell, and the combined energy is 1736 (moderate). This is the pick of the first week. Clean, manageable size, and the reef will make the most of it.

Saturday morning, the 12th, is also a cracker. Swell is 7.2ft, wind is 3 mph from the NNW, cross-off, and clean. The afternoon gets even better with glassy conditions and 6.6ft swell. Both sessions are excellent for experienced surfers.

Sunday, the 13th, the wind picks up again from the north at 19 mph. The swell is 5.2ft, and while it’s cross-offshore, that fresh breeze will make it a bit of a battle. Not hopeless, but not the best.

Monday, the 14th, we see the swell dropping fast. Morning is 3.6ft with a 16 mph offshore wind from the NW. It’s clean, but the size is small. Afternoon is only 3.0ft.

Tuesday, the 15th, the swell jumps back to 6.6ft, but the wind is a cross-shore from the SW at 16 mph, creating a chop. The period is short (10 seconds in the morning). Poor conditions.

The next real highlight is Wednesday morning, the 16th of September. Glassy conditions, 6.9ft of SW swell at 13 seconds, and the combined energy is 2045 (moderate). It’s clean, but still a size that’s best for experienced surfers.

Thursday, the 17th, has a good window in the afternoon. Swell is 5.6ft, wind is offshore from the NW at 12 mph, and the forecast says “very good.” The morning is a bit windier.

Friday, the 18th, sees a similar story. The morning has light rain and a 16 mph cross-offshore wind, but the afternoon is better with offshore winds at 12 mph and 4.9ft swell. Good for a session.

Saturday, the 19th, is another solid day. The morning has gentle offshore winds from the NW at 9 mph, 6.2ft swell, and the forecast says “very good.” The afternoon is cross-offshore and clean.

Sunday, the 20th, the swell is 6.9ft in the morning, clean with a cross-offshore wind, but the afternoon turns cross-shore and choppy.

Monday, the 21st

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue night, min 9°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue night, calm by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, strong winds from the NNW by Sun night).

Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
2
0
6
0
3
3
3
4
3
4
4
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
18
1.4
SW
17
2
SW
16
3
SW
16
3.5
SW
18
3.5
SW
18
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
2.1
SW
15
2.4
SW
16
2.2
SW
16
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
0.9
SW
13
2
SW
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
901
1172
1929
4569
8082
8131
5408
4016
2653
1736
1933
2865
2266
1715
1480
1105
891
543
471
295
363
Wind (km/h)
15
W
15
SW
30
W
35
SSW
30
SSW
20
SSW
20
SW
20
SW
10
SW
5
WSW
10
SSW
5
NNE
5
NNW
5
ESE
15
N
30
N
30
N
40
N
25
NW
20
WSW
35
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
7:15PM1.77m
9:05AM1.76m
8:39PM1.69m
10:21AM1.77m
10:13PM1.70m
11:25AM1.83m
11:35PM1.80m
12:18PM1.90m
00:41AM1.92m
1:03PM1.96m
1:34AM2.03m
1:42PM2.01m
2:20AM2.11m
Low Tide
1:33PM0.96m
2:08AM0.36m
2:56PM0.97m
3:28AM0.44m
4:22PM0.88m
4:47AM0.48m
5:34PM0.71m
5:56AM0.48m
6:30PM0.53m
6:53AM0.46m
7:17PM0.36m
7:41AM0.46m
7:58PM0.23m
clear
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:31
6:31
6:28
6:28
6:26
6:24
6:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
 mm
1
Temp °C
10
11
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
12
12
16
19
17
20
21
18
18
16
13
Feels °C
7
8
6
2
3
5
6
7
9
8
9
10
13
18
14
15
16
13
13
11
6
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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