Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,586 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 12s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s heading our way for Cape Schanck. It’s a reef break, and it’s a consistent one, but we’ve got a bit of a wait before things get good.
The first week is a bit of a write-off, to be honest. A strong westerly breeze is going to mess up the surface for most of it, with the swell being a bit of a mess. There’s a bit of a pulse on the 7th of August, with a 5ft SW groundswell (period 16 seconds) showing up, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s only going to be marginal at best. The combined energy of all swells is moderate (1376), but the wind just kills it.
The real standout, the one you want to circle on the calendar, hits on the 13th of August. Thursday morning is looking like a proper session. We’ve got a solid 18ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period. That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is a moderate cross-shore from the NW, and it’s clean. The combined energy of all swells is massive (14856), so this is a big, powerful groundswell. Now, this is a reef break, so it will handle the size, but 18ft is well into expert territory. It’s going to be a wild day for the experienced crew.
Following that, the 15th of August, Saturday, is also a cracker. A smaller but still solid 5ft SW groundswell (period 15 seconds) with glassy conditions in the afternoon. The combined energy is moderate (1222). That’s a beautiful combination for a clean, fun surf. The 16th of August, Sunday, is also offering clean 5ft to 5ft SW swell with light offshore winds, making for a very good weekend.
The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a bust. The 13th of August is the big, powerful, expert-only standout. The 15th and 16th of August are your best bets for a clean, more manageable session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Tue morning, light winds from the WNW by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Fri morning, near gales from the N by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 20 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 241 | 431 | 1519 | 634 | 432 | 289 | 380 | 175 | 406 | 821 | 1267 | 966 | 742 | 1240 | 1317 | 953 | 676 | 681 | 575 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 3:14AM1.49m | 3:27PM1.65m | 3:54AM1.54m | 3:55PM1.64m | 4:35AM1.58m | 4:25PM1.62m | 5:20AM1.59m | 4:58PM1.60m | 6:09AM1.58m | 5:36PM1.57m | 7:06AM1.54m | 6:22PM1.52m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:14AM0.38m | 9:45PM0.30m | 9:50AM0.43m | 10:17PM0.22m | 10:28AM0.49m | 10:52PM0.16m | 11:08AM0.57m | 11:33PM0.11m | 11:53AM0.66m | 00:20AM0.10m | 12:45PM0.76m | 1:16AM0.12m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | |  |  | | | | | |  | |  | | | | |
 | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 11 | S 16 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 16 |
| kJ | 1349 | 634 | 20 | 634 | 432 | 289 | 380 | 175 | 406 | 522 | 1267 | 966 | 742 | 1240 | 1317 | 953 | 676 | 681 | 2151 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 13 | — | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 6 | SW 16 | WSW 20 | WSW 15 | SSW 6 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 6 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 20 |
| kJ | 241 | 431 | — | 154 | 239 | 284 | 54 | 163 | 38 | 275 | 58 | 446 | 516 | 8 | 48 | 44 | 20 | 51 | 575 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 16 | — | SW 21 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 5 | S 5 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 6 | S 7 | SSW 6 | — | — | — | — | SW 20 |
| kJ | — | 24 | — | 69 | 91 | 21 | 197 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 51 | 47 | 23 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 548 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 4 | SW 11 | — | SW 6 | SW 8 | WSW 6 | W 5 | W 4 | SW 14 | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 3 | N 4 | N 5 | WNW 4 | NW 4 |
| kJ | — | 28 | 1519 | — | 50 | 187 | 49 | 20 | 18 | 821 | — | — | — | 4 | 9 | 47 | 81 | 35 | 31 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 49 | 54 | 62 | 13 | 52 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 45 | 115 | 478 | 182 | 322 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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