Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and settle in, because I’ve got the full picture for Coxos over the next couple of weeks. To be straight with you from the start, it’s a tough outlook. This is one of those runs where the ocean just isn’t playing ball for us.

The overall pattern is a long, frustrating stretch of poor surf. We’re looking at a solid gap with no real recommendations right through the first week and into the second. The first hint of anything remotely interesting doesn’t show up until Monday, July 21st, and even then, it’s only a marginal call. So, for the first six days from Wednesday the 15th through to Sunday the 20th, it’s basically a write-off. The conditions are consistently poor, with onshore or cross-onshore winds and small, weak swell. Don’t bother paddling out.

Coxos is a reef break, and it needs the right combo. The optimum swell direction is from the NNW. Through the early part of the forecast, we’re seeing a lot of windswell from the WNW and NW, with a short period, and the combined wave energy is weak as anything – values hanging around the 20s and 40s. For example, on Wednesday morning the 15th, it’s a clear sky with a light cross-onshore, but the swell is just 1 ft from the WNW at 9 seconds, with a combined energy of only 47. It’s just not happening.

The first day that deserves a mention is Monday, July 21st. The morning session shows a bit of a pulse. The swell is 4 ft from the NNW, which is the right direction, with a period of 9 seconds and a combined energy of 215 – that’s moderate energy, finally. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the WSW, which is okay, but not ideal. The report calls it “marginal” due to questionable tide conditions, but it’s the best we’ve seen all week. The afternoon cleans up a bit with a pure cross-shore wind, though the swell drops a little. It’s not a standout, but it’s the only window of possibility.

After that, it goes flat again. The energy drops back into the weak zone, and the winds stay messy. The longer-range looks a bit more interesting, but it’s a mixed bag. By Saturday, July 26th, the swell size builds to 7 ft from the NNW, but the period is a short 8 seconds, and the wind is a moderate cross-onshore. That size is going to be a handful on a reef, and with the wind being cross-onshore, it’s going to be choppy and lumpy. The energy is high (549), but the quality just isn’t there. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle session.

The water temperature is about average for the time of year, no wild anomalies to report.

So, the honest truth? There’s no true standout session in this 16-day window. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on the morning of Monday, July 21st, and maybe the afternoon of Saturday, July 25th, but keep your expectations low. The rest is a long, quiet spell. Don’t sell your board, but maybe give it a rest for a bit.

Rusty

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