Darbys (Wilsons Promontory) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for the Prom. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. The first few days are pretty quiet, but there’s some proper size lurking out there in the second week, even if the wind is gonna mess with it a fair bit.

The main break to focus on is Darbys (Wilsons Promontory). The water temp is sitting around 57°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so don’t expect any surprises there.

The weekend kicks off with small but clean waves. Saturday morning has a bit of a cross-off breeze with tiny 1ft surf, but it’s clean. The real fun starts Saturday afternoon when the wind goes glassy and the swell bumps up to a clean 3ft from the SW with a long 18-second period. The energy is moderate (448), and it looks like the best surf of the weekend. Sunday is a step down, with some cross-shore breeze and a similar 3ft swell, but the quality is more marginal.

Then we hit a rough patch. From Monday the 3rd through Thursday the 6th, the wind swings onshore and it get messy. We see a pulse of 5ft on Monday but it’s blown out. The energy is moderate at times (526, 681, 702), but it’s all for nothing with the chop. It’s just a write-off for a few days.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. Friday the 7th is another standout. The morning has a cross-off breeze with 2ft of clean SW swell (404 energy), and the afternoon goes glassy with 2ft. Both sessions look clean. It’s small, but it’s the best quality on offer. That carries into Saturday the 8th, which has clean conditions in the afternoon with a 2ft SW swell. Good, clean, small-wave surfing.

Sunday the 9th is okay in the morning, but the afternoon turns onshore.

Alright, now for the back half. The 10th and 11th see a big jump in size, with swell climbing from 7ft up to 8ft. The energy is strong to very strong (2136, 2339, 4427, 4974), so there’s plenty of water moving. But the wind is howling from the NW and WNW, 28-31 mph at times, and it’s just a mess. This is not a paddle-surfing day. This setup looks far more interesting for the kite crew than for us. The swell direction is WSW/W, the period is long, but the wind is just ripping.

The middle of the second week stays rough. The 12th and 13th have onshore winds and 5-8ft of lumpy, poor quality surf. It's not worth the drive.

The 14th and 15th, though, are a different story. The wind backs off. Friday the 14th has a 7-8ft WSW swell, and while the period is mixed, the wind is light. The afternoon on the 14th is a real standout for the size – 8ft with light onshore wind and a 12-second period. It’s got a lot of energy (1455), but the conditions are still listed as marginal. Still, for size, that’s the pick. Saturday the 15th also sees 5-6ft of WSW swell with cleaner, lighter winds and a longer 14-16 second period. It looks like a proper groundswell for the end of the run.

The swell direction is right for Darbys, which is fairly exposed to the SW. The second week’s energy is there, but the wind is the deciding factor. The best bets for a proper wave are the 14th and 15th, but remember, it’s a long-range call, so treat it as promising rather than locked in. The first week’s standout is Saturday afternoon on the 1st – small but glassy and clean. Keep an eye on the 7th too.

That’s the story from down here. Stay stoked.

Rusty.

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