Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 7,786 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 15s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Rusty’s Cape Schanck Outlook (Imperial)
Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next couple of weeks have some real ups and downs. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird.
Sunday the 26th kicks off with a SW swell around 6 ft and a 11-second period. Morning’s got a cross wind, choppy, not worth it. But by Sunday afternoon the wind shifts to a light NNW cross-off, cleaning everything up. Swell drops to about 5 ft but the waves will be glassy and fun. Not a standout, but a solid session.
Monday the 27th is smaller at 4 ft, clean again, but tiny. Then the crap hits the fan. From Tuesday through Wednesday we get howling winds – near gale-force – and a massive energy spike on the 29th with 13 ft of SW swell and a 16-second period. That’s a monster groundswell, but with 50 km/h onshore winds, it’s a total frothy mess. For experts only, or better yet, kite surfers.
Thursday the 30th stays blown out.
The first real standout hits Sunday the 2nd of August afternoon: a clean cross-off breeze, 6 ft of SW swell with a long 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell on a reef break – powerful, well-shaped lines, long lulls, easy paddle outs. It’s for advanced surfers. Crowds are common, but it’ll be worth it. This is the pick of the fortnight.
Then Thursday morning the 6th of August you get 8 ft of SW swell with a 14-second period, combined energy of 4730, and a light N offshore breeze. That’s big and clean but only for experts. The afternoon stays solid at 7 ft. Both sessions are excellent for the crew who can handle it.
After that, the wind goes wild again and the quality tanks through the 8th, 9th and 10th. The 10th has a bizarre 25-second period swell at 3 ft, but it’s blowing 50 km/h onshore. No good.
So, mark your calendar for Sunday afternoon the 1st of August and Thursday the 6th of August. Everything else is either too windy, too big and messy, or too small.
– Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sun afternoon, near gales from the SW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SSW on Wed morning, calm by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 688 | 606 | 487 | 422 | 488 | 433 | 837 | 1196 | 2144 | 7786 | 5658 | 2708 | 1537 | 1395 | 986 | 678 | 461 | 363 | 335 | 920 | 1474 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:32PM1.29m | 9:50AM1.32m | 8:29PM1.23m | 11:00AM1.35m | 9:41PM1.19m | 12:00PM1.41m | 10:59PM1.20m | 12:48PM1.48m | 00:06AM1.23m | 1:27PM1.54m | 1:02AM1.29m | 2:01PM1.59m | 1:50AM1.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:12PM0.91m | 2:35AM0.41m | 3:25PM0.95m | 3:37AM0.43m | 4:49PM0.94m | 4:41AM0.42m | 6:00PM0.88m | 5:41AM0.40m | 6:54PM0.80m | 6:33AM0.37m | 7:36PM0.70m | 7:18AM0.34m | 8:12PM0.59m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -2 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | WSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSE 5 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 688 | 606 | 487 | 422 | 488 | 433 | 837 | 1196 | 2144 | — | 4498 | 41 | 1537 | 5 | 986 | 678 | 461 | 363 | 335 | 920 | 1474 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | WSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | SW 14 | — | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 11 | 26 | 26 | 106 | — | 313 | — | 269 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 72 | 99 | 130 | 300 | 108 | 144 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 98 | 36 | 29 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 2 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | WNW 4 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SSW 6 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | N 2 | NW 3 | NNW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 56 | 53 | 34 | 7786 | 5658 | 2708 | 98 | 1395 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 11 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 17 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 77 | 286 | 287 | 267 | 322 | 283 | 52 | 52 | 62 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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