Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 17 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
12.9° C
0.4° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 3,455 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Tue 18th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 14s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 21st Aug)5ft (1.5m) 16s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sat 22nd Aug)8ft (2.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way at Point Leo.

The opening part of the run is pretty flat and uninspiring. Monday and Tuesday of this week are only offering small, marginal surf with a lot of cross or onshore wind. Not worth paddling out for. Wednesday is a write-off with strong winds and tiny waves. Thursday’s got offshore wind but the swell’s barely there. So for the first few days, you’re better off tuning the boards or checking the tide pools.

The first real standout is Friday, August 21st. That morning, Point Leo wakes up with a clean 5ft SW swell and a moderate offshore breeze from the WNW. The swell period is 12 seconds, which gives the waves some push, and the combined energy reading is a solid moderate (1339). The water temperature sits at 55°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so a decent 3/2 wetsuit is the call. This is the first session that’s genuinely worth getting out of bed for. The afternoon is still clean but a bit smaller with a cross-off wind.

Then Saturday, August 22nd steps it up a notch. Saturday morning sees a 8ft SW swell with that same moderate WNW offshore wind. The period stretches to 15 seconds – that’s long-period groundswell, so you can expect well-shaped, powerful lines at this reef break. Energy is strong (2537). This is big enough that it’s for experienced surfers only; beginners should sit this one out. The wave quality is excellent, with moderate offshore conditions keeping it clean. It’s the best wave of the whole outlook by a fair margin.

Sunday, August 23rd morning is also very good: 7ft SW, offshore NW breeze, 14-second period, strong energy (2424). Another excellent session for those with the skills. The afternoon holds clean, but the wind goes cross-off.

After that, Monday the 24th drops back to a smaller 5ft, and the onshore winds kick in later in the day. The rest of the week into the first few days of September fades into a mix of marginal and poor conditions with onshore or cross winds. There’s a promising glassy spell on the morning and afternoon of Sunday, August 30th, with 4-4ft SW swell and 15-second period (energy in the moderate range, around 1063). That would be a clean, fun day for intermediate surfers, but it’s a long way out, so don’t bank on it just yet.

Overall, your best bets are Friday morning August 21st for a solid session, and Saturday morning August 22nd for the stand-out, bigger, more powerful swell. Crowds at Point Leo are sometimes an issue, so get in early on those days.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, strong winds from the N by Wed morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
0
2
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
3
3
2
3
3
4
4
3
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
1.1
WSW
10
0.8
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
13
1.3
SW
15
1.7
SW
14
2.1
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2
SW
14
2
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
885
1367
1171
597
621
465
251
236
217
225
219
572
714
1187
2386
2590
3204
2830
2201
1471
1904
Wind (km/h)
10
ENE
15
SE
15
ENE
15
NE
10
E
15
NNE
40
N
40
N
25
NW
25
NW
25
WNW
15
WNW
20
NW
25
W
30
NW
25
NW
10
W
15
NW
25
NW
25
NW
30
NW
Wind State
cross
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
High Tide
2:51PM2.14m
3:24AM2.06m
3:27PM2.12m
4:08AM2.04m
4:01PM2.07m
4:48AM1.99m
4:33PM1.99m
5:28AM1.90m
5:04PM1.90m
6:08AM1.81m
5:36PM1.80m
6:53AM1.71m
6:09PM1.70m
Low Tide
9:10PM0.21m
9:24AM0.43m
9:49PM0.16m
10:03AM0.53m
10:25PM0.18m
10:39AM0.64m
11:01PM0.23m
11:15AM0.75m
11:37PM0.31m
11:50AM0.87m
00:14AM0.40m
12:29PM0.98m
00:57AM0.48m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:03
7:01
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:49
 mm
1
1
3
1
Temp °C
13
16
14
16
18
16
14
13
13
14
16
12
12
13
13
13
13
13
14
14
13
Feels °C
11
13
11
13
15
12
6
5
8
8
10
8
7
7
8
9
10
8
8
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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