Surf Forecasts:
Point Leo surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,327 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Leo this week:
The surf forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Leo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Leo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got the goods on what’s coming up for Point Leo. This is a long-range look, so strap in.
We’ve got a pretty solid run of surf on the horizon, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The water’s sitting at about 56°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.
The first real standout comes on Thursday the 13th. We’re looking at a solid 10ft SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period. That’s a lot of energy coming in (5036), pushing through the break. Thursday morning is the pick with a clean, offshore WNW breeze at 16 mph. This is expert territory, though – at that size it’s not for the faint-hearted. The afternoon holds up nicely with lighter winds. This is the best of the early run.
Friday the 14th still has that 10ft SW swell, but it gets a bit bumpy with cross-off winds. It’s still fun for experienced surfers, but not as clean as Thursday.
Now, there’s a bit of a lull. The swell drops off through the weekend and into early next week, dropping below 7ft. The winds stay light and mostly cross, meaning the surf will be small and a bit weak. There’s not much to get excited about from Saturday the 15th through to Tuesday the 19th.
We get a little bump mid-week around Wednesday the 20th with a shift in swell direction to the WSW. It’s not huge, around 5ft, but with clean conditions, it could be a fun little session if you’re desperate.
The second real highlight is well into the future, but it could be a cracker if it holds. Look at Sunday the 24th: a fresh 8ft SW groundswell arrives with strong, clean offshore winds. By Monday the 25th, that swell sticks around, and the wind holds. The energy is building, but the wind gets pretty strong (28 mph on Monday arvo), which will make it hard work.
The biggest swell of the outlook hits on Wednesday the 27th of August – a massive 15ft SW swell with a short 11-second period. The energy reading is off the charts at 5025. But the wind on the 27th is a cross-onshore, ruining the shape. It’ll be a big, messy, choppy mess. Not for paddling. That’s more of a kite surfer’s dream.
The very tail end of the outlook on Friday the 28th shows a drop back to 6ft, but with glassy conditions in the morning. That’ll be a clean, forgiving wave for anyone who wants to finish the run on a high note.
So, for the true standouts: Thursday the 13th morning is the first big highlight – big, clean, and powerful. The second is Sunday the 24th into Monday the 25th, where consistent 8ft+ swell meets clean offshore winds. That’s the one to circle on the calendar, but remember, it’s a long way off so keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu night, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4777 | 4272 | 4327 | 4032 | 3729 | 3367 | 2525 | 2372 | 1736 | 1147 | 1048 | 911 | 840 | 1225 | 1155 | 658 | 612 | 471 | 251 | 217 | 214 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross | on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:50AM1.94m | 11:29PM1.79m | 12:45PM2.02m | 00:42AM1.88m | 1:31PM2.09m | 1:43AM1.98m | 2:13PM2.13m | 2:37AM2.04m | 2:51PM2.14m | 3:24AM2.06m | 3:27PM2.12m | 4:08AM2.04m | 4:01PM2.07m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:49PM0.85m | 6:02AM0.25m | 6:51PM0.66m | 7:02AM0.26m | 7:42PM0.47m | 7:55AM0.29m | 8:28PM0.31m | 8:41AM0.35m | 9:10PM0.21m | 9:24AM0.43m | 9:49PM0.16m | 10:03AM0.53m | 10:25PM0.18m | ||||||||
7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
— | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
4777 | 4272 | 4327 | 4032 | 3729 | 3367 | 2525 | 2372 | 1736 | 1147 | 1048 | 911 | 840 | 1225 | 1155 | 658 | 612 | 471 | 251 | 217 | 214 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SE 5 | — | ESE 5 | SE 4 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | ESE 5 | WSW 16 | ESE 4 | SE 7 | SW 20 |
259 | 318 | 434 | 270 | 270 | 284 | 130 | 249 | 289 | 61 | 4 | — | 8 | 3 | 43 | 358 | 6 | 217 | 1 | 2 | 15 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 5 | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | S 16 | WSW 20 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 52 | — | — | 60 | 26 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 38 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 5 | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | E 5 | — | ESE 4 | N 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 10 | 29 | 12 | 13 | 7 | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | 30 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Leo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Leo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Leo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Leo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Leo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Leo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Leo is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











