Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's take a look at what's coming up over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it's a bit of a slow start. We've got a solid stretch of onshore junk and messy conditions before things start to clean up. The standout window is around the 5th of September, with a couple of promising sessions later on, but you'll need to be patient.

Coxos is a world-class reef break, and it's one of those spots that needs the right combo. For the first week, from the 27th of August right through to the 2nd of September, it's pretty much a write-off. We're looking at a strong W wind on the 27th, then a persistent N to NNW wind, all cross-on or onshore, making for lumpy, choppy, and generally poor surf. The swell is there, around 4 ft to 8 ft, but it's short-period, wind-affected junk. The combined wave energy is moderate (474 to 1260), but with the wind state, it's just not worth paddling out. Beginners should steer clear of anything over 5 ft, and with waves hitting 8 ft on the 28th, that's expert territory, but the wind is all wrong.

The 3rd and 4th of September are still marginal. The wind drops off, with light cross-shore or onshore breezes, but the swell is small and weak, around 4 ft to 6 ft with a short period of 7-8 seconds. The energy is low (198 to 393). Not great.

Now, here's the highlight. The morning of Saturday the 5th of September is the one to circle. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, with a light N breeze. The swell is only 4 ft, but it's a long-period groundswell from the NW at 13 seconds. That's right in Coxos's sweet spot, and the combined energy is a solid 539. For a reef break like this, that long-period energy will wrap in beautifully, offering clean, well-shaped waves. It's a bit of a wait, but it's the best on offer. This is an advanced break, and crowds are often an issue here, so be prepared for a busy line-up if you're keen.

The 6th and 7th of September are still promising, with building swell and light winds, but the conditions are a bit more mixed. The 6th has a cross-on breeze, and the 7th morning is glassy again but with a much smaller 3 ft swell. There's a bigger pulse on the 8th of September, with 8 ft NW swell and a 12-second period, combined energy hitting 1603 – that's strong. But it's labeled as marginal, and the wind is onshore or cross-on, so it's a bit of a gamble. Probably one for the experts only anyway, given the size.

After that, the 9th to the 11th of September trails off again with smaller, weaker swell and onshore winds. The 11th has a short 7-second period, so not much to get excited about.

So, the takeaway: hold out for the morning of the 5th of September. That's your best chance for clean, glassy conditions and a decent groundswell at Coxos. The window on the 8th is worth watching, but it's less certain. Don't bother with the first week.

Rusty

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