Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Issued: 3 pm 07 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
14.4° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 6,995 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.0m 15s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Wed 8th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 15s
Best Surf 7AM (Wed 8th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 15s
Most Powerful 7AM (Mon 13th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for Cape Schanck over the next couple of weeks. It’s a mixed bag, with a real standout session to get excited about early on, then a whole lot of wind and washouts to work through, but some hope way down the track if you’re patient.

We kick things off on Tuesday the 7th of July, but it’s nothing to write home about. There’s a 5ft SW swell with a 16-second period, so plenty of energy (combined energy of 1146), but the wind is a cross-shore from the SE at 6 mph, leaving it a bit average. The water’s sitting at 58°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a big deal, but nice to know.

The real standout comes Wednesday morning, the 8th of July. This is the one to circle. We’ve got a clean 5ft SW swell with a 19-second period, carrying serious power (combined energy of 2403) and a light offshore NE breeze at 6 mph. That offshore wind will set the reef up beautifully – glassy faces, proper lines. For an advanced spot like Cape Schanck, this is prime. The swell’s not too big, but with that long period, expect long, powerful rides. Paddling out should be manageable between sets. This is easily the best on offer.

Wednesday afternoon the 8th sees the swell bump up to 7ft (combined energy 2954), but the wind swings cross-shore from the SE at 6 mph, making conditions a bit messy. Still good wave height, but not as clean as the morning.

Thursday the 9th has a similar story. Morning brings a 5ft SW swell with a cross-offshore NNE breeze at 6 mph – clean enough, decent. The afternoon turns glassy with an easterly at 3 mph (combined energy 936), and the 4ft SW swell will be small but super smooth. Nice for a relaxing session.

From Friday the 10th onwards, things get tricky. We’ve got moderate cross-offshore winds and 5-5ft SW swell, but the wind picks up to 9 mph and the energy drops a bit. Not terrible, but nothing special.

Then from Saturday the 11th into the next week, it’s a write-off. Saturday sees near-gale northerly winds of 31 mph, and Sunday brings more gale-force cross-shore winds with tiny 2ft windswell (combined energy 17). The swell direction shifts NW with a period of just 4 seconds – that’s rubbish. Monday the 13th through Tuesday the 14th has solid 10-12ft SW groundswell (combined energy over 6000), but the wind is howling from the WSW at 19-28 mph, putting a huge cross-onshore chop on it. This is expert-only territory at best, and even then, it’s not worth it. If you’re into kite surfing, the setup might be more interesting than paddling.

Wednesday the 15th sees the swell ease to 8-10ft, but wind remains messy. There’s a glimmer on Thursday the 16th morning with a 8ft SW swell (16-second period, combined energy 3268) and a light cross-offshore northerly at 9 mph – that could be clean and powerful for experienced surfers. It’s the second-best window in the whole forecast. Thursday afternoon keeps the 7ft SW swell with lighter offshore winds, solid too.

Friday the 17th holds some promise with a 5ft SW swell and a 19-second period in the morning, but moderate northerly winds at 16 mph. The afternoon is again 7ft but gets a messy cross-shore chop.

From Saturday the 18th onward, it’s back to strong winds and poor conditions, with the occasional clean but small pulse. The weekend of the 19th has onshore gales and 7-7ft slop. By Monday the 20th, the swell drops to 5ft but winds are near-gale cross-offshore – too much wind for good paddle surfing.

The long-range looks pretty grim. The last week has consistent onshore winds and limited clean windows. The best bet is still that Wednesday morning, the 8th of July.

So wrap it up: Wednesday the 8th of July, early morning, Cape Schanck reef. 5ft SW groundswell at 19 seconds, light NE offshore, clean. That’s your winner. Get on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Fri afternoon, near gales from the NW by Sun morning).

Tue
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
3
4
3
3
4
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.4
SW
19
2.1
SW
18
1.8
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.2
WSW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.5
WSW
12
0.7
NW
4
1.2
NW
5
3.5
SW
13
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1096
962
1357
2714
1571
1041
757
1364
1171
979
676
0
0
0
17
73
4122
6827
6089
6265
5783
Wind (km/h)
10
SE
15
E
10
NE
10
SE
15
NE
10
NNE
5
E
10
N
15
N
15
NNW
30
N
50
N
45
WNW
45
W
50
NW
50
WNW
40
W
35
WNW
45
WNW
45
WSW
30
WSW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
off
cross
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
on
cross-on
High Tide
4:25PM1.62m
4:51AM1.42m
4:55PM1.59m
5:39AM1.46m
5:27PM1.56m
6:32AM1.49m
6:05PM1.52m
7:32AM1.51m
6:51PM1.49m
8:40AM1.53m
7:47PM1.45m
9:53AM1.56m
8:55PM1.43m
11:04AM1.61m
Low Tide
10:48PM0.40m
10:44AM0.49m
11:22PM0.32m
11:27AM0.57m
00:01AM0.25m
12:16PM0.66m
00:47AM0.18m
1:13PM0.75m
1:42AM0.13m
2:20PM0.83m
2:45AM0.10m
3:36PM0.85m
3:54AM0.08m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:12
5:13
5:13
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:16
 mm
7
1
3
4
1
2
Temp °C
13
12
10
11
11
9
11
11
11
13
11
12
11
10
12
12
11
12
13
13
12
Feels °C
10
7
8
7
7
8
9
9
6
9
5
1
2
0
1
2
3
3
4
4
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
16
1.5
SW
15
1.4
SW
19
2.1
SW
18
1.8
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.5
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.2
WSW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.5
WSW
12
2.5
WSW
14
2.4
WSW
13
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
3.5
SW
16
Energy kJ
1096
962
1357
2714
1571
1041
757
1364
1171
979
676
553
463
636
2662
1885
6827
6089
6265
5783
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
16
0.1
SW
24
1.4
SW
15
0.6
SSW
18
0.6
S
16
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SW
20
0.5
S
16
0.4
SSW
14
0.3
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
20
1.3
SSW
17
Energy kJ
50
22
784
240
186
82
136
135
67
35
127
928
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
12
0.6
S
19
0.2
ESE
11
0.3
SSW
15
Energy kJ
14
262
12
43
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
N
3
1
N
4
1.2
NNW
5
1.7
W
6
0.7
NW
4
1.2
NW
5
3.5
SW
13
3.5
WSW
16
0.7
WNW
4
0.6
NW
4
Energy kJ
5
38
61
225
17
73
4122
6917
15
9
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
3
1
3
2
1
1
8
5
2
4
6
Distance (km)
19
0
0
21
0
0
0
0
2
0
33
280
79
49
473
512
52
48
478
52
41
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
5
4
4
3
4
4
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
7
6
6
4
4
5
4
4
3
4
3
5
5
4
9
6
5
5
9
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
9
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
6
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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