Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for this little stretch of coast. We’ve got a tricky 16-day window ahead, with a lot of wind and chop to fight through, but there’s a moment of pure magic hiding in there for those who are patient.

The overall pattern is dominated by a persistent cross-onshore wind through most of the period, which is going to mess up a lot of what would otherwise be decent swell. The swell energy is moderate to strong, but the wind keeps it from being good. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing wild there.

The one real standout is Monday morning, 27 July at Coxos. This is where the stars align. You’ve got a clean 4ft swell from the NNW, but the real story is the wind: completely glassy, dead calm. For a spot that’s a fairly consistent reef break, that’s going to deliver some silky, clean lines. The swell period is short at 7 seconds, so it will be a bit weaker, but for that morning, it’s the best you’re going to get. The combined energy is moderate (245). This is the session to aim for.

The rest of the first week is a write-off. From Sunday afternoon through to the end of July, it’s cross-onshore winds and poor surf conditions. The wind is just too strong and from the wrong direction. There’s a brief moment on Tuesday morning, 28 July, with a bit more energy (381) and a longer period (10 seconds), but the wind is cross-on, so it’s marginal at best.

Then we hit a long, frustrating gap. From the end of July right through the first week of August, it’s nothing but poor surf. The wind is relentless, 16-22 mph from the N and NNW, and the waves are all choppy and lumpy. The swell gets bigger – up to 8ft on the 4th and 5th of August – but with a fresh to strong breeze on it, the surface is just a mess. That’s kite surfing territory, not paddle surfing. The combined energy on Wednesday morning, 5 August, hits a massive 1208, but it’s all wind-slapped.

The second week doesn’t get much better. There’s a marginal window on Sunday morning, 9 August, with a 7ft swell from the NNW and a 690 combined energy, but the wind is onshore and the conditions are described as questionable. It’s a long way out, so don’t bank on it.

Expect a long blank run of about 10 days from the end of July until the 9th of August, with no real surfable waves. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a tough outlook.

Rusty.

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