Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. The next week and a bit is looking pretty average for us here at Coxos, to be honest. We’ve got a lot of onshore wind and lumpy conditions to wade through before we see anything worth getting excited about. It’s not a total write-off, but you’re going to need to be patient.

We’re starting off with a real flat spell. From Wednesday afternoon right through to Thursday, we’re looking at weak, short-period swell and cross-onshore breezes. The water temp is sitting at 69°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. The energy in the water is weak (105 to 141), and it’s just not doing us any favors. You’ll see a couple of small waves but it’s poor, choppy stuff.

Friday the 4th, things glass off. Westerly winds go light and there’s a chance of a clean surface, but the swell drops away to 2ft with a short 8-second period. The energy is still weak (90-92). It’s surfable, but it’s pretty ordinary – you’d be scratching for a knee-high ripple.

The weekend brings a little more size but not much else. Saturday the 5th keeps that small, cleanish vibe in the morning, but by the afternoon a 15-second period swell shows up, and the energy jumps to 330. But the wind switches onshore from the WNW, so it gets messy and the waves are only 2ft. Marginal. Sunday the 6th has more size – 4ft with a 12-second period – and the energy is moderate to strong (606), but it’s crossed up and choppy. The NNW wind at 15 mph ruins it. This is still poor.

From Monday the 7th through to Wednesday the 9th, we see a pulse of swell, up to 8ft. The energy is strong to very strong (870 on Wednesday morning), but it’s all accompanied by fresh, cross-onshore northerly winds blowing 19 to 22 mph. This is going to be lumpy, bumpy, and a total mess. These are not surfable conditions for a reef break like this; it’ll be blown out and ugly. The swell direction is from the NNW, but the wind is just killing it. At this size, with this wind, this is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

After that, it drops back down but the wind doesn’t let up. Thursday and Friday are still onshore with moderate to fresh breezes. We get some 6ft and then down to 4ft, but it’s all cross-onshore and choppy. Poor.

Now, here’s where things start to look a little more interesting. The following Sunday, the 13th, the wind goes light easterly, which gives us a clean surface. The swell is only 2ft from the WNW, but it’s clean and the energy is weak to moderate (118). It’s surfable, but still pretty ordinary.

But then, look at Monday the 14th. This is the one to watch. The swell kicks up to 6ft with a solid 14-second period from the NW, and the energy is massive – 1588, which is strong to very strong. The wind is light from the north, so it’s only a light cross-onshore. The conditions are still listed as marginal, but this is our best chance for a proper surf. The period is long, so it’ll have some power behind it, but this spot being a reef, it should handle it well. The onshore wind might put a bit of a ripple on it, but it’s the most promising window we have. Tuesday the 15th still has decent size and period (6ft, 13s) but the wind gets up again, so it’s less appealing.

After that, it’s all downhill again with strong winds and dropping swell. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing from the 16th onward.

So what’s the call? If you can, get out on Monday the 14th morning. It’s the only real standout in the whole window, with size and long-period energy. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best we’ve got, and it’s a week out, so keep an eye on it. The Sunday the 13th morning might be all right for a clean, small-wave session if you’re desperate. But otherwise, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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