Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
13.8°C
1.1° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 5,864 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.0m 13s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Mon 31st Aug)6ft (1.9m) 14s
Best Surf 4PM (Fri 4th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Most Powerful10PM (Sat 5th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here, lookin’ at the Cape Schanck forecast for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, and you’ll need to be patient. The first week or so is pretty ordinary, with shifty winds and messy conditions more often than not. But there’s some real promise brewing for the second week, especially if you’re an experienced surfer.

The water’s sitting at 56.8°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest rubber.

The first surf of note starts Saturday, the 29th of August, but it’s a write-off with 5.6ft SW swell, a 14-second period, and onshore SW wind at 12 mph. Weak energy (1227), and it’s just poor.

Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st aren’t much better. We’ve got 5.9ft to 6.9ft SW swell, but the wind is all over the shop – cross-on, onshore, cross. The wave energy builds from moderate (1119) to moderate (1572), but it’s choppy and marginal. Not one for the quiver.

Tuesday the 1st of September brings a cool change with cross-offshore N wind at 28 mph in the morning, but the swell drops to 5.9ft from the SW with a very long 16-second period. The energy is moderate (1611), and the wind is strong, making it clean but pretty gnarly. The afternoon sees a drop to 4.9ft and still clean, but the energy is weak (1037). Not great.

Wednesday the 2nd gets a bit of a bump with 6.9ft to 7.9ft SW swell and a 14 to 16-second period, and the energy jumps to strong (2997 to 3092). But the wind is cross-on or cross and strong, so it’s lumpy and messy. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than anything for a paddle.

Thursday the 3rd is a mess – rain showers, strong winds, and a tiny 1.3ft swell that’s basically nothing. The afternoon sees a big 9.8ft SW swell, but with onshore wind at 22 mph, it’s a blown-out mess.

Friday the 4th is the first decent option. Morning sees 8.2ft SW swell, 14-second period, (2840 energy) and cross-offshore NNW wind at 12 mph. The afternoon is similar with 7.5ft SW swell, 15-second period, and N wind at 16 mph. The wind is clean, but the swell is getting big. For advanced surfers only, this is a window.

Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th are a write-off again with gale-force winds and poor conditions. The swell is all over the place.

Monday the 7th is messy with 9.8ft SW swell, strong winds, and lumpy conditions.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday the 8th of September sees a massive jump – 16.4ft to 19.7ft SW swell with an 18-second period, and the energy is off the charts (16697 to 22200). The wind is cross-on and strong, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. Only for the absolute nutters, and even then, it’s sketchy.

Wednesday the 9th is a standout, particularly the afternoon. We’ve got 11.5ft SW swell, 15-second period, (8090 energy) and a moderate cross-shore NW wind. The wind is manageable, and the swell is huge. This is top-tier for experienced surfers, but it’s a lot of water moving.

Thursday the 10th sees a drop to 6.9ft SW swell in the morning with a 13-second period, and clean cross-offshore NNW wind. The energy is moderate (1967). The afternoon is weird – a tiny 3.6ft SW swell but with a 24-second period, massive energy (2303). This is a long-period groundswell that will be super clean and lined up, but it’s best at a reef like Cape Schanck. The gaps between sets will be huge, making paddling easy.

Friday the 11th is another good one. Morning has 7.2ft SW swell, 19-second period, (3752 energy) and gentle cross-offshore NNW wind. Clean and powerful. The afternoon is a bit smaller at 5.6ft, still with a 19-second period, and gentle cross-shore SSE wind.

But the real highlight is Saturday the 12th of September. The morning delivers 9.8ft SW swell, 17-second period, (4579 energy) and light cross-offshore N wind. The wind is almost glassy, and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon is similar with 9.8ft SW swell, 16-second period, (8315 energy) and gentle cross-offshore ESE wind. This is the best on offer – clean, powerful, and consistent.

Sunday the 13th is a bit smaller at 7.9

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, near gales from the N by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Wed night, light winds from the NNW by Fri morning).

Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
1
3
3
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
5
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
SW
13
1.8
SW
13
1.9
SW
13
2.1
SW
13
2.1
SW
14
2
SW
14
2.1
SW
16
1.8
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
2.5
WSW
15
2.4
SW
16
2.5
SW
14
0.8
WNW
5
3
SW
14
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.1
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1053
1103
1210
1438
1572
1572
2247
1474
949
731
0
2692
2667
28
3048
5091
4869
3745
1968
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
20
WNW
20
SW
20
W
15
NW
5
SSW
20
N
45
N
35
NNW
35
WNW
25
WNW
35
NW
40
NW
40
WNW
30
WSW
25
WNW
25
NNW
15
NNE
35
N
Wind State
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
on
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
High Tide
00:48AM1.36m
1:24PM1.54m
1:34AM1.47m
1:54PM1.58m
2:16AM1.58m
2:24PM1.62m
2:56AM1.66m
2:54PM1.64m
3:36AM1.71m
3:25PM1.65m
4:17AM1.72m
3:58PM1.64m
Low Tide
7:00AM0.41m
7:34PM0.48m
7:41AM0.39m
8:07PM0.35m
8:20AM0.38m
8:39PM0.23m
8:57AM0.40m
9:12PM0.13m
9:34AM0.44m
9:48PM0.07m
10:11AM0.49m
10:26PM0.04m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
cloud
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:47
6:45
6:43
6:41
6:41
6:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:55
5:57
5:57
5:58
5:59
6:00
 mm
2
3
14
Temp °C
11
10
11
10
10
12
13
17
19
14
13
14
13
13
13
12
14
15
15
Feels °C
6
6
7
5
8
11
10
7
11
7
7
7
5
6
6
5
10
11
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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