El Balneario Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's cut through the noise and see what's cookin' for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, looking at this 16-day window, we’re in for a real dry spell. The water is sitting at about 68°, which is a solid 5° colder than usual for this time of year – that’s a noticeable chill, so don't be fooled by the summer sun. The first break that even shows a pulse is El Balneario, and it’s a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent, but the swell just isn't showing up.

We’ve got a long stretch from the 27th of July all the way through the 4th of August where the ocean is basically flat. The combined energy is in the single digits or low teens (0-70), with tiny waves of 0.3ft to 3ft showing up, but the wave comment keeps calling it "poor surf conditions." That early strong offshore wind from the east won't help when there's nothing to ride. It’s a waiting game.

Then, from the 5th of August onward, conditions start to look slightly different but still not good. On Wednesday the 5th, the morning shows a weak 3ft swell from the west with a short 6-second period. The wind turns offshore from the east at 12 mph, making it clean, but the wave comment just says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." The energy is weak (66), so you’re not getting any power behind those little lumps.

The real tease comes on Monday the 10th of August. The morning shows a 2ft swell from the WNW with a very long 11-second period, giving it moderate energy (115). This is a proper groundswell window, which is rare in this flat stretch. A long period like that will make the waves better shaped and have more energy, but at a beach break like El Balneario, it might break too straight. The bad news is the wind is howling onshore from the west at 16 mph, so it’ll be choppy and messy. Not a day for a surfboard; that onshore wind on a small clean swell is a kite-surfing setup, not a surfing one.

Finally, on Tuesday the 11th of August, we get the best – and I mean *only* – real standout of the whole forecast. The morning shows a 3ft swell from the west with a 7-second period. The wind is light offshore from the ENE at 6 mph, so it’ll be glassy clean. The combined energy is a solid 196, which is the strongest we’ve seen all window. This is clean, user-friendly surf for the beginners El Balneario is known for, but even a decent surfer could have some fun on these little glassy peelers. The afternoon might get a bit windy, so hit it first thing. This is the only day worth paddling out for the entire two weeks. I’d say there’s a solid gap of nearly two weeks of junk before this little gem.

So there you have it. It’s a patience-testing outlook, but that Tuesday morning on the 11th is your one and only green light. Keep your eyes on the forecast, ‘cause it can change, but as it stands, that’s your window.

Rusty.

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