Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at the charts. To be honest, it’s a grim outlook for the next couple of weeks. A long, dry run of flat and messy conditions. The first real opportunity to paddle out is a long ways off.

For the first ten days, from Sunday the 5th all the way to Monday the 13th, it’s basically a wait-and-see. The swell is small, under 2ft, mostly from the NW, but the wind is a constant pain. Cross-onshore winds, moderate to fresh, keep everything lumpy and choppy. The water temp at the start is 67°, which is standard for the season. The wave energy is in the weak range, with combined swell numbers barely breaking 100 for most of it. It’s a "stay on the beach" kind of stretch.

There’s a bit of a spike around Saturday the 11th, with waves pushing up to 3ft, but the fresh cross-onshore wind ruins it. It’s bumpy and unattractive. By Sunday the 12th, the swell is up to 8ft, but again, a fresh cross-onshore wind makes it a tough, choppy ride, even with a moderate pulse of energy in the water (826).

Things start to shift a little on Tuesday morning, July 14th. The wind finally goes light and offshore from the N, with waves around 5ft from the NNW. The period is short, just 7 seconds, so the waves won’t have much punch, but at least the wind is clean. It’s described as "marginal", so it’s the first half-decent window.

Your real standout, and the only one I’d get excited about, is Monday morning, July 20th. The wind turns light and offshore from the ESE, blowing straight out of the optimum swell direction for Coxos, which is NNW. We’re looking at 4ft of swell from the NNW with a short period. The water will be clean, calm, and the combined energy is 153—a moderate amount. This is a long-range call, so it’s not locked in, but this is the best shot in the whole 16 days. Coxos, a reef break, will be waiting. For advanced surfers, this is your morning. Expect crowds, as it’s “often” busy, but that clean, offshore session is going to be worth the company.

So, in short: the first ten days are a write-off. You get a marginal chance on July 14th, but the only real date to save is Monday, July 20th.

Rusty.

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