Dracula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, but in feet and miles per hour for you. Let’s break this down. Only one spot on the list: Dracula. And the whole 16-day window is a bummer. Early on, there’s basically nothing. The first few days have tiny, weak swell with poor wind – scores are flat zero. Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th have glassy mornings, but the swell is 2 to 3 ft at a short 5 to 6 seconds, and the combined energy is weak as hell (43 to 68). Not worth a paddle.

Thursday morning the 9th is the first sign of life: 4 ft from the NNW at 6 seconds, glassy, energy at 96 (still weak), described as “surfable but very ordinary.” It’s marginal. Afternoons get torn up by fresh cross-shore wind.

From the 10th onward, the swell builds to 5 to 7 ft, but the wind stays nasty – fresh cross or cross-on from the NNW, making a mess. Mornings on the 12th, 14th, 15th, 16th, and 17th are glassy or light cross, but the swell is from the NNW, not the preferred west, and the periods are short (6 to 8 seconds). This is windswell, not groundswell. Energy climbs into moderate range (148 to 524 by Thursday afternoon the 16th), but with that short period and cross-shore wind, it’s choppy and lumpy.

If I’m picking one standout, it’s Thursday morning the 9th – not good, but it’s the first time the wind goes flat and you might find a waist-high runner. After that, Tuesday morning the 14th gives you 6 ft at 8 seconds and gentle cross-shore chop – energy at 368 (moderate) – the biggest, cleanest window in the whole run, but still far from clean. Dracula can get crowded “sometimes,” so you might have it to yourself, which is rare enough. Water temp is 68°F, about average for July – anomaly is -0.9°F, so nothing wild.

From July 15 onward, afternoons are a write-off with strong winds, mornings stay marginal. Last real shot might be Saturday the 18th morning: 5 ft at 8 seconds, light cross-shore, 238 energy (moderate) – again, not special.

Bottom line: Dracula is a consistent reef, but this forecast is a long, dry spell. If you’re keen, pick a glassy morning with the biggest swell – the 14th or maybe the 16th morning. But don’t expect much. Most afternoons look better for kite surfing than paddle surfing, with that steady cross-shore wind and building chop.

Rusty

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