
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,787 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 14s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Cape Schanck are a real mixed bag. We’ve got some serious size showing up, but the wind is going to be the main character for most of it. We’ll see some good windows, but you’ll have to be patient and pick your moments.
Right now, the immediate outlook is rough. We’re looking at Saturday afternoon with a solid 10 ft SW swell, but a strong cross-onshore wind is just thrashing it. The water temp is sitting around 57°, which is about average for this time of year, and the wave energy is pumping (3867), but it’s not surfable for anyone wanting a good wave. That’s going to bleed into Sunday morning and afternoon with smaller 6-7 ft SW swell but still mostly cross-onshore winds making things choppy. Monday through to Wednesday of next week is more of the same: plenty of swell, but those strong winds from the north and then southwest are going to keep the surface messy. Wednesday the 29th looks particularly brutal with a massive 13 ft SW groundswell and howling onshore winds, so give that a miss.
We hit a real dry spell after that, with Thursday and Friday the 30th and 31st offering small, blown-out surf. It’s not looking good.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. We finally get a couple of standouts. The first real chance comes on Saturday the 1st of August. The morning is still small and clean but only 3 ft, so it’s marginal. But the *afternoon* is where we get our first standout. A 6 ft SW swell with a long 17-second period rolls in, and the wind drops to a light cross-offshore breeze. It’ll be clean, lined-up, and the wave energy is strong (2169). This is excellent for experienced surfers, and it’s the best clean swell we’ve seen in a week. Expect crowds at this advanced reef break, as it’s consistent and fairly exposed.
Then, after a few more days of strong winds ruining the quality on the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th of August, we get our second standout. Thursday the 6th of August is the pick of the entire outlook. A clean 5 ft SW groundswell with a period of 17 seconds and a gentle offshore wind from the NNE. This is textbook Cape Schanck. The surface will be glassy, the sets will have proper power, and the wave energy is solid (1574). The morning session is rated excellent for experienced surfers, and the afternoon holds up well with a 5 ft swell and light cross-offshore conditions. This is the day to call in sick.
After that, the swell starts to fade into the second week, with Friday the 7th offering a smaller clean window but weaker energy. The 9th of August sees a bump in size, with a 8 ft SW swell on Sunday morning, but a fresh cross-offshore wind keeps it clean, and the afternoon sees offshore winds with a 6 ft SW swell, making it another solid option for experienced surfers, though the period drops to a punchier 11 seconds.
Overall, if you can wait, the clean windows on the 1st of August afternoon and the 6th of August are your best bets. The wind is the enemy here, but when it lines up, it’s worth the wait.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, strong winds from the N by Mon night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed morning, light winds from the S by Fri morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
2107 | 1141 | 743 | 606 | 445 | 414 | 488 | 393 | 987 | 1179 | 2296 | 7980 | 7375 | 2982 | 1162 | 865 | 656 | 546 | 461 | 350 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:49PM1.36m | 8:42AM1.33m | 7:32PM1.29m | 9:50AM1.32m | 8:29PM1.23m | 11:00AM1.35m | 9:41PM1.19m | 12:00PM1.41m | 10:59PM1.20m | 12:48PM1.48m | 00:06AM1.23m | 1:27PM1.54m | 1:02AM1.29m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:43AM0.37m | 2:12PM0.91m | 2:35AM0.41m | 3:25PM0.95m | 3:37AM0.43m | 4:49PM0.94m | 4:41AM0.42m | 6:00PM0.88m | 5:41AM0.40m | 6:54PM0.80m | 6:33AM0.37m | 7:36PM0.70m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | |
5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
1760 | 1141 | 743 | 606 | 445 | 414 | 488 | 393 | 987 | 1179 | 2296 | — | — | 2160 | 1162 | 865 | 656 | 546 | 461 | 350 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | SW 14 | — | SW 15 | — | — | — | SSW 14 | — | S 6 | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 |
— | — | 11 | 26 | 26 | 106 | — | 313 | — | 229 | — | — | — | 63 | — | 58 | 22 | 72 | 137 | 234 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 | SSE 4 | SSW 19 |
— | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 2 | 37 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | — | NNW 3 | — | NNW 2 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | S 6 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — |
2107 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 42 | 38 | 2913 | 7980 | 7375 | 2982 | 115 | 71 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 13 | 49 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 41 | 69 | 52 | 287 | 80 | 322 | 267 | 62 | 21 | 21 | 41 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










