Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 4,668 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mate, Rusty here again, but in feet and miles. Let’s look at what’s coming down the line at Point Leo. This reef break is fairly consistent and loves a good SW swell.
We’ve got waves starting this Sunday morning the 30th with a 6ft SW swell and energy already pumping at 1217. Water temp is about 56°, which is a bit warmer than usual for this time of year—nothing major, just a nice little bump.
Sunday morning is cloudy with a cross-off breeze—rideable. Sunday afternoon the swell goes to 6ft and the wind goes cross-shore, energy at 1346. It’s okay, but Monday the 31st is the real deal. Monday morning you’ve got 7ft of SW swell with a 14-second period and a light cross-off wind—clean, energy hits 1828. Then Monday afternoon, the wind goes glassy, swell holds at 7ft, and energy peaks at 1982. That’s the standout session for the experienced crew.
Tuesday the 1st of September is blown out with a strong NNW wind. Skip it. Wednesday the 2nd the swell builds to 7ft with offshore NW wind and energy readings of 2099 and 2284—clean and powerful.
Thursday the 3rd gets big and ugly with 10ft to 12ft swell and cross-shore wind, better for kites. Friday the 4th is similar—10ft swell, clean but huge. Saturday the 5th is a loss with gale-force wind.
Sunday the 6th brings a 8ft SW swell with offshore NW wind, clean and glassy, energy at 2138—another good one. The second week has some windows: Thursday the 10th with a 7ft swell and offshore wind, and Saturday the 12th with a 7ft swell and light offshore—but confidence is lower that far out.
Gaps are just the stormy days in between. The biggest standout is Monday the 31st into Tuesday the 1st of September if the wind stays clean. Big, lined-up, and pumping at Point Leo.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Tue morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Thu night, strong winds from the N by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1103 | 1210 | 1438 | 1572 | 1572 | 2247 | 1474 | 949 | 1442 | 1885 | 2146 | 2544 | 3347 | 3753 | 4553 | 4193 | 3040 | 2083 | 4394 | 2987 | 2153 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:24PM1.90m | 1:35AM1.82m | 1:55PM1.96m | 2:17AM1.95m | 2:25PM2.00m | 2:57AM2.05m | 2:56PM2.03m | 3:38AM2.11m | 3:28PM2.04m | 4:19AM2.12m | 4:02PM2.04m | 5:03AM2.09m | 4:39PM2.01m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:35PM0.60m | 7:42AM0.48m | 8:08PM0.44m | 8:21AM0.47m | 8:40PM0.29m | 8:59AM0.49m | 9:14PM0.17m | 9:36AM0.53m | 9:50PM0.08m | 10:13AM0.60m | 10:30PM0.05m | 10:53AM0.69m | 11:13PM0.07m | ||||||||
6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 16 | 3 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | — | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 11 |
1103 | 1210 | 1438 | 1572 | 1572 | 2247 | 1474 | 949 | 1442 | 1885 | 2146 | 2544 | 3347 | — | 4553 | 4193 | 3040 | 2083 | — | — | 2153 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 20 | — | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — | — | SW 15 |
98 | 136 | — | 256 | 373 | 232 | 94 | 47 | 290 | 98 | 138 | — | — | — | — | 326 | 220 | 95 | — | — | 104 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
16 | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | — | SW 6 | NW 3 | WNW 4 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | WSW 15 | SW 11 | SW 12 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 28 | 32 | — | 116 | 5 | 42 | 2233 | 3753 | — | — | — | 40 | 4394 | 2987 | 1328 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 78 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 455 | 98 | 62 | 62 | 61 | 96 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 2 | 69 | 326 | 459 | 517 | 8 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











