Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.4°C
0.7° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 9,685 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Tue 8th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 13s
Best Surf 4AM (Tue 8th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 13s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 9th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks for Point Leo. It’s a reef setup, and for the most part, we’re looking at a run of average to tricky conditions, with a few standout windows if you pick your moments. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there. Keep in mind, this spot is fairly consistent, but we’ve got some lumpy, cross-shore wind periods to sift through before things clean up.

We kick things off on Tuesday the 8th with a bit of a nothing burger. There’s swell around 3.9ft to 4.6ft from the SW with a long 17-18 second period, but the wind is cross and the energy is moderate. It’s clean-ish but the scores are low, so don’t get too excited. It’s more of a “watch the tide” kind of day.

Wednesday the 9th is a write-off for paddle surfing. The swell jumps to 11.5ft from the SW, but it’s blown out with a fresh cross-shore and lumpy chop. The energy is strong to very strong, hitting 7328 in the morning and a massive 14383 in the afternoon, but it’s messy. If you’re into kite surfing, this might be your jam, but for a board and fins, it’s a no-go.

Thursday the 10th stays big, still around 11.5ft dropping to 9.8ft, but the wind is still cross and the energy is still strong. It’s a power session for the experienced only, and even then, the walls are going to be lumpy. Friday the 11th is where it gets interesting. The swell drops to 6.9ft from the SW, and while the period drops to 14-15 seconds, the wind goes light and cross-off in the morning. The energy is moderate, but the conditions are clean. This is your first real window—fun, rippable waves for the competent surfer.

Saturday the 12th is the standout of the first week. The swell holds around 6.6ft to 7.2ft from the SW, with a 15-16 second period. The wind goes glassy in the afternoon, a proper 3 mph breath of air. The energy is moderate, but the wave quality is excellent. This is the one to circle. It’s a reef, so the long period is going to line it up nicely, and with that glass, it’ll be a session you remember.

Sunday the 13th is a step back. The swell drops to 4.9ft, the wind swings to a fresh N and NNW at 22 mph. It’s cross-off and clean, but the energy is weak. The waves will be small and a bit gutless. Not worth the effort unless you’re just keen for a splash.

Monday the 14th gets worse. Rain and a strong breeze, with the swell down to 3.6ft. The energy is weak. It’s not good. Tuesday the 15th picks back up to 6.9ft from the SW, but the period drops to 11-12 seconds, and it’s cross to cross-on. It’s a step up in size but the quality is poor. Energy is weak to moderate. I’d give it a miss.

Wednesday the 16th is back to moderate energy, 7.5ft to 7.9ft from the SW. The morning has a cross-off breeze and clean conditions. The afternoon gets lumpy again. Thursday the 17th is another decent look. 6.9ft from the SW with a moderate offshore breeze in the morning. It’s clean and should have some push. The afternoon looks good too. Friday the 18th falls off a cliff—swell drops to 3.6ft, weak energy, and poor conditions. A flat spell.

Now, looking into the second week, things get a bit more speculative. There’s a big pulse coming for Saturday the 19th. Swell is back up to 11.5ft from the SW, with moderate energy and clean conditions in the morning, but it’s still cross-off. This is for experts only—11.5ft on a reef is a serious step up. It’s promising, but long-range, so treat it with a bit of caution.

Sunday the 20th looks like a blowout. A near gale from the W at 34 mph in the morning, dropping to a fresh breeze later. The energy is weak, and the conditions are going to be a mess. Another write-off for paddle surfing.

Monday the 21st settles down a bit. Swell drops to 5.2ft from the SW with a moderate offshore breeze in the morning. The afternoon is light and clean. It’s a small window, but it could be

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the SW by Tue night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning).

Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
0
0
6
7
6
3
3
4
3
4
4
4
3
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
SW
14
1.2
SW
18
1.4
SW
17
2
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
18
4
SW
18
3.5
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
2.1
SW
15
2.3
SW
16
2.2
SW
16
2
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1167
901
1172
1929
4993
8729
8461
5658
4016
2653
1736
1907
2702
2266
1715
1399
924
886
581
Wind (km/h)
10
SSW
15
W
15
SW
35
SW
35
SSW
30
SSW
25
SSW
25
SW
20
SSW
10
SW
10
WSW
10
SSW
10
N
10
NNW
5
NW
15
N
35
N
25
NNW
40
N
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
7:50AM1.81m
7:15PM1.77m
9:05AM1.76m
8:39PM1.69m
10:21AM1.77m
10:13PM1.70m
11:25AM1.83m
11:35PM1.80m
12:18PM1.90m
00:41AM1.92m
1:03PM1.96m
1:34AM2.03m
Low Tide
00:59AM0.24m
1:33PM0.96m
2:08AM0.36m
2:56PM0.97m
3:28AM0.44m
4:22PM0.88m
4:47AM0.48m
5:34PM0.71m
5:56AM0.48m
6:30PM0.53m
6:53AM0.46m
7:17PM0.36m
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:31
6:31
6:28
6:28
6:26
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
 mm
1
Temp °C
11
10
12
12
11
11
12
11
11
12
11
12
11
16
18
17
20
22
19
Feels °C
7
7
7
6
2
3
5
6
7
9
8
9
10
13
17
15
13
17
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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