Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 06 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.5°C
0.8° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 9,404 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Tue 8th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 13s
Best Surf 4AM (Tue 8th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 13s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 9th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what Point Leo's got cookin' for the next couple of weeks.

We've got some serious SW groundswell on the menu, but the wind and the size will call the shots. The water's sitting at about 56°, which is just a hair warmer than average for this time of year. The real standouts are Tuesday the 8th and Saturday the 12th, with a couple more promising days further out for the patient ones.

Sunday the 6th starts us off with a clean 6ft SW swell with a long 14-second period. There's a ton of energy (1507) and a light cross-off breeze, so the reef will be offering some excellent, lined-up waves. This one's for the experienced surfers though, as it's a bit chunky for the groms.

Monday the 7th is a total bust. Strong cross-on winds from the SSW will turn it into a washing machine. Save your petrol.

Now, Tuesday the 8th is a proper standout. Both morning and afternoon look mint. We've got a 4ft to 5ft SW groundswell with a very long period of 17 to 18 seconds. That's real energy (1753). With light cross-off winds all day, the reef will be glassy and clean. This is the pick of the first week for anyone who can handle a longer-period wave that might stand up a bit on the reef.

Wednesday the 9th jumps up to a massive 12ft, but with strong cross-shores, it'll be a messy, lumpy mess. Thursday the 10th cleans up with offshore winds, but those 10ft to 12ft waves are only for the hardcore crew.

Friday the 11th is a bit average, with 7ft and cross-shore wind creating some chop.

The next real gem is Saturday the 12th. The morning has a nice 7ft SW swell with a long 16-second period (2132) and light offshore winds. But the afternoon is the absolute winner – glassy conditions, 6ft from the SW, and a period of 15 seconds. That's as good as it gets for clean, groomed reef waves.

The following week is a bit more unpredictable. The 16th and 21st of September have some excellent morning windows with clean 8ft and 8ft SW swells and gentle offshore winds, but the wind gets stronger later on. For the big wave crew, the morning of the 21st looks special: 8ft, gentle offshore, and long period. It'll be a proper paddle-out.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 8th is your best bet for a cruisy, clean session. If you want a bit more size and can handle a crowd, Saturday the 12th afternoon with glassy conditions is the dream. For the experts chasing the big stuff, the 10th and the morning of the 21st are on the radar but the winds can get howling. There are a few days with no surf worth mentioning, but there's enough action to keep the stoke alive.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri night).

Sun
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
0
0
2
4
4
1
0
0
6
7
4
3
2
3
4
4
4
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.8
SW
12
1.9
SW
7
1.8
SW
14
1.2
SW
18
1.4
SW
17
1.9
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
18
4
SW
18
3.5
SW
17
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
2.1
SW
14
2.3
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
1.6
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1423
837
976
362
1167
901
1172
1787
5360
8698
8767
5970
4427
2851
1855
1855
2443
1983
1568
1063
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
20
W
30
SSW
25
SSW
10
S
10
WNW
15
SW
30
SW
35
SSW
35
SW
30
SW
20
WSW
25
WSW
20
WSW
20
SW
15
SW
0
S
10
NNE
0
SSE
20
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
5:21PM1.96m
6:45AM1.91m
6:11PM1.87m
7:50AM1.81m
7:15PM1.77m
9:05AM1.76m
8:39PM1.69m
10:21AM1.77m
10:13PM1.70m
11:25AM1.83m
11:35PM1.80m
12:18PM1.90m
00:41AM1.92m
Low Tide
00:02AM0.13m
12:28PM0.89m
00:59AM0.24m
1:33PM0.96m
2:08AM0.36m
2:56PM0.97m
3:28AM0.44m
4:22PM0.88m
4:47AM0.48m
5:34PM0.71m
5:56AM0.48m
6:30PM0.53m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:31
6:31
6:28
6:28
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
 mm
1
Temp °C
14
13
12
11
10
10
11
11
11
11
12
11
12
11
10
10
9
14
17
16
Feels °C
11
9
6
5
6
7
8
5
2
3
4
7
7
7
6
7
8
11
15
13
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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