Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 7,301 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming up for Point Leo. We’ve got a fun run of swell on the cards, but you’re going to have to be patient and pick your moments. The wind is going to be the main player, often making things a bit messy, but there are a few windows of real magic.
We kick off on Thursday the 23rd with a solid 10ft SW groundswell, but a strong 19 mph W wind is going to put a chop on it. The energy is up there (388), but it’s not the cleanest. Friday the 24th is bigger, with the swell pushing 12ft from the SW and the period stretching out to 15 seconds. The wave energy is pumping (9794), but that persistent cross-off wind keeps it from being perfect. Saturday drops back to a more manageable 10ft and then 8ft, but the wind is still fiddly.
Now, the first real standout comes into view on Sunday the 26th. We get a drop in size to a clean 6ft SW swell, but the wind finally swings offshore from the WNW. It’s light on Sunday morning at around 16 mph, meaning clean faces. It’s a bit on the smaller side and the energy is moderate (725), but this is where the conditions finally line up for a decent session. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year.
After a bit of a windy lull in the middle of the week, including a cranking 15ft SW on Wednesday the 29th that’s blighted by cross-onshore winds, we build to a new peak. The real gem in this forecast, the one to circle, is the first weekend of August. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd look sensational. Saturday morning has a solid 7ft SW groundswell with a very long 16 second period, clean faces and offshore NW winds at 12 mph. The energy is strong (2271), and the description says it's excellent for experienced surfers with that size. Then Sunday the 2nd is the absolute pick of the bunch. We’ve got a 7ft SW swell, a 15-second period, and on Sunday afternoon the wind goes glassy—literally 3 mph from the SW. That is about as perfect as it gets for Point Leo. The water will be glassy and the energy is right up there (2053). That session is the one to aim for.
Looking further out, there’s a bit more action around Thursday the 8th, with a long-period 6ft SW swell and clean conditions, but it’s a long way off, so we’ll see how that firms up.
Get out there and chase that glassy Sunday afternoon.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri night, min 9°C on Wed night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 935 | 3388 | 3859 | 7146 | 5813 | 4786 | 2975 | 2918 | 1828 | 1169 | 713 | 568 | 527 | 558 | 690 | 1075 | 992 | 2009 | 3916 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 6:06AM1.84m | 5:43PM1.90m | 6:53AM1.77m | 6:17PM1.80m | 7:43AM1.70m | 6:53PM1.70m | 8:41AM1.65m | 7:37PM1.61m | 9:48AM1.64m | 8:32PM1.54m | 10:57AM1.67m | 9:43PM1.49m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:41PM0.27m | 11:50AM0.77m | 00:20AM0.32m | 12:31PM0.90m | 1:00AM0.39m | 1:17PM1.01m | 1:45AM0.46m | 2:12PM1.10m | 2:37AM0.50m | 3:23PM1.16m | 3:38AM0.53m | 4:44PM1.15m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — |
mm | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | — | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | — |
| kJ | 238 | — | 31 | 371 | 5813 | 3866 | 2975 | 2536 | 1828 | 1169 | 713 | 568 | 527 | 558 | 690 | 1075 | 992 | 2009 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 15 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 26 | 12 | 104 | — | — | 239 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | NW 4 | SW 12 | SW 13 | — | NW 4 | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 10 |
| kJ | 935 | 3388 | 3859 | 7146 | 3981 | 4786 | 22 | 2918 | 1154 | — | 9 | — | — | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 66 | 3916 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 66 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 62 | 96 | 96 | 62 | 61 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 472 | 8 | 0 | 62 | 66 | 652 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Point Leo surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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