Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 13,903 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming our way this period.
First up, the standout session that's got me talking is the Friday the 4th. Point Leo is going to be absolutely cooking with a strong, clean 10-foot SW groundswell. The energy is off the charts (5168), and with a solid 16-second period between sets, you're looking at proper, powerful lines. The offshore NW wind at 16 mph will have those waves holding up nicely. This one is for experienced surfers only—beginners, give it a miss.
The water temp is about average for this time of year.
Saturday the 5th is a write-off. The wind is howling at 31 mph in the morning, making it a battle just to get out. Stay home.
Sunday the 6th offers a bit of redemption. The wind drops right back Sunday afternoon to a slight air from the WSW, and we've got a clean 7-foot SW swell on offer. It's still a solid size for the experienced crew, but this is the window to get some cleaner, more manageable waves.
Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are a mixed bag. Monday is blown out. Tuesday morning, however, is an absolute gem for anyone with a bit of skill. The wind is glassy, dead calm, with a 4-foot SW swell. The period is sky-high at 18 seconds. That’s proper long-period groundswell, meaning great shaped waves at this reef break, but it will be very selective. The energy is still moderate (1840).
The following weekend, Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th mornings both have glassy conditions. On the 11th, we've got 7-foot SW swell; on the 12th, it's 6-foot SW. These are excellent windows for the more experienced surfer, with clean faces and consistent SW energy.
The second week gets messy and is a chalk and cheese situation. There’s a lot of wind, and the swell jumps up. Thursday the 17th we see a massive 20-foot+ SW swell hit, but with strong cross-onshore winds. This is way, way too big for any paddle surfing. It's a monster. The energy reading of 30634 tells the story. This looks far more interesting for the kite crew.
Then Friday the 18th, while still huge at 13 feet, the wind is much lighter. It's still a beast, but a slightly more manageable one for big-wave specialists.
Overall, the pick of the period is hands down that Friday, September 4th. A classic Point Leo day with a big, clean SW groundswell and offshore wind. For the rest of the week, focus on the glassy mornings, especially Tuesday the 8th and the 11th and 12th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Sat morning, light winds from the WSW by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the SW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4891 | 4645 | 3619 | 2329 | 2665 | 1641 | 2077 | 1737 | 971 | 373 | 321 | 947 | 901 | 1282 | 2687 | 6861 | 13893 | 12911 | 8224 | 5866 | 3534 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 4:02PM2.04m | 5:03AM2.09m | 4:39PM2.01m | 5:51AM2.01m | 5:21PM1.96m | 6:45AM1.91m | 6:11PM1.87m | 7:50AM1.81m | 7:15PM1.77m | 9:05AM1.76m | 8:39PM1.69m | 10:21AM1.77m | 10:13PM1.70m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:13AM0.60m | 10:30PM0.05m | 10:53AM0.69m | 11:13PM0.07m | 11:37AM0.79m | 00:02AM0.13m | 12:28PM0.89m | 00:59AM0.24m | 1:33PM0.96m | 2:08AM0.36m | 2:56PM0.97m | 3:28AM0.44m | 4:22PM0.88m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | |  |  | |  | | | | |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — |
mm | — | — | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 20 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 21 | SSW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 4891 | 4645 | 3619 | 2329 | 2665 | 851 | 15 | 1737 | 971 | 373 | 321 | 947 | 790 | 1282 | 2687 | 1290 | 1230 | 12911 | 8224 | 5866 | 3534 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | SW 12 | SSW 15 | WSW 16 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 26 | SSW 17 | — | SSW 21 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 277 | 313 | 333 | 207 | 130 | — | 40 | 21 | 87 | 18 | 71 | 377 | 901 | 503 | 26 | 333 | — | 2278 | 1125 | 844 | 795 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | SW 22 | S 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SW 26 | S 21 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | 18 | 8 | 37 | 61 | 59 | 26 | 229 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 6 | SW 6 | — | — | — | SW 7 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 6 | — |
| kJ | — | 11 | 27 | 46 | 43 | 1641 | 2077 | 1139 | 748 | 106 | 153 | — | — | — | 144 | 6861 | 13893 | 8108 | 5467 | 64 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 30 | 102 | 460 | 324 | 61 | 0 | 61 | 62 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 262 | 573 | 1486 | 324 | 135 | 135 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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