Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 10 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
13.8° C
1.1° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,209 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 16s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Sun 16th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 14s
Best Surf 1PM (Sun 16th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 14s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 13th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Cape Schanck. This is a reef setup that’s fairly exposed to the SE, and it’s a consistent, advanced-level wave. The water’s sitting at 57°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

Honestly, the next few days are a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a big pulse of SW groundswell rolling in, but the wind is just a mess. Monday afternoon, the 10th, sees rain showers and a solid 22 mph SSW wind blowing straight onshore. That’s a no-go. The combined swell energy is right up there at 2360, but it’s unsurfable. Tuesday the 11th isn’t much better with a cross-shore NW breeze at 19 mph, leaving the ocean lumpy. Wednesday the 12th gets even bigger with a 8 ft, 16-second groundswell, but the wind is a strong 25 mph from the WSW. That’s a hard pass.

Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are still pumping with massive 10 ft SW swell, but the wind is cross-on or onshore, and the energy is monstrous (up to 6408 on Friday morning). That’s a power tripping swell, but it’s just too messy and blown out for paddle surfing. This setup is looking far more interesting for kite surfing than a traditional surf.

The Standout

We finally get a window of hope. Sunday morning, the 16th of August, is the real deal. The sky is clear, and we’ve got a light 6 mph offshore breeze from the NE. That’s the clean stuff. The swell drops to a comfortable 7 ft from the SW, with a 14-second period. The combined energy is still a solid 1715, giving it plenty of push. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The wind will be glassy, and the reef will be working cleanly. It’s the best of the whole run.

Monday the 17th is a decent follow-up. The morning stays clean with a light 6 mph NE offshore and 6 ft SW swell. The energy is still there at 1203. It’s a solid session, but not quite as good as Sunday.

The Rest

After that, the swell drops off. Tuesday the 18th is still clean with a light offshore, but the waves are smaller at 4 ft to 5 ft. Wednesday the 19th gets tiny, with 3 ft and 3 ft swell, but the afternoon is pure glass. That’s a good day for a longboard or a beginner session.

There’s a bit of a lull around the 20th and 21st, with waves dropping to almost nothing. The 22nd of August is a write-off, with a 31 mph near gale from the north keeping the ocean flat and messy. The final few days of the outlook, the 23rd through the 25th, bring a bit more size back, with 6 ft swell on the 23rd, but the wind is a fresh offshore or cross-off, which keeps it clean but not as good as the Sunday session. The energy is moderate to strong (up to 2115), but the wind is a bit too strong for perfect conditions.

Bottom line: If you’re an experienced surfer, be in the water at Cape Schanck on Sunday morning, the 16th. That’s the one. The rest of the window is either blown out, too small, or too windy.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Tue night, light winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
0
0
2
2
1
3
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
S
7
1.4
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
17
1
WNW
4
2.5
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2
SW
15
1.7
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
73
821
1130
1334
39
3543
4209
4136
3650
3152
4076
3544
3023
2593
2238
1647
1163
1179
978
Wind (km/h)
35
W
30
NW
30
NNW
40
NNW
40
NW
30
WSW
25
W
30
WNW
15
WNW
20
WNW
20
W
25
SW
15
SW
15
SSE
15
SSE
20
E
25
ENE
30
ESE
25
E
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
9:29AM1.48m
8:34PM1.41m
10:45AM1.51m
10:03PM1.39m
11:51AM1.57m
11:28PM1.44m
12:45PM1.64m
00:41AM1.52m
1:31PM1.69m
1:42AM1.60m
2:12PM1.73m
2:35AM1.65m
Low Tide
2:22AM0.16m
3:09PM0.87m
3:37AM0.19m
4:35PM0.82m
4:53AM0.20m
5:51PM0.69m
6:02AM0.20m
6:51PM0.54m
7:02AM0.21m
7:42PM0.38m
7:54AM0.24m
8:27PM0.25m
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
clear
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:11
7:11
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
 mm
1
1
1
Temp °C
13
12
12
11
12
12
12
11
14
13
13
13
13
12
12
13
13
14
10
Feels °C
6
4
5
2
3
5
6
6
10
8
7
7
9
9
9
8
10
8
3
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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