Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
13.6°C
0.9° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 20s period, SW swell with 10,032 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 20s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 16s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Tue 8th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 13s
Best Surf 4AM (Tue 8th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 13s
Most Powerful10AM (Wed 9th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 20s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, it’s Rusty. Gotta be straight with you—this 16-day window for Cape Schanck is a bit of a mixed bag. The first week is mostly messy or too big with poor conditions, but there’s a true standout window by Saturday the 12th that’s worth circling on the calendar. The second week also has a decent-looking pulse, but a big wind event in between will keep things quiet for a few days.

We start with the dawn patrol on Monday the 7th—honestly, don't even bother. We’ve got 7ft of SW swell coming in with a nasty 35 km/h cross-on, and the water temp is 57°, which is about average for this time of year down here. The combined energy reads 1161 (moderate), but the wind is just ruining it—poor surf all day. Same story Tuesday the 8th: the swell drops to 4ft, but a cross-on wind keeps things choppy, even though the period jumps to 18 seconds (nice groundswell). It’s only a marginal call. Wednesday the 9th is a write-off—12ft to 13ft of SW swell, 40 km/h onshore winds, strong energy (11792 and 9967), but that’s big and ugly, only for the brave or the stupid.

Thursday the 10th is still too big with 12ft to 10ft SW swell and moderate onshore winds—score’s a zero again. Friday the 11th eases to 7ft SW swell with lighter winds, but it’s still cross-on, and the combined energy is still solid (1736 and 2367), but the quality is only marginal.

Now, Saturday the 12th is where we finally get a window. This is the standout of the first week. We’ve got a clean 7ft SW swell at 16 seconds in the morning, with a light N wind cross-off, and then by afternoon the wind swings ENE at 5 km/h, going offshore. The combined energy sits at 2267 and 1774 (moderate-strong). This is the cleanest, best-shaped swell of the whole forecast. It’s excellent for experienced surfers—crowds are possible here, so get in early. That 15–16 second period will give you long lines, but it’s a reef, so watch the shallow boils.

Sunday the 13th starts to blow out with 40 km/h N cross-off winds—clean but howling, energy dropping to 882 and 831. Monday the 14th is a mess again with cross and onshore winds. Then we’ve got a big gap: Tuesday the 15th through Friday the 18th is all marginal to poor. Tuesday the 15th has 10ft to 12ft of SW swell but onshore winds—too big and choppy. Wednesday and Thursday are marginal at best, and Friday the 18th is blown out by 45 km/h N winds.

But then, Sunday the 20th lights up again. We get a 7ft SW swell at 16 seconds, light E/SE wind cross-off, and the combined energy is 2119 (moderate-strong). It’s clean and excellent for experienced surfers. This is the second standout—another cracker. The morning will be glassy, and it’s a reef setup, so those long-period lines will reel down the point. Afternoon gets a bit windier, but still decent.

Monday the 21st has a tiny 2ft SW swell but with a freakishly long 24-second period—that’s very long period groundswell, and combined energy is low (381). It’s clean, but very small. The afternoon jumps to 8ft with a 14-second period—looks promising but the winds freshen. Tuesday the 22nd closes out the window with 6ft to 8ft of SW swell and 18–19 second periods, but cross-on winds keep it marginal. Energy is high (3826 and 5113), but the chop holds it back.

All in all, your best bets are Saturday September 12 and Sunday September 20—both have clean, lined-up SW swell around the 6–7ft mark, offshore or cross-off winds, and good energy. Everything else is either blown out, too big, or not worth suiting up for. Keep those days marked, and don’t bother paddling out in the middle of the week unless you love a beating.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the SSW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the N by Sat night).

Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
4
4
3
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
SW
12
1.4
S
7
1.8
SW
14
1.2
SW
18
1.4
SW
17
2
SW
16
3.5
SW
20
4
SW
18
4
SW
17
3.5
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.4
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
2.1
SW
15
2.3
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
1.7
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1125
187
1167
901
1172
1929
10032
9172
8667
5590
4221
2653
1736
1881
2702
2120
1632
1246
833
783
620
Wind (km/h)
35
SSW
25
SSW
10
SSW
20
W
20
SW
50
SSW
40
SSW
40
SSW
30
SSW
25
SW
25
SW
15
SW
15
WSW
15
SW
0
NW
10
N
5
ENE
20
N
40
N
40
N
45
N
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:06PM1.50m
7:49AM1.46m
7:11PM1.41m
9:06AM1.41m
8:37PM1.35m
10:22AM1.43m
10:13PM1.36m
11:27AM1.47m
11:36PM1.45m
12:18PM1.53m
00:41AM1.55m
1:02PM1.59m
1:33AM1.65m
Low Tide
12:25PM0.74m
00:56AM0.20m
1:31PM0.80m
2:06AM0.30m
2:56PM0.80m
3:27AM0.37m
4:24PM0.72m
4:48AM0.39m
5:35PM0.58m
5:56AM0.38m
6:30PM0.43m
6:52AM0.37m
7:16PM0.29m
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
6:33
6:31
6:30
6:28
6:26
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:02
6:02
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
 mm
1
2
Temp °C
12
11
11
10
12
12
11
11
12
11
12
11
10
11
10
13
18
16
19
20
17
Feels °C
3
5
7
7
5
5
2
2
4
6
7
7
7
8
8
10
14
11
11
12
7
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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