Boilers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve only got one spot on the radar for this 16-day run, and it’s a doozy when the conditions line up. Let’s get into it.

The overall pattern is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a consistent supply of swell, but the wind is going to be the main character for most of the period, spoiling a lot of the potential. There’s a solid run of northwest groundswell on the way, but it’s going to take a few days for the wind to play nice. The water temp is sitting around 70°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Kicking things off, Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st are write-offs. The swell is there, bumping around 7 ft – 8 ft from the NNW, but it’s a short-period 7-second windswell, and the wind is howling from the NNW at 19 mph (fresh breeze). That’s going to chop it up into a lumpy mess. Not worth paddling out for.

We’ve got a bit of a lull in quality until Thursday morning the 23rd. That’s our first real window. The swell drops slightly to 6 ft from the NNW, but the period is still a weak 7 seconds. The magic is the wind: a glassy 3 mph from the WNW. That’ll clean up Boilers nicely. The combined energy is moderate at 375, so it’s not a world-beater, but it’ll be rideable and the best we’ve seen so far. The afternoon gets ruined by a fresh 19 mph cross-shore again, so get your session in early.

Friday the 24th morning is another standout. The swell ticks up to 7 ft from the NNW, period stretching to 8 seconds, and the wind is dead calm – absolutely glassy. That’s a recipe for fun, clean waves at the reef. Combined energy is a solid moderate 462. This is the morning to be on it. The afternoon is a no-go with a 22 mph cross-shore.

The weekend is a tough one. Saturday the 25th starts with a 8 ft swell but a cross-shore breeze, and the afternoon gets absolutely hammered by a 25 mph wind with an 12 ft swell. That’s 1788 combined energy – strong wave energy, but totally unsurfable. This is kite-surfing territory, not a paddle session. Sunday the 26th is a similar story: big wind, messy conditions.

The first week of August is where the long-range promise sits. There’s a gap of a few days of marginal surf, but then we hit Tuesday morning, August 4th. This is the pick of the entire forecast. The swell is a clean 6 ft from the NNW, with an 8-second period, and the wind is 3 mph from the north and glassy. The combined energy is a moderate 516. The report says to expect *very good* surf conditions. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it, but if it holds, Boilers will be firing.

Remember, Boilers is a reef break, so these longer-period swells (8 seconds is solid) will hold up well. It’s advanced-only when it’s overhead, and a 6 ft swell on a reef is no joke for a beginner. The crowds are listed as ‘sometimes’, so you might have a few others out, but it’s not a circus.

Stay sharp, and I’ll see you in the water.

- Rusty

Read more