Castelejo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be real: the next couple weeks at Castelejo are gonna test your love for the sport, but there’s a proper window hiding in there if you’re keen to wait it out. Water temp’s at 66°, which is a solid 5° colder than usual for the time of year, so grab the thick wetsuit—it’s going to be a cold one.

Right now, the surf is flat and messy. Saturday the 5th is a total washout—small, sloppy, nothing worth paddling out for. Sunday the 6th picks up a little northwest groundswell at 4ft with a 12-second period, but the wind is up and blowing cross-on, so it’s chopped up. That trend sticks around through Monday and Tuesday: more size (up to 5ft), but the north-northwest wind is just too strong, making it lumpy and ugly. From the 5th through the 12th, you’re looking at a solid week of poor conditions. Might as well find something else to do.

There’s a little flicker of hope mid-week, but not enough. Wednesday the 9th sees the swell drop way back, still messy with strong wind. Not worth it. Thursday the 10th actually shows some size—6ft—but it’s short-period and howling, so that’s a pass unless you’re keen on a beating.

The real story, the one worth waiting for, starts on Tuesday the 15th. Morning brings 6ft of northwest swell, but the big change is the wind swinging offshore out of the ESE. That’s clean, lined-up, the kind of morning you skip work for. The afternoon stays good with a cross-offshore breeze. But the standout, the one that’s got me amped, is Wednesday the 16th. That morning delivers 7ft of northwest swell at 9 seconds, light southeast offshore wind, and the combined energy is pumping at 1188. That’s strong, powerful surf. This is the day for experienced surfers. The break is a beach and reef setup, and with that size and direction, it’s got some serious punch. It’s too big for beginners—over that 5ft mark—so leave the soft-top at home. Crowds are only occasional here, so you might actually get a few clean ones to yourself. The afternoon turns a bit more cross-shore, so get out early.

After that, it fades. Thursday the 17th still has some size at 7ft but the wind goes onshore again, making it messy. Friday the 18th drops to 4ft, and the afternoon turns glassy—that’s actually a fun little window with clean conditions on smaller waves. The weekend is small and ordinary, and by Sunday the 20th it’s dribbling out with a strong offshore wind and hardly any swell left.

So here’s the call: the first week is dead. Don’t bother. The window is Tuesday the 15th through Wednesday the 16th, and Wednesday morning is the pick—big, clean, and heavy. It’s still a week and a half out, so don’t book it in stone, but that’s the one to circle. The long-range stuff is promising but less certain, so keep an eye on it. Until then, stay warm and keep the board waxed.

Rusty.

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