Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,810 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Rusty here, let’s check the forecast.
Alright, we’ve got a consistent run of SW groundswell incoming for Point Leo over the next couple of weeks. The water temp is about 56°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year. The wave energy is strong, over 1300 in those early sessions and climbing.
The best early call is Saturday morning, the 29th. Still a few days out, but it’s shaping up. Expect a 6 ft swell from the SW, a 14-second period, and a light W wind, making for a clean cross-off. The energy is solid (1327). Nice and clean for the beginner-friendly reef.
The first true standout is Monday morning, the 31st. The swell bumps up to 7 ft from the SW, with a 14-second period. A light W wind at 6 mph keeps it glassy. Energy jumps to 1828. That’s good, powerful surf, but over 5 ft it’s starting to get a bit much for the less experienced. It’s fairly consistent, and crowds are only “sometimes” an issue, so early birds could snag some empty waves.
The next one to circle is Wednesday afternoon, the 2nd of September. You’re looking at a 7 ft SW swell with a 15-second period and a light WSW breeze at 9 mph, giving a clean cross-off. Energy is 1863. This is the sweet spot for the intermediate to advanced surfer at this break.
Heading into the second week, the big one is Wednesday afternoon, the 9th of September. We’ve got a 10 ft swell from the WSW and a very long 17-second period, with a light W wind around 6 mph. The energy is massive, hitting 9180. This is serious, expert-only territory. That long-period energy will focus right on the reef, producing some heavy, powerful sets. This is the standout of the whole forecast.
The morning of Thursday the 10th is also a solid expert session, with a 10 ft SW swell and a 15-second period under a light WNW breeze. Energy is 4002. The morning of the 12th of September also offers a 10 ft SW swell, but with a shorter 12-second period, so expect a bit more walled-up, dumpy shape.
There’s a real rough patch from the morning of the 5th through to the 8th. That’s four days of strong winds and messy conditions – best to sit that one out. Then it cleans right up again.
So the best on offer: the morning of the 31st of August for clean, fun-size swell that the experienced crew will love, and the afternoon of the 9th of September for a proper, heavy-duty groundswell for experts only. Get out there.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Tue morning, light winds from the WSW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1307 | 1163 | 744 | 1103 | 1210 | 1438 | 1595 | 1572 | 2247 | 1474 | 1062 | 978 | 1187 | 1542 | 2515 | 2803 | 3480 | 2573 | 2614 | 2238 | 1669 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 12:50PM1.83m | 00:48AM1.69m | 1:24PM1.90m | 1:35AM1.82m | 1:55PM1.96m | 2:17AM1.95m | 2:25PM2.00m | 2:57AM2.05m | 2:56PM2.03m | 3:38AM2.11m | 3:28PM2.04m | 4:19AM2.12m | 4:02PM2.04m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:00PM0.77m | 7:00AM0.51m | 7:35PM0.60m | 7:42AM0.48m | 8:08PM0.44m | 8:21AM0.47m | 8:40PM0.29m | 8:59AM0.49m | 9:14PM0.17m | 9:36AM0.53m | 9:50PM0.08m | 10:13AM0.60m | 10:30PM0.05m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 8 |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 1307 | 1163 | 744 | 1103 | 1210 | 1438 | 1595 | 1572 | 2247 | 1474 | 1062 | 978 | 1187 | 1542 | 2515 | 2803 | 2766 | 2573 | 2614 | 2238 | 1669 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | S 15 | WSW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | — | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 15 | — | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 20 | 17 | 45 | 98 | 136 | — | 256 | 373 | 232 | 135 | 88 | 85 | 45 | 93 | — | 169 | — | 233 | 256 | 201 | 95 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 24 | WSW 22 | SW 20 | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 11 | 45 | 16 | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | WSW 5 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 14 | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 |
| kJ | — | — | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 22 | 22 | 33 | — | 13 | 21 | 3480 | — | 6 | 21 | 95 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 78 | 8 | 8 | 300 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 69 | 106 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 326 | 460 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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