
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 2,053 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been watching this stretch of water like a hawk. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but hold tight, because the back half of this outlook is where the magic happens.
Alright, let’s start with the overall pattern. The waves are pretty much all coming from the southwest, with some west-southwest mixed in, and we’re looking at solid groundswell energy. The water temp’s about average for this time of year, so nothing spooky there. The first few days are a bit rough, with strong winds and cross-chop making things messy, but there’s a clear window of excellence coming up if you’re patient.
Point Leo – a reef break that’s fairly consistent and beginner-friendly, but it can get a bit busy. It’s fairly exposed to the swell, so it picks up the juice.
The run kicks off on Sunday 2 August but it’s a write-off. The swell’s pushing 5.9 ft from the southwest, with a very long 16-second period, so the energy’s there (1744), but that fresh north wind is blowing cross-off, making it clean but marginal. The afternoon’s the same story. Not worth paddling out unless you’re desperate.
Monday 3 August is no better. Morning has a strong 25 mph offshore wind from the northwest, which is clean but howling. The swell’s 4.9 ft from the southwest, 15-second period, but the wind’s so strong you’ll struggle to get into anything. The energy’s dropped to 940. Skip it. Afternoon’s got rain and a fresh cross-off wind, with 5.9 ft from the west-southwest. Still marginal.
Tuesday 4 August – the swell bumps up to 7.5 ft in the morning, west-southwest, 13-second period, but it’s cross-off with a fresh breeze. The energy’s moderate at 1748, but the quality’s not there. Afternoon gets worse – 8.2 ft from the southwest, but a fresh cross-shore wind and lumpy cross-chop. That’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle session.
Wednesday 5 August through to Thursday 6 August – it’s a bust. The swell drops to 2.0 ft–3.6 ft, energy’s weak (400–649), and the wind’s cross-shore with chop. Don’t even bother.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday 7 August – morning delivers a 5.2 ft southwest swell, 16-second period, with a light breeze from the north-northeast. The wind’s cross-off, making it clean, and the energy’s moderate (1439). The conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. This is a standout. The afternoon gets a light cross-on from the south, but it’s clean enough with small ripples. If you’re free, get out there.
Saturday 8 August – morning is sweet. 5.2 ft from the southwest, 16-second period, a gentle breeze from the north, cross-off, and the energy’s 1290. The surf is very good, and it’s clean. Afternoon is even better with a light breeze, 4.6 ft, energy 1013. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.
Sunday 9 August – the swell drops to 3.3 ft–3.6 ft, and the energy’s weak (589–609). The wind’s cross-off but moderate. Not worth the wetsuit.
Monday 10 August – a fresh offshore from the northwest is blowing at 22 mph, with a 5.2 ft southwest swell, 19-second period. That’s a very long period groundswell, so the energy’s strong (2076), but the wind’s howling. It’s clean but hard to paddle into. Afternoon’s got 6.6 ft from the west-southwest, 17-second period, energy 2379. Still fresh and cross-off. Great for the well-equipped, but not for the faint-hearted.
Tuesday 11 August – the swell stays around 4.6 ft–5.6 ft, but the wind’s a fresh
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sat night, strong winds from the NW by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue night, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
2413 | 1591 | 1297 | 936 | 940 | 1409 | 1533 | 1748 | 1628 | 897 | 281 | 289 | 380 | 206 | 242 | 552 | 1384 | 1135 | 1643 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 1:51AM1.68m | 2:32PM2.01m | 2:34AM1.76m | 3:01PM2.03m | 3:15AM1.84m | 3:29PM2.04m | 3:56AM1.91m | 3:57PM2.03m | 4:37AM1.95m | 4:28PM2.02m | 5:22AM1.97m | 5:02PM1.99m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:00AM0.42m | 8:45PM0.61m | 8:38AM0.43m | 9:16PM0.49m | 9:15AM0.47m | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:52AM0.52m | 10:20PM0.27m | 10:30AM0.60m | 10:55PM0.19m | 11:11AM0.69m | 11:36PM0.14m | |||||||
— | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | — | — | SW 21 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 |
2413 | 1591 | 1297 | 936 | 940 | 580 | 1042 | — | — | 154 | 281 | 289 | 380 | 175 | 242 | 365 | 1384 | 1135 | 1643 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | WSW 20 | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | S 21 | S 6 | SSW 6 | SW 18 | SSW 5 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SW 19 | SSW 17 |
311 | 153 | 140 | 37 | — | — | 192 | — | — | 9 | 47 | 33 | 197 | 19 | 110 | 552 | 55 | 621 | 58 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SSW 4 | ESE 8 | SSW 19 | — |
— | — | — | 37 | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | 239 | 284 | 30 | 206 | 65 | 6 | 7 | 140 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NW 4 | WNW 5 | WSW 15 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | SW 5 | — | SSW 5 | — | — | — | E 3 |
10 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 1409 | 1533 | 1748 | 1628 | 897 | 80 | 43 | 42 | — | 12 | — | — | — | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 30 | 20 | 30 | 96 | 62 | 8 | 62 | 78 | 10 | 10 | 62 | 53 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











