Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 12 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.6°C
0.9° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,308 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Sat 12th Sep)6.5ft (2.0m) 15s
Best Surf 7PM (Sat 12th Sep)6.5ft (2.0m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Tue 15th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got the full picture for Point Leo coming up.

Right off the bat, we’re looking at a solid run of surf starting this Saturday morning. The water temp sits at around 57°, pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thickest rubber just yet.

Now, Saturday the 12th is the standout. We’ve got a strong 7ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long 16-second period, packing serious energy. It’s a reef setup, so that long period will shape up beautifully. Morning is clean with a light cross-off breeze, and then Saturday afternoon turns absolutely glassy with a 3 mph southerly – that’s about as perfect as it gets. This is for experienced surfers though; 7ft with that much power is no joke for a beginner. The break is fairly exposed to the SW optimum, so it’s going to line up nicely. Crowds can be a thing here sometimes, so get in early.

Sunday the 13th drops off a bit. A 5ft SW groundswell (14-second period) is still clean in the morning, but that fresh 19 mph north wind is going to make it a bit lumpy. Afternoon is similar but smaller. This one is more of a pass unless you’re desperate for a paddle.

Monday the 14th brings lighter conditions. Morning sees a 3ft SW swell with offshore 12 mph NW wind, clean and small. It’s a mellow option for a beginner session.

Things go a bit wild from Tuesday the 15th. We get a jump to 8ft SW, but with strong 22 mph cross-off wind, it’s messy. Tuesday afternoon turns into a 12ft SW swell with 25 mph south-westerly cross-shore wind – that’s a washing machine. Not for surfing; looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Wednesday the 16th holds big 10ft SW swell, but with strong cross-onshore winds, it’s completely blown out. Thursday the 17th improves slightly with a 7ft SW swell and lighter cross-shore breeze, but still that slight cross-chop. Not the best.

Now, Friday the 18th is another proper highlight. A 5ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period hits, and we’ve got clean offshore winds out of the NW in the morning, shifting WNW in the afternoon. Energy is strong. This will be a well-shaped, powerful wave at the reef. Excellent for experienced surfers.

The following Saturday and Sunday (19th and 20th) are a write-off with fresh winds and dropping swell. Monday the 21st offers a 8ft WSW swell with 11-second period, but with cross-shore wind, it’s just okay. Not a standout.

Tuesday the 22nd is a dud – big 10ft swell but onshore wind ruins it.

Then we get another promising window from Wednesday the 23rd. A 7ft SW swell with a long 15-second period and light cross-off breeze looks clean for experienced surfers. Thursday the 24th is even better: a 7ft SW swell with gentle offshore WNW wind in the morning, then glassy conditions in the afternoon with a light SSE breeze. That’s top-tier.

Friday the 25th sees a massive 10ft SW swell with an extra-long 18-second period – huge energy. The wind is just a gentle cross-shore, so it’s manageable for experts. This one is an absolute beast for the reef.

The very end of the run, Saturday 26th, is blown out by near-gale force northerlies, and Sunday 27th serves up a ridiculous 21ft SW swell with 13-second period. That’s massive, for big wave specialists only, and even then the wind is fresh offshore – pure adrenaline.

So, the two true standouts are Saturday the 12th (glassy 7ft groundswell) and Friday the 18th (clean 5ft offshore). If you’re chasing big, clean swell later in the run, Thursday the 24th is also a beauty.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu night).

Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
1
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
3
3
4
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1
SW
14
0.9
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
2.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3
SW
14
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2295
1882
1279
1006
927
676
357
290
130
2462
3923
4308
3830
3398
2792
1830
1244
947
790
1415
1229
Wind (km/h)
10
N
5
SSE
15
NNE
30
N
30
N
10
N
20
NW
25
SW
30
WSW
35
WSW
40
SW
35
SSW
25
S
25
S
20
SSW
15
SSW
10
SW
10
NNW
25
NW
20
WNW
20
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
off
off
off
cross-off
High Tide
12:18PM1.90m
00:41AM1.92m
1:03PM1.96m
1:34AM2.03m
1:42PM2.01m
2:20AM2.11m
2:19PM2.03m
3:01AM2.13m
2:54PM2.02m
3:39AM2.11m
3:27PM1.98m
4:15AM2.05m
3:58PM1.93m
Low Tide
6:30PM0.53m
6:53AM0.46m
7:17PM0.36m
7:41AM0.46m
7:58PM0.23m
8:23AM0.48m
8:37PM0.16m
9:01AM0.52m
9:13PM0.14m
9:37AM0.57m
9:47PM0.17m
10:11AM0.64m
10:21PM0.24m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:26
6:24
6:22
6:20
6:20
6:18
6:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:06
6:07
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:09
6:10
 mm
2
2
Temp °C
17
19
17
20
20
19
15
15
15
11
11
10
11
11
11
10
10
9
17
19
16
Feels °C
15
18
15
14
14
16
12
11
11
3
1
0
4
5
5
7
7
7
13
15
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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