Cap Sim Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, checking in with a look at the next couple of weeks for Cap Sim. It’s a bit of a wild stretch, so let’s get into it.

Honestly, the outlook for Cap Sim is a tough one. We're looking at a solid run of swell, but the wind is the real story here. For the first week and a half, it’s just howling. We’ve got a strong, persistent north-northeast breeze blowing offshore, but it’s so strong it’s making the waves a real battle to paddle into. The waves themselves are there, with a north swell pushing 7 ft on Saturday the 25th, but with a short period of just 7 seconds, it’s all a bit of a mess. The combined energy is moderate (456), but the conditions are just "poor." It’s clean, but it’s not fun.

This pattern of strong offshore wind and medium-sized, short-period swell from the north continues right through the next week. Sunday the 26th, Monday the 27th, it’s the same story. The swell hangs around 5 ft to 8 ft, but the wind is always a fresh to strong breeze, 18 to 28 mph. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no anomaly there. It’s the kind of setup that looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, given the strong, consistent wind and the beach-and-reef setup.

We get a brief lull around Thursday the 30th of July, with the swell dropping to almost nothing. Then it picks back up, but the wind is still messy. The only real glimmer of hope, and I mean a tiny one, comes on Saturday the 1st of August. There’s a hint of a WNW swell with a period of 11 seconds, but the combined energy is still moderate (380) and the forecast is only "marginal." The crowd potential at Cap Sim is "sometimes," but with conditions this average, it won’t be a factor.

The second week of August is more of the same. The swell is consistent, mostly 7 ft to 8 ft from the north, but the wind is relentless. It’s a clean, cross-off shore wind, but the strength never lets up, staying in the 15 to 28 mph range. The period is short, around 7 seconds, making it a lumpy, hard-to-ride mess. The energy is moderate (489 to 663), but it’s just not quality surf. There’s no standout period here. The best bet, if you’re desperate, would be the mornings when the wind is a touch lighter, but it’s still a grind.

In short, we’ve got plenty of swell, but the wind is the enemy. It’s a dry spell for quality waves. For a spot that's fairly consistent, this is a frustrating run. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a hard pass for me.

Rusty.

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