Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 9,075 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 15s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it for Cape Schanck. This is a reef break, so it’s got that extra punch and shape, but it’s strictly for advanced surfers. It’s consistent, and it’s fairly exposed to the swell, so it’ll grab most of what’s coming. The water is running at 57°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.
The first real window is Monday, August 31st. We’ve got a 7ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period, and the wind goes glassy in the afternoon. That’s a dream combination. The combined energy is strong at 1982. It’s going to be clean, glassy, and powerful. This is the best of the whole run. A real session for the books.
Tuesday, September 1st is a dud. The morning has a 6ft SW swell with a 16-second period, but the wind is howling from the north at 28 mph, making it a cross-off mess. The afternoon is just as bad.
Wednesday, September 2nd sees a 6ft to 7ft SW swell, but the wind is cross-on and choppy. Not worth paddling.
Thursday, September 3rd is a total loss. There’s 13ft of SW swell, but it’s blowing 28 mph cross-on and messy. The combined energy is massive at 5950, but that’s a kite surfing day, not a paddle surfing day.
Friday, September 4th has a 10ft SW groundswell (15-second period), and the wind is cross-off from the NNW, so it’s clean. But at 10ft, this is only for experts. The energy is still very strong (4350). It’s a big, raw day.
Saturday, September 5th is another no-go. 12ft to 13ft of SW swell, but the wind is near gale force from the WNW. Blown out.
Sunday, September 6th has a 10ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period, and the wind is cross-off. Clean, but big. Expert only.
Now, here’s a real treat. Monday, September 7th. The morning brings a 5ft SW groundswell with a 13-second period, and it’s glassy. The combined energy is only 775, so it’s not a monster, but it’s clean, manageable, and the conditions are beautiful. That’s a top pick for the week.
The rest of the run is a mixed bag. Tuesday, September 8th sees a 8ft to 12ft SW swell with a very long 18-second period, but the wind is onshore and strong. Kite surfing territory again. The same goes for the 9th and 10th, with big swell and bad wind.
Friday, September 11th is another good one. The morning has a 7ft SW swell (15-second period), and the wind is cross-off from the ESE. Clean and rideable. The combined energy is 2216, which is moderate to strong. This is a solid, clean session.
After that, the swell drops off. Saturday, September 12th has 4ft to 5ft of SW swell, but the wind is cross-on or cross-shore, so it’s choppy.
Sunday, September 13th sees a drop to 3ft of SW swell, but the wind is offshore from the NNE in the morning and cross-off in the afternoon. Clean, but small. Good for a longboard or a funboard.
The final few days, from the 14th to the 15th of September, are all small and choppy. Not worth the effort.
The real standouts are the glassy Monday, August 31st and the clean, glassy Monday, September 7th. If you’re an expert, the big Friday, September 4th and Sunday, September 6th are also worth a look, but they’re not for the faint-hearted.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WNW on Fri night, moderate winds from the NW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1572 | 1572 | 2247 | 1474 | 949 | 742 | 1716 | 2102 | 2263 | 0 | 5950 | 5563 | 4350 | 3502 | 2390 | 4567 | 7375 | 8987 | 5275 | 3090 | 1349 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:54PM1.58m | 2:16AM1.58m | 2:24PM1.62m | 2:56AM1.66m | 2:54PM1.64m | 3:36AM1.71m | 3:25PM1.65m | 4:17AM1.72m | 3:58PM1.64m | 5:00AM1.69m | 4:35PM1.62m | 5:48AM1.62m | 5:17PM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:07PM0.35m | 8:20AM0.38m | 8:39PM0.23m | 8:57AM0.40m | 9:12PM0.13m | 9:34AM0.44m | 9:48PM0.07m | 10:11AM0.49m | 10:26PM0.04m | 10:50AM0.57m | 11:09PM0.05m | 11:34AM0.65m | 11:58PM0.11m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | |  |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — |
 | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 8 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1572 | 1572 | 2247 | 1474 | 949 | 742 | 1716 | 2102 | 2263 | — | — | 5563 | 4350 | 3502 | 2390 | 4567 | 7375 | 8987 | 5275 | 3090 | 1349 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 256 | 373 | 229 | 94 | 47 | 290 | 166 | 142 | 191 | — | — | — | — | 133 | 78 | — | — | — | 147 | 95 | 19 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 37 | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | — | — | NW 4 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | NW 4 | — | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | WSW 13 | WSW 15 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 22 | 16 | 22 | — | — | 24 | 4439 | 5950 | 5 | — | 10 | 29 | 5949 | 9691 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 0 | 12 | 473 | 48 | 48 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 512 | 516 | 19 | 41 | 65 | 478 | 478 | 473 | 48 | 22 | 13 | 29 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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