Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 3,804 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 20th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Fri 21st Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up at Point Leo, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The reef here is a beginner-friendly spot, fairly consistent, and it likes a good SW swell – which is what we’re getting. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, no major surprises there.
The first few days are small but clean. Thursday morning, the 20th, you’re looking at 2ft of SW swell with a period of 18 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, but it’s tiny. The wind is offshore from the NW at 12 mph, so it’s glassy. The combined energy is weak (334). It’s a quiet start, but it’s surfable for the beginners.
Friday the 21st steps it up. Morning brings 4ft from the SW, period 15 seconds, and the energy jumps to moderate (980). Wind is still offshore from the WNW at 16 mph. The afternoon gets even better: 5ft from the WSW, period 14 seconds, and the energy is strong (1585). The wind is offshore from the NW at 12 mph. This is the best on offer for the week – clean, solid, and good for experienced surfers.
Saturday the 22nd gets bigger, but it’s messy. 10ft from the SW with a 15-second period, but the wind swings cross-off from the WNW and then SW at 16-19 mph. The energy is very strong (4155-5686), but the quality is marginal. This is more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle day.
Sunday the 23rd is a return to form. Morning has 7ft from the SW, period 14 seconds, with a gentle offshore from the NW at 9 mph. The energy is strong (2343). Afternoon drops to 6ft but the wind goes near-calm from the NNW at 3 mph. It’s clean and excellent for experienced surfers. This is the standout of the entire forecast – a true gem.
Monday the 24th is a write-off. Strong cross-off winds from the NNW at 19 mph, with 5-5ft of SW swell. The energy is moderate (886-953), but the wind ruins it. Tuesday the 25th is even worse – cross-shore winds from the SW and SSW at 12-16 mph, with a cross-chop. Wednesday the 26th is cross-onshore from the S, not worth paddling out.
Thursday the 27th brings a little hope. Morning has 5ft from the SW, period 12 seconds, with a cross-off from the N at 9 mph. Afternoon is better: 5ft, period 12 seconds, and a light offshore from the NW at 3 mph. The energy is moderate (741-812). It’s clean, but not a standout.
Friday the 28th has a 7ft SW swell with a long 18-second period, but the wind is cross from the ENE at 9 mph in the morning, then onshore from the SE in the afternoon. The energy is strong (2463), but the wind kills it. Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th are poor – strong winds and lumpy surf. The 30th afternoon has a 7ft swell but with a tiny 7-second period and cross-off wind. Not good.
Monday the 31st morning has 6ft from the SSW with a 7-second period and offshore wind, but it’s short-period and messy. The afternoon has a 2ft swell with a 21-second period – very long period, but the wind is strong offshore from the NNW at 25 mph. Hard to paddle into.
The first week of September stays average. Tuesday the 1st has strong cross-off winds, Wednesday the 2nd has small offshore conditions, Thursday the 3rd is blown out, and then Friday the 4th – that’s the one to circle. 8ft from the SW, period 16 seconds, light offshore from the NW. The energy is very strong (3679). This is a true expert session, clean and powerful. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it looks promising.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
157 | 222 | 261 | 693 | 996 | 2669 | 3650 | 3377 | 2903 | 1759 | 1127 | 1602 | 886 | 938 | 772 | 1197 | 1162 | 1891 | 1167 | 809 | 543 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 4:33PM1.99m | 5:28AM1.90m | 5:04PM1.90m | 6:08AM1.81m | 5:36PM1.80m | 6:53AM1.71m | 6:09PM1.70m | 7:47AM1.63m | 6:49PM1.61m | 8:56AM1.58m | 7:45PM1.52m | 10:15AM1.59m | 9:08PM1.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:39AM0.64m | 11:01PM0.23m | 11:15AM0.75m | 11:37PM0.31m | 11:50AM0.87m | 00:14AM0.40m | 12:29PM0.98m | 00:57AM0.48m | 1:18PM1.08m | 1:49AM0.56m | 2:28PM1.15m | 2:54AM0.61m | 4:02PM1.16m | ||||||||
7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | |
— | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | |
mm | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
147 | 116 | 261 | 693 | 996 | 2669 | 3650 | 3377 | 2903 | 1759 | 1127 | 1602 | 886 | 938 | 772 | 1197 | 1162 | 1891 | 1167 | 809 | 543 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | WSW 13 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | — | — | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | — | — | — | SW 16 |
157 | 222 | 149 | 98 | 460 | 57 | — | — | 120 | 522 | 677 | 270 | — | 15 | 51 | 419 | 515 | — | — | — | 40 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | W 7 | WSW 6 | SW 20 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
30 | 26 | 8 | 97 | 129 | — | — | — | — | 62 | — | — | — | — | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 7 | NW 4 | WSW 8 | SW 9 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
17 | 5 | 20 | 92 | 14 | 221 | 505 | 2309 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 66 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 53 | 25 | 0 | 10 | 135 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











