
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 13,074 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.0m 13s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Cape Schanck over the next couple of weeks.
First off, we’ve got a bit of a rough patch to get through. The early part of the week is a write-off, with howling onshore winds and big, messy swell. The water temp is sitting around 57°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th are a total loss – strong winds and poor surf conditions, with a big nasty 16ft swell on Wednesday morning making it dangerously big and onshore. Not for the faint-hearted. Kite surfers might be having a field day, but for us paddle surfers, it’s a hard pass.
Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st morning are still messy, but you can see the light at the end of the tunnel. Friday afternoon, though, that’s where it gets interesting. The wind drops right off, goes glassy, and we’ve got a clean 4ft SW swell rolling in. It’s small, but glassy conditions at Cape Schanck are a rare treat. The combined energy sits at 547, so it’s not a powerhouse, but it’ll be clean and fun for the experienced crew.
Now, Saturday and Sunday (1st and 2nd of August) are worth a mention. The wind swings offshore on Saturday morning, with a 4ft SW swell, and the period jumps to 19 seconds on Saturday afternoon, pushing 6ft. That’s proper groundswell, and it’ll wrap into the reef nicely. The combined energy is 2490 on Saturday afternoon, so there’s some grunt there. Sunday morning holds similar size with clean offshore winds. This is the best run of the outlook.
Monday the 3rd of August is a bit of a dud in the morning, but by the afternoon, the wind goes light cross-shore and we get an 8ft SW swell. That’s getting solid, and with a combined energy of 4016, it’s got some punch. Only for the experienced – this is proper Cape Schanck power.
The standout of the whole forecast, though, is Friday the 7th of August. Morning brings a 6ft SW swell with a gentle offshore breeze, and the afternoon holds 7ft with light offshore winds. The combined energy is over 2000, and the surf is described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s a week away, so it’s not locked in, but it looks like a gem.
After that, the weekend of the 8th and 9th gets blown out again, with strong northerly winds and tiny swell. The following week looks inconsistent, with a few small windows but nothing that really stands out.
So, if you’re keen, Saturday the 1st through Sunday the 2nd, and especially Friday the 7th, are your best shots. The reef will be firing, and the wind will be kind. Just be ready for the crowd – Cape Schanck can get a few heads when it’s good.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Tue night, light winds from the SW by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
784 | 1441 | 953 | 13074 | 8380 | 3438 | 1723 | 1210 | 854 | 624 | 478 | 450 | 369 | 2293 | 2982 | 1750 | 1438 | 86 | 0 | 2436 | 1210 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:00AM1.35m | 9:41PM1.19m | 12:00PM1.41m | 10:59PM1.20m | 12:48PM1.48m | 00:06AM1.23m | 1:27PM1.54m | 1:02AM1.29m | 2:01PM1.59m | 1:50AM1.36m | 2:31PM1.63m | 2:33AM1.42m | 2:59PM1.65m | 3:14AM1.49m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:49PM0.94m | 4:41AM0.42m | 6:00PM0.88m | 5:41AM0.40m | 6:54PM0.80m | 6:33AM0.37m | 7:36PM0.70m | 7:18AM0.34m | 8:12PM0.59m | 7:59AM0.34m | 8:45PM0.49m | 8:37AM0.35m | 9:15PM0.40m | ||||||||
7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
— | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | |
mm | — | 4 | 7 | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 4 | 4 | -2 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | SSW 15 | — | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
784 | 1441 | 953 | — | 131 | — | 1723 | 1210 | 854 | 624 | 478 | 450 | 369 | 2293 | 2982 | 1750 | 1438 | 1626 | 2680 | 2436 | 1210 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 11 | — | — | — | — | SSW 9 | — | SW 24 | WSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | — |
53 | 242 | — | — | — | — | 177 | — | 22 | 45 | 61 | 133 | 366 | 197 | 340 | 164 | 144 | 86 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 | S 20 | S 19 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 7 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 9 | SW 14 | — |
111 | 54 | 3717 | 13074 | 8380 | 3438 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 586 | 1580 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 286 | 512 | 512 | 495 | 755 | 62 | 13 | 49 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 2 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










