Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,442 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 2.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 14s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, it’s Rusty. Only one break in the picture for these next two weeks – Cape Schanck – and it’s a proper mixed bag. Plenty of swell on offer, but the wind’s gonna be the boss most of the time. Water’s about 57°F, which is normal for the season.
We start quiet. The first real shot is Saturday afternoon, August 1st. Morning’s clean but tiny at 4 feet, but the afternoon brings a solid 6 feet of SW swell with a long 17-second period. Wind is clean cross-off from the north, and the wave energy is pumping at 2005. That’s a stand-out session – the best of the bunch. Cape Schanck is a reef for experienced crew, and you’ll have company, but that Saturday arvo is your window. Sunday the 2nd still has clean 5-6 feet SW swell, but the northerly wind jumps to 25 mph, blowing it out a bit.
Then the wheels fall off. From Monday the 3rd through Thursday the 6th, it’s poor conditions with onshore and cross-onshore winds, making a choppy mess of everything. Even a big 10-foot swell on Tuesday the 4th is wrecked by 19 mph cross-onshore wind. Not worth it.
Friday morning the 7th of August brings another good window. Clean cross-off north wind, 5 feet of SW swell at 15 seconds, wave energy of 1550. It’s labeled excellent for experienced surfers – clean lines on the reef. Saturday the 8th looks clean but the wind is gusting to 28 mph, so it’s a skip.
The second week is rough. Sunday the 9th has offshore wind and 5-5 feet swell, but the wind is strong and the quality is just marginal. From the 10th, it’s mostly near gale-force winds and messy surf. A big 7-foot swell on Saturday the 15th of August has clean wind, but that’s a long way off and the wind is strong. Keep it on the back burner.
So here’s the call: the afternoon of Saturday, August 1st at Cape Schanck is your best bet for a clean, solid groundswell with good wind. That’s your one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Mon afternoon, light winds from the W by Thu morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 442 | 383 | 386 | 1837 | 2413 | 1728 | 1297 | 1034 | 1124 | 844 | 525 | 308 | 640 | 264 | 263 | 401 | 369 | 248 | 245 | 1027 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:02AM1.29m | 2:01PM1.59m | 1:50AM1.36m | 2:31PM1.63m | 2:33AM1.42m | 2:59PM1.65m | 3:14AM1.49m | 3:27PM1.65m | 3:54AM1.54m | 3:55PM1.64m | 4:35AM1.58m | 4:25PM1.62m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:36PM0.70m | 7:18AM0.34m | 8:12PM0.59m | 7:59AM0.34m | 8:45PM0.49m | 8:37AM0.35m | 9:15PM0.40m | 9:14AM0.38m | 9:45PM0.30m | 9:50AM0.43m | 10:17PM0.22m | 10:28AM0.49m | 10:52PM0.16m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 9 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 442 | 383 | 386 | 1837 | 2413 | 1728 | 1297 | 1034 | 1124 | 844 | 525 | 308 | 409 | 235 | 263 | 401 | 369 | 248 | 199 | 1027 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | WSW 20 | — | S 20 | SW 18 | — | — | SW 12 | SSW 6 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 17 |
| kJ | 61 | 131 | 366 | 168 | 311 | 153 | 138 | 37 | — | 7 | 192 | — | — | 264 | 33 | 224 | 366 | 208 | 245 | 58 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 21 | SW 20 | S 5 | SSW 4 | S 8 | SW 20 | S 7 |
| kJ | 8 | 7 | 57 | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | 153 | 239 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 98 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | N 4 | NW 4 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 8 | SW 11 | SW 10 | — | — | — | SW 4 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 11 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 70 | 46 | 650 | 1304 | 640 | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 41 | 33 | 52 | 62 | 52 | 49 | 146 | 48 | 41 | 52 | 41 | 21 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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