Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, SW swell with 2,449 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 2.4m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 14s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a mixed bag coming up at Cape Schanck. Let’s break it down.
The week starts quiet, but things pick up on Friday the 17th. That’s our standout. We’ve got a solid 7ft south-west groundswell rolling in with a nice long 16-second period, pushing a heap of energy through. The real kicker is the wind – a clean, cross-off breeze out of the north-northwest. That’s going to groom the reef beautifully. The water’s sitting at 57°, which is about normal for this time of year. This is an advanced reef break, so it’s not for the faint-hearted, but for those with the skills, Friday morning and afternoon are looking excellent. The crowd can be a factor here, so be ready for company.
The Saturday (18th) is still very good, with a dropping 6ft south-west swell. The wind stays clean, and by the afternoon we get a glassy session with 5ft waves and light winds. It’ll be a bit more mellow but still a great time to be out.
That’s the pick of the window. After Sunday the 19th, the swell drops away hard and we run into a real flat spell. From Sunday the 19th through to Tuesday the 22nd, the energy levels are tiny, and the conditions are poor. You’re looking at a stretch of at least three or four days where you’d be better off doing something else.
Then, around Thursday the 23rd, a new pulse of south-west swell arrives, but it comes with strong onshore winds. The wave heights are up around 8ft to 10ft, and the energy is huge, but the wind is just wrecking it. It’s a choppy, blown-out mess. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for the majority of that period. The closing days of the month (27th to 30th) see the swell become inconsistent and small, with poor conditions and onshore flow.
So, in short: get your best waves Friday the 17th and maybe Saturday the 18th. After that, it’s a long wait for the next proper window.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 20 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | SW 13 | SE 10 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2439 | 2020 | 2125 | 2416 | 2372 | 1915 | 2035 | 2241 | 1563 | 1154 | 880 | 494 | 16 | 236 | 197 | 25 | 9 | 21 | 257 | 4 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:08PM1.67m | 11:29PM1.47m | 1:04PM1.73m | 00:41AM1.52m | 1:53PM1.78m | 1:46AM1.57m | 2:37PM1.80m | 2:45AM1.60m | 3:18PM1.79m | 3:39AM1.61m | 3:56PM1.76m | 4:30AM1.59m | 4:32PM1.70m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:04PM0.74m | 6:09AM0.04m | 7:05PM0.61m | 7:10AM0.05m | 8:00PM0.47m | 8:05AM0.10m | 8:49PM0.35m | 8:55AM0.18m | 9:35PM0.26m | 9:41AM0.28m | 10:18PM0.20m | 10:25AM0.40m | 10:59PM0.19m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  | | | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 |
| kJ | 2439 | 2020 | 2125 | 2416 | 2372 | 1915 | 2035 | 2241 | 1563 | 1154 | 880 | 494 | 358 | 236 | 147 | 532 | 229 | 367 | 257 | 400 | 504 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | SW 18 | SE 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 75 | — | — | — | 249 | — | 237 | 147 | 42 | 40 | — | — | 16 | 60 | 197 | 10 | 91 | 264 | 12 | 4 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | SE 10 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 75 | 22 | 25 | 9 | 21 | 4 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 17 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 2 | 22 | 41 | 2 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Cape Schanck surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest