Cogumelo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s see what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks at Cogumelo. Clear skies are the norm across the period, but the surf is going to take its sweet time to get its act together.

Right now, it’s a tough start. We’ve got a dry spell of pretty ordinary conditions. The first few days, from the 10th through to the 12th, are a write-off. You’re looking at small, weak little waves with the combined swell energy barely hitting triple digits (71 to 168), and the wind is mostly cross or cross-on, which is just making a mess of the surface. It’s not worth paddling out for.

Things start to nudge towards just barely surfable by the morning of Thursday the 13th. The swell picks up a bit, coming from the WNW at about 3ft, but the period is a solid 10 seconds, which gives it some shape. The offshore wind on the morning of the 13th and 14th is light from the north, keeping things clean. The combined energy is now in the moderate zone (205 to 202), but the forecast still calls it marginal. You might get a few if you’re desperate, but it’s nothing to write home about.

The real standout, the only one that gets my blood pumping a little, is the morning of Monday the 17th. The wind drops to glassy, dead calm. The swell is a clean 3ft from the NW, with a 9-second period. It’s not a monster, but that glassy surface will turn it into a little gem. The combined energy is a moderate 177. The afternoon is a write-off again, so get it while it’s good.

The morning of Tuesday the 18th is also worth a mention, with flat calm winds again and a similar 3ft NW swell. It’s surfable, but the 17th morning is your best bet.

Now, we get another long gap. The rest of the week is a mix of onshore junk and tiny waves. Then, we look ahead to the second week. The morning of Friday the 21st sees a pulse of 5ft NW swell, but the wind is light and cross-on, which is better. The combined energy jumps to 335, but it’s still only marginal. Not a classic.

The following week, things get a bit more interesting, but also more uncertain. The morning of Monday the 24th has a 5ft NW swell with a light north cross-shore wind, and the energy is up to 366. But the big one to watch is the morning of Tuesday the 25th. A very long-period groundswell rolls in from the WNW at 15 seconds, with a swell height of only 2ft. That’s the kind of period that carries serious energy, and the combined energy is a whopping 453, which is strong. That’s a promising sign, but it’s a long-range call, so don’t bank on it being perfect. That long period will be lining up nicely for Cogumelo’s exposed setup, but it could be a bit shifty.

Overall, it’s a patchy outlook. The morning of the 17th is the true standout right now for a clean, fun session. The long-range pulse on the 25th is the one to keep an eye on for the future.

Rusty, signing off.

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