Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 01 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
12.9° C
0.0° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 2,053 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 2.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 3rd Aug)5ft (1.5m) 14s
Best Surf10AM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 16s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 2nd Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been watching this stretch of water like a hawk. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but hold tight, because the back half of this outlook is where the magic happens.

Alright, let’s start with the overall pattern. The waves are pretty much all coming from the southwest, with some west-southwest mixed in, and we’re looking at solid groundswell energy. The water temp’s about average for this time of year, so nothing spooky there. The first few days are a bit rough, with strong winds and cross-chop making things messy, but there’s a clear window of excellence coming up if you’re patient.

Point Leo – a reef break that’s fairly consistent and beginner-friendly, but it can get a bit busy. It’s fairly exposed to the swell, so it picks up the juice.

The run kicks off on Sunday 2 August but it’s a write-off. The swell’s pushing 5.9 ft from the southwest, with a very long 16-second period, so the energy’s there (1744), but that fresh north wind is blowing cross-off, making it clean but marginal. The afternoon’s the same story. Not worth paddling out unless you’re desperate.

Monday 3 August is no better. Morning has a strong 25 mph offshore wind from the northwest, which is clean but howling. The swell’s 4.9 ft from the southwest, 15-second period, but the wind’s so strong you’ll struggle to get into anything. The energy’s dropped to 940. Skip it. Afternoon’s got rain and a fresh cross-off wind, with 5.9 ft from the west-southwest. Still marginal.

Tuesday 4 August – the swell bumps up to 7.5 ft in the morning, west-southwest, 13-second period, but it’s cross-off with a fresh breeze. The energy’s moderate at 1748, but the quality’s not there. Afternoon gets worse – 8.2 ft from the southwest, but a fresh cross-shore wind and lumpy cross-chop. That’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle session.

Wednesday 5 August through to Thursday 6 August – it’s a bust. The swell drops to 2.0 ft–3.6 ft, energy’s weak (400–649), and the wind’s cross-shore with chop. Don’t even bother.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday 7 August – morning delivers a 5.2 ft southwest swell, 16-second period, with a light breeze from the north-northeast. The wind’s cross-off, making it clean, and the energy’s moderate (1439). The conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. This is a standout. The afternoon gets a light cross-on from the south, but it’s clean enough with small ripples. If you’re free, get out there.

Saturday 8 August – morning is sweet. 5.2 ft from the southwest, 16-second period, a gentle breeze from the north, cross-off, and the energy’s 1290. The surf is very good, and it’s clean. Afternoon is even better with a light breeze, 4.6 ft, energy 1013. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Sunday 9 August – the swell drops to 3.3 ft–3.6 ft, and the energy’s weak (589–609). The wind’s cross-off but moderate. Not worth the wetsuit.

Monday 10 August – a fresh offshore from the northwest is blowing at 22 mph, with a 5.2 ft southwest swell, 19-second period. That’s a very long period groundswell, so the energy’s strong (2076), but the wind’s howling. It’s clean but hard to paddle into. Afternoon’s got 6.6 ft from the west-southwest, 17-second period, energy 2379. Still fresh and cross-off. Great for the well-equipped, but not for the faint-hearted.

Tuesday 11 August – the swell stays around 4.6 ft–5.6 ft, but the wind’s a fresh

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sat night, strong winds from the NW by Mon morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue night, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
1
1
2
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
4
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.8
WSW
15
2.1
WSW
13
2.3
WSW
13
2.5
SW
12
2
SW
11
0.6
SW
20
0.6
SW
19
1.1
SW
13
0.8
SW
12
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
18
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.7
SW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2413
1591
1297
936
940
1409
1533
1748
1628
897
281
289
380
206
242
552
1384
1135
1643
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
30
N
30
N
30
N
40
NW
30
W
25
W
30
WNW
30
SW
20
SW
20
SW
25
WSW
20
SW
20
SW
20
SW
5
ESE
10
NNE
5
S
15
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
cross
High Tide
1:51AM1.68m
2:32PM2.01m
2:34AM1.76m
3:01PM2.03m
3:15AM1.84m
3:29PM2.04m
3:56AM1.91m
3:57PM2.03m
4:37AM1.95m
4:28PM2.02m
5:22AM1.97m
5:02PM1.99m
Low Tide
8:00AM0.42m
8:45PM0.61m
8:38AM0.43m
9:16PM0.49m
9:15AM0.47m
9:47PM0.38m
9:52AM0.52m
10:20PM0.27m
10:30AM0.60m
10:55PM0.19m
11:11AM0.69m
11:36PM0.14m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:15
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:32
5:34
5:35
 mm
1
2
4
2
3
4
2
1
Temp °C
12
13
15
13
12
12
10
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
Feels °C
8
6
9
7
5
6
4
5
6
7
8
7
7
8
7
9
10
9
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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