Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 20 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.5° C
0.3° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 12s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 6,377 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 3s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Mon 20th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s
Best Surf 4PM (Sun 26th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 12s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 24th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let’s take a look at what’s on offer.

First up, we’ve got a solid run coming, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The water temp at Point Leo is sitting at 56°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The early part of the week is a bit of a mixed bag. Monday morning the 20th of July has some clean 4ft SW groundswell (590 combined energy) with a 16-second period and a light offshore breeze. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.

Things get a bit bigger from Wednesday the 22nd, with 5ft to 6ft SW swell, but the wind is a cross-offshore, and the energy is climbing (up to 1034). It’s still clean, but it’s not yet the standout.

Now, here’s the real deal. The big winner in this window is Point Leo itself. The standout is Sunday the 2nd of August. You’ve got an 8ft WSW swell with a 14-second period, and the combined energy is a meaty 5943. The wind is a light cross-offshore in the morning, and then it goes glassy in the afternoon. That’s the kind of session that gets the heart pumping. The water’s clear, it’s clean, and it’s going to be a proper day for experienced surfers – this one’s got your name on it.

Before that, the week from the 23rd to the 25th of July sees some huge 10ft to 12ft SW swell, but it’s wind-affected and messy. The wind is strong, and the energy is off the charts (up to 7948), but it’s a battle out there. That’s expert territory, and even then, it’s a grind. The 27th of July Monday afternoon has a cleaner 10ft WSW swell with a light offshore breeze (3602 energy), which is promising for experienced surfers, but it’s not quite as clean as the 2nd.

The last week of July and into August has a lot of onshore and cross-shore wind, which makes the bigger swells (8ft to 12ft) pretty ugly. The 2nd of August is the true standout, with the 8ft swell and glassy conditions. It’s a full two weeks out, so keep an eye on the forecasts, but it’s the one to aim for.

Crowds at Point Leo can be a thing sometimes, so keep that in mind. The break is a reef, and it’s fairly consistent and fairly exposed to the SW. With a long-period groundswell like that, the reef will handle it well – it’s not a beach break, so the shape should be there.

So, if you’re picking a day, the 2nd of August is the one. The 27th of July afternoon is a good backup. The rest of the window is either too big, too windy, or just average.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Thu morning). Mainly strong winds.

Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
0
1
1
2
3
2
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
16
1
WSW
15
0.9
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.2
SW
12
1.4
WSW
12
1.7
WSW
12
2.5
SW
12
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
13
3
SW
13
3
SW
13
2.3
SW
12
1.9
SW
12
1.7
SW
12
1.6
SW
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
587
461
367
895
711
449
545
893
1805
3468
4110
5186
5577
4684
4023
3126
2445
1513
990
765
579
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
N
30
NNW
30
NW
30
W
30
W
35
W
45
WSW
40
WSW
35
WNW
45
WNW
35
W
30
W
25
W
30
WSW
20
W
15
WNW
20
WNW
Wind State
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
3:58PM2.18m
4:31AM1.96m
4:35PM2.11m
5:19AM1.91m
5:09PM2.01m
6:06AM1.84m
5:43PM1.90m
6:53AM1.77m
6:17PM1.80m
7:43AM1.70m
6:53PM1.70m
8:41AM1.65m
7:37PM1.61m
Low Tide
10:20PM0.25m
10:27AM0.49m
11:01PM0.24m
11:09AM0.63m
11:41PM0.27m
11:50AM0.77m
00:20AM0.32m
12:31PM0.90m
1:00AM0.39m
1:17PM1.01m
1:45AM0.46m
2:12PM1.10m
2:37AM0.50m
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
light rain
light rain
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:30
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:20
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
 mm
4
2
2
1
2
2
Temp °C
12
14
12
13
14
12
14
11
10
10
11
11
12
11
13
14
14
12
12
13
12
Feels °C
6
9
7
8
10
6
8
5
4
1
1
1
3
1
6
8
9
6
8
10
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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