
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 19s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 4,657 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 19s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 13s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming down the line for Cape Schanck.
Alright, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag over the next 16 days, but there is some solid swell on the cards, especially for the experienced crew. First thing to note: the water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—nothing wild, but a little bit of comfort if you’re suited up.
We kick off on Wednesday the 8th of July with a nice little pulse. The morning session is looking prime: a clean 5ft SW groundswell with a very long 19-second period, and a light NE offshore breeze. The combined wave energy is pumping at 2403, so there’s proper grunt in the water. This is excellent surf for the advanced surfer—Cape Schanck is a reef setup, and with that long period, it’ll be lining up nicely, though it might be a bit straight for some. The afternoon bumps up to 7ft from the SW, still a long 18 seconds, but the wind swings to a light cross-off ESE. Still clean, still meaty. Thursday the 9th holds decent at 5ft in the morning with light N wind, dropping to a glassy 4ft in the afternoon with a 3 mph easterly—that afternoon glass-off is a beauty. Friday the 10th is a bit smaller and more average, with 5ft and building northerly wind, but it’s still rideable.
Now, there’s a bleak patch from Saturday the 11th through to the start of the next week. Saturday and Sunday are blown out with near gale-force winds, and the swell disappears. Monday the 13th sees a big jump in size—10ft SW—but it’s all cross-onshore and messy, with strong winds. Tuesday the 14th has a massive 10ft SW swell at a very long 16 seconds, and the combined energy hits a staggering 4673, but it’s cross-off winds, so it might offer a window for the brave and skilled. Still, with that size and a reef, it’s experts only, and the wind is strong. Wednesday and Thursday the 15th and 16th are rough with onshore winds and messy conditions.
But then, hold on to your board. Friday the 17th of July brightens up big time. The morning delivers a clean 7ft SW groundswell with an 18-second period, a light easterly cross-off breeze, and a combined energy of 2790. That’s an excellent session for experienced surfers. The afternoon stays at 7ft with a light cross breeze, still very solid. Saturday the 18th also looks good—a clean 6ft SW in the morning with a gentle NNW cross-off. That’s quality stuff.
After that, the forecast turns sour again from Sunday the 19th, with strong winds and dropping swell, fading right down to nothing by Monday the 20th. Later in the week, around the 22nd and 23rd, there’s big messy swell from the SSW with short period and onshore winds—one for the kites, not the paddlers.
All in all, the standout window is the first two days (Wednesday and Thursday this week) and then the promise of Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th. That Friday morning with the clean 7ft and light offshore is probably the pick of the lot, but long-range calls are always less certain. The overnight crowds at Cape Schanck can be there often, so don’t expect to have it to yourself.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the N by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the W on Sat night, moderate winds from the W by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1357 | 2714 | 1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1171 | 979 | 614 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2914 | 3372 | 4284 | 4657 | 4295 | 0 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 4:55PM1.59m | 5:39AM1.46m | 5:27PM1.56m | 6:32AM1.49m | 6:05PM1.52m | 7:32AM1.51m | 6:51PM1.49m | 8:40AM1.53m | 7:47PM1.45m | 9:53AM1.56m | 8:55PM1.43m | 11:04AM1.61m | 10:11PM1.43m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:44AM0.49m | 11:22PM0.32m | 11:27AM0.57m | 00:01AM0.25m | 12:16PM0.66m | 00:47AM0.18m | 1:13PM0.75m | 1:42AM0.13m | 2:20PM0.83m | 2:45AM0.10m | 3:36PM0.85m | 3:54AM0.08m | 4:53PM0.82m | ||||||||
7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | |
— | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3 | 5 |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | W 24 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 |
1357 | 2714 | 1571 | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1171 | 979 | 614 | 476 | 463 | — | — | 11 | 2830 | 2914 | 3372 | 4284 | 4657 | 4295 | 3991 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SW 20 | S 16 | S 15 | — | S 16 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | SSW 16 | — |
784 | 240 | 186 | 82 | 134 | 134 | 38 | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | 101 | 72 | 133 | 154 | — | 344 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | — | — | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 19 | — | — | — | — |
262 | — | — | 12 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 96 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 5 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | NW 4 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | WSW 15 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 36 | 67 | 2429 | 4405 | 3772 | 24 | 59 | 49 | 16 | 16 | 35 | 5119 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 280 | 79 | 280 | 512 | 491 | 491 | 619 | 52 | 41 | 538 | 491 | 576 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










