Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got on the cards.

The whole 16-day window is a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. There’s a real run of poor conditions for the first week or so, but if you’re patient, there are a couple of windows that look worth the wait. The standout will be right at the end of the forecast period.

For the first few days, it’s all cross-onshore winds and choppy seas. The energy is moderate to strong, but the wind just ruins it. There’s a real blank run from the start through to about the 11th, where the scores are flat. Nothing worth paddling out for.

The first glimmer of hope comes on Saturday, 12th September. The morning at Coxos looks clean with a light offshore breeze from the ESE. Swell is small, just 3 ft from the NNW with a short period of 6 seconds, and the combined energy is weak (93). It’s surfable but very ordinary – a little knee to waist high dribbler for the keen, but don’t expect much.

Now, Sunday, 13th September morning – this is where things get interesting. The wind turns cross-offshore from the ENE, light airs, and the swell bumps up to 3 ft from the NW but with a lovely long period of 13 seconds. The combined energy jumps to moderate (414). That long period groundswell is going to wrap nicely into this reef set-up, creating some proper shaped waves. It’s going to be clean, and with that period, the paddle out won’t be a battle. Coxos is fairly consistent, exposed to the NNW, and this direction (NW) is in the wheelhouse for the optimum. This is one of the two standouts. It’s a small but quality window.

Then the winds turn onshore again and it’s messy until the 20th of September. There’s some moderate energy in the water, but the cross-on winds just kill the quality. The 17th sees strong breezes and messy conditions, with energy up to 961 – that’s a lot of power, but completely unsurfable for a paddle board. More of a kite day, if you ask me.

The real gem is Sunday, 20th September morning. We’ve got a cross-offshore wind from the south, gentle breeze, clean conditions, and a solid 6 ft swell from the NW with a period of 10 seconds. Combined energy is strong at 625. This is going to be the pick of the whole period – good size, clean lines, and the swell direction is exactly what Coxos likes. It’s an advanced break, and it’s often crowded, so expect company if you head out.

And then, as if to sweeten the deal, Monday, 21st September morning brings glassy conditions – zero wind from the south – with a 5 ft NW swell, 11-second period, and combined energy of 570. This is the other standout. Absolute glass, proper groundswell, and the waves will be lined up and punchy. This is the kind of morning you dream about. Just note, at 5 ft, it’s getting up there for beginners, but for anyone with a bit of experience, it’s prime.

So to wrap it up: the first week is a write-off. The two windows to target are Sunday morning, 13th September for a smaller but clean, long-period session, and then Sunday 20th and Monday 21st September for the real deal. The 21st is the absolute best on offer.

Rusty.

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