Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 19s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 7,176 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break it down for Point Leo, mate. This is a reef break, good for beginners, and it’s fairly consistent. Water temp is 13°, which is normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag. Saturday the 25th of July has a 3.0m SW swell with a 12-second period, but the wind is cross-off from the WSW at 30 km/h, making it messy. The combined energy is 2665 (moderate-strong). Sunday the 26th is cleaner – a 1.8m SW swell, 11-second period, and a WNW offshore breeze at 20 km/h. Energy drops to 754 (moderate), but it’s surfable.
Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are rough with strong north winds, so skip those. Wednesday the 29th brings a massive 3.5m SW swell with a 16-second period, but the wind is a strong cross-shore from the SSW at 40 km/h, so it’s a mess despite the 10695 energy (very strong). That’s for the brave only.
The real gem is Saturday the 1st of August. The afternoon has a 2.2m SW swell with a long 18-second period, and the wind is offshore from the WNW at 20 km/h. Energy is 3496 (strong) – that’s a serious groundswell with clean conditions, perfect for experienced surfers. Friday the 7th of August morning is also a beauty: 1.7m SW swell, 16-second period, offshore NW wind at 20 km/h, and energy at 1986 (strong). Circle those dates.
The rest of the window is either small, windy, or just average. The best call is definitely the 1st of August afternoon.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the WNW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2665 | 1760 | 1141 | 743 | 553 | 445 | 368 | 429 | 393 | 1112 | 700 | 2757 | 6288 | 3636 | 2065 | 1319 | 925 | 786 | 555 | 427 | 450 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 6:53PM1.70m | 8:41AM1.65m | 7:37PM1.61m | 9:48AM1.64m | 8:32PM1.54m | 10:57AM1.67m | 9:43PM1.49m | 11:57AM1.74m | 10:58PM1.50m | 12:46PM1.82m | 00:05AM1.54m | 1:26PM1.90m | 1:02AM1.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:17PM1.01m | 1:45AM0.46m | 2:12PM1.10m | 2:37AM0.50m | 3:23PM1.16m | 3:38AM0.53m | 4:44PM1.15m | 4:41AM0.52m | 5:56PM1.09m | 5:41AM0.49m | 6:51PM0.98m | 6:33AM0.46m | 7:35PM0.86m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | |  | | | |  |  |  | | | | |  | | |  | |
 | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | — | 1760 | 1141 | 743 | 553 | 445 | 368 | 429 | 393 | 1112 | 700 | 2757 | 6288 | 3636 | 1465 | 1319 | 925 | 786 | 555 | 427 | 450 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | SW 14 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 11 | 26 | 25 | 106 | — | 261 | — | — | — | 135 | — | — | — | — | 22 | 117 | 244 | 358 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | S 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 26 | S 24 | SW 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 65 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | W 5 | NW 4 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2665 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 32 | 120 | 15 | 4272 | 2424 | 2065 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 66 | 8 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 52 | 262 | 61 | 262 | 273 | 273 | 541 | 62 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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