Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 5,639 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.0m 13s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the menu for Cape Schanck over the next couple of weeks. It’s a mixed bag, with a couple of real gems if you time it right.
The forecast starts this Thursday, 9th July, with a 5-foot SW groundswell at a long 16 seconds. The combined energy is pumping at 1135 (moderate-to-strong), and a light NNE cross-off breeze at 6 mph will keep it clean. Water temp is 58°F, right about average for this time of year. That afternoon, the swell drops to 4 feet, still with a long 15-second period, and the wind goes glassy out of the east at just 3 mph. That’s a beautiful session—Thursday is the early standout.
Friday morning, 10th July, bumps up to 5 feet SW swell, 15-second period, with north wind at 9 mph, cross-off. Still clean, with energy at 1100. The afternoon holds 5 feet with lighter north wind—good, but not as good as Thursday.
Then things get rough. Saturday, 11th July, is a write-off—tiny 3 feet swell in the arvo with a gale-force north wind at 31 mph. Sunday and Monday are even worse, with strong winds and messy cross-chop. There’s a big 10-foot SW swell on Monday, 13th July, with energy of 3800, but the wind is howling at 28 mph from the NW. That’s a kite-surfing setup, not for paddling. Tuesday, 14th July, brings the biggest swell of the period—12 feet SW at 16 seconds, energy of 8842—but with 19 mph onshore wind and rain. Only for the experienced.
We’ve got a blank run from Saturday, 11th July, right through to Wednesday, 15th July, where the surf is either too small, too windy, or just messy. Quality picks up a bit Wednesday arvo with 8 feet SW swell and lighter winds, but it’s still lumpy.
Now here’s the real standout. Friday, 17th July, serves up a 6-foot SW groundswell with a long 16-second period, energy of 1703, and a light offshore NNE breeze at 6 mph. That’s clean, powerful, and lined up. Cape Schanck is a reef break, consistent, and this groundswell will deliver long walls. The afternoon goes glassy again with a 3 mph SSE breeze—absolutely pristine. This is the best session on offer. Saturday, 18th July, also holds 7 feet SW swell, 15-second period, with cross-off wind, so it’s a solid option too.
The second week gets shaky. Sunday, 19th July, has clean 4 feet swell but with fresh north wind. Monday, 20th July, is blown out. Tuesday, 21st July, shows hope with 6 feet SW swell and light north wind, but the energy is moderate. The rest of the week into 24th July is mostly onshore wind and small surf.
The real gold is Thursday, 9th July, and Friday, 17th July. Thursday’s glassy arvo and that Friday morning offshore session with the long-period groundswell are the two standouts. If you can only paddle out once, make it Friday, 17th July.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, near gales from the N by Sat afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WNW on Sun morning, moderate winds from the WNW by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | S 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 6 | NW 5 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1062 | 993 | 14 | 0 | 390 | 241 | 106 | 0 | 3045 | 3595 | 2873 | 5227 | 5324 | 5218 | 4569 | 3586 | 2614 | 1363 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:27PM1.56m | 6:32AM1.49m | 6:05PM1.52m | 7:32AM1.51m | 6:51PM1.49m | 8:40AM1.53m | 7:47PM1.45m | 9:53AM1.56m | 8:55PM1.43m | 11:04AM1.61m | 10:11PM1.43m | 12:08PM1.67m | 11:29PM1.47m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:27AM0.57m | 00:01AM0.25m | 12:16PM0.66m | 00:47AM0.18m | 1:13PM0.75m | 1:42AM0.13m | 2:20PM0.83m | 2:45AM0.10m | 3:36PM0.85m | 3:54AM0.08m | 4:53PM0.82m | 5:03AM0.05m | 6:04PM0.74m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  | |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — |
 | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | — | SW 13 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1041 | 757 | 1347 | 1062 | 993 | 701 | 476 | 390 | 504 | 3088 | — | 3045 | 3595 | 2873 | 5227 | 5324 | 5218 | 4569 | 3586 | 2614 | 1363 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 20 | S 16 | S 15 | — | S 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SW 19 | — | SSW 15 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — |
| kJ | 82 | 186 | 134 | 38 | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 151 | 358 | — | 318 | — | 217 | 125 | 120 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 12 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | W 6 | NW 5 | WSW 13 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 15 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | SE 6 | SE 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 18 | 52 | 241 | 106 | 5989 | 22 | 54 | 83 | 3352 | — | 3624 | 2925 | — | 58 | 49 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 54 | 287 | 470 | 512 | 512 | 78 | 280 | 683 | 49 | 49 | 48 | 322 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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