
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,306 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 13s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Cape Schanck. This is a solid reef set-up that’s fairly exposed to the swell, and it’s a consistent spot for the advanced crew. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.
We’ve got a bit of a wait for the real good stuff. The early part of the week is a bit of a write-off with messy winds and marginal conditions. Wednesday 15th and Thursday 16th are looking pretty average – cross-shore and onshore winds, lumpy, with a score that’s nothing to write home about. The energy is there, with combined swell energy in the 2000-2400 range, but the wind is just ruining it.
The first real standout window opens up on Friday 17th July. The morning is clean with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNW, and the afternoon is where it’s at. That afternoon session sees a light breeze, 7ft of SW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, and the combined energy hitting 2500. The wind is cross-off, so the waves will have some shape. This is a top-tier call for experienced surfers, but it’s a reef, so you need to know what you’re doing. The long period means the sets will be clean and powerful, but there will be longer waits between them.
Saturday 18th July is also a beauty. The morning still has that light cross-off breeze, dropping to 6ft, but the real gem is the afternoon. It goes glassy, with the wind swinging to the east at only 3 mph, and the swell is still a fun 5ft from the SW. The energy is moderate at 880, but the clean, glassy conditions will make it a dream to paddle out and catch long, walling waves. This is a solid pick for any surfer who can handle a reef.
After that, the window tightens. Sunday 19th and Monday 20th drop off in size and quality, with the swell fading and winds picking up. It goes pretty flat by Monday afternoon, with barely any energy (8). There’s a gap of poor or marginal days until Thursday 23rd July, when a new pulse of swell arrives, but it gets hammered by strong cross-onshore winds, making it lumpy and messy. That’s more of a kite-surfing show than a clean paddle session.
The next week is a bit of a mixed bag. Friday 24th July sees another big 10ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, and the energy is massive (4445). Problem is, the wind is cross-shore, creating a cross-chop. It’s a powerful, heavy wave for experts only, and the conditions are marginal. The following days into the end of the month look mostly average to poor, with onshore winds dominating. There’s a hint of a cleaner window on Wednesday 30th July, with a light cross-off breeze and a 4ft SW swell, but it’s a long way out and the forecast is less certain.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue night, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue night, calm by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the N by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tue 21 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | S 10 | S 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4251 | 2439 | 2020 | 2125 | 2278 | 2372 | 1784 | 2009 | 2297 | 1825 | 1170 | 880 | 535 | 341 | 236 | 194 | 502 | 8 | 17 | 701 | 623 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:11PM1.43m | 12:08PM1.67m | 11:29PM1.47m | 1:04PM1.73m | 00:41AM1.52m | 1:53PM1.78m | 1:46AM1.57m | 2:37PM1.80m | 2:45AM1.60m | 3:18PM1.79m | 3:39AM1.61m | 3:56PM1.76m | 4:30AM1.59m | 4:32PM1.70m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:03AM0.05m | 6:04PM0.74m | 6:09AM0.04m | 7:05PM0.61m | 7:10AM0.05m | 8:00PM0.47m | 8:05AM0.10m | 8:49PM0.35m | 8:55AM0.18m | 9:35PM0.26m | 9:41AM0.28m | 10:18PM0.20m | 10:25AM0.40m | ||||||||
— | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | |
— | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
4251 | 2439 | 2020 | 2125 | 2278 | 2372 | 1784 | 2009 | 2297 | 1825 | 1170 | 880 | 535 | 341 | 236 | 142 | 502 | 387 | 482 | 701 | 623 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | WSW 15 | S 15 | — | — |
131 | 43 | — | 128 | — | — | — | 240 | 203 | 73 | 39 | — | — | 16 | 60 | 194 | 25 | 249 | 17 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 11 | — | S 10 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 39 | 75 | 22 | — | 8 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 13 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











