Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. Rusty here. I’ve been staring at the charts for Coxos, and I’ve got to be straight with you – it’s a rough run ahead. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, but honestly, there’s not a single truly good session on the cards. The forecast is a long stretch of meh, with a lot of "poor surf conditions" stamped all over it. The only real consolation is Coxos is a fairly consistent reef break, so it’s more of a waiting game than a total write-off.

The first faint glimmer comes on the morning of Sunday the 12th. We’ve got a tiny 2 ft swell from the NW, with a period of 9 seconds. The water is a bit colder than usual for July at 65°, but the real killer is the light S breeze. It’s a cross-offshore wind, so the surf is clean, but the wave energy is weak (154). It’s surfable, but only just, and definitely not worth getting excited about. The afternoon turns into a mess with a moderate cross-shore wind.

Monday the 13th is more of the same – 2 ft, weak energy. The morning has a light cross-offshore, so it’s clean, but it’s flat. The rest of the week is a write-off: Tuesday through Thursday are all cross-onshore winds and tiny, weak swell. The energy readings are in the dumps, barely cracking 100.

Now, here’s where it gets a bit cruel. From Friday the 17th through to the following Saturday, the swell actually picks up. We’re looking at 4 ft to 7 ft from the NNW, with moderate to strong wave energy (in the 100s and even 400s by the 24th). But the wind is a disaster. It’s a relentless 19 to 25 mph cross-onshore from the N and NNW. It’s a classic case of "all noise, no signal." The waves will be lumpy, choppy, and messy. If you’re a kite surfer, this setup might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a hard pass. The 6 ft to 7 ft days are too big for beginners under these conditions.

The very end of the run, on the morning of Sunday the 26th, shows a little potential. The wind finally drops to a light 3 mph onshore from the NW, and the swell is still a chunky 5 ft from the NNW, with strong energy (393). The period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s windswell, not a groundswell. The forecast says "marginal" due to questionable tides, but with glassy conditions, it might be the closest thing to a salvageable session in the whole 16 days. Still, it’s a long shot.

So, the bottom line: there’s no standout. The best of a bad bunch is that Sunday the 26th morning, but even that’s a gamble. For Coxos, this is a frustrating blank run. Don’t force it. The forecasts can change, but for now, save your energy.

Rusty.

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