Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a hard look at what’s coming up for this region. The only spot on the radar is Coxos, a reef break that’s fairly consistent and points straight into the NNW swell window. But I gotta be straight with you—this 16-day run is a tough one.

The water temp at Coxos is sitting at 69°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The pattern starts with a real struggle. From Monday the 31st of August right through the first week of September, the wind is a problem. We’ve got a fresh to moderate breeze blowing cross-on from the north and north-northwest, and the swell is small to moderate, around 2 to 6 feet, mostly from the NW and NNW. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate (89 to 486), but it doesn’t matter because the conditions are described as lumpy, choppy, and messy. The scores are all zeros. There’s nothing to get excited about here.

We do get a bit of a change on Sunday the 6th of September. The morning shows a light breeze from the NNW, with the swell coming in from the NNW at 3 feet but with a period of 12 seconds—that’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy jumps to 359, which is moderate. The report calls it marginal, but that light wind is a big positive. This is the best-looking window in the whole outlook, but it’s still just a flicker of hope. The afternoon turns choppy again.

After that, it’s back to the same story: cross-on winds, fresh breezes, and poor surf. The swell stays small, mostly under 3 feet, and the energy is low to moderate. There’s a brief moment on the morning of Saturday the 12th of September with a gentle breeze and a light offshore from the NW, but the swell is only 3 feet and the period is 10 seconds. It’s clean, but it’s not going to set the world on fire.

The final stretch from the 13th to the 15th of September is more of the same: marginal at best, with light winds but small swell. The period gets a little longer at times, like 11 seconds on the 15th, but the swell height is only 2 feet. The energy is low (112 to 125). It’s not enough to bother paddling out for.

So here’s the bottom line: there’s a gap of about a week of poor to no surf at the start. The one standout, if you can call it that, is the morning of Sunday the 6th of September. Light wind, a 12-second groundswell from the NNW, and 3-foot waves. It’s not big, but it’ll be cleanest. For a reef break like Coxos, that long period will wrap in nicely. Crowds are often here, so expect company even on a marginal day.

Other than that, it’s a long, flat, windy run. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of the period. Forecasts can change, though, so don’t write the whole season off just yet.

Rusty out.

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