Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 05 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.0° C
0.2° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 13,631 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 5.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 6th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 12s
Best Surf 1PM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 12th Aug)18ft (5.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Gotta be honest with you, the start of this stretch is a bit of a bust. The ocean’s just taking a breather. The first couple of days are tiny, with waves around 2ft, and the wind is all over the place. Water temp is about 55°F, pretty normal for this time of year. You’re not missing anything by staying on the beach.

But hang on, because things start to wake up Thursday arvo. The swell pushes to 4ft, and we finally get that offshore wind. The period is up at 16 seconds, so you know it’s clean groundswell. Friday sees it push to 5ft, and the conditions are looking clean. That's a good sign of things to come.

The weekend is a bit of a dud, though. The swell holds around 5ft, but the wind blows like crazy, especially Sunday, with gusts up to 45 km/h. That’s going to be a messy, blown-out mess. Not worth the paddle.

Now, for the big news. Monday the 10th, the ocean just turns on. We're looking at a solid 15ft of SW swell, but with a short period of 9 seconds. It’s gonna be powerful, but a bit bumpy. Monday afternoon it gets even bigger, with 12ft at 17 seconds. That’s a huge, powerful swell. This is for the big-wave chargers only. Tuesday the 11th is a bit of a letdown, with the swell dropping to 6ft but the wind howling at 40 km/h. Terrible.

Then, Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are the main event. Wednesday has 10ft of long-period groundswell with a fresh offshore breeze. Thursday the 13th is the biggest of the whole forecast – a massive 16ft of SW swell at 17 seconds. The energy is off the charts. This is a huge, once-in-a-while kind of day for experts only. The wind is moderate and cross-off, so it will be big and powerful, but it will be a session to remember.

The following week is still solid, but a bit more manageable. Friday the 14th is still huge, with 10ft and offshore winds. Saturday the 15th is another good one, with 8-10ft of clean, long-period swell. Sunday the 16th morning looks glassy with 7ft waves – that’s a beautiful, clean morning. The wind dies off completely, making it perfect. The arvo gets a bit onshore, so get out there early.

The last few days, from the 17th to the 20th, settle down to a more normal size, around 4-6ft. There are still some clean windows, especially Monday morning and Tuesday afternoon. It’s not as epic as the mid-week peak, but there will be fun waves to be had.

So, the long and short of it is: the start is slow, but the middle of the forecast has some absolutely massive, powerful surf. The big one is on Thursday the 13th. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. It’s a long way out, but it’s looking mighty promising.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SW on Sun night, moderate winds from the WNW by Mon afternoon).

Wed
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
2
2
3
4
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
3
0
0
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
19
0.9
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
1.1
SW
16
0.9
SW
18
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.5
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.3
SW
17
4.5
SW
9
3.5
SW
17
2.5
SW
16
1.7
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.8
WSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
284
286
244
565
522
1219
1171
742
1210
1060
928
548
458
897
3155
7036
3020
1179
890
1156
Wind (km/h)
15
SW
20
W
20
NNW
20
WNW
20
W
15
NW
10
N
20
N
35
N
30
N
40
N
45
N
40
N
50
SW
35
WSW
25
WSW
30
NNW
40
NNW
40
N
35
NNW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
4:37AM1.95m
4:28PM2.02m
5:22AM1.97m
5:02PM1.99m
6:11AM1.96m
5:41PM1.95m
7:08AM1.91m
6:27PM1.90m
8:14AM1.86m
7:25PM1.83m
9:29AM1.84m
8:38PM1.76m
Low Tide
10:20PM0.27m
10:30AM0.60m
10:55PM0.19m
11:11AM0.69m
11:36PM0.14m
11:56AM0.80m
00:23AM0.12m
12:47PM0.91m
1:19AM0.15m
1:50PM1.01m
2:24AM0.19m
3:09PM1.05m
3:38AM0.23m
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:32
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:38
 mm
1
1
2
1
1
1
13
1
Temp °C
12
12
12
14
12
12
15
12
15
15
14
13
12
11
12
12
10
12
12
12
Feels °C
9
7
7
9
9
9
13
7
8
9
8
4
4
6
4
6
5
4
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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