Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
14.1° C
0.9° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 6,791 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 10s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 24th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the Cape Schanck area over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a rough start. The first several days are a write-off for paddle surfing. We're looking at a solid gap from Tuesday, July 21st all the way through to Sunday, July 26th with nothing worth paddling out for. The wind is just cruel, mostly cross-onshore or onshore, and when we do get a bit of swell, it's blown to pieces. You'd be better off staying home and checking the wax collection.

Things start to look a little more interesting around Monday morning, July 27th. The wind finally swings around to a cross-offshore from the NNW, and the water is cleaning up. Cape Schanck is a reef break, so it needs the right conditions. We're looking at small 4ft to 5ft swell from the SW, with a period around 10 seconds. The combined swell energy is weak, sitting at 274 (Monday morning) and 411 (Monday afternoon). It's not going to be pumping, but it'll be clean and rideable. The water temp is about 57°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

Now, if you're looking for the standout window, you gotta set your sights on Tuesday, July 28th. The morning is looking a bit rough with rain and a fresh breeze, but the Tuesday afternoon session is the one. We've got a solid 10ft swell from the SW, with a 12-second period. The combined energy jumps up to 4677, which is a healthy amount of power. The wind is from the North at 19 mph, giving us a clean, cross-off breeze. Now, this is a big swell – over 8ft – so this is strictly for the experienced crew. Beginners, stay on the sand. It's a reef break, and with that size, you need to know what you're doing. Also, keep in mind that Cape Schanck can get crowded, so expect some company.

Looking further out, there's a massive pulse of energy on Wednesday, July 29th with a 13ft swell from the SW and a 15-second period, but the wind is gonna be a problem. It's cross-shore and then onshore, making it messy. The combined energy is a whopping 6580, but the quality just isn't there for a good session. The forecast is a bit questionable for that day.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a bust. The best bet on the entire forecast is the Tuesday afternoon, July 28th, session at Cape Schanck. It's a big, powerful, clean swell for the experts. The other slim pickings are the clean but small mornings on Monday, July 27th. After that, it's a mix of big, messy swells and onshore winds that don't look good for surfing, but might be a bit of fun for the kite crew.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Tue afternoon, near gales from the WSW by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Sun afternoon).

Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.2
SW
12
1.3
WSW
12
0.7
SW
12
2
SW
11
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
13
3
SW
12
2.5
SW
12
2.5
SW
11
1.9
SW
11
1.6
SW
11
1.3
SW
11
1.1
SW
10
1.4
SW
10
1.1
WSW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
36
0
449
0
144
966
3285
3805
6527
6082
3936
3217
2457
1966
1510
882
568
368
270
377
86
Wind (km/h)
20
NNW
15
NNW
30
NNW
30
NW
35
WSW
35
WSW
40
WSW
50
W
50
SW
35
WNW
40
WNW
40
WNW
35
W
40
WSW
25
WSW
30
WNW
15
WNW
20
NW
25
NNW
25
NNW
35
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:32PM1.70m
5:18AM1.54m
5:07PM1.62m
6:04AM1.48m
5:40PM1.53m
6:52AM1.43m
6:13PM1.44m
7:43AM1.37m
6:49PM1.36m
8:42AM1.33m
7:32PM1.29m
9:50AM1.32m
8:29PM1.23m
Low Tide
10:25AM0.40m
10:59PM0.19m
11:07AM0.52m
11:39PM0.22m
11:47AM0.64m
00:17AM0.26m
12:29PM0.74m
00:58AM0.32m
1:15PM0.83m
1:43AM0.37m
2:12PM0.91m
2:35AM0.41m
3:25PM0.95m
3:37AM0.43m
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
 mm
3
6
3
2
4
2
2
2
1
1
Temp °C
12
14
12
13
12
10
10
11
12
11
12
13
13
13
12
13
14
13
15
16
13
Feels °C
7
10
6
6
5
5
-1
-1
1
3
3
5
6
5
4
8
11
9
10
10
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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