Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,308 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 14s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let's get into it.
We’ve got one spot on the radar, Cape Schanck, a reef break that offers up a clean, powerful wave for the advanced crew, especially when that SW groundswell lines up. Water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty standard for this time of year.
The best window we’re looking at kicks off this Saturday morning, the 12th. You’ve got a solid 7ft SW groundswell with a long 16-second period rolling in, and the wind is a light cross-off from the north at 6 mph. That’s clean, that’s powerful, and it’s showing excellent surf for experienced surfers. The combined swell energy is strong (2575). Saturday afternoon holds similar with a 7ft SW swell at 15 seconds and a glassy offshore breeze from the ENE at just 3 mph. That’s about as good as it gets for a clean session. This is the standout of the whole forecast. Get on it.
After that, it gets messy. Sunday the 13th sees a big wind spike from the north at 25 mph, blowing cross-off and trashing the quality despite some leftover 5ft swell. Monday and Tuesday are a write-off with onshore gales, rain, and messy, lumpy conditions. The swell is big through Wednesday the 16th, reaching 10ft, but it’s all cross-on from a strong southerly wind making it a choppy, blown-out mess. This stretch is more for kites than paddle surfers.
There’s a gap of poor and marginal conditions from Sunday the 13th right through until the following Saturday the 19th. Nothing worth paddling out for.
We get a slight flicker of hope on Thursday the 17th with a 7ft SW swell and onshore wind from the SSW, but the quality is marginal at best.
The next real chance comes on Friday the 25th. This is your long-range promise. Look for a 10ft SW groundswell with a very long 18-second period, and a clean offshore wind from the NE at 16 mph. That is a proper, powerful, clean groundswell for experienced surfers. Combined swell energy is very strong (6177). It’s a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it, but the signs are all there for a great day. Saturday the 26th gets wrecked by gale-force northerlies, so don’t expect that to last.
Across the whole two-week window, the first Saturday is your sure bet. The last Friday is the one to watch. Conditions turn poor again for the final Sunday the 27th, with massive 21ft cross-on junk.
Get out there this Saturday.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Sat afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2295 | 1882 | 1279 | 1006 | 927 | 676 | 357 | 290 | 130 | 2462 | 3923 | 4308 | 3830 | 3398 | 2792 | 1830 | 1244 | 947 | 790 | 1415 | 1229 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:18PM1.53m | 00:41AM1.55m | 1:02PM1.59m | 1:33AM1.65m | 1:41PM1.62m | 2:18AM1.71m | 2:17PM1.63m | 2:59AM1.73m | 2:52PM1.63m | 3:37AM1.71m | 3:24PM1.60m | 4:13AM1.66m | 3:55PM1.55m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:30PM0.43m | 6:52AM0.37m | 7:16PM0.29m | 7:40AM0.37m | 7:57PM0.18m | 8:22AM0.39m | 8:35PM0.12m | 9:00AM0.42m | 9:10PM0.11m | 9:35AM0.47m | 9:45PM0.14m | 10:08AM0.53m | 10:18PM0.19m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 19 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | — | — | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 2295 | 1882 | 1279 | 1006 | 927 | 676 | 357 | 290 | 130 | — | — | — | 3830 | 3398 | 2792 | 1830 | 1244 | 947 | 790 | 1415 | 1229 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 280 | 144 | 93 | 128 | 24 | 22 | 15 | 37 | 111 | — | — | — | 259 | — | — | — | — | 18 | 392 | 458 | 85 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 123 | 112 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 4 | N 3 | NW 3 | SW 4 | WSW 7 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | — | SSW 6 | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 5 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 120 | 2462 | 3923 | 4308 | 2449 | — | 71 | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 12 | 34 | 45 | 0 | 2 | 52 | 62 | 473 | 592 | 267 | 322 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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