Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

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Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at what's cooking for Coxos over the next couple of weeks. We've got a bit of a mixed bag, but there are some gems hidden in there if you're patient.

Right now, the forecast is a bit of a slow burn. We’re looking at a whole lot of northerly wind, which is cross-on at Coxos, messing up the shape. Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are write-offs with that fresh cross-onshore breeze and lumpy, choppy conditions. The swell is small too, around 3 ft to 4 ft with weak to moderate wave energy (238-490). It’s not worth paddling out for.

Saturday the 12th is still a no-go for me. A light cross-on breeze on Saturday morning is still creating wind ripples, and the swell period is a short 7 seconds. That’s just crumbly, low-energy stuff. Saturday afternoon has a bit more period but the wind switches onshore. No good.

We finally get a break in the wind on Sunday the 13th morning. The southerly goes glassy, with a 3 ft groundswell from the NW and a nice 13-second period. The combined energy jumps to a moderate 384, and it’s glassy. That’s your first real window. Conditions are clean for a reef break, but the swell is small, so bring your groveller.

Monday the 14th morning looks almost as good – another glassy session with 3 ft of NW swell at 11 seconds. Clean lines, easy paddling. Monday afternoon, the wind shifts back cross-on and the quality drops.

From Tuesday the 15th through to Saturday the 19th, it’s a grim repeat. The north wind is back, gusting 12-25 mph, creating cross-on chop that’ll make it feel like a washing machine. The swell builds from 6 ft into the 7 ft range, with moderate to strong wave energy (488-1050), but that onshore wind will ruin it. It’s going to be messy and lumpy. Honestly, it might be more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfing during that stretch.

Now, here’s where the outlook turns interesting. Sunday the 20th morning is a real standout. The wind goes light and cross-off from the ENE, with a solid 3 ft swell from the NNW at a long 12 seconds. Combined energy is a strong 544, and it’s described as clean. This is the first legitimately clean session of the whole period.

But the real prize is Monday the 21st morning. We get a 5 ft groundswell from the NNW with a very long 13-second period, combined energy of 809, and glassy conditions with light southerly wind. This is your top pick. The swell direction is spot on from the NNW, which is the optimum for Coxos. The only caveat is that with that long period, the sets will be clean but spaced out. The size is just right for confident intermediate surfers. If you can only pick one session, this is it.

Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd keep the hopes up. Tuesday morning has a clean 4 ft swell from the NW with cross-off wind. Wednesday the 23rd morning has another glassy session with 5 ft of NW swell at 13 seconds and very strong energy (862). Both are excellent calls.

The very end of the forecast, around Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th, shows a big pulse of swell hitting over 8 ft. That’s expert territory, and the wind is marginal, but the energy readings are massive (2253 and 1539). Keep an eye on that one, but treat it as a long-range possibility – conditions change a lot for a spot that far out.

So, to wrap it up: Sunday the 13th morning is your first clean but small window. Skip the whole middle of the week due to wind. The absolute standouts are Monday the 21st morning and Wednesday the 23rd morning for glassy, long-period groundswell. Mark your calendar.

Rusty.

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