Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 27 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.8° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 3,111 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Thu 27th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 12s
Best Surf 4AM (Wed 2nd Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 4AM (Wed 2nd Sep)10ft (3.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the next couple of weeks. We’ve got some solid action lined up, but we’ll need to pick our moments. The window kicks off with a really nice, clean run.

Water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is just a touch warmer than average for this time of year—nothing crazy, but a little bonus.

The first standout is Thursday morning, August 27th, at Point Leo. It’s a reef set-up, fairly exposed to the south-west swell, and it’s a beginner-friendly spot. The waves are a clean 4ft from the south-west, with a 12-second period. The wind is light north-westerly, offshore, and glassy. The wave energy is moderate (440). It’s a mellow, fun-sized wave with perfect conditions. Crowds are possible here, but it’s worth it.

We’ve got a big run of building swell from Friday, August 28th, through to Monday, September 1st. Friday morning, August 28th, sees the swell jumping to 5ft from the south-west, with a long 18-second period. The wind is offshore north-west at 12 mph, and the wave energy is strong (2097). This is excellent for experienced surfers. The swell is getting a bit bigger, but it’s still in the fun zone if you know what you’re doing.

The real gem of the whole forecast lands on Monday, August 31st. The morning has 7ft from the south-west, 14-second period, with a light offshore north-west breeze. The wave energy is strong (1852). The afternoon, though, is the pick: 7ft from the south-west, a very long 15-second period, and glassy conditions with no wind. This is groundswell perfection, and for a point break like Point Leo, that long period sets up beautifully. The wave energy is very strong (2551). This is the best session on offer, but it’s a bit too big for beginners.

After that, Tuesday, September 1st, gets hit by strong north-north-west winds at 28 mph. The swell is still 5-6ft, but it’s going to be a battle to get out. The waves are clean, but it’s a paddle challenge. The following week offers a mix of solid, big swells, but wind and conditions become a factor. Wednesday, September 2nd, morning has 7ft from the south-west, 14-second period, with a moderate offshore north-west wind—clean and powerful for the experienced crew.

The swell gets serious from September 4th onward, with 10ft to 13ft south-west groundswells rolling through. The wind is often offshore, so the waves will be clean, but these are big lines. Anything over 8ft is strictly for experts. By September 7th, Monday, you’ve got 13ft from the south-west with a 15-second period and a fresh offshore north-west wind. The wave energy is extreme (7343). This is heavy, powerful, and not for the faint-hearted.

The last couple of days of the forecast, around September 10th and 11th, the swell drops back to a more manageable 4ft to 7ft, with some clean conditions returning. Friday afternoon, September 11th, ends the outlook with a glassy 4ft from the south-west, 14-second period, and light winds. It’s a nice, clean finish.

Overall, the prime window is Thursday August 27th for the mellow, clean start, and Monday August 31st for the absolute best combination of size, period, and glass. The big stuff from September 4th onward is for the experienced crew only.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Tue morning).

Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
4
3
3
3
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
3
1
1
4
4
1
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
12
1.1
SW
13
0.8
SW
20
1.4
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
2
SW
16
1.8
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
1.8
SW
12
2.1
SW
13
2.1
SW
14
2
SW
15
2.1
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
2.1
WSW
14
2.2
SW
14
2.3
WSW
14
2.2
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
344
392
517
1136
2595
1958
1307
1163
680
1103
1019
1460
1779
1684
2386
1494
1200
1748
1903
2060
1462
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
5
NW
20
NW
20
NW
15
SW
15
WSW
15
WNW
15
WSW
15
WNW
15
WNW
10
WSW
15
WNW
10
NNW
5
NW
25
NNW
45
N
45
NNW
15
W
20
NW
35
W
30
NW
Wind State
off
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
High Tide
11:22AM1.66m
10:38PM1.48m
12:12PM1.74m
11:51PM1.56m
12:50PM1.83m
00:48AM1.69m
1:24PM1.90m
1:35AM1.82m
1:55PM1.96m
2:17AM1.95m
2:25PM2.00m
2:57AM2.05m
2:56PM2.03m
3:38AM2.11m
Low Tide
5:24PM1.07m
5:16AM0.60m
6:19PM0.93m
6:12AM0.55m
7:00PM0.77m
7:00AM0.51m
7:35PM0.60m
7:42AM0.48m
8:08PM0.44m
8:21AM0.47m
8:40PM0.29m
8:59AM0.49m
9:14PM0.17m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:57
5:58
 mm
1
Temp °C
11
13
12
12
12
11
10
11
11
11
12
11
13
17
15
18
19
14
14
14
12
Feels °C
9
10
9
10
10
8
6
8
8
8
10
9
11
15
12
9
10
9
10
7
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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