Dracula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about the only wave in town for this outlook, and it's a tricky one.

Alright, so the whole run down is focused on one spot, Dracula. And I gotta be straight with you – for the next two weeks, we’re looking at a frustrating stretch. This is a powerful reef setup, very consistent, but the conditions are going to fight us almost every step of the way. The first proper window doesn’t even open up until the 15th, and even then, it’s a tease.

Let’s start with the early part. Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th? Forget it. We’ve got a weak, short-period swell (137 to 215 combined energy) coming from the NNW and NW, but the wind is all wrong – cross-off and cross-on, keeping the surf messy. It’s not worth paddling out.

Tuesday the 15th morning gives us a little glimmer. The swell drops to 2ft from the NW at 11 seconds, but the wind goes glassy. It’s surfable, but "very ordinary" – the kind of session where you’re just happy to be out. The energy is weak at 160, so don't expect much push.

Then things get heavy but ugly. From Wednesday the 16th through Thursday the 17th, the swell jumps up. We’re talking 8ft on Wednesday afternoon with a massive 640 combined energy, but it’s a 7-second period, which is junk, and the wind is a strong cross-shore at 25 mph. Thursday is similar – 7ft to 8ft, 599 to 881 energy, but the period is still short (8 seconds) and the wind is howling. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s going to be a washing machine. Honestly, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on those days.

We finally get a solid look at the standout window. Saturday the 19th morning is the one to circle. The swell sits at a solid 5ft from the NNW with a 10-second period, producing 583 combined energy. But the real story is the wind: glassy, from the WSW. That’s offshore for Dracula, which is a major positive. This is the best chance for clean, hollow waves on this reef. Expect very good surf conditions, but remember, this spot can be crowded.

Sunday the 20th morning is another decent option, with a cleaner 3ft swell from the NNW but a very long 14-second period (498 energy) and a light cross-off wind. That long period will make it break a bit straight on the reef, but it’ll be clean.

The second week is a mixed bag of near-misses. We get occasional glassy mornings – like the 23rd, 24th, and 25th – with knee-to-waist high swell (4ft to 4ft, 245 to 458 energy). The period is decent (10-12 seconds), but the wind tends to turn cross-on or cross-shore in the afternoons. The Saturday the 26th morning has a clean 5ft, but again, the period is a short 7 seconds, making it a bit of a bumpy ride.

Water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild to report.

So, the takeaway? The window is tight. The standout is definitely Saturday the 19th morning for Dracula – that glassy offshore wind with a solid 5ft NNW swell is your best bet. After that, you’re picking through the scraps. Keep your expectations low for the rest of it.

Rusty.

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