Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 3 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,941 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 16s period and expected on Friday (Jul 03) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Fri 3rd Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s look at Cape Schanck with feet-on-the-ground numbers.
First few days are a total dud. Friday rips in with 31 mph winds, no surfable energy at all. Saturday’s still onshore, waves over 8 feet – that’s expert territory and choppy as hell.
First real hope is Sunday the 5th. Winds shift ESE offshore at 16 mph, and we get head-high SW groundswell at 10 ft with a long 17-second period. That’s a lot of water moving – energy is pegged at 6195. Long-period SW on a reef like this can be solid but watch for lulls. Water temp is about 59°, a degree warmer than usual for July – not bad.
Monday the 6th is the crown jewel of the first week. Wind drops to a light breeze from the N and E – clean, clean, clean. The swell settles to 5 ft from the SW, 14-second period, combined energy 1015. It’s not pumping, but it’s glassy, consistent, and surfer-friendly. Crowds are likely – this break draws people when it’s clean.
Friday the 10th offers a repeat: same size, same clean cross-off winds, moderate energy. Good but not a standout.
Second week gets ugly again with strong onshore winds and waves over 8 ft – expert-only junk through Wednesday.
Then Friday the 17th saves the week. Friday afternoon goes glassy – wind at 3 mph from the N, dead calm. Swell drops to 4 ft from the SW, 13-second period, energy 605. It’s small but beautiful. Perfect for a longboard or a quiet session.
Best bets: Monday the 6th for clean head-high surf, and Friday the 17th afternoon for glassy little waves. Don’t bother with the storm days – this reef deserves better.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Fri morning, light winds from the NNE by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Mon morning, fresh winds from the S by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 8941 | 4168 | 2614 | 2180 | 3009 | 4484 | 3598 | 1904 | 1006 | 726 | 398 | 413 | 909 | 704 | 1740 | 2714 | 1707 | 1399 | 1092 | 1420 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | off |
High Tide | 2:25PM1.62m | 2:02AM1.31m | 2:58PM1.64m | 2:45AM1.33m | 3:29PM1.65m | 3:26AM1.36m | 3:57PM1.64m | 4:08AM1.39m | 4:25PM1.62m | 4:51AM1.42m | 4:55PM1.59m | 5:39AM1.46m | 5:27PM1.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:37PM0.65m | 8:15AM0.30m | 9:12PM0.59m | 8:52AM0.33m | 9:45PM0.53m | 9:28AM0.37m | 10:16PM0.47m | 10:05AM0.42m | 10:48PM0.40m | 10:44AM0.49m | 11:22PM0.32m | 11:27AM0.57m | 00:01AM0.25m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — |
 | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — |
mm | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 14 | — | — | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | 4168 | — | — | 3009 | 4484 | 3598 | 1904 | 1006 | 726 | 398 | 413 | 909 | 704 | 1740 | 2714 | 1707 | 1399 | 1092 | 1420 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SW 22 | WSW 14 | SSW 17 | WSW 5 | SSW 16 | SW 19 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1688 | 969 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 58 | 239 | 50 | 165 | 553 | 237 | 17 | 94 | 59 | 84 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 4 | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 48 | 186 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | SE 5 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | W 6 | — | — | — | WSW 6 |
| kJ | 10096 | 8941 | 2824 | 2614 | 2180 | 1740 | 23 | 44 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 22 | — | — | — | 55 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 322 | 52 | 52 | 52 | 62 | 21 | 21 | 131 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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