Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 18s period, SW swell with 3,754 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.4m 18s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk Point Leo. It’s a reef break that handles a SW swell, and the water’s sitting at 56°F, which is pretty normal for the season—nothing out of the ordinary.
We’re starting slow. Monday afternoon there’s a 5ft swell from the SW, 14-second period, with a light offshore from the NNW. The combined energy is moderate at 737. Clean, small waves for the beginners to have a go.
Tuesday morning gets tricky with a cross-shore messing up the 5ft swell. Afternoon cleans up to 5ft with a cross-offshore breeze and energy hitting 1097. Still, the morning’s better for smooth rides.
Wednesday morning sees 6ft, 14 seconds, cross-offshore wind, energy at 1332. Punchy and clean for the more experienced crew. Afternoon gets a bit choppy.
Thursday drops to 4ft to 4ft, long 12-second period, light offshore to cross-offshore. Clean and mellow.
Now Friday the 28th morning—here’s a beauty. 5ft swell with an 18-second period, a proper groundswell. Energy at 1909, strong to very strong. Moderate offshore from the NW, clean. This is a reef, so that long period will wrap in and produce some really well-defined waves. Best for experienced surfers.
Saturday the 29th morning keeps it going: 5ft, 14 seconds, glassy offshore from the NW. Energy at 1130. Clean, fun waves.
Sunday the 30th is small again, 4ft to 5ft, clean and light.
Then Monday the 31st of August—standout. Morning has 8ft swell, 17-second period, offshore from the N, energy at 3890 (very strong). Powerful and clean. Then the afternoon goes glassy, 8ft, 17 seconds, zero wind. That’s your session—big, clean, groundswell perfection.
Tuesday the 1st of September backs off: 6ft morning with a strong cross-offshore, then a clean 5ft afternoon.
Wednesday the 2nd morning: 6ft, 14 seconds, light offshore, energy 1253. Still nice. Afternoon gets messy.
From Thursday the 3rd through Monday the 8th, it’s all onshore wind and big, blown-out junk. The 5th has a clean 8ft morning but then turns onshore, and from the 6th on it’s just lumpy, oversized, and ugly—up to 13ft with terrible wind. Skip those.
So the two to aim for: Friday morning the 28th of August and Monday the 31st of August, especially that glassy, big afternoon session. That’s the gold.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 722 | 643 | 892 | 710 | 1094 | 1255 | 991 | 732 | 389 | 335 | 552 | 1136 | 2454 | 1694 | 1109 | 915 | 509 | 473 | 613 | 1342 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | glassy | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 6:49PM1.61m | 8:56AM1.58m | 7:45PM1.52m | 10:15AM1.59m | 9:08PM1.46m | 11:22AM1.66m | 10:38PM1.48m | 12:12PM1.74m | 11:51PM1.56m | 12:50PM1.83m | 00:48AM1.69m | 1:24PM1.90m | 1:35AM1.82m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:49AM0.56m | 2:28PM1.15m | 2:54AM0.61m | 4:02PM1.16m | 4:08AM0.63m | 5:24PM1.07m | 5:16AM0.60m | 6:19PM0.93m | 6:12AM0.55m | 7:00PM0.77m | 7:00AM0.51m | 7:35PM0.60m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — |
mm | — | 8 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 722 | 643 | 892 | 710 | 1094 | 1255 | 991 | 732 | 389 | 335 | 431 | 711 | 2454 | 1694 | 1109 | 915 | 509 | 473 | 613 | 1342 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 18 | SE 4 | SW 16 | — | S 15 | — | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 15 | 50 | 4 | 381 | — | 4 | — | 91 | 76 | 118 | 552 | 1136 | 53 | 49 | 21 | 22 | 73 | 179 | 133 | 663 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | SW 22 | SSW 10 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | SSW 8 | SSW 17 | SW 20 | SW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 73 | 20 | 62 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 55 | 60 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | ENE 3 | — | SE 4 | SW 4 | SW 6 | SW 13 | — | — | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | 3 | — | 6 | 22 | 73 | 694 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 78 | 78 | 247 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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