Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 17s period, SW swell with 4,881 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 17s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Well, it’s a bit of a mixed bag on the Mornington Peninsula over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a big gap of no-good surf to kick things off, and then a solid run of clean, powerful swell coming through the middle of the period. You’ll need to be patient, but the rewards are there.
The first couple of days are pretty cooked. Sunday the 9th has a bit of swell, but it’s messy with a fresh cross-offshore wind and the water temp sitting at 57°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. Not one for the quiver. Monday and Tuesday see the swell building but with onshore and cross-shore winds, it’s just not worth paddling out.
The real action starts to shape up from Saturday the 16th of August. Sunday the 16th morning is where it kicks off proper. Cape Schanck is the spot. The swell is a clean 6ft from the SW, with a long 14-second period, giving it good shape and energy (1238 combined energy). The wind is a light offshore from the ENE – glassy, clean, perfect conditions. This is a consistent, advanced reef break, and with crowds often here, get in early to avoid the crew.
Things hold solid into the start of the following week. Monday the 18th morning is another standout. The swell drops a touch to 5ft from the SW, but the period stretches to 15 seconds and the energy is still 993. The wind is light from the north, cross-offshore and clean. That’s more of the same quality, just a little smaller. Then Wednesday the 19th morning is the big one. Swell is 5ft from the SW, 16-second period, generating a solid 1417 combined energy. The wind is straight offshore from the NE and light. This is excellent, powerful surf, but at this size – under 8ft – it’s still manageable for experienced surfers. It’s the best on offer across the whole forecast.
After that, Thursday the 20th drops away, and the last few days of the forecast get blown out with gale-force winds and sloppy, onshore junk. There’s a big lull right at the end, with hardly any swell showing. So don’t get caught out – the window is mid-month, and it’s a cracker while it lasts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Sun night, strong winds from the NNW by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Wed night, light winds from the SW by Sat morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 347 | 711 | 2612 | 2719 | 3745 | 821 | 1130 | 1238 | 3990 | 2297 | 3634 | 3246 | 3604 | 2754 | 4823 | 3820 | 2697 | 1968 | 1760 | 1463 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:22PM1.52m | 8:13AM1.50m | 7:20PM1.46m | 9:29AM1.48m | 8:34PM1.41m | 10:45AM1.51m | 10:03PM1.39m | 11:51AM1.57m | 11:28PM1.44m | 12:45PM1.64m | 00:41AM1.52m | 1:31PM1.69m | 1:42AM1.60m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:16AM0.12m | 1:49PM0.84m | 2:22AM0.16m | 3:09PM0.87m | 3:37AM0.19m | 4:35PM0.82m | 4:53AM0.20m | 5:51PM0.69m | 6:02AM0.20m | 6:51PM0.54m | 7:02AM0.21m | 7:42PM0.38m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | |  | | | | | |  | |  | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | 2 | 20 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 19 | WSW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 347 | 711 | 2612 | 2171 | 83 | 821 | 1130 | 1238 | 191 | 2297 | 3634 | 3246 | 3604 | 2754 | 4823 | 3820 | 2697 | 1968 | 1760 | 1463 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | — | WSW 8 | SW 7 | SSW 17 | — | SW 8 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 154 | 598 | 143 | 119 | — | 186 | 48 | 115 | — | 463 | 31 | 277 | — | — | 689 | 344 | 280 | 261 | 191 | 223 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 4 | NW 4 | — | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 3 | NNE 3 | NNW 4 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 8 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | SW 16 | — | WSW 16 | NW 3 | WSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 6 | 2 | 11 | 2719 | 3745 | 266 | 11 | 37 | 3990 | — | 4225 | 5 | 4190 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 40 | 0 | 41 | 322 | 52 | 41 | 41 | 280 | 52 | 13 | 13 | 23 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 21 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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