Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks at Coxos.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: there’s no surf worth paddling out for until Sunday the 17th. The first few days are a write-off – either the wind is junk, the conditions are messy, or the swell just isn’t cooperating. So don’t bother waxing up until then.

Come Sunday morning the 17th, things finally line up. We’ve got a clean 6 ft swell from the NNW, an 8-second period, and it’s glassy – dead calm. That’s the kind of morning you set an alarm for. The water’s sitting at 67°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so a good 4/3 wetsuit is in order if you’re prone to getting chilly. The crowd factor here is “often”, so expect some company, but with conditions that clean it’s still a proper session. The combined energy is moderate at 396, so it won’t be a full-on battle.

Monday the 18th morning is also decent – 5 ft from the NNW, 8 seconds, with a cross-off breeze that’ll keep things tidy. Energy is still moderate at 294. Not a standout like Sunday, but a solid backup.

Now, the real standout in this whole forecast is Friday the 21st of August. We’re looking at a serious pulse of 10 ft swell from the NNW in the morning, with a 9-second period and combined energy of 1231 – that’s strong, powerful stuff. But here’s the catch: the wind is cross-onshore at 22 mph, and it’s lumpy. This is expert territory only. Anything over 8 ft with that wind is a handful, and the break is a reef, so it’s not for the faint-hearted. If you’re a solid surfer and you like a challenge, it’ll be big and raw. If you’re not ready for that, stay on the sand.

Later in the week, Monday the 31st of August has some promise – 6 ft to 5 ft from the NNW, with a longer 11-second period that’ll give those waves a bit more shape and power. The energy is still strong – 783 and 928 – but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s not perfect. Crowds will still be a factor, and the tide might make things a bit tricky.

Overall, the best bet in this 16-day window is Sunday the 17th morning. Clean, glassy, chest-to-head-high swell from a good direction, and the reef should handle it well. Friday the 21st is for the brave only, and everything else is either blown out, too small, or just marginal. It’s a patchy run, but that Sunday morning is the one to circle.

- Rusty

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