Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,193 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 17s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk Cape Schanck in imperial terms.
Starting off, the weekend of Saturday the 22nd is a bust. You’ve got onshore wind screaming at 22 mph out of the WSW, a lumpy 7 ft SW swell, and just ugly conditions. The water is 57°F—slightly above average for this time of year, so not freezing but still chilly.
Sunday the 23rd is where it gets interesting. The morning brings clean lines with a 8 ft SW swell and a light cross-off breeze from the NNW. But the real gem is the afternoon: glassy 3 mph NNE wind, with a clean 6 ft SW groundswell carrying 13-second intervals. The wave energy is strong (1895), and that long period swell will wrap into the reef beautifully. This is your first best call—quality, clean, and set up for experienced surfers. Crowds can turn up, but with this window, you’ll likely have room.
Monday the 24th fades a bit. A clean 5 ft to 5 ft SW swell holds, but the energy drops (719–874) and the wind picks up from the NNW. It’s a filler day, not a standout.
Tuesday the 25th morning gets a pulse back. A light 6 mph ESE breeze keeps it clean with a 6 ft SW swell and moderate energy (1005). Good surf, worth a paddle.
Wednesday the 26th through Friday the 28th is messy and windy. Expect cross-on and onshore conditions with SW swells ranging from 5 ft to 8 ft, some with very long 17-second periods. The reef will be choppy and lumpy, more suited to kite gear than a paddle board.
Sunday the 30th offers a slight recovery. A light 6 mph wind and a 7 ft SW swell with moderate energy (1528) could give you a clean-ish session—still marginal, but not a loss.
Monday the 31st and Tuesday the 1st of September stay average. Cross-shore winds, clean from the NW at times, with 7 ft to 8 ft SW swell. The energy is solid (2000s), but the quality is just okay.
The huge standout arrives Sunday the 6th of September. The forecast shows a massive 16 ft SW swell with a 17-second period and extreme energy (20584). The wind is clean offshore from the NNE at 12 mph, which is perfect—except the swell is way too big for this break. Only for fearless experts. The afternoon drops to 13 ft still with high energy (15587) and clean wind. This is a serious, no-joke session for the experienced only.
To wrap it up: your best windows are Sunday afternoon the 23rd of August for quality and manageable size, and Sunday the 6th of September for a massive, expert-only groundswell. The rest is a mix of average to marginal, so pick your moments.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sat morning, calm by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1925 | 4193 | 3261 | 1919 | 1299 | 1738 | 874 | 704 | 699 | 954 | 790 | 1179 | 890 | 744 | 304 | 298 | 392 | 1643 | 3307 | 2568 | 1933 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:31PM1.45m | 6:51AM1.38m | 6:04PM1.37m | 7:47AM1.31m | 6:44PM1.29m | 8:59AM1.27m | 7:41PM1.21m | 10:20AM1.29m | 9:06PM1.17m | 11:26AM1.34m | 10:40PM1.18m | 12:14PM1.41m | 11:52PM1.26m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:48AM0.71m | 00:11AM0.32m | 12:26PM0.81m | 00:53AM0.40m | 1:16PM0.89m | 1:46AM0.46m | 2:29PM0.95m | 2:53AM0.50m | 4:09PM0.95m | 4:09AM0.51m | 5:29PM0.87m | 5:17AM0.49m | 6:22PM0.75m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 11 |
Feels °C | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 1925 | 4193 | 3261 | 1919 | 1299 | 1738 | 874 | 704 | 699 | 954 | 790 | 1179 | 890 | 744 | 304 | 298 | 392 | 1643 | 3307 | 2568 | 1933 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | — | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | S 15 | — | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 22 | SW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | 152 | 522 | 596 | 204 | — | 15 | 50 | 51 | 381 | — | 4 | — | 180 | 76 | 231 | 649 | 100 | 113 | 48 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | WSW 23 | S 4 | SSW 19 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 91 | 52 | 1 | 74 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 15 | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | — | — | E 3 | — | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 5 |
| kJ | 1377 | 2863 | — | — | — | 6 | 9 | 2 | — | — | 6 | — | 8 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 52 | 62 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 48 | 41 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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