Dracula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the charts for the next couple of weeks.

The only break on the menu is Dracula, a heavy, advanced reef setup. The swell is going to be a persistent NNW windswell, but the wind is a real problem. For most of the period, it's blowing cross-shore or cross-on, and often strong, which will keep conditions messy and lumpy. The water’s running at about 70°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The outlook starts off rough. Thursday the 16th through the weekend is a write-off. There’s moderate swell energy, up to around 6ft, but the wind is a fresh cross-shore, making it poor. The combined energy is building from 302 to 545 (moderate), but it’s all wind-chop.

Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st are more of the same—marginal at best in the mornings when the wind eases, then getting blown out again in the afternoon. The swell sticks around 6ft to 7ft, with a short period of 7 to 8 seconds.

Now, there’s a real glimmer on Wednesday morning the 22nd. The wind drops to glassy, and we’ve got 7ft of swell with 8-second period. The combined energy is 565 (moderate), and the word is "expect very good surf conditions." This is the first standout in the period. The glassy conditions will make it clean, but for a reef break, 7ft starts to get serious—it’s really for experienced surfers only.

After that, things go back to marginal or poor for a few days, with the wind picking up again. The next real window is on Friday morning the 24th. The wind is glassy from the WNW, and we’ve got 6ft of NNW swell (combined energy 310, moderate). The report says "expect good surf conditions," and it’s a much more manageable size for a good session.

The next big chance comes way out on Tuesday the 28th. The morning is glassy again, with a solid 8ft of NNW swell, but the period is a longer 9 seconds. This is a groundswell, and the combined energy is a strong 1051 (high energy). The report calls it "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." At 8ft, this is expert territory, especially on a reef. The glassy wind makes it pristine, but you’ll want to be on your game.

Then Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th mornings also offer glassy winds and decent swell (7ft and 6ft), with combined energy around 626 and 510 (moderate), and both are rated as "very good surf conditions." These are smaller, much more user-friendly options for the advanced surfer.

Overall, the first week is a battle with the wind. The true standouts are the glassy mornings on the 22nd, 28th, 29th, and 30th. If I had to pick just one, the 28th looks the best for the experienced crew, with that big, long-period, high-energy swell and perfect glass. The 22nd is a close second for a cleaner, slightly smaller session.

Rusty.

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