Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 5,078 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 14s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright mates, Rusty here with a look at what’s on the cards for Cape Schanck over the next couple of weeks.
We’re starting off pretty grim, so don’t bother paddling out just yet. For the first few days, we’ve got strong winds and lumpy, blown-out conditions. The swell is pumping, with combined energy readings up to 4429 Monday and Tuesday, but it’s all onshore junk. Keep the board in the car.
Friday the 18th is where things start to look a bit more interesting. We’ll see a drop in size to around 5 ft from the SW, but the real story is the wind turning cross-offshore from the NNW. That’s going to clean things right up. The swell period stretches out to 13 seconds, giving it some proper groundswell shape and grunt. The combined energy is still solid at 1729, so there’s plenty of push. It’s a reef break here and it’s advanced, so you’ll want your wits about you. Crowds can be likely.
Tuesday the 22nd afternoon is the standout. We’ve got a clean 8 ft SW swell riding on a very long 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy rolling in. The combined energy is 3414, so it’s got some serious weight. The wind is cross-offshore from the N with just a gentle breeze. This is excellent for experienced surfers, but at over 8 ft, it’s strictly for the crew who know what they’re doing. That long period will make the sets pulse down the reef with real power.
There’s another promising window opening up on the 27th and 28th of September. On the 27th, we’re looking at another 8 ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period and cross-off winds from the ESE. That’s clean and powerful, but still for experienced hands. Then on Monday the 28th, we get a proper treat: offshore NNE winds at just 6 mph, with a 7 ft SW swell and a 16-second period. That’s glassy, clean, and pumping with a combined energy of 2260. That’s the one to circle on your calendar.
Outside of those sessions, there are a few marginal windows with cleaner cross-off winds, but the size drops off and the consistency isn’t there. Overall, a slow start leading to a couple of proper belters in the second week.
Stay tuned, the ocean’s waking up.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the SW by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Thu night, near gales from the N by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | WSW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 357 | 295 | 128 | 2995 | 4363 | 4555 | 3866 | 3612 | 2982 | 1855 | 1280 | 1102 | 961 | 1675 | 1273 | 1006 | 757 | 56 | 40 | 0 | 3521 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 1:41PM1.62m | 2:18AM1.71m | 2:17PM1.63m | 2:59AM1.73m | 2:52PM1.63m | 3:37AM1.71m | 3:24PM1.60m | 4:13AM1.66m | 3:55PM1.55m | 4:48AM1.58m | 4:25PM1.49m | 5:25AM1.50m | 4:56PM1.42m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:57PM0.18m | 8:22AM0.39m | 8:35PM0.12m | 9:00AM0.42m | 9:10PM0.11m | 9:35AM0.47m | 9:45PM0.14m | 10:08AM0.53m | 10:18PM0.19m | 10:41AM0.60m | 10:52PM0.27m | 11:14AM0.68m | 11:28PM0.35m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — |
 | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 20 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 13 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | — | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | — | — |
| kJ | 357 | 295 | 128 | — | — | 76 | 3866 | 3612 | 2982 | 1855 | 1280 | 1102 | 961 | 1675 | 1273 | 1006 | 757 | 430 | 1715 | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | WSW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | — | — | SSW 14 | SW 18 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 15 | 37 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 602 | 277 | — | — | 36 | 51 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 19 | S 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 37 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 162 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | W 6 | WSW 7 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | SW 5 | SW 5 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | WSW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 3 | 17 | 77 | 2995 | 4363 | 4555 | 2449 | 2390 | 1875 | — | 30 | 39 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 56 | 40 | 2400 | 3521 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 17 | 13 | 62 | 491 | 675 | 267 | 331 | 146 | 21 | 49 | 62 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 41 | 13 | 17 | 41 | 491 | 62 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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