Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 27 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.8° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 19s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,778 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 20s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 20s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Fri 28th Aug)2.5ft (0.8m) 20s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 28th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 19s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 28th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Looks like we’ve got a solid run of surf coming up at Point Leo. It kicks off Thursday afternoon with a clean 4 ft SW swell, period around 13 seconds, and a light offshore breeze. The water’s sitting at 56°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so nothing wild there. The combined energy is moderate at 567—nothing huge, but the conditions are clean and the reef setup will handle it nicely. This is a beginner-friendly spot, and it’s fairly consistent, so a good option to ease into the week.

Friday morning is where it starts to get exciting. The swell bumps up to 5 ft from the SW, but the period jumps to a very long 18 seconds, so we’re talking proper groundswell. Combined energy is strong at 1953. With a solid NW offshore breeze at 12 mph, the waves will be clean and well-shaped. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, and it could be a standout—just be aware the long period will make it a bit faster and more powerful, but that’s gold for a point break like this. Friday afternoon gets a bit messier with a cross-shore wind and 7 ft of SW swell, period 17 seconds—still plenty of energy (2507), but the quality drops, so I’d hit the morning.

Saturday and Sunday stay fun, with SW swell between 5 ft and 6 ft, periods around 13 to 14 seconds, and cross-offshore winds. Combined energy is moderate to strong (938 to 1346). The surf is clean enough, especially Saturday morning, but the scores aren’t top-tier—good for a paddle, not a hero session.

Now, Monday morning 31 August brings another highlight. Clear skies, NW offshore breeze at 6 mph, and a 7 ft SW swell with a 14-second period. Combined energy is strong at 1795. The waves will be solid and well-organized. Monday afternoon gets even better—glass-off conditions with a 6 ft SW swell (14-second period), combined energy at 2026. This is pristine, clean, and powerful. For experienced surfers, this is the true standout of the first week.

Tuesday 1 September has strong winds (25 mph) blowing cross-offshore and offshore through the day, with SW swell around 5 ft to 6 ft and long periods (15 to 16 seconds). The energy is still strong (1335 to 1631), but that wind is nuking—paddling will be a battle. The waves will be clean but not easy. Only for the strong.

Wednesday to Friday of that first week sees SW swell holding between 6 ft and 8 ft, periods around 14 seconds, with moderate to fresh offshore breezes. Combined energy stays strong (1346 to 2185). Conditions are clean but not top-tier—good surfing, but nothing that’ll blow your hair back.

Into the first week of September, Saturday 5 September is the standout of the entire outlook. A solid 10 ft SW swell (14-second period), combined energy at a massive 5770, with a gentle W wind making it cross-offshore and clean. This is big, powerful, and lined up—excellent for experienced surfers. It’s a true highlight, but at 10 ft, it’s too big for beginners—only the crew who know what they’re doing should be out there. Sunday 6 September drops back to 7 ft to 8 ft SW swell, still strong energy (1746 to 2173), but a NNE wind brings a bit of cross-offshore chop—still surfable, but less exciting.

Then there’s a gap. Monday 7 September is a write-off—SW winds near gale force at 31 mph, making cross-shore slop out of an 8 ft SSW swell. That’s kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing. Tuesday 8 September and Wednesday 9 September are poor as well, with weak energy (444 to 667) and onshore winds. The surf won’t be worth it.

But then it picks up again. Thursday 10 September brings a great morning: 8 ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period, combined energy at 3227, light offshore breeze from the NW, clean. This is excellent for experienced surfers—big, powerful groundswell. Afternoon holds 8 ft SW, 15-second period, 3022 energy, and a light cross-offshore breeze. Very clean and solid.

Friday 11 September tails off with 5 ft to 6 ft SW swell (13 to 14-second periods), combined energy around 994 to 1311, and light offshore breezes—still clean and fun, but a softer finish to the two-week run.

So, to wrap it up: the best on offer is Monday 31 August for the glassy afternoon session, and Saturday 5 September for the big, clean 10 ft swell—that’s the one to circle. The week after that has a rough patch in the middle, but Thursday 10 September delivers one more proper session before it fades.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Tue morning).

Thu
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
3
3
4
2
3
2
2
4
4
4
3
1
2
3
2
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
13
0.8
SW
20
1.4
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
2
SW
16
1.8
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
2.1
SW
14
1.9
SW
14
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.8
SW
14
2.1
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
2
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
392
455
1136
2454
1958
1307
902
680
1103
1052
1438
1641
1484
2166
1494
1200
1289
1761
1271
1387
Wind (km/h)
5
NW
15
NW
20
NW
15
SW
15
WSW
15
WNW
20
WSW
15
NW
15
WNW
15
SW
15
W
10
NW
0
SSW
20
N
40
N
40
NNW
20
W
30
W
20
WNW
25
NW
Wind State
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
10:38PM1.48m
12:12PM1.74m
11:51PM1.56m
12:50PM1.83m
00:48AM1.69m
1:24PM1.90m
1:35AM1.82m
1:55PM1.96m
2:17AM1.95m
2:25PM2.00m
2:57AM2.05m
2:56PM2.03m
3:38AM2.11m
Low Tide
5:24PM1.07m
5:16AM0.60m
6:19PM0.93m
6:12AM0.55m
7:00PM0.77m
7:00AM0.51m
7:35PM0.60m
7:42AM0.48m
8:08PM0.44m
8:21AM0.47m
8:40PM0.29m
8:59AM0.49m
9:14PM0.17m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:57
5:58
 mm
Temp °C
13
12
11
13
11
10
11
11
11
12
11
11
15
14
18
19
17
13
14
12
Feels °C
11
9
8
11
7
6
8
8
8
10
9
9
13
10
9
11
11
8
9
8
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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