Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,838 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 16s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, this is Rusty.
Alright, look, to be straight with you, this 16-day outlook for Cape Schanck is a frustrating one. If you paddle out expecting anything decent before the middle of next week, you’re going to have a bad time. The whole first week is a write-off of messy, cross-onshore slop. The real chance for a session comes much later, so you’ll need some patience.
The first chance we get is on Sunday the 16th. Early morning, we’ll see a solid 6ft groundswell out of the southwest—14-second period, giving it some real grunt with moderate wave energy (1313). The big winner here is the wind: a light offshore breeze from the NNE will clean things right up. This is the standout window for the whole forecast. It’s a proper reef break setup and the conditions will be smooth. Just know that this spot can get crowded, so expect company if you try for a peak.
Monday the 17th keeps the swell going, 5ft to 5ft from the SW, with a clean cross-offshore wind. It’s a step down from Sunday but still a good, clean option for a paddle.
Tuesday the 18th morning offers another decent window: 4ft of SW groundswell with light offshore winds again, making for clean faces. By the afternoon, the cross-off breeze picks up, but it’s still surfable.
From there, the swell drops away sharply. Wednesday the 19th through to Saturday morning the 22nd are tiny—under 3ft—and a lot of those days are blown out by strong, cross-shore winds. This is a solid gap of poor conditions.
Later on Thursday the 27th, we finally see some potential come back into the picture. The afternoon is the last call in this window: a 6ft SW groundswell with 13-second period, offering good energy (1905). The wind turns light offshore from the north, and the report flags excellent conditions for experienced surfers. Given the longer period, this reef will handle it much better than a beach break would, shaping up nicely.
If you’re a beginner, keep away when the swell is over 5ft, which it is on Sunday the 16th and most of that next week.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Wed morning, light winds from the S by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2160 | 2796 | 4580 | 4777 | 4272 | 4218 | 3650 | 3367 | 3103 | 2491 | 2208 | 1624 | 1255 | 1147 | 898 | 852 | 1210 | 1155 | 648 | 621 | 424 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 10:45AM1.51m | 10:03PM1.39m | 11:51AM1.57m | 11:28PM1.44m | 12:45PM1.64m | 00:41AM1.52m | 1:31PM1.69m | 1:42AM1.60m | 2:12PM1.73m | 2:35AM1.65m | 2:50PM1.73m | 3:23AM1.67m | 3:25PM1.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:35PM0.82m | 4:53AM0.20m | 5:51PM0.69m | 6:02AM0.20m | 6:51PM0.54m | 7:02AM0.21m | 7:42PM0.38m | 7:54AM0.24m | 8:27PM0.25m | 8:40AM0.28m | 9:08PM0.17m | 9:22AM0.35m | 9:47PM0.13m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — |
 | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 4 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 2160 | 2796 | 4580 | 4777 | 4272 | 4218 | 3650 | 3367 | 3103 | 2491 | 2208 | 1624 | 1255 | 1147 | 898 | 852 | 1210 | 1155 | 648 | 621 | 424 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 19 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | SSW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | ESE 4 |
| kJ | — | 891 | — | 259 | 256 | 422 | 270 | 186 | 280 | 145 | 105 | 113 | 58 | 64 | — | 9 | 7 | 43 | 362 | 51 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | SE 5 | — | SSW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 53 | — | 6 | — | 24 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 5 | ESE 4 | — | ESE 5 | — | ESE 5 | — |
| kJ | 83 | 4543 | 3233 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 28 | — | 16 | — | 11 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 52 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 49 | 13 | 13 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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