Cordoama Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day run for Cordoama, and I’ll be straight with you – it’s a rough start. The first week and a half is pretty much a write-off.

We’re looking at the whole 16-day window, and the honest truth is there’s nothing really worth paddling out for until the very end of the run. The first ten days are a struggle. From Wednesday the 15th of July right through to about Tuesday the 22nd of July, it’s all small, weak, and messy. Swell heights are barely scraping 1.0 ft to 3 ft, with a short, choppy period of 5 to 9 seconds. The wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, and it’s blowing a fresh 15 to 22 mph from the NNW. That’s a recipe for lumpy, blown-out, poor surf conditions. The combined energy is weak, under 100, and it just feels like a flat spell. There’s a gap of over a week of this kind of stuff.

Come Wednesday the 23rd of July, things start to look a little more energetic, but it’s still not good. The swell picks up a bit – 3 ft to 5 ft – but it’s a short-period NNW windswell, and the wind is still cross-onshore and fresh. The energy climbs into the low hundreds, but it’s all chop and no shape. You’d be fighting an uphill battle.

Now, the real shift happens on the weekend of the 25th and 26th of July. A bigger, longer-period NW groundswell starts to push in. On Saturday the 25th, we’re looking at 5 ft to 6 ft from the NW with a period of 7 seconds. The energy jumps to 251, and then 319, which is a proper sign of life. But the wind is still cross-onshore and fresh, so it’s not clean. By Sunday the 26th of July, the swell is hitting 7 ft to 8 ft from the NW, with a period of 8 seconds. The energy is strong, up to 844. This is big, powerful stuff, but it's still onshore. For a spot like Cordoama, which is exposed to the NW, this is a lot of water moving, but the wind is trash. It’s too big for beginners and the onshore wind will make it a bumpy, bowling close-out for most. This is more of a kite-surfing window than a proper paddle session.

The best chance we get – and I mean the only real standout – is on Wednesday the 29th of July. The morning shows a 5 ft NW swell with an 8-second period. The energy is still solid at 347. But the big news is the wind. It swings to a light N breeze at only 6 mph, which is a cross-on direction. It’s not glassy, but it’s a light cross-onshore with small wind ripples, which is a massive improvement over the fresh gales we’ve been seeing. The forecast even calls it “marginal” but that’s a win compared to the rest. The swell direction (NW) is a good match for the optimum NW direction for Cordoama. The break is consistent, so it won’t be a waiting game. Expect crowds, as it’s a popular spot, but with these conditions, it’s the best on offer. The water temp is 69°, which is about average for this time of year.

After that, Thursday the 30th of July goes back to a bigger 6 ft swell but with a moderate cross-onshore wind, so it’s a chop-fest again.

So, the bottom line: there’s a huge blank run for the first 10 days. The only window that’s worth a look is the morning of Wednesday the 29th of July. It’s not a perfect day, but it’s the only day the wind gives you a break. After that, it’s back to the wind.

Rusty.

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