Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 25 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.9° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 18s period, SW swell with 2,960 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 27th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 13s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 28th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 13s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 28th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for us at Point Leo. The pattern is a bit of a slow starter, but it builds into some proper sessions, especially for those who don’t mind a bit of size.

The water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is about average for this time of year, so you won't need the thickest steamer, but it ain't warm yet.

We’ve got a bit of a wait for the first solid call. The first real standout lands on Friday the 28th of August in the morning. We’re looking at a 5ft swell thumping in from the SW, but the period is a massive 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and with a combined energy reading of 2253 (moderate-to-strong power), those lines will have some serious weight behind them. The wind is blowing moderate offshore from the NW, keeping the faces clean. This is an excellent setup for experienced surfers – the long period means it’ll be walling up nicely at this reef, but the sets will be a little more spaced out, giving you time to get into position. Keep in mind, with the swell over 5ft, it’s starting to push beyond beginner territory.

Another beauty is on Monday the 31st of August. The morning kicks off with a 7ft SW swell at a 15-second period (moderate groundswell energy) and a light, cross-off breeze from the NNW. The combined energy is a healthy 2012, packing a punch. Then the afternoon turns even better with the same 7ft at 17 seconds and glassy conditions – WNW wind dropping to nothing. That’s a full day of clean, powerful waves. Again, this is expert territory at over 8ft, but for those who can handle it, it’s a cracker. Crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might get a few out, but with that size, it’ll thin the herd.

Looking further out, Friday the 4th of September afternoon has potential with a 8ft SW swell, a 14-second period, and a light cross-off breeze from the WNW. Combined energy is a strong 2483. It’s a weekend ahead, so expect company, but it’s another clean, solid option for the crew who know what they’re doing.

There’s a bit of a gap in quality around the 7th of September where the wind turns nasty, and the swell drops off and gets messy – that’s a few days to stay out of the water. But we pick back up on Tuesday the 8th of September morning, with a 7ft SW swell at 14 seconds, though the wind is strong at 25 mph. It’s cross-off, so it’s clean, but with that much wind, it’s more for the hellmen.

The real late-game standout is Wednesday the 9th of September afternoon. We’ve got an 8ft swell from the WSW, with a very long 17-second period. The combined energy is a massive 4339 (very strong). The wind is a moderate cross-off from the WSW, keeping it clean. This is a powerful, expert-only swell that will be charging hard into the reef. It’s a week and a half out, so treat it as promising but not locked in yet.

In the end, the Friday 28th of August morning and the Monday 31st of August all day are your best bets. Get on it while the wind is your mate.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
0
1
1
2
2
2
3
4
3
4
2
1
1
3
2
4
4
4
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
13
1.6
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.6
SW
13
1
SW
12
1.1
SW
13
1.3
SW
13
1.4
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
1.9
SW
16
1.7
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.2
SW
13
1.6
SW
13
1.3
SW
17
2.2
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2.1
SW
17
1.9
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
851
1094
1163
905
802
268
392
569
1136
2626
1806
1220
834
501
878
897
2094
2012
2386
1764
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
25
SW
20
SSW
20
SW
10
SW
15
NW
5
NW
20
NW
20
NW
10
SSW
15
WSW
20
W
20
SW
10
SW
5
SW
10
S
5
NNE
10
NNW
5
WNW
25
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
off
glassy
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
glassy
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
7:45PM1.52m
10:15AM1.59m
9:08PM1.46m
11:22AM1.66m
10:38PM1.48m
12:12PM1.74m
11:51PM1.56m
12:50PM1.83m
00:48AM1.69m
1:24PM1.90m
1:35AM1.82m
1:55PM1.96m
2:17AM1.95m
Low Tide
2:54AM0.61m
4:02PM1.16m
4:08AM0.63m
5:24PM1.07m
5:16AM0.60m
6:19PM0.93m
6:12AM0.55m
7:00PM0.77m
7:00AM0.51m
7:35PM0.60m
7:42AM0.48m
8:08PM0.44m
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:52
6:50
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:54
5:55
 mm
Temp °C
13
13
12
12
11
10
13
12
12
12
11
10
11
11
11
11
11
14
17
15
Feels °C
10
10
7
8
8
7
11
10
10
10
8
6
7
8
10
8
11
12
15
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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