Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards.

Right, the outlook for Coxos is a bit of a tough one. We’ve got a long dry spell ahead. The first proper recommendation doesn't even appear on the horizon for a while. There’s a massive gap of almost no surf worth paddling for. The good news is that this spot is a fairly consistent reef break, so when it does turn on, it can be special. The water temperature is sitting at 66.7°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We start off this Wednesday, July 8th, with nothing doing. A small 2.9ft swell from the NNW is getting chopped up by a 12 mph cross-on wind, and that combined swell energy is a weak 65. It’s a write-off. Thursday and Friday are much the same story – tiny, weak swells and onshore winds. You’d be wasting your time.

Saturday the 11th morning shows a glimmer. The wind goes light, almost glassy, with a 1.3ft NW swell at a long 11-second period. The energy is still just 92, so it’s marginal, but that clean surface could give you a few slippery ones if you’re desperate.

The real story here, the one true standout, is that stretch from Sunday July 19th through to the end of the forecast. We’ve got a solid pulse of NW swell. By Sunday morning the 19th, we’re looking at 6.2ft from the NNW, with the combined energy jumping to a strong 419. That’s proper. By Monday the 20th morning, it’s hitting 8.2ft from the NNW, and the energy is a very strong 976. This is expert territory now, as it’s well over 8ft. The only catch is that every single session in that period is plagued by cross-on winds, mostly a fresh 19-22 mph from the N or NNW. It’s gonna be lumpy, bumpy, and pretty raw.

For a break that loves a clean offshore from the SE, having a howling cross-on is a real shame. The waves will have power, but the surface will be messy. For a reef like Coxos, a long-period groundswell like this (period 8-9 seconds on those bigger days) will bring a lot of energy, but with the wind direction all wrong, it’s not going to be a classic. Honestly, with that much swell and those strong onshore winds at a reef setup, it’s looking more interesting for a kite session than a clean paddle session.

The pick of the bunch, if you’re an expert looking for power and don’t mind a challenge, is the morning of Monday July 20th. Swell is a solid 8.2ft from the NNW, energy is a massive 976, and although the wind is a cross-on 16 mph from the north, that’s the lightest the wind will be during the whole big swell window. It’s a beast, but it’s the only real option.

Stay safe out there.

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