
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 6,987 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 14s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe for one of our local jewels.
The coming week has a bit of a split personality. We’re looking at some solid, clean surf early on, but the later half of the week and beyond gets wild and tricky. The best window is definitely the first few days, with a standout on Wednesday morning.
We kick things off this Tuesday morning, July 7th, at Cape Schanck. It’s not the biggest, with a 3 ft SW swell, but it’s got some serious legs with a 17-second period and a light offshore breeze from the NE. The water is sitting at 58°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate (850), and with the conditions, it’s going to be a fun, clean session.
Tuesday afternoon sees the swell bump up to 5 ft, but the wind swings SE, putting it cross-shore. It’s still surfable, but not as clean as the morning.
Now, the real highlight is Wednesday morning, July 8th. The swell is a solid 5 ft from the SW, with a 19-second period that’s packing some serious grunt. The combined energy jumps right up (2403), and with a light NE offshore breeze, the waves at Cape Schanck will be clean and have plenty of power. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, and the best of the whole outlook.
Wednesday afternoon gets a bit bigger, 7 ft, but the cross-shore wind makes it a bit messy. Come Thursday, July 9th, we get a few more good windows. Thursday morning sees a 5 ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a cross-offshore breeze, making for clean conditions. By Thursday afternoon, the wind goes glassy, with a 4 ft, 15-second period swell. That’s a dreamy window for a quiet session.
Friday, July 10th, holds up with consistent 5-5 ft SW swell and clean, cross-offshore winds all day. The combined energy is moderate (around 1000-1272), so the waves won't be huge but will be well-shaped.
Then the wheels come off. Saturday, July 11th, the wind howls from the NNW at 25 mph. Don’t bother. The swell is small and the conditions are terrible. That continues through Sunday, July 12th, with strong winds and a 7-8 ft SW swell that’s blown out.
The rest of the outlook is a write-off for clean surfing. The next week is dominated by fresh to strong cross-onshore winds, and the swell gets big, into the 10 ft to 13 ft range. The combined energy from the 13th to the 15th is massive (from 3783 up to 11203), but it's all blown to bits. That kind of heavy, onshore energy is more interesting for the kite surfers than for paddle surfing.
There’s a brief glimmer on Friday, July 17th, with a 7 ft SW swell and a moderate cross-offshore breeze, but it’s a marginal call. The rest of the extended forecast into the 22nd is just more of the same: big, messy, and blown out.
So, the short story: get it while it's good. The early mornings, especially Wednesday, July 8th, are the real deal. After that, it’s a waiting game for the winds to calm down.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue night, min 8°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
568 | 1096 | 962 | 1357 | 2714 | 1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1398 | 1203 | 1006 | 36 | 581 | 564 | 1065 | 1323 | 1976 | 6131 | 6818 | 6742 | 5808 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 4:25PM1.62m | 4:51AM1.42m | 4:55PM1.59m | 5:39AM1.46m | 5:27PM1.56m | 6:32AM1.49m | 6:05PM1.52m | 7:32AM1.51m | 6:51PM1.49m | 8:40AM1.53m | 7:47PM1.45m | 9:53AM1.56m | 8:55PM1.43m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:05AM0.42m | 10:48PM0.40m | 10:44AM0.49m | 11:22PM0.32m | 11:27AM0.57m | 00:01AM0.25m | 12:16PM0.66m | 00:47AM0.18m | 1:13PM0.75m | 1:42AM0.13m | 2:20PM0.83m | 2:45AM0.10m | 3:36PM0.85m | 3:54AM0.08m | |||||||
7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | |
— | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 9 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 12 | — | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 |
568 | 1096 | 962 | 1357 | 2714 | 1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1398 | 1203 | 1006 | 857 | 581 | 564 | 1065 | 1323 | 1976 | — | 6818 | 6742 | 5808 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SW 24 | SW 15 | SSW 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SW 20 | S 17 | SSW 14 | — | SSW 14 | — | WSW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 17 |
282 | 50 | 22 | 784 | 240 | 188 | 82 | 136 | 140 | 69 | — | 36 | — | 177 | — | — | — | — | — | 155 | 333 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 12 | S 19 | — | — | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — |
— | — | 14 | 262 | — | — | 12 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 128 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | SW 14 | SW 15 | — | NNW 4 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 31 | 61 | 15 | 54 | 80 | 6131 | 4385 | — | 10 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 79 | 17 | 48 | 78 | 41 | 49 | 13 | 17 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










