Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Point Leo. We’ve got a solid run of swell coming, but you’ll have to be patient for the real magic. The water’s sitting at 55°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off. Tuesday the 4th kicks off with a 5ft SW swell (11 seconds) and a strong NW wind, but the call is a 2/10 – it’s more of a mission than a session. Wednesday and Thursday are similar, with choppy, cross-shore winds and marginal conditions. Thursday afternoon cleans up a bit with a moderate offshore, but the swell is only 3ft, so it’s a small, clean day for the longboard or a mellow cruise.

Now, Friday the 7th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning brings a 5ft SW swell (16 seconds) with a light NW offshore breeze, and the energy is strong at 1440. The water’s clean, and the surf is setting up nicely for experienced surfers. But the real standout is Friday afternoon: glassy conditions, 5 km/h NW wind, and the same 5ft SW swell (15 seconds) with a combined energy of 1547. That’s the best window in the first week – clean, powerful lines wrapping around the reef. It’s a beginner-friendly break, but with 5ft and a long period, it’ll be punchy enough to keep the more experienced crew happy.

Saturday the 8th holds similar size at 5ft-6ft (16 seconds) with a cross-offshore breeze, but it’s not as clean as Friday. It’s still surfable, but the gloss is off.

The second week is where things get big. Monday the 10th has a 8ft SW swell (17-18 seconds) and the energy jumps to 3843. The morning is messy with a cross-shore wind, but Monday afternoon turns on with a moderate offshore and clean conditions. This is big, powerful groundswell – 8ft and 17 seconds is a serious amount of water. Point Leo is a reef, so it’ll handle the long period well, but for beginners, that’s pushing the limit. This is a machine for the experienced crew.

Tuesday the 11th is a blast. 10ft SW swell (16 seconds) with a combined energy of 6984 in the morning and 4224 in the afternoon. The afternoon sees a 20 km/h offshore wind and a 5/10 score – the best of the entire run. That’s a big, clean, powerful swell hitting the reef. It’s expert territory, but if you’ve got the skill, this is the session to circle.

Wednesday the 12th is a write-off – 15ft SW swell (17-18 seconds) and a screaming 40 km/h SW wind in the morning, with a combined energy of 11194. That’s not a surf day; that’s a kite-surfing day. The afternoon is a bit cleaner with a cross-offshore, but at 15ft, it’s only for the bravest, and even then, the wind is still strong.

Things settle down after that. Thursday the 13th through Saturday the 15th have consistent 7ft-10ft SW swell (15-16 seconds) with moderate offshore winds. The energy is still strong (2000-4400), and the surf is clean and powerful. Saturday the 15th afternoon is a highlight with a 7ft SW swell (18 seconds) and a light breeze – clean, long lines.

Sunday the 16th starts glassy with a 5ft SW swell (15 seconds) and a 3/10 score, but the wind swings onshore in the afternoon, messing it up. Monday the 17th is a no-go with onshore winds and a 8ft swell that’s just messy.

The last few days, Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th, are a nice way to finish. Tuesday afternoon has a 5ft SW swell (14 seconds) with a moderate offshore and a 3/10 – clean and fun. Wednesday the 19th is glassy all day, with a 6ft WSW swell (15 seconds) in the morning and 5ft (14 seconds) in the afternoon. Both sessions are clean, with combined energy around 900-1200, and the scores are a solid 3/10. It’s a mellow, glassy end to the window.

The standout for the whole run is Friday the 7th afternoon – glassy, 5ft, clean, and the energy is right. For the big-wave hunters, Monday the 10th afternoon and Tuesday the 11th afternoon are the ones to circle. The crowds at Point Leo are “sometimes” an issue, but on a Friday afternoon or a Monday, you’ll likely have plenty of room. Stick with the reef, and you’ll get the best of the long-period groundswell.

Rusty.

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