Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 6,728 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 14s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Look, we've got a bit of a rough start to the forecast for Cape Schanck, but there's a light at the end of the tunnel. The first few days are a write-off, so don't bother waxing up until later in the week. We're looking at a solid, clean window from Friday morning through to Saturday afternoon. That's your pick of the bunch.
It's a bit of a nervous wait though. Tuesday the 14th is a total mess—strong onshore winds and a big, jumbled 12 ft SW swell. The energy is massive (9929) but it's just ugly. Wednesday and Thursday are still marginal; the wind is better but still cross-shore, and the swell is dropping. You'll be wrestling a chop for a 8 ft wave. Not great.
Now, Friday the 17th morning is where it starts to get interesting. The wind swings to a light cross-offshore from the NNW, and we've got a clean 7 ft SW groundswell with a long 16-second period. The energy is solid (2278). The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year. This is a proper reef break, and experienced surfers will have a ball. The only downside? Crowds are often a thing here, so get in early.
Saturday the 18th morning is also a standout. It's glassy on Saturday afternoon with a light ENE breeze, but the morning is clean with a light cross-offshore. The swell drops to 6 ft, but it's still a clean, well-shaped wave from the SW. The energy eases to 1271, but it's way more user-friendly.
After Saturday, the size drops right off. Sunday the 19th is small (3 ft) and clean, but it's barely surfable. Then we've got a long gap of no good surf from Monday the 21st all the way through to the end of the month. There's a tiny window on Wednesday the 22nd afternoon with glassy conditions and a 4 ft SW swell, but it's weak (328) and probably not worth the drive. The rest of the second week is a mix of strong winds and tiny, weak swell. It's a blank run, for sure.
So, your best bet is Friday the 17th morning. That's the biggest, cleanest, and most powerful swell of the whole period. Saturday morning is a close second for a more relaxed session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5845 | 6082 | 4054 | 2439 | 2135 | 1947 | 1956 | 2010 | 1760 | 2009 | 2947 | 2028 | 1271 | 816 | 543 | 297 | 236 | 249 | 502 | 322 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:04AM1.61m | 10:11PM1.43m | 12:08PM1.67m | 11:29PM1.47m | 1:04PM1.73m | 00:41AM1.52m | 1:53PM1.78m | 1:46AM1.57m | 2:37PM1.80m | 2:45AM1.60m | 3:18PM1.79m | 3:39AM1.61m | 3:56PM1.76m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:53PM0.82m | 5:03AM0.05m | 6:04PM0.74m | 6:09AM0.04m | 7:05PM0.61m | 7:10AM0.05m | 8:00PM0.47m | 8:05AM0.10m | 8:49PM0.35m | 8:55AM0.18m | 9:35PM0.26m | 9:41AM0.28m | 10:18PM0.20m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — |
 | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | — | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 5845 | — | 4054 | 2439 | 2135 | 1947 | 1956 | 2010 | 1760 | 2009 | 2947 | 2028 | 1271 | 816 | 543 | 297 | 236 | 140 | 502 | 322 | 489 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | — | — | W 23 | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 12 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 131 | 43 | 44 | 167 | — | 284 | 149 | 140 | 340 | 125 | — | — | 10 | 41 | 97 | 249 | 25 | 36 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 20 | SW 20 | S 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 97 | 2 | 10 | 8 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | 4084 | 6082 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 52 | 473 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 15 | 2 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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