
Surf Forecasts:
Pearses Beach surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 5,534 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Pearses Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Pearses Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Pearses Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Pearses Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, checking in with the local surf outlook for the coming days.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid window of surf on offer, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The main event is definitely going to be Pearses Beach, a reef setup that likes a solid SW groundswell. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty standard for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.
We’ll kick things off on Sunday, the 19th of July. It’s not going to be huge—swell around 4ft from the SW on a 12-second period, but the energy is solid (431). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the N, so the surface will be clean. It’s got that "expect good surf" feel, and for a Sunday morning, it’s a solid start. The afternoon holds up similar, with a touch less wind.
Monday, the 20th, sees a bit of a jump in quality. The morning has a 3ft SW swell, but the period stretches out to a lovely 16 seconds—proper groundswell. The wind is still cross-off, so it’ll be clean. The energy is up to 547. This is a standout day for the more experienced crew. The afternoon settles back a bit.
Tuesday, the 21st, is another one to circle. The morning has a 5ft swell from the WSW with a 14-second period, and the energy is climbing to 870. The wind is still cross-off. The afternoon, though, is where it gets really good: 5ft from the SW on a 13-second period, still clean, and the energy is 711. This is looking like the best of the bunch for the first week. The descriptor says "expect very good surf conditions." That’s the one.
Now, we hit a rough patch. From Wednesday, the 22nd, through to the end of July, the wind turns nasty. We’re looking at strong cross-onshore and onshore winds, turning the surf into a messy, blown-out mess. The swell gets huge, with heights over 10ft and combined energy hitting four-digit numbers like 4078 and 8071, but it’s completely unsurfable with the wind on it. This is expert-only stuff if you’re a glutton for punishment, but honestly, it looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. This stretch runs through the 31st of July.
We get a brief reprieve on the 1st of August, but the swell drops right off, and the wind is straight onshore, so it’s still a no-go.
The real wildcard is at the very end of the forecast. On Monday, the 3rd of August, we see a pulse of energy: 5ft from the SW, but with an incredible 18-second period, hitting an energy of 1887. The wind is finally back to a cross-off shore from the E. That’s a long, long-period groundswell. It’s going to be clean, but it’s a long way out, so treat it as a promising but less certain prospect. The break is a reef, so it should handle that long period better than a beach break. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 6ft.
So, for the standouts: Tuesday, the 21st of July, is your best bet in the first week. Clean, solid, and consistent. If you’re looking further ahead, keep an eye on Monday, the 3rd of August. The crowds at Pearses can be there sometimes, but with this stretch of grotty weather, it might be quieter than usual.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 9 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
330 | 259 | 194 | 502 | 226 | 372 | 870 | 711 | 456 | 367 | 531 | 2777 | 4078 | 4527 | 5140 | 3848 | 4368 | 4156 | 4085 | 3214 | 2107 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:33PM1.59m | 3:48AM1.45m | 4:10PM1.57m | 4:39AM1.44m | 4:46PM1.54m | 5:28AM1.41m | 5:19PM1.50m | 6:16AM1.37m | 5:51PM1.45m | 7:05AM1.33m | 6:24PM1.39m | 7:57AM1.29m | 7:00PM1.33m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:47PM0.38m | 9:53AM0.34m | 10:29PM0.33m | 10:35AM0.45m | 11:10PM0.31m | 11:15AM0.57m | 11:50PM0.31m | 11:55AM0.68m | 00:29AM0.33m | 12:35PM0.77m | 1:11AM0.35m | 1:20PM0.85m | 1:55AM0.37m | ||||||||
7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | |
— | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | SW 13 |
330 | 259 | 144 | 502 | 226 | 372 | 870 | 711 | 456 | 367 | 190 | 2113 | — | 3544 | 3929 | 3848 | 4368 | 4117 | — | — | 2107 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | S 16 | SW 12 | WSW 18 | — | — | E 11 | E 10 | S 14 | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — |
63 | 60 | 194 | 20 | 142 | 32 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 493 | 365 | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | S 10 | S 14 | — | — | — | — | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
38 | 97 | 22 | 25 | 7 | 16 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | N 3 | WNW 4 | WSW 9 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 15 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | — |
— | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 531 | 2777 | 4078 | 4527 | 5140 | 37 | 35 | 4156 | 4085 | 3214 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 32 | 37 | 37 | 37 | 480 | 33 | 70 | 70 | 496 | 37 | 32 | 23 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Pearses Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Pearses Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Pearses Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Pearses Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Pearses Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Pearses Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Pearses Beach is 30 km (19 miles) from the city of Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










