Pines Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.43° S 145.06° E

Pines Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 17 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Pines sea temperature is
13.0° C
0.5° 

Pines surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Pines surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 4,299 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Pines this week:

The surf forecast for Pines over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Pines in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Tue 18th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug)8ft (2.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Pines over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, check it out. The long-range charts are starting to show some pulse, but we're gonna have to earn it. First few days are a write-off for the most part—nothing but onshore slop and lumpy conditions. But keep your head up, because there's a proper window of clean waves coming mid-week, and that weekend has some solid potential before things get messy again.

First up, Pines (East Cape). Water temp is sitting around 55.4°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no wetsuit surprises there. Now, it's a fairly consistent point break, but the start of this run is grim. Monday afternoon you're looking at 5.2ft of SW swell but it's crossed-up and choppy. Not worth the paddle. Tuesday morning is a bit better, 3.9ft and clean with a cross-off breeze, but it's still small. The real story unfolds Wednesday into Thursday. Wednesday swings in a strong N wind, 25 mph, which cleans it up but makes it howling. It's small, under 3.3ft, and tough to get into. By Thursday, we get a better looking 4.3ft from the WSW with a fresh offshore, and it's clean.

The standout is Friday. Solid 5.2ft of SW groundswell, period jumping to 14-15 seconds, and it's glassy with a cross-off wind. That's proper point break territory. The energy reading is strong too, hitting (1492) on Friday afternoon. It's a longer period swell, which this point will handle perfectly—will be some proper lines wrapping in. Crowds are likely, so get there early. This is your best bet for a proper session in the first week.

Saturday morning gets bigger, 7.9ft from the SW with a 16-second period, but the wind swings onshore and it turns to mush. That's too much for most and the strong cross-shore kills it. Forget it.

Sunday afternoon looks magic. The swell drops to a very manageable 6.2ft, and we get a moderate offshore breeze, making it clean with good shape. It's an excellent session for more experienced surfers. The energy is still healthy (1642), so there's push in the waves. Monday, the 24th, keeps that quality with offshores and a 4.9ft swell, and by Monday afternoon it's dead glassy. That's a super clean, fun day.

The rest of the run drops off. Tuesday is smaller, but still clean. Wednesday gets windy and messy. Thursday the 28th brings a big 6.9ft swell but it's with a strong W wind—not great.

The last few days of August and into September are mixed. There's a pulse for the 31st with a very long period (20 seconds) but it's small and the winds are light and cross. Then we finally get back to it on the 1st of September. Tuesday the 1st looks like a gem—5.6ft of SW swell with a clean N offshore wind and strong energy (1836). That's another standout, a proper finish to the period. It's a week away, so don't book your flights yet, but it's one to keep an eye on.

So, bottom line: ride the small clean windows on the 17th and the 18th if you're keen, but the real gems are Friday the 21st, Sunday afternoon the 23rd, and that last day on the 1st of September. The rest is just waiting. Keep the faith, it's gonna turn on.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the N by Wed morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
2
3
2
2
3
4
3
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
1.1
WSW
13
1.2
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
13
1.5
WSW
12
1.7
WSW
11
2.3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
3
WSW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.3
SW
14
2.2
SW
14
2
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1171
597
621
465
251
239
217
427
484
572
658
627
2610
2906
4299
2717
2171
1785
1904
Wind (km/h)
15
ENE
15
NE
10
ENE
20
NNE
35
NNE
40
N
25
NW
30
NW
30
WNW
20
WNW
20
WNW
20
WNW
25
NW
25
WNW
25
SW
15
WNW
20
W
15
NW
15
W
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
3:24AM2.06m
3:27PM2.12m
4:08AM2.04m
4:01PM2.07m
4:48AM1.99m
4:33PM1.99m
5:28AM1.90m
5:04PM1.90m
6:08AM1.81m
5:36PM1.80m
6:53AM1.71m
6:09PM1.70m
Low Tide
9:24AM0.43m
9:49PM0.16m
10:03AM0.53m
10:25PM0.18m
10:39AM0.64m
11:01PM0.23m
11:15AM0.75m
11:37PM0.31m
11:50AM0.87m
00:14AM0.40m
12:29PM0.98m
00:57AM0.48m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
7:01
7:00
6:58
6:56
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:45
5:45
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:49
 mm
1
1
1
1
Temp °C
14
15
18
16
14
14
14
15
16
12
12
13
12
13
13
12
12
13
13
Feels °C
11
12
15
12
7
6
9
9
10
8
6
8
7
8
8
8
7
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Pines Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Pines provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Pines can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Pines surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Pines) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Pines may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Pines is 24 km (15 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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