
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 17s period, SW swell with 1,796 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 1.8m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 13s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright surfers, old Rusty here with a look at what's on the menu for Cape Schanck over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, so let's get into it.
The week starts off with some decent size, but the wind has other ideas. Sunday the 2nd of August has a solid 6ft SW groundswell, with a long 16-second period. The combined swell energy is a moderate 1744, so there's some grunt in the water. But that N wind is howling at 25 mph, blowing cross-offshore. It will keep the faces clean, but that's a stiff breeze to paddle against. The water is sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year. The afternoon offers much the same, just a touch smaller at 5ft.
Then we hit a rough stretch. From Monday the 3rd right through to Wednesday the 5th, it's a write-off. Rain showers and onshore winds will chop up any hope of a decent wave. We're looking at a real dud period. The swell drops right off on the Thursday morning the 6th, down to a feeble 2ft, but hold on... Thursday afternoon the wind goes glassy with a 3ft SW swell from the northwest at just 3 mph. It's small, but it's the only clean spell in a sea of crap. Worth a look if you're desperate for a paddle.
The real standout is Friday the 7th of August. We’ve got a solid 6ft+ SW groundswell with a 15-second period, packing a strong 1705 of combined energy. But the killer here is the wind: glassy, from the NNE at just 3 mph in the afternoon. This reef break will be absolutely firing, with lined-up sets and clean, peeling walls. For experienced surfers, this is the session to circle. Saturday the 8th is a consolation prize – still a clean 5ft+ from the SW under cross-offshore N winds, but the energy isn't as high and the wind is stronger at 18-22 mph.
After that, we get another lull. Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th of August see some big, unruly swell. Monday morning is pumping a massive 10ft at 17 seconds, with a whopping 7829 of energy, but it's onshore from the SSW at 25 mph. That’s not for paddling; that’s a full-on storm surf, and for a reef break like Cape Schanck, it's dangerous and messy.
Things settle back into a pattern of marginal conditions through the second week. The 13th of August has a massive 13ft SW swell, but again the wind is cross-shore, making it lumpy. That's too big for anyone but experts anyway. The 14th and 15th of August have manageable 8ft and 6ft swells, but the wind is never truly clean, with onshore or cross-shore components messing with the surface. It’s a long-range promise that looks more solid than surfable right now. There's nothing in the second week that stands up to that Friday the 7th.
So, get on it this Friday, because the rest of the run is looking pretty bleak. There will be enough to keep the kooks busy, but not much for the connoisseur.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Wed morning, calm by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 20 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1591 | 1297 | 1034 | 940 | 940 | 651 | 1010 | 1372 | 913 | 281 | 447 | 545 | 206 | 228 | 718 | 1456 | 1588 | 1796 | 1333 | 1164 | 915 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | on | on | on | on | on | cross | glassy | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:31PM1.63m | 2:33AM1.42m | 2:59PM1.65m | 3:14AM1.49m | 3:27PM1.65m | 3:54AM1.54m | 3:55PM1.64m | 4:35AM1.58m | 4:25PM1.62m | 5:20AM1.59m | 4:58PM1.60m | 6:09AM1.58m | 5:36PM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:45PM0.49m | 8:37AM0.35m | 9:15PM0.40m | 9:14AM0.38m | 9:45PM0.30m | 9:50AM0.43m | 10:17PM0.22m | 10:28AM0.49m | 10:52PM0.16m | 11:08AM0.57m | 11:33PM0.11m | 11:53AM0.66m | 00:20AM0.10m | ||||||||
7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | — | SW 21 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
1591 | 1297 | 1034 | 940 | 940 | 651 | 1010 | — | 154 | 281 | 447 | 545 | 178 | 228 | 718 | 1456 | 1588 | 1796 | 1333 | 1164 | 915 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | S 20 | SW 18 | — | — | S 21 | S 6 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | WSW 20 | WSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
153 | 140 | 75 | — | 7 | 192 | — | — | 9 | 38 | 284 | 192 | 206 | 196 | 407 | 261 | 794 | 99 | 83 | 49 | 49 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 4 | SW 21 | SW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 19 | — | — | SE 10 | — |
— | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 239 | 34 | 30 | 8 | 67 | 223 | 87 | 117 | — | — | 4 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | N 4 | NNW 3 | WNW 5 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WNW 4 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SSW 6 | SSW 5 | SW 5 | — | SW 4 | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 3 | NNW 4 |
9 | 6 | 10 | 48 | 45 | 75 | 5 | 1372 | 913 | 50 | 28 | 23 | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 27 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 41 | 34 | 22 | 48 | 49 | 17 | 17 | 62 | 21 | 21 | 41 | 13 | 17 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 45 | 70 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











