
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,498 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 15s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Cape Schanck.
Look, I’m not gonna lie to you – the next couple of weeks are a mixed bag, and it takes a while to get going. The first few days are a write-off. Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th are a total no-go, with howling cross-shore winds and a messy, dangerous ocean. The combined energy on Monday is insane – over 5,600 (5617) – but it’s completely unsurfable. We’re looking at a solid gap of silence until the middle of the week.
The first real hope shows up on Wednesday the 15th, but it’s only just on the edge of worth it. The swell is still a bit of a beast at 8ft, period is 14 seconds, and it’s coming from the SW, which is what Cape Schanck likes. The wind is still cross-shore though, so it’s lumpy. The energy is high (2484), but it's a "marginal" call. You’d be out there for the challenge, not the perfection.
Things start to come together for the standout window. Thursday the 16th afternoon is where it’s at. The wind drops to pure glass – zero, calm. The swell is a solid 7ft from the SW, period 14 seconds. The combined energy is 1,873 – that’s moderate to strong, but with glassy conditions, this reef setup will be offering some proper, powerful lines. It’s an advanced wave at that size, but for the experienced crew, this is the real deal. The water’s sitting at 57°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so no shock there.
Friday the 17th is your other true standout. Morning has a light cross-off wind from the NNW, and the swell bumps up to 8ft with a 16-second period. The energy is 2,701 – that’s a lot of water moving. The direction is pure SW, right on the optimum for this place. The afternoon goes glassy again. This is big, powerful, clean groundswell. For a point or reef like this, that long period is a gift. It will be a bit of a paddle out between sets, but the waves will be worth the wait. Expect crowds here – it’s marked as "often" busy, and for good reason when it’s like this.
After that peak, it drops off. Saturday the 18th is still clean but smaller, around 4-5ft, and the energy drops to 560-816. It’s still fun, but not the standout. Then from Sunday the 19th right through to the end of July, it’s a long, frustrating stretch. The wind picks up again, mostly strong cross-off or cross-shore, and the swell gets inconsistent or messy. There are a few moments with some swell (like the 25th sees 7ft and 2,819 energy), but the wind is screaming at 25 mph, turning it into a mess. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddling one.
So, the only two windows to really lock in are Thursday afternoon the 16th and all of Friday the 17th. That’s your best chance for a memorable session. Get on it.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WNW on Sun morning, moderate winds from the WNW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed night, min 10°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | SW 22 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 23 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
80 | 20 | 0 | 5549 | 6051 | 7867 | 5714 | 4668 | 3444 | 2326 | 1770 | 1343 | 1443 | 1688 | 2237 | 2484 | 2102 | 1289 | 816 | 560 | 21 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:47PM1.45m | 9:53AM1.56m | 8:55PM1.43m | 11:04AM1.61m | 10:11PM1.43m | 12:08PM1.67m | 11:29PM1.47m | 1:04PM1.73m | 00:41AM1.52m | 1:53PM1.78m | 1:46AM1.57m | 2:37PM1.80m | 2:45AM1.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:20PM0.83m | 2:45AM0.10m | 3:36PM0.85m | 3:54AM0.08m | 4:53PM0.82m | 5:03AM0.05m | 6:04PM0.74m | 6:09AM0.04m | 7:05PM0.61m | 7:10AM0.05m | 8:00PM0.47m | 8:05AM0.10m | 8:49PM0.35m | ||||||||
7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | |
— | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | |
mm | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | SW 22 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
2047 | 20 | 3722 | 5549 | 6051 | 7867 | 5714 | 4668 | 3444 | 2326 | 1770 | 1343 | 1443 | 1688 | 2237 | 2484 | 2102 | 1289 | 816 | 560 | 388 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | SSW 15 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | — | — | SW 22 | SSW 14 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SW 23 |
— | — | — | — | 73 | — | 252 | — | 144 | 158 | — | — | 18 | 81 | — | 217 | 123 | — | — | — | 21 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 23 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | WSW 12 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
80 | 3358 | 37 | 68 | 73 | 9125 | 6440 | 3013 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 478 | 683 | 78 | 280 | 540 | 48 | 52 | 52 | 13 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










