Cogumelo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a slow start. The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t show up until Monday morning the 17th, and even then, it’s not exactly lighting the world on fire. We’ve got a bit of a gap before that, so don’t rush. The only spot on the radar here is a place called Cogumelo.

Alright, Monday the 17th morning, we see some small, weak swell rolling in at 4ft from the NW with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is weak at 161, so don’t expect much push. The wind is a light cross-off from the SE at 6 mph, and the water temp is sitting at 67°, which feels a bit colder than normal for this time of year – about 3° cooler. It’s surfable but very ordinary. That same afternoon the wind swings onshore and it all goes to crap.

Tuesday the 18th is a write-off. Tiny waves, barely a ripple. The same goes for Wednesday and Thursday – there’s some glassy conditions on Thursday morning, but with a swell of only 2ft, it’s more of a paddle than a surf.

Now, Friday the 21st is where things start to get a bit more interesting, but only if you’re desperate. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the NW, with moderate energy (362), but that cross-onshore wind from the NNW at 12 mph is going to chop it right up. It’ll be messy and lumpy, not the best for a real clean ride. Saturday the 22nd is similar, just a bit smaller with the same cross-onshore mess.

We hit a real rough patch from Sunday the 23rd all the way through to Friday the 28th. The swell is inconsistent, the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, and the quality is poor. There’s nothing worth paddling out for. A long, frustrating gap.

But hold on. If you’ve got patience, the real standout shows up on Saturday the 29th. This is the one. Saturday morning at Cogumelo looks like a proper session. We’ve got a 6ft NW groundswell with a period of 10 seconds – that’s got some serious grunt. The combined energy is strong at 724, so you’ll feel it. The kicker is that glassy, offshore wind from the WSW at just 3 mph. It’s going to be clean, lined up, and offering some proper waves. This is the best on offer by a country mile. The afternoon stays fat at 6ft but the wind swings onshore, so be there early.

Sunday the 30th drops off again, and Monday the 31st is marginal with a choppy cross-shore wind. There’s one more interesting blip on Tuesday the 1st of September, with another 6ft NW swell, but it’s going to be hammered by a fresh onshore wind at 19 mph, making it lumpy and tough. One for the experts only.

So, bottom line: if you can wait, Saturday the 29th morning is your window. That’s the real gem. The rest is mostly filler or blown out. Keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath for the week in between.

Rusty.

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