
Surf Forecasts:
Cogumelo surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,541 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cogumelo this week:
The surf forecast for Cogumelo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cogumelo in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 10s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (WEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cogumelo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it, this is Rusty.
Alright, listen up. We’ve got a bit of a slow starter on our hands here at Cogumelo. The first couple of days are pretty average, but don’t write it off just yet—there are some serious highlights waiting in the wings if you’re patient. The stars really align for a couple of sessions that’ll make it all worth it.
The water's sitting at 66°, which is a good 4° colder than usual for this time of year. That’s a noticeable chill, so you’ll want a decent suit.
Saturday, September 12th is a write-off. The morning has a tiny 3 ft NW swell with only 7 seconds of period and weak energy (101). The wind is cross-off from the NE, but it’s just not happening with quality. By the afternoon it gets even worse with onshore wind and messy conditions.
Sunday the 13th looks a bit better. The morning has the same 3 ft NW swell, but the period picks up to 10 seconds and there’s moderate energy now (265). Light cross-off wind from the NE will keep things tidy. It’s surfable, but not a standout. The afternoon turns sour as the wind swings onshore.
Monday the 14th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning session is clean and glassy with a NNE breeze at just 3 mph. A 4 ft NW swell with a 10-second period and moderate energy (244) will give you some fun, clean waves. This is a nice, mellow option for intermediates.
Now, here’s the first real standout. Monday, September 21st. The morning is absolutely firing. Glassy conditions, a WSW breeze so light you can barely feel it. A solid 6 ft NW swell with a very long 15-second period is pumping through, and the energy is huge (1471). This is groundswell with serious power, and the long period means it’ll be better shaped, though at a beach break it might stand up a bit straight. For experienced surfers, this is the pick of the whole forecast. The afternoon looks marginal with onshore wind.
Hot on its heels, Tuesday, September 22nd morning is another gem. Again, glassy, this time with a light ENE breeze. Another 6 ft NW swell, this time at 13 seconds, with energy still massive (1218). This is another top-tier session for the experienced crew.
Friday, September 18th morning has a clean, fun 6 ft NW swell (9 sec period, 500 energy) with cross-off NNE wind. It’s a good, clean option for intermediates.
Wednesday, September 23rd morning offers a slightly smaller but glassy rip with a 5 ft NW swell (11 sec period, 471 energy). It’s a solid mid-range option for a clean morning surf.
After Thursday the 24th, things drop off a cliff. The swell fades right out, and the energy flatlines. There’s nothing worth paddling out for from the 25th right through to the end of the period on the 27th. A long, quiet finish to the outlook.
So, to wrap it up: the mornings of Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd are your absolute best bets for clean, powerful, glassy groundswell at Cogumelo. Don’t miss them. Everything else is either average or blown out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Sat morning, min 21°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 15°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Tue morning, fresh winds from the NW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | NW 10 | NW 13 | NW 12 | NW 10 | NW 11 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 5 | NW 7 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 11 | NW 11 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
60 | 61 | 46 | 127 | 326 | 376 | 240 | 142 | 87 | 47 | 73 | 327 | 993 | 1358 | 1083 | 384 | 813 | 782 | 491 | 349 | 346 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:01PM3.09m | 4:22AM2.88m | 4:37PM2.97m | 4:56AM2.79m | 5:12PM2.78m | 5:29AM2.66m | 5:47PM2.55m | 6:04AM2.48m | 6:24PM2.30m | 6:41AM2.29m | 7:07PM2.06m | 7:30AM2.09m | 8:09PM1.86m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:12PM-0.01m | 10:22AM0.08m | 10:44PM0.11m | 10:57AM0.19m | 11:16PM0.28m | 11:32AM0.36m | 11:48PM0.49m | 12:09PM0.56m | 00:22AM0.71m | 12:51PM0.77m | 1:02AM0.92m | 1:46PM0.98m | 2:02AM1.11m | ||||||||
7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
— | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 32 | 31 | 22 | 32 | 31 | 22 | 30 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 26 | 25 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 18 |
Feels °C | 30 | 29 | 23 | 30 | 29 | 23 | 27 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 23 | 20 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | WNW 10 | NNW 8 | NW 10 | NW 13 | NW 12 | NW 10 | NW 11 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 12 | NW 11 | S 13 | S 12 | NW 9 | NNW 9 | S 11 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 15 | NW 8 |
60 | 61 | 82 | 127 | 326 | 376 | 240 | 142 | 87 | 47 | 23 | 59 | 3 | 3 | 1083 | 431 | 3 | 782 | 491 | 33 | 346 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | W 6 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | W 9 | SSE 10 | S 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | NW 12 | S 13 | — | — | NW 12 | NW 11 | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | NW 13 |
38 | 1 | 46 | 45 | 40 | 18 | 2 | 46 | 31 | 28 | 23 | 3 | — | — | 23 | 384 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 134 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 9 | NNW 16 | NW 14 | S 11 | — | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | NW 13 | S 10 | — | — | — | S 12 | S 12 | — | S 11 | W 16 | N 20 | NNW 16 |
3 | 2 | 25 | 93 | 9 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 5 | 7 | 175 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 7 | NW 9 | NW 9 | — | — | NW 11 | — | — | NW 9 | — |
— | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 16 | 10 | 73 | 327 | 993 | 1358 | — | — | 813 | — | — | 349 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 0 | 48 | 852 | 85 | 600 | 542 | 9 | 85 | 562 | 9 | 0 | 78 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal - Alentejo | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Portugal | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cogumelo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cogumelo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cogumelo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cogumelo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cogumelo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cogumelo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cogumelo is 29 km (18 miles) from Sines. If you plan a holiday in Portugal - Alentejo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sines. Sines has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










