Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 9,161 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Fri 3rd Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G'day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for Point Leo.
We’re starting off rough. Friday, July 3rd has a big 15 ft SW swell with a 16-second period, but a 28 km/h cross-off wind is making it ugly. The combined wave energy is extreme at 10096, but the surf quality is poor—it’s a mess. That afternoon stays big and windy.
Saturday the 4th is still lumpy with 8-10 ft SW swell and moderate cross-shore wind. Not worth it.
Sunday the 5th is a total washout—onshore wind and lumpy. We’ve got a few days of poor conditions until Monday the 6th.
Monday morning the 6th sees the swell drop to 5 ft from the SW with a 14-second period, and a light cross-off breeze from the NNE—clean. Combined energy is moderate at 1015. Water temp is 57°, about normal for this time of year. It’s the first surfable window. Crowds can show up sometimes.
Tuesday the 7th is better. Morning has 3 ft SW swell with a long 17-second period and offshore wind from the NW at 9 km/h. Clean. Afternoon gets to 4 ft with the same clean offshore flow. Combined energy is low-moderate, quality good.
Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th see size back up to 5-7 ft but with cross-onshore and chop—marginal.
The real standout? Sunday the 12th afternoon: 7 ft SW swell (13 seconds) with clean offshore wind from the NNW at 12 km/h. Combined energy moderate at 1737. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers—this is the pick of the first week. It’s a reef break, so that long-period groundswell will wrap well.
Monday the 13th gets blown out again with 8 ft and onshore wind. That lasts into Tuesday the 14th.
Then a gem on Thursday the 16th morning: absolute glass—zero wind, 6 ft SW swell at 14 seconds. Combined energy 2228, excellent for experienced surfers. That morning will be magic. That afternoon switches to a short-period 12 ft SSE swell at 8 seconds—less quality.
The last days, Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th, clean up with small 4-4 ft SW swell and glassy or offshore winds. Good for a longboard.
Best standalone sessions: Sunday 12th afternoon and Thursday 16th morning. Second week has smaller but clean options.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Fri morning, light winds from the NNE by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10096 | 8941 | 4168 | 2614 | 2180 | 3009 | 4484 | 3598 | 1904 | 1006 | 726 | 398 | 413 | 909 | 704 | 1740 | 2714 | 1707 | 1399 | 1092 | 1420 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:26PM2.00m | 2:03AM1.63m | 2:59PM2.03m | 2:46AM1.66m | 3:30PM2.04m | 3:28AM1.69m | 3:59PM2.03m | 4:10AM1.72m | 4:28PM2.00m | 4:53AM1.77m | 4:57PM1.97m | 5:41AM1.81m | 5:30PM1.94m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:36PM0.80m | 8:16AM0.38m | 9:13PM0.73m | 8:54AM0.40m | 9:46PM0.65m | 9:30AM0.45m | 10:18PM0.57m | 10:07AM0.52m | 10:50PM0.49m | 10:46AM0.60m | 11:24PM0.39m | 11:30AM0.70m | 00:04AM0.30m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — |
 | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — |
mm | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 14 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | 4168 | — | — | 3009 | 4484 | 3598 | 1904 | 1006 | 726 | 398 | 413 | 909 | 704 | 1740 | 2714 | 1707 | 1399 | 1092 | 1420 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SW 22 | WSW 14 | SSW 17 | WSW 5 | SSW 16 | SW 19 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1688 | 969 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 58 | 239 | 50 | 165 | 553 | 237 | 17 | 94 | 59 | 84 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 4 | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 48 | 186 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SE 5 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | W 6 | — | — | — | WSW 6 |
| kJ | 10096 | 8941 | 2824 | 2614 | 2180 | 1740 | 23 | 44 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 22 | — | — | — | 55 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 324 | 66 | 66 | 66 | 78 | 10 | 10 | 120 | 40 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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