Cap Sim Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s run through what Cap Sim’s got cookin’. I’ll be honest right off the bat – it’s a grim stretch. For the next 16 days, you’ll be hard-pressed to find much worth paddling out for.

Starting Tuesday, July 7th. The morning is glassy with a light 3 mph wind out of the NNW, but the swell is a tiny 0.7 ft from the NNW with a 9-second period. The wave energy is a weak 19. It’s basically flat. We see this “poor surf conditions” label stick around all day.

Through Wednesday the 8th to Saturday the 11th, it’s the same sad tune. Swell stays puny at 0.7 ft to 1 ft out of the NW, with clean but cross-off winds between 9 and 19 mph. The combined energy never gets past 46. Clean but totally flat is the reality.

Sunday the 12th shows a pulse, finally hitting 3 ft to 3 ft from the NW. The wave energy climbs into the moderate range at 139 to 144. But the wind is cross-off at 16 to 22 mph, and the surface won’t be clean enough to enjoy it.

Monday the 13th afternoon brings a bigger jump: 5 ft from the NNW at 9 seconds, with the energy at 281. That’s some power, but a 22 mph fresh breeze is going to mess with the shape.

Now from July 15th onward, the swell gets serious. We’re talking 6 ft on Wednesday afternoon, and then from the 16th through the 22nd, it’s 7 ft and climbing to over 8 ft. The energy hits strong levels: 356, 446, 516, and a massive 599 by Sunday the 19th afternoon. That’s a lot of water moving.

But here’s the catch. The swell direction locks in from the north with a short 6 to 7-second period. That means close-out, messy, unshapely lumps. Not the kind of waves that peel nicely over a reef. And the wind doesn’t let up. It’s cross-off from the N or NNE at 22 to 31 mph, with Saturday the 18th afternoon seeing a near gale at 31 mph. This is expert-only territory. Beginners, don’t even think about it.

Given the strong wind and short-period swell, this is looking way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The waves will be bumpy junk.

So, the stand-out? There isn’t one. No clean, light-wind day with a quality, long-period groundswell. If I had to pick a moment, maybe Monday the 13th morning when it’s 3 ft from the NW, but the wind is 19 mph. It’s bleak.

Keep peeking at the forecast. It can’t stay this useless forever.

Rusty.

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