Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Coxos over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. We’re looking at a long, dry spell of poor surf conditions that runs pretty much from now until the end of the first week. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell is tiny and weak. You’ll see a lot of days with combined wave energy around 80 or less, which is barely a bump. The water’s about average for this time of year, nothing weird there.

The first glimmer of hope comes on Sunday morning, July 12th. The wind swings light and cross-offshore from the SSW, and we get a bit of a pulse – 3ft from the WNW with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy climbs to 149 (moderate), and the report says it’s "clean". That’s your best bet in the first week, but it’s still a pretty ordinary wave. It’s surfable, but don’t expect perfection.

After that, we slide back into the muck. Monday the 13th to Thursday the 16th is a write-off – tiny swell, onshore wind, energy in the 30s and 60s. Pure frustration.

Then, things get a little more interesting in the second week. Saturday, July 18th, the swell ticks up a notch. Saturday morning shows 3ft from the WNW with an 11-second period, and energy reaches 176 (moderate). The wind is still cross-onshore, but that’s a better swell direction for Coxos, which loves a clean NNW groundswell. Saturday afternoon sees 4ft from the NW with a 10-second period and energy jumping to 232 (moderate to strong). That’s a decent push, but the wind is onshore and the report still calls it "poor surf conditions".

Sunday, July 19th afternoon, the height hits 5ft from the NW with a 9-second period and energy at 294 (moderate to strong). That’s the biggest swell of the forecast, but it’s coming with a 25 km/h onshore wind (16 mph). The break is exposed, so it’ll be a messy, lumpy affair. Not one for the beginners – 5ft is pushing it for them.

The standout here, if you can call it that, is Saturday, July 18th afternoon. The swell hits 4ft from the NW, period 10 seconds, and wave energy is moderate-to-strong at 232. The wind is onshore, but it’s a moderate breeze, not a gale. It’s not perfect, but it’s the closest thing to a pulse we get. For a reef break like Coxos, that NW swell direction is good, and the period is enough to give it some shape. Expect crowds though – this spot is "often" crowded, so you’ll be sharing the peak.

The rest of the second week is a repeat of onshore winds and lumpy conditions. The swell sticks around 3ft to 4ft, but the wind is a fresh breeze from the N or NNW, making it choppy and frustrating. The 24th of July has a 4ft swell from the NNW with energy at 207, but again, the wind is straight onshore.

Honestly, this is a period where the forecast is more promising for the longboarders on a clean morning, or even for the kite surfers if the wind holds. For a proper paddle session, we’re waiting on a better swell direction and a drop in wind. The good news is Coxos is fairly consistent, so it won’t stay this way forever.

Rusty out.

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