Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SW swell with 9,945 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 15s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Bit of a mixed bag coming our way over the next couple of weeks, but there are a couple of windows that’ll get the stoke up.
We’re looking at a pretty rough start. The 5th is a write-off with howling cross-shore winds and messy, lumpy conditions. That carries into the 6th with onshore slop. Monday the 7th is more lumpy cross-onshore junk. We’re in a bit of a dry spell until Tuesday the 8th rolls around when things start to settle. That’s the first real window of interest, but the swell is on the small side with a very long 18-second period.
The standout window hits on Sunday the 13th. Cape Schanck (reef) will be the pick. We’ve got a solid 7.2ft groundswell out of the SW, with a period of 15 seconds that’ll unload with real power and shape. The wind is light and clean, cross-offshore, offering the kind of glassy lines that make a reef work. The combined wave energy is strong (2133) and it’s an advanced spot, so this is for surfers who know what they’re doing. The water’s about average temperature for the time of year, nothing wild. Crowds are often here, so expect company. The consistent nature of the break plus offshore wind makes this a clear winner.
Saturday the 12th is also worth a paddle for those who can handle it. Good size at 8.2ft with long period SW groundswell (18 seconds) and very light onshore wind. The combined energy is very strong (4525), but the light wind and long period power should still offer some memorable sets, especially during the morning session.
After that, the 14th and 15th see the swell drop right away into the knee-to-waist high range. The clean conditions stick around on the 15th and 16th but without much push. Thursday the 17th morning brings a nice offshore breeze and a clean 4ft SW swell, a fun size for a session on the right tide.
Don’t hold your breath for the 20th—it’s a week and a half away but looks messy on the forecast with onshore winds and a short-period, choppy setup.
For beginners, anything over 5ft is getting spicy; the bigger days on the 9th and 10th are well over 8ft, which means the reef is strictly expert territory, and with those heavy cross-onshore winds, it’s more of a showcase than a surf session.
For now, circle Sunday 13th. That’s the one to schedule around.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Sat night, light winds from the S by Mon afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue night, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, near gales from the SSW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 11 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3415 | 2329 | 1900 | 4631 | 2110 | 1368 | 576 | 287 | 772 | 975 | 901 | 1172 | 2061 | 5938 | 9945 | 8969 | 6760 | 4878 | 3353 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 5:00AM1.69m | 4:35PM1.62m | 5:48AM1.62m | 5:17PM1.57m | 6:43AM1.54m | 6:06PM1.50m | 7:49AM1.46m | 7:11PM1.41m | 9:06AM1.41m | 8:37PM1.35m | 10:22AM1.43m | 10:13PM1.36m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:26PM0.04m | 10:50AM0.57m | 11:09PM0.05m | 11:34AM0.65m | 11:58PM0.11m | 12:25PM0.74m | 00:56AM0.20m | 1:31PM0.80m | 2:06AM0.30m | 2:56PM0.80m | 3:27AM0.37m | 4:24PM0.72m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | |  | | | |
 | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — |
mm | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 22 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 3415 | 2329 | 1900 | — | 2110 | 1368 | 576 | 287 | 772 | 975 | 721 | 1172 | 2061 | 665 | 9945 | 8969 | 6760 | 4878 | 3353 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | — | — | S 8 | — | — | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 333 | 204 | — | — | 132 | — | — | 18 | 70 | 377 | 901 | 591 | 198 | 563 | 939 | 1133 | 767 | 823 | 314 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SW 20 | — | — | SW 22 | WSW 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | — | SSW 22 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | — | 18 | 43 | 37 | 62 | 59 | — | 157 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 11 | SW 9 | SSW 7 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SSW 7 | — | — | — | SW 5 | SW 16 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 13 | 54 | 94 | 4631 | 449 | 73 | 86 | 141 | 123 | — | — | — | 57 | 5938 | 6366 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 41 | 383 | 478 | 267 | 48 | 21 | 52 | 331 | 21 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 52 | 592 | 1505 | 52 | 52 | 283 | 13 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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