Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 10,411 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.0m 14s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe for Cape Schanck.
The first week or so is a bit of a mixed bag, with a lot of wind to deal with, but there are some promising windows later on. The water's sitting at about 57°F, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year.
We kick off on Sunday the 30th of August with a solid 6 ft SW swell, but that 12 mph onshore wind is going to chop it up. It's a struggle, mate. Monday the 31st is a bit more hopeful; the morning has a 7 ft SW swell with a 6 mph cross-on breeze, and the afternoon cleans up a touch with a 7 ft SW swell and a light 3 mph cross-on. The wave energy is building, hitting 1982 (moderate), but it's still just marginal. Tuesday the 1st of September is a write-off with howling offshore winds.
The first real standout is on Sunday the 6th of September afternoon. The finder shows a 6 ft SW groundswell (13-second period) with a glassy 3 mph offshore wind from the ENE. That's the cleanest we'll see in the first week, with the combined energy at 1204 (moderate). It'll be a proper reef-break session, but just know that with the long period, it might be a bit straight at times.
Then, looking further ahead, Thursday the 10th of September afternoon is something to circle on the calendar. We've got a 13 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, and a light 6 mph cross-shore breeze. The combined energy is a massive 7658 (very strong). That is a serious amount of water moving around. This is only for very experienced surfers—it's big, powerful, and at a reef break. The cross-shore wind will keep it cleaner than the onshore days, but it's still a heavy, expert-only wave.
The other big one to watch is Friday the 11th of September morning. The swell drops to a still-solid 10 ft from the SW, with a 15-second period, and we get a clean 9 mph cross-offshore breeze from the NNW. The combined energy is 3770 (strong), and it's described as "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That's your best bet for a big, clean, powerful session without the extreme size of the day before.
The rest of the second week is a mix of onshore and cross-shore winds, with more solid SW groundswells, but finding a clean, workable window is the challenge. The swell just keeps coming, but the wind is the deciding factor.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the N by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri morning, near gales from the WNW by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | NW 5 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 11 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1438 | 1572 | 1572 | 2247 | 1474 | 949 | 890 | 1466 | 1801 | 2232 | 37 | 4529 | 4982 | 4829 | 4412 | 3102 | 0 | 9471 | 6168 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:34AM1.47m | 1:54PM1.58m | 2:16AM1.58m | 2:24PM1.62m | 2:56AM1.66m | 2:54PM1.64m | 3:36AM1.71m | 3:25PM1.65m | 4:17AM1.72m | 3:58PM1.64m | 5:00AM1.69m | 4:35PM1.62m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:41AM0.39m | 8:07PM0.35m | 8:20AM0.38m | 8:39PM0.23m | 8:57AM0.40m | 9:12PM0.13m | 9:34AM0.44m | 9:48PM0.07m | 10:11AM0.49m | 10:26PM0.04m | 10:50AM0.57m | 11:09PM0.05m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | — | SW 15 |
| kJ | 1438 | 1572 | 1572 | 2247 | 1474 | 949 | 890 | 1466 | 1801 | 2232 | 3218 | 4529 | 4982 | 4829 | 4412 | 3102 | — | — | 6168 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | — | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 256 | 373 | 229 | 94 | 71 | 290 | — | 166 | — | — | — | — | 530 | 385 | 277 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | SW 6 | SW 7 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | SW 14 | — | NW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | WSW 11 | SW 14 | WSW 15 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 28 | 25 | 26 | 46 | 69 | 42 | 37 | 2925 | — | 6 | 11 | 54 | 4237 | 9471 | 7059 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 23 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 473 | 344 | 48 | 49 | 26 | 78 | 52 | 52 | 23 | 17 | 54 | 491 | 799 | 953 | 49 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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