Surf Forecasts:
Cape Schanck surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 8,390 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Schanck this week:
The surf forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cape Schanck in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 15s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Schanck over the next 16 days.
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s break down what’s cooking for Cape Schanck.
First few days are a write-off, honestly. Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th pump some serious size—solid 12ft SW swell, but the wind is howling from the NW and WNW at 28 mph, cross or cross-on. Total mess. The combined energy readings are massive (5548 to 9531), so there’s heaps of power, but it’s unsurfable chop. Not worth paddling out.
Wednesday the 15th is still so-so: 8ft dropping to 8ft SW swell, moderate cross-shore wind. Energy is still hefty (2458 and 1919), but it’s marginal—maybe a quick look if you’re desperate.
Thursday the 16th afternoon is where it turns. Glassy conditions on a 7ft SW swell (14-second period, energy 2013). That’s clean, lined-up, and powerful. Dead-calm wind—huge positive. Friday the 17th is even better: clean cross-off winds (NNW 9 mph) on a 7ft SW swell (16-second period, 2545 energy), and the afternoon goes glassy again at the same size. This is the best run in the first week—experienced surfers only, but it’ll be magic.
Water temp is about 58°F, pretty normal for the season. A little chill, but you’re used to it.
Saturday the 18th eases: 5ft to 5ft SW swell, still clean, but energy drops to 828 and 623. Fun but not epic. Sunday the 19th goes tiny—1.0ft to 2ft—no good. Monday the 20th is poor, and Tuesday the 21st has a blank morning with no swell.
Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd offer small, clean options (5ft down to 4ft) but nothing to write home about. Friday the 24th is poor again.
Now, Saturday the 25th of July—this is a standout for the second week. Morning brings a 7ft SW swell, 17-second period, energy 2277, with a light offshore breeze from the NE at 6 mph. Clean, powerful groundswell—perfect for this reef. Crowds can be a thing, so get in early. The afternoon stays clean with light cross-shore wind.
Sunday the 26th afternoon goes glassy again on a 6ft SW swell (14 seconds, 1367 energy)—another cracker. Monday the 27th morning holds 7ft SW swell with clean cross-off winds, 1746 energy. These last few days are the real highlight: solid, clean, and consistent.
Remember, those longer-period swells (16–17 seconds) make the waves more lined up and powerful—ideal for Cape Schanck’s reef setup. Days over 8ft are for experienced crew only, and the 7–7ft days still demand respect.
Best windows: Thursday the 16th afternoon, Friday the 17th, and then Saturday the 25th, Sunday the 26th afternoon, and Monday the 27th. Get on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WNW on Sun night, moderate winds from the WNW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 24 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 74 | 0 | 0 | 5477 | 5973 | 7668 | 5714 | 4480 | 3580 | 2458 | 1919 | 1493 | 1443 | 1736 | 1760 | 2354 | 2129 | 1289 | 828 | 623 | 22 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:47PM1.45m | 9:53AM1.56m | 8:55PM1.43m | 11:04AM1.61m | 10:11PM1.43m | 12:08PM1.67m | 11:29PM1.47m | 1:04PM1.73m | 00:41AM1.52m | 1:53PM1.78m | 1:46AM1.57m | 2:37PM1.80m | 2:45AM1.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:20PM0.83m | 2:45AM0.10m | 3:36PM0.85m | 3:54AM0.08m | 4:53PM0.82m | 5:03AM0.05m | 6:04PM0.74m | 6:09AM0.04m | 7:05PM0.61m | 7:10AM0.05m | 8:00PM0.47m | 8:05AM0.10m | 8:49PM0.35m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — |
 | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — |
mm | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 2144 | 3091 | 3748 | 5477 | 5973 | 7668 | 5714 | 4480 | 3580 | 2458 | 1919 | 1493 | 1443 | 1736 | 1760 | 2354 | 2129 | 1289 | 828 | 623 | 451 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | — | — | SSW 16 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SW 24 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 73 | — | — | — | 144 | — | — | — | 135 | 277 | 32 | 191 | 126 | — | — | — | 22 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | WSW 15 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 |
| kJ | 74 | 12 | 16 | 71 | 80 | 8772 | 3817 | 3013 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 478 | 683 | 78 | 280 | 920 | 52 | 48 | 52 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mornington Peninsula | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cape Schanck Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cape Schanck provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Schanck can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Schanck surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Schanck) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Schanck may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cape Schanck is 34 km (21 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in Mornington Peninsula, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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