Shelly Beach surfForecast / VIC – East Coast / Australia

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 am Tuesday 07 Oct 2025 AEDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Shelly Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Shelly Beach sea temperature is
13.8° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelly Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelly Beach over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 07) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelly Beach in the next 12 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 10) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Friday (Oct 10) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Tue 7th Oct)5ft (1.6m) 13s
Best Surf11AM (Fri 10th Oct)15ft (4.5m) 14s
Most Powerful11AM (Fri 10th Oct)15ft (4.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelly Beach over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Tue night, strong winds from the NW by Thu night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Fri morning, light winds from the WNW by Sun morning).

Tuesday
07
Wednesday
08
Thursday
09
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
2
3
2
4
2
3
3
!
6
2
2
2
3
2
1
3
0
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.7
SW
1.6
SW
1.8
SW
2.1
SW
2.1
SW
2
SW
2.3
SW
3
SW
2.5
SW
4.5
WSW
4
WSW
3
WSW
3.5
SW
3
SW
2.3
SW
1.8
SW
1.7
SW
2
WSW
1.4
SW
1.8
WSW
1.2
SW
Period(s) (?)131313141414161616141415151514141312121010
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)984796107516411812160225063820298274386599403345783612224712519761096542701290
Wind
(km/h)
30
NW
15
W
20
NW
25
NW
20
WSW
15
NW
35
WNW
20
WNW
30
NNW
40
NW
35
WNW
40
NW
35
W
30
W
20
WNW
25
NW
25
WSW
20
NW
25
WNW
25
WSW
10
NW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crossoffcross-
off
cross-
off
offoffcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
crossoff
High Tide
/ height (m)
12:06PM
1.97
12:45AM
2.11
12:57PM
2.06
1:45AM
2.32
1:44PM
2.17
2:38AM
2.49
2:30PM
2.26
3:27AM
2.59
3:16PM
2.33
4:15AM
2.61
4:01PM
2.36
5:01AM
2.56
4:47PM
2.34
Low Tide
/ height (m)
6:22PM
0.57
6:56AM
0.64
7:15PM
0.31
7:53AM
0.59
8:04PM
0.09
8:43AM
0.54
8:52PM
-0.09
9:30AM
0.52
9:39PM
-0.18
10:15AM
0.53
10:26PM
-0.17
11:00AM
0.57
11:13PM
-0.09
Tuesday
07
Wednesday
08
Thursday
09
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Sunrise6:45--6:43--6:41--6:41--6:39--6:37--6:35--
Sunset-7:27--7:28--7:29--7:30--7:30--7:31--7:32-
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
Rain (mm)
---------12342--1----
Temp. °C121614141616151616131615111212121313131413
Feels °C (?)512128121179103974556767108
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

Eyeball surf reportRecent Eyeball Surf Reports for VIC - East Coast

  1. weather stationWind Update Continuing clean conditions at Shelly Beach (calm at Balnarring 30 km from Shelly Beach). 1.7m 13s groundswell from the SW with a 1.7m 6s windswell from the W. 2 swells combining so expect closeout sets.

    Shelly Beach
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30 km away, 1 h 49 min ago

0 km/h
N
0.0
13.8
Air / Water (°C)
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Shelly Beach surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Shelly Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelly Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelly Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelly Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelly Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelly Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Shelly Beach is 48 km (30 miles) from Mornington. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Mornington. Mornington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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