Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. We've got a bit of a mixed bag coming our way over the next couple of weeks. The standout is definitely a reef set-up that loves a good SW groundswell, and we've got some solid pulses lined up. Water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is about 2°F warmer than normal for this time of year – not a huge deal, but a nice little bonus.

The first real action kicks off on Friday the 11th. Point Leo will be pumping with a 7ft SW groundswell, a long 15-second period packing some serious energy (2394). The morning is dead glassy, which is perfect for a reef break like this. The swell is over 5ft, so it's more for experienced surfers than beginners. The wind stays light into the afternoon, and with the water temp feeling a touch warm for Spring, you won't want to be anywhere else. Crowds can show up here, so get in early.

Saturday the 12th looks like the best of the first week. We've got a 7ft SW swell at 16 seconds, and even more energy (2575) behind it. Clean, glassy conditions again on Saturday afternoon with the wind dropping out. This is the one to circle – solid groundswell, perfect reef conditions, and that long period will make for some serious power. The swell direction is spot on for the optimum SW direction this reef likes.

Sunday the 13th through Monday the 14th sees the swell drop off and the wind picking up, making things average at best. We get a small pulse on Tuesday the 15th, with a 10ft SW swell but a short 10-second period, and nasty 35-40 km/h winds making a mess of it. That's a no-go, and actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than a paddle session.

Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th have solid 10ft+ swell, but it's messy with cross-onshore wind. The energy is massive (6321 on Wednesday morning), but the quality just isn't there for a good surf.

We get a good reset on Friday the 18th. Point Leo sees a 7ft SW swell with a 16-second period and clean, offshore NNW winds at 25 km/h. That's a return to form. The next few days after that are small and wind-affected.

Now, the standout of the entire outlook is Tuesday the 22nd of September. This is the one to wait for. We're looking at a 12ft SW swell, a 16-second period, and absolutely glassy conditions. That's very long period groundswell with a combined energy reading of 6028 – that's serious power. It's only for experts and those with a bit of nerve, but the potential is huge. If you can score that Tuesday morning, you're in for a treat. The following Wednesday the 23rd is also very solid with a clean 8ft swell.

The last few days (24th-26th) have some decent swell but are plagued by strong winds, keeping things fairly ordinary. So, to sum it up: Saturday the 12th is your best bet for this week, and Tuesday the 22nd of September is the long-range gem, but it's a big promise that needs the weather to play ball.

Stay sharp, Rusty.

Read more