Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s be straight with you: looking at the 16-day window, there isn’t a single standout surging gem here. The entire run is plagued by poor surf conditions. The first recommendation doesn’t even show up until August 4th at Coxos, and it’s a meager start.

Tuesday morning, August 4th, we have a small WNW swell of 3ft at 9 seconds, but the wind is cross-on from the WNW at just 3 mph. Combined energy is 135, so weak. It’s labeled marginal, not good. Things go downhill fast: Tuesday afternoon the wind picks up, and from Wednesday onward it’s a solid run of poor conditions with fresh breezes and choppy, lumpy seas. The swell tries to nudge up but gets hammered by cross-onshore winds from the NNW, 12-22 mph. Swell size hovers between 2ft and 6ft with short periods of 7-8 seconds, so no real push or shape. Combined energy stays in the 100-400 range – unremarkable.

There’s a long gap of no recommendations at all from August 5th morning all the way through August 18th morning. That is a massive blank stretch of 13 days with nothing worth paddling for. The forecast is poor, and every single call is marked as zero quality.

Finally, on Tuesday morning August 18th, we see a marginal possibility: a NNW swell of 6ft at 9 seconds, cross-on wind at 12 mph, energy at 628 (moderate). It’s only a tick above terrible, and still not clean. The water temperature anomaly is unremarkable – about average for this time of year at Coxos.

Then by Wednesday August 19th morning, we get an 8ft NNW swell with 9 seconds and 1185 energy – that’s strong. But again, cross-on wind kills it, and it’s a poor grade.

So here’s the cold water truth: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. If you’re desperate, the most promising window is the morning of August 18th at Coxos (reef, advanced, fairly consistent, NNW is the optimum direction), but even then, the wind will have it choppy. For a reef break like this, longer period would be a bonus for shape, but 9 seconds is average. Crowds are likely to be around often, but with this outlook, maybe not.

Given the constant cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions, particularly with beach and reef setups, the windswell pattern here looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Rusty.

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