Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 3,832 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 15s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for Cape Schanck in the next couple of weeks. There’s some proper swell, but the wind is gonna be a fickle beast.
### First Things First
We’re looking at Cape Schanck, a reef that’s consistent and lights up with a solid SE swell. Water temp is pretty standard for the season.
It’s a slow start, but Monday 17th is your golden window. The morning is the absolute standout. Clean 5ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period and a light ENE offshore breeze. The energy’s moderate (890) but the conditions are pristine – expect very good surf. This is the call for the advanced surfers. The afternoon holds up well too with a clean 6ft swell at 16 seconds, but the wind goes cross-offshore, so it’s still good.
Tuesday 18th keeps things fun. Morning has clean 4ft SW swell (14 seconds) and a light NE offshore. It’s smaller, but that’s a lovely, workable size. Afternoon stays clean with a light cross-off breeze.
Then it all falls apart. Wednesday 19th brings howling N winds around 30 mph, trashing the surf. The swell dies. From Wednesday right through to the next Monday, the wind is all wrong – onshore, cross-onshore, and strong. The swell builds again on Saturday 22nd and Sunday 23rd with 8ft to 8ft SW swell, but it’s a mess. Strong cross and onshore winds (15-18 mph) turn it into choppy, lumpy junk. The wave energy hits very strong levels (over 9,900 ft-lbs on Saturday afternoon), but with that wind, you’d be better off on a kite than a paddleboard.
### Second Week – A Little Light
After the ugly stuff, Monday 24th morning offers a reset. Clean 7ft SW swell (14 seconds) under a light cross-offshore NW breeze. Energy’s strong (over 6,100 ft-lbs). It’s big, so experts only, but it’s clean. The afternoon cleans up further with 6ft swell and a gentle cross-off breeze. Tuesday 25th morning has a fresh offshore NNE wind and 5ft swell, but the period drops to 12 seconds, making it a bit weaker.
The end of August into 1st September is a mixed bag. Saturday 29th into Sunday 30th gives you clean but wind-affected 4ft to 5ft SW swell. The wind stays cross-offshore, but it’s strong (around 18 mph). Then Monday 31st morning has a big 8ft SW swell (15 seconds) but the wind is cross-shore and lumpy. Not great.
The long-range forecast for Tuesday 1st September is a total write-off – a tiny 2ft NW windswell. Forget it.
Bottom line: Monday 17th morning is the day to circle. The early part of the following week (24th and 25th) is also solid for the experienced surfers. The middle stretch is a total washout for paddling.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Mon morning, strong winds from the N by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Wed night, light winds from the W by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SE 7 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 911 | 885 | 1474 | 1171 | 597 | 630 | 465 | 305 | 2 | 60 | 157 | 219 | 216 | 447 | 614 | 56 | 2418 | 1661 | 3832 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:35AM1.65m | 2:50PM1.73m | 3:23AM1.67m | 3:25PM1.71m | 4:06AM1.65m | 3:58PM1.67m | 4:46AM1.61m | 4:30PM1.60m | 5:26AM1.54m | 5:01PM1.53m | 6:06AM1.46m | 5:31PM1.45m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:40AM0.28m | 9:08PM0.17m | 9:22AM0.35m | 9:47PM0.13m | 10:01AM0.43m | 10:23PM0.14m | 10:37AM0.52m | 10:58PM0.19m | 11:12AM0.62m | 11:33PM0.25m | 11:48AM0.71m | 00:11AM0.32m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 8 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 911 | 885 | 1474 | 1171 | 597 | 630 | 465 | 305 | 239 | 217 | 147 | 116 | 175 | 625 | 389 | 1977 | 2418 | 1661 | 3832 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 4 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | ESE 4 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SW 20 | WSW 8 | SW 16 | WSW 8 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | — | 5 | 58 | 84 | 362 | 51 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 60 | 41 | 219 | 72 | 447 | 589 | 56 | 74 | 1252 | 223 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 11 | — | SE 5 | — | ESE 4 | SW 15 | — | E 6 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | SSW 14 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 25 | — | 7 | — | 7 | 9 | — | 1 | 157 | 25 | 216 | 376 | 614 | — | — | 110 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 4 | E 4 | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | — | ESE 5 | NE 2 | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 4 | NW 4 | — | WSW 11 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 |
| kJ | 7 | 14 | 10 | 22 | — | 10 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 18 | 36 | 42 | 11 | — | 668 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 21 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 77 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 2 | 48 | 23 | 52 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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