Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 26 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.8° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 19s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,927 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 27th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 13s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 28th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 19s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 28th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Alright, let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way for Point Leo, but it’s a slow starter. The first few days are pretty average, so don’t get too excited just yet. Things really start to fire up from Friday the 28th and keep pumping through to the start of September. There’s a bit of a gap of nothing much at the very beginning, but once it turns on, it’s on.

The water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is about 1°F warmer than usual for this time of year—nothing wild, just a touch on the mild side.

Right, the standout window kicks off on Friday morning, 28 August at Point Leo (reef). The swell is a clean 5ft from the SW, with a period of 18 seconds—that’s a proper long-period groundswell. The wind is offshore from the NW at 12 mph, keeping it glassy. The combined energy is strong (2097), and it’s set up for excellent conditions, but this one’s for experienced surfers only. The long period means the waves will have real shape and power, perfect for the reef, though you’ll want to be on your game.

The run continues strong through to Monday, 31 August. The morning of the 31st is a beauty: 6ft SW groundswell (14 seconds), light offshore from the NNW at 6 mph, clean as a whistle, and excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon is even better—6ft SW, 14 seconds, glassy offshore from the WNW at 3 mph, and energy is pumping (1780). That’s the pick of the bunch if you ask me.

From 1 September, the wind gets hairy. Tuesday the 1st has 6ft SW swell but with 28 mph cross-offshore winds—it’s clean but a battle to paddle into. The swell gets bigger as we go, but the wind stays strong. Wednesday morning, 2 September has 7ft SW at 15 seconds, with a gentler 9 mph cross-offshore, but it’s only marginal. By 3 and 4 September, we’re looking at 10ft plus, with fresh to strong offshore winds—definitely for the brave only.

Then, a real highlight: Saturday morning, 5 September. 7ft SW at 15 seconds, offshore from the WNW at 12 mph, combined energy of 2038—excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon is similar: 7ft, clean, offshore. That’s a solid session.

Now, Sunday 6 September is a washout. Swell hits 20ft to 21ft with gale-force winds. That’s not surfing, that’s survival. Avoid it.

Things settle again from Monday 7 September, but the swell stays big—10ft to 12ft—and the wind remains strong offshore. Tuesday afternoon, 8 September is another standout for the brave: 10ft SW at 15 seconds, offshore from the NNW at 16 mph, with massive energy (4705). Excellent for experts.

After that, the swell eases into the second week. By 10 September, we’re back to 5ft SW with lighter winds, but the wind turns onshore in the afternoon, so the magic fades.

So, the best on offer? Monday 31 August (morning and afternoon) for clean, powerful groundswell with light winds. And Saturday 5 September for another round of excellent, offshore conditions. Both are for experienced surfers, but they’re the ones to pencil in.

Stay safe, keep an eye on the wind, and I’ll catch you in the water.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Tue morning).

Wed
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
2
3
4
2
4
3
1
2
3
3
4
4
4
2
1
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
13
1.4
SW
13
1.2
SW
12
1.1
SW
13
0.8
SW
20
1.4
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
1.9
SW
16
1.8
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.7
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
1.9
SW
13
1.7
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.3
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
905
613
389
392
517
1136
2595
1806
1307
902
892
940
974
1228
1107
1374
1002
1494
1314
2085
Wind (km/h)
20
SW
10
SW
10
NNW
5
NW
20
NW
20
WNW
15
SW
15
WSW
15
WSW
15
SW
15
WSW
15
WNW
10
WSW
5
W
10
NW
5
WNW
30
NNW
45
NNW
40
NW
10
W
Wind State
cross
cross
off
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
High Tide
9:08PM1.46m
11:22AM1.66m
10:38PM1.48m
12:12PM1.74m
11:51PM1.56m
12:50PM1.83m
00:48AM1.69m
1:24PM1.90m
1:35AM1.82m
1:55PM1.96m
2:17AM1.95m
2:25PM2.00m
2:57AM2.05m
Low Tide
4:02PM1.16m
4:08AM0.63m
5:24PM1.07m
5:16AM0.60m
6:19PM0.93m
6:12AM0.55m
7:00PM0.77m
7:00AM0.51m
7:35PM0.60m
7:42AM0.48m
8:08PM0.44m
8:21AM0.47m
8:40PM0.29m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:57
 mm
4
Temp °C
12
11
10
13
12
11
12
11
10
11
11
11
11
11
13
17
15
19
19
14
Feels °C
7
8
7
11
9
10
9
7
7
8
8
9
9
10
11
15
11
11
11
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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