Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 18 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.3° C
0.1° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 4,504 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sat 18th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 14s
Best Surf 1AM (Sat 25th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 23rd Jul)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at what’s coming up for Point Leo. This is a reef break that’s fairly consistent and works best on a SW swell. The water temp is sitting at 55.9°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The weekend kicks off Saturday morning, 18 July, with a solid 5.6ft SW groundswell. The wind is light and offshore from the NW, so the wave faces will be clean. The combined energy is pumping at 1154 (moderate to strong), and these waves will have some punch. It’s a beginner-friendly break, but with this size, it’s a good step up for those keen to push it. Saturday arvo goes glassy with the wind dropping to near nothing and a 5.2ft SW swell—still a beauty. This is the standout of the weekend, no doubt.

Sunday, 19 July, sees the swell ease back to 3.6ft in the morning and 3.0ft in the arvo. The wind is light and cross-offshore, so the waves will be clean but smaller. A good day for a longboard or a learner session.

Monday, 20 July, the swell ticks up to 3.3ft, but the period jumps to 16 seconds in the morning—very long period groundswell. That’s a bit of a caveat at a reef break; it can make the waves a bit too straight and fat. The wind is a moderate cross-off, so it’s rideable but not firing. The energy is moderate (504 in the morning, 754 in the arvo).

Tuesday, 21 July, the swell builds back to 4.6ft in the morning and 5.2ft in the arvo, with a moderate cross-off breeze. The energy is solid (836 and 854), but the wind is a bit stronger, so it’s a bit rough around the edges.

Wednesday, 22 July, is a tough one. The morning has a 3.9ft SW swell but the wind is a fresh 35 km/h cross-off—that’s a lot of breeze. The arvo jumps to 6.9ft from the WSW, but with a shorter period of 10 seconds and rain. This is looking more like a kite-surfing day than a clean paddle session.

Thursday, 23 July, things get serious. The swell hits 9.8ft from the SW with a long period of 14 seconds in the morning. The combined energy is massive at 5364 (very strong). This is expert-only territory. The wind is cross-off but fresh, so it’s not perfect. The arvo stays at 9.8ft with a 15-second period, but still fresh. This is big and powerful, not for the faint-hearted.

Friday, 24 July, the swell is still big—8.2ft in the morning and 9.8ft in the arvo—but the wind turns offshore from the NW in the morning, making it a bit cleaner. The energy is still very strong (3051 and 3341). Only for experienced surfers.

Now, here’s the real standout for the second week. Saturday, 25 July, has a 7.5ft SW swell in the morning with a moderate NW offshore wind. The energy is strong at 1890. The afternoon drops to 6.9ft, but the wind goes light and offshore—clean, glassy conditions. This is a top pick for experienced surfers who want a proper reef session. Sunday, 26 July, the swell drops to 5.2ft in the morning with a fresh offshore, but it’s a bit windy. The arvo is 4.6ft with fresh offshore, still clean but smaller.

Monday, 27 July, the swell comes back up to 7.5ft in the morning with a moderate cross-off breeze. The energy is strong (1722), but the wind is not ideal. The arvo has a 6.9ft SW swell with a cross-shore wind, which will put a bit of chop on the face.

Tuesday, 28 July, is a write-off. The swell is 9.8ft but the wind is onshore from the SSE, making it choppy and messy. The energy is extreme (6620 in the morning), but the conditions are poor. Not worth it.

Wednesday, 29 July, the swell drops to 6.6ft in the morning with a gentle cross-shore, then 5.6ft in the arvo. The wind is not helping much, so it’s a marginal day.

Thursday, 30 July, the morning is glassy with a 3.6ft SW swell—light wind, clean waves. A nice little session for those who want a mellow paddle. The arvo is smaller and a bit choppy.

Friday, 31 July, the morning has a 6.6ft SW swell with a light cross-off breeze and strong energy (1663). This is a good one for experienced surfers.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
2
0
1
1
2
3
2
3
3
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
0.6
SW
18
1
SW
16
1
WSW
15
0.9
WSW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.2
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
2.1
WSW
10
3
SW
11
3
SW
14
3
SW
15
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1154
880
494
364
236
197
502
461
367
834
854
449
421
886
1838
3163
3515
3827
3051
3341
3126
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
5
WSW
10
N
10
N
10
N
15
NNW
25
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
N
30
N
35
NNW
25
WSW
35
WSW
35
WSW
35
WSW
25
W
30
WNW
30
WNW
25
WNW
Wind State
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
High Tide
2:38PM2.22m
2:46AM1.99m
3:20PM2.21m
3:41AM1.99m
3:58PM2.18m
4:31AM1.96m
4:35PM2.11m
5:19AM1.91m
5:09PM2.01m
6:06AM1.84m
5:43PM1.90m
6:53AM1.77m
6:17PM1.80m
Low Tide
8:50PM0.43m
8:57AM0.22m
9:37PM0.31m
9:43AM0.34m
10:20PM0.25m
10:27AM0.49m
11:01PM0.24m
11:09AM0.63m
11:41PM0.27m
11:50AM0.77m
00:20AM0.32m
12:31PM0.90m
1:00AM0.39m
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:30
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:19
5:20
5:20
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
 mm
6
2
2
1
Temp °C
10
12
12
12
15
13
12
14
12
12
14
12
14
12
11
11
11
11
11
12
12
Feels °C
8
10
10
9
13
9
7
10
7
8
10
7
8
5
3
2
3
4
5
6
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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