Shelly Beach surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 am Saturday 10 Jan 2026 AEDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Shelly Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Shelly Beach sea temperature is
18.6° C
(Which is 1.4°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelly Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelly Beach over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 12) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelly Beach in the next 12 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jan 11) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Mon 12th Jan)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Best Surf11AM (Mon 12th Jan)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Most Powerful 2AM (Sun 11th Jan)8ft (2.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelly Beach over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the WSW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Wed morning, fresh winds from the SE by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
10
Sunday
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
2
WSW
2.5
SW
2.5
WSW
2.5
SW
1.8
WSW
1.1
SW
0.9
SW
0.8
SW
0.7
SW
0.7
SW
0.5
SW
0.9
SW
1
SW
1.4
SW
0.9
SW
0.8
SW
0.9
SW
0.9
SW
1
SW
0.9
SW
0.6
SW
Period(s) (?)10111412121110109101615141413131312121212
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)732171428261952902303167115839612935539578825320223424027322483
Wind
(km/h)
35
WNW
50
WSW
25
SW
20
SSW
20
S
15
ESE
5
N
20
S
10
SE
20
SSE
25
S
20
S
15
SSW
30
SSE
30
SE
30
ESE
35
SE
25
ESE
30
SE
35
SE
30
ESE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
crosscrosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
glasscross-
on
cross-
on
ononcross-
on
cross-
on
ononcross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
5:55PM
2.09
6:01AM
2.29
6:42PM
2.03
6:35AM
2.19
7:28PM
1.97
7:08AM
2.09
8:16PM
1.91
7:44AM
1.98
9:08PM
1.86
8:23AM
1.89
10:06PM
1.84
9:10AM
1.80
11:11PM
1.84
Low Tide
/ height (m)
11:47AM
0.35
11:50PM
0.55
12:28PM
0.34
12:30AM
0.70
1:07PM
0.37
1:11AM
0.85
1:46PM
0.41
1:54AM
0.98
2:27PM
0.45
2:42AM
1.09
3:14PM
0.49
3:40AM
1.18
4:07PM
0.52
4:49AM
1.22
Saturday
10
Sunday
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Sunrise6:05--6:05--6:07--6:07--6:09--6:09--6:11--
Sunset-8:45--8:45--8:45--8:44--8:44--8:44--8:43-
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
--------------13-----
Temp. °C181916141414161819181817171817171918181917
Feels °C (?)101498910151416161514161413131313131311
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Shelly Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelly Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelly Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelly Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelly Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelly Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Shelly Beach is 48 km (30 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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