
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,442 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 2.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 7s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a mixed bag coming our way for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days. There’s some serious potential in the second week, but you’ll need to be patient and pick your windows carefully.
The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about 1° warmer than the average for this time of year – nothing too wild, just a touch on the mild side.
We’re looking at a pretty quiet start. The first solid recommendation isn’t until Friday, the 7th of August. So, you’re looking at a gap of nearly a week of mostly poor conditions with strong onshore winds and lumpy, messy surf. Don’t bother before that.
Friday, August 7th – Finally, a glimmer of hope. The Friday morning session at Cape Schanck (a reef setup) has a solid 6ft of SW groundswell with a 16-second period, offering good energy (1816). The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the N, which will keep the surface tidy. It’s a consistent spot, but it can get crowded, so get in early. The afternoon cleans up further with a lighter breeze, 5ft swell, and the rating is better. This is a solid day for experienced surfers looking for a proper wave.
The real standout, the one you’ve been waiting for, is Tuesday, August 11th. The morning sees a building 7ft SW swell (15-second period) with glassy, light NNW cross-offshore wind. The energy is pumping at 2322. The afternoon is even better – dead glassy conditions with the same 7ft swell. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, with clean, powerful lines. For a point or reef like this, that long-period groundswell (over 15 seconds) will wrap in beautifully, offering long, walled-up rides. The crowds will be a factor, but the quality will be worth it.
Wednesday, August 12th backs it up with another day of excellent conditions. Morning has 8ft of SW swell with a light cross-offshore breeze. That’s getting into the expert-only zone, but it’s clean. The afternoon drops to a still-very-healthy 8ft with glassy conditions. Again, this is for the experienced crew.
Thursday, August 14th – A massive 10ft SW swell (17-second period) rolls in on Friday morning, with a 5348 energy reading. That’s a huge, powerful groundswell. The wind is light onshore, so it’s not going to be the cleanest, but for the experts out there, this is a big, heavy, moving ocean. The afternoon drops to 8ft with a very light onshore breeze. This is serious, dangerous surf for the top tier only.
The final call is Sunday, August 16th – a nice clean-up with 5ft of SW swell and a light cross-offshore breeze. It’s a good, clean option to close out the forecast period.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The second week, starting with Friday the 7th, is where it’s at, but the absolute standouts are Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th for clean, powerful, high-quality surf. Get your board ready for that.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Sat morning, strong winds from the WNW by Mon morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Tue morning, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 20 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
386 | 1837 | 2413 | 1591 | 1297 | 1034 | 940 | 856 | 780 | 706 | 1213 | 573 | 242 | 341 | 380 | 212 | 191 | 1227 | 1532 | 1048 | 671 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:01PM1.59m | 1:50AM1.36m | 2:31PM1.63m | 2:33AM1.42m | 2:59PM1.65m | 3:14AM1.49m | 3:27PM1.65m | 3:54AM1.54m | 3:55PM1.64m | 4:35AM1.58m | 4:25PM1.62m | 5:20AM1.59m | 4:58PM1.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:12PM0.59m | 7:59AM0.34m | 8:45PM0.49m | 8:37AM0.35m | 9:15PM0.40m | 9:14AM0.38m | 9:45PM0.30m | 9:50AM0.43m | 10:17PM0.22m | 10:28AM0.49m | 10:52PM0.16m | 11:08AM0.57m | 11:33PM0.11m | ||||||||
7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | — | SW 11 | SSW 6 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
386 | 1837 | 2413 | 1591 | 1297 | 1034 | 940 | 856 | 780 | 706 | — | 573 | 101 | 341 | 380 | 212 | 164 | 1227 | 1532 | 1048 | 658 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | SW 18 | S 16 | — | S 6 | SW 11 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 5 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 17 |
366 | 168 | 311 | 153 | 140 | 75 | — | — | 192 | 20 | — | 60 | 242 | 66 | 18 | 163 | 191 | 6 | 192 | 621 | 671 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | SW 18 | — | — | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 5 | SW 20 | S 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 5 | S 5 |
57 | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | 12 | — | — | 154 | 239 | 284 | 197 | 8 | 186 | 55 | 92 | 16 | 13 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | N 4 | NW 4 | WNW 5 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 6 | SW 12 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 91 | 223 | 178 | 141 | 1213 | 88 | 104 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 41 | 45 | 78 | 49 | 49 | 49 | 486 | 41 | 23 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











