
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 5,808 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got the lowdown on what’s shaping up for our local stretch.
We’ve got a solid run of surf coming our way, but it’s not all gonna be perfect. The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag, with some solid swell but also some tricky winds. The real standout window looks to be from Thursday afternoon through Saturday morning next week, then again right at the end of the period.
Let’s kick off with Point Leo, a reef break that’s fairly consistent and handles a SW swell perfectly. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing out of the ordinary there.
Monday morning, the 10th of August, we’ve got a 6 ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period – that’s proper groundswell. The wind is a fresh offshore from the NNW, so it’ll be clean. The combined energy is strong (2755), but the wave comment says it’s marginal due to tide. Worth a look early, but don’t expect perfection. By the afternoon, the wind swings onshore and it gets a bit lumpy, so the morning is the pick.
Tuesday the 11th is cleaner with a fresh offshore again in the morning, but the swell drops to 5 ft. Still, with a 14-second period and clean conditions, it’ll be fun. The afternoon sees a bit more size (6 ft) and a cross-offshore wind, keeping it clean.
Now, Wednesday the 12th is where things get interesting. The morning starts with a 8 ft SW swell (16-second period) and a cross-offshore wind. It’s clean, but the energy is ramping up (3185). By the afternoon, the swell jumps to 10 ft from the WSW, with a 16-second period, and the combined energy is a whopping 7857. That’s serious power. The wind is a moderate cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean. This is getting into expert territory size-wise, but the quality is there.
Thursday the 13th holds that 10 ft swell, with a moderate offshore in the morning and a clean cross-offshore in the afternoon. The energy is still massive (8957 in the afternoon). This is a serious swell window.
The standout window is Friday the 14th, morning and afternoon. We’ve got a 10 ft SW swell, 17-second period, and a moderate offshore wind in the morning. The wave comment says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” The combined energy is 6645. This is the best of the lot. The afternoon is slightly smaller in energy but still very clean. If you’re an experienced surfer, this is your session.
Saturday the 15th drops off a bit. The swell is 8 ft, but the wind is light and cross-shore in the morning, creating some ripples. By the afternoon, it’s cross-onshore and choppy, so not great.
From Sunday the 16th through Tuesday the 18th, conditions are poor, with onshore winds and choppy surf. The swell drops to 5 ft. There’s a brief window on Tuesday morning with a 5 ft swell and a light cross-offshore wind, which gives a clean look, but it’s not the best.
Then we get a second, smaller but clean window. Wednesday the 19th has a 4-4 ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period and light offshore winds. It’s small, but the energy is there (703-740) and it’s clean. Not a standout, but a fun session for a longboard or a fish.
The 20th and 21st are small and average, with a bit of a bump on the 21st (6 ft, 15-second period) but with moderate winds.
The final notable window is Monday the 24th afternoon. We’ve got a 4 ft SW swell, 14-second period, and a slight offshore wind from the NNW. The wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” The energy is moderate (732) but with clean conditions, it’ll be a nice small-wave session.
Finally, Tuesday the 25th morning sees a big jump in size to 8 ft from the WSW, but with a 12-second period and a light cross-onshore wind. The energy is strong (3541), but the wind is onshore, so it’s a bit of a gamble.
Overall, the best bet is Friday the 14th. Big swell, long period, clean offshore wind. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. The Friday morning session is the pick of the entire 16 days. The Thursday afternoon and the Monday the 24th afternoon are also worth a look for smaller, cleaner waves.
Signing off, Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Sun night, strong winds from the NNW by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
711 | 2612 | 2191 | 3544 | 821 | 1130 | 1223 | 2992 | 3918 | 4133 | 3955 | 4821 | 3586 | 5808 | 4076 | 3142 | 2268 | 2208 | 1863 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:14AM1.86m | 7:25PM1.83m | 9:29AM1.84m | 8:38PM1.76m | 10:44AM1.87m | 10:04PM1.74m | 11:50AM1.94m | 11:29PM1.79m | 12:45PM2.02m | 00:42AM1.88m | 1:31PM2.09m | 1:43AM1.98m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:19AM0.15m | 1:50PM1.01m | 2:24AM0.19m | 3:09PM1.05m | 3:38AM0.23m | 4:34PM0.99m | 4:54AM0.25m | 5:49PM0.85m | 6:02AM0.25m | 6:51PM0.66m | 7:02AM0.26m | 7:42PM0.47m | |||||||
— | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
711 | 2612 | 2191 | 83 | 821 | 1130 | 1223 | 193 | 3171 | 4133 | 3955 | 4136 | 3586 | 5808 | 4076 | 3142 | 2268 | 2208 | 1863 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | — | SW 7 | SSW 15 | — | — | SW 19 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
598 | 143 | 119 | — | 178 | 84 | — | — | 730 | 130 | 259 | — | — | 837 | 353 | 263 | 126 | 161 | 178 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 10 | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
5 | 4 | 18 | — | 42 | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | NNW 4 | SW 4 | SW 16 | WSW 7 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 10 | — | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | 17 | 28 | 3544 | 307 | 12 | 34 | 2992 | 3918 | 1193 | — | 4821 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 53 | 135 | 66 | 61 | 53 | 262 | 66 | 8 | 62 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











