Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 02 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
13.7°C
1.0° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 19s period, SW swell with 6,410 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.0m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 11s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful10PM (Wed 9th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Cape Schanck over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a rough start. We’re looking at a whole lot of wind and messy conditions for the first few days. Thursday the 3rd is a write-off with that fresh cross-onshore breeze and big, lumpy 8ft to 12ft SW swell. The energy is massive (2390 to 7898), but it’s all for nothing with that wind. Not a wave worth paddling for.

Friday the 4th is where it starts to get a little interesting. We’ve got a decent 10ft SW groundswell rolling in with a long 16-second period. The wind swings around to a cross-offshore from the NNW, which is cleaning things up nicely. It’s a big, powerful swell with moderate energy (5168 to 4737), so this is one for the experienced crew. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. If you’re an advanced surfer and you’ve got Friday free, this is the standout of the whole forecast. Cape Schanck is a reef break that’s consistent and fairly exposed, so it’ll handle this size. Just be aware it’s often crowded, so you won’t be alone.

Saturday the 5th is a total no-go. That near-gale cross-shore wind is going to shred any hope of a wave. Sunday the 6th might give you a little something with a clean 8ft to 7ft SW swell and light onshore wind, but it’s only marginal.

We get a bit of a lull through Monday and Tuesday the 7th and 8th, with small, messy swell and onshore winds. Not worth a look.

Now, looking further out, Thursday the 10th of September has a solid pulse of 10ft SW groundswell with a very long 18-second period. That’s a lot of energy (6724), but the wind is a cross-onshore, making it choppy. It’s a promising-looking swell that’s likely going to be too straight for the beachies, but at a reef like Cape Schanck, it could be a gem if the wind plays ball. Keep an eye on this one, but it’s a long-range call, so don’t bet the house on it.

The following week looks pretty average, with a lot of strong winds and messy conditions. Friday the 11th might offer a clean 6ft SW swell with cross-offshore winds, but it’s nothing special. After that, it’s mostly a write-off with strong breezes and near-gales.

So, to wrap it up: your best bet is this Friday the 4th for a clean, powerful swell. After that, hold out hope for the 10th, but don’t get your hopes up too high. The rest is a bit of a battle.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Fri afternoon, near gales from the W by Sat afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat night, min 8°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Sun night, strong winds from the WSW by Tue afternoon).

Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
2
3
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SW
14
2.4
SW
14
3.5
SW
14
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
16
3
SW
16
2.5
SW
16
2.2
SW
15
4
WSW
11
3.5
SW
13
2.4
SW
14
2.1
SW
13
1.7
SW
12
1.3
SW
12
1
SW
13
1.4
SW
13
1.3
SW
18
1.5
SW
17
1.8
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2544
2390
4666
5793
4891
4412
3415
2226
0
3557
2284
1568
833
440
326
669
1019
1282
1664
Wind (km/h)
35
NW
35
W
30
WSW
30
WNW
25
NNW
20
NNW
45
N
60
WNW
60
W
35
W
20
SW
10
WSW
15
NNW
25
WNW
35
S
20
SSW
20
WNW
30
SW
35
SSW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
on
on
High Tide
3:36AM1.71m
3:25PM1.65m
4:17AM1.72m
3:58PM1.64m
5:00AM1.69m
4:35PM1.62m
5:48AM1.62m
5:17PM1.57m
6:43AM1.54m
6:06PM1.50m
7:49AM1.46m
7:11PM1.41m
Low Tide
9:34AM0.44m
9:48PM0.07m
10:11AM0.49m
10:26PM0.04m
10:50AM0.57m
11:09PM0.05m
11:34AM0.65m
11:58PM0.11m
12:25PM0.74m
00:56AM0.20m
1:31PM0.80m
2:06AM0.30m
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
heavy rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:35
6:35
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:02
 mm
1
11
1
3
Temp °C
13
13
13
12
13
15
15
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
10
10
12
12
Feels °C
4
6
6
5
7
11
6
3
1
6
9
10
10
6
4
4
7
5
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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