Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 26 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.9° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,778 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 27th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 13s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 28th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 13s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 28th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s cooking for Point Leo.

The forecast starts a bit flat, but don’t worry, we’ve got a solid run of swell coming. The first few days are a bit of a washout, but things clean up nicely. The water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is about average for this time of year, so the rubber is still on.

Wednesday the 26th and Wednesday afternoon are a no-go. You’ve got a 5ft SW swell with a moderate cross-shore breeze and a chop, the energy is high (1105) but the quality is poor. Thursday the 27th morning is where we see the first real glimmer. The swell drops to 4ft from the SW, but the wind swings to a gentle offshore from the NW, cleaning things up. The energy is moderate (485). Thursday afternoon gets even better with a glassy 4ft SW swell, a period of 13 seconds, and moderate energy (567). This is a nice, clean session for a beginner.

Now, Friday the 28th morning is a standout. The swell picks up to 5ft from the SW, and that 18-second period is very long, meaning it’s a proper groundswell. The wind is a moderate offshore from the NW, and the energy is strong (2097). For experienced surfers, this is excellent. The point break setup will handle that long period beautifully. Friday afternoon gets a bit messier with a cross-shore wind, so morning is the call.

Saturday the 29th through to Monday the 31st sees a steady run of clean, surfable conditions. Saturday morning has a 6ft SW swell with a cross-offshore wind, and the energy is strong (1237). Sunday the 30th is looking very good – a consistent 6ft to 6ft SW swell, clean conditions, and moderate energy. Monday the 31st is the absolute gem of the first week. Monday morning has a 7ft SW swell and a light cross-offshore breeze, making for clean, powerful waves. Monday afternoon goes glassy with a 5ft SW swell. The energy is strong (1485-1575). Get out there if you can.

Tuesday the 1st of September gets a bit wild with a strong breeze, but the swell is still there. It’s not the best. Wednesday the 2nd morning is a return to form with a 6ft SW swell, a moderate offshore wind, and strong energy (1589). Excellent for experienced surfers.

The second week brings some serious size. Thursday the 3rd of September morning has a 7ft SW swell and a fresh offshore wind, but it’s a bit raw. The energy is very strong (2125). Thursday afternoon sees the swell hit 8ft, but it’s still a bit lumpy. This is for experts only. Friday the 4th is the biggest of the forecast. The swell hits 10ft to 12ft from the SW, with very strong energy (6421-7543). The wind is light, but the sheer size will make it a challenge. This is a big, powerful groundswell.

Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th of September are a reward. The swell drops to a more manageable 8ft to 6ft, with clean, offshore winds. The energy is strong (3037-1273). This is the best stretch of the second week. The rest of the week gets a bit messy with wind and rain, but there are still some windows.

The absolute best on offer is Monday the 31st of August, with that glassy afternoon session and the 5ft SW swell. For the second week, Saturday the 5th of September morning with the 8ft offshore swell is a true standout. This is a reef break, so it’s not for the faint of heart, and crowds are possible. It’s going to be a good run.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the NNW by Mon night).

Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
2
2
3
4
3
3
2
1
2
3
3
4
4
4
2
1
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.4
SW
13
1.2
SW
12
1.1
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.4
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
1.7
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.3
SW
13
1.7
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
2
SW
14
2
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
2
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1079
905
613
389
392
569
1136
2483
1591
1196
915
552
954
1021
1507
1485
802
1953
1265
975
1761
Wind (km/h)
20
SSW
20
SW
10
SW
15
NW
5
NW
20
NW
20
NW
15
SSW
15
SW
15
W
20
SW
15
WSW
15
W
15
SW
5
WNW
5
N
5
WSW
25
N
45
NNW
30
NW
15
N
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
off
glassy
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
High Tide
10:15AM1.59m
9:08PM1.46m
11:22AM1.66m
10:38PM1.48m
12:12PM1.74m
11:51PM1.56m
12:50PM1.83m
00:48AM1.69m
1:24PM1.90m
1:35AM1.82m
1:55PM1.96m
2:17AM1.95m
2:25PM2.00m
2:57AM2.05m
Low Tide
4:02PM1.16m
4:08AM0.63m
5:24PM1.07m
5:16AM0.60m
6:19PM0.93m
6:12AM0.55m
7:00PM0.77m
7:00AM0.51m
7:35PM0.60m
7:42AM0.48m
8:08PM0.44m
8:21AM0.47m
8:40PM0.29m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:52
6:50
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:57
 mm
Temp °C
12
12
11
10
13
12
12
12
11
10
11
11
11
11
11
14
18
16
20
21
16
Feels °C
7
7
8
7
11
10
10
9
8
6
7
9
9
9
10
13
17
13
13
15
16
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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