Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 5,512 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 12s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks down at Cape Schanck.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a rough start. The first few days are a write-off with strong cross-onshore winds and messy, lumpy conditions. Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd are both a no-go. Friday the 4th is still a bit marginal, but the afternoon shows some promise with a cleaner cross-off breeze and a solid 10ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period. The combined energy is moderate (4662), so there’s some grunt in the water. That’s a big, powerful reef wave, so it’s for the experienced crew only.
The real standout is shaping up for Sunday afternoon the 6th. The wind will be light and cross-off, leaving the surf clean. You’ll have a 7ft SW swell pushing through, and the energy is moderate (1606). Conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers, and that’s the pick of the first week.
Another cracker is on Tuesday morning the 8th. We’re looking at glassy conditions – a light WSW breeze of 3 mph – with a 4ft SW groundswell rolling in. The period is a very long 18 seconds, which will bring some real power and shape. It’s a reef break, so that long period will work a treat. The combined energy is moderate (1457), but the glassy surface makes it perfect for a skilled surfer to get some clean, long rides.
The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so don't expect any surprises there.
Looking further out, the second week gets interesting. Thursday the 10th morning has a massive 16ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a clean cross-off breeze. The combined energy is very strong (13021). That is a serious amount of water moving around. This is expert-only territory, and with that much power, you’ll need to be on your game. It’s a promising but less certain long-range standout.
The run of surf continues, with Saturday the 12th morning offering glassy conditions on a 6ft SW swell, and Wednesday the 16th has clean conditions both morning and afternoon with a consistent 7ft SW swell. The 16th afternoon is looking glassy, which is a beautiful thing for a reef wave.
All in all, Cape Schanck is a spot that needs a clean wind window, and there are a few of those on offer. The first week is a fight, but the second week brings some serious, high-quality swell for those who can handle it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the WNW on Wed morning, strong winds from the NW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri night, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat morning, calm by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 20 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
742 | 1685 | 2255 | 169 | 3277 | 4432 | 5210 | 5069 | 4356 | 3373 | 2487 | 0 | 3369 | 2416 | 1537 | 784 | 398 | 273 | 388 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:56AM1.66m | 2:54PM1.64m | 3:36AM1.71m | 3:25PM1.65m | 4:17AM1.72m | 3:58PM1.64m | 5:00AM1.69m | 4:35PM1.62m | 5:48AM1.62m | 5:17PM1.57m | 6:43AM1.54m | 6:06PM1.50m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:57AM0.40m | 9:12PM0.13m | 9:34AM0.44m | 9:48PM0.07m | 10:11AM0.49m | 10:26PM0.04m | 10:50AM0.57m | 11:09PM0.05m | 11:34AM0.65m | 11:58PM0.11m | 12:25PM0.74m | 00:56AM0.20m | |||||||
— | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | |
mm | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
742 | 1685 | 2255 | 2803 | 3277 | 4432 | 5210 | 5069 | 4356 | 3373 | 2487 | — | 3369 | 2416 | 1537 | 784 | 398 | 273 | 264 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 9 | ESE 4 | SW 21 | SW 20 |
290 | 162 | 215 | 169 | — | — | — | — | 306 | 288 | — | — | — | 22 | 50 | 30 | 5 | 72 | 388 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | — | SW 22 | SSW 22 | SSE 5 |
22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | — | 18 | 45 | 19 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | WSW 6 | — | NW 4 | NW 5 | SW 14 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | WNW 5 | SW 12 | SW 13 | — | — | ENE 3 | ESE 4 | SE 4 | E 3 |
15 | 59 | — | 16 | 49 | 2967 | — | — | — | 22 | 123 | 5374 | 2254 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 49 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 52 | 52 | 48 | 41 | 12 | 90 | 478 | 478 | 52 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











