Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks at this one little corner of the coast.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. We’re looking at a long, frustrating run of slop and chop. For the first eleven days, from Thursday the 3rd all the way through to Sunday the 13th, there’s really nothing worth paddling out for. The wind is just relentless, mostly coming from the north and smacking the surface cross-onshore, turning any bit of swell into a bumpy mess. The wave energy stays low to moderate (between 51 and 511), and the period is often short, so even the few pulses that show up are just messy closeouts or blown-out ripples. The best you can hope for in that stretch is “questionable” conditions, and honestly, it’s not worth the hike.

Now, there is a flicker of something better on Monday the 14th morning. The wind finally swings around to the southeast, blowing straight offshore, and the water gets clean for a minute. You’ll see a tiny 2 ft swell from the NW with a moderate energy (124), but that’s barely a knee-high dribble. It’s surfable if you’re desperate for a nose-ride, but it’s not gonna get the heart pumping.

The real standout – and I’m talking the one true window of opportunity in this whole 16-day slog – is Wednesday the 16th. We’ve got a sizeable jump in swell: 7 ft from the NNW. The energy is strong (1100) and the period stretches to 9 seconds, so it’s got some bump. The wind is light out of the WNW, so conditions are messy but not totally blown out – it’s the most ridable it’s been in ages. But listen, 7 ft is expert territory. This isn’t a day for the learner; the walls will be well overhead and powerful at Coxos (reef). Given this spot is fairly consistent and exposed to NNW swells (which is exactly what’s on offer), it’s your best bet if you’ve got the skill. For the experienced ones, Wednesday morning is the call.

After that, Thursday the 17th still has some size but the wind picks up and turns onshore again, making it a shadow of Wednesday’s potential. By Friday the 18th, we’re back down to clean but tiny waist-high leftovers.

So here’s the summary: endure the first week and a half of nonsense, and if you’re an advanced surfer, circle Wednesday the 16th for a morning session at Coxos with a proper NNW swell. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best shot we’ve got.

-Rusty

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