Dracula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the Dracula forecast. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the charts, but it’s a bit of a waiting game for the wind to play nice. It’s a reef break, so it can hold size, but we need clean conditions.

First thing’s first, water temp is running about normal for this time of year, so a 3/2 should be fine. The first couple of days, Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th, are a total write-off. We’ve got moderate to fresh cross-shore winds and a short-period windswell in the 5 to 8 foot range. It’s going to be a lumpy, choppy mess. You can feel the cross-chop in the air. Not worth the paddle out. The energy is weak, just not enough push behind it.

The first real glimmer comes Friday morning the 11th. The wind drops to a glassy 5 mph, and we’ve got a clean 6-foot swell. It’s all short-period stuff, so it will be a bit racy, but it’s clean and should offer some fun ones. The energy is moderate, in the 300s. It’ll be a one-morning stand, as the afternoon gets chopped up again.

Saturday the 12th morning also looks promising. We get a light cross-offshore breeze, and the swell holds at 6 feet. The ocean should be clean, and it looks like it’ll be the pick of the first week. Again, it's short-period, so expect a bit of a close-out potential, but still fun.

After that, the surf dips and the winds turn onshore and messy for the next week. It’s a long stretch of small, junky waves from Sunday the 13th through to Friday the 18th. We're looking at waist to shoulder-high slop with cross-onshore winds. Not much to get excited about.

But then, things get interesting. The swell starts to build again on Monday the 21st, and the energy is clearly ramping up. The real standout is the morning of Tuesday the 22nd. We’re looking at a solid 10 feet of swell from the NNW. The wind is glassy, dead off the southwest, and the forecast is calling it "excellent" for experienced surfers. This is the big one. The wave energy is crazy strong, over 1300. This is a serious, heavy session on the reef, definitely not for beginners. It’s going to be big and powerful. The afternoon sees it push even bigger to 12 feet, but the wind picks up and gets messy, so be on it early.

Wednesday the 23rd still has some size, but the wind is a bit more iffy. The following morning, Thursday the 24th, looks like another good opportunity with glassy conditions and a more manageable 5-foot swell with a slightly longer period. This looks like a solid, clean day for a slightly less intense session.

So, the big one is definitely the morning of Tuesday the 22nd. If that’s too heavy, the glassy mornings on Friday the 11th, Saturday the 12th, and Thursday the 24th are your best bets. Be patient, pick your window, and it’ll pay off.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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