Coxos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I've got to be straight with you—this 16-day stretch for Coxos is a tough one. We're looking at a pretty grim run of poor surf conditions, with a solid gap of nothing worthwhile from the start all the way through to Friday, September 5th. After that, there's a flicker of hope, but it's a long wait for anything that gets the heart pumping.

Let's start with the here and now. Right from Saturday, August 29th, it's a write-off. The water's sitting at about 67°F, which is about normal for this time of year, but that's the only thing that's average. Swell is hanging around 4ft to 6ft from the NW, but the wind is a relentless cross-onshore from the north, blowing at 9 to 22 mph. The wave energy is moderate, with values like 437 and 535, but it's all wasted on choppy, lumpy conditions. Every session through the end of August and into the first week of September is rated as poor surf. It's a real bummer—no clean lines, just messy, wind-affected junk.

We hit a rough patch from August 29th until September 5th, with no surf recommendations at all. That's a solid week of nothing to write home about. The first real sniff of potential shows up on Saturday, September 6th, and it's a bit of a tease. Sunday morning, September 6th, is the standout. The swell drops to 4ft from the NNW, but the wind swings to a light cross-offshore from the ENE at 6 mph, and the wave comment says "expect good surf conditions." The wave energy is a moderate 368, and the swell period is a decent 11 seconds, which should give you some shape. But here's the catch: Coxos is a reef break that's exposed to NNW swell, and the optimum swell direction is from the NNW, so this aligns perfectly. The water temp is still around normal, but it's a clean window. The only issue is that Coxos is often crowded, and with conditions this clean, you can bet the lineup will be busy. For a brief moment, it looks like a dream.

But don't get too excited. By Sunday afternoon, the wind shifts back to a moderate cross-shore from the NNE, and the quality vanishes. The rest of the forecast, from September 7th through to September 13th, is a repeat of the same: cross-onshore winds, poor surf, and moderate to fresh breezes kicking up chop. There's a brief moment on September 13th with a long-period 14-second swell from the WNW, but the wind is still cross-onshore, and the wave energy is weak at 243, so it's not worth paddling out for. The wave comment calls it "poor surf conditions" across the board.

So, if you're itching for a wave, mark your calendar for Sunday morning, September 6th. That's your best bet: clean, offshore winds, a solid 4ft groundswell from the NNW, and a reef setup that'll handle the swell. Just be prepared to share the peak.

Rusty.

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