
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, WSW swell with 8,684 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s break down what’s cooking at Point Leo, a reef break that’s a solid option for beginners and fairly consistent. The water’s about average for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.
The window opens Monday the 3rd with a 5-foot SW groundswell (15 seconds) and a fresh offshore breeze. It’s clean, but the energy is moderate (940), and the tide’s messing with it, so it’s more of a paddle and a look. That afternoon, the swell kicks to 6 feet from the WSW, still with a cross-offshore wind, but the energy jumps to 1553—still not quite there due to tide.
Tuesday the 4th sees a drop in period to 11 seconds, but the swell’s up to 8 feet in the morning, with a fresh offshore wind. The energy’s solid (1725), but the tide and a bit of lumpy cross-chop hold it back. By afternoon, it’s 8 feet and a bit messy with a cross-offshore wind—still okay for beginners, but it’s getting into the zone where it’s a little too much for the brand-new crew.
Wednesday the 5th is the first real standout. Morning brings a 5-foot SW swell with a 9-second period and light winds, giving clean, fun waves. The energy is moderate (940), but the surf conditions are expected to be very good. The afternoon is even better, with a 5-foot, 14-second groundswell and a gentle breeze—clean and smooth. This is the best bet for the early part of the week.
Thursday the 6th drops off with a tiny 2-foot, 16-second groundswell—very long period, which can make the reef work nicely, but it’s small. Good for a longboard on a glassy morning with a light offshore.
Friday the 7th is a standout. Morning has a 6-foot, 16-second groundswell with a moderate offshore breeze, producing excellent surf for experienced surfers. The energy is strong (1785). The afternoon is pure magic: 5-foot, 15-second swell, glassy conditions with no wind, and the wave comments are “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is the best session of the first week—clean, powerful, and all to yourself if you’re early.
The weekend (Saturday 8th) is a bit of a letdown with moderate cross-offshore winds and a 5-foot to 6-foot SW swell. The energy is still there (1401-1518), but the tide and wind make it marginal. Sunday the 9th is a write-off with strong winds and poor surf conditions—stay home.
Now, into the second week. The standout is Monday the 10th: a solid 8-foot, 17-second groundswell from the SW, with a moderate offshore breeze in the morning. The combined energy is very strong (4263), and the wave comments are “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is a big, clean, powerful day—only for those with some experience. The afternoon holds with 8 feet and a gentle offshore.
Tuesday the 11th keeps the quality with a 7-foot, 14-second swell and moderate offshore, strong energy (1765). Wednesday the 12th is similar, 7-foot, 16-second period, and excellent surf for experienced surfers.
Thursday the 13th turns ugly: a 15-foot, 10-second wind swell with strong cross-shore winds—this is a mess, and the energy is off the charts (4061-4806) but it’s all chop and cross-current. Not for surfing.
Friday the 14th is a brief window: a 8-foot, 12-second swell in the morning with a gentle cross-offshore, clean but marginal. The afternoon is better, with 6 feet and very good surf conditions.
The absolute standout of the entire 16-day window is Saturday the 15th. An 12-foot, 20-second groundswell—very long period, very powerful—with a moderate offshore breeze in the morning and gentle offshore in the afternoon. The combined energy is 8542 in the morning and 8116 in the afternoon. These are “exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers.” This is a big, clean, pumping swell on a reef that will handle the period beautifully. If you’re experienced, you do not want to miss this.
Sunday the 16th is another blowout: 15-foot to 13-foot with onshore winds—poor to marginal.
Monday the 17th offers a solid 8-foot, 15-second swell with light cross-offshore winds, good energy (3604), and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. Tuesday the 18th wraps it up with a 5-foot, 13-second swell and a moderate offshore breeze, clean but less energy (878).
So, the best of the bunch: Wednesday the 5th for a fun, clean session, and the absolute standout is Saturday the 15th for experts. Don’t sleep on that.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 13 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1124 | 1546 | 1471 | 572 | 1807 | 614 | 383 | 284 | 286 | 208 | 406 | 534 | 1552 | 1171 | 915 | 1367 | 1194 | 676 | 456 | 381 | 1550 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:01PM2.03m | 3:15AM1.84m | 3:29PM2.04m | 3:56AM1.91m | 3:57PM2.03m | 4:37AM1.95m | 4:28PM2.02m | 5:22AM1.97m | 5:02PM1.99m | 6:11AM1.96m | 5:41PM1.95m | 7:08AM1.91m | 6:27PM1.90m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:16PM0.49m | 9:15AM0.47m | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:52AM0.52m | 10:20PM0.27m | 10:30AM0.60m | 10:55PM0.19m | 11:11AM0.69m | 11:36PM0.14m | 11:56AM0.80m | 00:23AM0.12m | 12:47PM0.91m | 1:19AM0.15m | ||||||||
7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
Feels °C | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 17 | SW 11 | — | SW 10 | SW 9 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 15 |
1124 | 1546 | 241 | 572 | — | 614 | 383 | 241 | 286 | 175 | 406 | 534 | 1552 | 1171 | 915 | 1367 | 1194 | 676 | 456 | 299 | 1550 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 20 | — | SW 13 | — | SW 21 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 5 | SSW 5 | SW 14 | SW 6 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | S 8 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 20 |
— | 7 | — | 431 | — | 154 | 104 | 284 | 197 | 32 | 5 | 211 | 31 | 441 | 516 | 53 | 1 | 21 | 112 | 381 | 338 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | S 21 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 20 | S 15 | S 4 | SW 6 | — | — | SSW 8 | — | S 18 | — | SW 21 |
— | — | — | 25 | — | 9 | 239 | 34 | 30 | 208 | 38 | 17 | 10 | 19 | — | — | 6 | — | 6 | — | 17 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 13 | NW 4 | SW 11 | — | — | SW 8 | SW 6 | NW 3 | W 5 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | N 4 | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 5 |
28 | 13 | 1471 | 17 | 1807 | — | — | 256 | 77 | 1 | 13 | 110 | — | — | — | 13 | 5 | 24 | 126 | 65 | 113 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 78 | 62 | 62 | 0 | 58 | 58 | 10 | 66 | 8 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 35 | 262 | 69 | 66 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











