Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for this stretch of coast. We’re only looking at one spot here, Coxos, and I gotta be straight with you—it’s a slow start. There’s a real dry spell at the beginning, with no worthwhile surf until we get deep into the forecast.

The first week or so is pretty grim. From Tuesday the 7th right through to Sunday the 19th, it’s all small, choppy, and messy. Winds are mostly cross-on or onshore, and the wave heights barely crack 3 ft. The combined swell energy is very weak, often sitting in the 30s and 40s, barely touching three figures. You’d be fighting blown-out, poor conditions for nothing. This is a tough run for an exposed reef like Coxos.

Now, things start to get interesting right at the back end. Monday the 20th shows a pulse of swell starting to build, around 4 ft to 5 ft from the NNW, but the period is short (5 to 6 seconds), so it won’t have much punch. The energy is moderate though, jumping to 160 and then 176. Still not clean enough to call a winner.

The real standout, and the only one worth getting excited about, arrives on Wednesday the 22nd. That morning we’ve got solid 8 ft swell from the NNW, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is strong at 758, so there’s proper power in the water. The wind is coming from the south, which is cross-offshore and keeps the waves clean. By the afternoon, it bumps up to 8 ft and the energy rockets to 864. This is big, powerful reef surf for experts only. The downside? The swell direction is NNW, and Coxos prefers the swell from NNW, so it’s matching up nicely. But that 8-second period is middling, not a long groundswell. Still, with clean conditions and decent size, Wednesday the 22nd is the clear pick.

Remember, the water temperature at Coxos is 67°F, and the anomaly is only 0.4°F, so it’s about normal for this time of year. No surprises there.

So to sum it up: you wait a long time. Nothing worth paddling out for until that spike on Wednesday the 22nd of July. That’s the day to circle on your calendar. It’s a heavy reef break, and at over 8 ft, this is for experienced surfers only. The combination of size, clean offshore wind, and the right swell direction makes it the one bright spot in an otherwise quiet outlook. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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