
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 4,948 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Point Leo.
The immediate outlook is a bit of a mixed bag, but there are some real gems coming our way if you can wait. The first few days are a write-off thanks to some serious wind, but the second half of the week cleans right up. The standout window looks to be from Monday the 6th through to Friday the 10th, with some glassy conditions and good quality swell.
Point Leo
Right now, the weekend is a no-go. Saturday the 4th is a mess with strong cross-off and cross winds, pushing a solid 10ft SW swell that's just too junky to paddle into. Sunday the 5th is worse – onshore wind and a bumpy 10ft swell. Best to give it a miss.
Alright, Monday the 6th is where it turns. The morning brings a clean 5ft SW swell with a light cross-off wind. The water temp is about average for this time of year. That offshore breeze will have the lines looking proper. It’s not huge, but it's clean and rideable.
Tuesday the 7th is a proper beauty. Glassy offshores in the morning with a 3ft SW groundswell – long 17-second period. It'll be clean as a whistle and easy paddling. The afternoon holds a 5ft SW groundswell with a cross-off breeze. This is the pick of the first week. It's a reef break that loves a SW swell.
Wednesday the 8th sees the swell bump up a bit, 5ft in the morning and then 7ft in the afternoon, still with that long 18-second period, but it's onshore and bumpy. Not the best shape.
Thursday the 9th is a skip day – more cross-on wind and choppy 5ft waves.
Now, Friday the 10th is your call. The morning is clean with a cross-off breeze and a nice 5ft SW groundswell (900 combined energy). The afternoon is even better: glassy conditions and a 5ft SW groundswell. That is a dream window for a point break like this. The wave energy is moderate (802), but the quality will be high.
The second week starts to get a bit wild. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are blown out by strong northerly winds, with the swell dropping right off. Monday the 13th is a real humdinger for strong wave energy (7835 in the morning, 11042 in the afternoon) but the swell hits 15ft to 16ft. Way too big for anyone but the experts, and even then, with a 25 mph wind, it'll be a battle. That massive 16ft SW swell on Monday afternoon with a 15-second period will be a sight, though – proper strong (11042 combined energy).
Tuesday the 14th calms down a bit to an 12ft to 10ft SW groundswell, but it's still a big, powerful wave with moderate winds. It might be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on those days.
The final run from the 15th to the 19th sees the swell drop back to the 5ft-8ft range, but most of it is cross-on or onshore, so the quality is marginal. The very end of the run on Saturday the 18th afternoon has a glassy 4ft 18-second period long-period groundswell that will be clean.
So, for the best on offer, make your move for Tuesday the 7th for smaller, clean perfection, and Friday the 10th for the glassy conditions. Or if you're feeling brave, the big swells from the 13th are for experts only.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri night, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Fri night, calm by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Fri 10 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4168 | 2740 | 2305 | 2436 | 4745 | 3721 | 1904 | 1006 | 726 | 398 | 568 | 1109 | 1091 | 1467 | 2714 | 1832 | 1055 | 924 | 1082 | 879 | 773 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 2:03AM1.63m | 2:59PM2.03m | 2:46AM1.66m | 3:30PM2.04m | 3:28AM1.69m | 3:59PM2.03m | 4:10AM1.72m | 4:28PM2.00m | 4:53AM1.77m | 4:57PM1.97m | 5:41AM1.81m | 5:30PM1.94m | 6:34AM1.85m | 6:09PM1.90m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:16AM0.38m | 9:13PM0.73m | 8:54AM0.40m | 9:46PM0.65m | 9:30AM0.45m | 10:18PM0.57m | 10:07AM0.52m | 10:50PM0.49m | 10:46AM0.60m | 11:24PM0.39m | 11:30AM0.70m | 00:04AM0.30m | 12:19PM0.80m | ||||||||
— | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | |
— | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | — | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
4168 | — | 102 | 2436 | 4745 | 3721 | 1904 | 1006 | 726 | 398 | 568 | 1109 | 1091 | 1467 | 2714 | 1832 | 1055 | 924 | 1082 | 879 | 773 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SE 11 |
— | — | — | 985 | 1859 | 1099 | 491 | 9 | 3 | 58 | 282 | 52 | 80 | 667 | 240 | 151 | 95 | 88 | 82 | 22 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 4 | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | ESE 12 | SSW 16 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 205 | — | — | 5 | 4 | — | 14 | 24 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | — | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 4 | SE 4 | ESE 4 | — | — |
2985 | 2740 | 2305 | 2092 | — | 31 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 | 6 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 66 | 66 | 455 | 454 | 10 | 120 | 40 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











