Cape Schanck Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.50° S 144.89° E

Cape Schanck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 22 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Schanck sea temperature is
13.6°C
1.0° 

Cape Schanck surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Schanck surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 17s period, SW swell with 2,794 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 2.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 18s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Sun 23rd Aug)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Best Surf 1PM (Sun 23rd Aug)7ft (2.1m) 14s
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 28th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming our way for the next couple of weeks. The standout spot is Cape Schanck, a solid reef break that's consistent and fairly exposed to the SW swells. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there. Don't expect much right now, but there are a couple of windows that'll get the heart pumping.

The first real chance to paddle out comes Sunday the 23rd. Sunday morning we've got a clean 8ft SW groundswell with a 14-second period and a moderate 2503 combined energy. Winds are cross-off from the NNW at 9 mph, so it'll be clean but a bit tricky with the tide. It's big and powerful, over 5ft, so this one's for experienced surfers only. Sunday afternoon drops a touch to 6ft but the wind goes light N at 3 mph, making for glassy conditions and a still hefty 1793 combined energy. That afternoon session is the pick of the weekend, clean and lined up.

Monday the 24th is a write-off with strong N winds at 18 mph and a messy cross-off breeze. The swell drops to 5ft with a weak 874 combined energy and marginal conditions. Tuesday the 25th morning is the next flicker of hope: a clean 6ft SW groundswell with 13-second period and 1005 combined energy. ENE winds at 9 mph keep it cross-off and clean. But Tuesday afternoon the wind swings onshore from the WSW at 12 mph, and the quality tanks.

Wednesday the 26th and Thursday the 27th morning are dominated by onshore and cross-shore winds, making for poor surf despite some decent swell sizes (7ft on Wednesday afternoon). Thursday afternoon though, we get a surprise: a clean 4ft SW groundswell with 14-second period, light N winds at 9 mph, and 708 combined energy. It's not huge but it'll be super clean and a good option for a cruiser session.

Friday the 28th morning is flat and poor, but Friday afternoon sees a jump to 7ft with a very long 17-second period and a huge 2910 combined energy. However, winds are cross-onshore from the SSE at 9 mph, making it choppy and marginal. It's powerful but messy – one for the big wave crew with patience.

The following week is a mixed bag. Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th are largely onshore and poor, though Sunday morning has a clean cross-off 5ft with 13-second period and 1804 combined energy – worth a look if the wind holds. Sunday afternoon sees a massive 8ft, 16-second period swell with 4462 combined energy, but it's onshore and unknown quality.

Monday the 31st is your best bet in this second week: morning brings a clean 8ft SW groundswell with 15-second period and 2502 combined energy, with cross-off NW winds at 12 mph. It's a powerful groundswell, so the reef at Cape Schanck will handle it beautifully, but expect some crowd factor – it can get busy. The afternoon drops a touch to 7ft but with a light cross-on breeze. Tuesday the 1st of September gets blown out by strong NW winds, and Wednesday the 2nd morning sees a brief clean window with offshore NNE winds at 12 mph, 7ft swell, and 1316 combined energy – that's the sleeper pick for the week if you can sneak out.

After that, it's a wall of strong cross-shore and onshore winds through Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th, with massive 12ft SW swells but terrible conditions. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Saturday the 5th morning returns to clean cross-off conditions with a 7ft groundswell at 14 seconds and 1710 combined energy – a solid session if you're keen. But the following days drop off into poor wind and small, weak swell.

Overall, the standout is Sunday the 23rd afternoon and Monday the 31st morning. Both offer clean, powerful SW groundswell with solid energy and offshore or light winds. The 31st is a bit further out, so keep an eye on it, but it's promising. For the rest, there are a few clean windows but nothing that'll blow you away.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sun night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Tue night, light winds from the S by Fri afternoon).

Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
4
3
1
2
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SW
14
2.3
SW
14
1.8
SW
13
1.8
SW
16
1.5
SW
14
1.4
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
1.7
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
1.6
SW
14
1.4
SW
14
2
SW
13
1.5
SW
11
1.2
SW
12
1.1
SW
14
1.3
SW
20
1
SW
10
2.2
SW
17
2
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3261
1919
1197
1602
874
704
710
954
710
992
731
1286
505
396
440
1223
196
2794
1958
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
15
NNW
5
N
20
NNW
30
N
25
N
15
NE
15
ENE
20
WSW
30
WSW
30
WSW
30
SW
15
WNW
20
NW
15
N
25
NW
20
NW
15
SSE
15
SW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
on
High Tide
6:51AM1.38m
6:04PM1.37m
7:47AM1.31m
6:44PM1.29m
8:59AM1.27m
7:41PM1.21m
10:20AM1.29m
9:06PM1.17m
11:26AM1.34m
10:40PM1.18m
12:14PM1.41m
11:52PM1.26m
Low Tide
00:11AM0.32m
12:26PM0.81m
00:53AM0.40m
1:16PM0.89m
1:46AM0.46m
2:29PM0.95m
2:53AM0.50m
4:09PM0.95m
4:09AM0.51m
5:29PM0.87m
5:17AM0.49m
6:22PM0.75m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
light rain
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:50
5:51
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:53
 mm
4
7
1
Temp °C
11
11
15
13
14
16
16
12
13
12
12
12
11
12
15
13
11
12
11
Feels °C
6
7
12
9
8
11
11
10
8
5
5
6
7
8
12
10
8
10
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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