Cogumelo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ over at Cogumelo. It’s been a bit of a slow start, but there’s a real treat waiting down the line if you’ve got the patience.

We’re looking at a long run of flat-to-poor conditions here to kick things off. From Thursday the 3rd right through to Sunday the 13th of September, it’s a pretty grim stretch. The swell is tiny—mostly around 2 ft to 4 ft—and it’s coming from the NW, but the wind is all wrong. It’s either onshore or cross-onshore most of the time, with moderate breezes that’ll chop the surface up real nasty. The combined energy is low, mostly in the double digits (76, 70, 53) through the first few days, so there’s just no push in the water. Even the occasional 5 ft bump on the 7th and 8th gets ruined by the wind. There’s a brief moment on Friday the 4th morning when it goes glassy with a little 2 ft swell, but it’s so weak it’s hardly worth paddling out for. This is a proper lull.

Now, the real standout is a long way off, but it looks like a beauty. On the morning of Wednesday the 16th of September, we get a serious pulse of energy. A clean 6 ft NW groundswell, with a long period of 15 seconds, pushing a massive combined energy of 1423. The wind flips to a light ENE cross-off breeze, leaving it glassy. That’s expert-level size and a very long period, so Cogumelo will have proper power, but those long lines might be a bit straight for a beach break—though with that wind, it’ll be a sight to see. This is the pick of the entire 16-day run.

The morning of Tuesday the 15th is worth a mention too as a warm-up. You get a smaller 3 ft NW swell, but the wind goes cross-off from the SE, making it clean. The energy is moderate (128), but it’s a decent, clean little session for intermediates if the 16th is too big.

The following morning, Thursday the 17th of September, also holds up well. A 4 ft NW groundswell (period 12 seconds) with a clean, light ENE breeze. Combined energy of 444, so decent power. It’s a solid backup option, but the 16th is the one.

Water temp is currently sitting at 67°, which is a bit colder than normal for the time of year—about 3° off. It’ll warm your bones if you’re in a steamer, but it’s nothing crazy.

So, for the first two weeks, it’s pretty much a write-off. But that Wednesday the 16th morning is a genuine standout. Get your diary out and mark it. That’s the one to wait for.

Rusty

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