Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
14.3° C
1.1° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 7,301 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 11s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 14s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Sun 26th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 11s
Best Surf 7AM (Tue 28th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 9s
Most Powerful 1AM (Fri 24th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for Cape Schanck over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, and honestly, the first few days are a write-off. We’ve got a solid run of poor surf from Wednesday the 22nd all the way through to Sunday the 27th. That’s a nasty five-day gap with nothing worth paddling out for. The wind is howling from the west and southwest, and the ocean is just a lumpy, messy cross-onshore situation. The swell is there, but it’s all junk. You’d be better off staying in bed.

Things finally start to turn around on Monday the 27th. The wind swings around to the northwest, offering a clean, cross-off breeze. The morning is still a bit marginal, but by Monday afternoon, we’re looking at a clean 5ft of SW swell. It’s not huge, but it’s a start.

Now, the real standout. Eyes on Tuesday the 28th. We’ve got a solid 12ft SW swell rolling in. The wave energy is pumping hard, clocking in at (1874). The wind is a light, clean cross-off from the NNW. This is proper, powerful reef-break territory. That size is for experienced surfers only—this is not a beginner’s wave. The period is a touch short at 9 seconds, so it’ll be a bit more walled-up and punchy, but the conditions will be clean. This is the best on offer across the whole window.

Wednesday the 29th is also a cracker. Another 7ft of SW swell, but this time with a much longer 14-second period. That’s proper groundswell, and with a light ENE cross-off breeze, it’ll be glassy and lined up. The combined energy is strong at (2241). This is classic Cape Schanck reef, handling the long period beautifully. Another top call for the experienced crew.

Things hold through the end of the week. Thursday the 30th is smaller, around 5ft, but with a glassy morning and a 13-second period. It’ll be clean and fun. Friday the 31st is a bit of a dilemma. The morning has a 6ft SW swell with a massive 18-second period, but the wind is a cross-off from the east, which can be a bit tricky. The afternoon, however, is exceptional: 6ft, 17-second period, and a light glassy cross-off from the NNW. That’s an excellent window for the experienced surfer, with energy readings of (1653).

The first weekend of August offers a couple of nice, smaller days. Saturday the 1st has a clean 4ft SW swell with a 14-second period and light winds. It’s a good, cruisy day. But then Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd get blasted by strong northerly winds, so the surf turns poor again. The long-range stuff after that is just not worth chasing with the strong winds.

So, to sum it up: don’t even bother until Monday the 27th. The big standouts are Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th for the crew who can handle some size. The long-period swell on the 29th is the one that will be really special. Get out there if you can.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the NW on Tue night, near gales from the WSW by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri night, light winds from the NNW by Sun afternoon).

Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SW
12
0.1
E
10
1.1
SW
12
2.1
SW
11
3
SW
14
3
SW
14
4
SW
15
3.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
3
SW
13
2.5
SW
12
2.5
SW
12
2
SW
12
1.6
SW
11
1.5
SW
11
1.2
SW
11
1.1
SW
11
1.4
SW
11
3.5
WSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
449
2
335
1067
3285
3859
7301
5357
3866
3169
2218
1818
1034
629
515
319
258
488
0
Wind (km/h)
30
NNW
30
WNW
30
WSW
35
WSW
40
W
45
WSW
50
SW
35
W
40
WNW
35
WNW
35
WSW
35
WSW
25
WNW
20
W
15
WSW
20
NW
20
NNW
15
NNW
15
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
5:18AM1.54m
5:07PM1.62m
6:04AM1.48m
5:40PM1.53m
6:52AM1.43m
6:13PM1.44m
7:43AM1.37m
6:49PM1.36m
8:42AM1.33m
7:32PM1.29m
9:50AM1.32m
8:29PM1.23m
Low Tide
10:59PM0.19m
11:07AM0.52m
11:39PM0.22m
11:47AM0.64m
00:17AM0.26m
12:29PM0.74m
00:58AM0.32m
1:15PM0.83m
1:43AM0.37m
2:12PM0.91m
2:35AM0.41m
3:25PM0.95m
3:37AM0.43m
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
 mm
3
4
3
1
2
4
1
1
Temp °C
12
13
12
11
11
11
11
11
12
13
13
13
12
13
13
13
12
15
14
Feels °C
6
8
5
4
1
0
-1
3
3
5
6
6
7
9
11
10
8
12
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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