Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 7,127 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 13s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here with the lowdown on Cape Schanck.
Water temp is about 57°F, pretty standard for this time of year, nothing weird.
We’re in for a rough start. A big 15-foot SW groundswell with a 16-second period is showing, but with a 31 mph southwest wind tearing it up. The combined energy is a massive 10886, but it’s all for nothing with that wind. So Wednesday July 29th and Thursday the 30th are a complete write-off for surfing – save your energy.
Friday July 31st morning is still marginal, with 5ft from the SW and a 12-second period. A 6 mph west wind makes it cross-on, so it’s a pass.
Things turn the corner Saturday August 1st. The morning has a clean 4ft SW swell with 12-second period and a 9 mph north breeze going cross-off. Energy is a weak 707, but it’s clean. The afternoon is the real deal: 6ft from the SW with a 17-second groundswell. Energy jumps to 2011, and you’ve got a 16 mph north wind cross-off. That long period will make for some powerful, lined-up waves, especially on a reef like this.
Sunday August 2nd stays clean. 6ft SW with a 16-second period, energy of 2046, but that north wind is blowing a fresh 22 mph. It’s still cross-off, so it’s rideable, just a bit of a battle.
Monday and Tuesday go back to junk onshore winds and lumpy conditions.
Wednesday August 5th afternoon is a nice little score for smaller boards. Only 3ft of SW swell, but with a very long 19-second period. It’s clean with a light 6 mph NNW breeze cross-off. Energy is 721, but the quality will be there for a fun, glassy session.
Thursday August 6th afternoon is similar. 5ft SW, 15-second period, clean with a light 6 mph NNE breeze. Good quality waves, lighter crowds potential.
The absolute standout is Sunday August 9th. You are looking at a solid 10ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period and a combined energy of 4329 in the afternoon. And the wind is offshore from the NNE at 12 mph. This is heavy, clean, powerful surf. Only for experts – anything over 8ft at this spot is no joke.
After that, it’s all blown out and messy again with huge onshore swells through the second week.
So to wrap it up, the first few days are a total loss. The best window is from Saturday August 1st through Sunday August 9th. The number one pick is Sunday August 9th for the big-wave crew. The clean, smaller sessions on Wednesday August 5th afternoon and Thursday August 6th afternoon are also well worth the paddle out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Wed morning, calm by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sat morning, strong winds from the WSW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10886 | 7127 | 3438 | 1619 | 1210 | 786 | 565 | 435 | 435 | 349 | 1837 | 2442 | 1899 | 1281 | 940 | 928 | 0 | 3145 | 1280 | 866 | 422 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 12:00PM1.41m | 10:59PM1.20m | 12:48PM1.48m | 00:06AM1.23m | 1:27PM1.54m | 1:02AM1.29m | 2:01PM1.59m | 1:50AM1.36m | 2:31PM1.63m | 2:33AM1.42m | 2:59PM1.65m | 3:14AM1.49m | 3:27PM1.65m | 3:54AM1.54m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:00PM0.88m | 5:41AM0.40m | 6:54PM0.80m | 6:33AM0.37m | 7:36PM0.70m | 7:18AM0.34m | 8:12PM0.59m | 7:59AM0.34m | 8:45PM0.49m | 8:37AM0.35m | 9:15PM0.40m | 9:14AM0.38m | 9:45PM0.30m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | |  | | | |  | |  | |
 | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — |
 | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 15 | — | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
| kJ | — | 138 | 42 | 1619 | 1210 | 786 | 565 | 435 | 435 | 349 | 1837 | 2442 | 1899 | 1281 | 940 | 928 | 568 | — | 1280 | 866 | 422 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 9 | — | SW 24 | WSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | WSW 5 | — | — | S 16 | SW 21 | SW 20 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 194 | — | 22 | 45 | 61 | 131 | 300 | 168 | 313 | 147 | 135 | 71 | 20 | — | — | 5 | 71 | 315 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | SE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 58 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 33 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | WNW 4 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 10886 | 7127 | 3438 | — | 732 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 1748 | 3145 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 322 | 283 | 48 | 41 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 54 | 48 | 61 | 473 | 52 | 52 | 49 | 13 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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