Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat on what the next couple of weeks are looking like.

It’s a pretty grim start, I’m not gonna lie. We’ve got a solid run of poor conditions on the cards, stretching from now all the way through the 16th of July. That’s a long stretch of flat or junk surf. The combined energy is weak for most of that time, spending days in the 60s and 70s, with only a few fleeting bumps into the low 100s that still look messy. The winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, just ruining any chance of clean lines. For a spot like Coxos, a reef break that really needs that clean, lined-up groundswell to show its magic, this is a tough watch.

The first tiny glimmer is on Monday the 13th morning, but it’s only scoring it a 1 out of 10 and the comment says "marginal surf" – that’s just not worth paddling out for.

We’ve got to wait until the 19th of July before we see anything that’s not a zero in the score column. Even then, it’s still a zero, but the swell is starting to push up. On Sunday the 19th, we see a pulse of swell hitting 4ft to 4ft from the N and NW, but the period is short – only 5 to 6 seconds – and the wind is onshore. The combined energy gets into the 130s and 140s, so there’s some push, but it’s going to be a choppy, disorganised mess at the reef.

Then a big shift hits on Thursday the 23rd. The swell jumps to 7ft from the NNW, with combined energy blasting up to 355 – that’s serious power. But it comes with a big caveat: winds are howling from the N at 16 mph, making it a lumpy, cross-onshore mess. That size, with that wind and only a 7-second period, is going to be a washing machine. It’s one for the experts only, and even then, only if you’re feeling suicidal.

Honestly, there’s no standout session in this whole run. The only day that even hints at potential is a long way off, and it looks more like a kite-surfing day than a clean paddle-surfing day. We’re in for a long, frustrating spell.

Rusty.

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