Shelly Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.54° S 145.40° E

Shelly Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Shelly Beach sea temperature is
13.8° C
0.6° 

Shelly Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Shelly Beach surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period, SW swell with 1,500 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelly Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelly Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelly Beach in the next 16 days are 1.8m 15s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 16th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 14s
Best Surf 1AM (Thu 16th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 14s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 16th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelly Beach over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed night, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
SW
14
1.8
SW
14
1.8
SW
15
1.8
SW
15
1.6
SW
15
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
16
1.6
SW
15
1.4
SW
14
1.3
SW
14
1.1
SW
13
0.9
SW
13
0.8
SW
12
0.4
SW
18
0.9
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.8
SW
11
1
SW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1528
1363
1460
1480
1138
1281
1314
1053
791
586
374
269
172
114
432
147
206
142
109
158
292
Wind (km/h)
15
W
15
W
10
SW
10
WSW
0
W
10
NNW
5
WNW
10
N
10
NNW
0
NNW
10
NNE
10
N
5
N
10
N
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
20
NNW
15
NNW
20
NNW
15
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
glassy
off
cross-off
off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
off
off
off
off
High Tide
11:38PM2.08m
1:05PM2.35m
00:48AM2.13m
1:56PM2.41m
1:52AM2.18m
2:42PM2.44m
2:52AM2.21m
3:25PM2.44m
3:47AM2.21m
4:05PM2.41m
4:38AM2.18m
4:43PM2.34m
5:26AM2.12m
Low Tide
6:03PM0.92m
6:16AM0.05m
7:06PM0.77m
7:16AM0.07m
8:03PM0.61m
8:12AM0.13m
8:54PM0.45m
9:02AM0.23m
9:42PM0.33m
9:50AM0.37m
10:27PM0.26m
10:34AM0.51m
11:09PM0.25m
11:17AM0.66m
light rain
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:20
5:20
 mm
1
Temp °C
12
13
12
12
12
11
12
12
11
12
12
12
14
13
13
14
13
14
16
13
13
Feels °C
9
11
10
10
10
9
11
10
9
11
10
10
12
10
8
9
8
10
13
8
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Shelly Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelly Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelly Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelly Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelly Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelly Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Shelly Beach is 48 km (30 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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