Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 9,498 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple weeks for Point Leo.
Water temp is 57°F, right about average for this time of year, so no surprises.
It’s a slow start. Monday the 6th has a 4ft SW swell with a 14-second period, but cross wind kills it. Energy is moderate at 730. Not worth it.
Tuesday the 7th: 3ft SW swell morning, long 17-second period, cross wind. Afternoon picks up to 5ft with 16-second period and energy 1146, but onshore. Marginal.
Wednesday the 8th morning: 5ft SW swell, 19-second period, energy 2403, cross wind. Afternoon goes 7ft, 18-second period, energy 2954, still onshore. Strong energy but messy.
Thursday the 9th is the first good day. Morning: 5ft SW swell, 16-second period, light cross-off wind from the north, clean. Afternoon: 4ft, 15-second period, wind goes glassy – dead calm. That afternoon is a gem. Energy 799, clean, glassy conditions at this reef break. Crowds are possible, so time it right.
Friday the 10th: 5-5ft SW swell, 15-second period, clean with light N wind. Energy 1296-1006. Solid, clean surf.
Saturday the 11th: blown out. 40 mph N wind, 4ft swell, energy around 550. Poor.
Sunday the 12th: 45-50 mph NNW gusts, 6ft swell with short 10-11 second period. A mess.
Monday the 13th: huge 15ft SW swell, 15-16 second period, energy 9498-12305. That’s massive groundswell. Too big for anyone but experts – over 8ft is expert zone. Windy but clean. A big, heavy day.
Tuesday the 14th: still big, 10-12ft, 16-second period, energy 5247-10465. Expert only.
Wednesday the 15th: drops to 7-7ft, 14-second period, gentle offshore wind from the WNW. Clean, energy 1800-1900. Great for experienced surfers.
Thursday the 16th: morning 7ft, 13-second period, clean with light wind. Afternoon goes 6ft, 13-second period, and the wind goes glassy – dead calm. That afternoon is the standout of the second week. Energy 1649, perfect conditions.
Friday the 17th: strong N wind returns, swell drops to 5-4ft, energy 852-552. Poor.
Saturday the 18th: 45 mph N wind, 5-6ft swell. Blown out.
Sunday the 19th: 55 mph N wind, 5-6ft swell. Nasty.
Monday the 20th: 7-8ft SW swell, strong offshore wind from the NW, energy 3205-2971. Clean but hard to paddle into. For experts only.
Tuesday the 21st: fizzles to 5ft, 12-second period, light wind, energy 632-739. Marginal.
Best bets: Thursday the 9th arvo for glassy fun, and Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th for clean, solid waves for those who can handle it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue night, min 8°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mon 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 10 | SW 10 | SW 11 | WSW 14 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 726 | 398 | 568 | 1096 | 962 | 1357 | 2714 | 1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1432 | 1251 | 1006 | 818 | 589 | 556 | 810 | 663 | 785 | 7430 | 9498 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | on | cross-on | cross | on | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:10AM1.72m | 4:28PM2.00m | 4:53AM1.77m | 4:57PM1.97m | 5:41AM1.81m | 5:30PM1.94m | 6:34AM1.85m | 6:09PM1.90m | 7:34AM1.88m | 6:55PM1.86m | 8:41AM1.90m | 7:51PM1.82m | 9:53AM1.94m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:18PM0.57m | 10:07AM0.52m | 10:50PM0.49m | 10:46AM0.60m | 11:24PM0.39m | 11:30AM0.70m | 00:04AM0.30m | 12:19PM0.80m | 00:50AM0.22m | 1:16PM0.91m | 1:45AM0.16m | 2:21PM1.00m | 2:47AM0.12m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | |  |  | |  |  | | |
 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 |
 | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | 5:15 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | — | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 10 | SW 10 | SW 11 | — | — |
| kJ | 726 | 398 | 568 | 1096 | 962 | 1357 | 2714 | 1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1432 | 1251 | 1006 | 818 | 589 | 556 | 810 | 663 | 785 | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SW 24 | SW 15 | SSW 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | 59 | 282 | 50 | 22 | 784 | 240 | 185 | 82 | 42 | 120 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 114 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 4 | SSW 17 | — | ESE 12 | S 19 | — | — | ESE 11 | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 3 | 59 | — | 14 | 262 | — | — | 12 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | WSW 10 | NW 4 | NW 5 | WSW 14 | SW 15 |
| kJ | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 31 | 55 | 443 | 24 | 80 | 7430 | 9498 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 95 | 97 | 61 | 262 | 472 | 601 | 66 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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