Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 5,805 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.0m 15s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into what’s cooking at Cape Schanck over the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, the first ten days or so are a total loss. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf starting Monday the 20th and running all the way through to the end of the month. The wind is all wrong – mostly cross or cross-onshore, and it’s ripping. The combined energy starts off weak to moderate, but by Thursday the 23rd, the swell is cranking with a combined energy of 5859 – that’s a whole lot of power. But the wind is a mess, so it’s just a big, lumpy, blown-out mess. The swell is 10ft from the SW with a 14-second period, which would be a dream, but the WSW wind is 31 mph. It’s not surfable for a paddleboard. Might be fun for a kite, but not for us. This pattern hangs around for days. The swell peaks on Friday the 24th with an 12ft SW swell and a 16-second period, combined energy hitting 7948, but the wind is a near gale from the WNW. It’s just brutal.
The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no shocks there.
We finally get a break in the weather on Saturday the 2nd of August. That’s the standout. Sunday morning the 2nd brings clear skies, a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the NNE at 9 mph, and a solid 8ft SW swell with a 13-second period. The combined energy is 2835, and it’s clean. This is a serious wave for experienced surfers only – over 8ft, that’s expert territory. The wind improves even more for Sunday afternoon: a glassy offshore from the NNE at just 3 mph, with the same 8ft SW swell, but the period stretches to 14 seconds and the energy jumps to 4610. It’s clean, it’s powerful, and it’s what you’ve been waiting for. This is a proper groundswell with a long period, so Cape Schanck, being a reef break, is going to handle that beautifully. It might be a bit of a paddle out between sets, but the shape will be there. Crowds are likely here, so get in early.
Monday the 3rd still looks good. The swell drops to 6ft from the SW with a 12-second period, and the wind is light and cross-off in the morning, turning glassy in the afternoon with an ESE breeze at 3 mph. That’s a much more manageable size for a wider range of surfers, and the conditions will be clean. The combined energy is 1044, so still a decent push.
Tuesday the 4th is a step down again, with 4ft SW swell and clean cross-off winds, but it’s marginal. So, the real highlight is that Sunday the 2nd – that’s your best bet. Lock it in.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Thu night, fresh winds from the W by Sat morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | WSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | NW 4 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 0 | 21 | 36 | 0 | 449 | 14 | 141 | 1805 | 3468 | 4110 | 5186 | 5577 | 4684 | 4023 | 3126 | 2445 | 1513 | 990 | 765 | 579 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 3:56PM1.76m | 4:30AM1.59m | 4:32PM1.70m | 5:18AM1.54m | 5:07PM1.62m | 6:04AM1.48m | 5:40PM1.53m | 6:52AM1.43m | 6:13PM1.44m | 7:43AM1.37m | 6:49PM1.36m | 8:42AM1.33m | 7:32PM1.29m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:18PM0.20m | 10:25AM0.40m | 10:59PM0.19m | 11:07AM0.52m | 11:39PM0.22m | 11:47AM0.64m | 00:17AM0.26m | 12:29PM0.74m | 00:58AM0.32m | 1:15PM0.83m | 1:43AM0.37m | 2:12PM0.91m | 2:35AM0.41m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — |
 | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 4 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SSW 18 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 587 | 461 | 367 | 895 | 711 | 449 | 545 | 141 | 1805 | 3468 | 32 | 5186 | 5577 | 4684 | 4023 | 3126 | 2445 | 1513 | 990 | 765 | 579 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 3 | WSW 15 | WSW 18 | SSW 14 | — | E 11 | WSW 15 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 279 | 32 | 36 | — | 2 | 21 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 612 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | WSW 12 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 14 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 4 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | WNW 4 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | — | — | WNW 4 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 893 | 1249 | 2391 | 4110 | 3447 | 21 | 3264 | 2883 | 1945 | 1645 | — | — | — | 8 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 48 | 49 | 52 | 52 | 473 | 52 | 473 | 470 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 13 | 2 | 17 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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