Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,777 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, I’ve got a solid look at the next 16 days of swell for Point Leo, a reef break that’s fairly exposed to the southwest. Water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there. Let’s get into it.
The first real window of good surf kicks off Thursday morning, August 13th. We’ve got a big 9.8ft SW groundswell rolling in with a 16-second period—that’s a long-period groundswell, packing serious energy. The combined wave energy is a hefty 5036, which is strong. Onshore winds are offshore from the WNW at 15.5 mph, so the waves will be clean and well-shaped. This is top-tier for experienced surfers only—that size and power is no joke for beginners. Point Leo is a reef, so it’ll handle that long-period groundswell well. Crowds are possible here, but the quality on offer should be worth it.
Thursday afternoon stays solid with the same 9.8ft SW swell, period at 16 seconds, energy at 4590. Winds go light from the west at 6.2 mph, cross-off, so it’s still clean. Still excellent for experienced surfers.
Friday morning, August 14th, the swell holds at 9.8ft from the SW, period still 16 seconds, energy 3920. Offshore winds from the WNW at 12.4 mph keep it clean. The score tells me this is still very good, but again, expert territory.
Friday afternoon things start to shift—same swell size but period drops to 15 seconds, and winds go cross-shore from the SW at 12.4 mph, making it choppy and marginal. That’s the end of the standout run.
Saturday and Sunday, August 15th and 16th, see the swell dropping into the 7.9ft to 5.2ft range, but winds are cross-onshore and onshore, making conditions pretty messy. Not worth paddling out.
Monday, August 17th, is still marginal with onshore winds, but the swell is around 5.2ft to 5.6ft. Nothing to get excited about.
Now, Tuesday morning, August 18th, is a nice little surprise. The swell is down to 4.3ft from the SW, period 14 seconds, but we get a cross-off breeze from the NNE at 9.3 mph. The energy is 1086, moderate, and conditions are clean. This is a very good session for a smaller day—good for a range of surfers.
Wednesday, August 19th, the swell drops to 2.6ft with poor conditions. A quiet day.
Thursday, August 20th, the swell picks up to 3.6ft to 4.3ft, with a strong offshore from the north at 18.6 mph. The energy is around 729 to 826, which is moderate. The wind is strong offshore, making it clean but tricky to paddle into. Still, it’s marginal overall.
Friday, August 21st, is a gem. The swell is 4.3ft from the SW, period 14 seconds, and we get light cross-off winds from the WSW in the morning, then glassy conditions in the afternoon with zero wind. The afternoon is glassy—clean, smooth, and fun for a small wave session. Energy is moderate at 639. This is a very good small-wave day.
Saturday, August 22nd, the swell builds to 5.9ft, but the wind is a strong offshore from the NW at 21.7 mph. That’s a fresh offshore, which will make the waves clean but the paddle-out a battle. Only for the keen and fit.
Sunday, August 23rd, the wind gets even stronger—27.9 mph offshore from the NW. The swell is 5.6ft from the WSW. It’s clean but very hard to paddle into. This is for experts only, and the conditions are marginal.
Monday, August 24th, the swell is back up to 5.9ft to 6.9ft, with a fresh offshore wind from the NW and WNW. The period is 13 to 16 seconds, and energy is 2047 to 2146, moderate to strong. This could be a good session for experienced surfers who can handle the wind.
Now, the standout in the second week: Tuesday, August 25th, the swell jumps to 11.5ft from the WSW, period 14 seconds, and the energy is a massive 7561. That’s strong to very strong. Winds are strong offshore from the west at 24.9 mph, so it’s clean but very challenging. This is definitely for experts only, and it’s promising but far out, so keep an eye on it.
The rest of the week sees the swell dropping and winds turning onshore, so not much to recommend.
Finally, Thursday, August 27th, is another highlight. The swell is 5.9ft from the SW, period 17 seconds—very long period groundswell—and the energy is 2320, moderate. The wind is glassy from the SE at 3.1 mph. This is excellent for experienced surfers,
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
5645 | 4777 | 4272 | 4327 | 3650 | 3557 | 3280 | 2491 | 2341 | 1712 | 1163 | 965 | 924 | 951 | 1438 | 1246 | 648 | 612 | 471 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | on | cross |
High Tide | 10:04PM1.74m | 11:50AM1.94m | 11:29PM1.79m | 12:45PM2.02m | 00:42AM1.88m | 1:31PM2.09m | 1:43AM1.98m | 2:13PM2.13m | 2:37AM2.04m | 2:51PM2.14m | 3:24AM2.06m | 3:27PM2.12m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:54AM0.25m | 5:49PM0.85m | 6:02AM0.25m | 6:51PM0.66m | 7:02AM0.26m | 7:42PM0.47m | 7:55AM0.29m | 8:28PM0.31m | 8:41AM0.35m | 9:10PM0.21m | 9:24AM0.43m | 9:49PM0.16m | |||||||
— | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
4580 | 4777 | 4272 | 4327 | 3650 | 3557 | 3280 | 2491 | 2341 | 1712 | 1163 | 965 | 924 | 951 | 1438 | 1246 | 648 | 612 | 471 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | SE 4 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | ESE 4 |
— | 259 | 318 | — | 270 | 270 | — | 128 | 239 | 265 | 3 | 5 | — | 4 | 105 | 91 | 358 | 51 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | ESE 4 | — | SSW 17 | — | SSW 15 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57 | 6 | — | 58 | — | 23 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 4 | — | ESE 4 | E 6 | ESE 6 | — |
5645 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 9 | 14 | 13 | — | 7 | 22 | 12 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











