Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,838 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 16s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what's coming our way at Cape Schanck.
We've got a solid run of SW groundswell on the cards, but the wind is going to be the big talking point for most of it. This isn't a straight-forward week, you're going to have to pick your moments. The standout will be early on the 16th, where the conditions finally align.
Right now, it’s a bit of a write-off. Through Thursday (the 13th) and Friday (14th), we’ve got a hefty 10ft SW swell pushing in, but the wind is all over it—cross, cross-on, and onshore. With a very long 16-second period, the wave energy is pumping, but the surface is going to be a lumpy, choppy mess. Not worth paddling out for.
Saturday morning on the 15th shows some promise as the swell eases to 8ft and the wind goes light cross. It’s still a 15-second period groundswell, which at a reef break like Schanck can be alright. It’s just marginal though, with the wind likely still putting a bit of texture on it.
Now, here’s the window you want to be looking at. Sunday morning, the 16th of August. The swell is still a very solid 6ft from the SW with a 14-second period, but the wind swings light offshore from the ENE. That's the magic combination. The water temp is about average for this time of year. Expect clean, lined-up waves with that gentle offshore wind. This is the best of the lot.
Monday the 17th stays similar in size, with moderate offshore winds, offering clean waves again but with a bit more wind. Tuesday the 18th sees the swell drop a touch to 4ft, but with a moderate offshore from the NNE, it’ll be another clean, fun morning session.
From Wednesday the 19th through most of the following week, it gets a bit ordinary. Either the swell drops right out, or the wind ramps up again with some nasty cross-shore and onshore stuff. There's a tiny window on Friday evening the 21st where the wind goes glassy, but the swell is small at 4ft.
Looking way out, Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th are a total loss with gale-force winds and blown-out conditions. There is a potential redeeming moment on the very last day, Friday the 28th of August. The forecast has a 5ft SW groundswell meeting glassy conditions. It's a long way off, so take it with a grain of salt, but it could be a real good one to end the run.
In short: This weekend is the call. Sunday morning the 16th is your best bet for clean, solid waves at Cape Schanck.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed night, light winds from the SE by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4580 | 4777 | 4272 | 4327 | 3650 | 3557 | 3280 | 2491 | 2341 | 1712 | 1163 | 965 | 924 | 951 | 1438 | 1246 | 648 | 612 | 471 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 10:03PM1.39m | 11:51AM1.57m | 11:28PM1.44m | 12:45PM1.64m | 00:41AM1.52m | 1:31PM1.69m | 1:42AM1.60m | 2:12PM1.73m | 2:35AM1.65m | 2:50PM1.73m | 3:23AM1.67m | 3:25PM1.71m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:53AM0.20m | 5:51PM0.69m | 6:02AM0.20m | 6:51PM0.54m | 7:02AM0.21m | 7:42PM0.38m | 7:54AM0.24m | 8:27PM0.25m | 8:40AM0.28m | 9:08PM0.17m | 9:22AM0.35m | 9:47PM0.13m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
Feels °C | 5 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 4580 | 4777 | 4272 | 4327 | 3650 | 3557 | 3280 | 2491 | 2341 | 1712 | 1163 | 965 | 924 | 951 | 1438 | 1246 | 648 | 612 | 471 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | SE 4 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | ESE 4 |
| kJ | — | 259 | 318 | — | 270 | 270 | — | 128 | 239 | 265 | 3 | 5 | — | 4 | 105 | 91 | 358 | 51 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | ESE 4 | — | SSW 17 | — | SSW 15 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 57 | 6 | — | 58 | — | 23 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 4 | — | ESE 4 | E 6 | ESE 6 | — |
| kJ | 5645 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 9 | 14 | 13 | — | 7 | 22 | 12 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 49 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 49 | 13 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 23 | 10 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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