
Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 6,892 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 13s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Cape Schanck over the next couple of weeks.
This outlook starts with a bit of a hiccup – the first decent surf won’t show until the morning of Friday, 10 July, and even then it’s got a bit of a question mark over it. After that, we’ve got a rough patch of weather from Saturday, 11 July through to Tuesday, 14 July that’s basically a write-off. Then things start to settle, but the real quality action is tucked away.
The absolute standout is the afternoon of Friday, 17 July. The wind’s light and offshore, giving you clean lines. We’re looking at a solid 6ft SW groundswell with a very long period of 16 seconds – that’s proper energy moving through. The combined energy reading is 1897, which is moderate, but the quality of the wave will feel way better than that number suggests. This is a reef break, so that long period is going to wrap in beautifully. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no drama there. This is the one to circle on the calendar – it’s for experienced surfers, and because it’s often crowded, you’ll want to get in early.
The second best is the afternoon of Thursday, 23 July. Another clean session with light offshore winds, a 6ft SW swell, and a period of 15 seconds. The energy is 1755, making it a strong, grunty wave. Again, this is a reef break that’ll handle the long period well. It’s another day for the advanced crew.
For the rest of the run, you’ve got a few mornings and afternoons with clean, cross-off winds and moderate swell in the 5ft to 8ft range, but they’re rated as “marginal” for tide or quality. The days around the 15th and 16th are worth a look if you’re desperate – clean, gentle breeze, but the swell’s shorter period and not as intense. The big storm swell from the 13th and 14th is a no-go – strong winds and messy, dangerous conditions, especially when it hits 10ft to 13ft. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, the wind ruins it.
The final week, from the 20th onward, fades into smaller, weaker swells with strong winds, so don’t hold your breath. The afternoon of Wednesday, 22 July has a clean 4ft swell with a 10-second period, but it’s tiny and weak. Not worth a dedicated trip unless you’re a longboarder having a lazy one.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Thu night, near gales from the NW by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sun night, light winds from the WNW by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thu 16 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | S 14 | W 5 | NW 5 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1347 | 1171 | 979 | 35 | 0 | 16 | 141 | 80 | 0 | 2955 | 3468 | 3614 | 6402 | 6554 | 5255 | 4893 | 2863 | 2285 | 1641 | 1163 | 862 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | on | on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:32AM1.49m | 6:05PM1.52m | 7:32AM1.51m | 6:51PM1.49m | 8:40AM1.53m | 7:47PM1.45m | 9:53AM1.56m | 8:55PM1.43m | 11:04AM1.61m | 10:11PM1.43m | 12:08PM1.67m | 11:29PM1.47m | 1:04PM1.73m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 00:01AM0.25m | 12:16PM0.66m | 00:47AM0.18m | 1:13PM0.75m | 1:42AM0.13m | 2:20PM0.83m | 2:45AM0.10m | 3:36PM0.85m | 3:54AM0.08m | 4:53PM0.82m | 5:03AM0.05m | 6:04PM0.74m | 6:09AM0.04m | ||||||||
— | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | |
— | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | — | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 15 | — | — | SW 15 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
1347 | 1171 | 979 | 701 | 476 | 352 | 591 | 2919 | — | 2955 | 3468 | 3614 | — | — | 5255 | 138 | 2863 | 2285 | 1641 | 1163 | 862 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | — | SSW 13 | — | S 14 | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | — | SW 15 | SW 21 |
134 | 38 | — | 35 | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | 131 | 133 | — | — | — | — | 105 | 160 | — | 9 | 18 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | W 5 | NW 5 | WSW 13 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 5 | 19 | 28 | 141 | 80 | 4193 | 32 | 94 | 71 | 6402 | 6554 | 3539 | 4893 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 115 | 470 | 478 | 777 | 78 | 280 | 719 | 52 | 52 | 62 | 41 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











