Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 03 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.8° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 10,823 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Fri 4th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 15s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 4th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 9th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got the goods on what’s shaping up for Point Leo over the next couple of weeks. Buckle up, 'cause there’s some serious energy on offer, but you’ll have to pick your windows carefully.

The big story is a long run of decent-to-excellent groundswell, but the wind and conditions are going to be the real deciding factors. The water's sitting at about 56.1°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.

We kick off proper on Thursday the 3rd of September. It's a bit of a mixed bag to start. Thursday afternoon sees a solid 11.5 ft SW swell rolling in, with a combined wave energy reading of 8013 – that’s strong stuff. But the wind is a cross-off from the WSW at 19 mph, so it’ll be clean, but choppy. This is big, powerful surf, and with that size, it’s really for experienced surfers only.

The real standout window starts to open up on Friday the 4th of September. Morning and afternoon are both looking fantastic. You’ve got a 10 ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, and the wind is a clean offshore from the NW at 12 mph. The energy is massive, registering 5168 in the morning and 4725 in the afternoon. This is Point Leo at its best – big, clean, and rippable. For the more experienced crew, this is your day.

Saturday the 5th holds the size (7.2 ft to 10 ft SW) but the wind cranks up to 28 mph from the NNW, making it really difficult to get into the waves. It’s for the hardcore only, and frankly, not as fun as Friday.

Look towards Sunday the 6th and Tuesday the 8th for the next good cleans-up. Sunday morning has a gentle offshore from the WNW with 7.2 ft SW swell, and Tuesday morning is glassy with a light offshore from the NW and a nice 5.9 ft SW swell. Both are excellent quality for a solid session.

Now, if you’re looking at the second week, the standout is Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th of September. We get a big pulse of long-period SW groundswell again, pushing 11.5 ft with a period of 18 seconds on the 9th. The energy reading on Wednesday afternoon hits a massive 12997 – that’s a serious amount of water moving. The catch is the cross-shore wind making it a bit lumpy, but Thursday morning cleans right up with a gentle cross-off breeze. Those days are heavy and for the experienced surfer.

The rest of the second week is more inconsistent, with smaller swell and a lot of onshore or cross-onshore winds making things messy. There’s a brief moment on Tuesday the 15th in the afternoon where the wind goes completely glassy, with a 4.6 ft SW swell – that would be a sneaky good session for someone who wants it to themselves.

So, my pick of the whole run? Friday the 4th of September is your absolute winner for clean, powerful, offshore surf. If you miss that, Tuesday the 8th or Thursday the 10th are your next best bets for clean conditions with serious size.

Conditions do get a bit sloppy and windy for long stretches, so don't expect perfect glass all the time, but when it's on, it's on.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Fri night, light winds from the W by Sun morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Mon night, fresh winds from the SW by Tue night).

Thu
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
5
5
1
2
2
2
4
4
2
0
0
1
4
3
2
3
6
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
3
WSW
15
2.4
WSW
10
2.2
SW
14
2
SW
13
1.6
SW
12
1.3
SW
12
0.9
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
2.1
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
18
4
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4735
5280
4891
4412
3573
2197
4265
1115
1875
1387
798
455
238
444
1037
2592
1552
3726
7295
10153
Wind (km/h)
35
WSW
25
NW
20
NW
20
NW
35
N
45
NNW
45
W
35
W
15
WNW
10
WSW
15
W
25
WSW
30
SSW
10
S
10
NW
10
SW
25
WSW
30
SSW
30
SSW
25
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
High Tide
4:19AM2.12m
4:02PM2.04m
5:03AM2.09m
4:39PM2.01m
5:51AM2.01m
5:21PM1.96m
6:45AM1.91m
6:11PM1.87m
7:50AM1.81m
7:15PM1.77m
9:05AM1.76m
8:39PM1.69m
Low Tide
9:50PM0.08m
10:13AM0.60m
10:30PM0.05m
10:53AM0.69m
11:13PM0.07m
11:37AM0.79m
00:02AM0.13m
12:28PM0.89m
00:59AM0.24m
1:33PM0.96m
2:08AM0.36m
2:56PM0.97m
3:28AM0.44m
clear
clear
clear
cloud
mod rain
light rain
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:37
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:58
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
 mm
8
4
1
1
1
Temp °C
13
12
13
15
15
14
13
12
13
14
13
12
12
11
10
11
11
11
12
11
Feels °C
6
6
8
10
7
6
5
5
10
12
11
7
6
7
7
8
6
3
5
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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