Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 9,428 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 13s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer down at Cape Schanck. This reef setup is a proper one for the experienced crew, but we’ve got a bit of a wait before we see the good stuff.
The next week and a half is a write-off. We’re looking at strong onshore winds and big, messy swell from the 6th right through to the 11th of September. There’s a lot of energy in the water, but it’s all blown out. Look for the kite surfers to be having a better time than us paddle surfers on those days.
The first real chance for a decent wave comes on Saturday the 12th. The morning sees a clean 7ft SW swell with a light cross-off breeze from the NNE. The water is a touch warmer than average at 57°, which is a nice little bonus. The afternoon is where it gets really interesting though – glassy conditions with an ESE breeze, and a clean 6ft SW groundswell (15-second period) rolling in. This is a standout for the advanced surfers. The reef will be handling that long-period energy well, giving you proper lines. The only catch is that the crowds are a regular thing here, so you’ll want to be out early.
After that, the spell breaks again. The 14th and 15th are back to strong winds and poor conditions. Sunday the 13th has some clean, smaller waves, but it’s not exactly firing.
Now, if you’re looking that far ahead, Thursday the 17th of September is another one to circle. The afternoon is looking glassy with a 8ft SW swell and a 10-second period. The energy is solid (2349), and with the wind dropping off to a glassy calm, this is an excellent window for the more experienced crew. The swell is a bit on the bigger side, so it’s not for the faint-hearted.
So, to sum it up: the best calls are the Saturday 12th afternoon for the glassy, long-period groundswell, and the Thursday 17th afternoon for the clean, punchy swell. The rest of the 16 days is mostly a wait. The sea is restless, but the real gems are tucked away in the second week. Keep your eyes on the forecast, but for now, you know where to be.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the SW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1864 | 1423 | 921 | 287 | 234 | 1067 | 901 | 1172 | 1787 | 5292 | 9125 | 8767 | 6188 | 4483 | 3092 | 1855 | 1712 | 2295 | 1983 | 1344 | 978 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:17PM1.57m | 6:43AM1.54m | 6:06PM1.50m | 7:49AM1.46m | 7:11PM1.41m | 9:06AM1.41m | 8:37PM1.35m | 10:22AM1.43m | 10:13PM1.36m | 11:27AM1.47m | 11:36PM1.45m | 12:18PM1.53m | 00:41AM1.55m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:34AM0.65m | 11:58PM0.11m | 12:25PM0.74m | 00:56AM0.20m | 1:31PM0.80m | 2:06AM0.30m | 2:56PM0.80m | 3:27AM0.37m | 4:24PM0.72m | 4:48AM0.39m | 5:35PM0.58m | 5:56AM0.38m | 6:30PM0.43m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — |
 | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 7 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 21 | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1864 | 1423 | 921 | 287 | 107 | 1067 | 721 | 1172 | 1787 | 1096 | 578 | 8767 | 6188 | 4483 | 3092 | 1855 | 1712 | 2295 | 1983 | 1344 | 978 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 22 | SW 13 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 26 | SSW 16 | — | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 66 | 31 | 87 | 18 | 234 | 377 | 901 | 581 | 27 | 138 | — | 740 | 969 | 561 | — | — | — | 785 | 144 | 49 | 43 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | — | — | SW 22 | SW 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | — | SSW 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 15 | — | — | 18 | 70 | 37 | 62 | 59 | — | 258 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 6 | SW 13 | SW 6 | S 7 | — | — | — | SW 6 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 |
| kJ | — | 51 | 699 | 156 | 110 | — | — | — | 157 | 5292 | 9125 | 5627 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 13 | 23 | 13 | 146 | 146 | 13 | 2 | 52 | 473 | 592 | 1527 | 62 | 48 | 109 | 41 | 48 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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