Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.3°C
0.7° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,810 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sun 30th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 13s
Best Surf 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sat 5th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Rusty here, let’s check the forecast.

Alright, we’ve got a consistent run of SW groundswell incoming for Point Leo over the next couple of weeks. The water temp is about 56°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year. The wave energy is strong, over 1300 in those early sessions and climbing.

The best early call is Saturday morning, the 29th. Still a few days out, but it’s shaping up. Expect a 6 ft swell from the SW, a 14-second period, and a light W wind, making for a clean cross-off. The energy is solid (1327). Nice and clean for the beginner-friendly reef.

The first true standout is Monday morning, the 31st. The swell bumps up to 7 ft from the SW, with a 14-second period. A light W wind at 6 mph keeps it glassy. Energy jumps to 1828. That’s good, powerful surf, but over 5 ft it’s starting to get a bit much for the less experienced. It’s fairly consistent, and crowds are only “sometimes” an issue, so early birds could snag some empty waves.

The next one to circle is Wednesday afternoon, the 2nd of September. You’re looking at a 7 ft SW swell with a 15-second period and a light WSW breeze at 9 mph, giving a clean cross-off. Energy is 1863. This is the sweet spot for the intermediate to advanced surfer at this break.

Heading into the second week, the big one is Wednesday afternoon, the 9th of September. We’ve got a 10 ft swell from the WSW and a very long 17-second period, with a light W wind around 6 mph. The energy is massive, hitting 9180. This is serious, expert-only territory. That long-period energy will focus right on the reef, producing some heavy, powerful sets. This is the standout of the whole forecast.

The morning of Thursday the 10th is also a solid expert session, with a 10 ft SW swell and a 15-second period under a light WNW breeze. Energy is 4002. The morning of the 12th of September also offers a 10 ft SW swell, but with a shorter 12-second period, so expect a bit more walled-up, dumpy shape.

There’s a real rough patch from the morning of the 5th through to the 8th. That’s four days of strong winds and messy conditions – best to sit that one out. Then it cleans right up again.

So the best on offer: the morning of the 31st of August for clean, fun-size swell that the experienced crew will love, and the afternoon of the 9th of September for a proper, heavy-duty groundswell for experts only. Get out there.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Tue morning, light winds from the WSW by Wed afternoon).

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
3
4
3
4
1
2
3
2
2
3
3
5
4
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.5
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
1.9
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
2.1
SW
14
2
SW
14
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.9
SW
15
2.5
WSW
14
2.5
SW
14
3
WSW
14
2.5
SW
14
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1307
1163
744
1103
1210
1438
1595
1572
2247
1474
1062
978
1187
1542
2515
2803
3480
2573
2614
2238
1669
Wind (km/h)
15
W
20
SW
15
W
15
WNW
15
SW
15
W
10
WNW
10
SW
15
N
35
NNW
30
NNW
25
NW
15
W
20
SW
30
NW
30
NW
25
WNW
15
WNW
30
N
35
NNW
45
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
12:50PM1.83m
00:48AM1.69m
1:24PM1.90m
1:35AM1.82m
1:55PM1.96m
2:17AM1.95m
2:25PM2.00m
2:57AM2.05m
2:56PM2.03m
3:38AM2.11m
3:28PM2.04m
4:19AM2.12m
4:02PM2.04m
Low Tide
7:00PM0.77m
7:00AM0.51m
7:35PM0.60m
7:42AM0.48m
8:08PM0.44m
8:21AM0.47m
8:40PM0.29m
8:59AM0.49m
9:14PM0.17m
9:36AM0.53m
9:50PM0.08m
10:13AM0.60m
10:30PM0.05m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:57
5:58
5:58
5:59
 mm
1
1
8
Temp °C
10
11
11
11
11
10
10
12
12
17
19
14
14
13
12
13
14
13
16
18
15
Feels °C
7
8
8
8
8
7
8
11
10
8
13
9
10
9
8
7
10
11
8
11
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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