Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 16s period, SW swell with 2,761 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 2.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 10s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's get into it.
Alright, look, the next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag for Cape Schanck. The water is sitting at about 56.5°, which is a couple of degrees warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing too wild, just a bit of a pleasant surprise. We've got a solid run of gritty, workable conditions, but the real standouts are waiting for you in the final week of August and the start of September.
The first week is a grind. From Wednesday the 19th through to Saturday the 22nd, it's mostly poor to marginal. On Saturday the 22nd, we see a big jump in size with a 7.9ft SW swell, but the wind is cross-on and bumpy, making it a messy, challenging day that's best left to the experts. The combined energy is huge though, cranking up to 2623 on the Saturday morning, so there's plenty of power in the water.
We get a little relief on Sunday the 23rd. The morning is still a bit scrappy with a 6.9ft SW swell and cross winds, but Sunday afternoon cleans up nicely. The wind swings light and cross-off from the north, with a still-strong 5.6ft swell from the SW. The energy is still substantial at 1665, and the clean conditions make it a decent one for experienced surfers. The Monday morning after that is clean but the wind is up, so it's a bit of a struggle.
The real gem of the whole period is Friday the 28th of August. The afternoon brings a solid 9.8ft SW groundswell, with a period of 17 seconds, and the wind is light and offshore from the NE. That's a powerful, clean, long-period swell pushing into the reef. The combined energy is a massive 4781, so this is serious, expert-only territory. It's going to be a ripper.
Saturday the 29th stays solid with another 9.8ft SW swell, but the wind is more cross-off and the period drops a bit. Still excellent for the crew who can handle it. Sunday the 30th has a punchy 8.2ft SSW swell with a clean offshore breeze in the morning, but the period is short at 7 seconds, making it a bit weaker in energy (750).
Then we get a beautiful, glassy morning on Monday the 31st of August. The swell is 4.3ft from the SW with a lovely 16-second period, and the wind is dead calm. The combined energy is a solid 1555, and the conditions are just perfect. This is the one for the morning crew who want clean, long-period lines without the massive size.
The first few days of September continue the trend of clean, smaller surf. The swell hangs around 3.3ft to 3.6ft with light offshore and cross-off winds, making for some fun, user-friendly waves right through to Wednesday the 2nd.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Wed afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sun night, light winds from the SE by Mon night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
10 | 60 | 157 | 222 | 219 | 0 | 460 | 0 | 2620 | 2585 | 2263 | 1541 | 946 | 1622 | 978 | 371 | 723 | 649 | 486 | 244 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:46AM1.61m | 4:30PM1.60m | 5:26AM1.54m | 5:01PM1.53m | 6:06AM1.46m | 5:31PM1.45m | 6:51AM1.38m | 6:04PM1.37m | 7:47AM1.31m | 6:44PM1.29m | 8:59AM1.27m | 7:41PM1.21m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:23PM0.14m | 10:37AM0.52m | 10:58PM0.19m | 11:12AM0.62m | 11:33PM0.25m | 11:48AM0.71m | 00:11AM0.32m | 12:26PM0.81m | 00:53AM0.40m | 1:16PM0.89m | 1:46AM0.46m | 2:29PM0.95m | 2:53AM0.50m | |||||||
— | — | 7:01 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | |
5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:51 | — | |
mm | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 10 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 7 |
236 | 217 | 147 | 154 | 175 | 791 | 1114 | 2318 | 2620 | 2585 | 2263 | 1541 | 946 | 1622 | 978 | 255 | 723 | 649 | 486 | 200 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SW 20 | WSW 9 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 18 | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 21 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 12 |
2 | 60 | 45 | 222 | 219 | 98 | 460 | — | — | 147 | 116 | 595 | 719 | 24 | 18 | 371 | 82 | 143 | 127 | 244 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | ESE 7 | SW 18 | E 8 | SSW 16 | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | — | — | SW 21 | WSW 20 | — | — | — | SW 15 |
10 | 5 | 157 | 1 | 24 | 98 | — | — | — | — | 37 | 31 | — | — | 18 | 38 | — | — | — | 176 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 7 | W 4 | W 7 | NW 4 | WSW 16 | NW 3 | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | N 3 | — | WNW 3 | — |
26 | 11 | 16 | 54 | 23 | 134 | 5 | 3157 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 12 | 7 | 8 | — | 3 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 43 | 41 | 12 | 13 | 23 | 48 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 41 | 17 | 21 | 131 | 141 | 264 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











