Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,725 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 10s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab your wettie, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.
Alright, it’s a bit of a slow start for the first few days, but Cape Schanck is going to have some serious moments. The water is sitting at 57°F which is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.
The first real standout is shaping up for Saturday the 12th. We’re looking at a solid 7ft SW groundswell with a very long 16 second period. That means heaps of energy (2575) and proper lines. The wind is a light NNE cross-off in the morning, swinging to a light E cross-off in the arvo. The wave comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers, and I’m buzzing to tell you it’s going to be clean. That’s your session for the weekend. It’s a reef break and it’s consistent, but it’s also for advanced crew only at that size. Crowds are often here, so you’ll have company.
Sunday the 13th gets blown out by strong northerly winds, so we’ll skip that.
Now, look ahead to the following week. Thursday the 18th of September is the big one to circle. The morning is looking at 10ft SW swell with a 16 second period, and the afternoon is pumping at 13ft SW. The wave energy is monstrous (6425 in the arvo). The key here is the wind is a moderate to fresh NNW cross-off, keeping those faces clean. This is giant, powerful groundswell. The wave comment says “marginal surf forecast” but the score is a 4, so it’s a tricky one – big, clean, but very heavy. Only for experts. If you’re not charging, watch from the cliffs.
Wednesday the 24th of September is another cracker. A 13ft SSW swell is rolling in, but the period is a short 9 seconds. That’s a lot of raw power (2848) but it’s wind swell, not groundswell. The magic is in the wind: glassy in the afternoon with zero wind. The wave comment says “excellent for experienced surfers” and it’ll be clean. This is a big, fat, punchy day for the brave.
Overall, there’s a gap of poor, tiny, or blown-out surf from Sunday the 13th until Wednesday the 17th, and then again from the 19th to the 21st. The two standouts to lock in are Saturday the 12th for a solid, clean groundswell, and Thursday the 18th of September for the serious big-wave stuff. The 24th also looks glassy and heavy.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the N by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sun afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Sun morning, light winds from the S by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 20 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5167 | 3820 | 2688 | 2010 | 2437 | 3077 | 2295 | 1882 | 1500 | 1006 | 831 | 623 | 15 | 342 | 109 | 2318 | 3594 | 2944 | 3194 | 3227 | 2502 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:22AM1.43m | 10:13PM1.36m | 11:27AM1.47m | 11:36PM1.45m | 12:18PM1.53m | 00:41AM1.55m | 1:02PM1.59m | 1:33AM1.65m | 1:41PM1.62m | 2:18AM1.71m | 2:17PM1.63m | 2:59AM1.73m | 2:52PM1.63m | 3:37AM1.71m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:24PM0.72m | 4:48AM0.39m | 5:35PM0.58m | 5:56AM0.38m | 6:30PM0.43m | 6:52AM0.37m | 7:16PM0.29m | 7:40AM0.37m | 7:57PM0.18m | 8:22AM0.39m | 8:35PM0.12m | 9:00AM0.42m | 9:10PM0.11m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — |
 | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 21 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 5167 | 3820 | 2688 | 2010 | 2437 | 3077 | 2295 | 1882 | 1500 | 1006 | 831 | 623 | 418 | 342 | 109 | 909 | 3594 | 2944 | 3194 | 3227 | 2502 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | — | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | WNW 4 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | S 18 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | — |
| kJ | 650 | 344 | — | 317 | 714 | 434 | 280 | 144 | 93 | 88 | 44 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 6 | — | 126 | 76 | 321 | 419 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | — | — | SW 7 | SW 10 | SW 13 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 16 | — | — | 102 | 938 | 2318 | 2527 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 21 | 283 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 41 | 45 | 2 | 49 | 13 | 52 | 548 | 146 | 21 | 21 | 13 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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