Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 19s period, WSW swell with 11,423 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, checking out what’s brewing for Point Leo. It’s a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, but there are a couple of windows that’ll get your heart pumping.
The big picture is a long-period SW groundswell, but the wind is the boss right now. The first week is mostly a mess with strong winds, but there are two killer sessions. The real payoff comes in the second week with a clean, solid run.
Let’s kick off with Friday, August 7th. This is the near-term best. Morning brings a clean 5ft SW swell with a 15-second period and light WNW offshore winds at 6 mph. The wave energy is moderate (1332), and conditions are “very good.” By afternoon, it gets glassy, with the same 5ft SW swell and 15-second period, but moderate energy (1643). This is a quality session for experienced surfers, as the swell is over 5ft.
Then Saturday, August 8th, and Sunday, August 9th, are a bust. Strong N and NNE winds at 15–25 mph trash the surf. The swell drops from 5ft to 4ft, and the energy fades. Not worth it.
Monday, August 10th, through Thursday, August 14th, are mostly poor. The swell is big – 7ft to 13ft – but the wind is a beast. Strong to near-gale cross-offshore winds (25–31 mph) make it ugly. Thursday, August 13th, morning has a massive 13ft SW swell with strong energy (11440), but it’s cross-off and only marginal. That’s a monster – only for experts, and still not clean.
The second week shows improvement. Friday, August 14th, has a 10ft SW swell with moderate energy (4033), but the wind is still cross-offshore at 12 mph. Getting there.
The true standout is Monday, August 17th and Tuesday, August 18th. Monday morning has a clean 5ft SW swell with a 14-second period, light NNE cross-offshore winds at 6 mph, and “very good” conditions. The energy is moderate (858). Tuesday morning is even better – 5ft SW swell, 14-second period, light N cross-offshore winds at 6 mph, again “very good.” Tuesday afternoon goes glassy with a 4ft SW swell and 14-second period, offering a clean, easy session. The crowd at Point Leo is “sometimes” busy, so you might see a few others, but it’s not crowded.
The run continues into Wednesday, August 19th. Morning has a 4ft SW swell with a 15-second period, light N offshore winds at 9 mph, and “very good” conditions. The afternoon is a treat too – 4ft WSW swell, 15-second period, light NW offshore winds at 6 mph, “very good.” The reef at Point Leo is perfect for this long-period groundswell – it’ll line up nicely.
The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.
After that, it fades. Thursday, August 20th, gets blown out by strong N winds, and Friday and Saturday, August 21st-22nd, are messy with SSE and S cross-onshore winds. The last day, Saturday, August 22nd, does have a glassy morning with a small 4ft SW swell, but it’s weak.
So, the best bets are Friday, August 7th (morning and afternoon) for clean, glassy conditions, and then Monday, August 17th through Wednesday, August 19th for a long, clean, consistent run. That second stretch is more than a week away, so it’s promising but not set in stone – keep checking.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 522 | 1219 | 1155 | 1882 | 1210 | 1074 | 763 | 556 | 400 | 729 | 2831 | 3738 | 4181 | 1382 | 799 | 431 | 1504 | 3262 | 5339 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:22AM1.97m | 5:02PM1.99m | 6:11AM1.96m | 5:41PM1.95m | 7:08AM1.91m | 6:27PM1.90m | 8:14AM1.86m | 7:25PM1.83m | 9:29AM1.84m | 8:38PM1.76m | 10:44AM1.87m | 10:04PM1.74m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:55PM0.19m | 11:11AM0.69m | 11:36PM0.14m | 11:56AM0.80m | 00:23AM0.12m | 12:47PM0.91m | 1:19AM0.15m | 1:50PM1.01m | 2:24AM0.19m | 3:09PM1.05m | 3:38AM0.23m | 4:34PM0.99m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | |  |  | |  |  | | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | — |
| kJ | 522 | 1219 | 1155 | 1882 | 1210 | 1074 | 763 | 556 | 400 | 729 | 2831 | 101 | 4181 | 1382 | 799 | 431 | 1504 | 738 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 7 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SSW 16 | SW 20 | — |
| kJ | 211 | 63 | 441 | 437 | 51 | 48 | 41 | 83 | 155 | 498 | 143 | 103 | 82 | 42 | 40 | 59 | 86 | 388 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | SSW 16 | SW 7 | SW 6 | — | — | — | SSW 14 | ESE 5 | SSW 21 | ESE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 17 | 50 | 47 | 19 | — | — | — | 18 | 5 | 44 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | — | — | — | N 3 | N 3 | N 3 | N 4 | NNE 4 | NW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 17 | SW 16 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | W 5 | WSW 15 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 116 | — | — | — | 8 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 40 | 91 | 3738 | 2982 | 23 | 54 | 91 | 77 | 3262 | 5339 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 20 | 120 | 35 | 77 | 166 | 472 | 61 | 262 | 262 | 326 | 456 | 454 | 66 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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