Cogumelo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it.

Look, I’ve gotta be honest with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak. I’m struggling to find much to get excited about. There’s going to be a long stretch of days here where the surf just isn’t worth paddling out for. It starts off flat and stays that way for a while. We’re looking at a solid gap of almost no worthwhile waves from Wednesday the 8th right through until the end of next week. The energy is weak, the wind is messy, and it’s all cross-on shore.

The first hint of anything approaching rideable comes on Sunday the 12th at Cogumelo. The swell height is a tiny 3 ft in the morning from the NW, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined wave energy (159) is moderate, but it’s still labelled as "poor surf conditions." The wind is a light cross-onshore from the NNW, so it won't be glassy. It stays small and choppy into the afternoon. Honestly, this is a session for the hardcore only, and even then, you’ll be dodging bumps.

We get a little more energy on Sunday the 19th into the following week, but the quality is still missing. On the 19th afternoon, Cogumelo sees the swell hit 5 ft from the NW, with a period of 6 seconds and a combined energy of 203 – that's moderate-to-strong energy, but it's short-period windswell. The wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the NW at 16 mph, making for choppy conditions. Not what you want. This trend continues into Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st, with similar sizes but always cross-onshore and chopped up.

The biggest swell of the outlook shows up on Wednesday the 22nd of July. The morning brings 5 ft from the NW, but by the afternoon it jumps to 6 ft, with a combined energy of 245. That’s solid, powerful energy for this spot. But – and it's a big but – the period is a short 6 seconds, and the wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the NW at 16 mph. That’s onshore slop on a beach break setup. It might be worth a look for experienced surfers on a bigger board, but for a clean, proper wave, this isn't it. Beginners, stay away from that afternoon session.

Then, almost as a tease, on Thursday the 23rd of July, we finally get a clean moment. The morning shows a tiny 0.7 ft swell from the WNW with a 10-second period, but the wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNE. The wave comment even says "clean." This is beautiful, but there’s no power behind it (combined energy of just 20).

So, looking at the whole 16-day window, I can’t in good conscience call any break a standout. The wind is almost always working against what little swell we have. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

It’s a tough run. Keep the board in the car, check the forecast again in a few days, but don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

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