Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s happening at Coxos over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, this is a tough run to be excited about. For the first week and a half, pretty much everything’s a write-off. From Friday morning the 4th right through to Sunday the 13th, the wind’s mostly cross-onshore or howling from the north, and the wave quality is just not there. You’ll see some small swell around, but it’s messy, chopped up, and not worth paddling out for. There’s a brief moment on Saturday afternoon the 5th with a little NW swell around 3ft and onshore wind, but it’s only marginal. The combined wave energy is weak to moderate at best, sitting at 252, so nothing special.

The real hope starts to show from Monday the 14th. Monday morning sees a cleaner setup: a 5.2ft swell from the NNW, cross-offshore wind from the east at 15 km/h, and combined energy of 463 – moderate, but the conditions are sweet. That cross-offshore makes it clean. It’s not huge, but it’s rideable and way better than anything before.

Then Tuesday the 15th, the morning window looks better. Swell bumps up to 6.6ft from the NNW, wind is light cross-off from the ESE at only 10 km/h, and the combined energy is moderate at 476. Again, clean conditions. This one’s on the bigger side for beginners – 6.6ft is getting strong – so more for the experienced crew.

But the true standout? Wednesday the 16th – Saturday morning. This is the one to circle. On Wednesday morning, you’ve got 6.2ft of NNW swell, clean offshore wind from the SE at just 10 km/h (light breeze), and the combined energy jumps to 712 – that’s into the strong range. Conditions are clean, the swell direction matches the optimum (NNW), and it’s glassy. This is the best on offer. It’s a reef break, so long period groundswell (8 seconds isn’t super long, but it’s solid) will line up nicely. Expect clean, well-shaped waves. Crowds can be often at Coxos, so it might get a bit busy, but with quality like this, it’s worth it. Water temperature is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Thursday the 17th morning also looks good – 5.6ft from the NNW, glassy with no wind, combined energy 489. That’s a nice follow-up session if you can get it.

After that, Friday and Saturday the 18th and 19th taper off a bit with smaller swell and more cross-onshore wind, so the window is really that Monday 14th through Thursday 17th stretch. There’s a solid gap of about nine days with no real recommendations at the start, so be patient. The forecast for the second week is promising but less certain, so keep an eye on it.

First call: Wednesday the 16th morning at Coxos. Offshore, clean, solid 6.2ft swell – that’s where it’s at.

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