Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, lookin’ at the stretch ahead for the back of the Peninsula. This is Cape Schanck, a solid reef break that needs a bit of respect. Water temp’s sittin’ around 57°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year – nothing weird goin’ on there.

Truth is, the first week and a half is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a heap of strong, messy wind and lumpy, blown-out conditions. The swell energy is high, but it’s wasted. Sunday the 6th kicks off with a 7ft SW swell, but that cross-onshore wind just chops it up. Monday and Tuesday are no better, with rain and howling wind. Wednesday the 9th sees a massive 12ft SW swell comin’ in, but with strong onshore winds, it’s just a washing machine. The energy readings are huge (5966 on Wednesday morning, 9518 on Wednesday afternoon), but it’s all for nothing. Thursday and Friday are more of the same – big swell, crap wind. Honestly, you’d be better off lookin’ at a kite for this stuff, because paddlin’ ain’t gonna be fun.

Now, the real standout comes on Saturday the 12th. That morning, we get a 8ft SW groundswell with a long 16-second period, and the wind switches to a light northerly, giving us a clean offshore breeze. The energy is strong at 2839. The afternoon gets even better – glassy conditions, with the wind droppin’ out completely. That’s the best window right there. This is a powerful, long-period swell, so the reef at Cape Schanck will handle it beautifully. It’s a consistent spot, but it’s advanced-only, and with clean conditions like that, it’ll be worth the paddle. Crowds are likely, so get in early.

The next big one to circle is Tuesday the 15th. The afternoon session is a cracker – a 10ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and a light offshore breeze from the NNE. That’s a big, powerful wave, definitely for experienced surfers only. The energy is 4476. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on the forecast, but it’s promisin’.

There’s a massive gap between Saturday the 12th and Tuesday the 15th, with nothing but wind and junk.

Then, on Monday the 21st, the afternoon looks exceptional. A 12ft SW groundswell with an 18-second period, ridin’ on a light offshore breeze. That’s an expert-only wave, and the energy is through the roof at 7045. It’s a long way off, but it’s got serious potential.

So, to wrap it up: if you’re an experienced surfer, Saturday the 12th is your best bet for clean, powerful waves. Tuesday the 15th afternoon is another big one to watch.

Rusty.

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