
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,639 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.0m 16s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Cape Schanck. The forecast is a real mixed bag, with some proper size coming through but a whole lot of wind to go with it. We’ve got a window of clean surf at the start, then a big stretch of wild weather, before things might settle down again for a final chance.
The outlook kicks off this Friday morning, the 10th of July. We’ve got a solid SW groundswell rolling in at a bit over 5 feet, with a very long 15-second period. The energy is strong at 1100, and the water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about normal for this time of year. The wind is a light N breeze, 9 mph, coming cross-off the reef. It’s clean, but the score is just a 2, so it’s not a full standout. The afternoon on Friday looks better for the experienced crew – the swell drops slightly to 5 feet, the wind eases to 6 mph, still cross-off, and the score nudges up to a 3. It’s clean and the energy is still moderate (979). This is your best bet for the whole outlook, but don’t expect it to be firing on all cylinders.
Then things go pear-shaped. From Saturday, the 11th of July, right through to Tuesday, the 15th of July, the wind just howls. We’re talking near gale-force winds for days. The swell gets huge, hitting 11-12 feet late on Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th, with a very long 16-second period and massive combined energy readings of 5644 to 6573. But it’s all blown out. The reef is a mess. This is expert territory only, and honestly, with that much cross-shore and onshore wind, it’s more of a kite-surfing situation than a paddle-in one. Most of these days score a zero for surf quality.
The wind finally starts to back off a bit on Wednesday the 15th of July. The swell drops to 8 feet, with a 14-second period, and the energy is strong at 2382. But the wind is still a moderate cross-shore, making it choppy. It’s a marginal call, scoring a 1 or a 2.
Thursday the 16th of July is a bit better. The swell is 6 feet, still a long 14-second SW groundswell, and the energy is moderate (1238 to 1359). The wind is light, with a bit of a cross-on kick, but it’s clean enough. The score hits a 3 for the afternoon. Not a standout, but it’s surfable.
Now, here’s the interesting part. Friday the 17th of July. The morning is clean but marginal, but the afternoon is where it’s at. The swell holds at 6 feet, with a 15-second period, and the energy is strong at 1585. The wind is a light 6 mph from the north, cross-off, and the conditions are clean. The score is a 4, and it’s marked as “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is your second best window, and the best of the later part of the forecast. The long period will make for some proper waves on the reef, but the length of the swell might make it a bit too straight for a beach, so Cape Schanck’s reef structure should handle it well.
After that, it’s more poor conditions. The wind picks up again, and the swell drops right off. By the 20th of July, we’re down to 2 to 3 feet, with offshore winds but just not enough size. The final few days into the 24th and 25th of July show a bump back up to 5 feet, but the wind is all over the place, keeping the scores down.
So, to wrap it up: If you’re keen, your best shot is Friday the 10th of July for the cleanest, smaller surf, or Friday the 17th of July for a cleaner, bigger swell for experienced surfers. The rest of the 16 days is mostly a write-off from the wind and the size. It’s a tough run for the area.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri afternoon, near gales from the NW by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon morning, light winds from the WNW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | NW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 12 | NW 5 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1062 | 979 | 35 | 0 | 395 | 62 | 46 | 0 | 48 | 5404 | 5973 | 8639 | 6573 | 4853 | 3330 | 2263 | 1812 | 1463 | 1238 | 1238 | 1526 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:05PM1.52m | 7:32AM1.51m | 6:51PM1.49m | 8:40AM1.53m | 7:47PM1.45m | 9:53AM1.56m | 8:55PM1.43m | 11:04AM1.61m | 10:11PM1.43m | 12:08PM1.67m | 11:29PM1.47m | 1:04PM1.73m | 00:41AM1.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:16PM0.66m | 00:47AM0.18m | 1:13PM0.75m | 1:42AM0.13m | 2:20PM0.83m | 2:45AM0.10m | 3:36PM0.85m | 3:54AM0.08m | 4:53PM0.82m | 5:03AM0.05m | 6:04PM0.74m | 6:09AM0.04m | 7:05PM0.61m | ||||||||
7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | |
— | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | — | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
1062 | 979 | 701 | 476 | 395 | 451 | 2545 | — | 3425 | 5404 | 5973 | 8639 | 6573 | 4853 | 3330 | 2263 | 1812 | 1463 | 1238 | 1238 | 1526 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | — | SSW 13 | — | S 14 | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | — | — | SSW 14 | — |
38 | — | 35 | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | 166 | 198 | — | — | — | 209 | 116 | 79 | — | — | 115 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 18 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | N 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 12 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | — | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 9 | 13 | 36 | 62 | 46 | 2948 | 48 | 74 | 77 | 5547 | 7425 | 5417 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 102 | 182 | 495 | 475 | 619 | 280 | 78 | 52 | 49 | 41 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










