Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 11 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.1° C
0.5° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,605 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 2.4m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 1.1m and 19s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Wed 12th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Best Surf 4PM (Wed 12th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 4AM (Thu 13th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up.

Alright, we’re looking at a solid run of swell for Point Leo over the next couple of weeks, but she’s a mixed bag. The main event is a good pulse of long-period groundswell from the SW, but the wind and conditions will chop and change a fair bit. The water temp is sitting at a pretty normal 56°F, so nothing unusual for this time of year.

The first decent action kicks off on Tuesday the 11th of August. We’ve got a 5ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period, and it’s a bit weak in terms of energy (1007). It’s clean with a moderate offshore NW wind, but the guidance says it’s only marginal. It’s not a standout, just a warm-up.

Wednesday the 12th sees the swell building. The morning has a 8ft SW swell with a long 16-second period, and the combined energy is getting serious (2887). Wind is fresh offshore from the WNW, so it’ll be clean. The afternoon is where we really start to see the standout action. The swell jumps to 10ft from the WSW, still with that long 16-second period, and the energy is pumping (7559). This is big – over 8ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. For the crew that can handle it, the wind is a moderate cross-off from the WNW, keeping things reasonably clean.

Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th hold that 10ft SW groundswell with the same long 16-second period and solid energy readings (4615 and 4352 respectively). The mornings have moderate offshore or clean cross-off winds. The afternoons get a bit trickier as the breeze swings around. Again, this is expert-only territory. This long-period groundswell at a reef break like Point Leo is the perfect setup – it won’t close out like a beach break.

After that, the swell drops back but stays rideable. Saturday the 15th sees 8ft dropping to 8ft with a 15-second period, but the wind is cross-onshore, and it’s going to be chopped up. Not the best.

Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th have smaller 6ft to 5ft SW swells with light cross or onshore winds. The energy is low (around 750-1300). It’s still surfable, but nothing special.

Now, here is the real gem for the cleaner, more relaxed surfer. Looking forward to Tuesday the 18th of August, we have a 5ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period. The energy is moderate (868). But the wind is glassy in the afternoon, coming from the SE at just 3 mph. This is the best window for good waves without the heavy energy. The next day, Wednesday the 19th, the swell drops to 3ft but it’s glassy again in the afternoon, with a 16-second period. That’s a proper groundswell for a smaller day, making for clean, peelable lines on the reef.

We then get a bit of a lull towards the end of the month. From Sunday the 23rd of August through to Tuesday the 26th, we’ve got very small swell (mostly under 3ft) and strong winds. The energy is weak. The conditions are poor; the break is basically asleep.

Then, a wildcard for the crew who are really keen and experienced. On Wednesday the 26th of August afternoon, the numbers go a bit crazy. We’ve got a 10ft swell from the WSW, but the period is a short 8 seconds. That’s a windswell, not the clean groundswell we had before. The combined energy is solid (1363), and it’s offshore from the NW. It’s called “excellent for experienced surfers,” but that short period means it will be a lumpy, challenging paddle. This one is only for the die-hards.

Best on Offer: For the raw, big-wave power, the standout is Wednesday the 12th of August afternoon with that 10ft, 16-second groundswell, clean cross-off wind, and huge energy (7559). For the all-round, most pleasant surf, look at Tuesday the 18th of August afternoon and Wednesday the 19th of August afternoon, when the 3ft to 5ft groundswell meets glassy conditions at a nice reef break.

Keep an eye on the crowds at Point Leo, as it’s a consistent spot and word will get out.

Catch ya later,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Tue night, light winds from the W by Thu afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
1
3
7
4
3
5
5
4
2
3
2
1
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
17
2.1
SW
16
3
WSW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
821
1154
1449
2160
4456
4348
4327
4084
3876
3976
3499
3185
2559
2238
1624
1363
1147
951
765
765
1267
Wind (km/h)
25
NW
25
NNW
35
NNW
30
WNW
25
WNW
25
WNW
30
WNW
15
W
20
NW
20
W
25
SW
15
SSW
10
S
15
SSE
10
E
10
NE
5
S
10
E
10
NE
10
SSE
10
NE
Wind State
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
8:38PM1.76m
10:44AM1.87m
10:04PM1.74m
11:50AM1.94m
11:29PM1.79m
12:45PM2.02m
00:42AM1.88m
1:31PM2.09m
1:43AM1.98m
2:13PM2.13m
2:37AM2.04m
2:51PM2.14m
3:24AM2.06m
Low Tide
3:09PM1.05m
3:38AM0.23m
4:34PM0.99m
4:54AM0.25m
5:49PM0.85m
6:02AM0.25m
6:51PM0.66m
7:02AM0.26m
7:42PM0.47m
7:55AM0.29m
8:28PM0.31m
8:41AM0.35m
9:10PM0.21m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:11
7:09
7:09
7:07
7:05
7:05
7:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:38
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
 mm
2
1
1
Temp °C
12
12
11
12
12
11
13
14
13
12
12
12
13
13
13
11
13
12
11
13
13
Feels °C
5
5
3
5
6
6
9
11
9
8
7
8
9
9
9
9
11
9
10
10
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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