Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 06 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.7° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 8,868 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Sun 6th Sep)6.5ft (2.0m) 14s
Best Surf 1PM (Sun 6th Sep)6.5ft (2.0m) 14s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 9th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, it’s Rusty. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead for Point Leo, but it’s definitely a case of picking your moments. The first few days are a write-off for anything decent, but from Tuesday the 8th onwards, the pattern starts to switch on, with some proper standouts later in the forecast.

Sunday the 6th is a bit of a tease. You’ve got a 7 ft SW swell with a 14-second period, and it’s clean in the morning with a light cross-off breeze, but the energy is already strong (1962) and the report says it’s marginal. I’d leave it. Winds pick up Monday the 7th with a 16 mph cross and cross-on breeze, whipping up a chop on that 7 ft SW swell – that’s a hard pass, the kites might have more fun.

Now, Tuesday morning the 8th is where it gets interesting. The swell drops to 4 ft, but that’s a long-period SW groundswell at 18 seconds, and the combined energy is still pumping at 1753. Pair that with a clean cross-off WNW breeze, and you’ve got the kind of smooth, lined-up waves that make a reef break like Point Leo sing. The water temperature is sitting at 56°F, which is about average for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit. Crowds are only sometimes an issue here, so you might get a bit of company, but it’s worth it.

Wednesday the 9th gets blown out – a 22 mph cross-swell with 12 ft waves and lumpy conditions. Not for me. Thursday the 10th cleans up a bit with a cross-off breeze, but that 12 ft swell is still big and heavy, with a 17-second period. That’s expert territory, especially on a reef. The energy is massive (7569), so only the brave need apply.

The real standout, the one you circle on the calendar, is Monday the 21st of September. We’re looking at a 13 ft WSW swell, with a 17-second period in the morning and an 18-second period in the afternoon. The combined energy is off the charts: 10057 in the morning, then a staggering 17860 in the afternoon. And the wind? Offshore all day, light, with a moderate breeze in the morning dropping to a light breeze in the afternoon. This is exceptional surf, but it’s only for experts. If you’re good enough, this is the session of the forecast.

Saturday the 12th is another strong option, with 8 ft SW swell, 16 seconds, and a clean cross-off in the morning, then glassy conditions in the afternoon with only 3 mph wind. That’s a beautiful day for a confident intermediate to get stuck in. Tuesday the 15th also looks sweet – glassy conditions in the afternoon with a 10 ft SW swell and 16-second period, and the energy is very strong (4476). Again, that’s a big wave, so know your limits.

After the 21st, the forecast drops off quickly with small, windy conditions. So, if you’re after the best, aim for Tuesday the 8th for a clean, fun day, or the 21st for the big one. Things are looking up after a quiet start.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed morning, calm by Fri night).

Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
0
0
2
4
3
1
2
0
6
5
3
3
3
2
3
4
4
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
1.7
SW
13
2.1
SW
12
2
SW
8
1.8
SW
14
1.2
SW
18
1.3
SW
17
1.9
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
18
4
SW
18
3.5
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.5
SW
16
2.3
SW
16
2
SW
16
1.7
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1864
1423
921
1209
453
1150
901
1050
1787
5123
8731
8767
6694
4539
3092
2010
2111
2963
2506
1847
1196
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
15
WSW
25
WSW
30
SSW
25
SSW
10
SSW
15
WNW
15
WSW
30
SW
35
SSW
35
SW
30
SW
20
WSW
25
WSW
20
W
20
WSW
20
SW
5
SW
10
NNE
5
SW
25
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
5:21PM1.96m
6:45AM1.91m
6:11PM1.87m
7:50AM1.81m
7:15PM1.77m
9:05AM1.76m
8:39PM1.69m
10:21AM1.77m
10:13PM1.70m
11:25AM1.83m
11:35PM1.80m
12:18PM1.90m
00:41AM1.92m
Low Tide
11:37AM0.79m
00:02AM0.13m
12:28PM0.89m
00:59AM0.24m
1:33PM0.96m
2:08AM0.36m
2:56PM0.97m
3:28AM0.44m
4:22PM0.88m
4:47AM0.48m
5:34PM0.71m
5:56AM0.48m
6:30PM0.53m
clear
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:31
6:28
6:28
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
13
14
13
12
11
11
10
11
11
11
12
12
11
12
11
11
10
9
14
18
15
Feels °C
11
11
9
7
5
7
7
7
5
2
4
5
6
8
7
7
6
7
11
15
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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