Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer at Coxos over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, this is a frustrating outlook. For the first few days, we’ve got some size but the wind is just hammering it. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th of July see some 5ft to 7ft swell from the NW, but with a fresh onshore breeze, it’s a total write-off. The combined energy is moderate (303 to 432) but it’s all messy and blown out. Not worth a paddle.

Then, things get interesting. Monday morning the 27th of July is the first real standout. The wind drops right off to glassy, dead calm conditions. The swell drops to a clean 4ft from the NNW, but with that glassy surface, the waves will be smooth and lined up. The combined energy is moderate (249). For a reef break like Coxos, this is the moment to be in the water. It’s small, but it’ll be perfect. Later that afternoon, the wind swings and it gets choppy again.

Tuesday the 28th has a bit more energy (373) with a 4ft swell from the NNW, but the period jumps to 10 seconds, which is nice. The wind is just a light cross-on, so it might be a bit rippled, but it’s still a lot better than the weekend. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th are a real letdown, with the swell dropping to under 3ft and the energy falling off a cliff (89 on Thursday). It’s a few days of flat, poor conditions.

Now, look ahead. Friday the 31st of July morning is another absolute gem. Again, glassy conditions, with a 4ft swell from the WNW. The period is a solid 10 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate (257). That’s a clean, workable wave for a reef break. Saturday the 1st of August morning is a carbon copy – glassy, 4ft from the WNW, with a 10-second period (321 energy). That’s your second standout. Two mornings of absolute perfection if you can get out.

After that, the beginning of August gets a bit chunky. Sunday the 2nd sees a 7ft swell from the NNW, but it’s a short 8-second period and the wind is light cross-on. The energy is strong (567), but for a reef, a short-period 7ft swell with cross-offshore wind can be a bit of a washing machine. It’s marginal. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th are back to being blown out or just messy. The swell hangs around 5ft to 6ft, but those onshore winds just ruin it.

The second week fades out. The swell drops, the energy gets weak (down to 138 by the 8th of August), and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore. There’s a tiny window on the morning of the 7th of August with a 3ft, 10-second swell from the NNW and light onshore wind (303 energy), but it’s a long way out and the wind is iffy. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are small and not worth getting excited about.

So, the truth of it: the best on offer is Monday morning the 27th of July and Friday morning the 31st of July. Both have glassy conditions and a reasonable 4ft to 4ft swell. The water temp is about average for this time of year. Get on those. The rest is a gamble.

Rusty.

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