Tayfor Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. I've looked over the long-range picture for Tayfor, and I gotta be straight with you – it's a tough stretch ahead.

We are looking at a real dry spell here. From now, right through the end of the first week of July and into the middle of the month, there is basically nothing doing. The forecast is full of tiny little windswells, mostly coming in from the NW and NNW. We're talking swell heights barely making it to 2ft, with periods all over the shop but usually short, under 10 seconds. The real killer is the wind – it's constantly cross-onshore or onshore, chopping everything up. The combined energy of all swells is weak, sitting below 100 (56) on the Sunday morning, so the ocean is just flat and messy. It’s a total write-off for a paddle.

That being said, the water at Tayfor right now is sitting at 75°F, which is 4°F warmer than normal for this time of year. It's much warmer than usual, which is nice if you just want a swim, but it won't help the surf.

We’ve got a long gap of poor conditions that lasts right up to the morning of the 19th of July (a Sunday). That’s nearly a full week and a half of no recommendations. The models are showing the swell finally starting to build up toward that weekend, but the wind is still a problem. It's a painful wait.

The one light at the end of the tunnel, and it’s a very distant one, is the morning of the 19th of July. A new swell is forecast to push in from the NNW, hitting a clean 5ft. The period stretches out nicely to 9 seconds, and the wind is forecast to swing around to a light cross-shore breeze. That combination finally bumps the combined energy up to a moderate level (395). The score is just a 1 out of 10, though, because the wind is still not perfect, but it's the best we've seen all outlook. For a surfer at Tayfor, that’s the window to point the truck toward. The afternoon of the same day sees the swell push up to 5ft, but the wind swings back cross-onshore and gets stronger, so don't expect it to hold.

And then the 20th of July (Monday) morning shows similar promise – 5ft from the NNW with a light cross-shore breeze again and a moderate energy (362). Looks like the same story. But again, by the afternoon, the wind turns on it.

So here's the bottom line: the entire first half of the outlook is a complete dud. Don't bother checking the cam. The only potential for a surfable wave is on the morning of the 19th and the 20th of July. It’s a long-range call, so keep your fingers crossed that the wind forecast holds. If it does, get in the water early.

Rusty.

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