Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,055 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 14s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, looking at the charts for our local stretch. We've got a bit of a mixed bag coming up, so let's get into it.
It's a tough start for the next week, with the wind and swell not playing nice at all. We're looking at a solid 7-day wait before things clean up properly. The only spot on the cards is Cape Schanck, a reef break that's fairly exposed to the swell. The water's sitting around 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year.
The first sniff of something decent doesn't come until Saturday, the 1st of August. The morning looks promising with a clean 4 ft SW swell, a gentle offshore breeze, and clear skies. But the real standout is Saturday afternoon. The wind drops to glassy, the swell drops a touch to 3 ft, but the period stretches out to a very long 16 seconds. It'll be a bit small, but clean as a whistle. The combined energy is moderate (621), so there's a bit of push behind it.
Sunday the 2nd picks up a bit more size, with 6 ft of long-period SW groundswell (17 seconds), and the wind stays clean out of the north. The energy jumps up to strong (1681), but it's a bit of a raw, windy day. The standouts are still the glassy Saturday afternoon and the cleaner mornings.
Looking further out, the first week of August stays inconsistent for quality. Thursday the 6th has a very long 20-second period SW groundswell, but it's only 3 ft and the wind is light cross-onshore, making it a bit choppy. It's marginal.
The best of the entire run looks like Monday the 10th of August. You've got a 4 ft SW groundswell in the morning with a moderate offshore wind from the NE, making for clean conditions. The combined energy is solid (1320). Then Monday afternoon is the absolute pick: 5 ft of SW swell with a very long 19-second period, a gentle offshore wind, and the forecast calls for excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The energy is strong (2019). This is the one to circle on the calendar.
Cape Schanck can get crowded often, so be prepared to share the peak, especially on the cleaner days. Given the size of the swell on that Monday afternoon, it's one for the experienced crew. The long period swells will wrap in nicely at this reef.
That's the story from here. Conditions will turn around, they always do.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, near gales from the SSW by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri night, min 10°C on Wed afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Wed afternoon, calm by Fri night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 606 | 487 | 471 | 544 | 809 | 784 | 1343 | 2144 | 8055 | 4350 | 2670 | 1417 | 1103 | 718 | 546 | 478 | 457 | 338 | 366 | 724 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:32PM1.29m | 9:50AM1.32m | 8:29PM1.23m | 11:00AM1.35m | 9:41PM1.19m | 12:00PM1.41m | 10:59PM1.20m | 12:48PM1.48m | 00:06AM1.23m | 1:27PM1.54m | 1:02AM1.29m | 2:01PM1.59m | 1:50AM1.36m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:35AM0.41m | 3:25PM0.95m | 3:37AM0.43m | 4:49PM0.94m | 4:41AM0.42m | 6:00PM0.88m | 5:41AM0.40m | 6:54PM0.80m | 6:33AM0.37m | 7:36PM0.70m | 7:18AM0.34m | 8:12PM0.59m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  | |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | — | S 8 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 606 | 487 | 471 | 544 | 809 | 784 | 1343 | 2144 | — | 240 | 2129 | 1417 | 1103 | 718 | 546 | 478 | 457 | 338 | 237 | 724 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | SSW 17 | SW 15 | — | — | — | SSW 14 | — | — | SW 24 | WSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 19 |
| kJ | 26 | 26 | 106 | — | — | 28 | 380 | — | — | — | 41 | — | — | 22 | 45 | 99 | 131 | 300 | 366 | 723 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 23 | S 21 | S 20 | SE 4 | SSW 17 | SW 22 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 29 | 18 | 105 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 2 | NNW 3 | N 4 | NNW 5 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | S 6 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 56 | 45 | 31 | 8055 | 4350 | 2670 | 71 | 721 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 69 | 287 | 491 | 48 | 322 | 755 | 78 | 52 | 62 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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