Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mates, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Point Leo. The next 16 days are a mixed bag, a real tale of two halves. The start is a bit of a write-off, but hold on, because there’s a couple of windows where this place is going to fire.

First thing to note is the water temp is sitting at 55°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there. For the first few days, it’s pretty grim. Sunday and Monday are looking poor with small, onshore bump. The swell is there but it's small and junky, and the wind is just killing it. You'd be flogging a dead horse.

We're looking at a real dry spell from the 17th through to the 20th. The waves stay small and the winds are either onshore or just not clean enough. It’s not worth getting wet for, to be honest. The energy is weak too, with the combined swell energy sitting in the 300-400 range – that’s a lot of effort for not much reward.

Then things start to change around Friday the 21st. The morning is looking promising with a gentle offshore breeze and a 3ft SW swell at 19 seconds. That long period is lovely, it’s got some proper push behind it. By the afternoon, the swell bumps to 4ft and the wind stays offshore. The combined energy jumps to 1497, which is moderate, and it’s clean. That's a nice little session, a chance to get some fun ones.

Now, here’s where we need to be careful. Saturday the 22nd sees a big jump in size with 10ft on the cards, but it’s coming with a cross-shore wind and the energy is huge at 7118. That's strong-to-very-strong energy, and this spot is a reef break. At that size, with a cross-shore wind, it’s going to be a washing machine. Only for the brave, and likely too big and messy for most.

After that, the swell stays solid for the next few days, in that 8ft to 12ft range, and the wind goes offshore. It’s big, powerful, and clean. But this is a reef, and with 10ft+ surf, it’s expert territory only. The periods are around 14-16 seconds, so there’s plenty of juice, but you’d want your wits about you. The energy readings are high, 2979 to 4112, confirming the ocean’s got plenty of grunt. For most of us, this is a watch-from-the-cliff kind of day.

The ocean then starts to settle down, but the wind turns against us again on the 25th and 26th, making things lumpy and poor. So we wait.

Now for the standout. Thursday the 27th is your day. The morning has a 5ft SW swell with an 18-second period, and the wind is light and cross-off. But it’s the afternoon that has me excited. The swell pushes up to 8ft, still from the SW, period 18 seconds, and the wind goes glassy. Glassy, mates! That’s zero wind. The combined swell energy is a solid 3529, which is strong and powerful. This is the one. A clean, glassy, long-period SW groundswell on a reef. It’s going to be perfect. The wave direction is matching the optimum for the spot, and it's going to have some real form to it. This is the standout of the whole window. Get out there if you can. There will be waves for the experienced crew, but that 8ft on a reef is still a serious step up for anyone not comfortable in solid surf.

After that, we get a bit of a wind-affected weekend. The 28th and 29th have some clean-ish conditions, but the swell drops off. The 29th afternoon looks fun with 4ft and glassy conditions again, a nice little come-down after the big day. The period is back to 14 seconds, so not as much push, but it’ll still be clean and playful. A good way to finish off, but the real winner is the 27th.

The final two days, the 30th and 31st, the wind gets up again, so we'll leave those alone. So mark your calendar for the 27th of August. That's the one that’s got my heart racing.

Rusty out.

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