Cogumelo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s comin’ for our stretch of coast over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a real dry spell for the most part. We’re lookin’ at a long stretch of small, choppy, and generally poor conditions, but there’s a tiny glimmer of hope way out at the end of the forecast.

The whole run starts with a big gap of nothin’ worth paddlin’ out for. For the first two weeks, from Sunday 2nd August through to Saturday 15th August, every single session is marked as "poor surf conditions." The swell is tiny, mostly under 3 feet, and the wind is a constant cross-onshore from the NNW or NW. The water temp is sittin’ at 67°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent suit.

The first real standout – and I use that term loosely – shows up on Sunday 16th August. The morning session at Cogumelo is the only time in the whole outlook that gets a flicker of life, with a "marginal" call. The swell is still small, around 4 feet comin’ from the NW with a period of 8 seconds, givin’ us a moderate wave energy (205). The wind finally swings to the west and goes straight onshore, which is clean but it’s not offshore. It’s not gonna be anythin’ special, but compared to the two weeks of junk before it, it’s the best we’ve got. The combined energy is moderate (205), so there’s a little bit of push, but it’s a short period swell, so expect it to be a bit fat and sectiony.

After that, Monday 17th August looks like it drops off completely, with no swell at all.

So, if you’re desperate for a paddle, the morning of Sunday 16th August at Cogumelo is your only shot. It’s a fairly consistent break, but it does get crowded often, so expect company. The rest of the window is a write-off. This is one of those stretches where the forecasts are more reliable for the near term, and unfortunately, the near term is flat. Long-range, that Sunday 16th is promising but not certain. Keep your eyes on it, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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