Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Coxos.

Right now, the surf is pretty much a write-off. We’ve got a solid week of poor conditions ahead, with strong north winds ruining the shape and making things choppy and lumpy. The swell is there, but it’s not doing us any favours. From Tuesday morning, September 8th, right through to the end of the week, it’s a mess. The waves are mostly small and weak, with a combined energy around 300 to 600 (moderate), but the wind is just relentless. Saturday morning, September 12th, things get a little less grim – the wind drops to a light breeze, but the swell is still a bit jumbled and the conditions are only marginal. That’s a skip for me.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Sunday morning, September 13th. We’ve got a longer-period groundswell showing up from the NW, with a 13-second period and a solid combined energy of 806 (moderate to strong). The swell is only 4ft, but the wind is a slight air, just a light cross-onshore ripple. It’s still a bit on the cross side, but the quality is there. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Now, Monday morning, September 14th, is where it gets interesting. The wind goes glassy. Absolutely glassy. North-northeast at 3 mph, zero wind. The swell is 4ft from the NW with a 12-second period and a combined energy of 465 (moderate). This is the standout of the first week. Clean, lined-up waves at Coxos, with that classic reef setup. Expect some long, proper waves. Crowds are likely here, but for that kind of glass, it’s worth it.

The second week gets a bit more interesting. Thursday morning, September 17th, we see a bigger pulse of swell – 7ft from the NNW with a combined energy of 1113 (strong). That’s a big wave for this spot. The wind is light offshore from the NW at 3 mph, which is perfect. But that’s a serious wave, more for the experienced crew. 7ft on a reef, with that period, is going to be powerful and a bit intimidating for beginners.

Then Friday morning, September 18th, is another potential beauty. The swell drops to 7ft, but the wind switches to a light cross-offshore from the SSE at 6 mph, making for clean faces. The combined energy is 631 (moderate to strong). This is a really good window, but it’s a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it.

The last real stand-out is a week later, on Sunday morning, September 20th. Another glassy morning, with a light NE breeze at 3 mph. The swell is 4ft from the NW at a super long 13-second period, with a combined energy of 499 (moderate). It’s a smaller day, but that glass will make it incredibly fun. Perfect for a longboard or a mid-length.

After that, the wind picks up again and the forecast gets messy. The last few days of the window show strong north winds and very strong, but blown-out, swell. It’s a no-go.

So, the picks: Monday morning, September 14th, for the glass and clean lines. And for the bigger, more powerful stuff, Thursday morning, September 17th, for the experienced surfers. That second one is a bit further out, but it’s got the potential to be a proper session.

Rusty.

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