Point Leo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.08° E

Point Leo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 24 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Leo sea temperature is
13.1°C
0.6° 

Point Leo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Leo surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 18s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,238 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:

The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 1.9m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Mon 24th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 14s
Best Surf 7AM (Fri 28th Aug)4ft (1.2m) 18s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 28th Aug)6ft (1.9m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s talk about Point Leo. This is a reef break that’s pretty consistent and loves a SW swell. The water’s around 56°, which is slightly warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing huge, but it’s a nice touch.

Monday the 24th is a bit flat. You’ve got a cross-off breeze and a 5ft SW swell, but the energy is only moderate (874). The afternoon cleans up with a gentle offshore, but the waves are still only 5ft. It’s okay, but nothing to write home about.

Tuesday the 25th is a write-off in the morning with light rain and a cross-on wind messing up a 6ft SW swell. The afternoon though, that’s the one – a clean 5ft SW swell with a cross-off wind, and the energy jumps to 1232. That’s solid moderate energy, and the waves will have some push.

Wednesday the 26th is a no-go. Cross-shore winds and a chop on both the 6ft morning and 5ft afternoon swells. The energy is there, but it’s not going to be fun.

Now, Thursday the 27th is a gem. Morning brings a light offshore with a 4ft SW swell, and the afternoon goes glassy – dead calm – with a 4ft SW swell. That’s a clean, long-period groundswell (12 seconds) that will be peeling nicely along the reef. For a beginner-friendly spot, this is about as good as it gets.

Friday the 28th is the standout of the whole outlook. The morning has a gentle offshore wind with a 5ft SW swell, and the period hits 18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, with heaps of energy (1722). The afternoon goes even better: glassy conditions, a 6ft SW swell, and the energy is strong (2143). This is a wave for experienced surfers – it’s got power and size, and it’ll be clean as a whistle. This is the one to clear your schedule for.

Saturday the 29th has a glassy morning with a 5ft SW swell, but the afternoon gets a cross-on breeze that will mess it up a bit. Sunday the 30th is similar: a glassy morning with a 4ft SW swell, but the afternoon goes cross-on again.

Monday the 31st is another big one. The morning has a clean, cross-off wind with a 6ft SW swell and strong energy (2213). The afternoon is even better: a 7ft SW swell, clean, with a 16-second period and massive energy (2354). That’s a big, powerful groundswell – only for experienced surfers, but it’ll be a special session.

The first week of September keeps the goods coming. Tuesday the 1st has gentle offshore winds and a 6ft SW swell in the morning, then a clean 5ft in the afternoon. Wednesday the 2nd is excellent: a gentle offshore with a 6ft SW swell in the morning, and a clean 5ft WSW swell in the afternoon. Both days have moderate to strong energy.

Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th are a bit of a mixed bag. Thursday is clean but the swell drops to 5ft, and the wind picks up to a fresh breeze. Friday the 4th has a fresh offshore with a 7ft SW swell, but the score suggests it’s marginal. The afternoon has a 8ft SW swell with a cross-off wind – that’s big, and only for experts.

The second week gets a bit wild. Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th have strong offshore winds, and the swell is solid (6ft to 8ft), but the wind is strong enough to make paddling a real chore. The energy is high, but it’s a battle to get out. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are similar – big surf, strong offshore winds, but it’s work. The waves will be there, but it’s not a casual session.

So, the standout is without a doubt Friday the 28th of August. That glassy afternoon with a 6ft SW groundswell and 17-second period is the best on offer. The second best is Monday the 31st of August, with the 7ft SW swell and clean conditions. These are the days to be out there.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
1
1
3
0
1
1
3
2
2
3
4
4
3
3
1
1
2
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.7
SW
13
1.6
SW
13
1.6
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
1.2
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
0.9
SW
20
1.4
SW
18
1.9
SW
17
1.7
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
1.1
SW
13
0.9
SW
16
2
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
874
722
643
969
851
1079
1238
905
721
389
319
552
1136
2086
1449
857
752
444
363
432
1706
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
15
NNW
20
NE
15
ENE
15
W
30
SW
20
SW
20
SW
10
WSW
10
NW
5
NNW
15
NNW
15
NW
0
SSW
5
NE
0
N
10
S
5
NE
5
NNE
10
S
5
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
off
off
glassy
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
6:49PM1.61m
8:56AM1.58m
7:45PM1.52m
10:15AM1.59m
9:08PM1.46m
11:22AM1.66m
10:38PM1.48m
12:12PM1.74m
11:51PM1.56m
12:50PM1.83m
00:48AM1.69m
1:24PM1.90m
1:35AM1.82m
Low Tide
1:18PM1.08m
1:49AM0.56m
2:28PM1.15m
2:54AM0.61m
4:02PM1.16m
4:08AM0.63m
5:24PM1.07m
5:16AM0.60m
6:19PM0.93m
6:12AM0.55m
7:00PM0.77m
7:00AM0.51m
7:35PM0.60m
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:52
6:52
6:50
6:48
6:47
6:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:50
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:54
 mm
4
4
1
Temp °C
15
16
15
12
12
13
12
12
12
11
14
14
13
15
14
13
14
14
13
15
14
Feels °C
10
12
12
11
10
10
7
7
9
9
12
11
11
13
12
11
11
12
11
12
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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