Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 08 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
12.9° C
0.2° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 8,861 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 3.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 13th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 15s
Best Surf10PM (Thu 13th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 4AM (Thu 13th Aug)15ft (4.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a slow burn, but there’s some serious potential if you’re patient.

The first real action kicks off on Saturday, 9th August. Don’t get too excited about the morning though—it’s a bit of a mess with a strong cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions. The afternoon cleans up a bit, but the swell is only around 3 feet and the energy is pretty weak. Not the day to go burning the fuel.

Now, Monday, 10th August... that’s when things start to get interesting. The swell builds quickly, hitting 6 feet in the morning with a long 19-second period, and the combined energy is already ramping up (2755). By the afternoon, it’s a solid 10 feet from the SW with a 17-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, and it’s got some serious grunt behind it (4939). The wind is cross-off, so it’ll be clean. This is a big swell though—over 8 feet—so it’s really only for the experienced crew. Beginners, stay on the beach for this one.

The standout of the whole run, no question, is Thursday, 13th August. You’ve got a 13 foot SW swell first thing in the morning, with a fresh offshore wind from the WNW. That’s a dream combo. The energy is massive (7559) and the period is a solid 16 seconds. The afternoon gets even bigger, with the same 13 foot height but the energy jumps to a whopping 14706. The wind is still cross-off, but it’s a clean, powerful, proper reef-break day. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Point Leo (Mornington Peninsula) is going to be an absolute beast. The water temp is around 55°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The run continues with solid 10 to 12 foot swells through Friday and into Saturday, 15th August. The wind stays light, and the conditions are clean. It’s still big, expert-only territory, but the quality is there. By Sunday, 16th August, the swell drops to a more manageable 6 feet, and we get a lump of glassy conditions in the morning—zero wind, perfect shape. That’s a great window for the more experienced intermediate surfers.

After that, the week of the 17th to the 20th sees a bit of a dip. The swell backs off to 5 to 6 feet, and the wind is mostly light but not ideal. The energy levels drop off, and the conditions are marginal. It’s not a write-off, but it’s not the main event.

Now, look ahead to Friday, 21st August. That’s a promising one, but it’s a week and a half away, so treat it with a bit of caution. The forecast shows an 8 foot SW swell with a 16-second period, and glassy conditions in the morning. Energy is solid (3559). That’s a classic setup for a clean, powerful point break, but it’s still expert territory due to the size. The Saturday after that, 22nd August, has a nice 6 foot SW swell with a moderate offshore wind—clean and fun for the more experienced.

Overall, the window from the 10th to the 16th is the real deal, with the 13th being the absolute best. After that, it’s a bit of a mixed bag, but the 21st looks promising if it holds. Crowds at Point Leo can be a problem, especially on the good days, so get in early. This is a reef break, so the long-period groundswells will line up beautifully, but beginners need to steer clear when it’s over 8 feet.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Mon morning). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Wed afternoon, moderate winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
3
2
3
0
0
2
0
3
5
7
7
4
5
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1
SW
13
1.2
SW
16
1.9
SW
19
3
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
2.1
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
17
2.1
SW
16
3
WSW
19
5
SW
12
4
SW
16
4
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
14
3
SW
15
3.5
SW
17
3
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1239
1193
857
548
347
711
2612
4939
1194
1838
1033
1172
2160
7225
7474
7428
7857
5153
4209
6410
4819
Wind (km/h)
25
N
20
NNW
25
NE
30
NE
40
N
15
E
40
NNW
25
W
35
W
30
NW
40
NNW
45
N
40
NW
55
WSW
40
WSW
35
WNW
30
W
25
NW
20
WNW
20
W
15
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
5:41PM1.95m
7:08AM1.91m
6:27PM1.90m
8:14AM1.86m
7:25PM1.83m
9:29AM1.84m
8:38PM1.76m
10:44AM1.87m
10:04PM1.74m
11:50AM1.94m
11:29PM1.79m
12:45PM2.02m
00:42AM1.88m
Low Tide
11:56AM0.80m
00:23AM0.12m
12:47PM0.91m
1:19AM0.15m
1:50PM1.01m
2:24AM0.19m
3:09PM1.05m
3:38AM0.23m
4:34PM0.99m
4:54AM0.25m
5:49PM0.85m
6:02AM0.25m
6:51PM0.66m
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:11
7:09
7:09
7:07
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
5:38
5:39
5:40
 mm
2
3
9
5
2
2
3
3
1
1
Temp °C
15
15
13
12
13
13
8
13
12
11
11
11
12
10
10
13
14
11
12
12
12
Feels °C
10
10
9
6
5
7
-1
5
5
3
2
1
1
-2
-1
6
10
6
8
7
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Point Leo:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Point Leo surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest