Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 9,787 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid window of surf coming up at Point Leo, but it’s a mixed bag of proper groundswell and some nasty wind. The standout sessions are all about timing the offshore or glassy spells.
First up, the opener on Friday the 4th delivers a solid 10ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period. The combined wave energy is pumping at 4958 (moderate to strong), and with a moderate NW offshore breeze, it’ll be clean. This is excellent, experienced-only territory – way too big for beginners. Water temp is 56°, which is about average for this time of year.
Saturday the 5th is a write-off thanks to strong winds ramping up. Sunday the 6th morning sees a 8ft SW swell (14-second period, very long), with a cross-off wind - clean but marginal. The energy is strong at 4642, but the wind direction isn’t perfect.
Now, the first true standout: Tuesday the 8th. Morning brings a 4ft SW groundswell with an exceptional 18-second period - that’s very long period groundswell. With a light NNW offshore, it’s clean. The energy is moderate at 1684, but those long lines will wrap nicely around this reef. By afternoon, the wind goes glassy (WSW 5 km/h) with a 5ft 17-second SW swell. That’s glassy perfection for experienced surfers.
Wednesday the 9th is blown out again with strong cross-onshore wind and a messy 12ft+ swell. Too big and ugly. Thursday the 10th morning holds a 12ft, 17-second groundswell but the cross-shore wind ruins it - only for the brave and experienced.
The next highlight lands on Saturday the 12th. A 7ft SW swell with a 16-second period (very long) and glassy conditions - dead calm in the morning with zero wind. Combined energy sits at 2200 (moderate). This is a solid, clean session for experienced surfers. Crowds are possible here as this spot can get busy.
Sunday the 13th keeps it going. Morning offers a 6ft SW swell, 15-second period, with a light N cross-off breeze – clean. Afternoon turns glassy again (S 0 km/h). Both sessions are excellent for experienced surfers, with moderate energy around 1700.
Then we hit a lull. From Monday the 14th onwards, the swell drops fast. A few small pulses on the 19th: Saturday the 19th morning brings a 5ft SW swell with light N cross-off winds and moderate energy (1626) - clean and surfable for experienced surfers. Afternoon has a 5ft, 19-second groundswell (very long period) with light cross-on wind, but it’s marginal.
Overall, the best bets are Tuesday the 8th (glassy perfection) and Saturday the 12th (dead calm, solid groundswell). After the 13th, expect a quiet stretch until the 19th offers a small but clean window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat night, light winds from the SW by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4645 | 3415 | 2329 | 1761 | 3888 | 2633 | 1368 | 585 | 336 | 772 | 885 | 901 | 1282 | 1787 | 2865 | 9787 | 8868 | 7130 | 4878 | 3353 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | glassy | off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 4:02PM2.04m | 5:03AM2.09m | 4:39PM2.01m | 5:51AM2.01m | 5:21PM1.96m | 6:45AM1.91m | 6:11PM1.87m | 7:50AM1.81m | 7:15PM1.77m | 9:05AM1.76m | 8:39PM1.69m | 10:21AM1.77m | 10:13PM1.70m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:30PM0.05m | 10:53AM0.69m | 11:13PM0.07m | 11:37AM0.79m | 00:02AM0.13m | 12:28PM0.89m | 00:59AM0.24m | 1:33PM0.96m | 2:08AM0.36m | 2:56PM0.97m | 3:28AM0.44m | 4:22PM0.88m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — |
mm | — | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 4645 | 3415 | 2329 | 1761 | — | 2633 | 1368 | 585 | 336 | 772 | 885 | 721 | 1282 | 1787 | 2865 | 9787 | 8868 | 7130 | 4878 | 3353 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | — | — | SSW 8 | SSW 15 | WSW 16 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 5 | SW 23 | — | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 313 | 333 | 204 | — | — | 226 | 21 | 87 | 18 | 70 | 377 | 901 | 520 | 49 | 253 | — | 1209 | 907 | 834 | 588 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | SW 22 | S 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | — | — | 18 | 8 | 37 | 62 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | N 3 | NNW 5 | W 6 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SSW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 6 | — | — | — | WSW 6 | SW 8 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 15 | 8 | 48 | 139 | 3888 | 1762 | 68 | 80 | 122 | 97 | — | — | — | 107 | 546 | 6166 | 5756 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 52 | 390 | 460 | 324 | 61 | 62 | 61 | 454 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 454 | 324 | 135 | 135 | 10 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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