Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 14 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
13.4° C
0.7° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 3,585 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 7s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sat 15th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 15s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 15th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Fri 14th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Listen up, folks. Rusty here. Looks like Cape Schanck is the only game in town for the next couple of weeks, and it's got some ups and downs. The water's sitting around 56°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

First real swell hits Friday afternoon, the 14th. We've got a solid 8ft SW groundswell rolling in with a long 15-second period. That's a lot of energy (3637 combined energy), but the wind is screaming onshore from the WSW. On a reef like Cape Schanck, that's a mess. Expect lumpy, blown-out conditions. Not the one.

Your first real window is Saturday morning, the 15th. The swell is still a solid 8ft from the SW, with a long 15-second period, but the wind swings to a light ESE breeze, giving us a clean cross-offshore flow. The ocean will be glassy. That's a proper session for the experienced crew. The combined energy is still huge at 2742 – you'll feel the power. It's a bit much for the groms.

Sunday morning, the 16th, is also a good call. The swell drops to 6ft from the SW, 14-second period. Light ENE cross-offshore wind makes for clean conditions. The energy is still solid (1342). The afternoons on both Saturday and Sunday get a bit choppy, so hit the early session.

There's a bit of a lull through the middle of the week. Monday the 17th is still rideable early with 5ft swell and clean cross-off wind. Tuesday morning, the 18th, is a beauty – 4ft of SW swell with a light NE offshore breeze. It's not huge, but the reef will be working cleanly. Expect a great, fun wave.

Then things go quiet. From Wednesday the 19th through the end of the week, the swell tanks and the wind howls from the north. The weekend of the 22nd and 23rd is a total write-off with strong onshore winds.

Now, here's the one to get excited about. Monday the 24th of August is shaping up to be a monster. We're looking at a proper 12ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period. The combined energy is a massive 11301 – that's a serious amount of water moving. The kicker is the wind: it's forecast to go glassy in the afternoon with a light WSW breeze. That's the recipe for "exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers" – absolutely perfect, big, clean waves. The period is so long it'll be a proper groundswell, meaning long lulls but absolute bombs on the sets. This is for the hardcore only; way too big for beginners.

The morning of the 24th is also clean with 12ft and a light cross-off wind, but that afternoon glass-off is the session of the window. The wave gets smaller and windier after that, so that Monday is your target.

Bottom line: Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th mornings are solid. Tuesday the 18th is a clean, fun day. But the big one, the one to plan for, is the afternoon of Monday the 24th. It's a long way out, so keep checking, but the signs are looking primo.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the N by Wed morning).

Fri
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
4
1
3
4
2
2
2
1
3
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1
SW
16
0.8
SW
14
0.1
SE
7
0.2
ESE
6
0.6
SW
18
1
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3367
3539
2525
2372
1736
1238
1048
911
816
1240
1155
676
630
477
251
2
4
255
534
206
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
20
SW
5
ESE
20
S
25
SE
10
ENE
15
SE
20
ENE
20
ENE
25
ESE
15
ENE
15
NE
10
ENE
20
NE
45
N
40
N
30
N
30
N
10
NNW
15
W
Wind State
on
on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
High Tide
00:41AM1.52m
1:31PM1.69m
1:42AM1.60m
2:12PM1.73m
2:35AM1.65m
2:50PM1.73m
3:23AM1.67m
3:25PM1.71m
4:06AM1.65m
3:58PM1.67m
4:46AM1.61m
4:30PM1.60m
Low Tide
6:51PM0.54m
7:02AM0.21m
7:42PM0.38m
7:54AM0.24m
8:27PM0.25m
8:40AM0.28m
9:08PM0.17m
9:22AM0.35m
9:47PM0.13m
10:01AM0.43m
10:23PM0.14m
10:37AM0.52m
10:58PM0.19m
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:07
7:05
7:03
7:03
7:01
7:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:44
5:45
5:45
5:46
 mm
4
3
4
Temp °C
13
13
13
13
13
11
13
13
13
15
14
16
16
16
14
14
14
14
12
12
Feels °C
9
8
10
9
7
9
9
9
9
9
10
13
13
12
4
5
6
9
11
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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