Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 4,081 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright mate, Rusty here again. Let’s break it down in feet and miles.
Water temp is 55°F, right about normal for the season.
The start is slow. Wednesday the 19th is a no-go – 2ft SW swell, cross-off wind, and no energy.
Thursday the 20th morning is a small but clean 2ft SW swell with offshore wind. Light energy, but clean.
Friday the 21st afternoon is a standout: 6ft WSW swell, 14 seconds, offshore wind, and the energy is pumping (1574). Solid groundswell, good for experienced surfers.
Saturday the 22nd is a beauty. Morning has 8ft SW swell, 15 seconds, offshore wind, and energy is cranking (2620). Big, clean, powerful. Not for beginners.
Sunday the 23rd afternoon is another winner: 6ft SW swell, 13 seconds, offshore wind, and glassy conditions. Energy is strong (1665).
Monday the 24th afternoon is a small, clean option with 3ft SW swell and offshore wind.
Tuesday the 25th to Wednesday the 26th is a write-off with onshore winds. The 26th afternoon has a 12ft SW swell but short period and onshore – that’s kite surf territory.
Thursday the 27th is clean and small: 4ft SW swell with light offshore winds.
Friday the 28th afternoon is the biggest standout: 10ft SW swell, 17 seconds, cross-off wind, and energy is massive (4781). A true groundswell event for experts only.
Saturday the 29th is big but messy with cross-on winds.
Sunday the 30th is a mixed bag, not great.
Monday the 31st morning is a hidden gem: 4ft SW swell, 16 seconds, glassy, and solid energy (1539). Clean, long-period groundswell for the reef.
September starts small and clean, nothing special. The 3rd of September has a glassy morning with 3ft WSW swell – a nice mellow session.
The best sessions are Friday the 21st afternoon, Saturday the 22nd, Sunday the 23rd afternoon, and Friday the 28th afternoon. The 28th is the biggest, but the 22nd and 23rd are the most consistent and clean.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Wed night, light winds from the W by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 217 | 157 | 222 | 219 | 693 | 996 | 2573 | 3778 | 3987 | 2801 | 1811 | 1034 | 1630 | 978 | 911 | 1169 | 1092 | 913 | 1179 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:48AM1.99m | 4:33PM1.99m | 5:28AM1.90m | 5:04PM1.90m | 6:08AM1.81m | 5:36PM1.80m | 6:53AM1.71m | 6:09PM1.70m | 7:47AM1.63m | 6:49PM1.61m | 8:56AM1.58m | 7:45PM1.52m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:25PM0.18m | 10:39AM0.64m | 11:01PM0.23m | 11:15AM0.75m | 11:37PM0.31m | 11:50AM0.87m | 00:14AM0.40m | 12:29PM0.98m | 00:57AM0.48m | 1:18PM1.08m | 1:49AM0.56m | 2:28PM1.15m | 2:54AM0.61m | ||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  | | |  | |  | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — |
mm | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 217 | 147 | 116 | 175 | 693 | 996 | 2573 | 3097 | 2953 | 2801 | 1811 | 1034 | 1630 | 978 | 911 | 1169 | 1092 | 913 | 1179 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | — | — | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | W 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 61 | 157 | 222 | 219 | 98 | 460 | — | — | — | 149 | 522 | 719 | 209 | 9 | 15 | 82 | 152 | 268 | 355 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | WSW 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | — | — | W 21 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 5 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 97 | — | — | — | — | 37 | 62 | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 7 | W 4 | W 8 | NW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | — | — | NW 3 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | SW 12 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 15 | 13 | 38 | 24 | 111 | 18 | 7 | 3778 | 3987 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 16 | 6 | 786 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 52 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 62 | 0 | 62 | 62 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 53 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 128 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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