Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 7,048 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 9s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at what Cape Schanck is serving up over the next couple of weeks.
The big picture is a classic spring mix of solid SW groundswell pulses, but the wind is going to be the main character in this story. We’ve got some real windows of clean, lined-up reef waves, but we also have to wade through some howling onshores that will trash it. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so a standard 5/4 or steamer will be the go.
The standout session looks like Saturday the 12th. The morning is the pick of the whole run. We’re looking at a clean 2.3m SW groundswell (16-second period) with a light north wind coming cross-off the face. The wave energy is strong (2720), and that combo will set the reef up beautifully for experienced surfers. After lunch, the wind swings onshore and drops the quality, so make the most of that early window. A good crowd is likely, but it’s worth the company.
Before we get there, Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are write-offs. The swell is huge and raw, and a strong onshore wind is just mangling it. That 3m+ SW swell is too big and blown out for paddle surfing.
The following week has some promise. Thursday the 17th afternoon is looking excellent for advanced surfers. The swell drops to a clean 1.9m from the SW, with a light NNW cross-off wind. It’s clean and the wave energy is moderate (1443). Then Friday the 18th afternoon is another ripper. The swell bumps up to a solid 3.5m from the SW (9-second period), but with a light NNW cross-off, it will be clean again. That’s big, expert-only territory, but it will be a show if you’re a spectator.
Monday the 21st afternoon also stands out in the second week. The swell holds at a clean 1.9m from the SW, with light north winds keeping the face cross-off and smooth (1449 energy). That is a very solid option for the end of the run.
Watch out for the weekend of the 14th and 15th of September. The swell drops right off, and we get a bout of strong onshore wind. It’s flat and messy, likely better for kites than a surfboard.
From the 22nd onwards, the pattern gets messy. A huge pulse on the 23rd (over 3m SW) is hammered by onshore winds again. There is a potential window on the 24th with clean conditions, but the wind is stronger by then, so don’t hold your breath.
So, the call is simple: Saturday the 12th morning is the absolute best on offer, and Thursday the 17th afternoon, Friday the 18th afternoon, and Monday the 21st afternoon are the other solid windows for experienced surfers. Get amongst it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sat night, strong winds from the N by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 7812 | 5167 | 4016 | 2688 | 2010 | 2437 | 3039 | 2443 | 1882 | 1381 | 1006 | 927 | 543 | 363 | 257 | 109 | 3567 | 3369 | 2498 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:22AM1.43m | 10:13PM1.36m | 11:27AM1.47m | 11:36PM1.45m | 12:18PM1.53m | 00:41AM1.55m | 1:02PM1.59m | 1:33AM1.65m | 1:41PM1.62m | 2:18AM1.71m | 2:17PM1.63m | 2:59AM1.73m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:27AM0.37m | 4:24PM0.72m | 4:48AM0.39m | 5:35PM0.58m | 5:56AM0.38m | 6:30PM0.43m | 6:52AM0.37m | 7:16PM0.29m | 7:40AM0.37m | 7:57PM0.18m | 8:22AM0.39m | 8:35PM0.12m | |||||||
 |  | | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 7812 | 5167 | 4016 | 2688 | 2010 | 2437 | 3039 | 2443 | 1882 | 1381 | 1006 | 927 | 543 | 363 | 257 | 109 | — | 3369 | 2498 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 970 | 650 | 344 | — | — | 499 | 434 | 277 | 144 | 93 | 93 | 24 | 22 | 15 | 37 | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 14 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | N 3 | NW 3 | WSW 4 | SW 9 | SW 13 | SW 14 | — |
| kJ | 5122 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 1151 | 3567 | 2256 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 52 | 21 | 21 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 17 | 22 | 34 | 2 | 48 | 52 | 548 | 486 | 21 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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