Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 05 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
13.9° C
1.0° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 7,913 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 13s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Best Surf 1PM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Mon 10th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at the next couple of weeks for Cape Schanck. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down without getting bogged down. We’ve got a solid run of waves coming, but we gotta pick our moments.

The week starts off pretty grim. Wednesday the 5th is a complete washout with onshore winds and messy 5ft SW swell. Forget it. Thursday the 6th is not much better, with only a small, low-energy swell and funky winds. We’re looking at a few days of nothing really worth paddling out for. Friday the 7th morning is still a bit average, but hold on – that afternoon is where it starts to get interesting. The wind swings around to a light offshore NE, and that 5ft SW swell at 15 seconds cleans right up. The energy is moderate (1636), and it’s looking like the first decent chance of the period. This is a reef break, so that long-period swell will be working well here.

Now, here’s the thing. Saturday and Sunday are blown out by strong northerly winds, and it’s going to be messy. Then Monday the 10th we get a big pulse of SW swell, but it comes with strong cross-onshore winds and it's a total mess. Not for the faint-hearted.

The real standout is the following Saturday, August 15th. The forecast is for a solid 10ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period. The combined energy is strong (4605). The morning is looking clean with light offshore E winds. This is the biggest and best-looking day on the board, and it’s for experienced surfers only. This is big, powerful reef surf. A word of caution though – it’s a long-range call, so treat it as promising but don’t book your flights just yet. The swell direction matches what this spot loves. The water temp is about 57° with a normal anomaly, so it’s average for the time of year.

The next day, Sunday the 16th, still has a good 6ft SW swell in the morning with clean conditions, but it’s a step down in size and energy. The waves will be there, but the real juice is gone.

After that, we’re into the second week which is all smaller, cleaner surf. The mornings on Monday 17, Tuesday 18, and Wednesday 19 all look fun with clean winds and surf in the 5ft to 6ft range. It’s not the big stuff, but it’ll be a lot more user-friendly. The energy levels are moderate. But remember, as we get into that second week, we're relying on forecasts that can shift.

One more thing: that Thursday the 20th looks like it might pick up again in size, but the winds turn offshore northerly and fresh, which could make it a bit tricky at this reef. We’ll just have to see.

So, bottom line: The main event is clearly that Saturday the 15th. It’s the biggest, groundsiest swell with glassy conditions. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. If that’s too heavy, the following week has some nice clean, smaller waves for the average surfer. Just be patient this week and pick your moments.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Sat morning). Mainly near gales.

Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
10
0.6
SW
19
1.3
SW
13
0.9
SW
12
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
18
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1
SW
13
1.1
SW
21
3.5
SW
19
2.1
SW
17
2
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.5
SW
14
1.9
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
437
284
609
244
411
522
1219
1171
742
1225
1060
763
540
347
1113
7913
2494
1929
833
852
1261
Wind (km/h)
25
SW
20
SW
20
W
25
NW
30
WNW
25
WNW
15
NW
5
NE
25
N
40
N
35
N
40
N
50
N
50
N
55
WSW
45
WSW
20
WNW
40
NNW
45
NW
25
W
40
WNW
Wind State
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
3:55PM1.64m
4:35AM1.58m
4:25PM1.62m
5:20AM1.59m
4:58PM1.60m
6:09AM1.58m
5:36PM1.57m
7:06AM1.54m
6:22PM1.52m
8:13AM1.50m
7:20PM1.46m
9:29AM1.48m
8:34PM1.41m
Low Tide
10:17PM0.22m
10:28AM0.49m
10:52PM0.16m
11:08AM0.57m
11:33PM0.11m
11:53AM0.66m
00:20AM0.10m
12:45PM0.76m
1:16AM0.12m
1:49PM0.84m
2:22AM0.16m
3:09PM0.87m
3:37AM0.19m
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:18
7:16
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:13
7:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:37
5:38
 mm
1
2
2
2
2
5
10
2
Temp °C
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
14
14
14
14
14
12
11
12
12
12
12
12
13
10
Feels °C
6
8
7
6
7
8
9
12
10
6
7
7
2
1
1
2
7
4
3
7
1
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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