Dracula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk Dracula.

This is a reef break that’s got some teeth, so only the experienced crew should be looking at it. The water temp is about 70°F, which is pretty average for this time of year. No surprises there.

The forecast is a bit of a mixed bag, honestly. The next few days are mostly blown out. Monday afternoon has some swell – about 2ft from the northwest – but the wind is cross-onshore, and it’s choppy. Not worth the paddle. Tuesday morning is slightly bigger at 3ft, and the wind drops, but the tide’s looking off. Tuesday afternoon, the cross-onshore breeze is back, and the swell is short and weak.

Wednesday and Thursday have some size, up to 6-8ft, but the wind is all over the place, especially that afternoon. It’s lumpy and cross-shore. Friday morning, the 11th, is your first real window. We’ve got a clean 6ft from the NNW with a glassy surface. The period is only about 8 seconds, so it won’t have much muscle, but it’ll be clean. The afternoon goes to crap again.

The weekend is mostly poor, with fading swell and more wind issues. The 13th drops to under 3ft with weak energy. Not much going on.

The start of the next week, the 14th, has some longer-period swell (11-13 seconds) but it’s small and the wind is either too light or blowing too hard. That Tuesday the 15th has a strong 40 km/h cross-shore wind that’s a disaster.

Then we get to Thursday the 17th. This is the one. The morning has 5ft of NNW swell with a glassy, light offshore wind. It’s going to be clean and lined up. The energy is moderate. This is your standout session. The afternoon is a write-off.

The 18th sees a jump to 8ft, but the period is still short and the wind is messy. That’s too big and too shifty for a reef with that short period – expert only, and even then, it looks like a washing machine. The 19th and 20th keep that big, short-period swell, but the 20th morning is another glassy window. Sunday the 20th, the wind goes completely calm, and you’ve got 6ft of swell. That could be pretty special if the period stays around 8 seconds.

After that, it fades out, dropping to under 3ft with longer period, but the wind becomes an issue again.

So, bottom line: Friday the 11th and Thursday the 17th are your best calls for clean waves. That Sunday the 20th morning is also worth a look. Everything else is either too small, too messy, or too big and short-period to be any fun. Those glassy mornings are the keys to the kingdom on this one.

Catch you out there.

Rusty

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