Boilers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for Boilers. It’s a bit of a mixed-up forecast, but there are a couple sweet spots.

The first day, Thursday afternoon (10th September), is a total mess. You’ve got 8ft of lumpy NNW swell with a short, choppy 7-second period, and a strong 40 km/h cross-shore wind is just tearing it up. Combined wave energy is a moderate 659, but it’s all noise. Don’t bother.

The first real chance comes Friday morning, 11th September. The swell drops to a cleaner 6ft from the NNW, still a short 7-second period, but the wind goes glassy – a slight 5 km/h offshore from the SW. That makes it clean and fun. Combined energy is a moderate 356. Saturday morning, 12th September, is a twin: 6ft, 8-second period, and glassy again with a 5 km/h offshore. These two mornings are your best bets for the near week. This is a reef break for advanced surfers only, and it’s very consistent – crowds are sometimes around, but early morning glass will have it feeling uncrowded.

Sunday morning (13th) is surfable but nothing special: 3ft with a cross-offshore wind, clean but weak (energy 148). Then it dries up. From Monday (14th) through the middle of the week, we’re looking at tiny surf – 2ft to 3ft – with mostly cross-shore winds. There are some longer periods (up to 13 seconds) around Monday and Tuesday, but there’s just not enough size to make it worth paddling out. Combined energy stays weak to moderate, between 125 and 323.

Looking into the second week, Friday morning, 18th September, gives us another good window: 5ft, NNW swell, 8-second period, and glassy conditions. Solid. But Saturday morning, 19th September, is the real prize of the whole forecast. We’ve got 4ft from the NNW, a 9-second period, and the wind is dead calm – absolutely flat glass. Combined energy is a moderate 307. For a reef that loves WNW swell, this is the session to aim for. Circle it.

Later on, around Tuesday 23rd and Wednesday 24th, there’s a very long period spike (up to 16 seconds) but the swell is tiny, 2ft to 3ft, with cross or cross-on winds. That long period groundswell needs more size to be any good here, so it’s a pass.

So to sum it up: aim for the mornings of Friday 11th, Saturday 12th, and especially Saturday 19th September. Those are your clean, fun windows. The rest of the 16 days is mostly small, weak, or blown out. Water temp is about 72°, which is average for this time of year (only a 0.4° anomaly) – nothing weird, just normal.

That long-range Saturday 19th looks like the one, but remember it’s a way off – forecasts shift. Stay tuned.

Rusty.

Read more