Cogumelo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, groms, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Cogumelo, the only spot on the menu.

Honestly, the next ten days look like a total flat spell. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly rubbish, and the wave energy is weak. We’ve got a long wait for anything decent.

From Saturday the 18th right through to Tuesday morning the 28th, there’s nothing to ride. The swell height barely gets over 3 feet, the period is short, and the wind is always side or sideshore, chopping it up. The combined energy is low, mostly under 100 (weak energy). It’s just poor surf conditions, day after day. If you’re into kiting, the wind might be there, but for a paddle board, it’s a total bust.

The first flicker of hope comes Tuesday morning the 28th. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the NE at 3 mph, and the period jumps to 13 seconds. That’s a long period groundswell. But the swell is tiny, just 0.3 ft, so the energy is only 11 (weak energy). The surface might be clean, but there’s nothing to catch.

Now, the real standout is shaping up for the morning of Wednesday the 29th of July. The swell jumps to 6 ft from the NW, with a 9-second period. The wind is light from the NNW at 6 mph, which is a cross direction, creating light cross-shore ripples. The combined energy hits 516 (moderate wave energy), which is the first real sign of life. It’s a marginal call, but it’s the first decent energy in the whole window.

But the absolute best, the one you want to clear your schedule for, is the morning of Thursday the 30th of July. The wind is offshore from the E at 10 mph, and the swell is still a solid 6 ft from the NW, with a 9-second period. The combined energy is 564 (moderate wave energy). The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s clean, offshore winds and a solid 6 ft swell. This is the one. For intermediate surfers, this is prime. The swell direction is NW, which is well within the optimum SW direction for this spot. The water is about 69°F, which is normal for the time of year.

The 31st of July morning is also a good backup, with a solid 5 ft from the NW, a 9-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE at 3 mph. The energy is 396 (moderate wave energy), and it’s clean.

After that, the 1st of August looks flat and glassy in the morning, then a big, messy 8 ft combo on the 2nd of August morning with a 10-second period from the NW and a cross wind from the S. That’s a powerful 1365 (strong wave energy), but with the wind and size, it’s only for experts and could be a mess.

To wrap it up: the long wait until the 29th of July is a drag, but the morning of the 30th of July is the clear winner. Get out there for that clean, chest-to-head-high NW swell.

Rusty.

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