Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day crew, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid run of surf on the cards for Point Leo, but it’s a mixed bag of clean gems and some proper heavy water that’ll sort the men from the boys. The water’s sitting at about 57°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year – nothing weird going on there.

We kick things off on Friday afternoon, 10 July, with a glassy 5ft SW groundswell rolling in at 15 seconds. The energy’s moderate (979), and with a light NNE breeze leaving the surface like a mirror, this is one of the true standouts of the period. It’s small but beautifully clean, perfect for a beginner session at this reef – just watch for the occasional set.

Saturday the 11th turns ugly. A strong northerly rips through at 19 to 28 mph, blowing cross-off but making conditions messy and the surf drops to 3-4ft. This is a write-off – don’t bother paddling out.

Sunday the 12th is a different beast altogether. The swell jumps to 10ft in the morning from the WSW with a 11-second period, and then hits 12ft in the afternoon (12 seconds). The energy is huge (2409-3461), but the wind is howling at 25-28 mph from the NW/WNW. It’s clean but it’s a battle just to get out. This is expert-only territory – and honestly, with that much wind and size, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Monday the 13th keeps the size at 12ft from the SW, with a very long 15-second period. The offshore NW wind is strong at 25 mph, so it’s clean but again, hard to paddle into. The energy is massive (4962-6218). Only for the experienced crew.

Tuesday the 14th is the real standout. The morning sees a 13ft SW groundswell with an incredibly long 16-second period – the energy hits 11440, which is absolutely pumping. There’s a fresh westerly cross-off at 19 mph, but the wave quality is there for experienced surfers. The afternoon drops to 12ft but it’s still huge. This is the pick of the first week if you’ve got the skills.

Wednesday the 15th to Thursday the 16th brings it back down. Wednesday morning has 8ft SW swell with a moderate offshore NW breeze – clean, but still solid. By Thursday morning, we’re into 6-6ft of SW groundswell (14 seconds) with light offshore NW winds, glassy conditions. This is another high point: excellent surf for experienced surfers, and the crowds are only sometimes a problem, so you might get a few waves to yourself.

Friday the 17th keeps the quality going with 7-8ft SW swell, 16-second period, and light offshore NW winds – clean, glassy, and pumping energy (1996-2873). Another beauty.

Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th are a letdown. The swell fades to 3-5ft and the wind swings northerly at 12-28 mph, cross-off and messy. Poor conditions, best to give it a miss.

Monday the 20th sees a return to clean surf with 4-4ft SW groundswell (16 seconds) and a moderate offshore breeze from the NW/WNW. Very surfable and clean, just small.

Tuesday the 21st is marginal with 3-4ft WSW swell and moderate winds – nothing to write home about.

Now, Wednesday the 22nd through Thursday the 23rd is another big pulse. Wednesday afternoon jumps to 10ft WSW swell (12 seconds) with moderate offshore NW wind – experienced surfers will have a ball with clean conditions. Thursday the 23rd goes huge again: 13ft SW swell in the morning (16-second period, energy 7889) and 12ft in the afternoon. Cross-off winds at 12-16 mph keep it clean but it’s only for the brave.

Friday the 24th brings a nice sweet spot: 8-8ft SW groundswell (14 seconds) with light offshore and cross-off winds, clean and punchy. Excellent for experienced surfers.

We wrap up on Saturday the 25th with a glassy 5-5ft SW swell, 13-second period, light offshore NW wind. Very good, clean, and a perfect way to end the run.

So the real standouts? Lock in Friday 10 July for a glassy, small but perfect beginner session, and Tuesday 14 July for the biggest, most powerful swell of the stretch – that 13ft, 16-second groundswell is a proper event for the experienced. Don’t sleep on Thursday 16 July either – small but glassy and clean, a real gem.

Stay safe out there, and remember: Point Leo’s a reef, so treat it with respect.

Rusty.

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