Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 18 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
12.9° C
0.4° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 2,982 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 20th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s
Best Surf10PM (Fri 21st Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 14s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug)8ft (2.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let's look at what's cookin' for Point Leo.

The main story for the next couple of weeks is a slow build into some serious groundswell towards the end of the current week and into the weekend, followed by a drop-off and then another promising pulse a week later. Right now, the water temp is sitting bang on average for this time of year at 55°.

Tuesday 18th kicks off with a bit of a whimper. We've got a small 4ft SW swell pushing in, but with a cross-shore breeze, it's gonna be a bit messy. The combined energy is moderate at 955. Not one to get too excited about.

Wednesday 19th is a write-off. Clean conditions from a strong offshore wind, sure, but the swell has dropped to 3ft. The energy's weak (260), and the N wind is howling at 25 mph. It’s a flat, blown-out day.

Things start to look up on Thursday 20th. A small, clean pulse moves in with a proper offshore breeze. The morning session will be small but glassy with that 2ft, 18-second groundswell. The energy is climbing (384), but it’s still a long-period swell that might break a bit straight. Thursday afternoon cleans up nicely with 3ft from the WSW and a gentle offshore, making for a tidy wave if you're on the right craft.

Friday 21st is where it gets real interesting. The morning is a standout. We’re looking at a clean 4ft WSW groundswell (15 seconds) with a consistent offshore WNW wind at 16 mph. The combined energy is strong at 973. This is a solid, surfable day.

The real highlight for experienced surfers is Saturday 22nd. We get a jump in swell height to a solid 8ft from the SW with a 16-second period. That’s groundswell with some serious punch – the energy is very strong at 3084 in the morning, jumping to 3126 in the afternoon. It's too big for the beginners, but for the rest of you, Saturday afternoon is top-tier. The wind swings to a light cross-off WNW breeze. For a reef break like Point Leo, that long-period SW groundswell with clean conditions is the recipe for some proper, lined-up waves. Crowds are possible here, but on a day like this, the ones who know will be out.

Sunday 23rd will still be pumping. The morning offers a clean 7ft SW swell (14 seconds) with a moderate offshore. The energy is very strong (2390). The absolute cherry on top is Sunday afternoon: the wind drops to glassy. Absolutely dead calm. You don't get that often with a 7ft swell. That afternoon session is the call for the experienced crew.

From Monday 24th into Tuesday 25th, the swell drops back to 5ft to 6ft, but the wind turns fresh and cross-off, making things lumpy and a bit of a chore.

Wednesday 26th and Thursday 27th are a bit of a nothing run. The swell drops to 3ft-5ft, and the wind is cross or cross-on. Not great.

Then, hold on for Friday 28th August. The morning looks like another fantastic offering. A clean offshore WNW wind (9 mph) meets a solid 8ft WSW groundswell. The combined energy is very strong at 2224. This is a late-season bonus and a great option for the weekend warriors.

Saturday 29th turns ugly with a 25 mph cross-on wind and lumpy surf.

Sunday 30th and Monday 31st clean up but the swell is small (2ft to 5ft) and the wind is howling offshore at 19-25 mph, making it hard work to stay in position and tough to paddle into.

The last couple of days into early September are small and clean, with gentle offshores, but nothing with the size or power of the week before.

So, if I had to call it: the absolute standouts are Friday 21st, but the true top-of-the-list is Saturday 22nd afternoon and Sunday 23rd afternoon. These are the days for the experienced surfer to circle. The Friday 28th August morning session also looks like a promising, though less certain, pulse a week out.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the N by Wed morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
0
0
2
2
2
2
3
2
4
3
4
4
4
4
3
1
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.5
SW
18
0.9
WSW
13
0.8
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
15
1.5
WSW
14
2.2
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
2.1
SW
14
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.9
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
597
621
465
251
239
217
157
303
219
791
947
2438
2944
2982
2614
1657
1541
1622
978
872
1010
Wind (km/h)
15
NE
5
ENE
15
NNE
40
N
40
N
25
NW
20
NW
15
NW
20
WNW
25
WNW
20
WNW
25
WNW
25
NW
15
WNW
15
W
20
NW
5
NW
15
NNW
30
NNW
25
NNW
25
NNW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
3:27PM2.12m
4:08AM2.04m
4:01PM2.07m
4:48AM1.99m
4:33PM1.99m
5:28AM1.90m
5:04PM1.90m
6:08AM1.81m
5:36PM1.80m
6:53AM1.71m
6:09PM1.70m
7:47AM1.63m
6:49PM1.61m
Low Tide
9:49PM0.16m
10:03AM0.53m
10:25PM0.18m
10:39AM0.64m
11:01PM0.23m
11:15AM0.75m
11:37PM0.31m
11:50AM0.87m
00:14AM0.40m
12:29PM0.98m
00:57AM0.48m
1:18PM1.08m
1:49AM0.56m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:49
5:50
 mm
2
2
3
2
2
Temp °C
16
18
16
15
14
14
14
14
12
13
13
13
12
13
13
12
15
13
15
16
14
Feels °C
14
16
12
7
6
8
9
11
8
9
9
9
7
10
10
9
13
10
9
11
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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