Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 5,888 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 16s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next week and a half is a write-off if you’re looking for a decent paddle. The only break we’ve got to work with is Cape Schanck, a reef setup that’s advanced, consistent, and fairly exposed to a south-east swell direction. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year.
We start with a gap of no real surf from Monday the 20th right through to the end of the month. The first time we see anything worth a mention is Saturday the 31st of July. The whole opening stretch is plagued by strong onshore or cross-shore winds, often up to 28 mph, with sloppy conditions and zero energy. It’s a brutal start.
Now, the standout for the whole outlook is Saturday the 31st of July. The morning brings a light south-east breeze, glassy and clean, with a 5 ft south-west swell rolling in on a 12-second period. The combined energy is moderate (710), and the winds are light and offshore. It’s clean, it’s rideable, and it’s the best we’ll see. The afternoon stays clean with a gentle breeze, same swell. This is your window.
Following that, Sunday the 1st of August has a clean morning with 6 ft swell from the south-west, period 13 seconds, but the wind picks up to 19 mph, so it’s not as pristine. The combined energy bumps up to 946. The afternoon gets messy with a fresh north wind. Monday the 2nd of August morning is clean with 6 ft swell and a 14-second period, but the wind is a strong 28 mph, making it borderline. The afternoon turns into a lumpy onshore mess.
From Monday the 3rd of August onward, it’s back to poor conditions with strong onshore winds and lumpy, messy surf. The energy drops off, and the only half-decent note is a brief window on Tuesday the 4th of August afternoon with a 3 ft south-west swell, 12-second period, and a light offshore breeze, but the energy is low (468). The water has been a mixed bag, but no real dramatic anomalies.
So, bottom line: if you’re free on Saturday the 31st of July, get down to Cape Schanck. That’s the only real standout. The rest is a long stretch of waiting for things to clean up. It’s a tough run, but it won’t stay this way forever.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the WSW by Thu morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri night, min 11°C on Thu afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Thu night, light winds from the WNW by Sat night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | E 10 | E 10 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 21 | 36 | 0 | 449 | 2 | 2 | 1072 | 2766 | 3469 | 5464 | 5639 | 4394 | 3929 | 2800 | 2576 | 1638 | 1142 | 891 | 878 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 4:30AM1.59m | 4:32PM1.70m | 5:18AM1.54m | 5:07PM1.62m | 6:04AM1.48m | 5:40PM1.53m | 6:52AM1.43m | 6:13PM1.44m | 7:43AM1.37m | 6:49PM1.36m | 8:42AM1.33m | 7:32PM1.29m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:18PM0.20m | 10:25AM0.40m | 10:59PM0.19m | 11:07AM0.52m | 11:39PM0.22m | 11:47AM0.64m | 00:17AM0.26m | 12:29PM0.74m | 00:58AM0.32m | 1:15PM0.83m | 1:43AM0.37m | 2:12PM0.91m | 2:35AM0.41m | |||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — |
 | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3 |
Temp °C | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | — | SW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 461 | 367 | 895 | 711 | 449 | 480 | 280 | — | 2766 | 32 | 51 | 5639 | 4394 | 3929 | 2800 | 2576 | 1638 | 1142 | 891 | 878 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 18 | SSW 14 | — | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 16 | — |
| kJ | 279 | 32 | 36 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 14 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 3 |
| kJ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 739 | 1072 | 1929 | 3469 | 5464 | 5809 | 5246 | 4938 | 1915 | 1645 | 1031 | 9 | 3 | 4 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 61 | 52 | 49 | 49 | 473 | 512 | 52 | 473 | 470 | 52 | 62 | 17 | 13 | 49 | 48 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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