
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 5,722 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next few weeks for Point Leo. We’ve got a bit of a wait for the real goods, but there’s a window of solid swell coming if you can be patient.
A few close-to-home days are offering small, clean surf right off the bat. Sunday the 19th looks like a nice little session. Morning sees a 4ft SW swell, with a light 6 mph N breeze that’s cross-off, so the waves will be tidy. The combined energy is moderate (419), and it’s a 13-second period groundswell, so there’s some shape. Afternoon gets even better with a glassy 3ft SW swell and a light 3 mph NNW offshore wind. It’s a classic beginner-friendly reef break, so it’s a good day to get out there.
Monday the 20th is a write-off with a strong 16 mph cross-off wind, so don’t bother. We then hit a bit of a lull in quality through Tuesday and Wednesday the 21st-22nd, with onshore winds and marginal conditions. The swell is there at 5ft, but the wind is messy.
Now, the standout. Starting Thursday the 23rd, the ocean wakes up. The swell jumps to 10ft from the SW, but it’s accompanied by a messy 22 mph cross-shore wind, so it’s one for the experts only, and even then, it’s a battle. The real treat is the following Friday the 24th. We’re looking at a 13ft WSW swell with a 14-second period, and a strong 22 mph WNW cross-off wind. The combined energy is massive (10117), and the wind is cleaning it up. This is a big, powerful, and clean swell. It’s only for expert surfers at this size, but the quality is unreal. This is the best on offer in the whole window.
The weekend of the 25th-26th settles down into a still-fun but smaller 7ft to 5ft SW swell, with lighter winds and decent conditions. The morning of Saturday the 25th is a bit wind-affected, but the afternoon glass-off is a great option.
We get another big pulse for the start of the second week, around Tuesday the 28th, with an 12ft SW swell and a strong 19 mph NW offshore. The combined energy is very strong (4686), and the waves will be clean and powerful. It’s another expert-only day, but it’s a promising long-range call.
The forecast then turns ugly from the 30th of July through the 1st of August, with strong onshore winds and messy conditions. It’s a real wasteland for a few days. The very end of the forecast, on the morning of Monday the 3rd of August, shows a beautiful 4ft SW swell with a 17-second period and glassy conditions. That’s a long-period groundswell, which will peel nicely at this reef, and the combined energy is moderate (885). It’s clean and inviting, but it’s a long way out.
The water temperature at Point Leo is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.
So, to sum it up: the best day is Friday the 24th of July for the big, clean swell. If you’re a beginner, stick to the morning of Sunday the 19th or the afternoon of Saturday the 25th. The second week has a promising but less certain standout on Tuesday the 28th, and a glassy finale on the 3rd of August.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue night, min 8°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
494 | 364 | 236 | 197 | 502 | 226 | 437 | 799 | 700 | 456 | 367 | 297 | 1585 | 3126 | 3466 | 3967 | 3373 | 5722 | 3325 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:46AM1.99m | 3:20PM2.21m | 3:41AM1.99m | 3:58PM2.18m | 4:31AM1.96m | 4:35PM2.11m | 5:19AM1.91m | 5:09PM2.01m | 6:06AM1.84m | 5:43PM1.90m | 6:53AM1.77m | 6:17PM1.80m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:57AM0.22m | 9:37PM0.31m | 9:43AM0.34m | 10:20PM0.25m | 10:27AM0.49m | 11:01PM0.24m | 11:09AM0.63m | 11:41PM0.27m | 11:50AM0.77m | 00:20AM0.32m | 12:31PM0.90m | 1:00AM0.39m | |||||||
— | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | — | — | SSW 18 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
494 | 364 | 236 | 167 | 502 | 226 | 437 | 799 | 700 | 456 | 367 | 297 | — | — | 32 | 3967 | 3373 | 4395 | 3325 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 18 | SSW 14 | — | E 10 | SW 8 | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — |
— | 16 | 60 | 197 | 2 | 119 | 32 | 36 | — | 2 | 28 | — | — | — | — | 215 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 22 | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | WSW 12 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
9 | 39 | 75 | 20 | 25 | 14 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | W 6 | WSW 6 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 14 | NW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 14 | — |
— | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 77 | 185 | 1585 | 3126 | 3466 | 6 | 20 | 5722 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 53 | 62 | 66 | 455 | 78 | 61 | 96 | 96 | 62 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










