Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,893 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, switching over to the imperial measuring stick.
These next two weeks at Point Leo are a tale of two swells, and if you've got the skills, you're in for a treat. The water is about 56°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year.
We start off on Sunday, the 23rd of August. The swell is a solid 8ft from the SW, with a 14-second period, and a crisp offshore breeze from the NNW. The combined energy is 2503. That’s a serious pulse of power. With that size and period, this is for experienced surfers only. The reef will handle the long period, but it’s heavy. The afternoon cleans up even more, with the wind going glassy and the swell still a strong 6ft from the SW. The energy drops to 1895, but glassy conditions make it about as perfect as it gets.
Monday morning (24th) is a bit smaller at 5ft, still with a 14-second period and a 25 km/h north wind keeping it clean. The energy is 874. A good, solid session. Monday afternoon, the wind backs off to a gentle offshore from the NNW, and the swell is 5ft with a 13-second period. The energy is 719. Clean and worth a paddle.
Tuesday (25th) is a washout with rain and a cross-onshore wind. Skip it. Wednesday (26th) has a 7ft SW swell with a 14-second period and a strong cross-offshore wind, but the energy jumps to 2713. The waves are there, but the wind makes it only average.
The real standout is the morning of Friday, the 4th of September. It’s a magic day. The swell is a solid 10ft from the SW with a 16-second period, the wind is a light offshore from the NW, and the energy is 3908. That’s an expert-level, clean, powerful groundswell. The afternoon is even better: the wind goes glassy, the swell holds at 10ft, and the energy is 3908. That is the session of the next two weeks.
Before that, Sunday the 30th of August is also a big one. The morning has a 6ft SW swell with an 18-second period, and the energy is a monstrous 4697. The wind is a gentle offshore. That’s an incredibly long period swell, so it will be very straight-faced at the beach, but for the reef at Point Leo, it’s going to be a thing of beauty. The afternoon sees the swell build to 10ft SW with a 17-second period, and the energy hits 5603. The wind is a light cross-shore, so it’s solid but not as clean as the 4th of September.
There’s a lull in the middle of the second week, but the 4th of September is the one to circle on the calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 22 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1919 | 1299 | 1602 | 874 | 704 | 699 | 878 | 710 | 1094 | 1558 | 1162 | 878 | 319 | 233 | 1210 | 2078 | 2664 | 1449 | 1016 | 731 | 1468 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 6:09PM1.70m | 7:47AM1.63m | 6:49PM1.61m | 8:56AM1.58m | 7:45PM1.52m | 10:15AM1.59m | 9:08PM1.46m | 11:22AM1.66m | 10:38PM1.48m | 12:12PM1.74m | 11:51PM1.56m | 12:50PM1.83m | 00:48AM1.69m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:29PM0.98m | 00:57AM0.48m | 1:18PM1.08m | 1:49AM0.56m | 2:28PM1.15m | 2:54AM0.61m | 4:02PM1.16m | 4:08AM0.63m | 5:24PM1.07m | 5:16AM0.60m | 6:19PM0.93m | 6:12AM0.55m | 7:00PM0.77m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — |
 | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 11 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 1919 | 1299 | 1602 | 874 | 704 | 699 | 878 | 710 | 1094 | 1558 | 12 | 878 | 319 | 224 | 700 | 2078 | 2664 | 1449 | 1016 | 731 | 1468 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | — | SW 16 | S 8 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 10 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | SW 22 |
| kJ | 522 | 596 | — | — | 15 | 50 | 51 | 381 | — | — | — | 66 | 30 | 97 | 1210 | 348 | 57 | — | — | — | 18 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | SW 22 | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 76 | 233 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | — | ENE 3 | — | SW 5 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | NW 3 | — | — | WSW 10 | — | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 7 | SW 13 |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | 6 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 69 | 1155 | 1162 | — | 3 | — | — | 533 | — | 69 | 87 | 164 | 1021 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 0 | 61 | 78 | 129 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 66 | 78 | 61 | 62 | 66 | 61 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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