Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Point Leo. We’ve got a bit of a wild ride ahead, with a big pulse of energy hitting the coast, but you’ll have to be patient through some serious wind.

Right now, the water temp at Point Leo is sitting at 56°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. Nothing unusual there.

The first real reason to paddle out comes on Monday afternoon the 27th of July. It's not a classic, but there's some swell starting to show. You’re looking at 5ft of SW swell, with a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 488. The wind is a cross-off from the north at 16 mph, which will keep things clean. It’s not a standout, but it’s a start.

Now, Tuesday the 28th is a write-off. The wind is howling from the NNW at 28 mph, even though it’s offshore. That’s a strong breeze, and while the swell bumps up to 5ft-6ft with a longer 13-15 second period, the conditions are just too wild. The combined energy jumps to 837, and then to 1888, but you’ll be fighting the wind. Forget it.

Wednesday the 29th is for the brave and the reckless. The swell absolutely detonates, hitting 15ft in the morning from the SW with a 16-second period. That’s 9617 of combined energy – strong stuff. But the wind is a near gale from the SW at 31 mph. This is big, dangerous, and messy. Only for experts, and even then, it’s borderline dangerous. The afternoon drops slightly to 13ft, but the wind is still 22 mph. This is more kite-surfing territory than paddle surfing.

Thursday the 30th is still a bit of a beast. The swell is still 7ft in the morning, dropping to 6ft in the afternoon. The period is a solid 13 seconds. The combined energy is still high at 3170 and 2012. The wind is better, a moderate breeze from the W and WSW, but it’s still cross-off. It’s *marginal* – the waves will be there, but the quality is questionable.

Finally, we get some relief. Friday the 31st of July is a proper day. The swell drops to a manageable 5ft in the morning, then 4ft in the afternoon. The period is 12 seconds. The combined energy is back down to a comfortable 609 and 547. The wind is light from the WSW, just 6-9 mph, making for clean conditions. It’s not a monster, but it’s *good* surf. The morning is the pick.

Saturday the 1st of August is interesting. The morning is small, just 3ft, but with a very long 18-second period from the SW. The energy is 738. The wind is a light breeze from the NNE. This is a classic groundswell – it’s going to be clean and glassy, but that long period might make it close out a bit at the beach. It’s a point-and-reef setup here, so it should handle it well. The afternoon sees the swell jump to 5ft with a 16-second period and 1725 of energy. The wind stays light. It’s *very good* for the morning, but the afternoon is marginal.

Sunday the 2nd of August is blown out again. The wind is a strong breeze from the NNW at 25 mph. The swell is 6ft-6ft with a 16-second period. The energy is high (1922 and 1540), but the wind is just too strong for a good time.

The Standout: Without a doubt, the best window is Wednesday the 5th of August. The morning is looking world-class. You’ve got a 7ft SW swell with a massive 19-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell. The combined energy is 3040 (strong). The wind is a light 6 mph breeze from the NNE, keeping it clean. The data calls it *excellent for experienced surfers*, and at 7ft, it’s a proper size for the crew who know what they’re doing. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The afternoon drops off and the wind goes onshore, so get on it early.

After that, the swell fades out. The 6th and 7th of August have some clean, small waves worth checking, but the real pulse is gone. By the 8th of August, the wind comes up again and the energy drops, and the window closes out with poor conditions through the 11th.

So, the plan: wait out the mid-week gale, enjoy a clean Friday, and then mark your calendar for Wednesday the 5th of August. That’s the day.

Rusty.

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