
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 3,051 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 15s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ up for Cape Schanck.
The next couple of days are looking pretty tidy, with a nice run of clean, long-period SW groundswell and light winds. Water temp is sitting at 58°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a bad thing if you’re in a decent steamer.
Monday the 6th kicks it off with a glassy morning. A 5ft SW swell with a 14-second period and a light NNE breeze is gonna make for some clean, lined-up reef waves. The combined energy’s in the moderate zone (1020), so there’s plenty of push but not too wild. Monday afternoon goes glassy with a light SSW wind and a 4ft SW swell, still clean as a whistle. This is a solid start.
Tuesday the 7th morning keeps it clean with a 3ft SW groundswell, 17 seconds period, and a light N cross-off breeze. Combined energy’s at 845 – not huge, but that long period will give you some nice, grinding lines on the reef. Tuesday afternoon gets a bit tricky with a cross-shore wind and a 5ft SW swell, so it’s a bit more average.
Now, Wednesday the 8th is the standout. The morning session is the pick of the whole forecast. We’ve got a 5ft SW swell, a very long 19-second period, and a light ENE cross-off breeze. The combined energy is strong at 2403, so there’s real grunt behind those waves. This is excellent, powerful surf for experienced surfers. That long period will make it a bit wonky at some beach breaks, but on this reef, it’ll be pure magic. Crowds are often around here, so get in early.
Thursday the 9th still has some good clean waves in the morning and afternoon, with 5ft to 4ft SW swell and light offshore or cross-off winds. Friday the 10th is a bit more marginal, but there’s still a 5ft SW swell in the morning and a 5ft one in the afternoon, with clean conditions.
The wheels fall off a bit from Saturday the 11th. Strong N winds hit 28 mph, dropping the swell to nothing by the afternoon. Sunday the 12th is a write-off with near-gale winds and a tiny windswell. We’ve then got a run of poor conditions through the middle of the second week, with strong onshore winds and sizable but messy SW swell up to 10ft. That’s expert-only, blown-out stuff.
Things look a little more promising again on the weekend of the 19th and 20th. Saturday the 18th offers a 4ft SW groundswell with a clean cross-off breeze, and Sunday the 19th morning has a 6ft SW swell with a moderate breeze. It’s not the cleanest, but it’s a step back in the right direction after the windy middle week.
The rest of the second week is mostly average to poor, with a few small, short-period waves and strong winds. The only real standout is Wednesday the 8th morning – that’s the one to circle on the calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue night, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Thu afternoon, near gales from the N by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SE 10 | WSW 12 | E 6 | W 4 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1006 | 726 | 398 | 568 | 1096 | 1062 | 1357 | 2714 | 1571 | 952 | 757 | 1312 | 1164 | 979 | 0 | 521 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:57PM1.64m | 4:08AM1.39m | 4:25PM1.62m | 4:51AM1.42m | 4:55PM1.59m | 5:39AM1.46m | 5:27PM1.56m | 6:32AM1.49m | 6:05PM1.52m | 7:32AM1.51m | 6:51PM1.49m | 8:40AM1.53m | 7:47PM1.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:16PM0.47m | 10:05AM0.42m | 10:48PM0.40m | 10:44AM0.49m | 11:22PM0.32m | 11:27AM0.57m | 00:01AM0.25m | 12:16PM0.66m | 00:47AM0.18m | 1:13PM0.75m | 1:42AM0.13m | 2:20PM0.83m | 2:45AM0.10m | ||||||||
7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | |
— | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
Temp °C | 9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 6 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 16 |
1006 | 726 | 398 | 568 | 1096 | 1062 | 1357 | 2714 | 1571 | 952 | 757 | 1312 | 1164 | 979 | 720 | 521 | 431 | 299 | 304 | 251 | 1692 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SE 5 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SW 24 | SW 15 | SSW 18 | ESE 5 | SE 5 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 15 | S 14 | — | — | — | SE 10 | WSW 5 | SW 18 | NW 4 |
14 | 4 | 59 | 277 | 50 | 22 | 784 | 240 | 14 | 3 | 42 | 370 | 74 | 34 | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 79 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 4 | — | — | ESE 12 | S 19 | — | — | SSW 15 | SE 4 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 6 | — |
— | — | 3 | — | — | 14 | 262 | — | — | 93 | 4 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | N 3 | NNW 4 | N 5 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | W 4 |
9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 8 | 22 | 60 | 14 | 3 | 19 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 77 | 115 | 182 | 478 | 49 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










