Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
14.1° C
0.8° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, SW swell with 2,449 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 2.4m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 14s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Fri 17th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Fri 17th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 15s
Most Powerful 1PM (Thu 16th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a mixed bag coming up at Cape Schanck. Let’s break it down.

The week starts quiet, but things pick up on Friday the 17th. That’s our standout. We’ve got a solid 7ft south-west groundswell rolling in with a nice long 16-second period, pushing a heap of energy through. The real kicker is the wind – a clean, cross-off breeze out of the north-northwest. That’s going to groom the reef beautifully. The water’s sitting at 57°, which is about normal for this time of year. This is an advanced reef break, so it’s not for the faint-hearted, but for those with the skills, Friday morning and afternoon are looking excellent. The crowd can be a factor here, so be ready for company.

The Saturday (18th) is still very good, with a dropping 6ft south-west swell. The wind stays clean, and by the afternoon we get a glassy session with 5ft waves and light winds. It’ll be a bit more mellow but still a great time to be out.

That’s the pick of the window. After Sunday the 19th, the swell drops away hard and we run into a real flat spell. From Sunday the 19th through to Tuesday the 22nd, the energy levels are tiny, and the conditions are poor. You’re looking at a stretch of at least three or four days where you’d be better off doing something else.

Then, around Thursday the 23rd, a new pulse of south-west swell arrives, but it comes with strong onshore winds. The wave heights are up around 8ft to 10ft, and the energy is huge, but the wind is just wrecking it. It’s a choppy, blown-out mess. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for the majority of that period. The closing days of the month (27th to 30th) see the swell become inconsistent and small, with poor conditions and onshore flow.

So, in short: get your best waves Friday the 17th and maybe Saturday the 18th. After that, it’s a long wait for the next proper window.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Mon afternoon).

Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
2
3
4
4
4
4
3
3
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
2.4
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2.1
SW
15
2.1
SW
16
2.1
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.2
SW
13
0.1
SW
20
0.9
SW
12
0.6
SW
18
0.2
SSW
16
0.2
SSW
10
0.2
SSW
15
0.9
SW
13
0.1
SE
10
0.1
E
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2439
2020
2125
2416
2372
1915
2035
2241
1563
1154
880
494
16
236
197
25
9
21
257
4
2
Wind (km/h)
25
WNW
15
W
15
W
15
SW
10
SW
5
WNW
15
NNW
10
NNW
10
NW
15
NNW
5
NE
10
N
15
N
10
N
15
N
30
NNW
25
N
30
N
30
N
15
NW
30
N
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
12:08PM1.67m
11:29PM1.47m
1:04PM1.73m
00:41AM1.52m
1:53PM1.78m
1:46AM1.57m
2:37PM1.80m
2:45AM1.60m
3:18PM1.79m
3:39AM1.61m
3:56PM1.76m
4:30AM1.59m
4:32PM1.70m
Low Tide
6:04PM0.74m
6:09AM0.04m
7:05PM0.61m
7:10AM0.05m
8:00PM0.47m
8:05AM0.10m
8:49PM0.35m
8:55AM0.18m
9:35PM0.26m
9:41AM0.28m
10:18PM0.20m
10:25AM0.40m
10:59PM0.19m
cloud
cloud
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:22
 mm
1
Temp °C
11
13
13
12
13
12
10
13
12
11
13
12
12
15
14
12
14
13
14
17
14
Feels °C
7
10
11
9
11
10
7
12
11
8
11
10
8
12
11
6
8
7
9
13
9
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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