Boilers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down.

Right off the bat, the surf is pretty lackluster. There’s a real lull at the start, with only small, junky waves on offer. The first week is mostly a write-off unless you’re desperate for a paddle. The energy is weak, and the wind is mostly cross or cross-on, kicking up an ugly chop. The water temp is sitting at 70°F, which is dead average for this time of year. You’re not going to need a hood or anything, but it’s not warm either.

The first real chance for a clean wave comes on Sunday the 16th in the morning. It’s small, around 4ft, but the wind goes glassy, which is a huge plus. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s the only clean option on the board.

After that, we slide back into mediocrity. The mornings offer some light cross-shore wind, but the swell stays small and gutless. The afternoons are all chopped out by the breeze. This pattern holds for a few days, with the swell dipping down to under 3ft. You’re really just scraping by.

Towards the end of the first week and into the second, the swell starts to pick up a little. Friday the 21st sees the size jump to 6ft in the afternoon, but the period is short and the wind is fresh and cross, making it a mess. Not worth your time.

The real standout, the one to circle on the calendar, is Saturday morning, the 29th. That’s the day we finally get some proper swell. The waves will be a solid 6ft on the face, and crucially, the wind is forecast to be glassy. This is the best combination of size and clean conditions we’ve seen all window. This will be the pick of the fortnight, but it’s over a week out, so don’t book your flights just yet. It’s promising, but we’ve been burned before.

The swell is coming from the NNW, which is a good direction for Boilers, as it’s an exposed reef break. But, keep in mind, it’s a reef break, so it’s for the advanced crew.

Just before that, on Thursday the 28th morning, there will be a small, clean wave with the dawn glass, but Saturday the 29th is the one.

Now, a word of caution. The tail end of the window shows the swell pumping up even more. By Saturday the 29th afternoon and into Sunday the 30th, we’re looking at swell heights climbing to 10ft. That’s big, expert-only territory. And with the period staying short and the wind howling from the NNW at 22-25 mph, it’s going to be a full-blown, lumpy, blown-out mess. That’s not a surf forecast; that’s a warning. If you see that, and the break is a reef, you might be better off rigging up a kite.

So, to wrap it up, the next couple of weeks are mostly about waiting. The only real chance for a clean, fun session is that early morning window on the 29th. Mark it down. Otherwise, keep your expectations low and your board close.

Rusty.

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