Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 9,125 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
Alright crew, Rusty here with the lowdown on Point Leo. It’s a slow start, but there’s a beautiful window of clean surf coming if you’re patient.
The first few days, Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th, are pumping with big, raw energy. Swells are 8 to 12 feet, and the wind is screaming out of the NW at 25 mph, which is offshore, so it’s clean. But the combined energy is massive (2047 to 6124), meaning it’s a heavy, powerful ocean. The 12-second period gives it punch, but paddling into these will be a real fight. The water temp is about 57°F, which is average for the time of year. This is for experts only, and even then, it’s a battle.
The real standout action starts to turn on Tuesday the 14th. The swell is still a solid 12 feet in the morning, but the wind drops to a manageable 15 mph cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy peaks at 12406 – that’s a massive amount of juice in the water. The swell direction is WSW, which is perfect for the break. It’s still big, but the quality is there. The morning session on Tuesday the 14th is the first true highlight.
From Wednesday the 15th through to Friday the 17th, we get a gorgeous run of surf. The swell drops to a much more fun 6 to 8 feet, with a long 14 to 16-second period. The wind is light, mostly offshore, and we even see glassy conditions on Thursday afternoon and Friday afternoon. This is textbook Point Leo. The combined energy sits between 1461 and 2701, which is a healthy, fun power. The waves will be clean, lined up, and perfect. Thursday 16th July afternoon with glassy conditions and 7 feet of SW swell is a true standout. Friday 17th July afternoon is just as good, with zero wind.
After that, the weekend of the 18th and 19th sees the swell fade and the wind turn cross-off. The 18th still has some rideable 4 to 5 foot waves, but it’s a drop-off. By Sunday the 19th, it’s small and weak.
The second week is a mixed bag. The 20th and 21st show a pulse of 7 feet of SW swell with a moderate offshore wind, but the energy is lower. The 25th and 26th look like another pulse of 5 to 7 foot swell, but the wind is strong again, making it messy. Nothing in the second week comes close to that Thursday-Friday window in the first week.
If you can only paddle out once, make it Thursday 16th July afternoon or Friday 17th July afternoon at Point Leo. A 7 foot SW groundswell, with a 14-15 second period, and glassy conditions. That’s as good as it gets.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun night, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sun morning, light winds from the WNW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 10°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2047 | 3358 | 3722 | 5549 | 6051 | 9125 | 6440 | 4668 | 3444 | 2326 | 1770 | 1343 | 1443 | 1688 | 2237 | 2484 | 2102 | 1289 | 816 | 560 | 388 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:51PM1.82m | 9:53AM1.94m | 8:58PM1.79m | 11:03AM1.99m | 10:14PM1.79m | 12:07PM2.07m | 11:30PM1.83m | 1:04PM2.14m | 00:42AM1.89m | 1:53PM2.19m | 1:47AM1.95m | 2:38PM2.22m | 2:46AM1.99m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:21PM1.00m | 2:47AM0.12m | 3:36PM1.03m | 3:55AM0.09m | 4:52PM1.00m | 5:05AM0.07m | 6:03PM0.89m | 6:11AM0.05m | 7:05PM0.74m | 7:11AM0.07m | 8:00PM0.58m | 8:06AM0.12m | 8:50PM0.43m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | |  | | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — |
mm | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | SW 22 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 2047 | 20 | 3722 | 5549 | 6051 | 7867 | 5714 | 4668 | 3444 | 2326 | 1770 | 1343 | 1443 | 1688 | 2237 | 2484 | 2102 | 1289 | 816 | 560 | 388 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | SSW 15 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | — | — | SW 22 | SSW 14 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SW 23 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 73 | — | 252 | — | 144 | 158 | — | — | 18 | 81 | — | 217 | 123 | — | — | — | 21 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 23 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | WSW 12 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 80 | 3358 | 37 | 68 | 73 | 9125 | 6440 | 3013 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 460 | 664 | 96 | 262 | 540 | 61 | 66 | 66 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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