Dracula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s in store. I won’t lie, this stretch is a tough one. The waves will show up, but the wind has a mind of its own for most of it. There’s about two weeks of fighting to get a clean one, but a couple of windows are worth your time.

We’re quiet until Thursday morning, July 16th, at Dracula. It’s a marginal call – a 1.6m swell from the NNW, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s a bit of a messy windswell. The combined energy is a moderate 257, but the cross-shore wind is keeping it bumpy. It’s surfable if you’re keen, but it’s work.

From Friday the 17th all the way through to Monday the 21st, it’s the same song: swell between 1.5m and 1.9m, that short period, and the wind is either cross or cross-onshore, usually 15 to 30 km/h. Water temp is a normal 70°, so nothing weird there. Crowds are possible at this reef, but with the chop, it won’t be busy. By the 22nd and 23rd, the swell pushes up to 2.0m and 2.5m, but again, that 30 km/h cross-onshore wind is going to ruin it. On those bigger days, it starts looking more like a kite session than a paddle.

Now, here’s your one true standout: Saturday morning, July 26th. This is it. We’ve got a 1.6m swell from the NNW, period still short at 7 seconds, but the wind is glassy – a light southerly at 5 km/h. The combined energy is 304, which is solid. The water will be glassy, the reef will be holding shape, and it’s the cleanest window in the whole forecast. It’s not a huge wave, but the lines will be clean.

After that, it’s back to the onshore mess, but look at Tuesday July 29th morning – a 2.5m swell with light cross-shore wind and combined energy at 824. That’s a heavy, expert-only session. Over 8 feet on a reef is serious business.

So, for the whole 16 days, the one to pin is Saturday morning, July 26th, at Dracula. Glassy and clean. The rest is a wind battle, but if you’re dedicated, a few mornings will give you a look.

Rusty.

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