Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 7,492 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 15s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what we’ve got coming.
First off, the next week and a bit is a total loss. From Wednesday the 22nd right through to Sunday the 26th of July, the surf is poor. The wind is on it or cross-onshore, strong, and the whole thing is messy. Don’t bother.
Things start to look up on Monday the 27th of July. The morning is still a bit so-so with a cross-shore breeze, but the afternoon glass off is real. The wind goes dead calm, and we get a clean 6ft swell from the SW. That’s a solid groundswell with an 11-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 806.
The real standout, and the only one I’d call a winner, is Tuesday the 28th of July at Cape Schanck. It’s a reef, so you’re getting proper waves. The morning is clean with a light cross-offshore breeze, swell at 6ft from the SW, and a period of 12 seconds. The energy is still moderate (979). The water temp is about 58°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Being a reef, that long-period groundswell will wrap in and give you some nice lines. It’s advanced territory, and crowds are often here, so expect some company. This is your best bet.
The rest of the week is a bit of a tease. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th stay clean with cross-offshore winds, but the swell drops to 5ft – 7ft, and the energy fades. Not worth the drive. Friday the 31st of July has a glassy morning with a gentle offshore wind, but the swell is only 4ft.
Then we get a pulse in the first week of August. Saturday the 1st of August sees a bigger 6ft – 7ft SW groundswell, with a very long period of 17 seconds. The energy is strong (2176). The wind is cross-offshore in the morning, but it’s a bit lumpy. That’s a promising one, but it’s a week out, so keep it on the radar. That swell is over 5ft, so it’s getting a bit much for beginners.
Sunday the 2nd of August is similar, with 7ft swells but a cross-shore wind making it lumpy again. By Monday the 3rd of August, we’re talking 12ft of SW swell, which is expert-only. The wind is strong and cross-offshore, but the energy is very strong (7686). That one is a monster, but not for the faint of heart.
So, mark your calendar for the 28th of July. That’s your window for clean, solid waves at Cape Schanck. The rest is a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the SW on Wed afternoon, near gales from the WSW by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 421 | 442 | 1027 | 3240 | 3519 | 7146 | 5813 | 4054 | 3087 | 2407 | 2143 | 1193 | 807 | 606 | 582 | 593 | 806 | 1475 | 976 | 2093 | 2237 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 5:07PM1.62m | 6:04AM1.48m | 5:40PM1.53m | 6:52AM1.43m | 6:13PM1.44m | 7:43AM1.37m | 6:49PM1.36m | 8:42AM1.33m | 7:32PM1.29m | 9:50AM1.32m | 8:29PM1.23m | 11:00AM1.35m | 9:41PM1.19m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:07AM0.52m | 11:39PM0.22m | 11:47AM0.64m | 00:17AM0.26m | 12:29PM0.74m | 00:58AM0.32m | 1:15PM0.83m | 1:43AM0.37m | 2:12PM0.91m | 2:35AM0.41m | 3:25PM0.95m | 3:37AM0.43m | 4:49PM0.94m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  | | | | | |  | |  | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — |
 | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — |
mm | — | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 18 | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 421 | 442 | 238 | 3240 | 31 | — | 5813 | 4054 | 3087 | 2407 | 1818 | 1193 | 807 | 606 | 582 | 593 | 806 | 1475 | 976 | 2093 | 2237 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | WSW 11 | — |
| kJ | 21 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 26 | 41 | 104 | — | — | — | 495 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | WSW 4 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | NW 4 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 11 | NW 3 | NW 3 | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | — | — |
| kJ | 21 | 34 | 1027 | 2216 | 3519 | 7146 | 3778 | 5024 | 19 | 1619 | 2143 | 1375 | 4 | 1 | — | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 78 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 473 | 77 | 52 | 52 | 48 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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