Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and we’ve got a cracking run ahead at Point Leo. This reef break is the only show in town for the next 16 days, and honestly, it’s shaping up to be a ripper for the experienced crew. The water’s sitting at 55°F which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there – just get in and enjoy it.

The action kicks off Friday morning, August 14 with a meaty 10ft SW swell, period a very long 16 seconds, meaning groundswell with real punch. Combined energy is strong at 4302, and with that NW wind blowing offshore at 12 mph, it’s clean and lined up. This is serious surf – over 8ft, so experts only. The optimum swell direction is SW, and that’s exactly what we’ve got. Friday afternoon drops a touch to 8ft but stays clean with a cross-offshore breeze. Saturday the 15th is a beauty – 8ft SW swell, glassy conditions in the morning with barely a breath of wind, and the energy still pumping at 2742. That morning session is a standout: clean, powerful, and the reef will be handling that long-period swell beautifully. Keep in mind, because of that long period (15 seconds), the waves will be well-shaped but sets will be spaced out, making paddling out a bit easier for the fit surfer.

From Saturday afternoon the wind swings onshore, and while the swell sticks around, quality drops. Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th are plagued by cross-onshore or onshore winds, making things choppy and marginal. The swell drops below 7ft, energy falls into the moderate range (973 to 767), and the scores reflect it’s not worth paddling out unless you’re bored. There’s a gap of poor conditions from late Saturday all through Monday.

Tuesday the 18th is still lacklustre with small 4-5ft SW swell and onshore wind – give it a miss. Wednesday and Thursday the 19th-20th are tiny, with swell down around 2-3ft, even though it’s clean. Not much to work with, energy is weak (267 to 441). Friday the 21st sees a return with a 4ft SW swell, clean offshore wind in the morning, and energy building back to 754. It’s a gentle reintroduction – beginner-friendly size but with proper shape.

Then Saturday the 22nd brings a wild card: an 12ft SW swell, but it’s wind-affected by a strong 28 mph WSW breeze, and the period drops to 9 seconds – short-period, sloppy energy. Combined energy is 2027, but with that wind, it’s more of a kite-surfing day than anything else. That passes quickly.

Sunday the 23rd is a standout: 8ft SW swell, period back to 15 seconds, a gentle cross-offshore breeze, and energy at 2753. Clean, powerful, and for experienced surfers only. Monday the 24th is another cracker – 7-8ft SW swell, moderate offshore NW wind at 12-16 mph keeping it glassy, energy around 1900-2000. This is the pick of the second week.

Tuesday the 25th jumps to a solid 13ft SW swell but with short 10-second period and strong offshore wind. It’s big, raw, and for experts only – the energy is very strong at 3228, but that short period makes it more walled-up. Wednesday the 26th holds big 12-13ft SSW swell with energy 4326-5014, but wind is cross-shore to cross-offshore, making it workable only for the brave.

From Thursday the 27th onward, the swell fades gradually with 7ft down to 5ft by the 29th. Saturday the 29th finishes the run nicely: 6ft SW swell in the morning with glassy conditions and a light offshore, then Saturday afternoon turns to glass with 5ft and barely a breath of wind – a smooth sign-off for the less experienced or anyone wanting clean, fun waves.

Crowds at Point Leo are sometimes an issue, so for those standout morning sessions – especially Saturday the 15th and Monday the 24th – get in early. This reef loves SW swell, and we’ve got plenty of it.

Rusty.

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