Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 5,945 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 18s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let's have a look at what's cookin' at Point Leo. This is a classic reef set-up, pretty exposed to the south-west, and it's been fairly consistent of late. The water's sittin' at about 55°, which is pretty average for this time of year, so nothing weird goin' on there.
We've got a bit of a wait for the real goods. The early part of the week is a bit average, with some fresh offshore winds but the swell's not quite on song. Monday the 10th has a 7ft SW swell, but the wind's a bit strong and it's a marginal call. Tuesday and Wednesday are similar, with moderate swell but the quality's not there yet.
Now, Thursday the 13th is where it starts to get interesting. We've got a solid 10ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, and a morning off-shore from the WNW. The combined energy is a thumping 4738 (moderate to strong), so there's plenty of push. This is for experienced surfers only though – over 8ft means it's a big boy's game. The morning looks the pick.
Friday the 14th is the standout of the whole run. The swell holds at 10ft from the SW, but the period bumps up to a very long 17 seconds. That's proper groundswell, and with a gentle offshore breeze from the WNW in the morning, it's gonna be clean and powerful. Combined energy is 6460 (strong). Again, this is expert territory, and with that long period, it might be a bit straight at the beach, but on a reef like Point Leo, it'll be offering up some serious lines. The afternoon is also clean, just a touch of cross-off.
The weekend turns a bit rubbish with onshore breezes and dropping swell, so Saturday and Sunday are write-offs for a decent paddle.
We then have a big gap with poor conditions until Tuesday the 18th. That morning shows some promise with a 5ft SW swell and a light cross-off from the north, but it's nothing to write home about. The real highlight of the second week is actually Monday the 24th. It's a smaller day, with a 6ft SW swell, but the wind is near nothing – a slight air from the north, making for glassy conditions. Combined energy is a moderate 1273. It won't be as big as that Friday, but for a clean, fun session, that's the one to circle on your calendar.
So, to wrap it up: Friday the 14th is the big one for the experienced crew – big, clean, powerful swell. For the rest of us, Monday the 24th looks like the best bet for a glassy, manageable wave.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2612 | 2879 | 1317 | 821 | 1130 | 1223 | 2765 | 2982 | 4034 | 4189 | 4761 | 3538 | 5876 | 4127 | 3142 | 2437 | 2238 | 1863 | 1558 | 1325 | 872 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:25PM1.83m | 9:29AM1.84m | 8:38PM1.76m | 10:44AM1.87m | 10:04PM1.74m | 11:50AM1.94m | 11:29PM1.79m | 12:45PM2.02m | 00:42AM1.88m | 1:31PM2.09m | 1:43AM1.98m | 2:13PM2.13m | 2:37AM2.04m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:50PM1.01m | 2:24AM0.19m | 3:09PM1.05m | 3:38AM0.23m | 4:34PM0.99m | 4:54AM0.25m | 5:49PM0.85m | 6:02AM0.25m | 6:51PM0.66m | 7:02AM0.26m | 7:42PM0.47m | 7:55AM0.29m | 8:28PM0.31m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — |
 | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | 5 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | WSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 2612 | 2171 | 1317 | 821 | 1130 | 1223 | 2765 | 2982 | 4034 | 4189 | 4084 | 3538 | 5876 | 4127 | 3142 | 2437 | 2238 | 1863 | 1558 | 1325 | 872 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | ESE 10 | SSW 16 | WSW 6 | S 6 | SSW 17 | — | SW 19 | — | SSW 15 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 143 | 9 | 83 | 121 | 11 | 113 | — | 891 | — | 326 | — | 481 | 731 | — | — | 172 | 178 | 178 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | — | — | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 16 | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 3 | SW 17 | SSW 7 | WSW 7 | NW 3 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | SW 7 | — | — | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 3 |
| kJ | 7 | 2879 | 237 | 192 | 6 | 35 | 46 | 235 | — | — | 4761 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 53 | 135 | 62 | 61 | 53 | 262 | 262 | 8 | 66 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 40 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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