Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 7,452 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 16s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sat 15th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down the surf outlook for Cape Schanck, and it’s a bit of a rollercoaster.
The opening stretch is pretty poor. You got strong winds kicking up a mess through the weekend and into the early part of the week, making for some pretty average, blown-out conditions. There’s a solid surge of size mid-week, but it’s getting hammered by strong onshore winds, so it’s just not gonna be worth the hassle. The water will be lumpy and tough to paddle in.
But hang in there, because it cleans right up later on. The wind finally turns offshore around the 16th, and that's when Cape Schanck (Mornington Peninsula) comes alive. That Saturday morning has some clean, 6ft+ surf with a solid west-southwest swell, which is a great mix for this reef. It’ll be powerful and demanding, so it's one for the experienced surfers.
Now, the real gem of this whole run looks to be Sunday the 23rd. The morning has a clean little 3ft swell, but the afternoon is where it's at. The wind goes completely glassy and the swell pushes up to a solid 7ft. That's going to be epic. We're talking clean, powerful, glassy waves on the reef, and it could be absolutely pumping. That combination of light wind and solid groundswell is what dreams are made of.
There are a few other fun, smaller windows with light winds around the 17th and 18th, which could be alright for a paddle. But the 23rd is the one I’d be locking in. It’s a bit further out, so forecasts can change, but right now, that looks like the standout session. I’d be keeping a close eye on it.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 38mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the NNE on Sun night, strong winds from the W by Mon night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Wed afternoon, moderate winds from the W by Thu afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 11 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1193 | 928 | 548 | 347 | 620 | 2449 | 2375 | 1317 | 833 | 787 | 1252 | 1685 | 1170 | 2507 | 4957 | 5087 | 4376 | 4605 | 3926 | 3080 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:36PM1.57m | 7:06AM1.54m | 6:22PM1.52m | 8:13AM1.50m | 7:20PM1.46m | 9:29AM1.48m | 8:34PM1.41m | 10:45AM1.51m | 10:03PM1.39m | 11:51AM1.57m | 11:28PM1.44m | 12:45PM1.64m | 00:41AM1.52m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:20AM0.10m | 12:45PM0.76m | 1:16AM0.12m | 1:49PM0.84m | 2:22AM0.16m | 3:09PM0.87m | 3:37AM0.19m | 4:35PM0.82m | 4:53AM0.20m | 5:51PM0.69m | 6:02AM0.20m | 6:51PM0.54m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — |
mm | — | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 15 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 8 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 1193 | 928 | 548 | 347 | 620 | 2449 | 2375 | 1317 | 443 | 787 | 1252 | 1685 | 1170 | 1882 | 4957 | 5087 | 4376 | 4605 | 3926 | 3080 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 20 | ESE 5 | E 10 | S 6 | SW 14 | SW 8 | SSW 17 | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 48 | 41 | 83 | 155 | 598 | 17 | 47 | 44 | 833 | 166 | 164 | — | 730 | — | — | — | 348 | — | — | 142 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 14 | NW 5 | N 3 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | — | S 6 | S 6 | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 18 | 1 | 1 | 143 | 119 | — | 39 | 20 | — | — | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 3 | NNE 4 | NE 3 | NE 3 | ENE 3 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 6 | SW 8 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 11 | SW 11 | NW 4 | WSW 16 | — | NW 3 | WSW 16 | — |
| kJ | 6 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 81 | 398 | 11 | 38 | 45 | 1102 | 2507 | 14 | 6432 | — | 4 | 4410 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 29 | 37 | 37 | 29 | 41 | 182 | 283 | 48 | 54 | 280 | 49 | 473 | 52 | 49 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 62 | 13 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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