
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, WSW swell with 6,002 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks. You're gonna want to keep an eye on the first week because after that, the wind starts to blow and the size jumps right up for the crew who know what they're doing.
Right off the bat, Point Leo is the only spot in play this period. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The whole run kicks off on Wednesday morning the 8th of July. It's not a total washout, but we are starting with some marginal conditions. We've got a 4.6ft swell rolling in from the SW with a very long 19-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy, plenty of grunt (combined energy of 2403). The wind is light out of the NE, creating a little cross ripple, so it's not total junk but it's not what you'd drive for.
The standout windows are Thursday the 9th, especially the afternoon. The wind goes glassy from the ESE, and you've got a 4.3ft SW swell with a 15-second period (energy 934). Those conditions will be clean and lined up. The morning isn't bad either with a 4.9ft swell and a cross-offshore breeze. That Thursday afternoon glass is the time to be in the water. Just be aware there is a chance of crowds here.
Jumping ahead to the following Monday, the 18th of July, that's a real long-range standout if you're an experienced surfer. The morning shows a 5.6ft SW swell (energy 1400) with a light NW cross-offshore breeze. The conditions are flagged as excellent for experienced surfers. It's a bit of a wait, and the forecast is less certain that far out, but the potential is there.
Now, from the 12th of July onward, we get a massive injection of size. We're talking 9.8ft to 11.5ft SW and WSW swells with very strong energy readings (between 2986 and 4657). That's expert-only territory, and while the wind is offshore for much of it, the period drops a bit and it'll be a battle to paddle into. From the 15th, the wind swings onshore and the quality drops off hard, turning it messy. Then the 22nd and 23rd see another pulse of 9.8ft to 13.1ft SSW swell, but the period is short (8-10 seconds) with cross-onshore wind. At that size, with that wind and a beach/reef setup, this is looking more interesting for the kite crew than for paddle surfing.
So, the pick of the whole run is clear: Thursday the 9th of July afternoon for the cleanest, most user-friendly waves, and if you're a charger, keep an eye on Monday the 18th of July morning for a heavy, clean session.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Sat night, moderate winds from the W by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1357 | 2714 | 1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1171 | 979 | 614 | 476 | 463 | 2429 | 4405 | 3772 | 2830 | 2914 | 3372 | 4284 | 4657 | 4295 | 5119 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 4:57PM1.97m | 5:41AM1.81m | 5:30PM1.94m | 6:34AM1.85m | 6:09PM1.90m | 7:34AM1.88m | 6:55PM1.86m | 8:41AM1.90m | 7:51PM1.82m | 9:53AM1.94m | 8:58PM1.79m | 11:03AM1.99m | 10:14PM1.79m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:46AM0.60m | 11:24PM0.39m | 11:30AM0.70m | 00:04AM0.30m | 12:19PM0.80m | 00:50AM0.22m | 1:16PM0.91m | 1:45AM0.16m | 2:21PM1.00m | 2:47AM0.12m | 3:36PM1.03m | 3:55AM0.09m | 4:52PM1.00m | ||||||||
7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | |
— | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | 4 | 6 |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | W 24 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 |
1357 | 2714 | 1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1171 | 979 | 614 | 476 | 463 | — | — | 11 | 2830 | 2914 | 3372 | 4284 | 4657 | 4295 | 3991 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SW 20 | S 16 | S 15 | — | S 16 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | SSW 16 | — |
784 | 240 | 186 | 82 | 134 | 134 | 38 | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | 101 | 72 | 133 | 154 | — | 344 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | — | — | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | — |
262 | — | — | 12 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 96 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 5 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | NW 4 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | WSW 15 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 36 | 67 | 2429 | 4405 | 3772 | 24 | 59 | 49 | 16 | 16 | 35 | 5119 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 262 | 97 | 262 | 494 | 472 | 472 | 601 | 66 | 53 | 538 | 472 | 558 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










