Doura Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window for Doura is a tough one. We're looking at a drawn-out stretch of small waves and less-than-ideal winds, so you’re going to have to pick your moments carefully. This is a river mouth break, and it's an advanced wave when it's on – but that "when" is the problem here.

The whole run starts off pretty flat and messy. Saturday afternoon the 25th kicks off with a weak 5ft swell out of the NNW, but the period is a short, weak 7 seconds and the combined energy is only a paltry 180 – that’s weak to moderate on a bad day. Then the weather is clear but a 15 mph north wind blows cross-off, ruining any chance of a decent shape. The water temp is sitting at 74°, which with a tiny +0.2° anomaly is right where you’d expect for this time of year.

Sunday the 26th morning is your first real sniff of something. The swell holds at 5ft from the NW, still short period 7 seconds and 199 combined energy, but the wind drops right back to a light 3 mph breeze from the NNE, and it stays cross-off. The notes call it "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" – it’s clean, but small and weak. You’ll get a few close-out walls and won’t be fighting a crowd, but with "sometimes" crowds, you might have a couple of mates out. It’s the best on offer in this first week, but 'best' is a low bar.

As we push into Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th, the swell drops off a cliff – down to 4ft and then 2ft by Tuesday morning. The period stays short, and the wind swings onshore, making it a choppy, crumbly mess with the combined energy dropping to just 44 on Tuesday morning. That’s basically flat. The whole first week is a write-off after Sunday, with that gap of several days of poor, unsurfable conditions.

Now, moving into the second week, we get the same pattern. Saturday the 1st of August morning has a small 3ft NW swell, period 6 seconds, but the wind goes offshore from the ENE at only 3 mph – clean, but tiny. Combined energy is 101, so it’s barely there. Then Sunday the 2nd of August glassy morning – 3ft NW, period 7 seconds, 132 combined energy, and glassy wind from the NW. That’s a clean little runner for a river mouth – you’ll get a few longer walls, but don't expect any power.

For me, the standout across the whole outlook is Monday the 3rd of August morning. We get a bump up to 4ft out of the NW, period climbing to a slightly more acceptable 8 seconds, and the combined energy hits 208 – that’s moderate, with some push. The wind is glassy at 3 mph from the NW. It’s a small, clean wave that will bend around the river mouth nicely, perfect for an advanced surfer who wants a bit of length on their ride. The period isn't long enough to make it too straight, so it’ll have some shape. Keep an eye on that one.

Right at the very end of the window, Friday afternoon the 7th of August and Saturday morning the 8th show a jump in combined energy – 273 and 222 respectively – with a longer 11-second period on the 7th, but the swell height is only 3ft and 4ft. The directions are NW, cross-off winds from the NNE. That long period (groundswell) will make it a bit more playful at the river mouth, but the size is tiny. It’s a tease, nothing more.

Honestly, for this area, it’s not unusual to get a blank run like this. The patterns just haven’t aligned. Don’t give up hope – forecasts change, and the consistency is enough that it won’t stay poor forever.

This has been Rusty.

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