Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 13s period, WSW swell with 6,355 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, we’ve got a mixed bag coming up at Point Leo over the next couple of weeks. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual. The overall pattern shows a slow start, then a solid pulse of swell building, but it’s going to be big and windy for a lot of it. The standout window is right around Monday the 9th of September afternoon and into the morning of Wednesday the 11th, if you can wait that long.
Sunday the 30th of August is pretty average. You’ve got a 5.9ft SW swell, period 13 seconds, but the wind is cross-off from the WNW at 9 mph. Combined energy is moderate (1217). It’s surfable but nothing to get excited about. Monday morning the 31st is where it starts to pick up. Clean 6.9ft SW swell, period 14 seconds, with light offshore wind from the WNW at 6 mph. That’s decent shape and energy (1828), and it’s a reef setup, so the longer period should wrap in nicely. Good for experienced surfers.
Tuesday the 1st of September gets messy. Strong NNW wind at 25 mph, cross-off, but the swell is 5.9ft with a long 16-second period (1611). The wind is just too strong for clean surfing. By Wednesday the 2nd, we’ve got an 8.2ft WSW swell, 15-second period, and moderate cross-off wind from the W at 16 mph. Combined energy is strong (4585). It’s clean but getting big – this is expert territory.
Thursday the 3rd holds at 9.8ft SW/WSW, with fresh offshore wind from the NW at 22 mph. Energy is very strong (5025). Too big for most, but if you’re a charger, it’s on. Friday the 4th of September is a highlight – 9.8ft SW swell, 16-second period, clean offshore from the NNW at 12 mph. Energy is pumping (5425). This is excellent for experienced surfers, but it’s big, so only experts need apply.
Saturday the 5th falls apart with rain showers and a near gale from the WSW at 34 mph. The swell is 11.5ft (6968) but conditions are poor. Sunday the 6th stays big with strong offshore wind from the NW at 25 mph. The 9.8ft SW swell at 16 seconds is clean but hard to paddle into.
Now, Monday the 7th of September afternoon is where it gets wild. 18ft WSW swell, 15-second period, fresh offshore wind from the WNW at 19 mph. Combined energy is massive (14247). That’s for elite-level big wave surfers only. Tuesday the 8th stays huge with 13-15ft SW swell, 16-17 second period, and strong offshore wind. Energy is off the charts (15309). Wednesday the 9th of September afternoon is the standout: 13ft SW swell, 14-second period, clean moderate offshore wind from the WNW at 12 mph. Energy is massive (11385). Exceptional for experts.
Thursday the 10th drops to a much more manageable 7.2ft SW swell, 13-second period, with moderate offshore wind from the WNW at 16 mph. Energy is moderate (2566). Clean and good for experienced surfers. Friday the 11th morning is another good window: 6.6ft SW swell, very long 18-second period, gentle offshore wind from the NW at 9 mph. Energy is moderate (2566). That long period will favour the reef, giving long, well-shaped waves with easy paddling between sets.
From Saturday the 12th, it starts to fade. 6.6ft SW swell, 15-second period, but fresh cross-off wind from the NNW at 22 mph (2692). Sunday the 13th is small, 3-5ft SW swell, and Monday the 14th morning has a 5.6ft SW swell, 14-second period, with gentle offshore wind from the WNW at 9 mph (1073). It’s clean and easy but small.
Crowds at Point Leo can be around sometimes, so expect company on the better days. The setup is a reef, so those long-period swells will hold up well.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the N by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1053 | 1103 | 1210 | 1438 | 1572 | 1572 | 2247 | 1474 | 949 | 731 | 2629 | 2692 | 2667 | 2977 | 3048 | 5091 | 4869 | 3745 | 1968 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:48AM1.69m | 1:24PM1.90m | 1:35AM1.82m | 1:55PM1.96m | 2:17AM1.95m | 2:25PM2.00m | 2:57AM2.05m | 2:56PM2.03m | 3:38AM2.11m | 3:28PM2.04m | 4:19AM2.12m | 4:02PM2.04m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:00AM0.51m | 7:35PM0.60m | 7:42AM0.48m | 8:08PM0.44m | 8:21AM0.47m | 8:40PM0.29m | 8:59AM0.49m | 9:14PM0.17m | 9:36AM0.53m | 9:50PM0.08m | 10:13AM0.60m | 10:30PM0.05m | |||||||
— | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 12 |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
1053 | 1103 | 1210 | 1438 | 1572 | 1572 | 2247 | 1474 | 949 | 731 | 1956 | 2692 | 2667 | 2977 | 3048 | 5091 | 4869 | 3745 | 1968 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 22 | SW 20 | SW 20 | — | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
45 | 98 | 136 | — | 256 | 373 | 232 | 137 | 88 | 238 | — | 135 | 125 | — | — | — | 556 | 295 | 95 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 22 | SW 20 | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
45 | 16 | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NNW 4 | W 5 | WSW 15 | NW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 14 | — | — | — | NNW 4 |
52 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 42 | 56 | 2629 | 10 | 46 | 28 | 1977 | — | — | — | 40 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 3 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 326 | 326 | 62 | 62 | 61 | 96 | 96 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











