Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 27 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
13.9° C
0.8° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 9,782 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 14s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sat 1st Aug)4ft (1.2m) 12s
Best Surf 7PM (Sat 1st Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 16s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 29th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, mates, Rusty here again for the imperial version. Let’s break down Cape Schanck.

The main story is a rough, windy start, then some clean windows later on. We’ve got groundswell coming, but we have to wait for the wind to get out of the way.

First up, Cape Schanck (reef break). Monday the 27th of July: morning is a 4ft SW swell at 11 seconds with a clean cross-off, combined energy is moderate (528). It’s okay. The afternoon gets to 5ft but the wind picks up and it’s poor. The 28th sees more size, 5ft to 6ft on a 13 to 15 second groundswell, but the wind is screaming at 25-28 mph, so no good. The 29th is a total loss – 13ft to 15ft of SW swell with gale-force onshore winds. The combined energy is huge (9344), but it’s a mess. Only for the crazy.

The 30th and 31st of July drop off with onshore winds. Nothing worth paddling for. Then we hit Saturday the 1st of August. The morning is clean with a 4ft SW swell, and light cross-off wind. The standout is the afternoon – glassy conditions with a 5ft SW groundswell at a very long 16 seconds (1226 combined energy). The water temp is 57°, which is average for the season. This is the pick of the first week.

Sunday the 2nd of August still has good energy, 6ft at 17 seconds (2037 combined energy), but the wind is up to 22 mph, so it’s a bit of a fight. The 3rd and 4th get messy with onshore winds. The 5th drops to 3ft, poor. Thursday the 6th is marginal but clean, with 5ft to 5ft at 16 seconds.

Now the second week gets good. Friday the 7th of August morning is a standout. A 7ft SW groundswell with a very long 19 second period, clean cross-off winds (3230 combined energy). This is a big swell, 7ft is expert territory. At a reef, that long period should hold up well. The afternoon is also clean at 7ft.

Saturday the 8th of August is another beauty. The morning has a gentle offshore and a 5ft SW swell at 16 seconds (1056 combined energy). The afternoon is glassy with a 4ft swell at 15 seconds. Both are clean and perfect for the reef.

The 9th is smaller but clean, and the 10th of August picks up to 6ft but gets onshore later. The 11th of August is a total dud – tiny, short-period junk.

So my top picks: Saturday the 1st of August afternoon for the glassy, clean 5ft groundswell. And Friday the 7th of August morning for the big, powerful 7ft swell, but that one’s for the experts. Crowds are possible at this spot, so plan accordingly.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Mon morning, near gales from the WSW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri night).

Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
3
2
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SW
11
1.5
SW
11
1.6
SW
13
1.6
SW
13
1.8
SW
15
2.4
SW
14
4.5
SW
16
4
SW
15
3
SW
14
2.2
SW
13
1.9
SW
13
1.6
SW
12
1.4
SW
12
1.3
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
1.4
SW
16
2.1
SW
19
1.8
SW
17
1.7
SW
16
0.4
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
422
544
809
784
1460
2265
9344
7991
3446
1619
1210
799
565
478
423
344
1004
2977
1882
1492
79
Wind (km/h)
20
NNW
25
N
40
N
45
NNW
40
NW
55
WNW
60
SW
50
SW
35
SW
25
WSW
30
WSW
20
W
15
WSW
15
SSW
5
NNE
15
NNE
5
ENE
25
N
35
N
30
N
30
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:29PM1.23m
11:00AM1.35m
9:41PM1.19m
12:00PM1.41m
10:59PM1.20m
12:48PM1.48m
00:06AM1.23m
1:27PM1.54m
1:02AM1.29m
2:01PM1.59m
1:50AM1.36m
2:31PM1.63m
2:33AM1.42m
Low Tide
3:25PM0.95m
3:37AM0.43m
4:49PM0.94m
4:41AM0.42m
6:00PM0.88m
5:41AM0.40m
6:54PM0.80m
6:33AM0.37m
7:36PM0.70m
7:18AM0.34m
8:12PM0.59m
7:59AM0.34m
8:45PM0.49m
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:22
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:25
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:30
 mm
4
4
3
2
4
1
2
2
1
Temp °C
15
16
13
14
14
10
11
11
11
11
12
11
11
12
12
11
13
12
12
15
13
Feels °C
11
10
5
5
6
0
-2
0
3
5
5
5
7
8
10
9
11
7
4
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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