Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, your local surf reporter. I’ve had a look at the outlook for Point Leo, and honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The swell is coming in from the southwest, which is what this reef needs, but the wind and the quality are all over the shop for the first week or so. There’s definitely a couple of windows where it’s worth paddling out, but you’ve got to pick your moments.

For the first few days, it’s a tough watch. Starting the week of Monday the 14th, we’ve got some swell around 3ft with a SW direction and a 13-second period, but the wind is a cross-shore mess and the wave energy is weak (309). The water temp is sitting at a touch warmer than normal, about 57°, but the conditions are marginal at best. Tuesday the 15th sees a jump in size, with 8ft on Tuesday morning, but the wind is screaming at 25 mph from the WSW. It’s clean in the morning, but that’s a lot of wind. By Tuesday afternoon, it’s 12ft and 25 mph cross-shore – that’s a kite session, not a paddle session. The energy is huge (4429), but the quality is poor.

Wednesday the 16th holds 10ft swell, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore with a chop, and the period is a long 15 seconds. That long period will make it break straight and fast at a beach, but Point Leo is a reef, so it might have a bit more shape, but with the wind, it’s a no-go. Thursday the 17th drops down to 7ft, and the wind finally turns cross-offshore, cleaner, but the energy is moderate (1855).

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday the 18th is the standout of the whole outlook. We’ve got offshore wind from the NNW in the morning, with 6ft swell from the SW and a 14-second period. The energy is solid (1593), and the wind is clean offshore. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The crowd profile at Point Leo is ‘sometimes’ busy, so that’s worth noting. This is your pick for the period – a proper clean reef wave with good shape.

Saturday the 19th keeps the offshore wind with 6ft swell in the morning, but the wind is stronger, a fresh breeze. The afternoon looks better with a gentle offshore and 7ft swell from the WSW. It’s still good, but the morning of Friday is the top shelf.

After that, Sunday the 20th drops right off in size and energy, with strong offshore wind that makes it hard to paddle into. There’s a gap here.

The next real hope comes on Monday the 21st. Morning has a light cross-offshore breeze with 8ft swell from the SW, and the energy is up again (2386). This is for experienced surfers only, as it’s over 8ft. The period is 12 seconds, so it’s a bit shorter but still powerful. The afternoon is clean but with a light cross-shore. Tuesday the 22nd carries on with clean cross-offshore conditions and a 7ft swell, solid.

There’s another gap where the swell drops below 3ft around the 23rd and 24th.

Then, for those willing to look ahead, Friday the 25th of September is a promising long-range call. We’re talking offshore wind from the WNW with 6ft swell, but the period is a very long 18 seconds. That’s groundswell with a heap of energy (2881). At a reef like Point Leo, this could be magic – long, lined-up waves. The wind is light and clean. It’s a week and a half away, so don’t lock it in, but keep it on the radar.

The last few days from the 26th onward deteriorate with strong winds and onshore slop.

So, to sum it up: if you’re getting wet this week, Friday morning the 18th is your best bet with clean offshore wind and a solid 6ft SW swell. Keep your eye on Monday the 21st for the bigger stuff, and circle Friday the 25th of September in the calendar for a potential long-period gem.

Rusty.

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