Cogumelo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks at our only real player in this game, Cogumelo.

Right off the bat, this isn't a place that's gonna have you paddling out every day. The first part of the week is a write-off. Tuesday the 15th has nothing but tiny, weak, choppy waves. The combined swell energy is only 92, which is about as weak as it gets. You'd be wasting your time. Wednesday the 16th is worse, with the swell jumping up but the wind being a messy cross-onshore, making it a lumpy, blown-out mess. That 8ft NW swell is just getting trashed.

Now, Thursday the 17th is where things get interesting. Thursday morning is your standout. We’ve got a clean 8ft NW swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNE. The energy reading is 1082, so there's real power in the water. This one's for the experienced crew, as anything over 8ft is expert territory, and at 8ft with that kind of push, it's going to be a handful at best. But if you've got the skill, it's gonna be excellent. That morning window is the best of the whole outlook.

Friday the 18th is a step down. Morning still has some size at 6ft, but the wind is a messy cross-shore, and the energy is moderate. The arvos are all cross-onshore chop until Saturday.

Saturday the 19th starts with a complete flat calm – glassy, but no swell at all. The afternoon brings a totally different story: a 14-second period NW groundswell hitting 6ft. That’s some serious long-period energy (1255), which means powerful, well-shaped waves. But with a light cross-onshore wind and the tide possibly playing games, it's only marginal. Still, that long period is a tease for what could be a great wave if the conditions line up.

The next real good window opens up on Monday the 21st. Monday morning sees a clean 4ft NW swell with a clean offshore breeze from the ENE. It’s not huge, but the energy is there (318) and the conditions are clean. Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd mornings are similar – clean, light winds, with small but fun NW swell. The energy is moderate.

But hold on. Thursday the 24th morning is another serious standout. We've got a 5ft NW swell with a 13-second period, and the wind is a gentle offshore from the east. The energy reading jumps to 914. This is really good, clean surf for intermediate to advanced surfers. It's a bit of a wait, but that’s a quality session.

The following week from Friday the 25th through to Monday the 30th has consistent, clean mornings. Most mornings show light offshore or glassy conditions with NW swell hanging around 4ft to 5ft. Nothing massive, but with clean conditions and moderate energy, it’s a solid run of small, fun waves for a longer board. The energy readings are in the 300-400 range, so it's consistent but not pumping.

One last mention: Wednesday the 30th morning has a 6ft WNW swell with a 10-second period and a gentle cross-shore wind. The energy is high at 1114, but the wind is a cross-shore, not offshore, so it's marginal. Could be a wildcard if the wind backs off. Overall, the first week is a bust until Thursday the 17th, then the second week has plenty of clean, smaller days.

Stay safe, and I'll catch you in the water.

- Rusty

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