Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,310 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 16s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Cape Schanck. This is a solid reef break, so it's one for the advanced crew.
First up, the water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The next few days are a bit of a mixed bag. Saturday the 18th starts off with a 6ft SW swell and a cross-shore wind, making it a bit of a gamble. The wave energy is strong at 1154, but it's not the best. However, that afternoon shapes up nicely with a glassy 5ft SW swell, clean conditions, and a score to match. That's a standout window for the weekend.
Sunday the 19th is a write-off with tiny swell, and Monday and Tuesday are mostly blown out by strong northerly winds or just plain small. The real trouble kicks in from Wednesday the 22nd with strong onshore winds and a big, messy 10ft SW swell on Thursday the 23rd. That's a lot of angry water (combined energy of 5364), but the wind is on it, so it's a no-go for a paddle. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
There's a long gap of poor conditions until we get a flicker of hope on Thursday the 30th. The morning brings a glassy 4ft SW swell, clean and calm, but it's only small.
The true standout is the end of the period. Friday the 31st of July, and Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd of August, are looking excellent. You've got a consistent 7ft to 7ft SW groundswell, with long periods up to 17 seconds, and light offshore winds from the NNW. The wave energy is pumping—2556 on Saturday the 1st—and the conditions are clean. This is the best on offer, but it's over a week away, so it's promising but less certain. The swell is over 8ft, so this is for experts only. With a long period swell like this, it'll be best at a reef setup like Cape Schanck, as it can break a bit straight at beach breaks.
Keep an eye on the horizon, but for now, that's the call.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the SW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 20 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 10 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 10 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1154 | 880 | 494 | 16 | 236 | 197 | 502 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 854 | 449 | 421 | 0 | 1838 | 3163 | 3515 | 3827 | 3051 | 3341 | 3126 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 2:37PM1.80m | 2:45AM1.60m | 3:18PM1.79m | 3:39AM1.61m | 3:56PM1.76m | 4:30AM1.59m | 4:32PM1.70m | 5:18AM1.54m | 5:07PM1.62m | 6:04AM1.48m | 5:40PM1.53m | 6:52AM1.43m | 6:13PM1.44m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:49PM0.35m | 8:55AM0.18m | 9:35PM0.26m | 9:41AM0.28m | 10:18PM0.20m | 10:25AM0.40m | 10:59PM0.19m | 11:07AM0.52m | 11:39PM0.22m | 11:47AM0.64m | 00:17AM0.26m | 12:29PM0.74m | 00:58AM0.32m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — |
 | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1154 | 880 | 494 | 364 | 236 | 167 | 502 | 461 | 367 | 834 | 854 | 449 | 421 | — | — | 3163 | 197 | 3827 | 3051 | 3341 | 3126 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | WSW 15 | WSW 9 | S 10 | — | — | WSW 12 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 16 | 60 | 197 | — | 279 | 103 | 2 | — | — | 294 | — | — | — | — | 318 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 22 | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 10 | S 10 | WSW 12 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 9 | 39 | 75 | 20 | 2 | 14 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | WSW 10 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 15 | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 886 | 1838 | 2201 | 3515 | — | 16 | 7 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 48 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 62 | 41 | 49 | 49 | 17 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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