Cap Sim Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Cap Sim. I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and gloomy for real waves. There’s a big gap of nothing happening for the first week, so don’t get your hopes up.

Looking at the whole picture, we’re starting on Friday, July 31st, and there’s just a tiny bit of swell showing, but it’s not worth paddling out for. The wind is a cross-off from the north at 12 mph, and the swell is a weak, short-period 5 ft from the north with a period of just 7 seconds. The combined energy is only 237 – that’s weak. It’s just not going to shape up into anything decent. The water temperature anomaly is about average for the time of year, nothing special.

We go through the entire first week and into the second, and it’s a real desert. The swell stays tiny, often under 2 ft, and the wind is mostly a fresh to strong breeze from the north or north-northeast, keeping things messy. The energy barely climbs above 100. It’s a long stretch of poor surf conditions, day after day. There’s a brief moment on Sunday, August 9th, where the swell tries to push up to 7 ft, but it’s short-period (6-7 seconds) and the wind is a strong breeze, so it’s just a big, bumpy, crumbly mess. Not one for the log.

The only real standout – and I’m using that term loosely – is Saturday, August 15th. The morning shows a 6 ft north swell, still with a short 7-second period, but the wind drops to a gentle 9 mph cross-off from the north. The energy is a moderate 289. It’s still not a classic, but it’s the cleanest, most promising window in the whole 16-day forecast. It’s the only day with a score of 2 out of 10, and it’s the best we’ve got. Still, a short-period north swell at Cap Sim isn’t what it’s famous for – it’s a reef break that prefers a good groundswell from the NW. This one will be a bit fat and fast, but with that light wind, it’ll be rideable and clean. Crowds are possible here, so keep an eye out.

Honestly, for most of this period, you’re better off finding something else to do. The wind is howling, the swell is poor, and it’s a tough run. The setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on those windy days. But hope springs eternal – forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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