Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 12 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
13.6° C
0.9° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,777 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 14s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sun 16th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Best Surf 1AM (Sun 16th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Most Powerful10AM (Thu 13th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what's coming our way at Cape Schanck.

We've got a solid run of SW groundswell on the cards, but the wind is going to be the big talking point for most of it. This isn't a straight-forward week, you're going to have to pick your moments. The standout will be early on the 16th, where the conditions finally align.

Right now, it’s a bit of a write-off. Through Thursday (the 13th) and Friday (14th), we’ve got a hefty 10ft SW swell pushing in, but the wind is all over it—cross, cross-on, and onshore. With a very long 16-second period, the wave energy is pumping, but the surface is going to be a lumpy, choppy mess. Not worth paddling out for.

Saturday morning on the 15th shows some promise as the swell eases to 8ft and the wind goes light cross. It’s still a 15-second period groundswell, which at a reef break like Schanck can be alright. It’s just marginal though, with the wind likely still putting a bit of texture on it.

Now, here’s the window you want to be looking at. Sunday morning, the 16th of August. The swell is still a very solid 6ft from the SW with a 14-second period, but the wind swings light offshore from the ENE. That's the magic combination. The water temp is about average for this time of year. Expect clean, lined-up waves with that gentle offshore wind. This is the best of the lot.

Monday the 17th stays similar in size, with moderate offshore winds, offering clean waves again but with a bit more wind. Tuesday the 18th sees the swell drop a touch to 4ft, but with a moderate offshore from the NNE, it’ll be another clean, fun morning session.

From Wednesday the 19th through most of the following week, it gets a bit ordinary. Either the swell drops right out, or the wind ramps up again with some nasty cross-shore and onshore stuff. There's a tiny window on Friday evening the 21st where the wind goes glassy, but the swell is small at 4ft.

Looking way out, Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th are a total loss with gale-force winds and blown-out conditions. There is a potential redeeming moment on the very last day, Friday the 28th of August. The forecast has a 5ft SW groundswell meeting glassy conditions. It's a long way off, so take it with a grain of salt, but it could be a real good one to end the run.

In short: This weekend is the call. Sunday morning the 16th is your best bet for clean, solid waves at Cape Schanck.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed night, light winds from the SE by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
3
2
1
0
1
3
1
4
3
2
2
2
3
4
3
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.4
SW
15
2.3
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
1.7
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.6
SW
14
1.7
SW
16
1.7
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4580
4777
4272
4327
3650
3557
3280
2491
2341
1712
1163
965
924
951
1438
1246
648
612
471
Wind (km/h)
30
WNW
30
WNW
15
WSW
25
WNW
20
WNW
25
SW
15
SW
10
SE
20
S
15
E
15
ENE
15
SE
20
E
15
E
25
ESE
15
NE
20
NNE
15
ESE
15
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
High Tide
10:03PM1.39m
11:51AM1.57m
11:28PM1.44m
12:45PM1.64m
00:41AM1.52m
1:31PM1.69m
1:42AM1.60m
2:12PM1.73m
2:35AM1.65m
2:50PM1.73m
3:23AM1.67m
3:25PM1.71m
Low Tide
4:53AM0.20m
5:51PM0.69m
6:02AM0.20m
6:51PM0.54m
7:02AM0.21m
7:42PM0.38m
7:54AM0.24m
8:27PM0.25m
8:40AM0.28m
9:08PM0.17m
9:22AM0.35m
9:47PM0.13m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:09
7:07
7:07
7:05
7:03
7:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
5:44
5:45
 mm
1
Temp °C
12
13
14
14
12
13
13
13
12
12
11
15
12
12
15
14
15
16
17
Feels °C
5
9
10
8
8
8
9
9
7
7
9
10
7
9
9
10
11
12
13
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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