Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 6,564 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 14s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cookin’ at Cape Schanck over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a session or two worth paddling out for if you’re keen.
The main story is a lot of big, powerful SW groundswell hammering the coast, but the wind’s gonna be the real trouble. For the next week or so, it’s mostly blowin’ hard and from the wrong direction, so we’ll be chewing through a lot of chop and onshore mess before we see some glassy windows.
First up, Tuesday the 1st of September. Morning session sees a solid 6ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period, pushing combined energy of 1568 (moderate to strong energy). Winds are a stiff 28 mph from the north, cross-offshore, keeping things clean. This is a reef break for experienced surfers only, and that swell size is pushing into expert territory. The water temp is about average for the time of year.
We hit a rough patch from Wednesday the 2nd right through Saturday the 5th. Strong winds from the west and northwest make a mess of things, with waves getting blown out, lumpy, and choppy. Thursday the 3rd even sees an 12ft SW swell with 7807 combined energy, but with 19 mph cross-onshore wind, it’s a total washout. Not worth your time.
Alright, here’s the standout. Sunday the 6th of September – morning session. We’ve got a 10ft SW groundswell, long 16-second period, combined energy of 4957 (strong). The wind swings around to the NNW at a gentle 12 mph, blowing cross-offshore. That means clean, lined-up faces. It’s a big one, so only for advanced crew, but if you’ve got the skills, this is the pick of the first week.
After Sunday, the wind gets messy again, and we get a big pulse on Tuesday the 8th with 13ft SW swell at 17 seconds and 9202 combined energy (very strong), but it’s straight onshore and blown out. Kite surfers might have a field day, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a no-go.
Now, looking into the second week, things get more promising for the experienced surfer. Friday the 11th of September is your long-range target. Friday morning shows a clean 10ft SW swell with a 17-second period and 5561 combined energy (strong), with light NNW cross-offshore wind. By Friday afternoon, it gets even better: 10ft SW, 17 seconds, combined energy of 4558, with a gentle 9 mph N wind, glassy cross-offshore. The report calls it excellent conditions for experienced surfers. It's a bit far out, so keep an eye on it, but the signs are good.
The rest of the window fades into smaller, weaker swell or gets blown out again.
Bottom line: Sunday the 6th morning is your solid bet this week. Friday the 11th afternoon is the one to circle on the calendar for next week. Stay keen.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Mon night, strong winds from the NW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the N on Fri night, light winds from the N by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | NW 5 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
2247 | 1474 | 949 | 742 | 1806 | 2285 | 2449 | 29 | 4529 | 5716 | 4585 | 3804 | 2553 | 0 | 0 | 6564 | 4957 | 2860 | 1255 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 2:16AM1.58m | 2:24PM1.62m | 2:56AM1.66m | 2:54PM1.64m | 3:36AM1.71m | 3:25PM1.65m | 4:17AM1.72m | 3:58PM1.64m | 5:00AM1.69m | 4:35PM1.62m | 5:48AM1.62m | 5:17PM1.57m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:20AM0.38m | 8:39PM0.23m | 8:57AM0.40m | 9:12PM0.13m | 9:34AM0.44m | 9:48PM0.07m | 10:11AM0.49m | 10:26PM0.04m | 10:50AM0.57m | 11:09PM0.05m | 11:34AM0.65m | 11:58PM0.11m | |||||||
— | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
2247 | 1474 | 949 | 742 | 1806 | 2285 | 2449 | 3709 | 4529 | 5716 | 4585 | 3804 | 2553 | — | — | 6564 | 4957 | 2860 | 1255 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — |
229 | 94 | 47 | 290 | 164 | 142 | 191 | — | — | — | — | 193 | 204 | — | — | — | — | 43 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 4 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WSW 6 | — | NW 4 | NW 5 | SW 14 | NW 4 | — | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | — | — | — |
— | 27 | 20 | 22 | 69 | — | 26 | 29 | 3278 | 4 | — | 11 | 70 | 5407 | 7261 | 8611 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 473 | 54 | 48 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 491 | 49 | 49 | 41 | 48 | 504 | 478 | 478 | 49 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











