Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut through the noise and talk about what’s actually happening with the surf. We’re looking at a pretty tough stretch for Coxos over the next 16 days. The water temp is sitting at 68°F, which is 1°F cooler than average for this time of year, so pretty much what you’d expect.

The first decent opportunity doesn’t show up until Friday afternoon, August 28th. We’ve got a 7ft swell rolling in from the WNW with a period of 11 seconds, giving a solid 1134 combined energy. That’s moderate wave energy, but the wind is blowing onshore from the NW at 12 mph. The forecast is calling it marginal, and honestly, that onshore breeze is going to mess with the shape. It’s not a standout, but it’s the first wave we’ve got.

After that, the conditions just go flat. From Saturday, August 29th, right through to Saturday, September 5th, it’s a real dead zone. We’re talking consistent cross-onshore winds, lumpy and choppy conditions, and scores that are basically zero. There’s a brief glimmer on Sunday morning, September 6th, when a 4ft swell from the NNW with a very long 11-second period shows up. The combined energy jumps to 559, but it’s still a marginal call with light cross-onshore winds. It’s something to keep an eye on, but nothing to get excited about.

The one true standout in this whole outlook is the window around Thursday, September 10th. On Thursday morning, we’re looking at a 8ft swell from the NNW with an 8-second period. The combined energy is a massive 1819, which is strong wave energy. The wind is a light breeze from the north at 6 mph, but it’s cross-on, so it’s not perfect. The real gem is Thursday afternoon: a 7ft swell from the NNW, but the period stretches out to a very long 12 seconds. That’s groundswell territory, and the combined energy is still pumping at 1423. The wind is light and onshore from the NW, which could clean it up a bit. This is a solid swell at a reef break, and with that long period, it should hold up well. Keep in mind, with the swell over 5ft, it’s getting a bit too big for beginners, and the crowds at Coxos are often there, so expect some company.

The following days drop off again. By Saturday, September 12th, we’re back to small, weak swell with onshore winds.

So, the bottom line: the first week is a washout. The best bet is Thursday, September 10th, with that solid, long-period groundswell. It’s a promising day, but it’s a week and a half out, so don’t book the time off just yet. Conditions can turn.

Rusty.

Read more