Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s shaping up for Coxos. This forecast is a bit of a tease, honestly. We’ve got a long stretch of nearly nothing to start, and then a potential window of proper waves way down the line.

Right now, the water’s sitting at 69°F, which is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

The first week is pretty grim. From Sunday the 19th all the way through to the end of July, the conditions are mostly poor. We’ve got onshore winds and weak, short-period swell. The combined swell energy is almost always in the weak to moderate range, and the period hangs around 6 or 7 seconds. That’s just windswell junk. Don’t even bother paddling out for the first week unless you want a frustrating session. The wind is mostly from the NW and NNW, blowing right onshore, making everything a mess.

We do see a slight uptick in size around the 28th of July, with swell hitting 7ft, but the wind is still howling onshore at 18-22 mph. The energy jumps into the moderate range, but the quality is still poor. Not worth it.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real standout is the morning of Thursday, July 30th. The forecast shows a 7ft swell from the NNW, with a 9-second period, pushing a combined energy of 770 (moderate wave energy). But the key is the wind: a light 9 mph breeze from the south, which is offshore for Coxos. The file says it’s "clean" and "expect very good surf conditions." That’s the window. A solid, clean groundswell on a reef break. Keep in mind that 7ft is on the bigger side, so this is for the experienced crew.

We then have a bit of a drop-off into the weekend, with clean conditions again on the morning of Sunday, August 2nd, with glassy winds from the WNW at just 3 mph. The swell is a smaller 4ft from the NNW, with an 8-second period and energy of 226. It’s a more manageable size, and the glassy conditions will make it silky smooth. This is a solid backup option.

So, to sum it up: don’t bother with the first week. The real targets are the clean, offshore morning on Thursday the 30th for the bigger, more powerful waves, and the glassy morning on Sunday, August 2nd for a cleaner, smaller session.

Rusty.

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