Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 19s period, SW swell with 3,977 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 2.4m 19s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 13s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Tue 25th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’re looking at a 16-day window for Cape Schanck, and it’s gonna take a bit of patience, but there’s some rippers if you time it right.
The first chance to get wet is Tuesday morning, August 25th. Cape Schanck is a solid reef break for the advanced crew, and the swell is coming in at about 5ft from the southwest with a 13-second period. That’s a decent groundswell. Wind is light from the east at 6 mph, keeping it clean. Water temp is 57°, which is about a degree warmer than usual – not bad. The combined energy is moderate (943). Not huge, but a nice opener. Tuesday afternoon gets messy with onshore wind, so stick to the early.
Wednesday the 26th and Thursday the 27th are mostly a waste. Strong onshore winds Wednesday, and Thursday afternoon picks up a little with a 4ft swell and clean cross-off wind. That’s for the desperate only.
Friday the 28th is a total blow-out, and Saturday and Sunday are choppy and poor with onshore winds. Skip ‘em.
Now Monday, August 31st, that’s where the game changes. Monday morning has a 8ft SW swell with a 17-second period – proper long-period groundswell, heaps of energy (2867). The wind is NNW at 12 mph, cross-off, clean. This is a standout for advanced surfers. Monday afternoon is nearly as good, with 7ft and light cross-off winds. Crowds are possible, so get there early.
Tuesday the 1st of September is blown out by gale-force winds in the afternoon. But Wednesday the 2nd of September afternoon is glassy. Smooth as glass, 7ft SW swell, period 13 seconds. Excellent conditions for experienced surfers. This is a highlight.
Thursday the 3rd is messy again. Then Friday the 4th of September afternoon is the absolute jewel – glassy, calm wind, and a solid 8ft SW swell with a 16-second period. Combined energy is strong (3195). This is the best session of the whole forecast. Long period groundswell over the reef will be firing.
Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th are blown out. Then Monday the 7th is flat. Tuesday the 8th of September shows a massive 12ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period and very strong energy (8013). That’s for experts only, and the wind is strong from the NNW at 25 mph, keeping it clean but heavy. That’s a big-wave day.
Wednesday the 9th is messy with onshore winds and the same 12ft swell. Too big and lumpy.
Overall, the standout sessions are Monday August 31st morning, Wednesday September 2nd afternoon, and the absolute best is Friday September 4th afternoon. The first week is reliable; the big stuff on the 8th and 9th is a promise but less certain. Cape Schanck delivers when the swell and wind line up, and there’s enough here to get you psyched.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue night, light winds from the NNE by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 892 | 851 | 1094 | 1255 | 1069 | 613 | 389 | 374 | 546 | 1136 | 2626 | 2080 | 1196 | 992 | 509 | 814 | 2140 | 3681 | 2867 | 2203 | 1610 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | on | on | on | on | cross | cross-off | cross | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:41PM1.21m | 10:20AM1.29m | 9:06PM1.17m | 11:26AM1.34m | 10:40PM1.18m | 12:14PM1.41m | 11:52PM1.26m | 12:51PM1.48m | 00:48AM1.36m | 1:24PM1.54m | 1:34AM1.47m | 1:54PM1.58m | 2:16AM1.58m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:29PM0.95m | 2:53AM0.50m | 4:09PM0.95m | 4:09AM0.51m | 5:29PM0.87m | 5:17AM0.49m | 6:22PM0.75m | 6:13AM0.45m | 7:01PM0.62m | 7:00AM0.41m | 7:34PM0.48m | 7:41AM0.39m | 8:07PM0.35m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — |
 | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 892 | 851 | 1094 | 1255 | 1069 | 613 | 389 | 374 | 444 | 1112 | 2626 | 2080 | 1196 | 992 | 509 | 814 | 2140 | 3681 | 2867 | 2203 | 1610 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | — | S 15 | — | S 6 | SW 15 | SW 22 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 22 | SW 20 | SW 13 | SSW 17 | — | SSW 15 | — |
| kJ | 51 | 381 | — | 4 | — | 30 | 76 | 118 | 546 | 1136 | 59 | 25 | 21 | 8 | 45 | 196 | 710 | 665 | — | 186 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | SW 22 | S 4 | S 20 | S 18 | — | — | — | W 24 | WSW 22 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 91 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 57 | — | — | — | 11 | 45 | 107 | 804 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | — | SW 5 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | — | — | WNW 3 | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | SW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 |
| kJ | 4 | — | 66 | 886 | 767 | — | — | — | 3 | 809 | — | — | — | — | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 13 | 62 | 21 | 146 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 21 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 283 | 41 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 41 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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