
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,571 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 14s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Cape Schanck over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, the next few days are a bit of a write-off. We’ve got some solid swell coming in but the wind is wrecking it. Saturday the 12th is actually a tease – you get a nice 7ft SW groundswell with a light offshore in the morning, but the ratings say it’s only for the experienced crew. If you’re an advanced surfer, that Saturday morning session could be a real treat with clean conditions. But then Sunday the 13th through to the 20th is a long, ugly stretch. The wind is either howling onshore or cross-off at 18 to 31 mph, turning the ocean into a washing machine. The swell energy gets massive, hitting 4766 on Tuesday the 15th, but with a strong onshore gale, it’s just a mess – more for kites than paddles. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.
Now, keep your eye on Monday the 21st. That is the standout. We’ve got a serious 10ft SW groundswell with a very long 18-second period, and the wind is light and offshore from the NNW in the morning. The combined swell energy is a whopping 6507 – that’s a serious pulse of power. For an advanced surfer at this reef break, that’s as good as it gets. The period is super long, so expect clean, powerful lines and long waits between sets, perfect for picking off the bombs. The Tuesday the 22nd afternoon also looks excellent, with another 10ft SW swell and glassy conditions.
The following week has a few more solid windows. Friday the 25th morning has a 7ft SW groundswell with a light offshore from the NE again, making for excellent conditions for the experienced. The water’s still about normal for the season. Remember, this is a reef break that can be a bit moody, and crowds can be a factor here, so get in early.
Summing it up: the first week is mostly a dud. The true standout is the 21st of September with that huge, clean SW groundswell. The 22nd afternoon and 25th morning are also prime windows for the advanced crew.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Fri night, strong winds from the N by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon night, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
3077 | 2295 | 1882 | 1381 | 1006 | 927 | 598 | 357 | 290 | 130 | 1723 | 4766 | 4950 | 3777 | 3352 | 2597 | 1804 | 1244 | 1119 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:36PM1.45m | 12:18PM1.53m | 00:41AM1.55m | 1:02PM1.59m | 1:33AM1.65m | 1:41PM1.62m | 2:18AM1.71m | 2:17PM1.63m | 2:59AM1.73m | 2:52PM1.63m | 3:37AM1.71m | 3:24PM1.60m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:56AM0.38m | 6:30PM0.43m | 6:52AM0.37m | 7:16PM0.29m | 7:40AM0.37m | 7:57PM0.18m | 8:22AM0.39m | 8:35PM0.12m | 9:00AM0.42m | 9:10PM0.11m | 9:35AM0.47m | 9:45PM0.14m | |||||||
— | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 16 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
3077 | 2295 | 1882 | 1381 | 1006 | 927 | 598 | 357 | 290 | 130 | 357 | — | — | 3777 | 3352 | 2597 | 1804 | 1244 | 1119 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 8 | — |
434 | 280 | 144 | 93 | 128 | 45 | 22 | 15 | 37 | 111 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 72 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | S 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | N 3 | NNW 3 | WSW 4 | WSW 6 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 5 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 1723 | 4766 | 4950 | 2577 | 2173 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 32 | 22 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 52 | 512 | 675 | 267 | 475 | 21 | 21 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










