Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 12 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.0° C
0.4° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 5,815 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Thu 13th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Best Surf 4PM (Thu 13th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 13th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s break it down in feet and miles per hour.

Point Leo is the only spot on the menu right now. We’ve got a big run of swell coming, but the early part is a challenge. Wednesday afternoon (the 12th) fires up with a solid 8ft SW groundswell, period a very long 16 seconds, and the energy gauge is hammering at 4630 – that’s serious power. Wind is cross-off from the west at 12 mph, so the reef should be clean. Water temp is 55°, about normal for the time of year. That’s a big, powerful swell, but the forecast says it’s marginal, so the tide window might be a pain. This is for experienced folks only, especially with that long period – it can be a bit tricky at a reef.

Thursday the 13th keeps the juice on. Morning has 10ft SW swell, 16-second period, and 5036 energy units – massive. Wind is cross-off from the WNW at 16 mph, clean but still huge. The afternoon eases to 10ft with 4524 energy units and a lighter 9 mph W cross-off. The afternoon gets a rating of "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That’s the best window for the crew that can handle it on Thursday.

Friday the 14th drops a little, but still holding 10ft SW in the morning with a moderate cross-off wind. The afternoon gets messy with a cross-shore SW wind at 12 mph and a cross-chop, killing the quality. Saturday the 15th sees the swell fade to 8ft, and the morning has a light 3 mph SE onshore wind, which is a problem. Glassy but onshore makes it tough. Sunday the 16th is smaller at 6ft, and the wind is all over the place.

There’s a lull from Monday the 17th through Thursday the 20th, with swell dropping below 5ft and low energy (down to 214 units by Wednesday the 19th). Not worth it. Friday the 21st has some hope – the afternoon shows a 3ft SW swell with an offshore wind at 12 mph and clean conditions, but it’s small.

The real standout is further out. Saturday the 22nd afternoon brings a 5ft SW swell, 13-second period, and more importantly, a moderate offshore wind from the NNW at 12 mph with clean conditions. The rating calls it "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That’s the best of the smaller stuff.

But hold on, because Sunday the 23rd brings back the monster. A 10ft WSW swell, 15-second period, and 4001 energy units in the morning with a cross-off wind. Monday the 24th holds that 10ft SW groundswell with clean cross-off winds. Tuesday the 25th keeps the 10ft, but the wind turns onshore. Wednesday the 26th is the big finale: 12ft SW swell, 15-second period, and a massive 7606 energy units in the morning with a light ENE cross breeze. That is a huge, powerful swell. It’s only for experts. The morning of Wednesday the 26th is the absolute standout of the whole forecast – a big, clean, powerful groundswell at a reef. It’s a long-range call, but mark it down. After that, Thursday the 27th drops back to a clean 6ft SW swell with glassy winds in the afternoon – a nice way to finish.

Honestly, the first week is all about the big, expert-only waves on Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th, and the second week is all about Wednesday the 26th. Everything else is either too small or too messy. Crowds at Point Leo can be a problem sometimes, so for those standout sessions, get out early. For anything over 8ft, leave the beginners on the beach.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SE by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
6
3
5
5
3
2
3
3
1
2
2
1
0
1
2
3
3
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.4
SW
16
3.5
WSW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2796
5815
4777
4272
4272
3650
3367
3280
2491
2208
1736
1255
1147
938
965
1314
1262
658
716
471
Wind (km/h)
20
W
25
WNW
25
WNW
15
W
20
NW
20
WNW
20
SW
10
SW
5
SE
20
S
10
E
15
ENE
15
SE
20
E
10
ENE
15
SE
15
ENE
10
NNE
15
SE
10
NE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross-off
on
cross
High Tide
10:04PM1.74m
11:50AM1.94m
11:29PM1.79m
12:45PM2.02m
00:42AM1.88m
1:31PM2.09m
1:43AM1.98m
2:13PM2.13m
2:37AM2.04m
2:51PM2.14m
3:24AM2.06m
3:27PM2.12m
Low Tide
4:34PM0.99m
4:54AM0.25m
5:49PM0.85m
6:02AM0.25m
6:51PM0.66m
7:02AM0.26m
7:42PM0.47m
7:55AM0.29m
8:28PM0.31m
8:41AM0.35m
9:10PM0.21m
9:24AM0.43m
9:49PM0.16m
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:09
7:07
7:05
7:05
7:03
7:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:45
 mm
1
1
1
Temp °C
13
12
13
14
14
12
12
13
13
12
12
13
14
12
12
15
13
15
15
15
Feels °C
8
6
9
11
9
8
8
10
10
8
8
11
11
7
10
11
10
14
11
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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