Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 03 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
13.7° C
0.8° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,586 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 12s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Fri 7th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 14s
Best Surf10PM (Fri 7th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 14s
Most Powerful 4PM (Mon 10th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s heading our way for Cape Schanck. It’s a reef break, and it’s a consistent one, but we’ve got a bit of a wait before things get good.

The first week is a bit of a write-off, to be honest. A strong westerly breeze is going to mess up the surface for most of it, with the swell being a bit of a mess. There’s a bit of a pulse on the 7th of August, with a 5ft SW groundswell (period 16 seconds) showing up, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s only going to be marginal at best. The combined energy of all swells is moderate (1376), but the wind just kills it.

The real standout, the one you want to circle on the calendar, hits on the 13th of August. Thursday morning is looking like a proper session. We’ve got a solid 18ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period. That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is a moderate cross-shore from the NW, and it’s clean. The combined energy of all swells is massive (14856), so this is a big, powerful groundswell. Now, this is a reef break, so it will handle the size, but 18ft is well into expert territory. It’s going to be a wild day for the experienced crew.

Following that, the 15th of August, Saturday, is also a cracker. A smaller but still solid 5ft SW groundswell (period 15 seconds) with glassy conditions in the afternoon. The combined energy is moderate (1222). That’s a beautiful combination for a clean, fun surf. The 16th of August, Sunday, is also offering clean 5ft to 5ft SW swell with light offshore winds, making for a very good weekend.

The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a bust. The 13th of August is the big, powerful, expert-only standout. The 15th and 16th of August are your best bets for a clean, more manageable session.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Tue morning, light winds from the WNW by Wed night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Fri morning, near gales from the N by Sat night).

Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
17
1.1
SW
13
2.4
SW
11
1.8
SW
10
1.4
SW
10
0.6
SW
19
1.1
SW
13
0.8
SW
12
0.9
SW
16
1.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
0.9
SW
20
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
241
431
1519
634
432
289
380
175
406
821
1267
966
742
1240
1317
953
676
681
575
Wind (km/h)
35
W
40
WNW
35
WSW
25
WSW
25
WSW
30
WSW
15
WNW
25
NW
25
WNW
25
WSW
15
W
15
WNW
15
N
30
N
40
N
55
N
50
N
50
WSW
35
NW
Wind State
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
High Tide
3:14AM1.49m
3:27PM1.65m
3:54AM1.54m
3:55PM1.64m
4:35AM1.58m
4:25PM1.62m
5:20AM1.59m
4:58PM1.60m
6:09AM1.58m
5:36PM1.57m
7:06AM1.54m
6:22PM1.52m
Low Tide
9:14AM0.38m
9:45PM0.30m
9:50AM0.43m
10:17PM0.22m
10:28AM0.49m
10:52PM0.16m
11:08AM0.57m
11:33PM0.11m
11:53AM0.66m
00:20AM0.10m
12:45PM0.76m
1:16AM0.12m
rain showers
light rain
thunderstorm
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:16
7:15
7:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:32
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
 mm
4
1
3
5
2
1
1
1
6
5
5
3
Temp °C
11
11
12
12
12
13
12
10
12
12
11
13
13
14
13
13
11
12
10
Feels °C
4
4
4
7
6
7
7
3
7
4
7
9
9
6
4
4
0
2
-1
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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