Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 4,828 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 22s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 14s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, Rusty here. Let's break down what's coming our way for this stretch of coast.
First things first, the water's sitting at about 58°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. Not a huge deal, but you'll feel it's a bit less cold.
Right now, it's a total mess. We've got a big, lumpy 12ft SW swell on Friday the 24th, but it's getting hammered by a strong 22 mph cross-on westerly. The wave energy is through the roof, but it's just a blown-out disaster. That hangs around for a few days. Saturday the 25th is still big and messy, and Sunday the 26th is a bit smaller but still ugly with a cross-shore wind.
We're looking at a gap of a few days of nothing worthwhile. Monday the 27th is the first time we see a little window. The swell drops to 5ft from the SW with an 11-second period, and the wind swings to a light cross-offshore from the NW. The wave energy is weak, but the clean conditions are a big positive. It's tiny and marginal, but it's clean. Tuesday the 28th gets blown out again by a strong breeze, so don't bother.
The real standout, the one you're looking for, is Friday the 31st of July. We've got a clean 4ft SW swell with a solid 13-second period. The wave energy is moderate. But the kicker is the wind: it's forecast to go glassy on Friday afternoon. Clean, glassy, and that little SW groundswell will be wrapping around Cape Schanck. This is the pick of the month. It's a reef, so it'll handle that long-period energy well, and the conditions will be perfect. It's not huge, but it'll be quality.
The following weekend, Saturday the 1st of August, sees a jump in size with a 5ft SW groundswell, but the wind picks up to a 19 mph cross-offshore. It's clean, but the wind is strong. The energy is moderate. Then on Sunday the 2nd, it's a 7ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and the wind is even stronger at 28 mph from the north. Still clean, but that's a strong breeze. It's a bit too big for beginners at 7ft, and the strong wind makes it a more advanced session.
Looking further out, Tuesday the 5th of August gets a bit bumpy again, but then Thursday the 6th of August has a big 10ft SW groundswell with a 19-second period. The energy is strong. The wind is a cross-shore, so it'll be a bit lumpy. That's a big, powerful swell, and only for the experienced crew. It's a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it's one to watch.
So, the call is clear: lock in Friday the 31st of July. It's the only true glassy day with a decent, clean swell. Get on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri night, light winds from the W by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Tue afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 6287 | 4046 | 3133 | 2166 | 1760 | 1121 | 918 | 703 | 595 | 471 | 534 | 710 | 1155 | 0 | 4464 | 4791 | 3026 | 1719 | 1120 | 812 | 565 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:13PM1.44m | 7:43AM1.37m | 6:49PM1.36m | 8:42AM1.33m | 7:32PM1.29m | 9:50AM1.32m | 8:29PM1.23m | 11:00AM1.35m | 9:41PM1.19m | 12:00PM1.41m | 10:59PM1.20m | 12:48PM1.48m | 00:06AM1.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:29PM0.74m | 00:58AM0.32m | 1:15PM0.83m | 1:43AM0.37m | 2:12PM0.91m | 2:35AM0.41m | 3:25PM0.95m | 3:37AM0.43m | 4:49PM0.94m | 4:41AM0.42m | 6:00PM0.88m | 5:41AM0.40m | 6:54PM0.80m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — |
 | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 12 | — | — | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 6287 | 4046 | 3133 | 2166 | 1760 | 1121 | 918 | 703 | 595 | 471 | 534 | 710 | 1155 | — | — | 4791 | 3026 | 1719 | 1120 | 812 | 565 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 17 | SW 14 | — | — | SW 6 | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | — | — | SW 25 | SW 23 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 26 | 11 | 132 | — | — | 9 | — | — | 212 | 81 | — | — | 24 | 21 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 23 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | NW 4 | SW 13 | SW 12 | NW 4 | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NNW 2 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4111 | 4786 | 16 | 1429 | 1209 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 43 | 1941 | 4464 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 52 | 78 | 49 | 52 | 13 | 49 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 77 | 478 | 280 | 62 | 52 | 62 | 21 | 2 | 48 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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