
Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 5,438 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s coming up at Point Leo.
The first surf worth paddling out for arrives on Wednesday, 12th August. A long-period SW groundswell (16 seconds) is pumping in, with swell heights climbing from 7ft to 8ft through the day. The combined energy is strong (2160 to 5031), and the wind is cross-off from the W and WNW. It’s a fresh breeze early but settles to a moderate breeze by afternoon, and the waves are clean. This is a reef break that’s fairly exposed to the SW, and with the water temperature anomaly about average for this time of year, the water is standard. The afternoon session on Wednesday is the standout: 8ft SW swell, 16-second period, clean cross-off conditions, and the surf is solid but manageable for experienced surfers. Crowds can be possible here, but this is where you want to be.
Thursday, 13th August, keeps the energy up. The morning is 10ft SW at 16 seconds with a cross-off WNW breeze, and the combined energy is strong (4845). The afternoon is even better—10ft SW, 16-second period, gentle W wind at 9 mph, and clean conditions. The afternoon is rated excellent for experienced surfers. This is another top session.
Friday, 14th August, the morning still has 10ft SW, 16-second swell, but the cross-off WNW wind is a moderate breeze and the surf is clean. The combined energy is strong (4149). The afternoon sees the wind swing to cross from the SW at 12 mph, bringing a moderate cross-chop, so it’s less appealing.
Saturday, 15th August, the swell drops to 8–8ft, and the wind shifts cross-on from the SSE and S, with light to gentle breezes. The surf is clean early but gets choppy by afternoon. The combined energy is still moderate (2375–2974). Not the best.
Sunday, 16th August, the swell drops to 6ft, and the combined energy falls to 1190–1317. The wind is cross or onshore from the ENE and SE, and the surf is marginal. Monday, 17th August, sees 5ft SW swell with light winds but onshore or cross-on, and the energy is low (884–1026). These days are a gap—no good surf.
Tuesday, 18th August, the morning has a 4ft SW swell with a cross-off NNE breeze, light, and clean. The combined energy is moderate (1085). The surf is very good. The afternoon is onshore and not great.
The rest of the week into the weekend has small swells (2–4ft) with light winds, mostly cross-off on the mornings, and clean. The combined energy is low (268–830). There’s a standout on the morning of Friday, 21st August: a fresh offshore NNW wind at 22 mph, 4ft SW swell, 16-second period, and clean conditions. The combined energy is moderate (830). Promising but less certain that far out.
The following week, from Sunday, 23rd August, the swell builds again. The afternoon has a 5ft SW swell, 19-second period, cross-off NNE wind, and clean. The combined energy is moderate (1776). Monday, 24th August, morning has 6ft SW, 16 seconds, cross-off W wind, and clean. The combined energy is moderate (1850) and the surf is excellent for experienced surfers. Tuesday, 25th August, morning has 8ft SW, 15 seconds, offshore NW wind moderate, and clean. The combined energy is strong (2827). The afternoon on Tuesday has 10ft SW, 15 seconds, cross-off WNW, clean, and strong energy (4418). Wednesday, 26th August, morning has 10ft SW, 14 seconds, cross-off NNW, light breeze, and clean. The combined energy is strong (2815) and excellent for experienced surfers. That’s the best of the second week.
The best on offer overall: Thursday afternoon, 13th August, and Tuesday afternoon, 25th August. Both have big SW swell, long period, clean conditions, and strong energy.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed morning, light winds from the S by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2160 | 4543 | 4580 | 4547 | 4490 | 4218 | 3827 | 3411 | 3585 | 2525 | 2238 | 1736 | 1363 | 1147 | 898 | 951 | 1194 | 1155 | 648 | 621 | 525 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:44AM1.87m | 10:04PM1.74m | 11:50AM1.94m | 11:29PM1.79m | 12:45PM2.02m | 00:42AM1.88m | 1:31PM2.09m | 1:43AM1.98m | 2:13PM2.13m | 2:37AM2.04m | 2:51PM2.14m | 3:24AM2.06m | 3:27PM2.12m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:34PM0.99m | 4:54AM0.25m | 5:49PM0.85m | 6:02AM0.25m | 6:51PM0.66m | 7:02AM0.26m | 7:42PM0.47m | 7:55AM0.29m | 8:28PM0.31m | 8:41AM0.35m | 9:10PM0.21m | 9:24AM0.43m | 9:49PM0.16m | ||||||||
7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
— | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 4 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
2160 | 2796 | 4580 | 4547 | 4490 | 4218 | 3827 | 3411 | 3585 | 2525 | 2238 | 1736 | 1363 | 1147 | 898 | 951 | 1194 | 1155 | 648 | 621 | 525 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 19 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SE 5 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | ESE 5 | SW 17 | ESE 6 | SW 16 |
— | 891 | — | 259 | 256 | 422 | 270 | 209 | 372 | 147 | 105 | 113 | 58 | 3 | — | 25 | 53 | 16 | 362 | 10 | 129 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | SSW 16 | E 4 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 159 | 51 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | NW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 4 | SE 4 | SE 5 | ESE 5 | — | — | — |
71 | 4543 | 2874 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 4 | 7 | 42 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 66 | 8 | 62 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 62 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 8 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











