Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down the full sixteen-day outlook for the only spot that’s in the cards: Coxos.

Right off the bat, I’ll level with you – the first week is a straight-up bust. For about ten days, it’s all cross-onshore winds messing with whatever swell we’ve got. The water temp is sitting near 71°F, which is about 2°F warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little touch if you can get wet, but the wind is the real beast.

From Wednesday the 12th through Saturday the 16th, it’s all cross-onshore and choppy. The swell builds from a tiny 3 ft to a wild 10 ft on Saturday the 15th, but with that 25 mph NNW wind, it’s a washing machine. The combined wave energy hits 998 (moderate) that Saturday morning, but it’s all for nothing with that wind. This setup is more for kite surfers than us paddle folks.

We finally get a break on Monday the 17th. The morning session has a light cross-shore breeze and a solid 8 ft swell from the NNW, with a combined energy of 851 (moderate). It’s a marginal call, but it’s the first real chance. Tuesday the 18th is similar: a light cross-shore breeze in the morning, 7 ft swell, and a combined energy of 697 (moderate). Still marginal, but the wind is light enough to give it a thought.

Now, Wednesday the 19th of August is the one to circle. The morning is glassy – dead flat – with a slight air moving. The swell is a clean 6 ft from the NNW, with a period of 9 seconds. That’s a solid groundswell, and a combined energy of 476 (moderate) means there’s enough push. Coxos is a reef, so that longer period (over 8 seconds) will wrap in nicely. It’s a fairly consistent spot, but it’s advanced only, so know your limits. Crowds are often here, so expect some company. This is your window.

After that, it’s back to the grind. From Thursday the 20th through Tuesday the 26th, the cross-onshore winds are back, and the swell gets messy again. The size hangs around 7 ft to 8 ft, but the wind is a constant 15 to 25 mph. The energy is there – hitting 1097 (strong) on Sunday the 23rd and again on Monday the 24th – but the wind just ruins it. Another kite session, for sure.

The tail end, from Wednesday the 26th into Thursday the 27th, shows the swell dropping back to 5 ft to 6 ft, and the winds finally ease. Thursday morning the 27th has a light cross-shore breeze and a 5 ft swell. It’s marginal, but it’s a gentler finish to a rough run.

So, here’s the takeaway: if you’re set on Coxos, make your move on the morning of Wednesday the 19th. That’s the cleanest, most promising session in this whole 16-day window. The rest is a battle with the wind.

Stay patient, and keep your eyes on the horizon.

Rusty.

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