Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 4,766 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 14s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mate. Rusty here.
We’re looking at a bit of a tricky start for Cape Schanck. The first week is a write-off, honestly. Don’t even bother paddling out until we get through to Thursday the 22nd of September there will be plenty of time to change your wax. It’s a long gap of almost no recommendable surf.
The only consistent player in the game is Cape Schanck itself, a reef setup. The first real glimmer comes on Tuesday morning, the 22nd of September. We’re looking at a solid 12ft SW groundswell, with a very long period of 16 seconds. The combined swell energy is a massive 6068 (strong wave energy), and with a gentle, clean cross-offshore breeze from the ESE, it’s going to be pristine. This is an advanced spot, and with that size, beginners need to stay well clear. These long-period swells can make a reef break like this really ramp up, but they also mean long lulls between sets, so the paddle out won't be as hectic. This is your standout.
Following that up, Wednesday the 23rd of September morning is another cracker. You get a similar 7ft SW swell with a 15-second period and glassy winds from the NNE. The combined energy is still a hearty 2166 (moderate wave energy). It’s clean and excellent for experienced surfers.
Then, hold onto your boardies for Thursday morning the 24th of September. We’ve got a 10ft SW groundswell pumping in with a very, very long 19-second period. The energy reading is a hefty 6448 (strong wave energy) and with only a light breeze from the NNW, it’s essentially glassy. This is expert territory, but if you’ve got the skill, it’s as good as it gets. Remember, that long period means it needs a predictable takeoff zone like this reef.
The final standout of the run is Monday the 28th of September morning. It’s a huge 15ft SW swell with a long 16-second period. The combined swell energy hits an exceptional 9304 (very strong wave energy). With a slight air from the east keeping it clean, this is an absolute beast. Only for the most experienced and confident surfers.
The wind swings around a bit in the afternoons, knocking the quality down, so stick to the morning sessions. Best bets are the 22nd morning, 23rd morning, and the 24th morning for the expert crew.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sat night, strong winds from the SW by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Tue night, light winds from the SW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1279 | 1006 | 927 | 598 | 357 | 295 | 130 | 1651 | 3809 | 4308 | 3936 | 3678 | 2982 | 1855 | 1262 | 933 | 778 | 618 | 1432 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:41AM1.55m | 1:02PM1.59m | 1:33AM1.65m | 1:41PM1.62m | 2:18AM1.71m | 2:17PM1.63m | 2:59AM1.73m | 2:52PM1.63m | 3:37AM1.71m | 3:24PM1.60m | 4:13AM1.66m | 3:55PM1.55m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:52AM0.37m | 7:16PM0.29m | 7:40AM0.37m | 7:57PM0.18m | 8:22AM0.39m | 8:35PM0.12m | 9:00AM0.42m | 9:10PM0.11m | 9:35AM0.47m | 9:45PM0.14m | 10:08AM0.53m | 10:18PM0.19m | |||||||
 |  | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 19 | 16 |
Feels °C | 16 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 1279 | 1006 | 927 | 598 | 357 | 295 | 130 | 353 | — | 169 | 3936 | 3678 | 2982 | 1855 | 1262 | 933 | 778 | 618 | 1432 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | NNW 3 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | — | SW 21 | SW 18 | SW 17 | — |
| kJ | 93 | 88 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 118 | — | 71 | 463 | 530 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | S 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 22 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 22 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 66 | 164 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | — | NW 2 | SW 4 | WSW 5 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 4 | NW 3 |
| kJ | — | 9 | 10 | — | 1 | 8 | 44 | 1651 | 3809 | 4308 | 2648 | 2425 | 112 | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | 7 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 62 | 534 | 675 | 267 | 322 | 146 | 21 | 21 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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