Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 13,903 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 10s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey lads, it’s Rusty. Let’s get into the Cape Schanck forecast.
I’ll be straight with you, the beginning of this period is a total bust. Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th have a solid SW groundswell moving in, but the wind is onshore and blowing a gale. Saturday morning is a mess with a 8ft (2.3m) swell and near-gale cross-shore winds. Just stay on the couch.
Our big standout is Tuesday the 8th. The wind goes dead calm, glassy all day. You’re looking at a clean 4ft (1.2m) to 5ft (1.5m) SW groundswell with a super long, juicy 18 second period. The wave energy is solid (1840), and because it’s a reef, those long-period waves will line up beautifully. This is for the experienced crew, and the crowds will be around, so get down early for the best drifts.
Next real chance is Saturday the 12th. Another glassy morning with a clean 6ft (1.8m) SW swell at 15 seconds. That’s plenty of energy (1654), and dead-calm conditions mean it will be smooth and clean for those who know what they’re doing.
Then the forecast turns into a bit of a wild card. A massive swell is predicted for Thursday the 17th, a major 13ft to 21ft (4m to 6.5m) SW swell with a 17 to 19 second period and insane energy readings (22343 to 30634). It will likely be too big for the spot, even for experts, and the wind will be cross-onshore, messing it up. It’s a long-range possibility for the die-hards.
The rest of the two weeks are mostly blown out or too small. The water temp is about normal, so you’ll be fine in a 3/2. If you’re not an expert, most of this will be too much. The windows on the 8th and 12th are your best bets. Take them.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat morning, light winds from the SW by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, near gales from the SW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4891 | 4645 | 3619 | 2329 | 2665 | 851 | 2077 | 1737 | 971 | 373 | 321 | 947 | 901 | 1282 | 2687 | 6861 | 13893 | 12911 | 8224 | 5866 | 3534 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 3:58PM1.64m | 5:00AM1.69m | 4:35PM1.62m | 5:48AM1.62m | 5:17PM1.57m | 6:43AM1.54m | 6:06PM1.50m | 7:49AM1.46m | 7:11PM1.41m | 9:06AM1.41m | 8:37PM1.35m | 10:22AM1.43m | 10:13PM1.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:11AM0.49m | 10:26PM0.04m | 10:50AM0.57m | 11:09PM0.05m | 11:34AM0.65m | 11:58PM0.11m | 12:25PM0.74m | 00:56AM0.20m | 1:31PM0.80m | 2:06AM0.30m | 2:56PM0.80m | 3:27AM0.37m | 4:24PM0.72m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | |  |  | |  | | | | |
 | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — |
 | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — |
mm | — | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 4 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 20 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 21 | SSW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 4891 | 4645 | 3619 | 2329 | 2665 | 851 | 15 | 1737 | 971 | 373 | 321 | 947 | 790 | 1282 | 2687 | 1290 | 1230 | 12911 | 8224 | 5866 | 3534 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | SW 12 | SSW 15 | WSW 16 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 26 | SSW 17 | — | SSW 21 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 277 | 313 | 333 | 207 | 130 | — | 40 | 21 | 87 | 18 | 71 | 377 | 901 | 503 | 26 | 333 | — | 2278 | 1125 | 844 | 795 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | SW 22 | S 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SW 26 | S 21 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | 18 | 8 | 37 | 61 | 59 | 26 | 229 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 4 | N 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 6 | SW 6 | — | — | — | SW 7 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 6 | — |
| kJ | — | 11 | 27 | 46 | 43 | 1641 | 2077 | 1139 | 748 | 106 | 153 | — | — | — | 144 | 6861 | 13893 | 8108 | 5467 | 64 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 17 | 12 | 45 | 115 | 478 | 322 | 48 | 17 | 48 | 49 | 21 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 280 | 592 | 1505 | 322 | 146 | 146 | 21 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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