Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,338 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 14s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab your wettie and listen up. This is Rusty, and here’s how the surf is shaping up for Cape Schanck.
We’re looking at a patchy outlook for the next couple of weeks. The first week is a write-off, honestly. The ocean’s got some serious juice, but the wind’s just not on our side. We kick off Monday the 14th with a moderate cross-shore chop, and it only gets worse. Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th are a no-go – we’re talking a strong onshore blow with a solid 9.8ft to 11.5ft SW swell. That’s big, but it’s just a messy, lumpy mess. The combined energy is massive, hitting over 6800 on Wednesday, but with the wind screaming onshore, it’s a kite surfer’s dream, not ours. This poor run stretches right through to Thursday the 17th. Things start to look a little cleaner on Friday the 18th with a cross-offshore breeze, but the conditions are still marginal, and the swell is dropping to 4.9ft to 5.9ft.
We get a little reprieve on Saturday the 19th morning. The wind swings cross-offshore, and we’ve got a clean 6.2ft SW swell with a decent 13-second period. The spot cleans right up, and even though the energy is moderate (1299), it’s the best we’ve seen. That said, it’s only a fleeting moment before the wind picks up again. The rest of that week and into the next is a mixed bag of strong winds and onshore conditions, with a few mornings like Tuesday the 22nd looking clean but with a lumpy cross-chop that spoils the party.
Hold on, because the real standout is saved for the end. Mark Tuesday the 29th of September in your diary. We’ve got a gorgeous morning with a gentle offshore breeze from the NE and a clean 4.3ft SW groundswell. That’s a long-period swell too – 18 seconds – packing some serious energy (1817). This is the kind of day Cape Schanck (Victoria) was made for. The water’s about average for this time of year at 57.0°, just a touch warmer than normal. For experienced surfers, this is gold. The break is a reef, so it handles that long-period energy well, but expect some competition – crowds are often here. This is your window.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the SW by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Thu night, strong winds from the N by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 357 | 257 | 128 | 2774 | 4429 | 4748 | 4054 | 3612 | 2982 | 1855 | 1280 | 1208 | 1119 | 721 | 1273 | 1299 | 42 | 47 | 1216 | 1063 | 744 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:41PM1.62m | 2:18AM1.71m | 2:17PM1.63m | 2:59AM1.73m | 2:52PM1.63m | 3:37AM1.71m | 3:24PM1.60m | 4:13AM1.66m | 3:55PM1.55m | 4:48AM1.58m | 4:25PM1.49m | 5:25AM1.50m | 4:56PM1.42m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:57PM0.18m | 8:22AM0.39m | 8:35PM0.12m | 9:00AM0.42m | 9:10PM0.11m | 9:35AM0.47m | 9:45PM0.14m | 10:08AM0.53m | 10:18PM0.19m | 10:41AM0.60m | 10:52PM0.27m | 11:14AM0.68m | 11:28PM0.35m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — |
 | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 20 | 16 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 23 | 20 | 13 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | — | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 11 |
| kJ | 357 | 257 | 128 | — | — | 76 | 4054 | 3612 | 2982 | 1855 | 1280 | 1208 | 1119 | 721 | 1273 | 1299 | 1380 | 627 | 1216 | 1063 | 1289 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | WSW 6 | SW 18 | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 15 | 15 | 111 | — | — | — | 357 | — | — | — | — | — | 311 | 635 | — | — | 42 | 47 | 191 | 77 | 744 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 37 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | — | WSW 6 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | — | — | NNW 2 | NW 3 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | — |
| kJ | 3 | — | 60 | 2774 | 4429 | 4748 | 2449 | 2390 | 72 | 39 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 60 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 23 | 13 | 62 | 491 | 806 | 267 | 331 | 146 | 49 | 49 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 41 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 538 | 62 | 13 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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