Cogumelo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into the outlook for the home break, Cogumelo. It’s a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, so we’ll have to pick our moments.

The forecast starts quiet, with a bit of a slow grind to kick things off. We’re looking at conditions that are far from firing, with a lot of cross-onshore chop and poor surf quality. The first real chance to get wet comes up on Wednesday, 2 September. The morning brings a cleaner window with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE, and while the swell is a modest 4ft from the NW with a short period of 8 seconds, it’s surfable. The combined energy of all swells directed here is moderate (248). The water temperature is sitting at 69°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The rest of the first week remains pretty ordinary. We get a few cleanish mornings, like Thursday 3 September with a tiny 3ft swell and nearly glassy conditions, but the wave energy is weak (89). Friday and Saturday offer similar small, clean windows but with very little punch. The real highlight, and the standout of the whole forecast, is clear as day. Look at Saturday, 12 September. The morning session is going to be the one to circle. We’ve got a clean, cross-off shore breeze from the NNE, a solid 6ft swell from the NW with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is strong (599). This is the best quality on offer, with good shape and clean conditions. The only bummer is that crowds are likely here, so you’ll want to be early.

After that, the second week drops off significantly. There’s a long gap of poor to marginal conditions from the 12th afternoon through to the 13th and into the 14th. Monday, 14 September, brings a morning window with a 3ft swell from the WNW, but the period jumps to a very long 12 seconds. That’s a groundswell, and at a beach break like this, it might break a bit too straight, but with clean conditions and a light offshore, it’s worth a look. The energy is still moderate (248). The last half-decent morning is Tuesday, 15 September, with a small 2ft NW swell and a very long 13-second period, again clean. It’s a weak wave (333) but glassy. After that, the window closes with poor onshore conditions through to the end of the 16-day run.

So, to sum it up: the best bet hands down is the morning of Saturday, 12 September. That’s your standout. For the long-range, Monday 14 and Tuesday 15 mornings are promising but less certain. Get out there when you can.

Rusty out.

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