Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 8,131 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break it down for Point Leo (reef). Water temp is about 56°, right where it should be for this time of year.
The week starts with a solid wallop. Wednesday afternoon we’ve got a 12 ft SW groundswell, with a long 18-second period and a massive energy reading of 13831. That’s a lot of power. But the wind is a fresh cross-shore from the SSW at 18 mph, so it’s gonna be lumpy. This is big, powerful stuff—only for experts. Thursday drops a bit to 10 ft, still cross-shore and messy.
Here’s the real gem. Friday morning, September 11th. The swell drops to a very surfable 7 ft, still a nice long 15-second SW groundswell, and the wind goes glassy. Dead flat. The reef will be perfection. Energy is still strong at 2010. This is the best session of the whole forecast for experienced surfers.
Saturday morning the 12th is also a top pick. 7 ft SW swell, 16-second period, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE at 6 mph. Clean, powerful (2572), and the reef is gonna reel off some beauties.
Sunday the 13th we’re down to 5 ft, and Monday the 14th is a weak 3 ft with clean but tiny energy (372). Not much goin’ on.
Tuesday the 15th brings a cross-shore, lumpy 10 ft swell back. Wednesday the 16th morning is glassy again with a 8 ft SW swell—that’s another clean look, but the afternoon gets a cross-on wind.
Thursday the 17th has a fresh offshore from the NNW at 21 mph, with a 7 ft SW swell. Clean, but that wind is strong—it’ll be windy but glassy faces.
Friday the 18th sees a big pulse again: 12 ft SW swell, 14-second period, energy of 5517. But the wind is a strong cross-offshore in the morning, then howlin’ cross-shore in the afternoon. That’s a big, windy day—maybe more for kitesurfers than paddle surfers.
From Saturday the 19th onward, it fades. 6 ft, then 4 ft, with mostly cross-off or onshore winds. The last decent look is Wednesday the 23rd of September: 5 ft SW swell, glassy in the morning. Small, clean, fun.
Best of the bunch: Friday morning the 11th and Saturday morning the 12th. Get out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sun night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8412 | 8131 | 5167 | 4016 | 2688 | 2010 | 2437 | 3039 | 2295 | 1882 | 1500 | 1006 | 939 | 543 | 357 | 347 | 1695 | 2160 | 2511 | 2103 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:39PM1.69m | 10:21AM1.77m | 10:13PM1.70m | 11:25AM1.83m | 11:35PM1.80m | 12:18PM1.90m | 00:41AM1.92m | 1:03PM1.96m | 1:34AM2.03m | 1:42PM2.01m | 2:20AM2.11m | 2:19PM2.03m | 3:01AM2.13m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:28AM0.44m | 4:22PM0.88m | 4:47AM0.48m | 5:34PM0.71m | 5:56AM0.48m | 6:30PM0.53m | 6:53AM0.46m | 7:17PM0.36m | 7:41AM0.46m | 7:58PM0.23m | 8:23AM0.48m | 8:37PM0.16m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — |
 | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 8412 | 8131 | 5167 | 4016 | 2688 | 2010 | 2437 | 3039 | 2295 | 1882 | 1500 | 1006 | 939 | 543 | 357 | 347 | 109 | 2160 | 2511 | 2103 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | — | SW 16 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 970 | 650 | 344 | — | — | 722 | 434 | 277 | 142 | 93 | 77 | 24 | 22 | 15 | 36 | — | 291 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WNW 3 | WNW 4 | SW 10 | SW 12 | — | — |
| kJ | 5419 | 5122 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 1695 | 1539 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1511 | 66 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 58 | 12 | 62 | 66 | 814 | 10 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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