Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 18s period, SW swell with 2,960 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 2.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 13s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. We’re looking at a patchy run of surf at Cape Schanck over the next couple of weeks. The first few days are pretty average, with a bit of a wait for the real standout.
Tuesday the 25th kicks things off with a 5ft SW groundswell, period a solid 13 seconds. The combined energy is strong at 1232, but the wind is onshore from the WSW at 9 mph, so it’s gonna be messy. Water’s sitting at 57°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year. Not a session to get excited about.
Wednesday the 26th is a write-off: onshore winds around 16 mph, poor conditions all day. Thursday the 27th shows a glimmer – Thursday afternoon, the wind drops to glassy from the north at 3 mph. Swell is a small 4ft from the SW, period 13 seconds, energy 449. It’s light, but it’ll be clean and tidy. Worth a paddle if you’re keen for a cruise.
Friday the 28th sees a bump in size – 7ft SW groundswell with a very long period of 17-18 seconds and strong energy (2685) by Friday afternoon. But the wind is onshore, so the surface will be chopped up. Saturday the 29th is similar: solid swell size but onshore wind kills it.
Now, here’s the true standout. Monday the 31st of August is the pick of the whole outlook. Morning and afternoon both clean with light offshore winds. Swell is a consistent 7ft from the SW, period 15-17 seconds, combined energy over 2000. This is proper groundswell, and with clean conditions, Cape Schanck’s reef will be offering up heavy, well-shaped lines. It’s a spot for advanced surfers only, and at this size, only experienced crew should be out. Expect crowds to be possible – this is a consistent spot and word will get out. The water is still that touch warmer than average, which is nice.
Tuesday the 1st of September has clean morning conditions with strong offshore wind (NNW 25 mph), but a 6ft SW swell with 16-second period and energy at 1651. The wind is strong, but it’s cross-offshore, so it could be raw and powerful for the brave. The afternoon turns lumpy onshore though.
Wednesday the 2nd through to Saturday the 5th of September offers a run of 7ft to 8ft SW groundswell, mostly clean in the mornings thanks to offshore winds, but the wind strength picks up significantly on some days (up to 25 mph). The energy readings are consistently high, between 1387 and 2570. The waves will be big and powerful, but the wind will make it challenging. For advanced surfers, Wednesday the 2nd morning and Friday the 4th morning look the cleanest of that bunch.
Sunday the 6th of September is another clean morning option with light offshore wind, 7ft SW swell, 15-second period, and energy of 2222. Good, strong surf but windy conditions by the afternoon.
After that, things go downhill. From Monday the 7th through Wednesday the 9th of September, onshore gales (gusting up to 28 mph) and messy, choppy conditions take over. The swell on Wednesday the 9th morning is a big 8ft from the SW with very long period and massive energy of 3465, but it’s onshore and dangerous. For paddle surfing, it’s a no-go, but with that kind of wind and swell, it’s looking way more interesting for the kite crew.
So to sum it up: the best session on offer is Monday the 31st of August. Thursday afternoon the 27th is a nice, small window for a clean paddle. There are a few other mornings in the first week of September that will be clean but windy. The long-range standouts (like the 6th of September) have promise but are less certain. There’s a big gap of poor conditions from the 7th onward.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue night, calm by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 5 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
851 | 1094 | 1163 | 905 | 802 | 268 | 392 | 569 | 1136 | 2626 | 1806 | 1220 | 37 | 501 | 878 | 897 | 2094 | 2012 | 2386 | 1764 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | on | cross | glassy | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:41PM1.21m | 10:20AM1.29m | 9:06PM1.17m | 11:26AM1.34m | 10:40PM1.18m | 12:14PM1.41m | 11:52PM1.26m | 12:51PM1.48m | 00:48AM1.36m | 1:24PM1.54m | 1:34AM1.47m | 1:54PM1.58m | 2:16AM1.58m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:53AM0.50m | 4:09PM0.95m | 4:09AM0.51m | 5:29PM0.87m | 5:17AM0.49m | 6:22PM0.75m | 6:13AM0.45m | 7:01PM0.62m | 7:00AM0.41m | 7:34PM0.48m | 7:41AM0.39m | 8:07PM0.35m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | |
5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
851 | 1094 | 1163 | 905 | 802 | 268 | 392 | 569 | 1060 | 2626 | 1806 | 1220 | 834 | 501 | 878 | 865 | 2094 | 2012 | 2386 | 1764 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | — | S 15 | — | SW 16 | SSW 7 | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | W 24 | SSW 6 | SW 19 | SW 17 | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 16 |
381 | — | 4 | — | 91 | 30 | 118 | 455 | 1136 | 59 | 25 | 21 | 11 | 57 | 133 | 897 | — | — | 133 | 144 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | S 11 | S 20 | S 18 | — | — | — | — | WSW 22 | SW 20 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 76 | 57 | 30 | 57 | — | — | — | — | 45 | 98 | 556 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 37 | 45 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 13 | 62 | 21 | 21 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 110 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











