
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,442 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 2.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 13s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next stretch.
Right off the bat, there’s a bit of a wait. The first few days are nothing to write home about, with messy onshore winds and lumpy conditions. Thursday the 30th of July kicks off with a solid SW swell at 7ft but the wind is on it and it’s just poor. That combo of strong WSW wind and a heavy combined energy (1784) is a write-off for a surf. We’ve got to hang tight until Friday afternoon.
Friday the 31st of July afternoon is where it starts to turn. The swell drops to a clean 4ft from the SW, with a decent 12-second period, and the wind goes glassy. That’s a real treat after the slop. The combined energy is still moderate at 511, but with glassy conditions, it’ll be a fun little session. The water’s sitting at 57°, which is about normal for this time of year, nothing unusual.
The real standout pops up Saturday the 1st of August. Saturday afternoon is where it’s at. The swell bumps up to 6ft from the SW, period stretches to a very long 17 seconds, and the wind is a clean cross-off from the NNW. That’s a recipe for quality waves at Cape Schanck, a reef break that’s consistent and fairly exposed to this SW swell. The combined energy is strong at 2152, so there’s plenty of push. This is the one to point the car at. It’s an advanced spot, and with that size and period, it’s not for beginners. The long period will mean longer lulls between sets, but when they come, they’ll be well-shaped and powerful. Crowds are often here, so expect company.
Sunday the 2nd of August still has a clean 6ft SW swell with a 16-second period, but the wind is up to a fresh 22 mph. That cross-off wind will keep it clean, but the breeze is strong, making it more of a battle. It’s still surfable, but Saturday is the better day.
Monday the 3rd of August sees the swell drop and the wind switch onshore, turning it ugly. Then we get a few days of marginal surf and onshore winds, with a bit of a bump on Thursday the 6th of August, but the wind is on it again.
Then another bright spot pops up on Friday the 7th of August. Friday morning looks glassy, with a 6ft SW swell and a 14-second period. The combined energy is strong at 1859. Another excellent session for experienced surfers, with glassy conditions. That’s a solid second option.
The following week gets a bit patchy. There’s a decent swell on the 12th of August, but the wind is onshore. Then Wednesday the 12th of August afternoon sees a clean offshore wind from the NE, with a 6ft SW swell and 13-second period. The combined energy is strong at 1357, and the wind is straight off. That’s another quality window.
Thursday the 13th of August morning is clean offshore with a 6ft SW swell, though the period is a shorter 10 seconds. Still, with light wind and clean conditions, it’ll be fun.
The 14th of August has a long-period SW swell (16 seconds) but the wind is moderate, so it’s not a standout, but still surfable.
Overall, the best of the lot is that Saturday the 1st of August afternoon. Big, clean, long-period groundswell, and perfect wind. That’s the one to clear the calendar for. The Friday the 7th of August morning is a close second. After that, keep an eye on the 12th and 13th of August for some clean, offshore windows.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon morning, moderate winds from the WSW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1619 | 1210 | 786 | 565 | 442 | 383 | 380 | 1984 | 2413 | 1728 | 1281 | 940 | 877 | 127 | 867 | 1214 | 774 | 224 | 565 | 488 | 346 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 12:48PM1.48m | 00:06AM1.23m | 1:27PM1.54m | 1:02AM1.29m | 2:01PM1.59m | 1:50AM1.36m | 2:31PM1.63m | 2:33AM1.42m | 2:59PM1.65m | 3:14AM1.49m | 3:27PM1.65m | 3:54AM1.54m | 3:55PM1.64m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:54PM0.80m | 6:33AM0.37m | 7:36PM0.70m | 7:18AM0.34m | 8:12PM0.59m | 7:59AM0.34m | 8:45PM0.49m | 8:37AM0.35m | 9:15PM0.40m | 9:14AM0.38m | 9:45PM0.30m | 9:50AM0.43m | 10:17PM0.22m | ||||||||
7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
— | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | |
mm | — | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
1619 | 1210 | 786 | 565 | 442 | 383 | 380 | 1984 | 2413 | 1728 | 1281 | 940 | 877 | 127 | 867 | 1214 | 774 | 224 | 565 | 488 | 346 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 8 | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 18 | S 16 | WSW 12 | SW 9 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 |
— | 41 | 22 | 18 | 61 | 131 | 366 | 168 | 340 | 146 | 131 | 72 | 81 | 302 | 194 | 20 | 117 | 112 | 373 | 405 | 338 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 20 | — | — | — | S 6 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | S 9 |
— | — | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | 35 | 38 | 32 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 4 | WNW 5 | WSW 14 | WSW 7 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | — | NW 3 | — | NNW 2 |
165 | 802 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 108 | 1603 | 249 | 1439 | 638 | — | 3 | — | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 48 | 48 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 41 | 41 | 41 | 80 | 52 | 49 | 13 | 62 | 13 | 17 | 2 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










