Dracula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me level with you. This is Dracula (reef break), right here in the local area. We’re looking at a pretty bleak run of surf for the foreseeable future. Honestly, I’m scratching my head a bit because there’s not much to get excited about. The water temp is sitting around 68°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. But the wave action is just not there.

To put it bluntly, there’s nothing worthwhile on the table for most of the next two weeks. The forecast starts off weak. Friday the 3rd of July morning has some light cross-onshore with swell pushing 5ft from the NNW, period at 9 seconds, and combined energy is only 322 (moderate). But the wind is cross-on and the conditions are described as marginal. It’s not what you’d paddle out for. That same day afternoon is more of the same.

Now, from Saturday the 4th all the way through to the morning of Sunday the 12th, it’s basically a write-off. Most of those sessions score zeroes. The swell drops right off into the 2ft to 3ft range with periods as short as 5 to 7 seconds. The wind is either cross-on, onshore, or cross, and it’s a messy affair. There’s a couple of glassy mornings mixed in there – like Tuesday morning July 7th and Wednesday morning July 8th – but with a tiny 3ft to 3ft swell and periods around 5 seconds, the energy is weak (47 and 72), and it’s basically flat. Even the glassy conditions won’t turn that into a wave.

There’s a small gap here where nothing is recommended. Things get a little more interesting around the 14th of July. Tuesday morning the 14th offers a glassy start with 3ft of NNW swell, period 8 seconds, and combined energy of 138 (moderate). That is *just* surfable, but nothing special. The same goes for Wednesday morning July 15th (3ft, NNW, 7 seconds, energy 118) and Thursday morning July 16th (3ft, NNW, 5 seconds, energy 75). They are glassy, and you might get a few limp ones, but it’s mediocre at best.

The one true standout – if you can call it that – is looking at Saturday morning July 18th. The swell sticks around 5ft from the NNW with a period of 7 seconds, combined energy up to 251 (moderate). The wind is a light cross-on. It’s still *marginal* according to the notes, so don’t expect perfection. The afternoon on that Saturday sees the swell push 6ft, period 7 seconds, and combined energy jumps to 387 (moderate-strong), but the wind becomes a fresh cross-shore at 18 mph, making it choppy and poor. For a reef break, that cross-chop is not your friend.

So honestly, if you’re desperate, the most promising window is the glassy mornings around the 14th to 16th of July, and maybe the early session on the 18th of July. But don’t set your alarm. For a spot that’s very consistent and exposed to the west swell, this is a long, frustrating blank spell. It’ll turn around eventually, but the forecast is not on our side right now.

Rusty.

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